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Eurusdtrend

EUR/USD Break of Structure + Liquidity Targeting🎯 EUR/USD "THE FIBRE" - Bullish Breakout Strategy 🚀 Day/Swing Trade Opportunity | Forex Major | Risk Management Priority 📊 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Current Price (Feb 11, 2026): $1.1908 USD | 52-Week High: $1.2082 (Jan 28, 2026) | Bullish Bias: ✅ ACTIVE The Euro is approaching multi-year resistance levels as the ECB maintains an accommodative stance while the Federal Reserve signals a cautious pause on rate cuts. Real-time market sentiment remains bullish with speculative long positions at 163.4K contracts (highest since Aug 2023). This setup presents a clean breakout opportunity above structural resistance with solid technical confluence. 🎪 TRADE SETUP: BULLISH BREAKOUT PLAN Entry Strategy 📍 Primary Entry Zone: ANY PRICE LEVEL POST-RESISTANCE BREAKOUT @ $1.19300 – $1.19400 (confirmed above daily resistance) Confirmation Method: Wait for 4-hour candle closure ABOVE $1.1930 with volume expansion Secondary Entry: Pullback-and-retest of $1.1925 after initial breakout confirmation Entry Type: Pending order activation OR live market entry on impulse break ⚠️ Technical Rationale: This level represents the convergence of: February psychological resistance ($1.19 handle) 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) proximity Previous swing high resistance zone Bollinger Band upper band extension trigger 🎯 PROFIT TARGETS (TP) – LIQUIDITY SWEEP STRATEGY TP1: "First Liquidity Grab Completed" ✨ Target Level: $1.19800 Rationale: Initial supply capture + seller breakeven liquidation zone Action: PARTIAL PROFIT TAKE (40% position size) Purpose: Lock in early gains + reduce risk exposure Technical Confluence: Intermediate resistance + previous weekly highs TP2: "The Big Money Exit – Final Liquidity Sweep" 💰 Target Level: $1.20500 Rationale: Psychological $1.20 barrier + major multi-year resistance zone (previously tested Jan 28 high @ $1.2082) Action: FULL POSITION CLOSURE (remaining 60%) Purpose: Capture the full breakout move with systematic profit extraction Confluence Factors: $1.20 psychological level = institutional buy/sell equilibrium 200-week EMA approximation Prior 4-year resistance tested in January 2026 🛑 RISK MANAGEMENT: STOP LOSS STRUCTURE Stop Loss Level: $1.1860 (Hard Stop) Pips at Risk: ~70 pips from entry ($1.1930) Rationale: Break below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) Logic: Entry invalidated if this structural support fails Position Sizing Rule: Risk NO MORE than 1-2% of your trading capital per trade Example: If trading $10,000 account, max loss = $100-$200 At 75-pip stop = ~0.54% account risk ✅ PROFESSIONAL LEVEL ⚠️ CRITICAL NOTE TO ALL THIEF TRADERS & OG's: "This stop loss is a SUGGESTED technical level – NOT a mandatory requirement. You are the captain of your own ship. Adjust your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance, account size, and personal trading style. A 50-pip stop or 100-pip stop may suit YOUR plan better. The goal is CONSISTENT MONEY MANAGEMENT, not copying mine. Trade YOUR edge, not mine. Your winners keep you in the game, your discipline keeps you IN the game." 🎖️ 📈 CORRELATION PAIRS TO WATCH 📊 Watch List for Smart Traders: 1. GBP/USD (Current: $1.3590) 🇬🇧💵 Correlation: Positive (+0.85 to +0.92) — Moves in SAME DIRECTION as EUR/USD Why It Matters: UK pound strength = Euro strength signal Current Setup: Testing key support at 1.3267 (200-day EMA); rebound could confirm EUR/USD bullish bias Action: If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3700, expect EUR/USD to extend beyond $1.20 Watch Level: 1.3350-1.3400 = Confluence zone with EUR/USD momentum 2. USD/JPY (Current: ~155.50) 🇺🇸🇯🇵 Correlation: Negative (-0.70 to -0.78) — Moves in OPPOSITE direction Why It Matters: USD weakness = JPY weakness; JPY weakness = EUR/USD BULLISH pressure Current Setup: Testing 154.45-155.00 support zone; recovery here = USD strength headwind Action: If USD/JPY breaks DOWN below 154.45, EUR/USD will have STRONG BULLISH tailwind Risk Alert: Japanese Ministry intervention at 160.00 could suddenly flip this dynamic 3. EUR/JPY (Current: ~186.17) 🇪🇺🇯🇵 Correlation: Positive (+0.80 to +0.88) Why It Matters: Euro weakness vs Yen = potential weakness signal for EUR/USD Technical Note: Recently formed evening-star pattern; showing lower-high formation Support Zone: 182.65-183.16 is critical support; break below = caution signal for EUR/USD bulls 4. GBP/JPY (Current: ~214.13) 🇬🇧🇯🇵 Correlation: Strong positive (represents overall risk appetite) Why It Matters: Carry trade health indicator; when it rallies = risk-on environment = EUR/USD bullish Technical Setup: Testing 213.50-214.50 resistance zone after 18-year high Interpretation: Continued strength = confidence in European assets 5. US Dollar Index (DXY) (Current: ~96.60) 💹 Inverse Correlation: For every 1% DXY drops = EUR/USD can add 30-50 pips Current Trend: Down 10% for the year; multi-day lows suggest weakness persists Critical Level: 98.00 = psychological resistance; break above = USD strength resumes Fed Proxy: DXY tracks Fed easing cycle expectations 💼 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC DRIVERS 🏛️ EUROZONE FACTORS (Supporting Bullish EUR) ECB Stance: HAWKISH HOLD 📍 Current Policy Rate: 2.15% (Main Refinancing Rate) — UNCHANGED since July 2025 February 5 Decision: ECB kept rates flat as expected; President Lagarde signaled COMFORT with Euro strength Key Quote from Lagarde: "Inflation outlook remains in a GOOD PLACE" ✅ Implication: ECB willing to tolerate higher EUR/USD; NO urgency to cut rates Market Pricing: <10% probability of 25bp rate cut by Feb 2026 Inflation Performance: SOFT LANDING ACHIEVED ✅ January 2026 Headline Inflation: 1.7% YoY (BELOW 2% target – unexpected positive!) Core Inflation: 2.2% YoY (lowest since Oct 2021) ECB Reaction: Comfortable with current stance; inflation on track to stabilize at 2% target Trader Takeaway: NO EMERGENCY rate cuts needed; ECB can stay patient and firm = EUR support Growth Outlook: RESILIENT DESPITE HEADWINDS 💪 2026 Growth Forecast: 0.8-1.2% (modest but stable) Support Drivers: Higher defense spending + infrastructure investment announced Risks: German auto sector weakness (-5% output); potential Trump reciprocal tariffs on EU goods Signal: Growth sufficient to prevent emergency easing; EUR constructive long-term Positioning Sentiment: EXTREME BULLISH SKEW 📊 Speculative Long Positions: 163.4K contracts (highest since August 2023!) Implication: Momentum is REAL but crowded; watch for profit-taking Risk Management: Position likely getting extended; set stops for protection 🇺🇸 UNITED STATES FACTORS (Pressuring USD Weakness) Federal Reserve: CAUTIOUS PAUSE MODE ⏸️ Current Fed Funds Rate: 3.50%-3.75% (UNCHANGED since January 28, 2026) 2026 Rate Path: Markets pricing 2 additional cuts (June + September consensus) Powell Stance: "Neutral" rate achieved; no urgency to cut aggressively BUT: Committee divided on how many cuts acceptable in 2026 Market Reaction: Rate cut expectations already priced into USD weakness Labor Market: SOFTENING SIGNALS 📉 Recent NFP Data: Softer than expected (latest week: 199K claims vs 219K expected) Wage Growth: Moderating but still above 3% annually Implication: Labor market cooling = potential for 2-3 Fed cuts in 2026 EUR/USD Signal: Soft jobs data = USD pressure = EUR/USD bullish trigger Inflation: STICKY BUT MANAGEABLE 📈 CPI Trend: Fed willing to live with inflation above 2% for longer Key Risk: If US inflation re-accelerates, Fed cuts could be delayed = USD reversal signal Watch: This week's CPI release (Friday) = critical volatility catalyst Trump Policy Uncertainty: MASSIVE WILDCARD 🃏 Tariff Plans: Proposed 10-20% tariffs on EU goods + reciprocal tariff threat Capital Flow Impact: Risk-off sentiment could flip positions quickly Geopolitical Risk: Elevated uncertainty pushing traders toward safe havens (JPY/EUR strength) Trade Note: Geopolitical premium = currently supporting EUR/USD above natural levels 📅 UPCOMING ECONOMIC EVENTS TO MONITOR THIS WEEK (Feb 10-14, 2026): 🔴 Feb 12 🇺🇸 NFP — Soft = EUR/USD UP ⬆️ 🔴 Feb 14 🇺🇸 CPI — Hot CPI = USD RALLY ⬆️ 🟡 Feb 12 🇺🇸 Jobless Claims — Labor trend 🟡 Feb 14 🇺🇸 Retail Sales — Consumer check NEXT MONTH (March 2026): 🔴 March 5 🇪🇺 ECB Decision — MAJOR 🔴 March 19 🇺🇸 Fed FOMC Meeting — Key decision 🎯 RISK MANAGEMENT CHECKLIST ✅ Before You Enter This Trade: Is your stop loss set at 1.1825? (Non-negotiable SL placement) Have you calculated position size for max 1-2% account risk? Are you monitoring the USD/JPY pair for correlation confirmation? Did you set alerts on GBP/USD 1.3700 (confirmation level)? Are you aware this is FRONT-RUN by institutional players at 1.20? Do you have an EXIT PLAN if NFP/CPI surprises hurt USD? 💭 THIEF TRADER WISDOM & MINDSET QUOTES 🎖️ On This Trade Specifically: "THE FIBRE is playing with big money right now. Institutional players are building positions into $1.20. They'll trap retail both ways – first stop them at 1.1825, then reverse at 1.20. Know their game, execute YOUR plan, take YOUR profits at MY targets. Don't be greedy." — Thief OG's Trading Code 🏴‍☠️ "At 1.19300, you're buying the breakout where retail panic-buys. Smart money is already 200 pips higher on leveraged positions. Let them do the heavy lifting; you just ride the momentum wave. Lock profits at TP1, then milk the remaining move. This is not a lottery ticket – it's a systematic extraction of value." 💰 General Thief Trading Mentality: "Money moves in trends, emotions move in noise. The chart doesn't lie, but prices lie often. Enter at confluence zones, exit at institutional resistance. Your biggest enemy is not the market – it's your fear of missing out and your greed for 'just a few more pips.' Take your target and sleep easy." — OG's Philosophy "Stop losses are your insurance premium, not your enemy. A trader who respects stop losses lives to trade another day. A trader who moves stops dies a thousand deaths. Be disciplined or be broke – there's no middle ground." 🎖️ "The best trades feel boring when you're in them. If you're thrilled and checking every minute, you're over-leveraged. Real money is made in boring accumulation phases, not exciting crash moments. Boring = Profitable." 📊 "Every time you add to a losing position, you're not being brave – you're being BANKRUPT in slow motion. Your first loss is your best loss. Let it go and move to the next setup. Pride kills accounts faster than any bad trade." 🛑 Regarding This Specific Setups' Risks: "THE FIBRE is strong, but it's also tired after a 600+ pip run from 1.15. When something runs this hard this fast, profit takers are EVERYWHERE above 1.20. Don't be the last fool buying breakout highs. Hit your target 2 at 1.20500 and WALK AWAY. The next 200 pips aren't worth the risk of reversal." ⚠️ 📝 FINAL DISCLAIMER (Read This!) ⚖️ This is NOT financial advice. I am NOT recommending you take this trade. I am sharing a technical setup based on real market data as of February 11, 2026. You are 100% responsible for: ✅ Your entry decision ✅ Your exit decision ✅ Your position sizing ✅ Your stop loss placement ✅ Your profit targets ✅ Your account risk management Markets can gap through your stops. Forex can move 100+ pips in seconds on economic data. Position sizing incorrectly = account liquidation. Use proper leverage (1:5 max for majors recommended). This trade has 60%+ probability of hitting TP2 based on technical confluence, but that means 40% probability of loss. Risk/reward = 1:1.75 = Professional standard. Trade the setup, not the money. Execute the plan, not your emotions. 🎯 Chart Setup Summary: 🟢 BUY SIGNAL: Entry on breakout above 1.1930 ⏹️ STOP LOSS: 1.1860 (70 pips risk) 🎯 TARGET 1: 1.1980 (50 pips gain) – Take 40% profits 🚀 TARGET 2: 1.2050 (120 pips gain) – Close remaining 60% 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1.75 ✅ PROFESSIONAL GRADE Trade with a plan. Manage your risk. Respect the market. Make money. 🏴‍☠️💰📈 Good Luck, Thief OG's & Fellow Traders! 🎖️
by The-Thief
EURUSD Weekly Outlook (SMC + HTF Resistance Confluence)📊 Market Structure Overview EURUSD is currently trading into a major weekly supply / resistance zone while respecting a long-term descending trendline connecting multiple swing highs. Price has approached this area several times historically and reacted with strong bearish momentum — making it a high-probability reaction zone on the HTF. 🔎 Key Technical Observations Price is testing a multi-year descending trendline → strong dynamic resistance. Presence of SMC concepts on chart: BOS / CHoCH and visible FVG zones below current price. Current rally looks like a liquidity grab into premium pricing within weekly structure. Equal / relative highs marked — potential buy-side liquidity before reversal. HTF structure overall remains bearish / corrective, not a confirmed bullish trend reversal. 📍 Trading Plan (Idea — Not Financial Advice) ➡️ Primary Bias: Bearish from weekly resistance. ➡️ Entry Concept: Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation such as: Bearish engulfing candle Pin bar rejection Market structure shift / CHoCH ➡️ Targets: First reaction → mid FVG / internal demand Major target → HTF demand zone around parity region (~1.00 area) Extended bearish scenario → deeper weekly demand near lower red zone ⚠️ Risk Factors / Invalidation Strong weekly close above trendline and resistance zone. Bullish continuation with sustained higher highs + higher lows on HTF. Macro catalysts (ECB/Fed policy shifts) could accelerate volatility. 🧠 Final Thoughts This setup aligns with a classic premium sell model — price rallies into HTF supply + trendline confluence before targeting imbalances below. Patience is key: confirmation matters more than prediction.
by KingProTrader
EURUSD Outlook: Bullish Above 1.1885EURUSD Technical Analysis February 11, 2026 Pivot Point: 1.1885 Currently, the price is trading around the pivot level of 1.1885, which serves as the decisive zone for today's direction. Bullish Scenario (Primary) As long as the price holds above the pivot point of 1.1885, the bullish momentum remains intact: Immediate Target: Resistance at 1.1930. Confirmation: A 1-hour candle close above 1.1930 will pave the way for the next target at 1.1955. Bearish Scenario (Alternative) To shift to a bearish outlook, the price must strongly break below the pivot point of 1.1885: Confirmation: A 4-hour candle close below 1.1885 is required to confirm the downward move. Downside Targets: 1.1870 followed by 1.1845. Key Levels at a Glance: Pivot Point: 1.1885 Resistance Levels: 1.1930 | 1.1955 Support Levels: 1.1870 | 1.1845
Long
by EvarMayi
EURUSD: Bullish Trend Above 1.1885 Pivot EUR/USD Technical Outlook Date: February 10, 2026 Current Market Condition: The pair is currently trading above the Pivot Point at 1.1885, maintaining a bullish bias. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price holds above 1.1885, the momentum remains upward toward the resistance at 1.1930. Confirmation: A successful 1-hour candle close above 1.1930 will signal a continuation toward the next target at 1.1955. Bearish Scenario: To shift into a bearish outlook, the price must decisively break below the 1.1885 pivot level. Confirmation: A 4-hour candle close below this level is required to target 1.1870 and 1.1845. Key Price Levels: Pivot Point: 1.1885 Resistance Targets: 1.1930 | 1.1955 Support Levels: 1.1870 | 1.1845 ⚠️ Risk Note: Monitor the 1-hour close carefully for trend confirmation.
Long
by EvarMayi
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TICKMILL:EURUSD EUR/USD is consolidating above a well-defined short-term support zone around 1.1900–1.1904 on the 15-minute timeframe after a sharp impulsive rally. Recent price action shows higher lows forming above support, indicating that downside momentum has weakened. As long as price holds above this support zone, the structure favours a bullish continuation toward the upper resistance band near 1.1923–1.1927. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Bias) Entry Zone: 1.1900 – 1.1904 Stop Loss: 1.1898 Take Profit 1: 1.1923 Take Profit 2: 1.1927 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 4.4 📌 Invalidation: A sustained break and close below 1.1898 would invalidate the bullish setup. 🌐 Macro Background The US Dollar remains under pressure amid concerns over US lab or market weakness and growing expectations for further Federal Reserve easing. Meanwhile, the Euro is supported by stable ECB policy expectations and improving risk sentiment. In the short term, this macro backdrop supports buy-on-dips behaviour, especially when price stabilizes above key technical support. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1923 – 1.1927 Support Zone: 1.1900 – 1.1904 Bullish Invalidation: Below 1.1898 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD is holding above a critical intraday support zone following a strong rebound. As long as price remains above 1.1898, the bias favours buying pullbacks, targeting a move back toward the upper resistance zone. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD Rejection From Supply or Launchpad for the Next Leg Up?EURUSD is sitting at one of those decision zones where structure and macro are about to pick a winner. Price pushed hard into higher-timeframe supply, rejected, and is now grinding inside a tightening structure while dollar and yield expectations stay data-dependent. From my side, this is not a “chase the middle” spot — it’s a location trade. Either we reclaim supply and squeeze higher, or we lose structure and rotate back toward deeper demand. The fundamentals right now actually make both paths realistic — which is exactly why the levels matter more than opinions. Current Bias Neutral short term, mildly bullish if resistance breaks cleanly Price is compressing after rejection from the upper supply zone. Structurally this looks like a decision range. Bias shifts bullish only on confirmed acceptance above the highlighted resistance band. Failure keeps downside rotation in play. Key Fundamental Drivers US side: Services PMI remains in expansion, but softer private payroll signals have slightly cooled aggressive USD strength expectations. Fed policy: Still restrictive, but in hold mode. Market is highly sensitive to inflation prints and labor data for timing of eventual cuts. Eurozone side: Inflation is easing but not fast enough for aggressive ECB easing. That keeps EUR from being structurally weak. Rate spread: Still USD-supportive overall, but not widening further right now — which reduces upside momentum for USD. Macro Context Interest rate expectations: Fed on hold with cuts expected later rather than sooner. ECB cautious on cuts due to sticky components of inflation. That narrows forward policy divergence slightly compared with prior months. Growth trends: US growth signals are mixed but still expansionary in services. Eurozone growth is slower but stabilizing in pockets rather than collapsing. Commodity flows: No strong commodity shock driving EUR directly. Oil firmness supports USD via inflation expectations more than it hurts EUR specifically. Geopolitical themes: Elevated geopolitical tension keeps safe-haven flows active at times, which tends to support USD on spikes but not always trend-sustainably. Primary Risk to the Trend The biggest risk to a bullish EURUSD break is a hot US inflation print that reprices Fed cuts later and pushes US yields higher. That would strengthen USD broadly and likely trigger rejection from resistance with continuation lower. On the flip side, a soft CPI would raise the odds of a topside break. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI (top priority) US payrolls / labor data follow-through ECB speaker guidance on rate path Those will decide whether rate spread expectations widen again toward USD — or compress toward EUR. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURUSD is a major leader pair. It often drives: Broad USD index direction EUR crosses like EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF It tends to lead sentiment shifts in FX before smaller USD pairs adjust. If EURUSD breaks higher, expect synchronized pressure in USD pairs like USD/CHF and USD/JPY. This is not a lagging pair — it’s a tone setter. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.1800–1.1780 structure support zone 1.1500–1.1480 major higher-timeframe demand (green zone on chart) Resistance Levels: 1.1900–1.1950 supply band 1.2050–1.2100 major upper resistance zone Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.1780 for bullish structure idea Or below 1.1480 for wider swing positioning Take Profit (TP): TP1: 1.1950 zone TP2: 1.2050–1.2100 zone Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD is in a decision range with a neutral short-term bias and a conditional bullish tilt if price can reclaim and hold above the 1.1900–1.1950 supply zone. The fundamental backdrop is balanced: Fed still restrictive but not tightening further, ECB cautious but not aggressively dovish. The main threat to upside is a hot US CPI that drives yields and USD higher. Key invalidation for the bullish structure sits below 1.1780, with deeper protection near 1.1480. Upside targets sit at 1.1950 first, then 1.2050–1.2100 if acceptance occurs. As a leader pair, whichever side EURUSD breaks will likely echo across the broader USD complex.
Short
by ultreosforex
EURUSD Building for the Next PushEURUSD is holding above its recent breakout area and continues to print higher lows on the 4H structure, showing that buyers remain in control despite short-term pauses. Each pullback is being absorbed quickly, which aligns with the projected continuation path marked on the chart. The current price behaviour suggests this is a controlled pause rather than distribution, with momentum rebuilding before the next extension. As long as this structure remains intact, the probability favours continuation in the dominant direction. Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
by WeTradeWAVES
EURUSD: Bullish-Neutral. Potential For Short Term Sells?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Feb. 9-13th. EURUSD broke out of the consolidation two weeks ago, only to quickly pullback into the range last week. This is not a great trading environment. Look for the short term bearishness to potentially continue into this week. Wait for the market to seek liquidity, and look to fade that move. NFP is Wed, and CPI is Friday. High impact potential, so be careful in these markets! Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
2
EUR/USD Calm Before the Next Big Move?The Euro’s setting up for what could be a textbook correction before the next drive up. The question now: does 1.14 hold… or do we break deeper? 👇 Here’s the simple map: 🔻 Correction zone: Price is cooling off toward 1.14. ⚡ If 1.14 holds, we could see a clean bounce and a new leg higher. ⚠️ If it breaks, then eyes on 1.12, 1.10, and in a worst-case dip, 1.08–1.07. So basically: 👉 Hold 1.14 = bounce potential 👉 Break 1.14 = deeper pullback ahead Momentum is slowing; this is where smart traders are patient, not panicked. If you’re watching EUR/USD and unsure where the best risk-to-reward setups might form, DM me; I’ll walk you through how I’m mapping my key levels and what I’m waiting for before jumping in. Mindbloome Exchange
Short
by Mindbloome-Trading
EURUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST | Q1 | W6 | Y26📅 Q1 | W6 | Y26 📊 EURUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST | 🔍 Analysis Approach I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on: • Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ • Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐 • Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 • Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅ This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price. 💡 My Motto “Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.” A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ On Losses Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed. We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section. Stay sharp 🧠 Stay consistent 🎯 Protect your capital 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 FX:EURUSD
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TICKMILL:EURUSD EUR/USD is facing strong selling pressure around the 1.1800–1.1810 resistance zone, where multiple rejection candles have formed. The pair failed to hold above the rising trendline, signalling a false breakout and momentum exhaustion. Price action remains capped below resistance, suggesting the recent rebound is corrective rather than impulsive. As long as EUR/USD stays below 1.1820, the short-term structure favours bearish continuation. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bearish) Entry Zone: 1.1802 – 1.1810 Stop Loss: 1.1815 Take Profit 1: 1.1750 Take Profit 2: 1.1740 Risk–Reward (R:R): Approximately 1 : 3.99 📌 Invalidation: This bearish setup is invalidated if price closes firmly above 1.1815. 🌐 Macro Background From a macro perspective, market sentiment remains cautious ahead of the ECB interest rate decision, supporting a defensive USD tone. Although stronger-than-expected German Factory Orders offered temporary support to the Euro, investors are reluctant to chase upside. Any dovish nuance or concern from the ECB regarding recent Euro strength could reinforce downside pressure on EUR/USD. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1802 – 1.1810 Support Zone: 1.1740 – 1.1750 Bearish Invalidation Level: Above 1.1815 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD remains technically weak below key resistance, with price action favouring a sell-on-rallies approach. Unless the pair reclaims and holds above 1.1820, the downside bias toward the 1.1750 support zone remains intact. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD 15M | Rising Channel Rejection → Short-Term PullbackMarket Structure Price is moving inside a rising channel, confirming a short-term bullish structure. Higher highs and higher lows were respected until price reached the upper channel + supply zone. 🔹 Resistance Zone (Sell Area) 1.18303 – 1.18459 This zone aligns with: Upper channel resistance Previous intraday supply Weak bullish momentum (signs of exhaustion) Price failed to break and rejected strongly, indicating sellers are active. 🔻 Rejection & Pullback Sharp bearish move from resistance suggests: Liquidity grab above highs Possible short-term trend correction Break below the minor bullish structure confirms bearish momentum shift on M15. 🎯 Target Zone 1.18133 – 1.18120 This area is: Mid / lower channel support Previous demand Logical profit-taking zone for shorts 🧠 Trade Bias Summary Bias: Short-term Bearish (Pullback) Sell from: 1.1830 – 1.1845 Targets: 1.1813 → 1.1812 Invalidation: Clean break & close above 1.1846 ⚠️ Notes Overall trend is still bullish, so this is a correction trade, not a trend reversal. Watch price reaction at target — strong bounce = potential continuation long.
Short
by Gold_Market_Mind
EUR/USD Mean Reversion Opportunity | Bearish Bias🎯 EUR/USD "THE FIBER" - BEARISH HEIST SETUP | Day Trade Alert 💰 📊 ASSET BREAKDOWN Pair: EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) - "The Fiber" 🌍💵 Market: Forex | Major Currency Pair Session Focus: European + US Overlap (High Liquidity Zone) Trade Style: Day Trade Setup - Bearish Bias 🐻📉 🎯 TRADE PLAN - THE HEIST BLUEPRINT 🔴 Entry Strategy Entry Zone: Any Current Price Level (Market Execution Preferred) Bias: Bearish Momentum Expected 🎁 Target Zone - "THE VAULT" TP Level: 1.17500 🏦💎 Reasoning: Moving Average acting as police barricade 🚧 = Strong Support + Oversold Conditions + Bull Trap Formation + Technical Correction Zone = Escape Route with Profits! 💸 ⚠️ Note for Thief OG's: This TP is MY level, not financial advice. You make YOUR money, you take YOUR money at YOUR risk. Your bag, your rules! 🎒✨ 🛑 Stop Loss - "THE EMERGENCY EXIT" SL Level: 1.18200 🚨 Thief's Insurance Policy - Protect your capital, protect your craft! ⚠️ Note for Thief OG's: This SL is MY safety net. Trade smart, not hard. Your risk tolerance = your decision. Don't let the market rob YOU! 🏃‍♂️💨 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH - THE CREW 👀 💵 USD Pairs (Dollar Strength Plays) GBP/USD (Cable) - Watch for USD strength confirmation USD/JPY (The Gopher) - Risk-on/Risk-off sentiment gauge USD/CHF (The Swissie) - Safe-haven flow indicator AUD/USD (The Aussie) - Commodity currency correlation NZD/USD (The Kiwi) - Risk appetite barometer 🌍 EUR Cross Pairs (Euro Weakness Plays) EUR/GBP - European currency dynamics EUR/JPY - Euro risk sentiment EUR/CHF - Regional strength comparison 📈 Key Correlation Points: DXY (US Dollar Index) ⬆️ = EUR/USD ⬇️ (Inverse correlation) If USD pairs rally together → Strong dollar environment = EUR/USD bearish ✅ If EUR crosses weaken → Euro weakness = Support for bearish setup ✅ 📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS - THE INTEL 🕵️‍♂️ 🇺🇸 US Economic Factors (USD Bullish Drivers) Federal Reserve Policy: Hawkish stance + higher-for-longer rates narrative 📈 US Economic Data: Strong employment data (NFP) + resilient GDP growth Inflation Watch: Core PCE, CPI data influencing Fed decisions Treasury Yields: Rising 10Y yields = USD demand ⬆️ 🇪🇺 Eurozone Economic Factors (EUR Bearish Risks) ECB Policy Divergence: Potential rate cut discussions vs Fed hawkishness Economic Growth: Sluggish German manufacturing + EU recession concerns Energy Prices: European energy dependency = economic headwind Political Uncertainty: EU fiscal policy debates 📅 UPCOMING NEWS TO WATCH ⏰ US NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) - Major USD volatility event FOMC Minutes/Speeches - Fed policy direction clues ECB Press Conference - Euro rate path guidance US CPI/PPI Reports - Inflation trajectory data EU PMI Data - Economic health indicators Retail Sales (US & EU) - Consumer strength metrics 🎲 Risk Events: Geopolitical tensions affecting EUR sentiment Central bank surprise announcements Energy market shocks impacting Eurozone 🎭 THIEF TRADER STYLE - MOTIVATION VAULT 💪 "The market doesn't reward the greedy; it rewards the patient thief who knows when to strike." 🦊💰 "Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered—but THIEVES? We take what the market gives and vanish into profit!" 🏃‍♂️💨✨ "Every trade is a heist. Plan your entry, execute flawlessly, and escape with the bag before the market knows you were there." 🎯🎒 "Stop losses aren't losses—they're the cost of doing business in the greatest casino on Earth. Protect your capital like it's the Crown Jewels!" 👑🛡️ "Technical analysis is your blueprint. Fundamentals are your intel. Risk management is your getaway car. NEVER forget the car!" 🚗💨 "In trading, like in heists: Amateurs focus on the prize. Professionals focus on the exit strategy." 🚪✅ "The best traders don't predict the future—they prepare for multiple scenarios and profit from ANY outcome." 🧠📊 ⚡ FINAL WORDS FROM THE THIEF 🎩 Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OG's, market ninjas, and chart wizards! This ain't financial advice—this is a treasure map 🗺️. Whether you follow it or forge your own path, remember: The market pays those who respect it and punishes those who don't. Set your alerts 🔔, manage your risk 🛡️, and may the pips be ever in your favor! 🍀💵 Stay sharp. Stay profitable. Stay legendary. 🔥👑 💬 Drop a 🚀 if you're riding this trade with me! Comment your TP level below! 👇 🔥 LIKE & FOLLOW for more Thief-Style setups that print! 💰📈
by The-Thief
FRGNT FAVE EURUSD — FRGNT DAILY FORECAST Q1 | D2 | W5 | Y26📅 Q1 | D2 | W5 | Y26 📊 EURUSD — FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on: • Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ • Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐 • Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 • Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅ This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price. 💡 My Motto “Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.” A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ On Losses Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed. We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section. Stay sharp 🧠 Stay consistent 🎯 Protect your capital 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TICKMILL:EURUSD EUR/USD is showing signs of short-term exhaustion after failing to sustain momentum above the 1.1955–1.1975 resistance zone. Price has started to rotate lower, suggesting that sellers are stepping in near the supply area following the recent rally. The structure favours a corrective downside move as long as price remains capped below resistance. The projected path indicates a minor pullback toward resistance for liquidity before a continuation lower toward the 1.1860–1.1845 support zone. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bearish Bias) Entry Zone: 1.1955 – 1.1975 Stop Loss: 1.2005 Take Profit 1: 1.1860 Take Profit 2: 1.1845 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 2.31 📌 Invalidation: A sustained break and close above 1.2000 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal renewed bullish strength. 🌐 Macro Background The US Dollar is attempting a modest recovery after hitting multi-year lows, creating short-term pressure on EUR/USD. Additionally, ECB officials have expressed concern about the Euro’s rapid appreciation, which could further limit upside momentum. With markets reassessing USD positioning and monitoring central bank signals, the near-term macro backdrop supports the possibility of a technical pullback rather than immediate continuation higher. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1955 – 1.1975 Support Zone: 1.1845 – 1.1860 Bearish Invalidation: Above 1.2000 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD is struggling to hold above a key resistance area after an extended rally. As long as price stays below 1.1975, the bias favors a sell-on-rallies approach, targeting a corrective decline toward the support band. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD— FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY !Q1 | W4 | D30 | Y26📅 Q1 | W4 | D30 | Y26 📊EURUSD— FRGNT DAILY CHART FORECAST FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY ! 🔍 Analysis Approach I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on: • Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ • Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐 • Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 • Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅ This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price. 💡 My Motto “Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.” A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ On Losses Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed. We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section. Stay sharp 🧠 Stay consistent 🎯 Protect your capital 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT