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Eurusdtrendanalysis

EUR/USD 4H Technical Analysis: Breakout Confirmation & Next MoveOn the 4-hour timeframe, EUR/USD has successfully broken out of a long-term descending trendline. After the breakout, the pair made a retest, confirming bullish continuation. Currently price is slightly correcting downward but still holding above key support zones. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights 📌 1. Breakout From Downtrend The downward sloping trendline has been broken. Price retested the breakout area — confirming valid breakout. 📌 2. Moving Averages (SMA Support) SMA (9) remains above SMA (20) — showing short-term bullish momentum. Current correction is holding around SMA (20), acting as support. 📌 3. Higher Lows Forming Since mid-November, price has been forming higher lows. This pattern supports bullish continuation. 📊 Important Price Levels Zone Type Price Immediate Support 1.1600 SMA Support Zone 1.1625 Major Support 1.1500 Immediate Resistance 1.1680 Major Resistance 1.1750 🧭 Market Sentiment Bias remains bullish as long as: EUR/USD trades above 1.1600 No strong candle closes below SMA (20) 🎯 Potential Future Scenarios 📈 Bullish Scenario If price bounces from 1.1625 and breaks 1.1680: ➡️ Next Target: 1.1750 📉 Bearish Scenario If price drops below 1.1600: ➡️ Next Downside Target: 1.1500 Outlook Summary Trend Direction Confidence Bullish Uptrend Medium–Strong Frequently Asked Questions Q1: Should traders look for buying opportunities? Yes — above 1.1600, but with bullish confirmation. Q2: Where is short (sell) opportunity? Below 1.1600 (strong candle close preferred). Q3: Was the breakout fake? No. The breakout and retest confirm validity. 📌 Final Thoughts EUR/USD remains technically bullish. The breakout structure is healthy, moving averages support the trend, and the market may aim for 1.1750 if 1.1680 breaks.
Long
by forexinworld
Is EUR/USD Preparing for a Deeper Bearish Continuation Move?EUR/USD BEARISH SWING 🐻 | Layer Entry "Thief" Strategy | MA Pullback Confirmation 🎯 TRADE SETUP: EUR/USD "The Fibre" - BEARISH SWING Hey Traders! 👋 Ready for a potential swing move? The Fibre is showing a classic bearish setup, and we're deploying a strategic entry to catch the wave. Let's break it down! ⬇️ 📉 MARKET BIAS & STRATEGY Bias: Strong Bearish Strategy: "Thief" Layer Entries + Moving Average Pullback & Trend Reversal The bearish structure is confirmed! Price is respecting key resistance and showing weakness after a pullback to the moving average. We're using a "Thief" style layer strategy to scale into the position optimally. 🎯 ⚙️ TRADE PLAN & EXECUTION 🎯 ENTRY (Thief Layer Method): We are not chasing price! We are placing multiple SELL LIMIT orders at key levels to get a favorable average entry. ✅ Layer 1 (Initial): 1.15800 ✅ Layer 2 (Add): 1.15600 ✅ Layer 3 (Add): 1.15400 💡 Pro Tip: You can increase or adjust these layers based on your capital and risk appetite. 🛑 STOP LOSS (Risk Management): A unified Stop Loss is set at 1.16000. ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY SL based on MY strategy. Dear Thief OG's 🦹‍♂️🦹‍♀️, you MUST adjust your SL based on your own risk tolerance and account size. Protect your capital! 💰 TAKE PROFIT TARGET: Our primary target is the strong support zone at 1.14300. This level aligns with: 📉 Strong Support 🩹 Oversold Conditions Potential Bull Trap 🔗 Positive Correlation Confirmation 🚨 Another Critical Note: Take profits based on YOUR plan! If you're in profit, feel free to escape early. Manage your own trade! 🔍 CORRELATION & PAIRS TO WATCH A move in EUR/USD doesn't happen in isolation. Keep these on your radar: TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): 🚨 KEY DRIVER! A stronger DXY = Bearish EUR/USD. Watch for bullish breaks in the DXY to confirm our bearish bias. GBP/USD ( FX:GBPUSD ): Often moves in correlation with EUR/USD. If Cable is also falling, it reinforces the USD strength narrative. USD/CHF ( OANDA:USDCHF ): Typically inverse to EUR/USD. A bullish USD/CHF supports our bearish EUR/USD outlook. EUR/GBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ): Watch for relative strength/weakness. If EUR/GBP is also falling, it confirms broad EUR weakness. 💎 FINAL WORDS This is a swing trade plan. Patience is key! 🗝️ If you found this idea helpful: 👍 Smash that LIKE button! 🔔 Follow me for more "Thief" strategies and clear setups! 💬 Comment below with your thoughts or questions! Let's get those pips! 🏴‍☠️ Happy Trading, and remember, the trend is your friend (until it ends)!
Short
by The-Thief
EURUSD: Dollar Strength Still In Charge, Euro Is The PassengerEURUSD , Looking at this with the chart not mentally flipped, the structure is clearly one of exhaustion on the euro side. We’ve got a series of lower swing highs against a dominant dollar backdrop, and price is grinding along support rather than impulsively breaking higher. Fundamentally this lines up with a market that still prefers USD carry and safety over a low-growth eurozone. Current Bias Bearish. On a non-inverted EURUSD chart, the dominant idea is USD strength: rallies are selling opportunities while price stays capped below recent highs and trend resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Fed vs ECB policy path Fed: Still on track for rate cuts, but at a measured pace, with Powell making it clear that the FOMC will react to data, not chase market pricing. That keeps US real yields relatively attractive and supports the dollar. ECB: Growth is softer, inflation is easing, and officials are signalling “policy in a good place” with strong data dependence. There is little appetite for a hawkish surprise, which leaves EUR without a clear policy advantage. Growth and labor dynamics US: Data points to a cooling but still resilient economy. Labor market is loosening, but not breaking. That combination justifies gradual easing rather than aggressive cuts. Eurozone: Sentiment and activity indicators are weak or only stabilising. Lower growth means the ECB cannot diverge hawkishly from the Fed for long without harming already-fragile demand. Risk and safe-haven flows In risk-off or “policy confusion” episodes, USD still benefits more than EUR. That underpins a downside bias in EURUSD when volatility picks up. Net: Fundamentals still favour USD over EUR, which on a standard chart is bearish EURUSD. Macro Context Rates: Market pricing has shifted toward fewer / slower Fed cuts than the most dovish scenarios. The ECB is also expected to cut, but the eurozone’s weaker growth gives it less room to signal anything hawkish. Rate differentials stay either neutral or mildly USD-supportive. Growth: US growth is moderating from strong levels, eurozone growth is stuck near stagnation. That relative story helps the dollar on a “least-ugly” basis. Geopolitics and trade: Trade tensions (US–China, EU–China, tariff talk) and geopolitical risk favour USD demand over EUR, because the dollar is still the primary global hedge. Put together, the macro picture argues against a sustained euro bull run and supports a sell-the-rally EURUSD regime. Primary Risk to the Bearish View The main risk is a sharp dovish pivot from the Fed driven by: A clear downside surprise in US labor or inflation data that forces the market to price a much faster and deeper rate-cut cycle. Any signal that the Fed is more willing to tolerate overshooting on inflation to protect growth and employment. That type of shift would knock US yields lower, hurt the dollar, and could squeeze EURUSD sharply higher, invalidating the downside structure. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US: CPI, PCE, NFP, and Powell/Fed speeches – anything that changes the timing or depth of 2026 rate cuts. Eurozone: Inflation prints and ECB communication; not because they are likely to be hawkish, but because any hint of “less dovish than feared” could temporarily lift EUR. For direction, though, the USD leg is still more important than the EUR leg. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURUSD is a lagger, not a leader. It tends to follow DXY and US yields, rather than set the tone. When DXY strengthens on higher US yields or risk aversion, EURUSD typically moves lower. Crosses like EURJPY, EURGBP, and risk sentiment via US indices often move first and EURUSD confirms. So for timing, I’d look at DXY, US10Y, and broader risk sentiment, then use EURUSD to express the USD view. Key Levels Support Levels (bearish targets): 1.1500–1.1520: local support and mid-channel area. 1.1400: key structural support; break here opens the door to deeper downside. Resistance Levels (sell zones): 1.1700–1.1750: recent swing highs and clear horizontal resistance. 1.1800–1.1850: major supply zone and invalidation area for the medium-term bearish bias. Stop Loss (SL) for a bearish swing idea: Above 1.1850 on a daily close, which would signal that the current USD-strength narrative has been materially challenged. Take Profit (TP) for a bearish swing idea: First TP around 1.1500, Second TP extension toward 1.1400 if US data stays solid and the dollar bid persists. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints Re-reading this with the chart correctly interpreted, EURUSD is fundamentally and technically bearish, not bullish. The story is still one of relative USD strength: a Fed that cuts, but slowly, versus an ECB constrained by weak growth and little scope to lean hawkish. That leaves rallies toward 1.17–1.18 as potential selling opportunities, with the bearish structure only really invalidated if price closes convincingly above that 1.18–1.1850 zone. On the downside, I’d watch how price behaves around 1.15 first and 1.14 second. Strong US data and firm yields could push us there; a sudden dovish Fed pivot is the main risk that would blow this view up and squeeze EURUSD higher instead. Until that happens, I’m treating EURUSD as a lagger that confirms the broader dollar story, not a pair that sets it.
Short
by ultreosforex
EUR/USD: Momentum Break or Wave (4) – Prepare for a ReversalEUR/USD: Momentum Break or Wave (4) – Prepare for a Reversal 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bearish scenario (correction): Price breaks support at ~1.1650 → wave (4) develops → possible decline to ~1.1550–1.1530. Sideways scenario: The pair consolidates between ~1.1650 and ~1.1800, accumulating energy for the next trend. Bullish scenario (momentum): EUR/USD holds support at ~1.1650 and breaks above ~1.1800 → wave (5) begins → target ~1.1900 and above. ✅ Conclusion On the weekly timeframe, EUR/USD is at a key point for choosing a scenario: Holding support at ~1.1650 and breaking resistance at ~1.1800 could trigger a new upward momentum. A breakout below ~1.1650 signals a deeper correction by wave (4). It's important to monitor the wave structure and price reaction at these levels before entering a position.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
2
EUR/USD Bearish Setup – Liquidity Zone or Last Stand for Bulls?💼 EUR/USD “FIBRE” – Metals Market Profit Playbook (Swing / Day Trade) Plan: 🐻 Bearish Setup EUR/USD (aka “The Fibre”) is stepping into a profit ambush zone! Price currently approaching a liquidity trap region, where sellers have quietly stacked their orders like it’s a secret vault raid. 📉 Technical Breakdown: Price tapping into Police Barricade Resistance Zone @ 1.1500 🧱 Market showing overbought conditions with divergence signals flashing red 🚨 Strong supply block + liquidity trap = high probability rejection zone Momentum losing steam — bears could reload for another downside sweep 💣 🎯 Target: 1.1500 zone (expected rejection region) 🧨 This area is where the “Police Barricade” holds strong — better take your profits before the market cuffs your gains. 💣 Stop-Loss (Thief’s personal SL): 1.1650 ⚠️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending to copy my SL — it’s just my personal risk plan. You can trade your own story, make your own money, and take your profits responsibly. 🧩 Related Market Correlations to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated pairs — they often move in sync or opposite flow with EUR/USD: 💵 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) → Inverse correlation; if DXY rises, EUR/USD usually dips. 💷 FX:GBPUSD (“Cable”) → Tends to follow similar directional flow with EUR/USD. 💴 FX:USDJPY (“Ninja”) → Watch for dollar strength confirmation. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) → Dollar sentiment can reflect through gold momentum. 📊 These pairs give confirmation clues — when the dollar flexes, the Fibre usually folds. 💬 Final Words from Thief OG This analysis isn’t a financial signal — it’s my Thief-style trading playbook, crafted for entertainment and education only. Trade smart, respect your risk, and remember — every profit is a successful heist only if you exit before the market catches you. 😎💰 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy just for fun and educational insights only. Not financial advice. #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #SwingTrade #DayTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #DXY #Fibre #ForexCommunity #TradingView #BearishSetup #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityTrap #SupplyDemand #FXStrategy
Short
by The-Thief
EURUSD Trade: Anticipating a Pullback Before the Next Leg Down💹 EURUSD Analysis & Outlook I'm currently watching the EURUSD, and the broader structure tells a clear story 📉. On the higher timeframe (weekly chart), the pair remains firmly in a bearish trend, signaling that institutional capital is positioned short — big money continues to lean on the downside. On the lower timeframe, we can identify a clean three-drive structure, where price has already traded down into previous external range liquidity 🏦. From a technical perspective, it makes sense to anticipate a reaction off this level, leading to a retracement back toward the previous 4-hour order block and potentially into the VWAP zone ⚖️. Should this reaction materialize, I’ll be eyeing that retrace area as my point of interest (POI) for a potential short setup 🎯. However, if price fails to pull back as expected, I’ll stand aside and invalidate this trade idea — discipline over bias always. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis shared here is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence before trading.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/USD – Price Action Triggers Bearish Opportunity🚀 EUR/USD “FIBRE” Metals Market Profit Playbook 🪓 (Day-Trade Setup) 🧠 Market Overview Rob the Market here — diving into EUR/USD (“FIBRE”) with a bearish day-trade plan. The 200 SMA is rejecting bull riders, and a SMA 786 breakout just slashed through dynamic support — giving us the green light for a downside play. This setup runs on my signature “Thief Layered Strategy” — a professional-style, multi-entry approach that adds precision, reduces exposure, and keeps emotions cool. 💣 Trade Plan Bias: Bearish ✅ Technical Confirmation: • 200 SMA acting as key resistance — bulls got denied hard. • SMA 786 breakout confirms bearish pressure. • Dynamic support line flipped to resistance — trend favoring shorts. 🎯 Thief Layered Entry Strategy 💼 Instead of dumping one big order, this method spreads multiple sell-limit entries to scale in smartly as price develops. 💡 Why Layered Entries? • Avoids premature entries in volatile moves. • Smooths your average entry price for better R:R. • Lets you add positions only when the market confirms your bias. • Keeps the mind calm and the account safe — stealth moves only 😎 🔥 Example Layer Levels (Sell Limits): First layer ➤ 1.16400 — initial resistance test zone. Second layer ➤ 1.16200 — confirms rejection from 200 SMA. Third layer ➤ 1.16000 — mid-zone entry, balanced risk. Fourth layer ➤ 1.15800 — deep retrace trap entry, sniper fill zone. 🧠 Pro Tip: Adjust or add more layers depending on volatility and position size comfort. The Thief never rushes — he scales with patience. 🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief SL) 🔒 1.16800 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s): This is my thief-style stop, not a fixed rule. Trade at your own risk — protect your loot before you rob the market! 🏦💨 💰 Target Zone (Thief TP) 🎯 1.14500 — major support zone + oversold levels + liquidity trap potential. Perfect spot to escape with profits before the crowd catches on. Again — this TP is flexible. The Thief exits quietly when the bag is full. 🤑 🔗 Related Pairs & Correlations to Watch Keep your thief’s radar open for USD movement across majors: • OANDA:USDCHF – Usually mirrors EUR/USD in reverse. • FX:GBPUSD – Helps confirm overall USD strength or weakness. • OANDA:EURGBP – Reveals EUR’s independent strength. • TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) – Strong DXY usually drags EUR/USD lower. 🔍 Key Points to Monitor • Will the 200 SMA hold as resistance? • Does the SMA 786 breakout retest fail or bounce? • Volume + momentum alignment near entry layers. • Any macroeconomic event shaking USD or EUR sentiment. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #EURUSD #Forex #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #BearishSetup #LayeredEntries #SmartMoney #ForexCommunity #TradingViewIdeas #MetalsMarket #PriceAction
Short
by The-Thief
Can EUR/USD Continue Lower? MA Breakout Signals Weakness📊 EUR/USD "The Fiber" - Bearish Breakout Setup | Thief's Layer Entry Strategy 🎯 🔍 Market Overview Asset: EUR/USD (The Fiber) Market: Forex Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Bias: 🐻 BEARISH CONFIRMED 📉 Technical Analysis The Euro has shown bearish momentum with a confirmed moving average breakout to the downside. This technical signal suggests potential continuation of the downtrend as sellers maintain control. The setup presents a structured approach for traders looking to capitalize on this bearish pressure. 🎯 The "Thief Strategy" - Layered Entry Approach 💡 What's the Thief Strategy? This method uses multiple sell limit orders (layering technique) to scale into positions after confirmation. Think of it as setting multiple traps at key levels rather than going all-in at once! 📍 Entry Levels (Sell Limit Layers): ⚠️ CRITICAL: Only set these limit orders AFTER the breakout is confirmed. Don't jump the gun! Layer 1: 1.16200 Layer 2: 1.16000 Layer 3: 1.15800 Layer 4: 1.15600 Note: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and account size 🛑 Stop Loss: Thief's SL: 1.16600 ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is my stop loss level, but YOU are the captain of your own ship! Set your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance and account management rules. Trade at your own risk, legends! 🎯 Take Profit Target: Primary TP: 1.14400 Why this level? ✅ Strong historical support zone ✅ Oversold conditions likely ✅ Potential bull trap area 💰 Smart Money Move: Consider taking partial profits along the way and secure your gains before the target. Don't be greedy, be strategic! ⚠️ Profit Disclaimer: This is my target, but remember - YOU decide when to take YOUR money off the table. Manage your trades actively! 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Play) Keep an eye on these correlated pairs for confluence: GBP/USD (Cable) - Often moves in tandem with EUR/USD; bearish EUR typically means bearish GBP DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; strong DXY = weak EUR/USD EUR/GBP - Cross pair that shows relative Euro strength/weakness XAU/USD (Gold) - Risk-off asset; if EUR falls alongside gold, confirms broader USD strength 🇺🇸 Key Point: This setup assumes USD strength. Watch Federal Reserve commentary and US economic data for catalysts that could accelerate or reverse this move. ⚙️ Trade Management Tips ✅ Wait for confirmation before setting limit orders ✅ Scale in using the layer strategy - don't use full position size on one entry ✅ Move SL to breakeven after Layer 2-3 fills ✅ Take partial profits at psychological levels (1.15000, 1.14500) ✅ Monitor DXY and US data for trend continuation signals 📊 Risk-Reward Profile With proper layering and stops: Potential Risk: ~40-60 pips (depending on entry) Potential Reward: ~160-180 pips to target R:R Ratio: Approximately 1:3+ 🎯 🎭 The Thief's Final Word This is a strategic layered approach designed for traders who prefer calculated entries over gambling. The market is a game of probabilities, not certainties. Stay sharp, manage your risk, and remember - preserve capital first, make profits second! Happy hunting, Thief OG's! 🏴‍☠️💰 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis represents the "Thief Style" trading strategy and is shared for educational and entertainment purposes only. This is NOT financial advice. Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research, use proper risk management, and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. #EURUSD #Forex #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TheFiber #BearishBreakout #LayerEntry #ForexStrategy #ForexSignals #TradingView #ForexAnalysis #USD #CurrencyTrading #ForexSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #ForexCommunity
Short
by The-Thief
2
#EURUSD (H4 & D1) – Trend Retest and Potential Wave 3 Formation#EURUSD (H4 & D1) – Trend Retest and Potential Wave 3 Formation Current price: 1.1631 The euro is showing signs of a bullish continuation, with price testing the trendline support on H4 and setting up for a potential third-wave expansion. The same impulse structure is visible on the daily chart, suggesting multi-timeframe alignment. 🧩 Technical Overview (H4) • Price successfully retested the ascending trendline, confirming short-term structural support near 1.1580–1.1600. • The current recovery move is developing into a third impulsive leg after completing a corrective pullback. • The structure remains bullish as long as the market stays above the previous swing low. 📈 Scenario • Stop-loss: below the prior swing low at 1.1579 (wave 1 base). • Upside objectives: – 1.1755–1.1765 — first confirmation zone – 1.1840–1.1850 — key extension target (1.618 Fib projection) – 1.1910–1.1920 — extended cycle target (2.0 projection) – 1.2020 — potential completion of wave sequence • A breakout above 1.1650–1.1670 would confirm the start of the next bullish leg. ⚙️ Market Context (D1) • On the daily timeframe, price is forming a larger potential wave 3, aligning with the bullish H4 impulse. • The broader trendline from mid-summer lows continues to hold as structural support. • The setup reflects early signs of euro strength amid easing USD momentum. 🧭 Summary EUR/USD remains in a constructive technical position, consolidating before a potential impulsive breakout. • While above 1.1579, bias stays bullish, targeting 1.1755 → 1.1845 → 1.1915. • A close above 1.1650 would confirm bullish acceleration, while a drop below 1.1579 would invalidate the setup.
Long
by NewOneCrypto
EURUSD FRGNT FORECAST - Q4 | W44 Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD: Wave (5) or a bull trap?EUR/USD: Wave (5) or a bull trap? 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bullish scenario: EUR/USD holds the ~1.1540 level, breaks through ~1.1727 → wave (5) to ~1.1917 is initiated. Consolidation: movement in the ~1.1540–1.1727 range without a clear breakout → waiting for a signal. Bearish scenario: breakout below ~1.1540 with volume confirmation → correction to ~1.1390 ​​and the beginning of a downward A-B-C structure. ✅ Conclusion Neutral-bullish sentiment dominates for the EUR/USD pair over the coming week, with a bias toward growth if key conditions are met. Holding support at ~1.1540 is important to maintain bullish sentiment. A breakout of resistance at ~1.1727 is a signal for growth. A breakout of support at ~1.1540 signals a correction and a possible decline to ~1.1390.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EUR/USD Bullish Roadmap — Resistance, Risk, and Reward Levels😂 EUR/USD: The Great "Thief" Wealth Heist Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🤑💸 🎯 Asset: EUR/USD - The Euro vs. U.S. Dollar Forex Fiesta! 📈 Strategy: Swing/Day Trade with a Thief-Style Bullish Plan 🚨 The Master Plan: Bullish Bandit Breakout! ✅ Bullish Confirmation: We’re riding the bullish wave with a pullback to the Kijun-Sen (Ichimoku Cloud’s trusty moving average) for confirmation. This is our signal to jump into the heist! 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: The Kijun-Sen pullback signals strength, so keep your eyes peeled for price action aligning with this level to confirm the trend. 🕵️‍♂️ Entry: The "Thief" Layered Limit Order Ambush 💡 Thief Strategy: We’re setting up a sneaky layered limit order approach to maximize our entries. Stack those buy limit orders like a pro! 📍 Buy Limit Layers: 1.16800 1.17000 1.17200 1.17400 ⚙️ Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite — the more, the merrier (but stay sharp, thieves!). 🎯 Entry Flexibility: You can enter at any price level within this range, but layering ensures you’re grabbing the best deals in this volatile market. 🛑 Stop Loss: The Thief’s Escape Plan 🔐 Stop Loss: Set at 1.16600 to keep your capital safe from the market’s sneaky traps. ⚠️ Note: Dear Thief OG’s (Ladies & Gentlemen), this is my suggested stop loss, but it’s your heist! Adjust based on your risk tolerance and take the money at your own risk. 🎯 Target: Dodging the Police Barricade Trap! 🚨 Take Profit Target: Aim for 1.18700, where a strong resistance zone (aka the "Police Barricade") awaits, combined with an overbought signal and a potential trap for the unprepared. 💥 Why This Level?: Historical resistance + overbought conditions = a perfect spot to cash out before the market pulls a fast one! ⚠️ Note: Dear Thief OG’s, this is my suggested take-profit, but you’re the boss of your loot. Secure profits at your own discretion and escape with the bag! 💰 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Kings) To make this heist a success, keep an eye on these correlated forex pairs (all in USD): FX:USDJPY : The yen often moves inversely to EUR/USD. If USD/JPY is dropping, it could signal USD weakness, boosting our bullish EUR/USD plan. FX:GBPUSD : The pound and euro often dance together. A bullish GBP/USD could reinforce our EUR/USD setup. OANDA:USDCHF : Another inverse mover. A falling USD/CHF could confirm USD weakness, supporting our bullish bias. Key Correlation Insight: Watch for USD strength/weakness across these pairs to validate our EURUSD breakout. If the USD is weakening broadly, our bullish heist is more likely to succeed! 🧠 Key Points for the Heist 📊 Technical Confirmation: The Kijun-Sen pullback is our green light for the bullish trend. 🕵️‍♂️ Layered Entries: Use multiple buy limit orders to catch the best entries and spread risk. 🚨 Risk Management: Stick to your stop loss and take-profit levels, but adjust based on your trading style. 👀 Market Traps: Watch out for the resistance at 1.18700 — don’t get caught by the overbought trap! 🔗 Correlation Check: Monitor USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF for broader market context. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This Thief-Style trading strategy is just for fun and entertainment purposes. Trading involves risks, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions. #️⃣ #EURUSD #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #KijunSen #ForexHeist
Long
by The-Thief
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure EUR/USD has extended its downside move toward 1.1630, facing persistent selling pressure as the USD strengthens. The pair is consolidating below the 1.1648–1.1653 resistance zone, which now acts as a strong supply barrier. If sellers maintain control, the next bearish target is the 1.1550–1.1545 support zone. Trendline momentum favours downside continuation unless the pair reclaims 1.1670 on a closing basis. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.1648–1.1654 (retest of resistance) Stop Loss: 1.1666 Take Profit 1: 1.1580 Take Profit 2: 1.1545 R:R: ≈ 1 : 5.77 🌍 Macro Background The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades near 98.70, supported by optimism that the US government shutdown could end this week. White House adviser Hassett said he expects resolution soon, boosting risk sentiment and the USD. At the same time, expectations for a possible US-China consensus at the APEC meeting later this month add to the Greenback’s strength. On the Euro side, investors await ECB President Lagarde’s speech later today. Markets look for guidance on how long rates will remain at current levels and the potential impact of the Russian gas import ban on inflation. While the Euro holds up better against some peers, against the USD it remains pressured by rate divergence and relative growth weakness. 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Resistance: 1.1650 / 1.1670 Support: 1.1580 / 1.1550 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD remains bearish below 1.1650. A rejection in this zone offers an attractive short opportunity targeting 1.1550–1.1545. Upside is capped unless bulls reclaim 1.1670. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
EUR/USD Outlook | 30M-4H Structure📉 EUR/USD Outlook | 30M-4H Structure 📈 Currently, EUR/USD is caught in a critical battle between Bearish FVG (4H) and Bullish FVG (4H) zones, with price testing a major 4H resistance level at 1.16482. 🔻 Potential Short-Term Bearish Scenario: The price is approaching a Bearish FVG, suggesting possible rejection at this level. A retest of support near 1.1600 could provide an opportunity for a short position targeting 1.15470. 🔺 Bullish Bias Watch: If EUR/USD breaks 1.16482 resistance decisively, we could see a potential bullish continuation toward higher targets, breaking past the Bearish FVG zone with momentum. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance 4H: 1.16482 Bullish FVG 4H Support: 1.16000 Bearish FVG Target Zone: 1.15470 SSL Zones: Areas of potential liquidity that could dictate short-term direction 💡 Keep an eye on liquidity zones and structure breaks for the most reliable setups. Follow me for more. Greetings, MrYounity
Long
by MrYounity
1
EUR/USD Falls to Two-Month LowEUR/USD Falls to Two-Month Low As shown on the EUR/USD chart today, the euro has dropped below 1.1550 against the US dollar — its lowest level since early August. The main driver of pressure on the single currency remains the political crisis in France: President Emmanuel Macron is currently seeking a candidate for the position of prime minister. The situation is complicated by the fact that: → the government needs to quickly approve a rather tight budget reflecting the country’s significant deficit; → media reports highlight unrest in the streets; → financial market turbulence is intensifying amid uncertainty surrounding the ongoing US government shutdown. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart On 6 October, we noted that: → fluctuations in EUR/USD over recent months had formed an upward channel (shown in blue); → we highlighted a break below line S; → and suggested that a bearish break below 1.16600 would pave the way for a decline towards key support at 1.14500. Indeed, following the break of 1.16600, the downtrend continued. How might the situation develop from here? To explore this, we extended the ascending channel and proposed a hypothesis that in mid-September, the price entered a supply zone (marked in purple) above the previous peak near 1.1790 and the psychological level of 1.1800. In other words, smart money appeared to be forming short positions, as described by the Liquidity Sweep pattern. Since then, the market has been moving in search of liquidity on the opposite side. On the EUR/USD chart, we have identified a potential demand zone around key levels: → the lower boundary of the blue channel; → the 1.1530 level, where buyers’ stop-losses may be located; → and the mentioned support at 1.14500. From a bearish perspective: → the market is moving within a descending channel (shown in red); → resistance may be provided by both its median line and the former local support at 1.1600. In light of the above: → in the short term, the market remains bearish; → in the medium term, bearish pressure may ease, and EUR/USD could begin to consolidate. Whether this scenario unfolds — and in what configuration — will largely depend on the news flow and political developments in both the US and France. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup (EUR/USD)📊 Technical Structure CMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD is trading near 1.1616, struggling to recover after breaking below the short-term trendline. Price action shows rejection from the 1.1636–1.1647 resistance zone, while downside momentum is supported by a descending channel structure. Sellers remain in control unless bulls reclaim resistance. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.1636 – 1.1647 (Resistance Rejection Zone) Stop Loss: 1.1652 Take Profit 1: 1.1583 Take Profit 2: 1.1571 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~1 : 4.12 🗝 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1636 – 1.1647 Support Zone: 1.1571 – 1.1583 Current Price: 1.1616 🌍 Macro Background Markets are increasingly concerned with G10 government debt sustainability, particularly France, the UK, and the US. The US Congressional Budget Office estimates the deficit at $1.8 trillion, while weak economic data continues to raise expectations for more Fed rate cuts this year. However, political instability in Europe (e.g., French government crisis) is keeping pressure on the euro. A cautious ECB stance, alongside market fears of fiscal slippage, may limit EUR/USD upside. 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD remains bearish below 1.1647 resistance. A rejection in this area could extend the decline toward 1.1571 support, in line with debt concerns and risk-off flows supporting USD. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD Daily Chart Breakdown/Outlook Buy Side Liquidity (LQ) was taken earlier → institutions hunt these highs before shifting direction. 2️⃣ After clearing liquidity, price left behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Notice how price retraced right into that imbalance zone (highlighted area). This is where smart traders look for entries, not where retail is chasing. 3️⃣ From there, the market rejected the FVG and is now pushing lower. Targets? Look below — those equal lows and marked downside liquidity are magnets. 👉 The lesson: The market moves from liquidity to liquidity, offering fair value only in between. Once you identify which side of liquidity has been cleared, the directional bias becomes clearer. 💡 Key Takeaway: Don’t just chase candles. Track liquidity, imbalances, and structure — that’s where the real edge is.
Short
by komepips
EUR/USD Pulls Back After Rejection — What’s Next?Hi Everyone, The break above 1.17889 provided the impetus for EUR/USD to push into our marked 1.18350–1.19290 zone. However, price failed to sustain those gains, leading to a marked decline back toward 1.17889. A subsequent break below, followed by a failed retest, saw the pair extend lower into the 1.16550 support level. Looking ahead, we anticipate a brief relief rally toward 1.17500 before a potential break below 1.16550, opening the way for a move into the 1.15721 level where fresh buying interest may emerge. While there is scope for a deeper correction toward 1.14041, our immediate focus remains on 1.15721 as the key level to watch. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our broader bullish outlook on EUR/USD. We expect the pair to retest support and reinforce it as a base for the next leg higher, with upside targets remaining at the 1.19290 zone and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels. We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Potential Long EntryPrior Trend: The price action from September 16th to around September 22nd shows a period of upward movement followed by a sharp drop. Channel/Pattern: A downward-sloping channel (sometimes called a parallel channel or a descending channel) has been drawn, indicating that the price has been consolidating and moving lower within a defined range since the major drop around September 22nd. This suggests a short-term bearish (downward) trend or a correction within a larger trend. The Proposed Trade Setup (Long Position) The rectangular box and lines drawn on the right represent a specific trade plan, likely a long (buy) entry based on a technical reversal or a break of the channel. Element Price Level (Approx.) Interpretation Entry (Yellow Box) 1.16257 to 1.16489 This is the proposed buy zone. It suggests entering a long trade if the price either pulls back into this area or stabilizes here. Stop Loss (Red Line/Box) 1.16259 (or just below 1.16257) This is the maximum loss limit. If the price falls to this level, the trade would be closed to prevent further losses. This stop loss is placed very close to the entry, indicating a high-risk/high-reward or aggressive setup. Take Profit (Upper Black/Yellow Line) 1.18553 to 1.18560 This is the target price. The goal is for the price to reach this level, which would be a significant move back toward the highs seen mid-September. Export to Sheets Technical Interpretation of the Setup Potential Reversal Signal: The price has recently broken the upper boundary of the descending channel (seen with the small red and green candles on the 26th and 27th). The dashed white line inside the channel may represent the channel's midpoint, and the price is now moving above the lower half. Trade Idea: The small red/purple lines drawn near the current price suggest a possible short-term pullback back into the buy zone (1.16257−1.16489) before a major move upward (the large red line). This is a common strategy: wait for a retest of a broken resistance (the channel top, which now acts as support) before entering. Risk/Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss is very small compared to the distance to the take profit. Risk: ≈23 pips (1.16489−1.16259). Reward: ≈206 pips (1.18553−1.16489). This gives a very attractive Risk/Reward Ratio of over 8:1 (Reward / Risk), which is excellent if the trade works out. Key Considerations Aggressive Stop Loss: The stop loss is extremely tight. A small fluctuation or "noise" in the market could trigger the stop loss, leading to a loss even if the price eventually moves up toward the target. Target: The Take Profit target at ∼1.18560 is quite ambitious and represents a complete retracement of the recent sell-off. For this target to be reached, a significant shift in market sentiment or a major fundamental driver (like a news announcement) would likely be required. Trend Confirmation: For this trade to be successful, the price needs to confirm that the downward channel is definitively broken and that a new upward trend is beginning. In summary, the chart outlines a high-conviction, high-risk/high-reward long trade based on a potential breakout and reversal from a short-term descending channel.
Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING