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EUR/USD Falls Amid Rapidly Changing News FlowEUR/USD Falls Amid Rapidly Changing News Flow There was important news yesterday. According to Forex Factory: → The ECB kept its main refinancing rate at 2.15% (as expected). → US data indicated a rise in inflation – albeit a moderate one. On a year-on-year basis, the CPI increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, in line with analysts’ expectations. At the same time, all incoming news is being assessed by traders in light of the forthcoming Federal Reserve decision – according to media reports, yesterday’s data did not have a significant impact on market sentiment, and a 25-basis-point rate cut is still expected. EUR/USD market movements suggest a balance, although some bearish signs are emerging. EUR/USD Technical Analysis Using key highs and lows, we can draw an ascending channel (highlighted in blue) that began in August. From a bearish perspective: → The 1.17400 level has regained its role as resistance. → The steep upward trend from early September (shown in orange) was broken by bears around 1.17525. Therefore, the 1.17400–1.17525 zone appears to act as a resistance area, which is already influencing the price: → Last night, EUR/USD’s rise was halted within this zone. → Today, a move above 1.17400 led to a sharp downward reversal. Overall, this behaviour has formed a bearish double top pattern. From a bullish perspective: → Yesterday, the price formed a long lower shadow (indicated by the arrow). → During the subsequent rise, the strength of buyers was confirmed. A bullish Fair Value Gap pattern might form, and this area (where buyers and sellers create an imbalance) might act as support. However, if the bears continue to assert their emerging dominance, the FVG area could be broken, in which case it may then act as resistance. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Set to Explode Higher if 1.1719 Resistance Falls📊 Technical Structure EUR/USD found strong rejection around the 1.1690 support zone, with buyers stepping back in. The pair is now testing the 1.1708–1.1711 minor resistance, which is the key pivot. A breakout above this level would validate the bullish setup and open the path toward the 1.1740–1.1750 resistance zone. However, a failure here would invalidate the setup and risk a retest of support. 📈 Trade Setup Entry: Buy above 1.1708–1.1711 on breakout confirmation Stop Loss: 1.1706 (below support zone) Take Profit: 1.1745 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~1 : 7.35 🌍 Macro Background The euro remains pressured near 1.1700 as the US Dollar gains ground despite increasing Fed rate cut bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls Benchmark Revision showed employment will likely be revised down by 911,000, highlighting a weaker labour market. This raises expectations of a Fed rate cut next week, with markets pricing in a 93% chance of a 25bps cut. Meanwhile, the ECB is expected to hold rates steady for the second consecutive meeting on Thursday, maintaining policy divergence. Political uncertainty in France and heightened NATO tensions add to volatility. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 1.1719 / 1.1745 Support: 1.1711 / 1.1690 📌 Trade Summary Bias remains bullish above 1.1700 support, with confirmation required on a clean breakout above 1.1719 minor resistance. Upside target sits near 1.1745, but failure to hold 1.1700 would invalidate the setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD – Market Outlook 🔼 Bullish Scenario: • If price holds above 1.1735, the bullish momentum will continue. • Next target: 1.1810 (bullish zone objective). 🔽 Bearish Scenario: • If price falls and stabilizes below 1.1735, the trend will shift bearish. • First target: 1.1710 (support level). • If 1.1710 breaks and the price closes below it, then the bearish trend will extend further (full downside continuation). 📊 EURUSD – Trading Signal 🔔 Entry: • Above 1.1735 🎯 Target (TP): • 1.1810 🛡️ Stop Loss (SL): • Below 1.1710 📌 Note: If the price stays above 1.1735, you can consider a Buy position aiming for 1.1810.
Long
by EvarMayi
EURUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D9 | Y25 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 OANDA:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD - Recovery Gains TractionHi Everyone, As expected, EUR/USD pushed higher last week, and we continue to anticipate an attempt toward the 1.17889 resistance; ideally with a test early in the week. The 1.15880–1.16180 zone has now established itself as support, providing a base for further entries with the upside target in focus. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on EUR/USD. Our broader view remains unchanged: we expect the pair to continue building momentum for another leg to the upside. A decisive break above 1.17889 would open the path toward the 1.18350–1.19290 zone, and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels. We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD – Critical Zone AheadBack on June 29, I shared a buy idea on EURUSD (tagged below this post). Due to a busy schedule, I couldn't post an update—but as you can see, price reacted to my marked zone, did a quick stop-hunt, and moved up strongly. Now, the current zone marked on the chart is a potential short area, but again—we don’t tell the market what to do. We follow it. 📌 If the level breaks upward, we’ll wait for a pullback to go long. If a valid short signal shows up, we’ll go short. 🔁 Anything can happen—this is why I always remind traders: Don’t stand in front of the market. Those who do… often end up like sardines eaten by the whales 🐋—liquidated and out of capital. Let the market choose the direction, and we simply follow. 📈 Stay flexible. Stay humble. Stay profitable.
by ForexCSP
UPDATE - EUR/USD Holding Support, Upside Still on the CardsHi Everyone, A quick update on the idea shared earlier this week — we’re still looking for the Fiber to attempt a move toward the 1.17889 resistance. Yesterday’s dip found support between the 1.15880–1.16180 zone, which could provide the base for another push toward the upside target. That said, a deeper retracement toward the 1.15200 zone may still be required to attract fresh buying interest and cannot be ruled out. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to reinforce our bullish outlook on EUR/USD. Our broader view remains unchanged: we expect the pair to continue building momentum for another leg to the upside. A decisive break above 1.17889 would open the path toward the 1.18350–1.19290 zone, and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels. We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
4H Chart | Price Action, Trendline & RSI Signals📉 Pair: EUR/USD ⏱ Timeframe: 4 Hours 💹 Current Price: 1.16312 Technical Overview The EUR/USD pair is currently trading near 1.16312, showing bearish pressure after failing to hold above the 1.1650 zone. The price has been respecting a downward trendline, which has acted as dynamic resistance on multiple occasions. A recent Zig Zag indicator setup highlights the swing highs and lows, confirming the presence of a descending pattern. Until the price breaks and sustains above this trendline, the bearish outlook remains intact. Key Levels Resistance: 1.1700 – 1.1750 Support: 1.1600 – 1.1520 RSI Indicator (14) The RSI is currently hovering around the 40–45 range, suggesting mild bearish momentum but not yet oversold. A dip below 30 could indicate an oversold condition and potential for reversal. Price Action Insights A break below 1.1600 could open doors for further downside toward 1.1520. On the upside, a clean break and retest above 1.1700 would invalidate the bearish structure and favor bulls. Trading Plan Bearish Scenario: Look for sell opportunities below 1.1650 with targets near 1.1600 and 1.1520. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 1.1700 may offer buy setups toward 1.1750 and 1.1800. 📊 Risk Management: Always use proper stop-loss and position sizing to manage risk effectively. 💬 What’s your bias on EUR/USD? Are you expecting a breakdown or reversal from here? Drop your analysis in the comments!
Short
by forexinworld
Deeper Pullback or Renewed Push? EUR/USD at a Critical JunctureHi Everyone, As highlighted in our previous idea, we anticipated a pullback toward the 1.16550 area before renewed interest around the 1.17889 level. However, price extended into a deeper retracement, revisiting the 1.15800 level before consolidating back above the 1.16550 support. Looking ahead, we expect the Fiber to attempt a move toward the 1.17889 resistance. That said, a deeper retracement toward the 1.15200 zone may still be required to attract fresh buying interest. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to reinforce our bullish outlook on EUR/USD. Our broader view remains unchanged: we expect the pair to continue building momentum for another leg to the upside. A decisive break above 1.17889 would open the path toward the 1.18350–1.19290 zone, and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels. We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
1
EUR/USD Recovers from 20-Day LowEUR/USD Recovers from 20-Day Low The EUR/USD pair today is moving under the influence of several factors: - Donald Trump’s decision to dismiss Lisa Cook, a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, raising concerns over the Fed’s independence; - expectations of a Fed rate cut in September; - anticipation of US GDP and jobless claims data (due today at 15:30 GMT+3); - the political crisis in France. These and other drivers pushed the pair down to a 20-day low yesterday (with a local low L3 formed on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart), before it staged a firm recovery. EUR/USD Chart Technical Analysis At the start of the week, we: → outlined a descending channel (shown in red); → drew an interim upward price trajectory (purple lines); → highlighted bearish signs (for instance, the lower purple line acting as resistance), suggesting a possible attempt to break key support at 1.1600. Yesterday’s price action confirmed such an attempt, but it triggered renewed demand. The bulls prevented further downside momentum, leaving EUR/USD trading above 1.1600 today. At the same time: → with the formation of the L3 low, a bullish engulfing pattern can be observed; → the sequence of higher highs (H1→H2→H3) alongside lower lows (L1→L2→L3) forms a megaphone pattern. As for resistance, the 1.1660 level stands out – bears were successful here when they broke through the lower boundary of the interim upward trajectory, and this zone also coincides with the axis of the megaphone pattern. Thus, we could assume that in the near term EUR/USD may fluctuate within the 1.1600–1.1660 range, until sentiment shifts – for example, due to statements from Washington or fresh US labour market data. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Exchange Rate Shows Increased VolatilityEUR/USD Exchange Rate Shows Increased Volatility Powell’s speech on Friday had a distinctly dovish tone. Expectations of an interest rate cut strengthened, which led to a sharp weakening of the dollar — on the EUR/USD chart, a bullish impulse A→B was formed. On Monday, as often happens after an initial emotional reaction to major news, the price corrected as market participants reassessed prospects in light of the Fed Chair’s softened rhetoric. What is particularly notable is that the correction was most evident on the EUR/USD chart, where the decline B→C almost completely offset Friday’s surge. This could point to underlying weakness in the euro, which seems justified when considering that the euro index EXY (the euro’s performance against a basket of currencies) has risen by roughly 13% since the beginning of the year. The EUR/USD rate reacted less strongly to the news that President Trump had decided to dismiss Lisa Cook, a member of the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. While the media debates whether the President has the authority to remove her, traders may instead assess how EUR/USD could fluctuate following the A→B→C volatility swing. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Recently, we outlined a descending channel using the sequence of lower highs and lows observed this summer. The upper boundary clearly acted as resistance for EUR/USD’s rise on Friday. From the bears’ perspective: → the price has broken downward through an ascending trajectory (shown in purple), and the lower purple line has already changed its role from support to resistance (as indicated by the arrow); → today’s rebound from the 1.1600 support level appears weak, as highlighted by the long upper shadow on the candlestick; → if this rebound is merely an interim recovery following the bearish B→C impulse, it fails to reach the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. In addition, the B peak only slightly exceeded the previous August high (which resembles a bull trap). Taking all this into account, we could assume that in the near term we may see bears attempt to break the 1.1600 support level and push EUR/USD towards the median line of the primary descending channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD potential sell opportunityEURUSD may have done a false breakout as on Friday, after Powell's speech indicated a potential rate cut weaken dollar and market has printed a 4h bullish candle breaking out of the bearish channel. As later this week bull could not create any more bounce, instead, upon multiple false breakout the market trending again to the major direction of the trend. Yesterday daily candle printed with a sharp bearish candle with strong rejection from the higher price, Today's price so far showing down trend continuation created a daily high which is our main focus today for potential sell opportunity to the major direction of the trend.
Short
by ForexWizard01
EUR/USD Holds Firm – Eyeing Pullback Before Next Leg HigherHi Everyone, Despite what was a fundamentally turbulent week in the markets, our trading delivered a flawless run last week! As highlighted in our previous idea, EUR/USD found support near the 1.16000 zone before mounting a push higher toward the 1.17889 level. Looking ahead into next week, we anticipate a pullback toward the 1.16550 area, which could provide the base for another attempt to reach 1.17889. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to reinforce our bullish outlook on EUR/USD. Our broader view remains unchanged: we expect the pair to continue building momentum for another leg to the upside. A decisive break above 1.17889 would open the path toward the 1.18350–1.19290 zone, and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels. We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD Weekly Forecast – Q3 | W35 | Y25 📊 EURUSD – WEEKLY FORECAST 📈 EURUSD Weekly Forecast – Q3 | W35 | Y25 Much like other USD-cross pairs, EUR/USD ended the week strongly bullish, with the weekly candle closing above the weekly 50 EMA. This close shifts the higher time frame bias toward long-term buy positions, in line with broader dollar weakness. 🔍 Forecast & Strategy: Despite the bullish weekly close, I’m anticipating a retracement early in the week — specifically a pullback into the daily imbalance created by Friday’s strong move. 📍 Below that imbalance, there’s a daily order block that aligns with: The daily 50 EMA Mid-range and lower-range points of interest This confluence zone becomes a key area to look for long executions, provided the market gives us confirmation. 🎯 Execution Plan: Once price enters these zones (both short- and long-term POIs): Look for a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the 5M or 15M timeframes before executing. No BOS = no entry. 📉 Short-Term Shorts – With Caution: If price offers valid short setups from current highs, target areas will include: The daily imbalance (first target & partial TP zone) The daily 50 EMA and the daily order block (final TP and long re-entry zone) Important: All short positions should be managed aggressively and fully closed by the time price reaches the bullish POI, as the higher time frame bias favors longs. ✅ Bias: Bullish (Higher Time Frame) ⚠️ Shorts are counter-trend and must be managed accordingly 📌 Wait for confirmation before executing either side Let’s stay patient, let structure lead, and execute only when the market tells us it’s time. FRGNT FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD shows a bullish rebound after Powell's speechCurrent technical picture The EUR/USD pair showed a bullish rebound after Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole forum, which weakened the USD - DXY fell by 0.9%, which adds support to the euro. Thus, a double top was formed at 1.1800 and strong support at 1.1600. As a result, the weekly candle was almost unchanged. FXStreet notes a stable bullish momentum - after a fall to 1.1583, the euro recovered above 1.1700 against the backdrop of a weak dollar. The analysis shows that the fall to 1.1582 stopped the decline, and the current breakout of the 1.1729 level indicates a continuation of the upward movement. Focus is on the retest of 1.1819. As long as the 1.1582 level holds, the advantage remains with buyers.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EURUSD Bears Regain Control as Dollar Strength Holds FirmEURUSD is showing fresh signs of exhaustion after its recent bounce, struggling to hold momentum against a resilient U.S. dollar. Price action has rejected trendline resistance and is now threatening to extend lower toward key demand zones. With the ECB battling slowing growth while the Fed remains cautious but firm, EURUSD faces mounting pressure to the downside. Current Bias Bearish – rejection at resistance keeps the pair vulnerable to further downside toward 1.1600 and potentially 1.1410. Key Fundamental Drivers U.S. dollar demand supported by safe-haven flows and relatively strong U.S. economic data. ECB’s dovish tilt as growth falters in the Eurozone, limiting scope for additional rate hikes. Differentials in monetary policy continue to favor the USD over the EUR in the medium term. Macro Context Interest rate expectations: The Fed is expected to keep rates higher for longer, maintaining a hawkish edge, while the ECB faces pressure to slow policy tightening given weak Eurozone growth. Economic growth: U.S. growth remains more resilient than Europe’s, with Eurozone industrial and consumer sectors showing signs of fatigue. Commodity flows: Lower European energy demand and potential disruptions in global gas/oil trade leave the euro vulnerable. Geopolitical themes: Trade tariffs, global slowdown risks, and U.S.–EU policy divergence all weigh on the single currency. Primary Risk to the Trend A surprise hawkish shift from the ECB or softer-than-expected U.S. data could reignite EUR upside momentum and squeeze shorts. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event ECB policy meeting minutes (guidance on growth vs. inflation trade-off) U.S. PMI & jobless claims (gauging the Fed’s stance on growth resilience) Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURUSD is a leader pair in the FX market, often dictating overall USD sentiment. Movements here influence correlated assets such as DXY, gold, and EUR-crosses like EURJPY and EURNZD. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.1606, 1.1410 Resistance Levels: 1.1710, 1.1797 Stop Loss (SL): 1.1800 Take Profit (TP): 1.1606 (first target), 1.1410 (extended target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD continues to lean bearish, with rejection from resistance and a weakening Eurozone macro backdrop providing downside pressure. The bias favors further losses toward 1.1606, with extended downside into the 1.1410 region if bearish momentum accelerates. A stop loss above 1.1800 provides protection against a breakout reversal. Traders should closely monitor ECB commentary and U.S. data releases, as any divergence from expectations could quickly shift momentum. Until then, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Short
by ultreosforex
EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D22 | Y25📊 EURUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D22 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
2
EUR/USD Holding Above 1.1600 — Outlook Remains BullishHi Everyone, As highlighted in our previous idea, EUR/USD continues to correct above the 1.16000 zone, which could potentially set the stage for a renewed push higher toward the 1.17889 level. Should price extend lower in search of further demand, the next key area of interest sits around 1.15200, where we anticipate strong buying interest to step in. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to reinforce our bullish outlook on EUR/USD, and upcoming headlines in what looks to be a decisive week could provide the catalyst for the Fiber to press higher. Our broader outlook remains unchanged: we continue to expect the pair to build momentum for another leg to the upside. A decisive break above 1.17889 would open the path toward the 1.18350–1.19290 area and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support zone. We’ll keep you updated throughout the week as the structure unfolds and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX