GBPCAD Triple Top Points To Potential Triple EventOANDA:GBPCAD on a multi-timeframe analysis allows us to breakdown this False Breakout of the Rising Wedge on the Weekly chart, lets check it out!
Price on the Weekly had made a Bearish Breakout of the Rising Wedge but price has had a great Bullish rally all week and undid all the Price Action following the Breakout of the Rising Support.
On the Daily since the Low of the Breakout @ 1.83238, OANDA:GBPCAD has begun to form an Expanding Range with Higher Highs laying out a Rising Resistance.
- MACD is signaling Bullish with lines just crossing 0 and Histogram forming green bars
Everything is saying Bullish but,
On the 4Hr we can see that Price has formed a Triple Top at the Resistance Level formed from the Highs of Dec. 4th around 1.86328 - 1.86675.
- RSI is showing a Divergence of Highs in Price
- Volume is waning as the Highs form
- MACD is signaling Bearish with a Crossover event and Histogram forming red bars
Now if Price falls below 1.85997, this will confirm the Triple Top and will mean we will be looking for Price to fall down to the AOV around 1.8546 - 1.8528.
If Price is able to find support around this level, this would Confirm the Bullish Bias on OANDA:GBPCAD on the Daily and Weekly.
Expandingrange
Consolidation on GA ExpandsOANDA:GBPAUD has been forming an Expanding Range!
The Expanding Range is a Consolidation phase that consists of Rising Resistance and Falling Support.
At the time of publishing, the Bulls have made a Breakout of the Rising Resistance. If price retests the breakout and is supported, this will generate Long opportunities!
Wait for a Retest!!
EU's Consolidation ExpandsHere on FX:EURUSD we can see that Price has been trading between a Rising Resistance and Falling Support or Higher Highs and Lower Lows.
This forms an Expanding Range!
Currently the range is between:
- High: 1.16232
- Low: 1.15912
Until we get a clear cut Breakout of either leg, this Price Action will remain in a battle of Tug-O-War between Bears and Bulls.
*The Breakout will need to be accompanied by a large amount of volume to verify!
Fundamentally, both EUR and USD have impactful news coming out this week with the ECB recently stating they could be at the end of their easing cycle with cuts and the Federal Reserve looking at an 87% chance of another Interest Rate Cut at the Dec. 10th meeting.
Stay vigilant!
USDCHF Breaks Expansion, Aims For Next Support LevelOANDA:USDCHF has given us a Breakout of the Expanding Range it has been traveling in since the Low @ .78712 created on July 1st.
Now Price has already Retested the Breakout of the Rising Support of the Expansion and a Past Support Level, now turned Resistance @ .7960!
Hourly candles are continuing to close Lower signaling further potential to the downside!
Short Entry @ .7945
SL @ .7965 ( Above Retest of Breakout )
TP @ .7880
DXY Quite IndecisivePrice on TVC:DXY after having broken below the Swing Low on June 12th @ 97.602 has created a lot of Indecision!
Starting with a 5 Day Long Consolidation period as a Rectangle Pattern
Then after the Bearish Breakout on June 30th due to the Federal Reserve mentioning possibly leaning towards Interest Rate Cuts, we see the TVC:DXY form a Expanding Range
Now at the Swing Low and above all the Consolidation or Indecision, we see a Volume Imbalance in the 97.5 - 97.6 area.
Fundamentally, USD has been mostly beating expectations with:
- Manufacturing and Services PMI's showing Expansion
- Job Openings higher then expected
- Unemployment Claims Low
- Unemployment Rate dropping ( 4.1% )
- Factory Orders Rising
Non-Farm Employment however hurt USD with -33K instead of the 99K forecasted
With all the Tariff uncertainties and how they will affect Inflation continues to worry markets with only a few deals having been ironed out, like the 20% Tariff on Vietnam ( down from 46% ) before the July 9th Deadline.
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Now with good Employment News out with numbers showing Strong Job Reports, this eases labor fears and could help remove some of the expectations of the amount of Interest Rate cuts this year.
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