Gold is Consolidating before big moveAs I have been in this game for over many years and I have the experience before a big move in buy or sell side the market most of the time consolidates. And most importantly I am not going to trade until it comes to my desired levels as highlighted in 1H time frame and I want you not to take a trade in the middle because it is a trap zone wait for the highlighted areas and take a trade after a confirmation thanks.
Financialstocks
BlackRock: Up and Down AgainBlackRock has recently formed the low of the turquoise wave X and subsequently moved into a sideways phase, from which it temporarily broke out impulsively upward. However, selling pressure soon returned. Overall, the stock remains in a consolidation phase. In the short term, we expect increased upward momentum to develop the high of the overarching wave (2) in magenta. We anticipate that this peak will remain below the resistance at $1219. Thereafter, more sustained selling pressure is expected to gradually push the stock below the support at $760.01, marking the low of beige wave IV. Should the low of the magenta wave alt.(X) have formed in November, the current movement could be attributed to wave alt.(Z). In this scenario, an increase above the resistance at $1219 should be considered, which would simultaneously allow the overarching green wave alt. to reach a new high (probability: 35%).
HBNC โ Rebuilt Balance Sheet, Rising NIM, Solid Loan GrowthCompany Overview
Horizon Bancorp NASDAQ:HBNC is a Midwest regional bank spanning commercial & retail banking, wealth, and treasury services. A transformative 2025 balance-sheet overhaul (asset sales, $98.6M equity raise, $100M sub debt) materially strengthened capital and earnings power.
Key Drivers
NIM Expansion: Eight straight quarters of improvement to 4%+, lifting core profitability.
Commercial Momentum: +$117M net commercial loan growth in Q2โ25, reflecting durable client relationships and disciplined underwriting.
Stronger Capital Base: Post-repositioning mix supports higher earning assets and optionality for organic growth.
Investment Outlook
Bullish above: $15.50โ$16.00
Upside target: $28โ$30 โ supported by sustained NIM strength, loan growth, and an upgraded capital position.
๐ HBNC โ a leaner, better-capitalized community bank compounding through NIM and commercial growth.
Introduction and Types of Financial MarketsIntroduction to Financial Markets
Financial markets form the backbone of any modern economy, serving as a bridge between investors seeking returns and borrowers in need of capital. Essentially, a financial market is a marketplace where buyers and sellers trade financial instruments such as stocks, bonds, currencies, and derivatives. These markets facilitate the allocation of resources efficiently, ensuring that funds flow from those who have surplus capital to those who can utilize it productively.
Financial markets are integral to economic growth. They not only provide a mechanism for raising capital but also aid in price discovery, risk management, liquidity creation, and wealth management. By providing transparency and efficiency, financial markets reduce the cost of capital for firms and promote economic stability.
Key Functions of Financial Markets
Capital Formation: Financial markets enable firms and governments to raise funds by issuing securities, which can then be used for expansion, infrastructure, or social development.
Price Discovery: They provide a platform where the prices of financial assets are determined through supply-demand interactions.
Liquidity: Investors can quickly convert their securities into cash, enhancing market confidence.
Risk Management: Derivative markets allow participants to hedge against risks like fluctuations in interest rates, commodity prices, and currencies.
Efficient Resource Allocation: By channeling funds from savers to productive investments, financial markets ensure that capital is allocated to sectors promising the highest returns.
Classification of Financial Markets
Financial markets can be classified in multiple ways depending on the instruments traded, the maturity of instruments, and the nature of participants. Broadly, they are categorized into money markets, capital markets, derivative markets, foreign exchange markets, and commodity markets.
1. Money Market
The money market deals with short-term debt instruments with maturities of one year or less. It is crucial for maintaining liquidity in the financial system. The primary participants in the money market are commercial banks, central banks, corporations, and government entities.
Key Features:
Short-term instruments (up to 1 year)
High liquidity
Low risk compared to long-term securities
Primarily used for managing working capital
Instruments in the Money Market:
Treasury Bills (T-Bills): Government-issued securities with maturities ranging from a few days to one year. They are low-risk instruments used for short-term financing.
Commercial Papers (CPs): Unsecured promissory notes issued by corporations to meet short-term funding needs.
Certificates of Deposit (CDs): Bank-issued instruments for fixed deposits with short maturities, offering liquidity and moderate returns.
Repurchase Agreements (Repos): Short-term borrowing agreements for selling and repurchasing government securities.
The money market ensures stability by providing a channel for short-term funds and helps in implementing monetary policy by regulating liquidity.
2. Capital Market
The capital market focuses on long-term financial instruments with maturities exceeding one year. It is vital for raising long-term funds for business expansion, infrastructure development, and national projects. The capital market is divided into primary markets and secondary markets.
a) Primary Market (New Issue Market):
This is where new securities are issued directly to investors. Companies raise funds by issuing equity (shares) or debt (bonds). The process of issuing new securities is commonly known as an Initial Public Offering (IPO) for equity.
b) Secondary Market (Stock Exchanges):
Here, previously issued securities are bought and sold among investors. Stock exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or National Stock Exchange (NSE) in India provide a platform for liquidity, price discovery, and risk-sharing.
Instruments in the Capital Market:
Equities (Shares): Represent ownership in a company, entitling shareholders to profits in the form of dividends.
Bonds/Debentures: Long-term debt instruments issued by corporations or governments to raise capital.
Mutual Funds: Pooled investment vehicles that invest in stocks, bonds, or other securities, offering diversification to small investors.
Significance of Capital Markets:
Mobilize savings for productive use
Facilitate wealth creation for investors
Support economic growth through capital formation
3. Derivative Market
Derivatives are financial contracts whose value derives from underlying assets like stocks, bonds, currencies, or commodities. The derivative market allows participants to hedge against risks or speculate for potential gains.
Key Types of Derivatives:
Futures Contracts: Agreements to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price on a future date.
Options Contracts: Contracts that give the buyer the right (but not obligation) to buy or sell an asset at a specified price within a certain period.
Swaps: Agreements to exchange cash flows or other financial instruments between parties, commonly used for interest rate or currency risk management.
Functions of Derivative Markets:
Hedging against price or interest rate fluctuations
Enhancing market liquidity
Enabling price discovery for underlying assets
While derivatives can be used to manage risk, excessive speculation in this market may introduce volatility.
4. Foreign Exchange (Forex) Market
The foreign exchange market is a global decentralized market for trading currencies. It determines the relative value of one currency against another and supports international trade and investment.
Key Features:
Operates 24/7 across different time zones
Facilitates currency conversion for trade and investment
Influences inflation, interest rates, and trade balances
Major Participants:
Commercial banks
Central banks
Multinational corporations
Hedge funds and retail investors
Functions:
Provides exchange rate mechanism
Manages currency risk through hedging instruments like forwards and options
Supports global liquidity and capital flows
5. Commodity Market
The commodity market deals with trading physical goods such as metals, energy products, agricultural produce, and more. Commodity markets are split into spot markets (immediate delivery) and futures markets (contracts for future delivery).
Major Commodities Traded:
Agricultural Products: Wheat, corn, coffee, sugar
Energy Commodities: Crude oil, natural gas, coal
Metals: Gold, silver, copper
Significance:
Provides a hedging mechanism for producers and consumers
Helps in price discovery and risk management
Promotes efficient allocation of resources in the economy
6. Over-the-Counter (OTC) Market
In addition to organized exchanges, many financial instruments are traded directly between parties in OTC markets. This includes derivatives, currencies, and bonds. OTC markets are less regulated than exchanges but provide flexibility in contract terms and counterparty customization.
Emerging Trends in Financial Markets
Financial markets are evolving rapidly due to technology, globalization, and regulatory reforms. Some notable trends include:
Digital Trading Platforms: Online stock brokers and mobile apps have made investing accessible to retail investors worldwide.
Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading: Automated systems now execute trades at millisecond speeds, enhancing market efficiency.
Cryptocurrency and Blockchain: Digital currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are creating decentralized markets independent of traditional financial systems.
Sustainable Finance: ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) investing is growing, promoting socially responsible investment practices.
Global Integration: Capital flows across borders are increasing, creating interconnected markets that respond rapidly to international economic events.
Conclusion
Financial markets are the lifeblood of any economy, serving as a conduit for savings, investment, and capital formation. By facilitating efficient resource allocation, providing liquidity, enabling risk management, and supporting economic growth, these markets create opportunities for individuals, corporations, and governments alike.
From the short-term money market to the long-term capital market, from derivatives and forex trading to commodity markets, each segment serves a unique function, contributing to the stability and growth of the financial ecosystem. With technological advancements and globalization, financial markets continue to evolve, providing innovative tools and opportunities for investors while shaping the future of economic development.
Understanding the structure and function of these markets is crucial for policymakers, investors, and businesses, as it enables informed decisions, better risk management, and strategic planning in a dynamic global economy.
All Set for the Next Move โ JIOFIN Ready to Fly High!JIOFIN Weekly Chart Analysis
JIO Financial is showing strong price action on the weekly timeframe.
The stock is currently holding above a key law of polarity support zone around the โน285โโน295 range.
It is also sustaining above its breakout level, with the retesting zone aligning near โน285โโน300.
If this zone continues to hold, we may witness higher levels in JIOFIN in the coming sessions.
Conclusion:
Holding above 285โ300 could trigger the next bullish leg.
ETOR : Entry after IPOKind of social trading platform.
Etoro Platform also uses artificial intelligence.
I researched that it also allows trading of crypto assets.
$10B SPAC initiative canceled in 2022.
We re approaching mid 2025 .
Current market cap: around $5-5.3B.
Ground for progress may be present in good market conditions.
While institutions bought at $52, individuals were most likely able to buy above $70.
This was a great misfortune.
Very high opening of the IPO caused sharp sales, but holding for the medium term may be beneficial.As I briefly mentioned above, parameters that will bring momentum to stock may occur.
Constantly looking at the screen so much in such instruments can create a huge sense of panic and failure.
Target price: 90.00 - 94.00
Stop: 50.00
Amount: 1/3 of your portfolio's financial technology stocks ( e.g)
Risk - Reward Ratio > 2.80
Regards.
Beeline Holdings | BLNE | Long at $0.72**This is a VERY risky penny stock. Please do not invest if you are risk averse.**
Beeline Holdings NASDAQ:BLNE
Book value = $5.00-$6.00
Revenue past 12 months: $5.21 million (grew by 27.4% over the past year)
Debt-to-equity: 0.21x (low)
Insiders purchased almost $500k in shares in the past 6 months and volume increasing
6 million float, 1.96% short interest, 0.85 days to cover
This is purely a gamble play based on value and insider purchases. Thus, at $0.72, NASDAQ:BLNE is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$1.00
$1.25
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAP UDPATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis โ Quantum Trading Mastery
Hello Everyone,
Hereโs the latest update on the GOLD weekly chart weโve been diligently tracking and trading. Below is a comprehensive breakdown of the current range and key levels weโve identified.
Recap of Last Weekโs Analysis:
Last week, our predictions aligned perfectly with market movements:
* A strong resistance level at 2790 caused a short-term reversal near 2735.
* The FVG acted as dynamic support at 2735, sustaining the bullish momentum.
* The EMA5 crossed and locked above the key level at 2735, solidifying upward movement.
* As predicted, the resistance was broken, leading to a new all-time high of 2817.
Our analysis delivered precise predictions, allowing you to trade confidently and minimize risks.
Whatโs Next for GOLD This Week?
Key Level: 2735
Bullish Targets:
* TP1: 2877
* TP2: 3018
* TP3: 3160
Bearish Targets:
* 2735
* 2680
* 2595
This week, we have identified two critical GOLDTURN levels at 2735 and 2595. While we anticipate GOLD reaching TP1 at 2877, there may be short-term reversals around these key levels and GOLDTURN zones.
Recommendations:
To better understand the support structure and identify optimal dip-buying opportunities, review our smaller time-frame analyses (daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H). These insights will help you navigate the market with precision, keeping long-term gaps in perspective.
Weโll continue to provide daily updates and insights to keep you informed.
Thank you for your continued support! Donโt forget to like, comment, and share this post to help others benefit as well.
The Quantum Trading Mastery
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSIS FOR THE WEEK12H GOLD Chart: Updated Analysis and Strategic Outlook (10the Feb 2024)
Hello Traders,
Hereโs the latest 12H GOLD chart update, featuring a detailed review of recent movements and actionable insights for the upcoming market sessions. Our diligent tracking since October 2023 has consistently delivered 100% target accuracy, as evidenced by the marked Golden Circle areas on the charts. Letโs dive into the highlights and what lies ahead.
Previous Chart Review
* Entry Level 2814: โ
DONE
* TP1 2858: โ
DONE
* The price broke above the resistance level 2858 and reached a new ATH at 2886 last week.
* EMA5 held above 2858, which fueled the strong bullish push during Fridayโs NFP release.
Whatโs Next for GOLD? Bullish or Bearish?
The price is currently consolidating around 2858, with EMA5 playing a crucial role in determining the next trajectory.
Resistance Levels: 2903, 2948, 2993
Support Levels (Activated GOLDTURN Levels):
2813 (Critical Weighted Level)
2770 (Critical Weighted Level)
2710 (Critical Weighted Level)
2664 (Major Support Level)
2599 (Lower Major Demand Zone and Retracement Range)
EMA5 Behavior (Red Line):
* Currently sitting below TP1 (2858) but indicating sustained bullish momentum.
* EMA5โs crossing and locking above or below key levels will signal the next move:
Bullish Scenarios:
Scenario 1: If EMA5 crosses and locks above TP1 (2858), expect a bullish rally toward 2903.
Scenario 2: If EMA5 crosses and locks above TP2 (2903), the next target is 2948.
Scenario 3: A further cross and lock above 2948 could drive the price to 2993.
Bearish Scenarios:
If EMA5 fails to sustain above TP1 (2858) and resistance levels hold, expect a pullback toward support zones:
Scenario 1: A cross and lock below Entry (2813) could lead to a decline toward 2770.
Scenario 2: A further drop below 2770 may target 2710 as the next support level.
Scenario 3: Continued bearish momentum could push the price toward 2664 and, ultimately, 2599 (Retracement Range).
Short-Term Strategy:
Anticipate possible reversals at weighted GOLDTURN levels 2813 and 2770.
Leverage 1H and 4H timeframes to capture pullbacks around these levels.
Target 30โ40 pips per trade, focusing on shorter positions for effective risk management.
GOLDTURN levels provide reliable bounce opportunities, allowing you to buy at dip levels.
Long-Term Outlook:
Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops.
Final Thoughts:
Trade with precision, discipline, and confidence. Our accurate, multi-timeframe analysis equips you to navigate the market effectively. Stay updated with daily insights to remain ahead of market trends.
We appreciate your support! Donโt forget to like, comment, and share this post to help others benefit.
Best regards,
๐๐ฐ The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEGOLD Daily Chart Update: Precision Analysis for Confident Trading (10th Feb 2024)
Hello Traders,
Hereโs the latest update on the GOLD daily chart that weโve been meticulously tracking and trading. Below, we provide an enhanced breakdown of recent movements, updated key levels, and actionable insights for the days ahead.
Recap of Recent Success in our previous chart:
Our recent analysis delivered remarkable accuracy:
* ENTRY LEVEL 2744: โ
DONE
* TARGET TP1 (2807): โ
DONE
* TARGET TP2 (2870): โ
DONE
* EMA5 crossed and held above both Entry Level (2744) and TP1 (2807), confirming bullish momentum toward TP2 (2870). โ
DONE
* The FVG zone at 2790 acted as strong support, facilitating upward momentum. โ
DONE
* EMA5 correction at 2839 was completed successfully. โ
DONE
* GOLD achieved a new ATH at 2886 after hitting TP2 (2870). โ
DONE
Whatโs Next for GOLD?
The price is now oscillating between critical weighted levels, with gaps both above and below 2870.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Level: 2870
* A daily candle close above 2870 will confirm bullish momentum, with potential targets toward higher levels.
* Failure to close above this level may trigger a short-term reversal.
EMA5 Behavior:
* Or If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2870, it strengthens the bullish case.
* If EMA5 fails to hold, expect a pullback to key GOLDTURN levels.
Updated Support Levels (GOLDTURN Zones):
2801
2744
2671
2595
Key Scenarios:
* A bullish scenario could see the price retesting 2870 as resistance before pushing higher.
* A bearish scenario may unfold if the price fails to sustain above 2870, leading to a retest of
Recommendations:
* Capitalize on Dip Opportunities: Use smaller timeframes (1H, 4H) to trade around GOLDTURN levels, targeting 30โ40 pips per trade.
* Stay focused on shorter trades in this range-bound market to manage volatility effectively.
Long-Term Bias:
Maintain a bullish outlook while viewing pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Accumulate positions near key support levels for a safer approach instead of chasing highs.
Final Note:
Trade with confidence and precision. Our analysis ensures youโre well-prepared to navigate the evolving market landscape. Stay updated with our daily insights across multiple timeframes for deeper clarity.
Thank you for your continued trust! Donโt forget to like, share, and comment to support our work.
Best regards,
The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
Visa: Bottom Already Established?Visa might have already reached the low of the magenta wave ; however, for now, we allow slightly more room for the downside. Nonetheless, once this interim correction has concluded, the price should proceed higher during the magenta wave and surpass the resistance at $366.34. We currently consider it 34% likely that the stock will break above this level to form a fresh high with the magenta wave alt. . But primarily, we view the regular wave as already complete.
GOLD 4H CHART ANAYLSIS / BULLISH OR BEARISH? READ CAPTION PLZ4H Gold Analysis โ 7th Feb 2024
Dear Traders,
Today's market movement aligns with our strategy of buying dips. Here's a summary of key insights:
Previous Chart Review (5th Feb)
* Target 1 (2850.15) โ
โ Successfully hit
* Target 2 (2876.95) โ
โ Successfully hit
* Target 3 (2903.76) โ Pending
Key Resistance Levels Activated: 2850, 2876
Goldturn Levels Hit: 2852, 2828
What is next for Gold? Bullish or Bearish?
* Price Action Expectation: Movement between Goldturn levels with EMA5 confirmation for trend direction.
* Strategy: Monitor EMA5 crosses for trade entries.
Bearish Case
* If EMA5 stays below 2850, expect a retest of Goldturn levels.
* Scenario 1: Below 2823, likely drop to 2803.
* Scenario 2: Below 2803, expect 2776.
* Scenario 3: Below 2776, target 2747 (major demand zone).
Bullish Case
* Scenario 1: Above 2852, target 2876 โ
DONE
* Scenario 2: Above 2876, target 2903.
* Scenario 3: Above 2903, target 2925.85.
Trading Strategy
Short-Term:
Use 1H/4H timeframes for pullbacks at Goldturn levels.
Target 30-40 pips per trade for optimized risk management.
Long-Term:
Maintain a bullish bias, viewing pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Avoid chasing tops; buy dips from key levels for better trade positioning.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay updated with our daily insights to stay ahead.
Support us with likes, comments, boosts, and follows!
๐๐ฐ The Quantum Trading Mastery
15M CHART ANALYSIS UPDATEDear Traders,
We are very happy we provided you accurate analysis earlier.
In our previous 15M Chart analysis we shared, If EMA5 cross and lock above 2761, then you can enter bullish. Otherwise stay away. There could be a small correction downward.
That is what exactly happened.
Please see our new analysis for today Friday 24 Jan 2025
Key Update:
ENTRY LEVEL: 2754.200
Bullish Target: 2762, 2771, 2780
Bearish Target: 2738, 2720
To achieve these targets, follow these steps.
BULLISH TARGETS:
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2755 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2762
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2762 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2771
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2771 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2780
BEARISH TARGETS:
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2750 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2738
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2738 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2720
please support us by leaving our comments and boost the charts.
TheQuantumTradingMastery
Deutsche Bank: Unlocking New Heights!Deutsche Bank AG ( NYSE:DB is currently trading at $17.48 , reflecting a slight decrease of 0.11% from the previous close.
Our proprietary quantum probability indicator signals a strong buy, suggesting a favorable outlook for the stock.
The technical chart reveals a bullish flag formation, characterized by an initial surge to the $17.20 resistance level, followed by a consolidation phase.
A decisive breakout from this pattern indicates potential for continued upward movement, with a mid-term target of $24.31 .
From a broader perspective, the development of a cup and handle pattern is evident.
This bullish continuation pattern suggests a long-term projection above the major resistance at $27.28.
Recent developments further support this positive outlook.
Deutsche Bank has shifted its stance to "overweight" on European equities, citing lower interest rates and expectations of a strong corporate earnings season amid an improving political landscape.
Analysts highlight that Europe offers the most attractive equity risk premium among developed markets, with the European benchmark index projected to rise by 15% by the end of 2025 .
Additionally, Deutsche Bank's CEO, Christian Sewing , has emphasized the need for structural reforms and reduced regulations to enhance Germany's economic competitiveness, which could positively impact the bank's performance.
In summary, the technical indicators and recent strategic positions of Deutsche Bank point to a positive trajectory, with significant upside potential in both mid-term and long-term projections.
VISA Best buy opportunity since 2022.Visa Inc (V) is trading again above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the 3rd straight week following the rebound on early August's Low. That low apart from a Double Bottom is also a technical Higher Low formed at the bottom of the 2-year Channel Up.
The previous Double Bottom in October 2023 was exactly on the 1W MA50 and even though not at the bottom of the Channel Up, it did manage to kickstart a +27.36% rally. The Bullish Leg before it rose by +34.04% before also correcting back to the 1W MA50.
With the 1W MACD about to form the first Bullish Cross in 9 months, we have at hand the best buy opportunity on Visa, whose last 1W MACD this low was back on the September 2022 bottom! Our Target for the end of the year is $320.00 (+27.36%).
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MASTERCARD Short-term pull-back has begunLast time (August 23 2023, see chart below) we looked at Mastercard (MA) the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) gave us a solid buy opportunity, which easily hit our 415.00 Target:
The price is now starting to pull-back after marginally breaking the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Up (blue). It already broke below the medium-term (dotted) Channel Up and is headed towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
With the 1D RSI already on Lower Highs (i.e. a Bearish Divergence against the stock's Higher Highs), we believe this is an early Sell Signal on the short-term. The March 13 2023 Target was the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, so we are currently aiming for $440.00.
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UBS Group (UBSG): A Golden Opportunity for Investors?UBS Group (UBSG): SIX:UBSG
Considering that Switzerland is one of the first European countries potentially associated with interest rate cuts, sectors across the board, including the banking sector and specifically UBS Group, become quite intriguing. We've had to adjust and modify our analysis due to a breakout to the upside, suggesting a further upward trend before concluding the overarching trend. Please pay close attention if you're following along. We posit that Wave 2 concluded at 13.87 CHF, placing us in Wave 3.
We anticipate the reemergence of subordinate Wave ((iv)), which, in this case, should find support between the 23.6% and 38.2% levels. Given that all previous Wave 4s in UBS Group's pattern have been short and swift, we expect a repetition of this pattern, suggesting no further significant drops. Should we indeed pivot at the 38.6% extension level of 28.55 CHF and begin to develop Wave ((v)), we will issue a limit order once we observe tangible weakness in the price action. If there's an additional climb, our zone will be accordingly adjusted upwards.
๐ CITIGROUP GETS UP TO RECOVER, BREAKS THROUGH MULTI WEEK HIGHSCitigroup stocks hit highest since March 2022, last up 5% as brokerage Morgan Stanley upgrades NYSE:C to "overweight" from "underweight", as well as NYSE:BAC and NYSE:GS to "overweight" from "equal-weight".
Brokerage sees a rebound in capital markets amid growing signs of an imminent rebound in dealmaking. Also expects regulators to ease the Basel III Endgame proposals, a set of rules that will make capital requirements stricter for banks, which have been one of the flashpoints in the industry for months.
Brokerage says the proposals could be eased to be more aligned with Europe so that European banks do not have an unfair advantage.
Any easing of the draft rules will open the door for a significant increase in stock buybacks, as large-cap banks sit on the highest excess capital levels ever - NYSE:MS .
The main technical graph says that NYSE:C shares add +5.25% on Tuesday, break through multi week highs, with possible further recovery to multi year top $80 level.
ACIC Engulfing Price Spike, Long Uptrend Insurance ACIC on the daily chart looks like a solid swing trade until at least the next earnings. The last
trading session had a hugh 10-15% move with a corresponding spike in buying volume.
The earnings report is about a month away. I will drill down to a 120 minute time frame
and look for bottom pivots from which to accumulate a position for the pre-earnings
run up. It is an insurance stock, a conservative financial services play which from the chart
looks safe with a good possibility of some gains in the upcoming month.
Yeah if you look at the chart carefully you will notice that ACIC did 8X in 2023.
$BTCUSD Retraction Point Approaching The BITSTAMP:BTCUSD pair is nearing a crucial resistance level at $46,177, signaling potential price retraction.
Our indicator ( w.aritas.io ) suggest a gradual exhaustion of bullish momentum, with increased short positions. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching the overbought (OB) zone, indicating a potential reversal.
Caution is advised, and a retracement to around $39,375 is anticipated. Traders should closely monitor these levels for potential trend changes.
Market Meltdown: Wall Street's Shocking Symphony Unveiled!In the heart of financial dynamics, where numbers narrate tales and markets hum a melody, we stand on the cusp of a riveting chapter. The surge in bond yields, the resonance of conflict in Gaza, and the corporate crescendos echo through Wall Street, crafting a narrative that captivates and challenges.
As we step into this unfolding saga, each market movement becomes a note in a symphonyโa symphony where every rise in bond yields, every geopolitical tremor, and every corporate revelation plays a crucial role. Join me as we unravel the Overture of Wall Street, decoding the melodies that shape the financial landscape and beckon us into the intriguing world of global finance.
Bond Yields Surge: Unraveling the Threads of Economic Sentiment
The recent surge in the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, cresting above 4.9%, serves as a seismic event with far-reaching implications. Traditionally, higher yields spell caution for equity markets, diminishing the allure of stocks in comparison to the safety of fixed-income assets. The market's reaction, characterized by a 1.3% dip in the S&P 500, underscores the anxiety stemming from heightened borrowing costs for both corporations and households.
This surge in bond yields is not merely a statistical blip; it's a harbinger of a delicate dance between the Federal Reserve and the broader economic landscape. The specter of swelling U.S. debt looms large, and as Bloomberg Economics warns, the increase in yields could act as a drag on economic growth, akin to the impact of a Fed rate hike.
Geopolitical Turmoil: A Catalyst for Market Volatility
The geopolitical tableau adds a layer of complexity, with the Gaza conflict acting as a catalyst. The deadly explosion at a Gaza hospital and the subsequent cancellation of a summit with Arab leaders have injected fresh uncertainties into the market psyche. Beyond the tragic human toll, the conflict reverberates through financial markets, notably elevating oil prices.
Oil, the lifeblood of economies, rose nearly 2% to $91.50 a barrel. The Israel-Hamas conflict and optimistic outlooks for Chinese demand became twin engines propelling oil's ascent. Investors, already grappling with bond yield tremors, now face the added challenge of navigating an energy market rife with geopolitical uncertainties.
Corporate Performance: A Tapestry of Triumphs and Tribulations
Against this backdrop, corporate performances play a pivotal role in shaping market trajectories. Morgan Stanley's stock stumbled after reporting a drop in quarterly net income, emblematic of challenges within the financial sector. Simultaneously, Procter & Gamble's shares surged as the company reported a quarterly profit boost, underlining the impact of strategic pricing decisions in an inflationary environment.
The corporate stage is set, with companies wielding the power to either fortify or erode market confidence. In the case of United Airlines, a 7% early decline in shares following a cut in year-end earnings forecasts exemplifies the tightrope walked by companies in a tumultuous market environment.
Market Performance: A Symphony of Red and Green
As the final notes of the market day resonated, the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Industrials bore the weight of a 1.3%, 1.6%, and 1% decline, respectively. The Russell 2000, reflecting smaller companies, faced a more substantial 2.1% dip. This symphony of red underscores the impact of mixed corporate reports and the tightening grip of rising Treasury yields.
The decline is not confined to domestic shores; the MSCI World index echoes the sentiment, falling in tandem with its U.S. counterparts. The markets, in their collective wisdom, are sending signals of caution, reacting to the interplay of global and domestic variables.
Deciphering the Market's Sonnet
In conclusion, Wall Street's current state is akin to a sonnet, weaving together verses of bond yield surges, geopolitical tumult, and corporate performances. Each stanza contributes to the larger narrative of market sentiment, reflecting the delicate balance between risk and reward. Investors must read between the lines, understanding that every rise in bond yields, every geopolitical tremor, and every corporate report shapes the verses of the market's sonnet.
As we navigate these turbulent waters, an agile and discerning approach is paramount. The future remains unwritten, and while challenges abound, opportunities await those who can decipher the intricate melodies emanating from Wall Street's financial symphony.
Unity Software Inc.: The Future of Real-Time 3DUnity Software Inc. (U) is a leading provider of real-time 3D development tools. The company's platform is used by game developers, artists, architects, and other creative professionals to create interactive experiences.
Fundamental Analysis
The fundamental analysis of U stock is positive. The company is growing rapidly, and its financials are strong. U is also well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for real-time 3D content.
Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of U stock is mixed. The stock is currently trading below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which are bearish signals. However, the stock is also trading near its support level of $37.00, which could provide a buying opportunity.
Overall, the fundamental analysis of U stock is positive, while the technical analysis is mixed. Investors should carefully consider both factors before making a decision about whether to buy or sell the stock.
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SOFI vwap crossover earnings 2 days LONGOn Friday the 28th SOFI had a good day. I am looking for more of the same going
into earnings. It dropped through the middle VWAP bands and remarkably rebounded.
Great volatility to be exploited. Some consolidation at the +1 Standard Deviation band
is normal and healthy. SOFI as a financial technology has been honing its margins
in a challenging environment. I see a long trade here and will take it being careful
to take profits quickly and pay attention to the earnings release. A stock trade on an
the intraday basis is considered. A 1 % stop loss is good enough since price is sitting on
dynamic support. The target is 10.0, the pivot high of mid-July, This is 2.5% for a modest
quick trade with a risk of 1 for a reward of 2.5. Just a basic trade at a good entry.






















