Get started

Foryou

AVAX - Rising Wedge at $14.12 | ETF Filings Spark +11% Rally Executive Summary Avalanche (AVAX) trading at $14.12 within a rising wedge on the 2H timeframe. Price surged +11% this week as institutional ETF filings sparked a rally. Now testing upper resistance with two scenarios: bullish breakout above $14.75 or pullback to $12.00-$12.75 support zone before continuation. BIAS: NEUTRAL - Watching for Breakout or Pullback Current Market Data Current: $14.123 (-0.82%) Day's Range: $14.033 - $14.516 52-Week: $9.013 - $44.575 Market Cap: $6.08B 24h Volume: $384.76M Technical Rating: Neutral Performance: 1W: +11.80% | 1M: +6.89% | 3M: -53.89% 6M: -23.09% | YTD: +14.80% | 1Y: -66.85% Key Catalyst Institutional ETF filings sparked +11% rally AVAX among altcoins with ETF filing momentum Fortune 100 companies expected to launch blockchains on Avalanche Strong ecosystem for enterprise adoption Technical Structure - 2H Rising Wedge Pattern: Rising support and resistance trendlines (yellow dashed) Wedge narrowing toward apex Can break either direction Currently testing upper resistance Key Levels: Resistance: $14.50 - $14.75 - Upper resistance / breakout level $15.00 - Psychological resistance $16.00+ - Extended bullish target Support: $14.00 - Immediate support $12.75 - Upper support zone $12.00 - $12.75 - Major support zone (purple) $11.75 - Deep support (red line) SCENARIO ANALYSIS BULLISH: Breakout Above $14.75 Trigger: 2H close above $14.75 with volume Targets: $15.00 → $16.00 → $18.00 Catalyst: ETF momentum continues BEARISH: Pullback to Support Zone Rejection at upper wedge resistance Pullback to $12.00-$12.75 support zone Healthy retest before continuation Buy opportunity at support My Assessment Rising wedge at resistance after +11% ETF-driven rally. Two scenarios: breakout above $14.75 or pullback to $12.00-$12.75 support zone. ETF filings provide fundamental catalyst. Watch for confirmation before entry. Strategy: Long above $14.75 breakout → Target $15, $16, $18 Or wait for pullback to $12.00-$12.75 support Long at support with stop below $11.75 Target $14.50+ on bounce List your thoughts below!
CRYPTO:AVAXUSD
by officialjackofalltrades
USD/JPY)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USDJPY – 4H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + EMA support. ⸻ Market Context (4H) • Primary bias: Bullish continuation • Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish • Price is holding above EMA 200, confirming HTF trend • Recent drop is a corrective pullback, not a reversal ⸻ Structure & Price Behavior • Price made an impulsive move up → now correcting • Pullback is moving into a discount zone • Market is aligning with OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) levels • EMA 200 + EMA 50 are acting as dynamic support This is a textbook pullback → continuation setup. ⸻ Key Buy Zone (OTE + HTF Demand) ~155.40 – 155.70 Why this zone matters: • Fibonacci OTE (0.705 – 0.79) • HTF demand zone • EMA 200 confluence • Prior structure support • Marked reaction area (green arrow) This is where smart money typically reloads longs. ⸻ Trade Idea (Primary Scenario) BUY Setup • Entry: 155.40 – 155.70 • Stop Loss: Below 155.00 • Targets: • TP1: 156.50 • TP2: 157.20 • Final TP: 157.75 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Checklist Wait for confirmation inside the zone: • Bullish engulfing candle • Strong rejection wicks • Lower-TF CHoCH • No acceptance below EMA 200 ⸻ Invalidation • 4H close below ~155.00 • Acceptance below HTF demand + EMA 200 If invalidated → expect deeper correction toward lower support. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup shows a high-probability bullish continuation • Trend intact • Pullback into discount • OTE + EMA + demand confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
EUR/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EURUSD – 4H chart, aligned with SMC + structure + EMA support. ⸻ Market Context (4H) • Primary bias: Bullish continuation • Higher-timeframe structure remains higher highs & higher lows • Price is trading above EMA 200, confirming bullish HTF bias • Current move is a healthy correction, not trend reversal ⸻ What Price Is Doing • Price is consolidating inside a descending corrective channel • The pullback has reached a discount area • Price tapped a bullish order block (OB) + EMA support • This is typical re-accumulation before continuation ⸻ Key Zones HTF Demand / Order Block ~1.1720 – 1.1740 • Marked OB zone • Confluence with EMA 50 & EMA 200 • Previous resistance → support flip • Strong reaction zone (green arrow) Invalidation Zone ~1.1680 • Acceptance below this level weakens bullish structure ⸻ Trade Idea (Primary Scenario) BUY Setup (Continuation Play) • Entry: 1.1720 – 1.1740 • Stop Loss: Below 1.1680 • Targets: • TP1: 1.1780 • TP2: 1.1820 • Final TP: 1.1867 (HTF target / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Checklist Look for: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection from OB • Lower-TF CHoCH • Failure to close below demand • Momentum expansion to the upside ⸻ Invalidation • 4H close below 1.1680 • Acceptance below HTF demand + EMA 200 If invalidated → expect deeper pullback toward lower demand. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup represents a classic bullish continuation: • Trend intact • Correction into discount • OB + EMA confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
GBP/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of GBPJPY – 1H chart using SMC + structure break + support flip. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Strong impulsive move up → market entered consolidation • Structure shows accumulation above key support • EMA alignment: • EMA 50 above EMA 200 • EMA 50 acting as dynamic support ⸻ What the Market Did • After the impulsive rally, price formed a descending corrective structure • That structure was broken to the upside → bullish BOS • Price is now holding above a key support zone (blue area) This signals re-accumulation, not distribution. ⸻ Key Support / Demand Zone (Blue Area) ~210.20 – 210.60 Why this zone matters: • Previous resistance → support flip • Multiple reactions (acceptance) • EMA 50 sitting inside the zone • Liquidity sweep below support → quick recovery This is where buyers are defending positions. ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on pullback or buy on confirmation • Entry: 210.30 – 210.60 • Stop Loss: Below support (~209.90) • Targets: • TP1: 211.50 (recent high) • TP2: 212.60 • Final TP: 213.30 – 213.50 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Triggers Best confirmations: • Bullish engulfing candle from support • Strong rejection wick (liquidity grab) • Lower-TF CHoCH • Momentum expansion after pullback ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~209.90 • Acceptance below EMA 50 + support zone If this happens → bullish continuation idea is invalid, and price may rotate deeper. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a classic bullish continuation after consolidation: • Trend intact • Structure break • Support flip + EMA confluence ✔ Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
BTC/ISD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of BTCUSDT – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + EMA confluence. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Clear impulsive bullish displacement broke previous structure • Price is holding above EMA 50 & EMA 200 • Current move down is a controlled pullback, not a reversal ⸻ What the Market Is Doing • After the impulse, price retraced to rebalance inefficiency • Pullback is occurring into discount within an uptrend • Structure remains intact → buyers still in control ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Blue Area) ~87,600 – 88,050 This zone is high-probability because of: • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • SMC demand / order block • EMA 50 support (~87,983) • Prior consolidation before impulse • Long lower wicks → sell-side liquidity taken This is where smart money typically reloads longs. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the impulse low → high: • 0.5 / 0.62 = shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 = optimal trade entr Ideal location for trend continuation setups ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 87,650 – 88,050 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~87,100) • Targets: • TP1: 88,900 (recent high) • TP2: 89,600 • Final TP: 90,360 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 to 1:4 ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Only enter if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Failure to accept below the OTE zone • Momentum expansion after tapping demand ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~87,100 • Acceptance below EMA 50 + demand If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek deeper liquidity. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This is a textbook bullish continuation setup: • Strong impulse • OTE + demand + EMA confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
XAU/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 4H chart using SMC + EMA + HTF support logic. ⸻ Market Context (4H) • Primary bias: Bullish continuation (after correction) • Strong impulsive sell-off was corrective, not a trend change • Overall higher-timeframe structure is still bullish • Price is now reacting from a key HTF support zone ⸻ What Just Happened • Price swept sell-side liquidity aggressively • Immediate rejection from lows → strong bullish reaction • This indicates smart-money absorption at discount • Market is now in a recovery / rebalancing phase ⸻ Key Levels on Chart HTF Demand / Strong Support Zone ~4,285 – 4,325 • Labeled as key strong support level • Previous consolidation base • Where institutions previously accumulated • Area of highest-probability defense FVG / Re-entry Zone ~4,345 – 4,365 • Inefficiency left by impulsive drop • Ideal pullback / continuation zone • Price already reacting here (green arrow) ⸻ Trade Idea (Primary Scenario) BUY Setup (Continuation Play) • Entry: 4,345 – 4,365 • Stop Loss: Below 4,285 • Targets: • TP1: 4,403 (EMA 50 / mid-structure) • TP2: 4,480 • Final TP: 4,520 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) RR potential: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Checklist Before committing size, look for: • Bullish engulfing from FVG • Strong rejection wicks • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Price holding above the strong support zone ⸻ Invalidation • 4H close below ~4,285 • Acceptance below HTF demand If that happens → bullish continuation is invalid, and deeper downside is possible. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup shows classic HTF liquidity grab → reaction → continuation: • Sell-side liquidity taken • Strong HTF demand respected • FVG acting as re-entry • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
6
EUR/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EURUSD – 2H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + EMA trend continuation. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Overall structure shows higher highs & higher lows • Strong impulsive move followed by healthy corrective channels • Price is holding above EMA 200, confirming HTF bullish bias • EMA 50 is acting as dynamic intraday support ⸻ What Price Is Doing • After a strong bullish displacement, price entered a descending corrective channel • That channel has now broken to the upside (bullish BOS) • Current pullback is a retest / re-accumulation, not weakness This is classic trend → correction → continuation behavior. ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Blue Area) ~1.1735 – 1.1750 Why this zone is high-probability: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 50 + EMA 200 confluence • Previous resistance → support flip • Multiple reactions already marked (green arrows) This zone represents institutional rebalance, not retail buying. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the latest impulse low → swing high: • 0.5 / 0.62 = shallow pullback • 0.705 – 0.79 = optimal trade entry (OTE) Textbook continuation location in a bullish market ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 1.1735 – 1.1750 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~1.1710) • Targets: • TP1: 1.1780 (recent high) • TP2: 1.1820 • Final TP: 1.1880 – 1.1890 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Only take the trade if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from the zone • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Failure to accept below the OTE zone • Momentum expansion after tapping demand ⸻ Invalidation • 2H close below ~1.1710 • Acceptance below EMA 200 + demand zone If this occurs → bullish continuation idea is invalid, and price may rotate deeper. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a textbook bullish continuation: • Trend intact • Corrective structure resolved • OTE + demand + EMA confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Key edge: wait for price to confirm buyers inside discount — don’t chase the highs. Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
14
EUR/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EURUSD – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + EMA confluence. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Overall structure remains higher highs & higher lows • Price is still above the EMA 200, keeping the higher-timeframe bullish bias intact • The recent downside move is a corrective pullback, not a reversal ⸻ Why Price Is Pulling Back • After the impulsive rally, price tapped short-term resistance (0 level) • Profit-taking caused a retracement into discount • Pullback is orderly and aligned with trend structure ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Blue Area) ~1.1728 – 1.1742 This zone is high-probability due to strong confluence: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 200 support • Rising internal trendline • Marked buyer reaction (green arrow) This area is where institutions typically rebalance long positions. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the latest impulse low → high: • 0.5 / 0.62 = shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 = optimal trade entry (OTE) Ideal location for trend continuation longs ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 1.1730 – 1.1740 • Stop Loss: Below demand (~1.1705) • Targets: • TP1: 1.1779 (EMA 50 / mid-range) • TP2: 1.1800 • Final TP: 1.1820 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3+ ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Very Important) Only take the trade if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Failure to accept below the OTE zone • Momentum expansion after tapping demand ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~1.1705 • Acceptance below EMA 200 + demand If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek deeper support. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a textbook bullish pullback: • Trend intact • OTE + demand confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
3
XAU/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using SMC + Fibonacci OTE + trend-channel continuation. ⸻ Market Context • Bias: Bullish continuation • Price is respecting a well-defined ascending channel • Market structure remains higher highs & higher lows • EMAs: • EMA 50 above EMA 200 • EMA 50 acting as dynamic support • Recent consolidation near highs = absorption, not reversal ⸻ What Price Is Doing • After the impulsive rally, price paused at internal resistance • This pause is forming a controlled pullback • The projected path shows a dip into discount → continuation higher This is classic trend continuation behavior. ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Lower Blue Area) ~4,475 – 4,495 Strong confluence here: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 50 support (~4,498) • Rising channel support • Clear reaction point (green arrow) This is the high-probability long zone, not the current price. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the impulse low → recent high: • 0.5 / 0.62 = shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 = optimal trade entry (OTE) Institutions typically rebalance longs here in an uptrend ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 4,475 – 4,495 • Stop Loss: Below demand & channel (~4,455) • Targets: • TP1: 4,535 (recent high) • TP2: 4,560 • Final TP: 4,575 – 4,580 (marked target / upper channel liquidity) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 or better ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Only execute if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from the zone • Lower-timeframe CHoCH • Failure to accept below the OTE zone • Momentum expansion after tapping demand ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~4,455 • Acceptance below channel support + EMA 50 If this occurs → bullish continuation idea is invalid, and price may rotate deeper. ⸻Mr smc Trading point Summary This setup is a textbook bullish pullback: • Trend intact • OTE + demand + EMA confluence • Clear upside liquidity target Key edge: wait for price to come discount and confirm buyers, don’t chase highs. Please support boost this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
14
XAU/USD)Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H chart using trend structure + SMC + Fibonacci OTE. ⸻ Market Context • Overall bias: Bullish • Price is respecting a rising channel • Market structure still shows higher highs & higher lows • Recent drop is a healthy pullback, not a trend reversal ⸻ Why Price Is Pulling Back • Price reacted near short-term resistance (0 level) • Profit-taking + liquidity sweep caused a retracement • Pullback is heading into a discount zone within an uptrend ⸻ Key Buy Zone (Blue Area) ~4,465 – 4,480 This zone has strong confluence: • SMC demand / order block • Fib OTE zone (0.705 – 0.79) • EMA 50 support • Rising trendline support • Clear reaction level (green arrow) This is where buyers are expected to defend the trend. ⸻ Fibonacci Logic Measured from the recent impulse low → high: • 0.5 / 0.62 → shallow retracement • 0.705 – 0.79 → institutional rebalance zone Textbook area for trend continuation entries ⸻ Trade Idea (Continuation Long) Buy on confirmation inside demand • Entry: 4,465 – 4,480 • Stop Loss: Below demand & trendline (~4,450) • Targets: • TP1: 4,500 (internal structure high) • TP2: 4,525 • Final TP: 4,551 (marked target point / liquidity above highs) Risk–Reward: ~1:3 or better ⸻ Confirmation Triggers (Important) Only enter if you see: • Bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick • Lower-TF CHoCH • Failure to close below the demand zone • Momentum expansion after tapping the zone ⸻ Invalidation • 1H close below ~4,450 • Acceptance below trendline + EMA 50 If this happens → bullish idea is invalid, and price may seek the lower support. ⸻ Mr SMC Trading point Summary This setup is a high-probability bullish pullback: • Trend intact • Fib OTE + demand • Clear upside liquidity target Please support boost this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
1