BUY BITCOIN SCALP Btcusd looking to give us a nice clear structural upside push , remember to trial stop and secure profits
Foryoupage
G O L D B U Y Gold looking to give some nice clear opportunities to the upside by looking at it’s structure , can capitalise on a nice scalp trade , remember to 50/50 the trades and trial
USD/JPY) berash trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY H1 chart:
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Overall Bias: Bearish
The chart shows a continuation bearish setup after a corrective structure inside supply, followed by a trendline break and rejection from FVG + supply zone.
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Key Technical Points
Price tapped into the FVG / Supply zone (157.00–157.25) and rejected strongly
→ Sellers confirmed
Rising corrective channel (bearish correction pattern)
→ Breakout already visible (trendline break noted on chart)
Price below EMA 50 and approaching EMA 200
→ Momentum shifting bearish
Market structure
Lower highs forming
Strong rejection wick confirming distribution
Bearish BOS expected after correction completes
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Target Zone
155.90 – 156.00 Key demand zone & imbalance fill area (Aligned near EMA 200 providing confluence)
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Trade Idea Approach
Entry idea: Look for retest of broken trendline or lower timeframe supply inside current zone
Target:
155.90 – 156.00
Invalidation / SL:
Break & close above 157.25
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Smart Money Concept Perspective
Institutional distribution in premium pricing
FVG mitigation completed
Liquidity sweep at highs
Expecting displacement to downside
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
The structure favors selling continuation as long as price stays below the supply & FVG rejection zone. The target of 155.90 is reasonable for the next move.
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USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4H timeframe, built on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles, Fibonacci retracement, and liquidity structure. Let’s break down the full trading idea and logic 👇
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Overall Concept
The idea shows a retracement sell setup, where price is expected to pull back into a premium zone (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79) before resuming a bearish move toward the target zone near 150.928.
This aligns with a potential distribution phase after a strong bullish rally.
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Technical Breakdown
1. Market Structure
The market broke below the recent higher low → signaling a shift in structure from bullish to bearish.
The move up into the blue zone is considered a pullback for liquidity grab or supply zone mitigation before continuation down.
2. Key Levels
Current Price: 153.428
50 EMA: 153.346 → price is currently retesting around this dynamic resistance.
200 EMA: 151.572 → next potential support area and confluence with the target zone.
Premium Zone (Fibonacci): 0.62–0.79 levels between 153.90–154.20 — expected sell area.
Target Zone: 150.928 – key demand zone and previous liquidity area.
3. Fibonacci Confluence
The retracement tool from swing high → swing low shows price is expected to retest the 0.62–0.79 levels, which is a smart money premium zone for short entries.
4. Expected Price Action
1. Short-term retracement up into the blue supply zone (0.62–0.79).
2. Bearish reaction and rejection candle formation (e.g., engulfing or long wick).
3. Continuation downward to take liquidity resting below 151.00 and fill imbalance into the 150.928 target area.
5. Volume & Confirmation
Moderate volume (24.5K) aligns with a retracement phase before a possible impulsive drop.
Watch for bearish divergence or rejection wicks in the premium zone for confirmation.
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Trade Idea Summary
Aspect Detail
Bias Bearish
Entry Zone 153.90 – 154.20 (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79 / supply zone)
Stop Loss Above 154.40 (above structure high)
Take Profit 150.92 (demand zone target)
Risk-to-Reward (RR) ≈ 1:3 or better
Mr SMC Trading point
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Confirmation to Watch
Rejection candles or bearish engulfing patterns near 154.00
Price failing to break above EMA50 or upper structure
Momentum shift on lower timeframe (M15–H1) confirming entry trigger
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Summary
USD/JPY shows signs of a bearish correction phase, with price expected to retest premium levels before dropping toward 150.92. The setup is supported by a structure break, Fibonacci confluence, and EMA alignment suggesting downside continuation.
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USD/ JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY — anticipating a retracement followed by a strong upward continuation toward the target zone near 154.99.
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Overall Idea
The analysis suggests that USD/JPY has shifted into a bullish structure, and the trader expects a pullback into the Fibonacci zone (demand area) before resuming the uptrend.
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Key Components
1. Market Structure
The pair recently broke above short-term resistance, signaling bullish momentum.
The expectation is for a retracement (correction) to form a higher low, followed by another impulsive bullish leg.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Zone
The retracement box (0.5 – 0.79 Fibonacci levels) marks the potential buy zone.
It aligns with the previous structure support and EMA confluence, strengthening the case for bullish continuation.
The green arrow indicates the expected reversal point.
3. EMA Confluence
The 50 EMA (153.757) and 200 EMA (153.278) lie within the Fibonacci zone.
These act as dynamic support levels, ideal for an entry confirmation.
The price currently sits above both EMAs, confirming the bullish trend.
4. Projected Move
After a potential dip into the blue demand zone, the projection shows a sharp bounce toward the target point at 154.991.
This target likely corresponds to:
A previous supply/resistance zone, or
A measured Fibonacci extension (1.0) of the previous swing.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Market bias: Bullish
Entry zone: 0.5–0.79 Fibonacci retracement (≈ 153.75–153.25)
Target: 154.99
Confirmation: EMA support + bullish rejection candle or break of minor structure
Invalidation: Sustained break below 153.20
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XAU/USD/ Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of analysis Gold (XAU/USD), 2H timeframe:
Trend Context: Price is moving inside a descending channel, showing continued bearish pressure.
Key Resistance Zone: The yellow highlighted area around $3,340 – $3,347 is acting as a supply zone / resistance, aligned with the 200 EMA, reinforcing bearish bias.
Rejection Signals: Multiple rejections (red arrows) confirm sellers are defending this zone.
Bearish Setup: Price is expected to reject from resistance and continue lower within the channel.
Target Point: The projection suggests a decline towards $3,302, aligning with previous swing levels and channel support.
RSI: Currently mid-level (~51), showing no strong momentum shift yet, but still leaves room for downside pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary Idea:
Gold is respecting the bearish channel and supply zone. As long as price stays below $3,347, the setup favors a bearish continuation targeting $3,302.
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USD/JPY) support boost Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, based on a rejection from a key support zone and signs of trend continuation toward a higher target.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Support Level:
Price has bounced from a clearly defined support zone around 146.00 – 146.50, which has held multiple times in the past.
This zone is acting as a strong demand area where buyers are stepping in.
2. Bullish Rejection + Structure:
A bullish candle has formed from the support area, signaling potential reversal.
The drawn projection suggests higher highs and higher lows forming — indicating bullish continuation.
3. EMA (200):
Price has respected the 200 EMA (blue line), bouncing off it — a strong confluence for bullish trend continuation.
EMA is slightly upward sloping, indicating a longer-term bullish bias remains intact.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is rising from oversold territory (42.09), indicating a bullish momentum shift.
A potential bullish divergence might be forming (price made lower low, RSI made higher low).
5. Target Point:
Price is projected to reach 150.904, giving a potential move of ~2.91% (426 pips) from current levels.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 146.90 – 147.30 (current levels or slight pullback)
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~145.90)
Take Profit (TP): 150.900 (key resistance / previous high)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Attractive, based on the size of the support zone vs. projected move
Mr SMC Trading point
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Key Insights:
Strong confluence between price structure, support zone, and 200 EMA bounce.
Favorable risk-reward ratio for swing or intraday traders.
Best confirmation would come from a bullish engulfing candle or break above minor resistance near 147.80.
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XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support
Chart Summary:
Gold (XAUUSD) has shown a clear reaction from a strong support zone near 3260, suggesting bullish momentum is gaining strength. The chart highlights multiple key market structure elements and confirms the potential for a bullish move.
Technical Highlights:
🔻 Strong Support Zone (3260–3280):
Price tapped into a well-defined demand zone with historical significance, initiating a bullish response.
🔺 Resistance Zone (3460+):
A strong resistance level lies ahead. This area may act as a potential target for bulls.
🔁 Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS marks on the chart indicate trend shifts and liquidity grabs. Most recent BOS aligns with potential reversal.
💹 Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A bullish FVG near mid-structure confirms institutional interest and adds confluence to the upside move.
📈 Target: 3,366.984 USD
Marked as the next probable short-term liquidity target. If momentum sustains, price may approach resistance above this.
Price Expectation:
If the current bullish momentum holds above the strong support zone, we may see a rally towards 3,366–3,400 USD.
This move could be driven by:
Buy-side liquidity grab above prior highs
Breakout traders entering above BOS
Reaction to macroeconomic calendar (highlighted on the chart)
✅ Educational Takeaway:
This is a textbook example of:
Support-resistance flip
Liquidity concepts (Buy-Side Liquidity)
Fair Value Gaps usage
Volume Profile confluence
USD/CAD) Down Trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a focus on a potential double-top formation at strong resistance, followed by a drop toward support:
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Analysis Overview
Trend Structure: Downward-sloping channel with lower highs and lower lows.
Confluence Area: The current rally is approaching both the upper channel boundary and a significant horizontal resistance zone (~1.3660–1.3700).
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Key Technical Elements
1. Resistance & Double-Top Setup
The price nears the resistance zone (yellow) where it previously reversed (noted by red arrows).
A cap-and-float pattern (double/top-like structure) is projected: price pushes higher, hesitates, tests resistance again, then fails—a sign of weakening bullish momentum.
2. EMA 200 Interaction
The 1-hour EMA 200 (blue line at ~1.3635) sits just below current price.
A failure to sustain above this level reinforces the bearish case.
3. RSI Overextension
RSI (14) is around 64–69, indicating near-overbought conditions on this timeframe, suggesting a potential pullback.
4. Price Targets
Initial target: Lower channel boundary near 1.3556 (highlighted support).
Extended target: Beneath to 1.3540, aligning with the broader Demand zone.
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Proposed Trade Setup
Step Action Level
Entry Short near top of resistance/channel (after double-top confirmation) 1.3680–1.3700
Stop-Loss Above recent high and channel resistance ~1.3720
Take Profit 1 Near EMA 200/lower channel bounce ~1.3556
Take Profit 2 Extended move to demand zone ~1.3540
Estimated Move ~1.15% drop from midday highs –
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Risk & Event Factors
Scheduled Canadian or U.S. data releases (icons shown) could introduce volatility and disrupt technical patterns.
A breakout above ~1.3720 would invalidate this bearish thesis and shift bias bullish.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Expecting a cap-and-float double-top formation at key resistance near 1.3660–1.3700, followed by a trend continuation drop toward 1.3556–1.3540. The bearish setup is supported by a down-channel structure, EMA 200 failure, and overbought RSI conditions.
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USD /CAD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, suggesting that the price is likely to drop toward the support zone. Here's the detailed idea behind the analysis:
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Chart Breakdown (2H – USD/CAD)
1. Resistance Zone (Yellow Box - Top):
Marked as a strong supply area where price has repeatedly been rejected (highlighted by red arrows).
Acts as a key zone where sellers are in control.
Also aligns with a descending trendline, reinforcing bearish pressure.
2. Support Zone (Yellow Box - Bottom):
This is the target point marked at 1.35387, which previously served as a demand zone.
The chart suggests this level as the next significant area where price might find buyers.
3. Trend Context:
Price is moving within a descending channel (black trendlines), confirming the overall downtrend.
The 200 EMA (1.36834) is acting as dynamic resistance, keeping price under pressure.
4. Projected Move (Blue Box):
Shows a potential drop of ~91 pips toward the support level.
A bearish wave is anticipated as per the black zigzag line on the chart.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near neutral (49.02 and 49.70) — suggesting no overbought/oversold conditions, but confirming lack of bullish momentum.
RSI is aligned with price trending down.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near current price or minor pullback (1.364–1.365)
Target: 1.35387 (support zone)
Invalidation: Break and close above resistance level / 200 EMA (~1.3685)
Trend: Downtrend within channel
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GBP/JPY) back bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY on the 2-hour timeframe, signaling a potential rally from a key support area. Here’s a breakdown of this analysis:
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Technical Breakdown
1. Key Support Zone (Yellow Box):
Price has pulled back to a strong support level around 196.50–197.00.
This level previously acted as resistance and now flipped to support (classic support-resistance flip), marked by the green arrow.
2. EMA 200 as Dynamic Support:
The 200 EMA (~196.567) is just below the support zone, reinforcing the likelihood of a bullish bounce from this area.
3. Bullish Price Projection:
The chart suggests a bounce off this support zone with a projected move toward the target point at 200.132, indicating a +1.71% upside.
4. RSI Indicator (14):
RSI is at 43.47, approaching the oversold region but curving upward — supporting a potential reversal to the upside.
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Forecasted Move
Expected Move: Bullish reversal from support, targeting 200.132.
The chart outlines a potential entry at current levels, with a bounce confirmed by price respecting the yellow support zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around 196.50–197.00
Stop-Loss: Below support zone (~196.00 or lower)
Take-Profit: 200.132
Confirmation: Bullish candlestick pattern or RSI crossover
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BTC/USD) Resistance level pullback Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTCUSDT), highlighting key levels and potential price movements based on trend channels, support/resistance, and RSI. Here's the breakdown:
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Key Elements in the Analysis:
1. Trend Channel:
BTC is trading within an ascending channel, indicating an ongoing bullish trend.
The recent price action hit the upper boundary (resistance) of the channel, suggesting potential for a pullback.
2. Resistance Zone:
105,586.06 is marked as a resistance level, where price faced rejection.
Strong reaction here suggests sellers are defending this area.
3. Support Zone:
A new support level is established around 98,000.
This zone aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and previous breakout structure.
4. Target Point (Bearish Projection):
The chart projects a potential drop to the 97,367.51 level, representing a ~7.4% correction.
This move mirrors the prior leg up, applying a measured move concept.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 66–71, indicating overbought conditions.
A bearish divergence or trendline break on RSI suggests weakening momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of Trading Idea:
Bias: Short-term Bearish (correction within an overall bullish trend)
Expected Move: Potential dip toward 97,367.51 support
Confirmation: Rejection at resistance, RSI divergence, and trendline break
Invalidation: A strong breakout above 105,586.06 would nullify the correction setup and favor continued bullish movement
pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTC/USD Breakdown! Bearish Target: $78K🔍 BTC/USD 30-Minute Chart Analysis
📉 Market Structure:
The chart displays an ABCDE corrective pattern, likely a descending wedge or contracting triangle, which has now broken to the downside.
Price action shows a breakout below the wedge, leading to further bearish momentum.
The 200-period moving average (red line) is acting as resistance, reinforcing the downward trend.
📊 Current Price: ~$83,057
🔻 Bearish Target: $78,049 (marked as the potential support level)
🛑 Key Observations:
Rejection from wave E indicates a lack of bullish strength.
Lower highs and lower lows confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
Potential retest of ~$85,000 before dropping further.
🚀 Trading Insights:
Bearish Bias: Short opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance.
Bullish Reversal? Look for price action near $78,049—if buyers step in, a potential bounce could occur.
⚠️ Watch out for:
Sudden Bitcoin volatility (news-driven moves).
A fake breakdown (if buyers reclaim above ~$85,000).
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Bearish Breakdown Potential – Key Support Leve:
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Resistance Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Top)
The price recently hit a resistance area around $92,000.
It also tested an ascending trendline (red line) and failed to break higher.
Support Zones (Purple Rectangles at the Bottom)
There are two significant support areas:
First zone around $87,500 - $88,000.
Second zone around $82,000 - $83,000.
Bearish Expectation (Black Arrow)
The price is projected to break down from the current level.
A potential lower high formation suggests further decline.
Target areas: $88,000 first, then possibly $82,000.
🔥 Conclusion
Bearish bias if the price fails to reclaim the resistance.
A breakdown below $88,000 could accelerate the drop.
Watch for rejection signals at resistance zones before confirming short trades.
