Market Structure: Resistance to Support TargetThe chart illustrates a clear reaction from the established resistance zone, leading to a bearish move toward the support zone. The marked target region represents the expected price objective after rejection from resistance, demonstrating clean market structure and zone-to-zone movement.
Foryourpage
XAUUSD – Potential Reversal Zone Forming After BOS & CHoCH StrucChart Analysis
Based on the structure shown in your TradingView screenshot:
1. Market Structure
The chart shows a clear bullish trend leading into the current price.
Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) marks confirm buyers have been in control.
The earlier CHoCH indicates a temporary shift, but price reclaimed bullish momentum afterward.
2. Current Zone
Price has pushed into a potential reversal or supply area, shown by the shaded region around the “ENTRY” label.
This suggests you are planning a sell (short) position from that zone.
3. Premium/Discount Logic
Price is currently in the premium zone of the swing leg.
The “50% TP” line marks the midpoint of the recent bullish impulse—typical target when expecting a corrective move.
4. Short Setup Elements
Entry: At the top of the shaded zone (likely an imbalance or order block).
Stop-Loss: Presumably above the swing high inside the grey shaded area.
Take-Profit: At the 50% retracement of the previous impulse, which aligns with structure.
5. Momentum & Candlestick Behavior
The latest candles show slowing momentum into your entry zone—wicks and smaller bodies indicate weakening buyer pressure.
This supports the idea of a potential short-term reversal.
6. What Would Invalidate the Setup?
A decisive close above the upper boundary of the shaded zone → would signal continuation upward and invalidate the short.
7. What Strengthens the Setup?
Rejection wicks
Bearish engulfing from the entry zone
Lower time-frame BOS to the downside as confirmation
GBP/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis breakdown of the GBP/JPY 1H analysis idea shown in your chart:
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Bullish Setup Explanation
The chart displays a bullish reversal setup forming inside a falling wedge pattern.
Key Technical Factors
Price has been trading inside a descending channel / falling wedge, which is typically a bullish reversal structure when appearing after a downward move.
A strong demand zone (blue box) is marked between 206.20 – 206.45, where price has bounced previously.
EMA 50 and EMA 200 are both underneath or nearby acting as dynamic support, supporting upward momentum.
Recent price action shows a break above minor structure, hinting at buyer strength.
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Entry Strategy
Buy idea after retest of supply breakout / demand zone support
Entry zone: 206.20 – 206.45
Wait for a retest and bullish confirmation (wick rejection or strong bullish candle)
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Targets
Target Level
Final Target (shown) 207.933
Intermediate target levels may be:
207.30
207.60
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Stop Loss
Below the wedge support: SL: 205.80 – 206.00 (invalidation if wedge breakout fails)
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Market Structure
Higher timeframe bias remains bullish
Current structure shows accumulation → breakout → retest → continuation
The falling wedge breakout aligns with bullish liquidity grab behavior
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Trade Plan Summary
Expect a pullback into demand zone
Look for bullish entry confirmation
Target a breakout continuation toward 207.93
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Bias
Bullish momentum expected As long as price respects 206.00, the upside is favored.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Correlation Insight
GBPJPY bullish idea aligns with:
Potential stronger GBP
Expected JPY weakness (same logic working inverse of USDJPY bearish idea)
Combined picture matches your overall market correlation model.
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EUR/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of explanation of the EUR/USD 1H analysis idea shown in your chart:
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Bullish Setup Explanation
The chart illustrates a potential bullish continuation setup after a corrective retracement.
Key Observations
Price recently showed a strong bullish impulse move upward.
Now the market is creating a pullback correction towards a discount zone (Fibonacci retracement area).
The blue zone is an institutional demand / order block area around 1.15700 – 1.15800, aligning with:
0.62 – 0.79 Fibonacci retracement
EMA 200 support
Previous structure demand
Expectation: price drops into the demand zone, forms bullish confirmation, then continues upward.
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Entry Strategy
Buy setup after rejection at Demand Zone
Buy from: 1.15700 – 1.15800
Targets
TP Level
TP1 1.16050
TP2 (main target shown) 1.16268
Stop Loss
Below zone invalidation: 1.15550 – 1.15600
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Market Structure
Higher timeframe trend bullish
Current move is corrective (retracement)
Buyers expected to step in on discount pricing region
Clean upside liquidity above recent highs creates upside target
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Trade Plan Summary
Wait for price to tap into demand (blue zone)
Look for reversal confirmation / bullish candles Enter long targeting 1.16268
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Bias
Bullish continuation expected
As long as price respects 1.15700 support, momentum remains upward.
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Mr SMC Trading point
Fundamental Note
Upcoming USD news event (red calendar icon) may act as volatility catalyst. Expect possible manipulation wicks into demand zone before real move.
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BTC/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of BTCUSDT – SMC + Channel Structure Analysis (1H Chart)
Your chart presents a well-structured ascending channel continuation model, supported by SMC concepts and EMA confluence. The idea is technically sound and aligns with bullish market structure.
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1. Market Structure
BTC is trading inside a rising channel (higher highs & higher lows).
Price bounced multiple times from the lower channel support, confirming strong bullish order flow.
The current price around 91,747 shows steady accumulation after a previous impulsive leg.
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2. Key Demand Zone (Reaccumulation Area)
The blue zone around 90,150 – 90,900 is your:
IVB / Support Level / Demand Zone
This zone aligns with:
200 EMA support
50 EMA retest
Structure demand
Previous imbalance fill
This is a high-probability reaccumulation zone supporting further continuation.
Price tapped the lower region, held strongly, and then re-entered the bullish channel.
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3. Expected Price Action
Your projection shows:
1. Price pushing upward from channel midline
2. A small pullback inside the channel
3. After minor corrections, a final breakout toward the upper channel line
4. Targeting external liquidity around 96,868
This aligns with standard:
Channel Continuation → Premium Zone → Liquidity Target
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4. Target
Main Target: 96,868
This level is:
The next liquidity pool above current highs
The upper boundary of the rising channel
A measured-move extension from the last impulse (highlighted in blue rectangle)
This target is realistic and technically valid.
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5. Summary of the Idea
Component Detail
Trend Bullish
Structure Ascending Channel
Key Support 90,150 – 90,900
Bias Continuation long
Model Accumulation → Expansion → Reaccumulation → Expansion
Target 96,868
Mr SMC Trading point
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Overall Evaluation
Your analysis is strong, logical, and consistent with SMC & market structure:
Clean channel structure
Demand zone valid
EMA confluence
Good projection of breakout
Proper target selection
This is a solid bullish continuation setup—as long as the price respects the channel support.
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAUUSD Trade Idea Breakdown (1H Chart)
Your chart reflects a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Fibonacci retracement + liquidity sweep model.
The idea is well-structured and follows a typical pullback → mitigation → expansion sequence.
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1. Current Market Structure
Price is currently around 4215.
Market is in a clear uptrend (higher highs, higher lows).
Candles show bullish momentum but the chart suggests price is in a premium zone (overbought area), due for a correction.
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2. Expected Pullback Zone (Entry Area)
You marked a high-probability discount demand zone:
Buy Zone: 4172 – 4185
This area aligns with:
Fibonacci 0.62 – 0.79
0.705 sweet-spot entry
Previous demand block
200 EMA + 50 EMA convergence acting as dynamic support
This zone is ideal for:
Liquidity grab + bullish reversal
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3. Anticipated Price Action
Your projection shows:
1. Price first drops into the blue demand zone
2. Hits the 0.705 / 0.79 fib area
3. Forms a bullish rejection
4. Then breaks structure upward
5. Begins a bullish impulse targeting new higher highs
This is a typical SMC “retrace → BOS → continuation” model.
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4. Upside Targets
You have 2 projected take-profit levels:
TP1: 4,233
First major liquidity pool
Aligns with an internal range high
Realistic target for intraday trading
TP2: 4,270
More extended target
Next external liquidity
Matches a larger swing high
Both targets fit the structure perfectly.
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5. Summary of the Idea
Component Direction
Trend Bullish
Expected move Pullback → Buy → Breakout
Buy zone 4172–4185
Confirmation Reversal + BOS
TP1 4233
TP2 4270
Mr SMC Trading point
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Overall Evaluation
Your analysis is clean, logical, and follows SMC principles correctly:
Trend aligned
Demand zone valid
FIB confluence
Multiple liquidity targets
Good structure projections
This is a strong bullish continuation setup as long as price holds above 4170.
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAUUSD – Idea of the Analysis (1H Timeframe)
1. Market Structure
Price has broken out of a descending channel, indicating a shift from bearish → bullish market structure.
After the breakout, price created higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish momentum.
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2. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Refill Zone
You marked a bullish FVG exactly where price recently retraced.
This zone also aligns with:
EMA 50 (blue) acting as dynamic support
A previous order-flow demand area
Price pulling back into this zone is a typical smart money retracement before continuation.
This makes your FVG a high-probability re-entry zone.
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3. EMA Confluence
EMA 50 is above EMA 200 → bullish trend.
Price is attempting to bounce from the EMA50 and FVG simultaneously.
EMAs supporting the FVG adds trend confirmation + strong confluence.
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4. Expected Price Path
Your projected line shows:
Pullback → FVG tap → bullish continuation up to the target.
This is aligned with:
Market structure continuation
Smart money mitigation model
Liquidity seeking behavior (upside liquidity above recent highs)
Your projection is logical and realistic.
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5. Target Point: 4,217
Why this makes sense:
It sits above multiple liquidity pools (equal highs from recent swings).
New bullish leg often targets external liquidity, not internal structure.
Fits with the current bullish structure after the breakout.
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6. Trade Idea Summary
Long Position Bias
Entry Zone:
Inside the FVG block (around 4,106–4,110)
Confirmation:
Strong bullish candle reaction
Sweep of intraday lows inside FVG
EMA50 hold
Target:
4,217
Invalidation / Stop-Loss:
Below FVG zone & EMA200 (~4,085)
Mr SMC Trading point
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7. Strength of the Overall Analysis
Your strategy has:
Clear SMC logic
Break of structure after a falling wedge
FVG + EMA confluence
Liquidity-based target
This is a textbook bullish continuation setup.
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BTC Short Supply Zone Rejection BTCUSD – Short Setup Explained (Smart Money Concept)
Price is currently trading inside a **minor consolidation zone**, showing weak bullish momentum. Market structure suggests a possible **liquidity grab** before a strong move down.
**🟧 Key Points:**
* Price may push up into the **upper supply zone** to collect liquidity.
* After grabbing liquidity, a **sharp rejection** is expected.
* Confirmation will come once price breaks below the **mid-range demand zone**.
* Final target is the **major demand zone** below, where buyers previously stepped in.
Trade Idea:**
* **Entry:** After liquidity sweep at supply
* **Stop-Loss:** Above supply zone
* **Take-Profit:** Major demand zone (bottom support)
**Bearish** – Expecting a pullback after liquidity sweep
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of breakdown of your analysis idea based on the chart you provided (XAUUSD – 4H):
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Chart Overview
Symbol: Gold Spot (XAUUSD)
Timeframe: 4H
Indicators used: EMA 50 (blue), EMA 200 (black)
Current price: ~4095.58
Key support zone: 4060 – 4075 region
Target: 4125 – 4130
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Idea Explanation
1. Market Structure
Price has recently broken upward strongly from the EMA50 zone.
Expectation: A retracement back into the Demand Zone (blue region).
Fibonacci levels shown: 0.5 / 0.618 / 0.705 / 0.786
Expected retracement point appears around 4070–4065.
2. Trade Plan
Bullish Scenario
Wait for price to retrace into the Demand Zone
Look for confirmations (rejection candle, BOS, liquidity sweep)
Enter long position between 4075 – 4065
SL likely beneath 4050–4045
TP area 4125 – 4130
3. Liquidity Concept
Chart shows a liquidity grab (sweep) below previous lows inside the demand zone
After sweep → expectation of impulsive move upward
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Target & Risk Management
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit R:R
4075–4065 4045 4125–4130 approx 1:3 – 1:4
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Summary
Bias: Bullish continuation
Strategy: Retracement to demand + Fibonacci confluence + EMA support
Target aligned with next significant high & liquidity area
Mr SMC Trading point
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My Personal Insight
This setup is clean and valid. The key will be waiting for price to confirm rejection in the zone. If news volatility pushes price deeper, 4060–4050 is strong institutional level.
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BTC/USD/ Bullish. Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of summary of this BTC/USDT H1 chart:
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Overall Bias: Bullish Short-Term
The chart shows a bullish continuation structure after mitigation of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and support from EMAs.
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Key Technical Points
Price retested and respected the FVG zone
Located around 85,300 – 86,000 area, acting as demand.
Price above EMA 50 (blue) and approaching EMA 200 (black)
→ Indicates building bullish momentum and potential trend reversal if EMA 200 breaks.
Structure
Higher lows forming
Price breaking minor structure highs
Strong bullish impulse candles
Target Zone Target highlighted near 90,000 – 90,100
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Trade Idea Concept
Entry Idea:
Look for retracement back into the FVG/EMA zone for continuation long (mitigation + breakout strategy).
TP Target:
90,000 – 90,100 resistance and liquidity level
Invalidation / Stop:
Clean break below 85,300 demand zone would negate the bullish setup.
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Smart Money Concept Perspective
FVG used as institutional demand
Liquidity grab below previous lows during correction phase
Targeting premium pricing near EMA 200 and liquidity pool
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
BTC is showing strength and continuation potential. As long as price stays above 85,300–86,000 zone, the path of least resistance is upward toward 90,000.
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USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of summary of the chart you shared (USD/JPY H1):
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Overall Bias: Bearish
The chart suggests a bearish continuation setup after a sharp impulsive drop and current corrective structure.
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Key Points in the Chart
Price currently trading below EMA 50 (blue) and EMA 200 (black)
→ Indicates shifting momentum to the downside.
Two Supply Zones / FVG Areas Highlighted
First zone around 156.80–157.00
Second zone around 156.40–156.60
Price recently mitigated the lower supply zone and rejected again, showing sellers active.
Market Structure
Lower highs & lower lows forming.
Bearish correction structure drawn (zigzag) pointing continuation lower.
Target Zone
The bearish target is marked around 154.900–155.000, a strong demand zone and liquidity pool.
Likely liquidity sweep below previous lows.
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Trade Idea Concept
Possible Entry:
Look for short entries after bearish confirmation inside one of the supply zones if price retraces.
TP Target:
154.90 – 155.00 demand zone (major target)
Invalidation:
Break & close above 157.00 invalidates bearish bias.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Smart Money Concept View
Trend transitioned after BOS
Fair Value Gap + Supply + EMAs as confluence
Targeting imbalance fill & liquidity
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Summary
The chart shows a strong probability for continued downside, aiming to fill imbalance down to 155.00 region after a corrective pullback.
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAUUSD) – Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone
1. Key Zone: Strong Demand / Rejection Area
Price has reacted multiple times inside the blue demand zone (around 4040–4035).
This zone aligns with Fibonacci levels (0.705–0.79), strengthening the bullish probability.
Each touch shows buyers stepping in (long wicks + strong rejections).
2. Falling Wedge Breakout
A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside.
Price retested the wedge but dropped again to retest deeper inside the demand zone.
A bullish continuation is expected after one more dip into the zone (green arrow).
3. EMAs: Bullish Confluence
EMA 50 and EMA 200 are close, tightening and suggesting a potential trend shift.
Price is expected to bounce off the demand zone and climb above EMAs.
4. Projected Move
After tapping the demand zone, price is expected to:
Break above recent structure highs
Build bullish momentum toward the target point: 4,143.06
SMC Trading point
5. Overall Idea
This setup indicates a bullish continuation forming after a correction.
The blue zone is the high-probability buy zone, and the projected path suggests a move toward 4143 after confirmation.
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the idea:
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Context & Structure
The market has been in an uptrend, confirmed by a strong impulsive leg upward.
The current pullback retraced into a key demand zone (highlighted blue box), aligning with:
The 0.705 – 0.79 Fibonacci retracement zone, often a high-probability reversal area.
The EMA(50) at 4,092, which provides dynamic support.
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Key Technical Elements
1. Demand Zone (Blue Box):
Price has tapped into the discount area of the previous bullish move. This area is expected to attract buyers.
2. Fibonacci Confluence:
The retracement aligns with the 70.5–79% zone, suggesting potential exhaustion of the pullback.
3. EMA Support:
EMA(50) and EMA(200) are both trending upward, reinforcing bullish structure continuation.
4. Liquidity Sweep:
The lower wick into the demand zone may represent a liquidity grab before the next bullish leg.
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Projected Scenario
Expected reaction: bullish rejection from the 0.705–0.79 zone.
Price is anticipated to form a short-term higher low and then continue upward.
Target Point: 4,161.261 — aligns with the prior swing high / equal highs liquidity area.
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Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish continuation
Entry Zone: 4,100–4,090 area (within blue zone)
Confirmation: Bullish reversal candle or break of minor internal structure upward
Target: 4,161
Invalidation: Clean break below 4,085 (below demand zone and EMAs)
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Let’s break down the technical analysis presented:
Overall Idea
The analysis suggests that Gold is likely to continue its upward movement after a possible short-term retracement. The chart projects a move toward the target point at 4,160.549.
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Key Technical Elements
1. Break of Structure / Trendline Break
A descending trendline (black) has been broken to the upside, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
The breakout candle is strong and supported by volume, confirming bullish momentum.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone
A Fair Value Gap (blue box) has been marked where price may retrace to fill imbalance before continuing higher.
This FVG area also aligns with the previous resistance turned support, adding confluence for a bullish continuation.
3. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
EMA 50 (blue): 4,016.295
EMA 200 (black): 3,965.661
Price has crossed above both EMAs, indicating a strong bullish trend shift.
A bullish EMA crossover may be forming, further confirming upward bias.
4. Projection Path
After a short retracement into the FVG zone, the expected price structure shows:
A bounce upward forming higher highs.
The final target zone is projected at 4,160.549, where a potential take-profit level lies.
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Target and Confirmation
Target Point: 4,160.549
Retracement Zone (Buy Area): Within the blue FVG zone (around 4,060–4,080 range).
Confirmation: Watch for a bullish reaction (e.g., bullish engulfing or rejection wicks) within the FVG zone before entry.
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Risk Considerations
If price closes below the FVG or drops back under 4,016 (50 EMA), it could invalidate the bullish continuation setup.
Fundamental catalysts like U.S. Dollar strength or economic data releases could cause volatility and affect momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
This analysis outlines a bullish continuation setup on Gold, expecting a pullback into the FVG for liquidity collection before resuming upward momentum toward 4,160.549.
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H timeframe, following Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and structural confluence trading. Let’s break down the full reasoning behind this setup
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Overall Concept
The chart suggests that Gold is preparing for a bullish breakout after a successful retest of the trendline and demand zone, signaling potential institutional accumulation before a push toward the target level at 4,080.231.
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Technical Breakdown
1. Market Structure
Price recently broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential change of character (ChoCH) from bearish to bullish structure.
The higher lows and multiple rejections from the blue demand zone confirm buyer interest.
The small arrow and upward projection illustrate an expected retracement and continuation pattern (impulse → correction → new impulse).
2. Key Levels
Current Price: 4,001.275
50 EMA: 4,003.110 → Price is now testing and starting to close above this level, showing renewed bullish strength.
200 EMA: 3,960.048 → Dynamic support confirming mid-term bullish bias.
Demand Zone (blue area): Around 3,985–3,995 — key zone for re-entries and confirmation of buyer defense.
Target Point: 4,080.231 (aligned with a liquidity zone or prior imbalance area).
3. Confluences
EMA Cross: Price pushing above both 50 and 200 EMA — often a signal of trend reversal strength.
Trendline Retest: The green arrow indicates a successful retest of broken resistance turned support.
Bullish Structure: Higher highs and higher lows forming above the EMAs.
Volume: 101K+ — healthy momentum supporting institutional buy continuation.
4. Expected Scenario
1. Short-term retracement into the blue demand zone or along the ascending trendline.
2. Bullish reaction (engulfing candle or rejection wick).
3. Continuation move toward the 4,080 target zone.
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Trade Idea Summary
Aspect Detail
Bias Bullish
Entry Zone 3,985 – 3,995 (demand + trendline confluence)
Stop Loss Below 3,960 (under EMA200 and previous swing low)
Take Profit 4,080
Risk-to-Reward (RR) ≈ 1:3 or better
Mr SMC Trading point
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Confirmation to Watch
Bullish candle close above 4,005 (EMA50)
Rejection from the blue demand zone
Break of short-term high around 4,015 confirming continuation
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Summary
Gold appears ready for a trend continuation following accumulation above major EMAs and a clean retest of structure. The next impulsive move is projected toward 4,080, aligning with prior liquidity and smart money target areas.
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GBP/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY (4H timeframe) based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci premium zone confluence.
Let’s break down the full analysis and idea 👇
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Overall Concept
This setup illustrates a retracement sell idea, expecting GBP/JPY to reverse from a premium Fibonacci zone (0.62–0.79) after a corrective rally.
The chart suggests price is likely to reject the supply zone and continue downward toward the 198.820 target point.
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Technical Breakdown
1. Market Structure
The overall structure has shifted bearish — price broke a prior higher low, confirming a Change of Character (ChoCH).
The move up is seen as a retracement to fill imbalance and mitigate a supply zone before continuation down.
The chart shows a lower-high formation in progress, aligning with bearish momentum.
2. Key Levels
Current Price: 201.899
50 EMA: 201.561 → currently acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA: 201.531 → additional confluence resistance level.
Premium Fibonacci Zone (0.62–0.79): 201.80–202.40 (marked by the blue area).
This is the ideal sell zone where liquidity above recent highs may be collected before the drop.
Target Point: 198.820 — previous demand zone and potential liquidity area.
3. Fibonacci & Supply Confluence
The retracement is drawn from the previous swing high to swing low.
Price has tapped into the 0.705–0.79 zone, which overlaps with the EMA resistance cluster.
Red arrow marks the potential entry trigger area where institutions may enter short.
4. Expected Price Action
1. Price rejects the blue premium zone (0.62–0.79).
2. A bearish rejection candle or engulfing pattern forms.
3. Market structure confirms with a lower low on smaller timeframes.
4. Price continues downward toward 198.820 — the target point and liquidity draw.
5. Volume & Confirmation
Volume (37.2K) indicates market participation, aligning with a potential exhaustion of buyers near resistance.
The clean liquidity sweep above EMAs supports the bearish mitigation scenario.
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Trade Idea Summary
Aspect Detail
Bias Bearish
Entry Zone 201.80 – 202.40 (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79 + supply area)
Stop Loss Above 202.60 (structure invalidation)
Take Profit 198.82 (target liquidity zone)
Risk-to-Reward (RR) ≈ 1:3 or better
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Confirmation to Watch
Bearish rejection candle or engulfing pattern within blue zone
Price holding below EMA50/200
Break of internal support confirming bearish continuation
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
GBP/JPY is showing signs of distribution after a corrective pullback into a premium zone.
The confluence of Fibonacci retracement, EMA resistance, and structure break supports a bearish continuation toward 198.820, making this a clean retracement sell setup aligned with SMC methodology.
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) — expecting a retracement into a demand/Fibonacci zone before a continuation to the upside toward the target at 4,030.68.
Here’s the detailed breakdown
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Overall Idea
The analysis suggests a pullback-entry buy scenario, where Gold is expected to retrace to a key Fibonacci confluence + trendline support zone, then resume the uptrend toward 4,030.
This setup fits the Smart Money Concept (SMC) and market structure shift logic — from bearish to bullish.
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Key Components
1. Market Structure Shift
Price broke above the descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
The pullback is seen as a retest of the breakout zone, which often becomes a new support area.
The overall expectation is for a higher-low formation, leading to continuation upward.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Zone
The 0.5–0.79 retracement area (highlighted blue box) is the ideal buy zone.
Price is expected to tap into this area before continuing higher.
The 0.705 Fibonacci level aligns with the previous structure and EMAs, adding confluence.
3. EMA Confluence
50 EMA (3,986.37) and 200 EMA (4,007.71) are key dynamic levels.
Price is retesting around the 50 EMA, which supports the idea of a bullish continuation if respected.
Once price breaks above the 200 EMA, momentum confirmation strengthens.
4. Projected Path
The expected pattern:
➤ Pullback into 0.62–0.79 zone →
➤ Formation of a higher low →
➤ Impulsive move toward 4,030.68 target point.
The projected move aligns with structure and Fibonacci extension.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Market bias: Bullish
Setup type: Retracement buy / Trend continuation
Entry zone: 3,975–3,985 (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79 area)
Target point: 4,030.68
Confirmation: Bullish rejection from zone or structure break above 4,000
Invalidation: Break below 3,960 (previous swing low)
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a clean structure suggesting continuation toward the 200 EMA. Here's the idea summary:
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Analysis Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup
1. Structure Overview:
Price is currently trading above the ascending trendline, showing a short-term bullish bias.
The 50 EMA (3,974.93) has recently been retested and held as support.
The 200 EMA (4,011.37) acts as the next resistance / target point.
2. Setup Logic:
After a breakout above the 50 EMA, price is forming a retest zone (highlighted box).
A bullish reaction from this zone aligns with the trendline confluence and EMA support.
This suggests buyers may step in again to push price higher.
3. Entry & Target:
Entry Zone: Near 3,974–3,978 (trendline + EMA confluence area).
Target: 4,011 (200 EMA / key resistance).
Stop Loss: Below 3,965 (below the trendline and retest box).
4. Market Psychology:
Recent candles show higher lows and strong bullish momentum after rejection from previous lows.
Break and retest of dynamic resistance (50 EMA) supports bullish continuation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias Entry Zone Stop Loss Target Confirmation
Bullish 3,974–3,978 <3,965 4,011 Bounce from trendline or bullish candle pattern
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AUD/USD) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of AUD/USD (Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar) – Bearish Continuation Setup
Timeframe: 1H (IC Markets)
Concepts: Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Market Structure, Fair Value Gap (FVG), EMA Confluence
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Market Structure Overview
The overall structure remains bearish, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price is trading within a descending channel, respecting both upper and lower trendlines.
The recent impulsive bearish leg suggests continuation after a corrective retracement.
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Key Technical Zones
Retracement Zone (Sell Area):
0.5 – 0.79 Fibonacci levels mark the premium short zone.
Overlaps with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and supply area, making it a strong potential sell zone.
Zone: 0.6520 – 0.6540
EMA Confluence:
EMA-50 ≈ 0.6528
EMA-200 ≈ 0.6540
Both EMAs are positioned near the FVG zone, confirming dynamic resistance.
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Scenario Plan
1. Expect a short-term retracement toward the 0.652–0.654 region.
2. Look for bearish rejection or lower-timeframe BOS confirmation within the zone.
3. Anticipate continuation to the lower channel boundary, aligning with target point 0.6458.
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Targets
Next Reaction Zone: 0.6500 (intermediate liquidity area)
Final Bearish Target: 0.6458 – marked on chart as the target point
Mr SMC Trading point
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Bias:
> Bearish – Structure, EMAs, and FVG confluence all favor a downside continuation after a corrective pullback.
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XAU/USD) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) – Bearish Continuation Setup
Timeframe: 1H (Capital.com)
Concepts: Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Trendline Break, FVG & EMA Confluence
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Market Structure Overview
The uptrend structure was recently broken, confirming a shift to bearish order flow.
Price has broken the ascending trendline, retested near the FVG / premium retracement zone, and is rejecting from the supply area.
The structure and EMAs both support further downside continuation.
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Key Technical Elements
Retracement Zone (Short Entry Area):
0.5 – 0.79 Fibonacci levels align with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), showing potential for bearish mitigation.
Price currently trading near 0.62–0.705 level (premium zone).
EMA Confluence:
EMA-50 ≈ 3,992
EMA-200 ≈ 4,024
Both EMAs are above price, acting as dynamic resistance.
Trendline Break:
The ascending trendline has been decisively broken and retested, indicating trend reversal confirmation.
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Targets
Immediate Target (0-level structure): 3,940 zone
Extended Bearish Target: 3,796 — marked as the final target point on the chart
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Scenario Plan
1. Expect minor retracement to the FVG zone (3,990–4,010).
2. Watch for bearish confirmation (rejection or lower-timeframe BOS).
3. Target downside continuation to 3,796, completing the swing projection.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Bias:
> Bearish – Market showing structure shift, EMA confluence, and FVG rejection setup aligning toward deeper downside movement.
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USD/CAD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD on the 4H t
Overall Concept
The analysis suggests a retracement entry before a continuation to the upside.
The market is currently bullish, respecting higher highs and higher lows.
The analyst expects a pullback into a discount zone (Fibonacci retracement) before a move toward the target point at 1.41464.
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Technical Breakdown
1. Trend Context
Price is trading above both the 50 EMA (1.40120) and 200 EMA (1.39622) → confirming bullish momentum.
The strong impulsive bullish candles indicate institutional buying.
2. Key Levels
Current Price: 1.40843
Retracement Zone (Potential Buy Area): Between the 0.62–0.79 Fibonacci retracement levels (≈1.4060–1.4040).
Target Point: 1.41464
3. Fibonacci Tool
The retracement tool is drawn from the most recent swing low to swing high.
The blue shaded zone marks the discount entry zone, ideal for smart money re-entry after a short pullback.
4. Expected Move
Scenario: Price retraces to the 0.62–0.79 zone (liquidity sweep or mitigation of demand)
Then: A bullish continuation toward 1.4146 target level, which aligns with previous liquidity or imbalance area.
5. Volume & Confirmation
Volume is moderate (14.73K), supporting a healthy bullish push after correction.
Candlestick structure shows strong bullish impulses with minor pullbacks → confirming buyer control.
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Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 1.4060 – 1.4040 (Fibonacci discount zone)
Stop Loss: Below 1.4020 (beneath previous structure)
Target: 1.4146
Risk-to-Reward (RR): Approximately 1:3 or better
Mr SMC Trading point
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Confirmation to Watch
Bullish rejection candle or engulfing pattern within the blue zone
EMA 50 holding as dynamic support
Possible equal highs liquidity sweep near 1.4146 as the final take-profit zone
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GBP/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of updated GBP/JPY (1H) chart 👇
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Market Bias: Bearish Continuation
Price is still respecting the descending channel and is currently in a corrective phase toward a key supply and confluence zone. The setup suggests another potential lower high forming before continuation to the downside.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Descending Channel Structure
Price remains within a clear bearish channel, creating consistent lower highs and lower lows.
The recent bullish push appears to be a corrective leg rather than a reversal.
2. EMA Dynamic Resistance
The 50 EMA (200.81) and 200 EMA (201.86) are both acting as dynamic resistance.
The zone between these EMAs aligns perfectly with the Fibonacci retracement (0.62–0.79) — a strong area for potential reversal.
3. Fibonacci Retracement
Current retracement is testing between the 0.62 (201.0) and 0.79 (201.8) levels.
This Fibonacci zone overlaps with previous structure and EMAs — forming a confluence zone for possible bearish rejection.
4. Liquidity Sweep Potential
A minor push above the 0.705–0.79 zone may grab liquidity before reversing.
This setup hints at a fakeout spike followed by a bearish impulse continuation.
5. Target Zone
The next projected move aims for the 198.820 target area, matching the previous swing low and channel support.
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Trade Plan Idea:
Entry Zone: 201.0 – 201.8 (0.62–0.79 retracement & EMA confluence)
Confirmation: Bearish candle formation or lower timeframe BOS (Break of Structure)
Stop-Loss: Above 202.0 (beyond liquidity sweep area)
Take-Profit:
TP1: 200.0 (psychological level)
TP2: 198.8 (target zone)
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Notes:
Maintain patience for clear rejection signs at the 201.0–201.8 zone before entering.
The overall bearish channel remains intact — bias stays bearish until a clean break and close above 202.0 occurs.
Avoid chasing the move early; wait for a liquidity grab confirmation.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary:
GBP/JPY remains bearish within the descending channel. Price is currently in a pullback toward the 0.62–0.79 retracement zone near 201.8, where strong resistance is expected. A rejection from this area could trigger the next bearish leg toward 198.8.
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technical analysis of your provided XAU/USD (GoldTimeframe: 15 minutes
Current Price: $3,963.81
Trend Structure: Price recently broke out from a descending channel.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: $3,920 – $3,940
Immediate Resistance: $3,980
Target Zone: $4,142
📉 Technical Breakdown
Descending Channel Breakout
The chart shows gold had been moving in a clear downward channel.
The recent candles show attempts to break above the upper trendline, suggesting potential bullish momentum building up.
Support Level
A strong demand zone is visible around $3,920 – $3,940.
This zone has been marked as a possible retest area before continuation to the upside.
Price Projection
The chart projects a bullish scenario, where price may retrace slightly to support before targeting the $4,142.60 level.
This suggests a swing-buy setup, with confirmation depending on a strong bounce from the support level.
Market Structure
The formation of higher lows near the lower boundary of the channel signals momentum reversal.
A confirmed breakout with volume above $3,980 will lik TVC:GR10Y TVC:GR02Y EURONEXT:PSI1! EURONEXT:EV6X2025 EURONEXT:GE8Z2025 EURONEXT:PO6X2025 ely validate the bullish continuation.
🎯 Trading Plan Suggestion (Analytical View)
Buy Zone: $3,940 – $3,950 (after confirmation candle)
Take Profit Target: $4,142
Stop Loss: Below $3,915 (to protect against false breakout)
⚠️ Notes
Watch for price rejection near $3,980, as it could form temporary consolidation. EURONEXT:PO6X2025 EURONEXT:SNAX2025 EURONEXT:EV8Z2025 EURONEXT:PSI1! EURONEXT:XA8Z2025 EURONEXT:XA6X2025 EURONEXT:PO8Z2025
If price closes below $3,920, bearish momentum may resume.






















