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Bitcoin & Mining Stocks Analysis: 2026 Recovery Trade Market Overview Bitcoin has kicked off 2026 with strong momentum, breaking through $94,000 and delivering impressive gains in the first week. This rally has breathed new life into mining stocks, with hashprice (daily revenue per unit of hashpower) climbing to $40/PH/s after bottoming in Q4 2025. Key Price Action: MARA, CleanSpark: +10% (5-day) BitFuFu: +25% (5-day) BTC: Currently ~$94K (down 44% from Oct 2025 ATH of $126K) Bitcoin Price Catalysts Macro Tailwinds According to Grayscale's 2026 outlook, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates at least twice this year (74% probability). This dovish monetary policy historically favors store-of-value assets, and Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as "digital gold" by institutional allocators. K33 Research attributes the 2025 decline to "temporary leverage imbalances" and "localized bubbles" rather than fundamental deterioration. The current price represents a 24% pullback from Trump's inauguration day levels ($109K), creating what many analysts view as a compelling entry point for institutional re-accumulation. Bitcoin spot ETFs have shown remarkable buying pressure in early 2026. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas reports approximately $1.2 billion in net inflows in just the first two days of January. Annualized, this trajectory points toward $150 billion in fresh capital allocation. Regulatory Clarity Ahead The CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) is expected to face a Senate vote by end of January. This legislation would: Classify Bitcoin and Ethereum as digital commodities under CFTC oversight Establish clear registration requirements for exchanges and brokers Provide safe harbor for sufficiently decentralized DeFi protocols Enable traditional banks to custody Bitcoin with regulatory certainty Passage would mark Bitcoin's formal integration into mainstream U.S. financial infrastructure, potentially unlocking pension fund and long-term institutional capital. Price Targets for 2026 Bullish Case (JPMorgan, Bitwise): Target: $120,000 - $170,000 Thesis: Vertical institutional integration via ETFs may break traditional 4-year cycles Cautious Case (Galaxy, IG): Support level: $70,000 Watch: Mid-year pullback if $100K fails to hold as support Mining Sector Fundamentals Hashprice Recovery After hitting a cycle low of $36.25/PH/s in December 2025, hashprice has rebounded to $40/PH/s as Bitcoin recovered above $90K. This metric directly impacts miner profitability and is the most important operational KPI for the sector. Equipment Costs Collapsing Bitmain's S19 XP+ Hydro: $4/TH (down 60% from 2024 peaks) S19 series entry models: $3/TH This creates acquisition opportunities for well-capitalized miners and reduces CapEx burdens industry-wide. Additionally, U.S. tax law will allow full depreciation of mining equipment in 2026, significantly improving after-tax cash flows. Network Hashrate Stabilizing 2025 growth: 795 EH/s → 1,045 EH/s (+30%) Recent trend: Essentially flat over past 90 days Outlook: Minimal expansion expected in 2026 According to Luxor, network difficulty dropped 1.20% on January 8. If Bitcoin experiences further weakness, inefficient small-scale miners will be forced offline, accelerating market share consolidation toward publicly-traded leaders. Sector Rotation: AI/HPC vs. Pure-Play Mining 2025's Winners: AI Pivots Mining stocks dramatically outperformed Bitcoin in 2025 (+152% vs. -10%), driven by companies pivoting power capacity toward AI and high-performance computing: IREN: +328% Cipher Mining (CIFR): +252% However, recent announcements of Microsoft and Amazon partnerships triggered 50% pullbacks in IREN and CIFR, suggesting the market may have front-run the AI thesis. Emerging Concerns According to CCN, public miners have raised over $4.6 billion in debt/convertible notes to fund growth. Investors are increasingly concerned about interest expense if AI demand cools or margins compress. Later-stage AI pivot announcements have received lukewarm reception from Wall Street. Investment Opportunities for 2026 CleanSpark (CLSK) - Leading Pure-Play with Optionality Current hashrate: 50 EH/s (industry-leading efficiency) FY2025 revenue: $766M (+102% YoY) Bitcoin produced: 7,746 BTC Treasury holdings: ~13,099 BTC Strategic pivot: Converting Atlanta sites to HPC hosting BTIG price target: $26 (thesis: re-rate from miner to data center) Average analyst target implies +135% upside Currently trading at significant discount to AI-pivoted peers BitFuFu (FUFU) - Deep Value Play Market cap: ~$500M Revenue trajectory: $198M → $463M over 3 years 9M 2025 revenue: $374M Price/Sales: 1.2x (vs. CleanSpark's 6-8x) Operational Strengths: Diversified revenue: cloud hashrate, hosting, equipment sales Treasury: ~1,780 BTC December operations: Mined 3,662 BTC in 2025 while reducing leverage Stable cash flows independent of AI/HPC exposure Average analyst target: $6.45 (+130% upside) Trading at steep discount due to lack of AI narrative Critical Upcoming Events: Network difficulty adjustment (January 8) CLARITY Act Senate vote (end of January) Federal Reserve meeting (March) Structural Risks: High sector leverage ($4.6B+ in debt across public miners) Bitcoin volatility exposure Regulatory uncertainty if CLARITY Act fails AI/HPC margin compression for pivoted miners Trading Strategy For aggressive traders: CleanSpark offers leveraged Bitcoin beta with AI/HPC optionality still unpriced For value investors: BitFuFu presents compelling risk/reward with 1.2x P/S and stable cash flows Risk management: Size positions for high volatility; key support for BTC at $70K, resistance at $100K This analysis is for informational purposes only. Cryptocurrency and mining stock investments carry substantial risk. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

Mining in August: Efficiency, Valuation Gaps, Diversification From Block Rewards to Capital Strategies The Bitcoin mining industry has entered a transformative stage in 2025, driven by both market dynamics and major corporate developments. In the U.S., American Bitcoin (ABTC)—backed by the Trump family and Hut 8—debuted on Nasdaq through a reverse merger with Gryphon Digital Mining, closing its first day at a valuation of $7.3 billion. Other listed miners such as IREN and Cipher have also gained momentum as they expand into HPC services. These shifts reflect a broader transformation: mining is evolving beyond block rewards into diversified infrastructure and capital strategies. From a network perspective, fundamentals remain exceptionally strong. According to Glassnode, Bitcoin’s 7-day average hashrate surpassed 1 ZH/s (1,000 EH/s) in early September for the first time in history, marking a symbolic transition into the “zetahash era.” Simultaneously, CoinWarz reported that network difficulty hit a record 129.7 T in late August, a 6.4% increase over the prior 90 days. In terms of market concentration, CloverPool data indicates that Foundry USA, AntPool, and ViaBTC collectively control nearly 60% of total network hashrate, while publicly listed mining companies already contribute close to 40% of the network’s computing power. This pattern illustrates a steadily consolidating industry, where scale and efficiency are increasingly rewarded, while smaller operators face heightened challenges in competing on cost and capital access. For miners, the recent increase in network difficulty has not been fully matched by revenue growth. Hashrate Index data shows that hashprice currently stands at $55–60 per PH/s per day, even with Bitcoin trading above $110,000. This reflects the subdued state of the fee market. According to Galaxy Digital, transaction fees contributed less than 0.8% of block rewards in August 2025, one of the lowest levels in recent years. As a result, miner revenue is now primarily determined by block subsidies, highlighting the sector’s growing dependence on efficiency and scale in sustaining operations. Operation indicators and Valuations Cleanspark Deployed hashrate: 50 EH/s Current capacity: 1,030 MW Bitcoin holdings: 12,807 BTC Efficiency: 16.07 J/TH EV per EH/s: ~49.2 Riot Platforms Deployed hashrate: 36.4 EH/s Current capacity: N/A Bitcoin holdings: 19,309 BTC Efficiency: 21.0 J/TH EV per EH/s: ~148.9 BitFuFu Deployed hashrate: 35.6 EH/s Current capacity: 628 MW Bitcoin holdings: 1,899 BTC Efficiency: 17.5 J/TH EV per EH/s: ~16.1 Cango Deployed hashrate: 50 EH/s Current capacity: N/A Bitcoin holdings: 5,193 BTC Efficiency: N/A EV per EH/s: ~5.1 Hut 8 Deployed hashrate: 18.5 EH/s Current capacity: 762 MW Bitcoin holdings: 10,667 BTC Efficiency: N/A EV per EH/s: ~154.1 Efficiency has become a defining metric in today’s mining landscape, and the contrast between company performance and market valuation is particularly clear in BitFuFu’s case. With an operating efficiency of 17.5 J/TH, BitFuFu is positioned close to the top tier of the industry—narrowly behind CleanSpark’s 16.07 J/TH and ahead of Riot’s 21 J/TH. Despite this, its valuation sits at only $16.1M EV per EH/s, a steep discount compared with Riot at $148.9M and Hut 8 at $154.1M. Such a gap indicates that markets are rewarding brand visibility and balance-sheet holdings more heavily than operational cost advantages, leaving room for companies with disciplined efficiency to be re-rated over time. Both Riot and BitFuFu have explicitly highlighted strategies aimed at further boosting efficiency in their core mining operations. These include ongoing maintenance programs to maximize fleet stability, selective upgrades of older machines to next-generation models, and targeted acquisitions of mining sites in regions with structurally lower energy prices. Taken together, these initiatives reinforce the critical role of efficiency as the real moat in a high-difficulty, low-fee environment, while also pointing to the potential for re-rating as markets recognize the long-term value embedded in such operational discipline. Peer Comparison: Hashrate, Efficiency, and the Valuation Divide Overall, the Bitcoin mining landscape in August 2025 is defined by sharp contrasts. At the macro level, hashrate has surpassed 1 ZH/s and difficulty reached record highs, while the fee market has contracted sharply. This directly pressures self-mining operators reliant on block rewards and fees, but only indirectly affects cloud-mining platforms whose revenues are primarily service-fee based. As a result, cloud-mining models, with their relative insulation from fee volatility and more stable cash flows, may demonstrate greater long-term resilience. At the micro level, valuation gaps among listed miners show that the market is placing increasing emphasis on efficiency, capital strategy, and balance-sheet positioning rather than scale alone. This explains why companies with similar hashrates trade at vastly different multiples. Put differently, such dispersion presents both risks—where certain miners may be overvalued—and opportunities—where efficient yet undervalued players may see re-rating as their operational discipline gains recognition. From an investment perspective, miners that combine efficiency leadership with strong capital market narratives and financial discipline appear best positioned. Looking ahead, diversification into artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) offers a compelling new growth avenue. Companies such as Hive and BitFuFu have already begun investing in these areas, both to hedge against mining revenue volatility and to reposition mining infrastructure as multi-purpose computing platforms. This transition not only strengthens long-term resilience but could also serve as a key catalyst for the sector’s next wave of valuation reappraisal. In conclusion, only miners that achieve advantages across efficiency, capital strategy, and diversification are likely to build sustainable long-term competitiveness in the evolving industry landscape.

A BTC Mining Company that just went public a few months ago It looks like a BTC mining company that recently went public on the stock market is stocking up. I'm thinking of taking advantage of the potential rebound with a upcoming Bitcoin bullrun surpassing its all-time high sometime between now and the end of the year.

FUFU a crypto junior miner near penny LONG FUFU went public visa a SAPC ; It is a crypotminer from Singapore. Market cap is SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B and the price to sales is 4. On the 30 minute chart with a set of anchored VWAP lines and a predictive algo based on Gaussian regression lines by LuxAlgo., price is seen first in a VWAP breakout into above the third upper VWAP lines peaking on Match 6 and then a gradual full retracement over the 4 days that follow. It is now under that lowe third VWAP line.The range percentage was about 100%. I now see this as a long trade with 100% upside to the Fibonacci level of the downtrend.

Degen Trading ? : FUFU I Like FUFU Token.😍 Disclaimer A crypto degen is a cryptocurrency trader who frequently engages in highly speculative and risky trades. “Degen isn’t a community, degen is a way of life About Fufu Token With inspiration drawn from the Chinese Fu Dog, this AI-backed meme token The dynamic world of crypto seems to have embraced an undying meme culture as part of its evolution, given the successes of memecoin predecessors like Shib, Doge, and, more recently, Pepe. FuFuToken ($FUFU) has entered the scene as a pioneering addition to the Ethereum meme token landscape, drawing creative inspiration from the Chinese Fu Dog. It pays homage to the Chinese Fu Dog, also known as Foo Dog, although it's worth noting that in translation, it signifies a "lion" rather than a dog, symbolizing guardianship and prosperity. ..................................................................................................................... We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature. and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.

FuFu Token, Chinese Fu Dog With inspiration drawn from the Chinese Fu Dog, this AI-backed meme token The dynamic world of crypto seems to have embraced an undying meme culture as part of its evolution. With a fixed supply totaling 8,888,888,888.00 tokens, FuFu Token distinguishes itself as the first-ever AI-backed Chinese Fu dog meme token on the Ethereum blockchain. Intriguingly, during the Chinese New Year, individuals traditionally place coins at the paws of Fu Dog statues as a gesture to invite good luck. FuFuToken aims to capture the essence of this cultural symbol and bring it into the decentralized world of cryptocurrency. ..................................................................................................................... We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature. and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing. This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.