DXY Breakout Beyond 98.6 — Fed Cuts 25bps, New Structural Terrai🧭 Context
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has pushed above 98.6 for the first time , powered by heavy institutional volume and a fresh wave of macro catalysts.
The Federal Reserve delivered a 25 bps rate cut, bringing the federal funds target range to 4.75 – 5.00 % — its first reduction since the easing cycle began in September.
Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that further cuts will depend on data trajectory, particularly inflation and employment stability.
Bond markets reacted swiftly:
10-year Treasury yield: dipped from 4.18 % → 4.05 %.
S&P 500 futures: modestly higher (+0.3 %) as lower yields eased risk pressure.
Gold (XAU/USD): steady near $2 435 as traders weighed dollar strength against yield softness.
📊 Technical Frame
If close > 98.80: confirms bullish structural regime — fresh momentum across USD pairs.
If re-enter < 98.60: false break → likely liquidity retest.
Volume expansion validates the move
Cross-asset implication: risk pairs (EUR/USD, XAU/USD, BTC/USD) now operate on new structural geometry.
🗓 Fundamental Pulse
✅ Today: FOMC Rate Decision (-25 bps)
🕓 Powell Presser: cautious tone, data-dependent policy
📅 Tomorrow: U.S. GDP (Q3 advance) + Unemployment Claims
📅 Friday: Core PCE — key Fed inflation gauge
Each print will shape the next confirmation wave of this breakout.
💭 Mindset
News creates noise. Structure creates order.
Volume shows intent, but confirmation proves it.
The disciplined trader waits for structure to speak before taking action.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
