GBP/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY 1H – SMC + Technical breakdown based exactly on the chart you shared:
---
Market Structure
Market has shifted bullish after:
A strong impulsive move up
Followed by a corrective pullback
Recent candles show break of the descending correction trendline, confirming:
> Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bullish continuation
---
EMA Confirmation
EMA 50 ≈ 206.66
EMA 200 ≈ 206.17
Price:
Rejected strongly from EMA 200
Now trading above EMA 50
This confirms:
> Trend realignment to the upside
---
Fibonacci Confluence
Your fib is drawn perfectly:
0.62 – 0.79 retracement zone aligns with:
EMA 200
Structural demand
Trendline support
→ This forms a high-probability institutional buy zone.
---
SMC Logic
Sequence visible:
1. Bullish impulse
2. Deep pullback into discount (0.62–0.79)
3. Liquidity sweep below the low
4. Strong bullish displacement
5. Break of corrective structure
This is a classic SMC bullish continuation model.
---
Key Levels
Strong Demand: 206.00 – 206.30
Mid Support: 206.60
Breakout Level: 207.00
Major Target / Liquidity: 208.19 (your marked target)
---
Trade Idea (From Your Chart)
Buy Setup
Entry Zone: 206.60 – 206.90
Stop Loss: Below demand → 205.85
Target 1: 207.40
Final Target: 208.20
Risk : Reward: 1:3+
---
Projected Price Path
Minor pullback → Higher low → Strong impulsive rally
Final expansion into:
Previous high
Liquidity pool at 208.19
Premium zone
---
Invalidation Criteria
This bullish setup is invalid if:
H1 candle closes below 205.85
Or price re-enters and holds below EMA 200
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Final Verdict
Trend: Bullish continuation
Structure: Break of bearish correction
Entry: Fib discount + EMA 200 + Demand
Target: 208.19 liquidity
Bias: BUY on pullbacks
---
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Gbjpy
GBPJPY LOCAL SHORT|
✅GBPJPY is extending into a premium pocket after displacing above the short-term high, and a corrective swing is likely to draw back toward the inefficiency below. I expect a clean retest of the supply rejection before the next leg into the target zone.Time Frame 4H
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
GBP/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY (4H timeframe) based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci premium zone confluence.
Let’s break down the full analysis and idea 👇
---
Overall Concept
This setup illustrates a retracement sell idea, expecting GBP/JPY to reverse from a premium Fibonacci zone (0.62–0.79) after a corrective rally.
The chart suggests price is likely to reject the supply zone and continue downward toward the 198.820 target point.
---
Technical Breakdown
1. Market Structure
The overall structure has shifted bearish — price broke a prior higher low, confirming a Change of Character (ChoCH).
The move up is seen as a retracement to fill imbalance and mitigate a supply zone before continuation down.
The chart shows a lower-high formation in progress, aligning with bearish momentum.
2. Key Levels
Current Price: 201.899
50 EMA: 201.561 → currently acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA: 201.531 → additional confluence resistance level.
Premium Fibonacci Zone (0.62–0.79): 201.80–202.40 (marked by the blue area).
This is the ideal sell zone where liquidity above recent highs may be collected before the drop.
Target Point: 198.820 — previous demand zone and potential liquidity area.
3. Fibonacci & Supply Confluence
The retracement is drawn from the previous swing high to swing low.
Price has tapped into the 0.705–0.79 zone, which overlaps with the EMA resistance cluster.
Red arrow marks the potential entry trigger area where institutions may enter short.
4. Expected Price Action
1. Price rejects the blue premium zone (0.62–0.79).
2. A bearish rejection candle or engulfing pattern forms.
3. Market structure confirms with a lower low on smaller timeframes.
4. Price continues downward toward 198.820 — the target point and liquidity draw.
5. Volume & Confirmation
Volume (37.2K) indicates market participation, aligning with a potential exhaustion of buyers near resistance.
The clean liquidity sweep above EMAs supports the bearish mitigation scenario.
---
Trade Idea Summary
Aspect Detail
Bias Bearish
Entry Zone 201.80 – 202.40 (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79 + supply area)
Stop Loss Above 202.60 (structure invalidation)
Take Profit 198.82 (target liquidity zone)
Risk-to-Reward (RR) ≈ 1:3 or better
---
Confirmation to Watch
Bearish rejection candle or engulfing pattern within blue zone
Price holding below EMA50/200
Break of internal support confirming bearish continuation
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary
GBP/JPY is showing signs of distribution after a corrective pullback into a premium zone.
The confluence of Fibonacci retracement, EMA resistance, and structure break supports a bearish continuation toward 198.820, making this a clean retracement sell setup aligned with SMC methodology.
---
please support boost 🚀 this analysis
GJ 2H, TRADE IDEA OCT, 9TH 2025.The current overall Trend is strongly bullish as the pound paired Japanese currency has been pushing for days now, but for now has a pause in other to drop some steam i see, so i expect price to reverse from the marked out points of perspective if not then we would reconsider a continuation to the above external extremes, so price is still bullish but on a retracement because there's a huge gap let below before it made a move up previously so if price drops further in the NY Open then that would confirm a reversal downwards.
GBPJPY 4H IDEA FOR 29TH SEP, 2025.The Pound Japanese yen has been dropping since the Asian session since the beginning of the new trading week, as my BIAS for the pair is bearish for the session and may continue lower for the coming session, with no major news coming in for the day, except for the dollar. lets see if the volume would affect the pair.
GBPJPY Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 188.12
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 190.71
Safe Stop Loss - 186.87
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY: Long Signal Explained
GBPJPY
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GBPJPY
Entry Point - 190.65
Stop Loss - 189.12
Take Profit - 193.80
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GBPJPY SELL OVERVIEW (2D TF UPDATE)📈First update of the week - GBPJPY! Bullish momentum is slowing down, as we get near to the top. Institutional money managers are opening their sellers order, making GBPJPY go into a redistribution phase. We should see more & more sell orders being opened & the official downtrend start very soon, around January 2024. Which is just over a month & a half away😉
Gj drops to HELL !!!!As we seen last week price was ranging the whole week before doing a 600pip drop! Just to end up right back in the same exact range that it dropped from 181.000 - 182.000. To me that says a lot especially looking from the daily timeframe and not allowing the smaller timeframes to throw off my game. I am interested to see what price does exactly next week. Happy trading Traders!!
Set ups for GBPJPY - Buy & SellD,4H,1H,15M time frames are bullish.
1st set up - BUY
entry target is 175.222 just waiting for the 15m/1h rejection before entering.
2nd entry at 175.396 (5min/15min Time frame) with 176.400/176.300 as target (previous high)
111 pips
2nd set up - SELL
if price breaks below 175.170 5/15 min time frame, will go in for a sell 174.435
73 pips
Anyone got similar set up for today?
GBP/JPY Short OpportunityFX:GBPJPY
We finally see some strength coming back in the Yen.
We have hit the bottom the Daily Range and might see some upside momentum coming in, before we go down further for a bigger down push.
With the Help of our TDT Reich System we will wait for the right opportunity to enter the Market, likely on the Hourly.
GBJPY Blending Smart Money Concepts with Long Money ConceptsSmart Money Concepts since its inception with ICT have polarized the trading community mostly in a positive way, and I think said concepts are more handy for traders who have experienced many cycles in the market and are looking to refine their edge
with the advancing technology and the transaction basis of today's exchanges based on a liquidity perspective.
ICT has pioneered a new way of understanding liquidity especially on the granular side of trading, but most traders, including myself, that don't have the edge which is tenure and experience, these concepts are too simple for a complex sport, and the play book of course
is tailored to the team's strength and weaknesses.
One thing I have noticed in the trading community is that since there is no barrier to entry, like any entry level job, without the experience you cannot expect to make much off trading in the beginning phases as a trader. You have to study theory, history, psychology, and just the environment around the ticker
and tape to really grasp the notion of the science. Yes, trading is a zero sum game, but let us not get lost in that saying because mostly everything in life is zero sum. Ying and Yang.
As of recently I stopped annotating things like break of structures to define trends, chochs, and unnecessary order blocks. Think about it. What really is a break of structure?
What is really a change of character?
Liquidity Sweep?
Imbalance?
Think about it all these terms coincide with events that in reality define a certain market personality. To my perspective, none of these terms actually exist on the chart.
If you go by the assumption that pricing has already accounted for the events in the then to now, then in reality, there is no real imbalance, liquidity sweep are just market fluctuations, and a choch is literally price curb tailing itself in the other direction, simply put.
But then you have to ask yourself the famous SMC question.
Where am I in structure?
That's where the SMC free trial ends, and the error begins, now you have to buy the course from your mentor.
One thing I'm learning is that in today's timeline, instant gratification is the reason why most traders give up.
This takes time. Trading isn't a game like they say. It's not a job either. It's an understanding.
It's a language.
SMC is very powerful yes, especially for intraday traders, but for me, it's not enough to draw an actual framework that can be fractalized, besides the order blocks, which are subjective.
The market moves with intentions, and regulated prices stop on the weekend, because guess what, it's the weekend and the market makers, liquidity providers, and large speculators have lives too.
But that doesn't the intentions aren't still there.
Frequency, tonality, personality, and modes are codified in the market just as any word coming out of your mouth. It's a language. And no fluent speaker learned to speak what they speak overnight.
It takes time. Fall in love with learning this new language.
GBPJPY ! getting good enough support long tradeHello traders 👋
Although GBPJPY has formed a double bottom pattern around 160.300 and is rising, It settled at the previous strong key level of 163.600 and showed a short-term decline.A long trading prediction is that the short-term bearish trendline will break down.
is GJ forming a symmetric or an Ascending triangle?as we monitor gbpjpy we can see it forming a symmetric triangle
> for the sake of this trade/profit we will assume that it is.
most profit potential is on the 2-day chart
key point:
. Resistance:
> after the breakout, of the previous resistance 157, we see GJ made a high of 168 also failing to break this twice we can call this our roof
> after 168 we see gj failing to stay above 166 with that we can draw a counter trend line going down by two
> it is possible to see gj eventually reacting to 164 level but i believe 166 is a more interesting area
. Support:
> after getting rejected at 168 we see price bounce off levels 151 to 156.5 now it is at 161.5
> with that we can see trend line with a rate of 5
take away:
> gj is on the verge on forming a symmetric triangle
> keynote that boost my confidence with this analysis is with the sell off last week we still see gj managing to close inside this triangle
> we should see gj bounce off from 161 to 164 or possible 166
outlook:
> if we are not in this buy, we will watch gj's buy up to 164/166 on the 2/3 day
> if there is a breach of on the 2/3 day, we can assume two things: there is a breakout or there is a trend break to the larger ascending triangle
>we will classify it as a breach when price opens or closes out of the symmetric triangle
NB: IF THERE IS A BREACH OUT OF THE SYMMETRIC TRIANGLE THEN PRICE IS REACTING TO THE LARGER TREND ASCENDING TRIANGLE WITH THAT, WE SHOULD SEE PRICE RETEST 168 LEVEL.
> After that we take profit and wait for more information to determine our bias






















