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Gbpjpyshort

GBP/JPY Short Trade Setup – H1 TimeframeFollowing last week’s gap open after the Japanese elections, GBP/JPY has shown significant signs of distribution on the 1-hour chart. Many traders entered short positions prematurely during the immediate post-gap volatility, resulting in widespread stop-outs and losses. Today, the UK CPI print came in at 4.0%, marking the highest inflation level since 2020. This stronger-than-expected inflation data initially supported the pound, but price action now appears to be exhausting into key resistance, suggesting a potential short opportunity. I initiated a short position at 203.30—an early entry anticipating further weakness. However, based on the current structure and my technical levels, there is still a valid opportunity to enter now with proper confirmation and alignment to my key levels. Note: Risk management remains paramount. Ensure your position sizing, stop placement, and trade plan are consistent with your overall trading strategy.
Short
by Akhilrajfx
GBP/JPY Price Outlook – Trade SetupOANDA:GBPJPY 📊 Technical Structure GBP/JPY has extended its reversal, trading near 201.80 after dropping from highs around 203.50. The chart highlights a resistance zone at 202.07–202.19 and a support zone at 200.25–200.45. If the pair retests the resistance zone and fails to break higher, it could resume its downtrend toward the support zone. A decisive break below 200.25 would confirm a bearish continuation, while a move above 202.40 would negate the bearish outlook. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 202.07–202.19 (sell near resistance) Stop Loss: 202.38 Take Profit 1: 201.20 Take Profit 2: 200.45 Take Profit 3: 200.25 Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.89 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Support Zone: 200.25–200.45 Resistance Zone: 202.07–202.19 Trend Bias: Bearish below 202.40 🌍 Macro Background The Pound weakened sharply against the Yen after UK labour data disappointed. The UK jobless rate rose to 4.8%, up from 4.7%, while net employment growth slowed to 91K from 232K, signalling cooling in the labour market. This undercut GBP sentiment. On the Yen side, risk aversion stemming from renewed US–China trade tensions supported safe-haven flows, while speculation of possible BoJ intervention to stabilize FX further bolstered JPY. Political uncertainty in Japan following the LDP–Komeito split remains a factor, but rising expectations for a future BoJ rate hike continue to lend medium-term support to the Yen. Overall, the fundamentals tilt bearish for GBP/JPY, with the pair likely to stay under pressure unless UK data or BoE signals a hawkish surprise. 📌 Trade Summary GBP/JPY remains bearish below 202.40. Short opportunities near the resistance zone 202.07–202.19 offer attractive risk/reward, targeting 200.45–200.25 support. A break below 200.25 would confirm further downside momentum. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
GBPJPY Bulls Exhausted at 205 Yen Strength Could Drag Pair 199GBPJPY has been on an impressive run, briefly pushing above 205.00 before hitting strong resistance. The recent pullback highlights growing yen resilience as political uncertainty in Japan coincides with a more cautious tone around UK growth. While GBP still carries yield support from the Bank of England’s relatively tighter stance, the technical rejection sets up room for sellers to test lower levels, with 199.00 acting as a key target. Current Bias Bearish – Momentum has turned lower after failing to hold above 205.00, with the path of least resistance pointing down. Key Fundamental Drivers UK (GBP): The UK economy remains fragile, with weak retail sales and political uncertainty weighing on sterling. The BoE has slowed its hiking cycle and markets now expect a gradual easing path. Japan (JPY): BOJ’s ultra-loose stance keeps yen weak overall, but safe-haven demand and political speculation around opposition parties have provided near-term strength. Yield Differential: GBP still holds a rate advantage over JPY, but the market appears increasingly focused on growth risks in the UK. Macro Context Interest Rates: BoE is leaning toward eventual cuts in 2026, but inflation stickiness prevents an immediate dovish pivot. BOJ remains accommodative, though political shifts could lead to more hawkish expectations in the medium term. Economic Growth: UK growth outlook is subdued, while Japan’s modest wage growth supports consumption but not enough to shift BOJ policy yet. Geopolitics: Broader trade/tariff headlines and risk sentiment tilt in favor of JPY as a haven when global equities wobble. Primary Risk to the Trend A renewed push higher in UK CPI or stronger-than-expected GDP could revive GBP strength and drive a retest of the 205.00 area. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event UK CPI release – inflation data will set expectations for BoE’s forward guidance. Japanese political developments – potential election announcements could shift JPY sentiment. Leader/Lagger Dynamics GBPJPY is a leader among GBP crosses, often driving directional bias in pairs like GBPCAD and GBPCHF. It also reacts as a lagger to USDJPY, with broader yen flows dictating intraday moves. Key Levels Support Levels: 201.80 198.85 Resistance Levels: 203.95 205.30 Stop Loss (SL): 205.30 Take Profit (TP): 198.85 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints GBPJPY has shifted from bullish to bearish after rejecting resistance at 205.00, with sellers now eyeing a corrective move toward 198.85. A protective stop sits at 205.30, while the primary take-profit zone lies near 199.00. The balance between UK inflation risks and Japanese political headlines will steer momentum, but for now, the bias favors yen strength over sterling resilience.
Short
by ultreosforex
5
GBPJPY Short Trade OpportunityFollowing on from our previous discussion in the last video, a selling opportunity has appeared on the pound-yen trading chart. This is evident, considering the 4 factors or confluences below: 1. The bearish engulfing candlestick pattern within the bearish order block (looking at only the real bodies of both the bullish and bearish candles). 2. The bearish order block itself. 3. The fair value gaps before the formation of the candlestick pattern. 4. The total gap in price over the last weekend.
Short
by charles-okoukoni
GJ 2H, TRADE IDEA OCT, 9TH 2025.The current overall Trend is strongly bullish as the pound paired Japanese currency has been pushing for days now, but for now has a pause in other to drop some steam i see, so i expect price to reverse from the marked out points of perspective if not then we would reconsider a continuation to the above external extremes, so price is still bullish but on a retracement because there's a huge gap let below before it made a move up previously so if price drops further in the NY Open then that would confirm a reversal downwards.
Short
by BlaedTrading
GBP/JPY Best Place For Sell Cleared After This Massive Move !Here is my opinion on Daily T.F On GBP/JPY Chart , the price Very Near to touch a very strong res area that forced the price to respect it and go down for more than 500 pips for 1 time , and if we checked the chart we will see that the price is going up very hard without any correction so we need a very strong res area to force the price to go down at least for 300 pips so i choose this area cuz it`s the highest place the price touch it and it respect it very much and go down very hard as it go up very hard , so i`m waiting the price at this area to sell it and targeting from 100 to 300 pips . if we have a daily closure above my res area this idea will not be valid anymore . Entry Reasons : 1- Very Strong Daily & Weekly Res Area . 2- Perfect Bearish Price Action Last Time . 3- Bigger Time Frames Confirmed .
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
6
GBPJPY 2H, TRADE IDEA FOR 30, SEPT 2025.Price successfully broke through the previous day's low and also swept the asian low range and structure, which forms my BIAS for the day bearish as price currently broke a structure, will it hold? as price moves further down to find a next balance. As usual, my calls or analysis are based on what we see, the current Bias, and from a probability standpoint, meaning that this projection may be or may not be validated, so tread carefully, and as usual, this is not financial advice, trade responsibly
Short
by BlaedTrading
GBPJPY Testing Support, Can the Bulls Hold the Line?GBPJPY has dipped back into the 199.00 region after a sharp rejection from the 201.20 highs. This zone has been acting as a key support in recent weeks, and price is consolidating around it. With the pound still pressured by dovish BoE sentiment and the yen moving in line with risk flows, the battle at this support could decide whether GBPJPY gears up for another push higher or slides into a deeper retracement. Current Bias Neutral-to-bullish – price is holding near key support, but further confirmation is needed before upside momentum resumes. Key Fundamental Drivers GBP is under pressure from softer growth and expectations of BoE cuts, but still has a yield advantage over JPY. JPY remains fundamentally weaker under ultra-loose BoJ policy, though it gains in risk-off. Recent tariffs and global uncertainty benefit JPY, but rate spreads limit downside. Bank of England: Shift toward rate cuts later this year continues to weigh on GBP. Bank of Japan: Ultra-loose stance keeps JPY fundamentally weaker, though occasional safe-haven demand caps GBPJPY upside. Risk Sentiment: Yen demand strengthens during equity pullbacks, while rallies in risk assets support GBPJPY. Macro Context Interest Rates: Markets price BoE easing within the next quarters; BoJ still resisting hikes despite rising bond yields. Growth Trends: UK growth remains fragile, adding pressure on sterling. Japan’s economy remains stagnant, but currency moves hinge more on yields and global risk tone. Geopolitics: Risk-off moves (oil shocks, tariffs, or Middle East headlines) could trigger yen demand and weigh on GBPJPY. Primary Risk to the Trend A stronger risk-off event (e.g., global equity sell-off) could trigger sharp yen appreciation, flipping GBPJPY bearish quickly. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event UK GDP and inflation data BoE speeches or guidance on policy timing BoJ remarks on bond market stability Leader/Lagger Dynamics GBPJPY is usually a lagger, following the broader risk cycle and GBP direction. Watch UK data for sterling strength/weakness and USDJPY for yen cues. Key Levels Support Levels: 198.98, 197.73 Resistance Levels: 200.23, 201.20 Stop Loss (SL): 197.73 (below key support) Take Profit (TP): 200.23 (first target), 201.20 (secondary target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints GBPJPY is consolidating at 199.00 support, leaving the bias neutral-to-bullish so long as this zone holds. A stop below 197.73 protects against deeper downside, while upside targets are set at 200.23 and 201.20. The key watchpoint will be whether risk sentiment steadies and UK data avoids further disappointments. If equities hold firm and JPY demand remains contained, bulls have room to retest the highs.
Long
by ultreosforex
GBPJPY Sell 🔎 Key Levels Resistance: 201.264 (major resistance / swing high) 200.376 – 200.337 (supply zone) Support: 199.037 (minor support) 196.809 – 196.364 (major support zone) 📊 Market Structure Price formed a lower high after rejection from 201.264. A Break of Structure (BOS) appeared below 199.037 → bearish bias. Currently price is pulling back into the 200.3 supply area. 🎯 Trade Plan Entry (Sell, conservative): 200.3 – 200.37 Stop Loss (SL): Above 201.26 Take Profit (TP): TP1 → 199.03 TP2 → 196.80 TP3 → 196.36 Risk-to-Reward (RR): approx. 1:2 – 1:3 if entered near supply. --- ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a guaranteed trading signal. Always manage risk and trade responsibly.
Short
by Forex_Int
GBPJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| 📊 GBPJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPJPY H4 SELL OUTLOOKGBPJPY (H4 Outlook) 👀 The pair is currently showing signs of indecision after recent bullish momentum, and price action suggests we could see a retracement before the next directional move. Two key scenarios are worth paying close attention to: Potential Pullback to Premium Levels Price may retest the 200.500–200.800 region, which aligns with a short-term premium zone. If this area holds as resistance, it could serve as a valid point for sellers to step back into the market. Respect of the FVG at 200.000 Alternatively, price could respect the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 200.000, triggering bearish continuation earlier than expected. This would require confirmation via bearish order flow — such as a shift in market structure or rejection patterns on lower timeframes. If confirmed, the downside target remains the 198.400–198.000 demand zone, which is a strong liquidity area and potential take-profit region for shorts. Overall, patience is key here. Waiting for the right confirmation will allow traders to align with the prevailing market sentiment rather than anticipating prematurely.
Short
by Kosywilson
GBPJPY 1HThe chart is currently moving inside an ascending channel. Price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as a key resistance zone. If sellers step in strongly from this area, we could see a pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel. However, if the upper line is broken convincingly, it may signal continuation of the bullish trend. What do you think? 🔹 Price will reject the channel top and move down 🔹 Price will break above and continue higher
Short
by amir9
GBPJY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25| 📊 GBPJY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBPJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D15 | Y25| 📊 GBPJPY Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPJPY
Long
by JCFRGNT