GBP/JPY: Key Levels to Watch: 199.53 and 198.3 FenzoFx—GBP/JPY trades sideways after dropping below 198.59. A recent momentum shift formed a bearish order block at 199.53. The outlook stays bearish if price remains below this level.
The 4-hour chart reveals equal lows at 198.3, a key target. For the bearish trend to continue, price must stay under the midpoint of the order block. If selling pressure persists, 197.85 is the next target. A break above 199.53 would invalidate this setup.
Gbpjpysignals
GBPJPY – Bears Just Getting Started?1. Market’s Context
In my previous two analyses, I highlighted the high probability of a drop in GBPJPY and noted that as long as resistance holds, the preferred scenario is to look for selling opportunities.
Yesterday, the market finally broke below the 199.00 support, reaching a local low around 198.90.
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2. The Key Question
Was this just the first step of a deeper bearish move?
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3. Why the Bearish Case is Strong
• Resistance remains intact, limiting upside potential.
• Break of 199.00 support confirms bearish momentum.
• Current price action looks more like a corrective rebound than a reversal.
• Structure suggests the decline could just be starting.
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4. Trading Plan
• I remain bearish.
• Selling rallies is back in play.
• Target: the 195.00 zone remains my focus.
________________________________________
5. Final Note 🚀
GBPJPY has confirmed the break—now it’s all about execution. Sell the rebounds, aim for 195.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPJPY Bullish Leg has only just startedThe GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 09 2025 Low. Following the August 04 Higher Low, it has technically initiated the new Bullish Leg.
Given its strength on such an early stage, we expect it to be identical to the first Bullish Leg that rose by +6.53% and, at the same time, had a similar 1D MACD Bullish Leg. Our medium-term Target is thus 207.000.
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GBPJPY: Liquidity Sweep Triggers Downside FenzoFx—GBP/JPY swept the previous day's high, forming a bearish long-wick candle with resistance at 200.2.
A bearish fair value gap appeared on the 5-minute chart, signaling increased selling pressure after liquidity was swept. Technically, GBP/JPY may first target the Asia low at 199.4. If bearish momentum continues, the move could extend to the previous day's low at 198.7.
This outlook is invalidated if the pair closes above today's high at 200.3.
GBPJPY: More Growth is Coming! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY will likely bounce from a key daily support,
following a formation of a double bottom pattern
on an hourly time frame.
I think that the price will reach 196.7 level soon.
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"GBP/JPY: High-Risk Pips Grab – Escape Before Cops! 🏴☠️ GBP/JPY "Dragon Heist" – Bulletproof Bullish Raid (High-Risk, High-Reward) 🚨
🔥 Attention Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🔥
(Day/Swing Trade Plan – Long Entry Focused)
🔑 Entry Zone (Vault Cracked!):
"The Dragon’s loot is unguarded! Bullish pullback = prime stealing opportunity."
Buy Limit Orders: Layer entries near 15M/30M swing lows (wick/body). DCA-friendly!
Thief Pro Tip: Scalpers ride long-only waves. Swing traders? Stack slowly, escape rich.
🎯 Target (Escape Routes):
200.600 (or bail early if cops (resistance) swarm!)
🚨 Red Zone = High-Risk Take-Profit (Overbought? Reversal? Police (bears) lurk here!)
⛔ Stop Loss (Emergency Exit):
4H Swing Low/High (Wick-based) – Adjust for risk/lot size!
No martyr trades! SL = your heist survival kit.
📢 Breaking News (Fundamental Edge):
Dragon’s bullish fuel? Macro data, COT reports, sentiment—CHEK THE LIiNKk 👉🔗 (Don’t skip homework!)
💣 Trading Alerts:
News = Landmines! Avoid new trades during releases.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car (Lock profits, dodge volatility.)
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Smash 👍, hit 🔔, and fund our next raid! Every boost = more stolen pips for the crew.
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GBPJPY Potentially BullishOANDA:GBPJPY has been on a bullish trajectory and with the current breakout to the upside signifying a potential bullish continuation. With this in mind, I will wait to see a proper re-test around the 196.839 and then see a price action confirmation before taking the trade. Until then, fingers crossed.
#GBPJPY
Disclaimer: Past results does not guarantee future results, do your due diligence.
#GBPJPY: 600+ Pips Swing Move, JPY To Drop! GBPJPY has successfully rejected the area previously identified in our analysis of GJ. We had anticipated a price rejection and reversal with a strong bullish impulse, which has materialised. Following the positive candle close on Friday, we anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend and potential reaching of the 200 mark.
When trading, it is crucial to prioritise risk management. Conduct your own analysis and utilise this information solely for educational purposes.
Three potential targets have been identified: 198, 200, and 202. A stop loss can be positioned below our buying zone, as indicated by the black-marked zone.
Your support, expressed through likes, comments, and shares, is greatly appreciated and encourages us to continue providing valuable content.
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Team Setupsfx_
GBPJPY: Pullback From Trend Line 🇬🇧🇯🇵
I think that GBPJPY may bounce from a rising trend line
that I spotted on a daily time frame.
As a confirmation, I spotted 2 intraday bullish breakouts:
a violation of a resistance line of a falling channel
and a breakout of a neckline of a cup & handle pattern.
Goal - 195.0
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GBPJPY Strong rebound. Buy opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within an Ascending Triangle pattern. Today's geopolitics made the price form its latest Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern, which also coincided with a 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) test, and rebounded.
That was a clear buy signal on the 4H RSI Support that signaled the last three bottom buys. Our Target is the top of the pattern at 196.300.
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GBPJPY Channel Down making a Lower High rejectionThe GBPJPY pair rose aggressively since the last time we gave our buy signal (April 11, see chart below), quickly hitting our conservative 109.250 Target:
The price has since made a Lower High rejection at the top of the Channel Down but remains supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Once broken and it closes a 1D candle below it, we will have bearish break-out signal. Our Targe will be 185.250, which will be the standard -5.85% decline that all 3 previous Bearish Legs had within the Channel Down.
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GBPJPY: Are Bulls Ready To Rally?I've already entered a buy. A more conservative entry would be to wait for the descending TL break and retest. Another potential buy entry would be a buy stop around 191.743.
Confirmations:
- Bullish CHoCH
- Creating new HHs and HLs
- Multiple Bullsih FVGs
- Trading above major QP 190
Group Signal:
Entry 191.066
SL 190.5
TP1 191.266
TP2 191.566
TP3 192.066
TP4 193.066
GBPJPY Reclaims 190 – Ready for 195?After breaking below the 188.00 support zone and testing 184.50 support, GBPJPY quickly reversed, signaling strong buying interest and a classic false breakdown.
Last week, the pair also reclaimed the key 190.00 level – an important technical and psychological area – showing clear strength and readiness for a potential continuation higher.
The key question now: Is GBPJPY ready to launch towards new highs?
Here’s why I stay bullish:
- Strong rejection at 184.50 confirms buyer dominance.
- Recovery above 190.00 is a major bullish signal.
- Market structure now favors buying dips
T rading Plan:
I’m looking to buy dips, staying bullish as long as 187.00 remains intact.
🎯 Targeting a move towards 195.00.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPJPY Channel Down bottom reached. Rebound expected.Last time we looked into the GBPJPY pair (March 20, see chart below) we had a sell signal which dully delivered our 188.550 Target:
This time we have the price at the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the extended Channel Down, with the 1D RSI almost reaching the 30.00 oversold limit. All such bottoms were followed by a rebound that hit at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before a new Channel Down Lower Low.
As a result, we are going for a short-term buy here, targeting a potential contact with the 1D MA50 at 190.250.
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GBPJPY: Breakout & Bullish Continuation 🇬🇧🇯🇵
I see a confirmed breakout of a significant daily resistance on GBPJPY.
The price will most likely continue rising within a wedge pattern.
The next goal for the buyers is 197.0.
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GBPJPY: Time to Grow?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY looks strongly bullish after the release of the today's fundamentals.
Bullish accumulation on an hourly time frame looks completed
and the price has just formed a high momentum bullish candle.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 194.6 level now.
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GBPJPY 1D MA200 rejection. Channel Down sell signal.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern and the recent Bullish Leg got rejected yesterday on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). If the 1D RSI closes below its MA trend-line, we will have the ideal sell confirmation signal.
Our Target is the top of the 4-month Support Zone at 188.550.
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GBPJPY Bulls Are Back In TownAs explained in the video, we have several bullish confirmations...
Key Sup 190.3
Key Res 193
- Bullish CHoCH
- Formed a new HH and HL
- H4 TL break and retest
- Retest of bullish OB
- Multiple bullish FVGs
- Bullish MACD
I have a small position open...
🟢BUY GJ 192.315
SL 191.6
TP1 192.515
TP2 192.815
TP3 193.315
TP4 194.315
Will scale in another position if we get a break and close above 193.
GBPJPY: Time For Pullback 🇬🇧🇯🇵
On the today's live stream, we discussed a selling opportunity on GBPJPY.
The market looks bearish after a test of a key horizontal resistance.
A formation of a bearish engulfing candle confirms the strength of the sellers.
I expect a retracement to 190.15
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GBP/JPY "The Beast" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗GBP/JPY "The Beast" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (187.700) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (190.500) swing Trade Basis Using the 3H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 185.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook:
GBP/JPY "The Beast" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Fundamental Analysis˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
Interest Rates: BoE at 4-4.5% (easing cycle), BoJ at 0.25-0.5%—yield gap narrows, mildly bearish for GBP/JPY.
Inflation: UK at 2.5-3% (cooling), Japan at 2.5% (persistent)—neutral, balances GBP vs. JPY strength.
Growth: UK GDP ~1-1.5%, Japan ~1%—both modest, neutral impact.
Trade: UK exports lag, Japan benefits from U.S. tariff shifts—bullish for JPY, bearish for GBP/JPY.
Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven JPY gains in risk-off—bearish pressure.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Macroeconomic Factors˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
U.S.: Fed at 3-3.5%, PCE 2.6%—USD softness aids GBP/JPY—bullish (Eurostat/U.S. data).
Eurozone: PMI 46.2—stagnation weakens EUR, indirectly supports GBP—bullish (Eurostat).
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, JPY safe-haven appeal—bearish (ECB forecasts).
Commodities: Oil $70.44—stable, neutral for GBP/JPY (global data).
Trump Policies: Tariffs shift trade to Japan—JPY strength, bearish for GBP/JPY.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Global Market Analysis˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
Forex Markets: GBP/USD at 1.2650, USD/JPY at 150.00—GBP resilience vs. JPY strength—mixed.
Equity Markets: FTSE 100 stable, Nikkei range-bound—neutral correlation.
Crypto/Commodities: Gold at $2,930—risk-off supports JPY—bearish.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Commitments of Traders (COT) Data˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
Speculators: Net short JPY ~140,000 contracts (down from 150,000)—fading bearishness, mildly bullish JPY.
Hedgers: Net long JPY ~90,000—exporters expect JPY strength, bearish for GBP/JPY.
Open Interest: ~280,000 contracts—steady interest, neutral.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Market Sentiment Analysis˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
Retail: 65% short GBP/JPY at 189.50 (global X posts)—contrarian upside—bullish potential.
Institutional: Cautious, favoring JPY in risk-off—bearish outlook.
Corporate: UK/Japan firms hedge at 190-192—neutral.
Social Media Trends: Bearish setups to 185.00—short-term bearish sentiment.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Positioning Analysis˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
Speculative: Longs target 192.00-194.00, shorts aim for 188.00-185.00.
Retail: Shorts at 190.00-191.00—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Leaning short GBP/JPY, eyeing JPY strength.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Quantitative Analysis˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
SMAs: 50-day ~194.00, 200-day ~193.00—price below both, bearish signal.
RSI: 45 (daily)—neutral, fading bearish momentum.
Bollinger: 188.50-190.50—price near lower band, potential bounce.
Fibonacci: 38.2% from 198.94-189.31 at 190.50—resistance above.
Volatility: 1-month IV 10%—±1.80 daily range.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Intermarket Analysis˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
GBP/USD: 1.2650—GBP holds vs. USD, bullish for GBP/JPY.
USD/JPY: 150.00—JPY weakens vs. USD, bullish for GBP/JPY.
XAU/USD: $2,930—gold rise, JPY safe-haven—bearish.
FTSE 100: Stable—neutral.
Bonds: UK 10-year 4%, Japan 0.9%—yield gap narrows, bearish.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗News and Events Analysis˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
Recent: Trump tariff threats (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China, Feb 25)—risk-off lifts JPY—bearish.
Upcoming: U.S. PCE today (Feb 28)—hot data strengthens USD, pressures GBP/JPY; soft data boosts risk-on, supports GBP—mixed impact.
Impact: Bearish bias today, PCE reaction pivotal.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Next Trend Move˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
Technical:
Support: 188.50-188.00
Resistance: 190.50-192.00
Below 188.50 targets 185.00; above 190.50 aims for 194.00.
Short-Term (1-2 Days): Dip to 188.00 if PCE lifts USD; rebound to 190.50 if risk-on prevails.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 185.00-195.00, tariff/JPY strength key.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Overall Summary Outlook˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
GBP/JPY at 189.50 faces bearish short-term pressure from JPY safe-haven demand (tariffs, risk-off) and technicals (below SMAs), despite GBP resilience vs. USD. COT shows fading JPY shorts, sentiment leans bearish, and PCE today could sway direction. A short-term dip to 188.00 is likely, with medium-term consolidation unless macro shifts favor GBP.
˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗Future Prediction˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗
Bullish: 192.00-195.00 by Q2 2025 if USD softens (DXY to 105), risk-on resumes, or BoE holds rates.
Bearish: 185.00-188.00 if JPY strengthens (USD/JPY to 145), tariffs escalate, or risk-off persists.
Prediction: Bearish short-term to 188.00 (PCE/USD strength), then cautiously bullish to 192.00 by mid-2025 (risk-on recovery).
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩