GC
GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains extremely bullish, driven primarily by central bank accumulation.
Since 2023, global central banks — led by China — have been buying gold aggressively, creating a long-term demand base.
With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, risk assets like GOLD are expected to outperform as USD (DXY) weakens.
This macro setup builds a powerful bullish narrative that continues to favor long exposure on gold.
📈 Technical Analysis
GOLD has rallied for nine consecutive weeks since mid-August, reaching overbought RSI levels.
Currently, price is showing signs of retracement and consolidation, suggesting an accumulation phase may form before the next impulsive move.
The Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $4010, just below the HTF bullish trendline, acts as a critical support area where a potential deviation and bounce may occur.
📌 Game Plan
I expect GOLD to retrace toward the HTF trendline and Weekly FVG ($4017).
A deviation and bounce from this zone could trigger a new bullish leg.
However, I anticipate 1–2 weeks of accumulation before continuation.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Gold vs SilverGold approaching Oct 14 mitigation zone while Silver approaches Oct 10 mitigation zone.
Gold price action more bearish over london session but in higher timeframe, gold dropping less aggressively considering it's barely approaching Oct 14 price while Silver already well below its respective Oct 14 levels.
Will be a market execution idea based on which gets to its zone last.
Gold Above 4300 – Watching for FVG Fill Before Next LegPrice consolidated all of yesterday’s Asian and London sessions before breaking bullish through NY, clearing the 4300 resistance.
Today, we’re holding above that breakout level and sitting just beneath the weekly high at 4398.
A 4H FVG rests below price around 4345–4360 — that’s my first area of interest for a retrace and possible continuation higher.
If price dips to fill that gap and shows strength, I’ll look for a long toward 4398–4420.
Otherwise, I’ll wait for a clear reclaim above the weekly high before confirming continuation.
Staying patient tonight — the easy part is waiting for the market to tell me what it wants to do.
#FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #PriceAction #NOFOMO
Weekly Outlook — Gold Futures (MGCZ2025)Price is sitting between key levels after last week’s explosive move.
I’m watching 4,300 as immediate resistance — if bulls can’t hold above this level, I expect a sweep toward 4,200–4,150 (H4 + Daily FVGs) before continuation.
Monday might just be a setup day, building liquidity for a Tuesday/Wednesday move.
Key Levels:
🟦 4,392 – Previous Weekly High
🟨 4,300 – Near-term resistance
🟧 4,200 – Daily Low / Support zone
🟩 4,150 – H4 FVG top
Let’s see how Monday sets the tone for the week.
#Gold #Futures #TradingPlan #ICT #PriceAction
WHAT IS THE EXPECTED RETURN and DURATION of this GOLD Bull Run?Well, when measured against the DXY index, a clear trend becomes apparent.
A Golden Bull typically lasts about 40 quarters, which is essentially 1 decade (give or take a quarter).
Similar to #Bitcoin and its cyclical bull markets within a larger secular bull, the returns tend to decrease over time.
However, it seems that a triple-digit Gold price relative to the DXY is on the horizon at the very least.
What would that look like if the DXY were to hit a new low around 69? This would suggest a Gold price of $6900 at a ratio of 100:1.
A Gold price of $12K with a DXY of 80 only requires a ratio of 150...
Thus, a five-digit Gold price is certainly within the realm of possibility.
I have forecasts that extend as high as $12K.
XAUUSD 17-19 Oct 2025Gold Spot Price remaining strong with true zeros well below however price targets shifting slightly up into end of Week.
Monitoring 4238-4260 for Profit Taking & focusing on potential Long entries from with 4199, 4164 4130 4108 or 4075 & Below.
I do not foresee price achieving any move substantial below 4064-4021
*Not advice, personal thoughts ONLY.
How High Will Gold Go? It Depends on the DollarThe inverse relationship between gold and the dollar is evident. Interestingly, we observe that when the dollar falls, gold rises—but the magnitude of gold’s increase is often greater than the dollar’s decline.
As we can see when dollar declines, gold went up.
From 2001 to 2011, when dollar was down, gold went up.
From 2017 to 2020, when dollar was down, gold went up.
And from 2022 to current, when dollar is down, gold is up.
With de-dollarization, this also means gold may have more upside potential.
Conversely, when the dollar increases, gold declines by almost the same magnitude.
Apart from de-dollarization, what are the other reasons dollar will face more headwinds?
There are three elements
• Existing debt,
• more money printing and
• tariffs,
All these 3 elements are not going to go away anytime soon, as long as the debt continue to rise, more money to be printed and more tariffs impose, dollar downtrend is likely to continue. When dollar is down, gold is up.
And these trends did not happen recently. It is taking shape over the past decades with a lower dollar, we can see how nicely the trends have seated on its historical troughs and peaks forming the channel for the dollar, and also in the gold over the decades.
This tutorial video version:
Mirco Gold Futures and Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Momentum Breakout into Strength | D-H Flip ConfirmedStrong continuation from last session’s impulsive push.
I caught my move during the Tokyo impulsive hour after price broke cleanly above 4175 — confirming a momentum breakout setup on the 15-min chart.
The previous Daily High (4191.2) has now flipped into solid support, reinforcing the bullish narrative I’ve been tracking since the start of the week.
My original weekly target was 4200 — we’ve exceeded that level now, and the momentum still looks healthy.
Price action is slowing ahead of the London session, which could set the stage for another expansion leg. If bullish pressure holds, I’m watching 4230–4250 next, with 4500 as a stretch target.
💡 Key Notes:
Setup: Momentum Breakout
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 4177.3 | Exit: 4185.1
Result: +$386 (5 Contracts)
Time in Trade: 42m
Context: Daily High Flip + Strong Impulse Continuation
#Gold #Futures #DayTrading #PriceAction #Breakout #TradingView #MGC #Trader #NoFOMO #Discipline #MomentumBreakout #ICTInspired
Gold Off to the Races | No Pullbacks, Just PressureNew week and Gold came out the gate running. Momentum’s been relentless — no pullbacks, no hesitation.
Price is still riding strong from last week’s 8HR FVG base, and now pressing into new highs around 4,150+.
With global tension fueling safe-haven demand, this could be a continuation week — but it’s getting stretched.
Watching 4,070–4,081 for possible re-entry if we get a midweek dip.
A close below 4,100 could signal exhaustion, while staying above keeps bulls firmly in control.
⚖️ Staying patient, no chasing — letting the market show if this leg still has fuel.
— Woodz | #NOFOMO #GoldFutures #MarketStructure
Gold – Sitting on 8HR FVG Support Before CPI | Patience RequiredPrice rejected before taking yesterday’s high and is now sitting right on top of the 8HR FVG. We’ve finally got a clean retrace into structure after a week of impulsive bullish movement.
I’m watching how price behaves here going into NY session + CPI release — this zone could be where the next leg starts if buyers step in.
📍 Key Levels:
4,077 → Liquidity above previous high
4,020 → Bullish confirmation zone
3,960 → Deep test into FVG
If the market holds above 3,980 and shows strength, I’m expecting continuation toward 4,060–4,100+.
If it fails and closes under 3,960, we could see a deeper correction first.
⚖️ Staying patient — news will likely reveal the real intent.
— Woodz | #NOFOMO
Has Gold Reached Its Fullest Potential?Has gold reached its fullest potential? It depends on the US dollar.
As we can see when dollar declines, gold went up.
i) From 2001 to 2011, when dollar was down, gold went up.
ii) From 2017 to 2020, when dollar was down, gold went up.
iii) And from 2022 to current, when dollar is down, gold is up.
With de-dollarization, this also means gold may have more upside potential.
Mirco Gold Futures and Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Gold Cant stop...Wont Stop....Price continues pressing into new highs with no meaningful pullback, showing strong safe-haven momentum amid rising geopolitical tension.
Watching for signs of exhaustion near current highs — ideally a liquidity sweep above the Daily High (DH) before any structural shift confirms.
No rush to fade strength. Waiting for:
A clean displacement break below intraday structure.
Retest of an unmitigated FVG or imbalance for potential short.
Until then, bullish continuation remains in control.
Bias: Neutral → Bullish (waiting for confirmation)
Setup on Watch: Liquidity Sweep + SSB (Shift in Structure Break)
Gold Futures (MGC) – No Pullback, Just Pure StrengthPrice never offered a clean pullback yesterday — just an aggressive continuation straight through prior structure. That type of behavior usually signals either institutional repricing or momentum fueled by broader uncertainty (like the ongoing U.S. government shutdown risk).
🔹 Bias: Bullish until a clear break of intraday structure
🔹 Current Levels:
‣ W-H: 3922.8
‣ M-H: 3899.5
‣ D-L: 3909.0
💡 Notes:
Price is extremely extended, but until we see evidence of rejection or a 1H BOS (break of structure), the path of least resistance remains up. I’m watching closely for a controlled pullback into demand — ideally near 3920–3900 — to join the next wave higher.
Still keeping an eye on news risk tonight; if the shutdown proceeds, volatility could spike and disrupt the structure.
#GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #SmartMoney #DayTrading #PriceAction #NOFOMO
Gold Futures (MGC) – Pushing Into New HighsPrice continues to climb into all-new highs with very little pullback, showing clear bullish momentum. However, structure is getting thin, and momentum could begin to exhaust soon.
🔹 Current Bias: Bullish — until 4H structure breaks.
🔹 Key Levels:
‣ W-H: 3928
‣ D-H: 3916
‣ D-L: 3861
‣ Daily FVG: 3820–3720
💡 Notes:
Price has yet to rebalance the large Daily FVG below. If we sweep external liquidity above 3928–3935 and fail to close strong, that could set up a pullback or even a deeper correction into the Daily FVG zone.
Volume profile shows thin structure between 3860–3820 — if momentum fades, that area could act as a magnet for price.
For now, the bullish pressure remains intact — but I’m watching closely for exhaustion signs or a liquidity grab setup at the highs.
#GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #ICT #PriceAction #SmartMoney #DayTrading #NOFOMO
Macro Data can keep Gold Pushing! Key Levels:
Daily High (DH): 3899.5
Monthly High (MH): 3899.5
Daily Low (DL): 3820.4
Weekly High (WH): 3824.6
Weekly Low (WL): 3717.7
📊 Technical Outlook
Price is currently trading near 3890, holding strong after yesterday’s impulsive bullish move. If we see a clean break back above yesterday’s high, continuation toward DH / MH 3899.5 looks highly probable. The recent structure continues to support bullish pressure with higher highs and shallow retracements.
🌍 Macro Watch
All eyes are on the U.S. Government shutdown threat tonight at midnight.
If Congress fails to reach an agreement, volatility in safe-haven assets like gold could spike.
A shutdown scenario would likely support continued bullish pressure on gold as risk sentiment shifts.
🎯 Trade Idea
Watching for a reclaim and hold above yesterday’s high → confirmation for bullish continuation.
Short-term target: 3899.5 (DH / MH) liquidity.
Failure to hold above could open a retrace back toward 3820–3824 support zone (DL / WH).
✅ Summary
Bias remains bullish as long as price holds near/above yesterday’s high. Macro uncertainty (government shutdown) could act as a catalyst, so staying nimble and risk-aware is key.
⚡️What do you think — does gold have enough momentum to clear 3899.5, or will macro risk force a deeper retrace first?
Gold Futures (MGCZ5) – H4 Gap in PlayPrice pushed aggressively bullish all day yesterday with little to no pullbacks. That momentum left behind a fresh H4 Fair Value Gap (FVG) sitting just above the Weekly High (WH) level.
If we see a pullback into this area, it could offer a solid setup for continuation higher.
⚠️ Key considerations:
If buyers stay strong, price may run liquidity above 3863.7 (D-H) before any meaningful retracement.
If sentiment shifts, a deeper draw into the Daily FVG below 3764 remains on the table.
With global uncertainty (military meetings, de-dollarization, possible U.S. shutdown), volatility risk is elevated.
🎯 Game Plan:
Watch the H4 FVG near WH for rejection / entry signals.
Bias remains bullish while above 3785 (D-L).
Break below D-L opens the door toward the Daily FVG.