GOLD $GC XAUUSD Target Hit - UpdateTraders and Investors,
W pattern completed as expected and posted about a few days ago. This has given us a great long swing opportunity and then several long and short opportunities on smaller time frames. We have been trading around the levels and zones taking one of them at a time. Whereas one swing long position has been running for this W pattern completion target.
When W pattern completes the market take a correction, this is why today price fell a bit from the FCP zone as expected. It is now consolidating. Lets see if see a further correction or a breakout in the NY session.
Trade what you see, wait for the confirmations and manage the risk as always.
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Gc!1
GOLD (XAU-GC) BUY PLAN📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish. One of the key drivers is the aggressive accumulation by global central banks. Recession concerns and persistent inflation fears continue to position gold as one of the most attractive safe-haven assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has completed the expected accumulation phase and broke out strongly from the accumulation range. This former range has now turned into a clear demand zone. Price has pulled back into this zone again and is currently testing the $4060 level.
📌 Game Plan
The $4060–$3900 zone is my primary buy zone. I will continue accumulating within this range.
My first target is $4250, followed by $4400, which aligns with new all-time-high expectations.
If price closes below $3900 on the daily, this idea becomes invalid. Therefore, my stop is a daily close under $3900.
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⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
XAUUSD Daily – Five-Wave Impulse Toward 4,530On the XAUUSD daily chart I’m tracking a potential five-wave advance within the existing uptrend.
Wave (1)** marks the initial impulsive leg higher from trendline support
Wave (2)** is the corrective pullback that holds above the origin of wave (1) and respects the rising trendline
Wave (3)** extends beyond the wave
(1) high, confirming continuation of the bullish structure and establishing a new swing high.
* Price is now correcting as **wave (4)** back into the area of:
* the rising trendline drawn from prior lows, and
* the former consolidation / breakout zone around the previous highs.
While price holds above the wave (4) low and the trendline, I’m anticipating a continuation leg to the upside as **wave (5)**.
The projected wave (5) objective is around 4,527, where I have a confluence of measured extension and overhead resistance.
A decisive daily close below the wave (4) low and trendline support would invalidate this wave count and delay the bullish scenario.
The Calm Before the Expansion — Gold Pre-Setup MapGold rejecting the Asian Range low and showing early signs of reversal. Missed the London setup after oversleeping, but tonight I’m watching for a retrace back into the H1 FVG + lower HVN. That pocket sits just under 50% of yesterday’s Asian range and lines up with weekly volume sitting just outside of value. If price pulls back into that zone and shows displacement, I’m looking for continuation to the upside and potential expansion toward the H4 FVG above. Premature breakouts tonight may be traps.
Looking for the Sweep leading into a bigger Play! Price bled lower through the entire Asian session after yesterday’s late breakdown, continuing the move away from the prior value area. We’re now trading inside a cluster of intraday inefficiencies with clean liquidity sitting below at 4013 and the psychological 4000 level.
My focus going into London and NY is patience.
Asia’s slow descent is typically a continuation phase, not the actual entry. I want to see:
A sweep of 4013 or 4000
A clear displacement reaction
A retrace back into a fresh M5–M15 FVG
Then structure confirming continuation or reversal
Until that happens, this remains a bearish environment with untested Weekly imbalance still below. If buyers don’t defend 4013 with force, the algo will likely reach for the 4000 liquidity pocket next.
Staying reactive, not predictive.
London will reveal whether this breakdown continues or sets the trap for a reversal.
Gold Week Opens Inside Daily FVG — Will We Drop Into the Weekly New week, and Gold opened inside last week’s Daily FVG, which was fully rebalanced.
No confirmation yet that this zone will act as support. The larger unmitigated Weekly FVG below may still be the draw on liquidity before any bullish move develops.
Plan for tonight:
Let Asia define the range
Watch for a sweep during London
Bearish continuation is favored if we break today’s open level (4174.9)
Bullish only if Asia low → sweep → displacement → retrace
Levels marked.
Patience. Let the algo show its hand.
#Futures #GC #Gold #FVG #ICT #SmartMoney #DayTrading #NOFOMO
**“Friday Play: Watching GC for a potential continuation lowerAfter the 4240 liquidity clear. Today’s open (4174.9) is my decision point.
Two scenarios I’m stalking:
1️⃣ Break & retest below 4174 → downside continuation into the H4 bullish FVG (4060–4090).
2️⃣ Sweep above 4200–4215 → rejection → short from premium pricing.
Friday loves completing unfinished business — but only if orderflow confirms. Patience first.”**
Gold Testing H4 Supply – Eyes on Retrace SetupAfter a clean bullish expansion last week, Gold is now testing a 4H bearish FVG around 4,200–4,240. Price is currently holding below the day’s open (4,203), suggesting potential short-term weakness.
If we stay below 4,203, I’ll look for a corrective move toward the 4H bullish FVG just below the previous day’s low (around 4,060–4,090).
Above 4,220, the bullish continuation remains valid.
Currently in observation mode — waiting for intraday confirmation before engaging any short bias.
GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction (12 NOV)GOLD (XAU) Outlook - Prediction
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish, primarily driven by central bank accumulation. Since 2023, global central banks led by China have been purchasing gold aggressively, creating a durable demand base. With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, I think risk assets like GOLD could outperform as the USD (DXY) weakens. This macro setup continues to support a long term bullish narrative.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has been retracing since October 20, which I think was a healthy correction following a strong expansion. As mentioned in my previous GOLD outlook, price appeared to be retesting the Weekly Value Gap and accumulating within that zone. In my opinion, this accumulation phase seems to have ended, and the market looks ready to continue higher.
📌 Game Plan - Prediction
Price has broken out of the accumulation zone and started expanding upward. I plan to enter after a retest near the key zone around $4060. It may dip toward $4027, which I consider a discount zone. I intend to scale in between $4060 and $3950, with invalidation if the daily candle closes below $3900.
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Breakout Confirmed – Watching for 4H FVG RebalanceAfter a full week of sideways chop, Gold finally broke structure on Monday with a strong bullish impulse. The breakout clears the 7-day range and confirms higher-timeframe bullish intent.
I’m now watching the 4H FVG sitting just below the previous day’s low — that’s where I’d like to see price rebalance before continuing the next leg higher.
If price respects that zone and holds structure, it could mark the start of a sustained bullish push for the week.
Bias stays bullish unless price breaks back below the H4 FVG or fails to hold the weekly open.
Gold’s Tight Range = Big Opportunity! Watch These Key Levels.COMEX:GC1! COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures) | Market Analysis & 2025 Outlook
After hundreds of requests since my last ideas, I’ve decided to share another detailed breakdown — this time for Gold Futures COMEX:GC1! . Let’s dive in.
COMEX: COMEX:GC1! Breakdown
Fundamental Analysis → NEUTRAL to BULLISH
Gold remains range-bound as markets await clearer direction from global inflation data and U.S. rate expectations. Safe-haven demand continues to support the metal, but a strong dollar has kept price capped.
Technical Analysis → RANGING (Neutral Bias)
Currently consolidating within a 4H range since October 25th, with price bouncing between resistance near 4045 and support around 3940.
A close below 3940 opens the door for lows near 3823.
A close above 4045 could trigger a move toward the fair value gap around 4235.
If price sustains above 4235, the next major target would be a breakout beyond the all-time high at 4398.
This sideways structure suggests accumulation before a decisive move — traders should stay patient for a confirmed breakout before committing heavy capital.
Sentimental Analysis → Market in Waiting Mode
Gold traders are showing hesitation — institutions and retail alike are waiting for key macro catalysts. The current equilibrium reflects indecision rather than reversal.
My Suggestion:
While the bias remains neutral, a smart strategy is to wait for confirmation from the range extremes.
Trade Plan:
BUY Setup: If we see a strong 4H or daily close above 4045, aim for 4235, then 4398.
SELL Setup: If price closes below 3940, look for continuation to 3823 before considering long re-entries.
Use proper risk management — risk small until direction confirms.
Conclusion
Gold’s current range offers both opportunity and caution. Be patient and let the breakout guide your next move. Remember — the market rewards discipline more than prediction.
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See you soon on the next trade idea! ✨📊
Waiting on the Sweep – ADP Should Provide the CatalystChoppy week so far with price distributing and grinding lower. Last week’s low still hasn’t been taken, so my macro target remains the same. I’m looking for ADP tomorrow during NY session to provide the volatility needed to run liquidity and complete that sweep.
Not predicting direction on the release itself — I’ll be waiting for a liquidity grab and displacement before considering an entry. If price runs stops above today’s Asia high or drives directly into last week’s low, I’ll be watching for the post-news retrace to an FVG/structural level to participate.
Patience here — the move is close, but confirmation > anticipation.
Gold Futures (MGCZ2025) — Weekly FVG Magnet & Potential ReversalPrice has been respecting Standard Deviation levels beautifully across the H4, Daily, and Weekly timeframes. The market recently rejected the H4 FVG and is now hovering mid-range, with a Weekly Fair Value Gap left open below.
This imbalance could attract price early in the week, creating a liquidity grab and possible weekly low before Gold flips bullish again.
Key Levels:
🟤 H4 FVG rejection zone: 4,040 – 4,080
🔵 Weekly FVG target: 3,880 – 3,900
⚫ Weekly High: 4,124
⚫ Weekly Low: 3,901
Narrative:
I’m expecting price to push into the Weekly FVG discount zone early in the week — potentially aligning with high-impact financial news — and then reverse bullish for a mid-week or end-of-week rally.
Watch For:
Price displacement or BOS near the Weekly FVG
Killzone reactions (London & NY)
Volume and order flow confirmation before entering
Bias: Short-term bearish → medium-term bullish
Invalidation: Sustained trade below 3,842 (Weekly Lows & -1σ zone breach)
GC Higher or Lower?Looking at GC on the 4 hour TF, we see it consolidating in a small rising wedge. If price wants to continue higher, I will be looking for price to drop back down to the $3980s level and then move higher breaking out of the wedge. If price wants to continue lower, I will be looking for price to make its way up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level marked on the chart, around $4090s, before breaking back down and creating another leg down in its recent downtrend.
What are your thoughts on GC?
Gold Futures (MGCZ25) – Monthly Close SetupPrice has ranged all week between 4040 and 3930. With an H4 FVG still sitting above, we might see one last liquidity grab before the next directional move.
⚖️ Neutral bias for now — watching for clean displacement at range extremes.
📍 If price reclaims 4040 → possible push into the H4 FVG.
📍 If it rejects and drops below 4020 → lower FVG fills toward 3930 could be next.
#Gold #Futures #ICT #MarketStructure #NOFOMO
GC Futures – Patience While the Market Waits for a CatalystYesterday’s session was pure range — no real direction, likely ahead of Fed news and the Trump-China talks. Price continues to consolidate beneath the H4 FVG and above the Daily Low (D-L), with both sides holding liquidity.
Until we see a clean displacement, I’m sitting on my hands and preserving capital. The market’s indecision is information — it’s telling us to wait.
Key levels remain 4,046 (D-H) and 3,930 (D-L) — any clean break beyond these zones should define the next directional move.
#Gold #Futures #GC #DayTrading #NoFOMO #ICT #OrderFlow #MarketStructure
GC Futures – Are We Flipping Bearish Into Midweek?Tuesday closed below Monday’s low, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment.
Currently, price is approaching a 1H FVG inside the prior Asian range, just below the Weekly Low (W-L) and Daily High (D-H) — a perfect liquidity pocket.
I’m watching for signs of rejection here to confirm a bearish continuation. If price holds above this area, we may see a short squeeze back into higher value.
Bias remains bearish, but confirmation is key.
What are you seeing here — are we setting up for continuation or a fakeout?
#Gold #Futures #GC #DayTrading #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #ICT #NoFOMO
Gold Sitting on the Edge – Liquidity Sweep Before the Bounce?Monday didn’t give much movement, and price is now hovering around last week’s low.
I’m expecting a liquidity sweep of the current levels — likely taking out the Daily Low before moving to fill the full Weekly FVG below.
Short-term bias is bearish for the Asian session, but I’ll be watching closely for a shift once that FVG is filled.
If absorption shows up after the sweep, I’ll flip long for the bigger move higher into midweek.
#FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #LiquiditySweep #NOFOMO
GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan GOLD (XAU/USD) Game Plan
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains extremely bullish, driven primarily by central bank accumulation.
Since 2023, global central banks — led by China — have been buying gold aggressively, creating a long-term demand base.
With the FED preparing to initiate QE while inflation remains elevated, risk assets like GOLD are expected to outperform as USD (DXY) weakens.
This macro setup builds a powerful bullish narrative that continues to favor long exposure on gold.
📈 Technical Analysis
GOLD has rallied for nine consecutive weeks since mid-August, reaching overbought RSI levels.
Currently, price is showing signs of retracement and consolidation, suggesting an accumulation phase may form before the next impulsive move.
The Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $4010, just below the HTF bullish trendline, acts as a critical support area where a potential deviation and bounce may occur.
📌 Game Plan
I expect GOLD to retrace toward the HTF trendline and Weekly FVG ($4017).
A deviation and bounce from this zone could trigger a new bullish leg.
However, I anticipate 1–2 weeks of accumulation before continuation.
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Gold vs SilverGold approaching Oct 14 mitigation zone while Silver approaches Oct 10 mitigation zone.
Gold price action more bearish over london session but in higher timeframe, gold dropping less aggressively considering it's barely approaching Oct 14 price while Silver already well below its respective Oct 14 levels.
Will be a market execution idea based on which gets to its zone last.
Gold Above 4300 – Watching for FVG Fill Before Next LegPrice consolidated all of yesterday’s Asian and London sessions before breaking bullish through NY, clearing the 4300 resistance.
Today, we’re holding above that breakout level and sitting just beneath the weekly high at 4398.
A 4H FVG rests below price around 4345–4360 — that’s my first area of interest for a retrace and possible continuation higher.
If price dips to fill that gap and shows strength, I’ll look for a long toward 4398–4420.
Otherwise, I’ll wait for a clear reclaim above the weekly high before confirming continuation.
Staying patient tonight — the easy part is waiting for the market to tell me what it wants to do.
#FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #PriceAction #NOFOMO






















