Gold Bearish Bias for the Day📅 Tuesday, Oct 21, 2025
🕓 4H Timeframe
1️⃣ Market Context
After a strong impulsive bullish run, GOLD is currently consolidating near a heavy supply zone ($4340–$4370).
Price has failed to make a new higher high and is now showing early signs of exhaustion — potential short-term distribution in progress.
2️⃣ Bias: Bearish (Intraday/Short-Term)
Expecting a retracement or corrective leg back into the previous demand zone ($4200–$4230).
This could form a clean short-term sell opportunity before the next major bullish continuation resumes.
3️⃣ Trade Plan
Entry Zone: 4340–4360 (Short/Sell entries from premium supply zone)
Stop Loss: Above 4375 (above previous swing high / invalidation)
Targets:
TP1 → 4290
TP2 → 4250
TP3 → 4205 (final demand zone retest)
RRR: 1:3+ potential depending on entry precision
4️⃣ Confirmation Triggers
✅ Bearish engulfing or rejection wick from supply zone
✅ BOS (Break of short-term structure) on lower TF (1H/15M)
✅ Volume drop on retest = ideal entry signal
5️⃣ Intraday Summary
If GOLD holds below 4360 — bias stays bearish.
Only a clean 4H close above 4375 will flip structure bullish again.
Until then, focus on shorting premium areas toward discount levels below $4250.
💬 Conclusion:
"Sell the premium, buy the discount" — today GOLD looks ripe for a controlled bearish correction before the next leg up. Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase longs inside supply.
