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XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move?XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move? 📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Market Report Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish cycle, supported by both macro fundamentals and technical structure. From a fundamental perspective, the precious metal remains underpinned by softer U.S. dollar dynamics, moderating bond yields, and persistent safe-haven demand amid global economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Inflationary pressures and the cautious stance of central banks further enhance gold’s role as a defensive asset, keeping institutional interest alive. On the technical side, the market has shown a clear sequence of bullish impulses following multiple market structure shifts (MSS) and breaks of structure (BOS). Each expansion phase has been driven by strong order flow, with shallow retracements reflecting consistent buyer control. The current leg higher has pushed into an area of potential liquidity grab, suggesting that while the broader trend remains constructive, near-term exhaustion and corrective movement cannot be ruled out. Taken together, the outlook for gold remains broadly bullish in the medium term, with fundamentals providing a supportive backdrop and technicals confirming momentum. However, traders should be mindful of short-term volatility as the market balances out after recent sharp gains.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
XAUUSD sell on pullbackXAUUSD has got strongly rejected from 3675.00 with one single move to level 3619.83 with break of structure, upon daily close, as with the higher timeframe it has started an uptrend. As price started pullback from the daily rejection, it is highly likely price continue to drop to daily support at 3619.83 or below. As 4h price approaching FVG we may find lower timeframe down trend with series of lower high and lower low. Possible trade selling opportunity from 3640.00 to 3619.83
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ForexWizard01
1
Gold Plan - Market awaits JOLTS, gold holds safe-haven role⚓️ Captain Vincent US–Venezuela tensions push gold into safe-haven spotlight 1. News Waves 🌍 U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed: American forces attacked a drug vessel originating from Venezuela, as Washington steps up pressure on Maduro’s government. Earlier, Trump placed a $50 million bounty to force Venezuela’s president out of power, while deploying military forces closer to the Caribbean. 👉 These moves have fueled fears of regional conflict, and gold was immediately chosen by big money as a safe-haven. This morning’s rally clearly reflected defensive flows rushing back into GOLD. 📌 Note – 21:00 (03/09): JOLTS Job Openings report – a key gauge of U.S. labor health. If weaker than expected → USD under pressure, gold has room to accelerate. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ H1 Chart: gold continues forming bullish BOS , confirming the uptrend. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,478 – 3,480): overlapping major Order Block, strong support for pullbacks. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,577 – 3,579): near 1.618 fib extension, potential resistance with profit-taking pressure. Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,528 – 3,507 Captain’s Wall 🧱 (Resistance): 3,562 – 3,585 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY Zone – Priority) Entry: 3,478 – 3,480 SL: 3,470 TP: 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,489 → 349x → 35xx 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction at Resistance) Entry: 3,577 – 3,579 SL: 3,586 TP: 3,573 → 3,570 → 3,567 → 3,560 → 35xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ “The gold sea is stirred by U.S.–Venezuela political winds 🌊. The ship has anchored at Golden Harbor 🏝️ and is now steering toward Storm Breaker 🌊 3577 . But remember: before big waves, wise sailors always time their departure at the right harbor.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
1
CaptainVincent | Gold in a tug-of-war amid new geopolitical bloc1. News Waves 🌍 At a 2-day summit in Shanghai, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping announced that India and China will become development partners instead of rivals. The summit also included Russia and four Central Asian countries, aiming to establish a Global South bloc to counterbalance the U.S. and the West. 👉 This highlights a geopolitical power shift, raising concerns over global polarization → gold maintains its safe-haven appeal. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ On the H2 chart, gold has printed Higher Highs after its recent strong breakout. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3511 – 3518): strong resistance, potential supply if retested. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3450 – 3448): confluence of FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , key support for a rebound. Main trend: gold may continue ranging within 3450 – 3510 before choosing a major direction. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction) Entry: 3511 – 3508 SL: 3518 TP: 3505 → 3500 → 3497 → 349x → 348x 🏝️ Golden Harbor (BUY Zone – strong support) Entry: 3450 – 3448 SL: 3440 TP: 3453 → 3456 → 3459 → 3462 → 346x 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ “Political news continues to stir the gold sea 🌊. Bears are waiting at Storm Breaker 3511 , but the safe harbor remains Golden Harbor 3450 – 3448 . In an unpredictable environment, prioritize short-term SELL setups to ride with safe-haven flows, instead of recklessly challenging the rough waves.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Gold holds 3400, waiting for breakout or pullback?⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD FED turns dovish, gold tests a new Storm Breaker 1. News Waves 🌍 FED – Waller: “Tariffs are a tax and do not increase inflation. I’m back with the ‘transitory’ team on inflation.” 👉 A clear signal supporting a 25bps rate cut in September , with the possibility of 1–2 more cuts in the next 3–6 months. U.S. Senate: preparing hearings for the new FED nominee S. Miran on September 4 → political & monetary spotlight. Tonight: markets await PCE data , the FED’s preferred inflation gauge. ➡️ Summary: FED leans dovish, supporting gold in the medium term. But in the short term, price still faces profit-taking pressure near resistance. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ On H1, gold has been forming consecutive bullish BOS and has broken above 3,400. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3375 – 3373): large volume accumulation, confluence with FVG → strong entry if price retraces. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3432 – 343x): near previous ATH, likely to face heavy supply if tested. Key levels: 3375 = critical anchor support. 3438 = target resistance if gold continues higher. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY Zone – Priority) Entry: 3375 – 3373 SL: 3365 TP: 3378 → 3381 → 3384 → 3387 → 33xx 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Zone – previous ATH reaction) Entry: 3432 – 343x SL: 3442 TP: 3428 → 3425 → 3423 → 3420 → 33xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ “The gold ship has crossed 3400, but Storm Breaker 🌊 343x remains a tough challenge. If corrective waves appear, be patient at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to board the journey toward a more bullish September.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan (28/08) – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Gold at Storm Breaker 3400: Consolidation before breaking ATH? 1. Market Waves 🌍 Throughout last week, gold consistently formed BOS (Break of Structure) , confirming that buyers remain dominant. Currently, price is moving around 3,394 – 3,400, right at Storm Breaker 🌊 – the critical barrier before aiming at the previous ATH 3,424. The big question: Will gold consolidate and then smash through ATH, or does it need a pullback towards key support before surging stronger in September? 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Storm Breaker 🌊 (Major Resistance): 3400 – 3424 (previous ATH). This is the gateway gold must conquer to unlock a new bullish trend. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Key Support): 3375 – 3355 – 3330. Confluence of FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , likely to attract liquidity if price corrects. Short-term scenario: Price may pull back to Golden Harbor before breaking higher. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Quick Boarding 🚤 (BUY Scalp – pullback priority) Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3349 TP: 3356 → 3359 → 3361 → 33xx 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL reaction – previous ATH) Entry: 3422 – 3424 (if tested) SL: 3430 TP: 3419 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 33xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ “The gold ship is now approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 3400 – 3424 . If it breaks through, a vast ocean opens with a new bullish trend. But if rough waves push it back, patience at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will secure the anchor and prepare for September’s big wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
1
Gold Plan – Captain Vincent ( 27/08 )XAU/USD – Trump strengthens power at the FED, gold ranging around Storm Breaker 1. News Waves 🌍 Trump: “We will soon hold the majority at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.” Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.” U.S. Senate: preparing hearings next week for Trump’s FED nominee, S. Miran. 👉 This signals Trump is consolidating power at the FED. Markets fear the FED could lose independence → USD volatility rises, gold benefits from safe-haven flows. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → high chance of profit-taking sell pressure. On H1, multiple unfilled FVGs remain around 3355 and 3330, suggesting gold may retrace to test these support zones before deciding direction. Intraday trend: range-bound movement → Sell at resistance, short-term Buy at supports. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Resistance (Storm Breaker 🌊): 3406 – 3400 – 3392 Supports: 3372 ( Minor Shield 🛡️ ) 3355 ( Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone ) 3344 ( Intermediate Shield 🛡️ ) 3330 ( Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone ) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (priority setup) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx 🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx 🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (major support) Entry: 3330 – 3332 SL: 3325 TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ “Today gold stands before the Storm Breaker 🌊 , but below lie multiple shields of support. Smart traders may take a quick ride at Quick Boarding 🚤 , or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD possibly setting for another buy!Finally XAUUSD just had a breakout and price finally reached daily high. I am looking at 15min price action which is now on pullback. Potentially price to come back to 1h support consist of 1h fast ema ( 10ema) along with also align with 50% to 61.8% Fib level is an area of possible buy for this move to the upside. However price needs to show a high level of rejection from that level for an entry to increase the probability of upside push.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ForexWizard01
XAUUSD potential buy level for today!XAUUSD trade setup for today : Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market. Monthly: Series of higher low and current monthly candle has got rejected from this support and started to move back to the upside with a strong momentum with higher possibility to break the support Weekly: Previous weekly bullish candle shows possibility this week market to remain bullish. 3366.00 level just below the weekly open and close possibility to revert back to the upside. Daily: Early Asian session has shown very strong rejection from the lower price therefore may bounce back to the upside from daily support of 3366.00 Entry timeframe 1H : Previous session 1h pin bar formation shows possible rejection, this session, potential for the price bounce back from the 1h low is aligning with daily and 4h support is potential entry! Possible trade recommendation : Bullish entry with SL below around 1.5ATR
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ForexWizard01
XAU/USD 18 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK