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XAU/USD 18 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase. Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Price Setup – Liquidity Grab Before Bullish Rally?Price is currently hovering above the 15M Order Block (OB) and testing the ascending trendline, aligned with the 200 EMA support. 📌 Key Points: Price rejected from the higher channel boundary and entered the Rejection Area near 3,405 – 3,409 ($$$ liquidity zone). Expecting a possible dip into the 15M OB for liquidity grab and trendline retest. If bullish confirmation forms, a potential rally toward 3,405 and possibly 3,409 is on the table. A break below 3,385 would invalidate the setup and could shift sentiment bearish. 🎯 Bullish Target: 3,405 – 3,409 🛡 Invalidation: Break below 3,385
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Erin_Gold_Vault
Citi’s bold gold forecast for next 3 months Citi has raised its 3-month gold price target to $3,500-$3,600/oz, up from it previous guidance of $3,300. The upgrade follows a deteriorating US economic outlook, weakening labor market trends, and growing concerns over Fed and data independence. Gold is currently testing a critical resistance zone near $3,380, a level that has previously shown signs of price rejection. Although $3,365 arguably might have been the tougher resistance... which is now broken. The presence of higher lows from previous months could suggest continued strength, potentially supporting the expectation of Citi for gold to trade in the $3,500–$3,600 range.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull Markets
Gold: Key Support Zone Holds Bullish PotentialFenzoFx—Gold turned bullish after testing the order block at $3,267.0. Stochastic is overbought, suggesting possible consolidation. The bullish candle on August 1st created a fair value gap and broke structure, but no discount entry has formed yet. Immediate support lies at $3,324, backed by weekly VWAP, FVG, and volume point of interest. Traders should wait for price to revisit this zone for a bullish setup. If support holds, momentum could push gold to $3,395.0. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1 to 6.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FenzoFxBroker
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – NeoWave Perspective📅 August 2025 | 📈 4H Chart 📍Posted by: @ CryptoPilot Gold completed a corrective Wave A near $3160 at the bottom of the descending channel. It then rallied to $3440, followed by a decline toward the channel’s midline at $3227, beginning a potential Wave C. Attempts to break and hold above the channel failed. Price has since broken below the trendline and is now pulling back to retest it from below. ⸻ 🔍 Key Insights: • 📉 No long entries recommended at current levels • ✅ Bullish confirmation requires a clear breakout and close above the channel top • 🛒 Safer long setup may emerge near $3120 at the channel bottom and possible Wave C completion zone. ⸻ 🔑 Key Levels: • Resistance: $3380–$3440 • Support: $3120 • Invalidation / Stop-loss: Below $3110 ⸻ 📌 Follow @ CryptoPilot for more wave structure insights, SMC confluence, and multi-timeframe strategies. 💬 Drop your thoughts and alternate counts in the comments below!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by CryptoPilot
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | $3,285 Key Level and Structure SetupHere’s my outlook on gold (XAUUSD) for the week of August 4–9, 2025. Last week’s move was shaped by strong early dollar momentum, a 3% U.S. GDP report midweek, and Friday’s sentiment shift after the surprise tariff announcement. Price is now sitting near the $3,380 supply zone, a structure that’s been in play since April. I highlight: ✅The key demand zone ($3,245–$3,285) ✅The broken descending trendline is now acting as support ✅Potential reaction around $3,360 early in the week ✅$3,285 remains my key level going forward. If ever price comes close, I’m watching for signs of strength or breakdown there to guide my setups. I’ll update my thoughts in the comments as price action unfolds. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
TVC:GOLD
by darcsherry
Today's GOLD Analysis : MMC Structural Analysis + Reversal ZoneThis analysis is rooted in MMC – Mirror Market Concepts, a framework designed to track institutional behavior through liquidity patterns, QFL (Quick Flip Levels), trendline shifts, and volume bursts. The current 4H Gold chart demonstrates a smart money footprint that provides actionable insight for intraday and swing traders. 🔍 Detailed Technical Breakdown: 🟦 1. Previous Supply Completed | Demand Zone Reversal At the lower end of the chart, price entered a key blue zone around $3,250–$3,280, previously a supply zone now flipped into demand. This zone represents where institutional buyers absorbed liquidity, forming the base for a bullish impulse. The strong reaction from this zone, marked by long-wick candles and immediate reversal, indicates exhaustion of selling pressure. This reversal is confirmed by a QFL structure, meaning price created a fast liquidity sweep before flipping direction. MMC recognizes this as a high-probability area of reversal, a point where smart money typically enters. 📈 2. Trendline Breakout & Structure Shift A descending trendline, representing bearish market control, was decisively broken to the upside. This shift marks: End of the corrective phase Beginning of a bullish structural change Buyers now control the short-term narrative The breakout was not only clean but also supported by a volume burst, which is a classic MMC indicator that institutional traders are entering the market. 🔶 3. Volume Burst Confirmation Volume behavior plays a critical role in MMC. We see a clear volume spike post-breakout. This suggests that: The breakout is not false Buyers were aggressively positioned A sustainable move is in development This supports the validity of the trendline breakout and confirms the idea that price is ready to test higher liquidity zones. 🟢 4. Current Price Structure: Bullish Channel After the breakout, the market formed a bullish channel, where price is steadily climbing while respecting parallel boundaries. The channel support line acts as a dynamic entry point for retracement buys MMC strategy uses this structure to identify scaling entries at channel lows or after successful pullbacks into key reversal zones 🟩 5. Mini Reversal Area (Short-Term Resistance Zone) Price is currently testing a minor supply zone or what MMC defines as a "Mini Reversal Area". This is a reaction zone before continuing toward the major target above. There are two possible reactions: Short-term rejection, leading to a pullback into the lower channel support zone Minor consolidation, forming a base for a breakthrough toward major resistance 🟦 6. Major & Minor Supply Zones Above Marked in light blue and green, these zones represent areas where previous selling volume and distribution occurred. The major supply zone (approx. $3,440–$3,470) is the next institutional target The minor zone sits between $3,400–$3,420 and may cause initial resistance or a base for another impulse These levels are prime for partial profit-taking or scouting short-term reversal trades. 📊 Trade Management Insights: 🛒 Buy Opportunities (Long Bias): On pullback into channel support near $3,340–$3,350 On bullish confirmation from mini reversal area On break and retest above minor resistance at $3,420 🛑 Stop-Loss Suggestion: Below the channel support or below the blue demand zone (approx. $3,245) 🎯 Profit Targets: TP1: $3,400 (first resistance) TP2: $3,420 (minor supply) TP3: $3,450–$3,470 (major institutional level) 🧠 Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Highlights: QFL Structures = Institutional Reversal Points Volume Burst = Confirmation of Breakout Validity Trendline Breakout = Momentum Shift Channel Structure = Controlled Climb Pattern Mini Reversal Zone = Key Decision Point Before Continuation 🧭 TradingView Summary for Minds Community: This GOLD chart beautifully aligns with the MMC method — spotting smart money involvement early and aligning with their flow. After confirming structural reversal via trendline and QFL, the setup now looks poised for continuation toward the $3,440–$3,470 zone, making it a perfect chart to watch for buy-the-dip setups.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Crashes $100 After Hitting Monthly High | What’s Next?In this video, I break down everything that moved the price of gold last week, from the early-week rally toward $3,430 to the sharp midweek drop toward $3,325. We go beyond the surface, diving into what caused the reversal, and how I'm approaching next week’s market using a simple ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. With major events like the FOMC rate decision, U.S. GDP, PCE inflation, NFP and the August 1 tariff deadline all on the radar, this analysis will help you stay grounded and prepare for volatility. 👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Boost, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #goldanalysis, #goldforecast, #xauusd, #goldpriceprediction, #technicalanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #tradingstrategy, #forextrader, #priceaction, #fomc, #usgdp, #pceinflation, #goldtrading, #forexeducation, #dollarvsgold, #tariffnews, #chartanalysis, #forexmentorship, #rebuildingthetraderwithin
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
1
XAUUSD Analysis : Channel Break, Demand Zone + SR - Interchange"High-Probability Zone Reaction & SR Flip Confirmation" Gold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting from a significant support zone after completing a bearish breakout from a well-established ascending channel. The market structure indicates both threat and opportunity depending on how price behaves around key levels ahead. 🔍 Structure Breakdown & Price Behavior: 🔹 1. Rising Channel Violation Over the past few weeks, price was comfortably moving inside a well-respected ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows. Recently, however, price broke below the lower boundary, which is often a bearish signal—indicating a possible trend reversal or a deeper correction phase. Such breakdowns suggest buyers are losing control, and bearish sentiment is gaining strength. 🔹 2. Supply Zone Reaction & Drop Before the breakout, we observed a sharp rejection from a high point, triggering a sell-off. The price completed its move into a previously defined supply zone, resulting in a strong bearish impulsive leg that pushed it outside the channel. This move shows clear institutional distribution—where large sellers unloaded positions around that zone. 📍 Key Zone Focus: 🟩 Previous Reversal / Demand Zone (Green Box) Price is now sitting in a historically strong demand zone, which acted as a major reversal point in the past. This area is marked as the first zone of interest where buyers might step back in to defend. The green box represents a liquidity pocket where institutions previously accumulated positions—hence it’s a strong bounce candidate. 🟦 SR Interchange Zone (Blue Box) The next major level above current price is the SR Interchange zone, around 3,320–3,340. This level was previously broken and now acts as resistance. It's crucial because it represents the battle zone where the market will decide whether to continue bearish or shift back bullish. 🧠 Market Psychology & Order Flow Insight: The recent aggressive selling pressure from the highs, followed by a bounce from the demand zone, shows a shift from euphoria to fear. Sellers are active at supply, while buyers are attempting to defend the previous demand. The market is currently in decision mode—and the SR flip zone (3,320–3,340) will be the judge. A break and retest above this level signals strength and potential for a trend resumption. A failure to reclaim it would confirm bearish dominance and open doors for deeper targets. 🔄 Possible Scenarios Ahead: 📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Rejection & Breakout: If buyers successfully hold the 3,280–3,260 demand zone and push price above the SR Interchange zone, we can expect: 📍 Target 1: 3,360 (mid-term resistance) 📍 Target 2: 3,400–3,420 (previous high & upper trendline) This would confirm a fakeout from the channel and a bullish continuation pattern. 📉 Scenario 2 – Failure at Resistance & Drop Continuation: If price fails to reclaim the interchange zone, expect a retest of the green demand, followed by a potential drop toward: 📍 3,260 – local support 📍 3,240 – major support (unfilled demand below) 📍 3,220–3,200 – ultimate downside target This would solidify a bearish market structure, confirming the sellers are in control. 🧭 Key Levels To Watch: Level Type Price Range Significance Supply Zone ~3,400–3,420 Major institutional selling area SR Interchange (Blue) ~3,320–3,340 Critical resistance / flip zone Current Price ~3,297 Watching reaction for momentum shift Demand Zone (Green) ~3,280–3,260 Key support / bounce zone Major Demand Pending ~3,240–3,220 Next support level if drop continues ✅ Conclusion: Gold is at a critical inflection point. The recent bearish breakout signals weakness, but the current support zone may provide a short-term bullish setup if buyers defend it effectively. A successful reclaim of the SR flip zone will shift sentiment bullish again. Otherwise, a deeper correction is likely. This setup is ideal for both swing and intraday traders—look for confirmation signals at the current support and SR zone before executing trades.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Slipping Lower — 3250 and 3200 in Sight!✅ Gold & DXY Update – Post-FOMC Price Action Earlier today, before the U.S. interest rate decision, I released my outlook on both the Dollar Index and gold. In that analysis, I highlighted the DXY’s readiness to move toward the key level of 100 — and as of now, price is actively testing that exact zone, just as expected. As for gold, I repeatedly emphasized the visible weakness on the buy side. It was clear that there were very few remaining buy orders strong enough to hold price up in this region — and that’s exactly what played out. Price has started pushing lower, in line with our expectations. Looking ahead, I believe the first target is 3250, followed by a deeper move toward the liquidity zone and the marked box around 3200, which could act as a key target area in the coming days. 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mehrasfx
2