Continue to buy goldAs I mentioned in my last article, gold will continue to rise. We went long on gold near 2662 in the last transaction and closed the transaction by hitting TP: 2676 for profit, easily earning 140 Pips, a very successful transaction!
At present, gold has risen to a maximum of around 2679, breaking yesterday's high in one fell swoop. The hourly level M top suppression has been ineffective, and the rising pattern remains intact. At present, gold still has the momentum and space to continue rising, so gold may still rise or even try to touch around 2690. , then we can just follow the trend and go long gold in trading.
Of course, we can't chase gold directly, but because gold has a small retracement space during the rise, we can't expect too much retracement before going long on gold, and the short-term support area has moved up to the 2670-2660 area, so we can go long on gold based on this support area.
Bros, do you continue to be bullish on gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Goldintraday
XAUUSD: 10/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2683-2700, support below 2643-37
Gold operation suggestions: In the Asian market on Tuesday, gold fluctuated in a narrow range, holding most of the overnight gains. Gold prices hit a two-week high of 2676 on Monday, climbing more than 1%, as the People's Bank of China resumed buying gold after a six-month hiatus, and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week also increased bullish sentiment, and the geopolitical situation also boosted safe-haven buying demand. China's resumption of purchases may support investor demand in the country. In 2023, China was the world's largest official buyer of gold, but the People's Bank of China suspended purchases for 18 consecutive months in May. Strong buying by central banks is also a major support for gold's record gains this year. Another factor to note is the outlook for monetary easing by global central banks. The US November NFIB Small Business Confidence Index will be watched today. The market expects it to be bearish for gold prices, but before the release of this week's heavyweight data such as CPI, any data will have limited impact, and continue to operate based on the current technical aspects.
From the current 4-hour trend analysis, we focus on the 2683-2700 line pressure on the top, and the 2654 line short-term support on the bottom. In terms of operation, we maintain the main tone of going long. At present, the 2637-2627 weekly and daily support levels have been supported. We continue to be bullish and are expected to reach the 2700 mark this week.
BUY:2660near
BUY:2654near
(Just go long on dips, not necessarily according to my points, as long as you do it above the daily and weekly support)
12.10 If gold falls back, go longYesterday, the gold market opened high at 2645.3 in the early trading due to fundamental risk aversion news. After that, the market first filled the gap and reached 2627.2. After that, the market rose strongly. The daily line reached 2676.4 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2660. After that, the market closed with a spindle pattern with long upper and lower shadows.
BUY: 2645 Stop loss: 2640 2635
$: 2657, 2667, 2677. Breakthroughs look at 2685, 2692, 2702-2710.
Prepare to go long gold nextBros, today is destined to be an extraordinary day. Our short position turned from profit to loss, and then successfully turned loss into profit again! Indeed, when gold broke through 2675, I changed from calmness at the beginning to nervousness, but I saw that gold failed to continue to break through several times, so I chose to add positions near 2675 to short gold again. Obviously, it turned out that my trading idea was correct. Gold then gradually fell back and has now reached around 2660. I just closed my short position manually near 2660. Although gold may continue to fall back to the shock range, the 2660-2655 area below has been transformed into a support area, so to avoid gold rebounding again with the support area, I no longer took risks and manually closed the order near 2660 to lock in profits in time.
Although there were some twists and turns in the trading process today, the results proved that I was right, so we were able to successfully turn losses into profits in the gold short trading! A very good trading experience, the most satisfying is turning losses into profits! If you follow my trading strategy, I believe you have also made a good profit, congratulations!
Then next, if gold cannot effectively fall below the 2660-2650 area during the decline, then I may look for a suitable opportunity to go long on gold!
Bros, have you followed me to short gold? So how do you trade gold next?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
12.10 Geopolitical gold prices are expected to riseThe oscillating market is a market that accumulates momentum. The longer the oscillation lasts, the longer the unilateral continuation will last after the breakthrough. This is the basic law of the market trend.
In the morning of December 9, the price of gold rose first, which was a response to the risk events over the weekend. The safe-haven property of gold was reflected again.
The situation in the Middle East (Syria) is deteriorating continuously and rapidly. Its opposition has seized control of the capital Damascus, and the top leader has been forced to flee. This "evolution" is the key to the deterioration of the incident, which has aggravated market concerns.
Intraday analysis suggestions:
In the short term, the support below the gold price is $2,620. This position has been tested and tested many times in the early stage. The upper pressure is at $2,660 and the strong pressure is at $2,670. The early week period can maintain a bullish trend on the strong support of $2,620.
The pressure shown by the technical side is very obvious at the moment, but the fundamental support factors also exist. This is the reason for the continuous struggle between long and short positions, and it is also the reason for the breakthrough. On the whole, after the oscillation or struggle between long and short positions, the probability of the long side winning is relatively high. Therefore, the transaction can be mainly long on dips
XAU/USD 09 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
12.6 Gold breaks bottom to welcome non-agricultural sector!Tonight's non-agricultural data, the market is divided into two sections:
1. Before the non-agricultural data, according to the current rhythm, it is considered to be volatile, so change the range or short, volatile 618, choose the intraday decline and rebound 618 position, you can also short.
2. Non-agricultural data, last month's non-agricultural data was only 12,000. According to ADP, it is bullish for gold, but the data is bullish, and the probability of non-agricultural data being negative is not high. It can only be lower than expected. At the same time, the increase in unemployment rate is bullish for gold. This is also difficult.
So for the evening non-agricultural data, the current decline will either release the non-agricultural trend in advance or rush down and fall back. It is unlikely to be simply bearish.
The intraday short-term 618 position is at the 2626-8 line, which can be blocked for the second time.
Non-agricultural support, if it continues to break the bottom, don't grab more, this kind of continuous bottom breaking, more is meaningless.
See if it bottoms out and rebounds, and treat it as a new range of fluctuations.
Focus on the 100-day moving average position below, the daily large-scale support level
In addition, according to our shock formula, short-term and long-term opportunities are not available at the moment.
Before the non-agricultural market, there will be a second reminder, just follow the members.
12.6 Gold shock awaits non-agricultural sector① Gold was still in a range yesterday and needs to wait for Friday's non-farm payrolls;
② The current daily indicator MACD is oscillating near the zero axis, and the dynamic indicator STO is oscillating upward with two lines; it means that there is no direction.
③ The daily Bollinger Bands are beginning to shrink and compress the range on the three tracks. The current upper and lower track range is 2705-2558, and the small range is the middle track and MA30 adhesion point 2631-2667
④ The current 4-hour moving average is entangled with the middle track, and the upper and lower tracks are running flat, which means range oscillation. The current range is 2629-2656.
Strategy:
Long near 2615, defend 2605, and target 2644-2650-2658
Short near 2660-62, defend 2669, and target 2650-2645
12.5 COMEX Gold Technical AnalysisFrom a technical perspective, the gold daily line is close to the upper edge of convergence, and the Bollinger Bands show signs of closing. At the same time, the price has not broken through the moving average pressure, and the KDJ indicator is in a state of fluctuation without an obvious direction.
The daily level convergence pressure is around $2,690. If it breaks through, it is expected to accelerate upward and test the previous high point. If it breaks below the support of 2,640, it will accelerate downward.
From the 1-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are closing, and the convergence structure is entering the end, waiting for the direction to be chosen. The current volatility has dropped significantly.
The technical indicators remain volatile, with intraday high selling and low buying, and the lower support is $2,650 and the upper pressure is $2,690.
SELL: 2,650 Defense: 60 Target: 35-----30
12.5 Gold shocks, waiting for non-farm payrolls, short and longYesterday, the gold market opened at 2643.2 in the morning and then fluctuated in the range. Before the start of the U.S. market, the market gave a daily low of 2631.8 and then the market quickly pulled up to the daily high of 2657 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2649.8 and the market closed in a spindle shape with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After ending with this shape, today's market fell back to more. In terms of points, if today's market rises first, give a short stop loss of 2652 to 2657. If it falls back to 2637 first, the long position will be conservative at 2635 and the long stop loss will be 2631. The target is 2657. If it breaks, the pressure of 2661 and 2667 will be seen.
11.4 Gold weakens in the short termGold has fluctuated for two consecutive trading days, and it should break today.
Yesterday, as expected, the daily line rose after a single negative, mainly in three aspects:
1. Since this wave of rebound, the daily line has been a single negative, so look at the cycle.
2. The previous day rebounded too much. Although it retreated at the 618 position, the double bottom position is still there.
3. In the morning, 2633 is not only a rebound and retreat to the 618 position, but also a previous low point.
When looking at fluctuations, I have always emphasized a method, 618 is better to make a mistake than to let it go.
Therefore, we used gold non-short yesterday.
At the same time, let's look at yesterday's technical points:
Yesterday emphasized two watersheds, one is the time point of the European session, and the other is the price: 2633 and 2644, and the intraday breakthrough will continue.
1. In the morning, it directly relied on the low point to rise, quickly to the 2652 line, and the price effectively broke the morning low of 2644. It also emphasized that after the breakthrough, it is enough to step back more.
2. 2639 is the morning rebound and retracement to 618. The shock continues to see a step-back entry.
3. Although the performance before the US market is not big, the formula emphasizes that the correction at 6-8 points before the US market is still bullish. Yesterday, the US market also continued to rise after the breakthrough as expected.
But there are also regrets. It continued to fall back at 12 o'clock in the morning.
In the formula time point, we will make a summary at 12 o'clock every night. On the one hand, the Asian market is now big, and we will make a layout at 7-8 o'clock the next day, and also make a summary for the day.
Yesterday at 12 o'clock, it returned to the prototype: the first thought is that it was short at 7-8 o'clock this morning, and gold was weak.
Today, it is still the same. In this form, don't look at the continuous positive cycle of the daily line. Instead, the yin and yang lines in the shock are interchanged. Today, we see a break and fall.
For operations, it has been emphasized recently that the Asian market fluctuates greatly, and the focus is on the layout at 7-8 o'clock.
Therefore, you can go short in the morning, the upper watershed is 2649, and the lower target is 2627-29.
In addition, if it falls below 2630 today, then it is still short in the European session.
Due to the oscillation pattern retracement, pay attention to the entry point at 618, and the extremely weak 382, which refers to the entry point for the second rebound when the intraday high falls to the low.
12.4 Gold today overall range sweepOn Tuesday, the price first dropped to 2634-2633 in the morning, and the support was confirmed in the afternoon, and it was pulled up to 2650 area.
Then, the first bottoming out and rebounding action has been made. Next, under the condition of keeping low, we can look at the second continued upward action, and then break through and stand firmly on the large channel, and then look at the third acceleration to complete the pull-up of 30 US dollars in space
The four-hour pattern continues to show a narrowing situation, waiting for the subsequent breakthrough opening to guide a wave of unilateral volume
The closing range of the shape, the upper rail is 2666-2664, and the lower rail is 2620-2622
The position of the large channel line is close to the upper rail pressure 2652-2653. The support in the same area expands the sweeping space upward. Today's early trading squats back to hold the lower rail support
It can break through and stand firmly along the large channel line 2652-2653, and switch upwards. The next channel upper rail position focuses on the 2676-2678 area
BUY: 2635————2640 Stop loss: 2645————50
Target: 2660 2665
The daily hammer of gold market is extended and rubbed.From the technical perspective, the price of gold continues to fluctuate within the convergence triangle area. The decline on Monday this week is consistent with the characteristics of a volatile downward trend, with the lowest intraday price reaching 2620, which is exactly the starting point of the stabilization and rebound last week, highlighting its key support significance in the volatile market. As the price falls, the market has fallen below the volatile upward support line and is under pressure from the previous high of 2650, with a significant double suppression effect.
Looking ahead to the intraday trend, the suppression of the 2650 line still needs to be focused on this trading day. Given that gold is still in the volatile downward stage of the large-cycle convergence triangle and the downward trend has not yet ended, there is a possibility that the price of the market will fall below 2620. Therefore, in the short term, we maintain a bearish mindset, with 2650 as the key suppression level, and are bearish on gold. However, in the context of frequent interweaving of long and short factors, investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to cope with changes that may occur at any time.
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL - UpdateQuick update on our Election special chart which we posted prior to the election giving our view of what to expect in terms of movement in Gold.
The Red arrow was the projected path, the green arrow is real time movement.
Can quite honestly say it's worked well for us, not exact, but close enough when fine tuned with the red boxes, Knights inid, and of course Excalibur.
We'll keep tracking this.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
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XAU/USD 14 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback.
Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Previous intraday analysis where I mentioned that price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725 was how price printed.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS.
We are now trading within an internal high and fractal low where price is showing reaction from H4 demand zone.
Price has printed has yet to print a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low. Price could potentially print a lower low to reposition CHoCH.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
Gold looks bearish and give a retracement to 2600**Overview:** TVC:GOLD has been on a significant bull run for a prolonged period due to various fundamental factors driving its upward momentum. However, it has recently broken its bullish structure and is now trading below the previous support level of 2710. This level, which once served as support, is currently acting as resistance, marking a potential shift in trend from bullish to bearish. Gold is also forming a inverse Head and Shoulders pattern which can give a good target if played well.
**Trade Plan:**
Since gold is now trading below the critical resistance level of 2710, a short position could be considered. Place a stop loss just above the 2710 resistance to manage risk effectively. If this resistance holds and the price fails to reclaim it, it supports the case for a bearish move. Opening a short position in this setup can provide an advantageous risk-to-reward ratio, aligning well with short-term market direction.
**Targets:**
1st TP: 2670
2nd TP: 2630
3rd TP: 2600
If you found this analysis helpful, please hit the boost and follow for more updates.
**Note:** This analysis is purely my personal opinion and is intended for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. I am not responsible for any financial loss that may result from following this information.
Long Position Stuck, Currently Reversing the LossesYesterday, the long position got stuck, but I have been using scalping on shorter timeframes to recover the losses, and now it's turned into a profit. With the remaining time today, I believe gold will rise to around 2630. During the process, I adjusted stop-loss levels and position sizes flexibly, capturing short-term fluctuations to turn the situation from a loss into a profit. Moving forward, if the price of gold continues to rise, I will maintain the long position and adjust the strategy according to market movements, with the target around the 2630 level.
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Gold Expected to Rise, Target at 2733A great weekend has come to an end, and last week brought us substantial profits. This week, let’s aim for another strong start!
Gold trading opens in just half an hour. On Friday, the price of gold showed limited movement, slightly different from our expectations, but this is not a concern—the rally is still on track! As of Friday’s close, gold prices hovered around the MA5 level without fully breaking through, suggesting some resistance. However, a broader time frame shows that the overall rebound isn’t over yet. Friday’s movement was merely an initial attempt to test the MA30 resistance, with the major resistance level expected at the MA60.
With this in mind, my strategy this week is to buy gold below 2680. The first target range is 2685-2696, the second target 2706-2712, and the final target 2721-2733. Here’s to another profitable week ahead!
Gold : A Perfect Buy Opportunity Amid Expected Pullback!Yesterday, gold prices surged above 2700, rising $60 from open to close. Following such a significant increase, some pullback is likely in today’s session. However, this does not signal the end of the uptrend but rather a natural price correction. After the pullback, gold is expected to resume its upward momentum, with potential to break above 2730.
Based on this analysis, today’s strategy is to continue buying gold. The ideal buying range is between 2688-2674, with a target set between 2725-2732. This pullback presents an excellent entry point for bullish positions, creating the potential for further profits!
Gold Rebounds to $2700! Post-Trump Rally Shows Signs of PullbackFollowing Trump’s election-driven downturn, gold prices have fully rebounded, climbing back to the $2700 mark. However, after this sharp rise, signs of a potential pullback are becoming apparent. I believe gold is nearing a short-term peak, making this an opportune moment to start selling and capture possible downside moves to lock in profits during the adjustment. Keep an eye on the market and stay flexible to manage the upcoming volatility.






















