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9.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsThe bullish market sentiment after the Fed's rate cut last week and geopolitical tensions pushed up gold prices. Gold hit a new record high yesterday, reaching 2634, and then began to fall slightly, closing the daily line with a small positive. However, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and Ukrainian President Zelensky said that the Russian-Ukrainian war was "close to the end". Everyone still needs to beware of the risk of a short-term correction in gold prices. Gold hit a new high again, and the high point was constantly refreshed, from 2500 to 2634. In the short term, it is still dominated by a bullish trend. The weekly level broke through strongly last week. The current market is running on the upper track of the long-term channel. At present, it is necessary to focus on the support near 2600. The gains and losses of this position are related to the trend guidance of gold bulls and bears. If this position is broken, gold is likely to have a large retracement. It is still expected to fluctuate during the day. In the short term, if gold wants to completely get out of the strong pattern, it still needs time to exchange space. I have repeatedly emphasized that the current point chasing long profits and risks are not proportional. The operation is around the 2600-2635 range during the day. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short gold at current price 2633, defense 2638, target 2620-2600 Long gold at 2600, defense 2594, target 2610-262
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
XAU/USD 23 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish. Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile. From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Since previous analysis price has continued bullish, as a result, CHoCH positioning has been brought closer to recent price action. Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a double bullish iBOS since last analysis. Internal range is now established since price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearing pullback phase initiation. Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50% EQ of M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. Alternative scenario: Due to all HTF's requiring a pullback, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
9.20 gold short-term operation technical analysis Gold reversed in a deep V yesterday. Gold fell back to support and then rose again. It seems that gold bulls still have the momentum to continue to rise for the time being. Go long first when gold falls back in the early trading. Gold's 30-minute moving average entered the golden cross pattern. Gold rose after falling yesterday. Gold bulls once again accumulated momentum to rise. It is still expected to continue to challenge new highs. Gold fell to 2569 last night and then rose directly. Gold is currently high. After the Fed's interest rate decision, it adjusted deeply. Gold rose again. After the adjustment, gold fell back to support and continued to rise. There was no further decline, indicating that it is still in the stage of bull accumulation. Gold is expected to continue to rise; after breaking through the new high, it will accelerate. Today's operation strategy 2595 short stop loss 2600. Target 2580-2570 2572 long, stop loss 2562, target 2590-2600;
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
Gold: Corrective Rebound Expected Before Further Decline Yesterday, gold experienced extreme volatility, surging before a sharp sell-off. Today, the market should see less fluctuation as much of the news has been priced in. However, another key report is expected during New York trading hours, and I believe short positions will be more favorable following its release. Before the data comes out, a long position could be effective, given the steep decline yesterday. There is likely to be a corrective bounce as buyers step in to capitalize on the sharp drop, so I see going long ahead of the news as a good move.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MichaeliaDefoe
9.19 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyThe Fed's interest rate decision will be announced in two hours. Will gold hit a new high or a correction? On the 1-hour chart, you can see that there is a minor resistance level near the 2575 level, and there is also a downward trend line converging. If the price pulls back to this resistance level, sellers may intervene, aiming to fall to the 2548 support level. On the other hand, buyers want to see prices break higher to increase bullish bets and pursue new highs , if the Fed eventually chooses to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the market may react quickly, causing the US dollar to rebound. But if the Fed is as dovish as the market expects, cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, and sends signals of more interest rate cuts in the future, the US dollar will weaken further, pushing gold prices higher again, even breaking through the $2,600/ounce mark. Although the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates, there is still uncertainty about the magnitude and subsequent policy guidance. If the rate cut is only 25 basis points, it may suppress the short-term demand for gold, and investors will turn to wait and see. If the Fed's policy tends to be cautious, the safe-haven demand for gold may weaken, leading to a short-term sell-off in the market. If the Fed eventually cuts interest rates significantly and signals further easing in the future, gold will benefit from the continued weakening of the dollar and break through historical highs. At the same time, global economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks will continue to provide long-term safe-haven demand support for gold.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.18 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyGold rebounded from a high level and built a top. Don't chase long easily. Gold rebound is an opportunity for shorts. The Fed's interest rate decision and the expectation of interest rate cuts are about to be fulfilled. The positive news for gold is fulfilled and it may rise and fall. Gold broke down after repeated fluctuations at a high level in 1 hour. The top structure is obvious. The gold 1 hour moving average also began to turn around. The gold 1 hour moving average formed a dead cross, so there is more room for gold to fall and adjust. Gold rebounded last night but did not break through the resistance of 2582. In the morning, it continued to go short at highs under the resistance of 2582. Strategy: SELL: 2575 stop loss; 2582
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
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OANDA:XAUEURShort
by The-Thief
9.17 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsIn the four-hour chart, the price recovered the upper line and ran below the upper line. The short-term support is at the acceleration line 2573. If it breaks down here, it also indicates that the lower line of the hourly chart will break. Once it breaks, it will resonate downward, at least testing the support of the 2562-50 line. Secondly, from the four-hour moving average chart, the 5-10-day dead cross is downward, and the auxiliary indicator MACD is dead cross at a high level. The hourly chart counterattacks the upper line and turns short for the second time, which is the best time to short, and it is also a reasonable position to reduce positions. Once it breaks down, the overnight closing price of 2579-80 is basically rebounded, which is to add shorts. So as long as you hold 2590 to see that the adjustment remains unchanged, wait for 2600 or above after the breakthrough to make arrangements. Strategy: 2585-88 area short, loss 92, look at 73-68-62-50. Break down 73 and rebound 80 and short loss 85
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
9.17 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsAfter rising for three consecutive trading days, the price of gold rose again yesterday to a record high of $2,589 per ounce, close to the $2,600 mark, but it did not break through again. After encountering resistance and retreating, the final price closed at around $2,582. Overall, it still maintained a high level of consolidation. There is no doubt that the rise in gold prices for three consecutive trading days has already indicated that the Federal Reserve will start to cut interest rates, and it also indicates that the expectation of further interest rate cuts is in place. The market is concerned about how many basis points the interest rate cut will be, which is not so important because the trends of various varieties are digested in advance. Yesterday, the price of gold rose to $2,589, and then encountered resistance and retreated. The daily line recorded a small positive cross star. The current price remains above the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. The moving averages of each period are arranged in a bullish pattern. The Bollinger Bands remain open as a whole. The MACD double lines rise, and the red kinetic energy column increases, which is in line with the development of the K-line. At present, the daily line still tends to be bullish. Since technical indicators have a lag, it will be too late to wait until the price retreats or turns to short. Yesterday's high of $2589 is effective pressure. Looking further up is the $2600 mark, $2606. It is uncertain whether it can be reached. If it can be reached, you can intervene to short and wait for a retracement. The primary support below (short-term target) is $2560. Today's short-term operation strategy; Sell at 2585, stop loss at 2590 Buy at 2555, stop loss at 2550
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
9.17 Gold Short-term Operation GuideAfter gold hit the high point of 2580-90 last week, it basically maintained a consolidation trend at the opening of this Monday. As of now, it is still above 2582 as the high point, and it is consolidating in the range of 70-90. At present, many people think that the interest rate decision on Thursday will be a node, but not. I think the GDP data will be a window for a change. Then, institutions may take advantage of the opportunity to buy and pull up again. 2580 is also a support in the 4-hour chart of gold. If it falls below the moving average support here, it is likely to test 2855-50 later.
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
3
9.16 Gold Short-term Operation GuideOn Friday, gold rose directly along the 2556 line in the early trading, rose to the 73 line in the European trading, and then fell back. In the evening, it rose again to the 80 line and then fell back. It hit a high of 86 in the late trading and then fell back slightly. Finally, the daily chart closed at 2579 with a big positive line. Looking back at Friday, the price basically went up in a step-by-step manner. There were corresponding adjustments at each suppression point, but the overall trend was still dominated by bulls. The cyclical double positive continued in terms of form. From the current market, the trend remains unchanged, but the market does not only rise but not fall. If we look at the symmetrical cycle of the form, today's expected rise and fall will close in the negative. However, the market broke through the big positive line last week, and it is not realistic to directly reverse the trend in the short term. The previous platform consolidation has become an important support for the re-upward movement. The daily chart reaches the upper acceleration line suppression area, followed by the oblique pressure of 2597. After the four-hour shock to the breakthrough of the upper line and the acceleration line, the short-term indicators have been seriously overbought, so today I am optimistic about the rise and fall, and the lower 30-minute lower line on Friday formed support for the upward movement. Today, the key support is here on the hourly chart lower line, followed by the four-hour upper line, so today's operation is long first and then short. Short term operations: BUY 2567, loss 2561, target 2582-92-97. SELL2597, loss 2603, target 2573-67-62-55
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.13 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, hitting a record high of $2,559.98 per ounce and closing at $2,558.54 per ounce, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, after data showed a slowdown in the U.S. economy. In addition, the European Central Bank's rate cut also reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, and geopolitical concerns continue to provide safe-haven buying support for gold prices. Considering the possibility of profit-taking on Friday, we will patiently pay attention to the strength of profit-taking in gold today. Market expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17-18 meeting. The probability of a 25 basis point cut is 73%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 27%. This expectation has driven gold's rise because the low interest rate environment makes gold more attractive as a non-yielding asset. The European Central Bank announced another rate cut on Thursday, lowering the deposit rate to 3.50%. This decision is closely related to the background of weak economic growth and slowing inflation in the eurozone. The ECB's rate cut reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, further enhancing its attractiveness. In addition to economic data, geopolitical tensions also have an important impact on gold prices. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Moscow may restrict exports of uranium, titanium and nickel in retaliation against Western countries. The statement has raised market concerns about the global supply chain, further boosting safe-haven demand for gold.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
XAUUSD: 11/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450 Four-hour resistance 2530, support below 2493 Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical side of gold fluctuated and stabilized at the 2500 mark, ushering in a strong bottoming out and rebounding for many days, and closed above resistance. The overall price of the daily chart continued the recent wide range of long and short fluctuations, and the moving average system also moved closer to the bulls. In the short term, it once again approached the previous high point, and whether it can continue to break through this time is still an unknown. Today, the support below focuses on the 2500-05 area, and the pressure above focuses on the 2525-2530 area. This position is also an important breakthrough point in the European session, and the support below is maintained at the low point of 2500-2505, which was retreated many times yesterday. Once this position continues to break down, the short position in the later period will also be likely to continue to open up space, and the first target below is maintained near 2460-2470. The NY market also has CPI data, which is likely to change the entire situation again. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the rhythm of the layout of the long and short wide range of shocks. BUY:2494near SL:2490 BUY:2510near SL:2505 Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
Analysis of 9.12 Gold Short-term Operation StrategySpot gold is currently trading around $25,118.46/oz, with a narrow range of fluctuations on Thursday (September 12). Gold prices rose and fell on Wednesday, supported by safe-haven buying. Gold prices rose to around $2,529 earlier in the session on Wednesday, approaching historical highs, but after the U.S. CPI data, gold prices gave up gains and fell to around the 2,500 mark, closing at $2,511.33/oz, as U.S. inflation data prompted investors to scale back expectations for the Fed's super-large rate cut next week, and the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields strengthened. First: Data, wash; before large data, gold prices have no external stimulation and it is difficult to form range fluctuations; what is large data, such as the mid-month interest rate meeting, such as the U.S. election in October, such as the Middle East war, the risk aversion of the Russian-Ukrainian war; therefore, these small data, like "ants shaking a big tree", are difficult to change the trend of the market; but they will form a wash trend; Second: On the market, the overall market is consolidating in the large range of 2470-2530; and it is controlled by bulls; this is the core; after several weeks of trend, the market is resistant to decline and it is difficult to form a sharp drop; without the emergence of strong negative fundamentals, it is not enough to change this high-range consolidation and high-range resistance to decline trend; In terms of data, small data are mainly for washing; on the market, it is high-range consolidation and high-range oscillation; understand this, at least it will not be very wrong; grasp the market trend, it will be relatively easy to do Detailed intraday operation strategy: Gold rebounds to 2522 short, defend 2530, target 2510-2500 Gold falls back to 2480 to go long, defend 2472, target 2490-2500
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
9.10 Analysis of gold short-term operation strategiesIsrael airstrikes Syria, gold price regains 2500 mark: gold price may consolidate in the short term On Monday (September 9), spot gold rebounded sharply after falling to $2485/oz, and finally closed above 2500, closing at $2506.04/oz. ,, Gold prices soared above $2500/oz on Monday as traders prepared for the release of the US August inflation report and looked for hints that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 50 or 25 basis points. Gold traders ignored the overall strength of the US dollar. The US dollar index, which measures the performance of the US dollar against six currencies, rose by more than 0.30%. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is 73%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 27%. At the end of the Asian market on Monday, spot gold fell to $2485.48/oz, hitting an intraday low. Gold prices then continued to rebound. As of the close of Monday, spot gold climbed $8.84, or 0.35%, to $2,506.09 per ounce. The situation in the Middle East remains tense, which provides momentum for gold prices to rebound. Israel's air strikes on central Syria on September 8 local time killed at least 14 people. The Iranian Foreign Ministry spoke out on September 9 local time, condemning the Israeli army for launching a "criminal attack" and calling on Israel's supporters to stop arming it. According to the Israeli Times, citing Syrian media reports, Israel launched a series of attacks on several areas in central Syria on the night of August 8 local time, killing at least 14 people and injuring 43 people This may become a trigger for the gold trend! How to trade gold? Gold prices resumed their upward trend and broke through $2,500 per ounce, but gold prices are still below $2,510 per ounce, and buyers seem to have failed to accumulate momentum. Momentum remains bullish, but gold may consolidate in the short term before resuming its upward trend or turning downward. The relative strength index (RSI) is almost flat, indicating that neither buyers nor sellers are in control of the situation. If gold climbs above its year-to-date high of $2,531/oz, it could push it to challenge $2,550/oz. If it breaks through the latter, the next target will be the psychological level of $2,600/oz. If gold falls below $2,500/oz, the next support level will be the August 22 low of $2,470/oz. If gold falls below $2,470/oz, the next support area will be the confluence of the May 20 high (which has turned into support) and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), between $2,450-2,440/oz
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
XAUUSD: 4/8 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450 Four-hour resistance 2496, support below 2450 Gold operation suggestions: After a series of shocks, the short position of gold finally exerted its strength yesterday, and the lowest price in the US market reached around 2473. The Labor Day holiday on Monday also directly stimulated the outbreak of long and short energy in the later period. This week is also the NFP data week. With the release of NFP data, the volatility and long and short trends of gold in the later period will also change further. The previous low point is maintained at 2470, and yesterday's retracement touched the lowest level near 2473 and rebounded, but did not break down. Then this position can still bring certain support to the bulls, and the key suppression point above is maintained near the top and bottom conversion area of ​​2507. Before NFP is released, it is still expected to be short in the short term and cannot change its trend. From the 4-hour analysis, the current upper resistance focuses on the 2496-2505 line. The pullback continues to be bearish based on this position. The short-term gold price long and short strength dividing line focuses on the 2515 mark. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, any rebound is a short-selling opportunity, and keep trading with the trend. SELL:2496near SL:2500 SELL:2508near SL:2511 SELL:2525near SL:2529 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
1
9.4 Gold short-term operation strategyGold 2480 broke as expected. The US dollar rose 0.26% during the week, hitting a two-week high of 101.9. Affected by the surge in the US dollar index, the price of gold hit a new low of more than a week to around 2473 yesterday. However, the poor performance of the US ISM manufacturing PMI data dragged down the US bond yields, providing support for the gold price. It rebounded slightly in the late trading, and the daily line closed with a small negative column with a long upper and lower lead. The market is waiting for the US non-farm employment data, which may determine the scale of the possible interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. After the US holiday on Monday, gold finally broke out on Tuesday, breaking through 2480 all the way during the session and reaching the 2473 line. As we said, the market reached 2480. The 2502 short order given yesterday was basically the highest short order of the day, and once won 22 points of profit. The recent market is actually a market for making money. As long as gold rebounds, you can short it. The current price is more stimulated by the news, and it will not be supported for long. At present, 2480 has been broken. The area of ​​2473-74 is a strong support. If it breaks down, it will go to the 2460 line. Based on the current trend, there is still a high probability. The 4-hour trend shows that the downward channel has been opened. If it rebounds around 2500 today, you can participate in short orders. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short at 2505, defend at 2513, target 2490-2480 Buy at 2480, defend at 2473, target 2500-2505
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
9.4 Analysis of Short-term Gold OperationsThe U.S. market broke the bottom and reversed, with three negative daily lines, and the price completely broke the short-term 5-day and 10-day moving averages. 2490 did not hold, but this decline was not restless either. 1. They all fell first in the Asian market. 2. The European market is still rebounding and rising, forming an illusion of support. 3. The U.S. market fell 6-8 points before the intraday low, and the drop at this point basically determined the U.S. market to retreat. 4. The U.S. market continued to counterattack the 2502 line, which was considered a shock. It broke the intraday decline and rebounded 618, and also broke the top-bottom conversion level. 5. After the US market broke through the bottom, the difference was slightly 2470-1, the previous low. 6. It pulled back upward in the early morning, touching the intraday drop of 618 at the 2494 line. From this we can see several points: (1), it fell in a cycle in the morning. (2) Oscillating retracement, the strength of the rebound is also OK. Although the decline is large, it can be closed up, and it is not an extremely weak decline. (3) The daily rhythm is three Yin, reaching the edge of the maximum correction. Today's market should turn positive. This pattern, if there is a swallowing decline, the overall weakness will be weak, but this constitutes that it should still be a bull wash. Therefore, in terms of operation: You can get rid of the cycle and bet on the retracement first. The resistance level is 2492, which is the 618 position of yesterday's decline and rebound. If it breaks 2502, it will lose money and look at the 2483-4 line. Pay attention to two points: if it falls in the morning, you should sell in the afternoon. In addition, if the morning does not fall to the target level, it will break the high in the afternoon and the short will be evacuated. There will be a cycle in the afternoon, and the European session will rise. If the cycle in the afternoon is stuck, if it touches the 2483-4 line, it will be long, and the loss will be 73. Look for the intraday European session to pull up. The extreme retracement long position is 2481.5, which is the 618 position of the rebound and rise. But if the market resists the decline in the morning, it will be more aggressive in the afternoon, and the market will be above 2500.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
XAUUSD: 3/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450 Four-hour resistance 2501, support below 2490 Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold fell rapidly downward in the Asian session, pierced the 2500 mark and quickly rebounded near the 2490 mark, and fell into a shock consolidation. In the European session, it once rebounded upward and pierced the 2507 mark, suppressed and fell into a sideways shock. Because the NY market was closed yesterday, it ran in a narrow range. The overall price showed a shock consolidation below the 2515 mark. Gold still has a multiple top structure in 4 hours. The moving average resistance has now moved down to the line near 2507. Gold rebounded below 2507 and continued to be short at highs. Gold shorts have not ended yet. Gold rebounds are opportunities for shorts. Gold is now building a top structure. Once formed, the decline of gold has just begun. From the 4-hour analysis, today's upper resistance focuses on the opening of yesterday's decline at 2507-12. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to fall back. The lower target continues to look at a new low. The short-term gold price long and short strength watershed focuses on the 2515 mark. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, maintain a short-selling strategy. BUY:2490near SL:2486 SELL:2508near SL:2511 SELL:2525near SL:2529 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ