XAUUSD: Recovery after the correctionOANDA:XAUUSD After printing a new high at 4059 and retesting the prior high in yesterday’s session, gold came under clear selling pressure. A short-term downtrend has formed. For today’s session, the priority is to look for sell entry when price pulls back into the resistance zone. You can read my previous analysis here:
Today’s balance level: 3950 . If 3950 breaks to the downside, price may continue lower toward before a recovery develops.
📉 Analysis
The short-term structure has shifted to lower high/lower low (LH/LL) intraday , consistent with a tactical correction.
The zone is also a Margin Zone , containing significant CME liquidity and a cluster of Long-call contracts from prior sessions.
Key resistance:
Strong resistance:
Strong support:
📊 Trading Plan
Buy the dip:
Wait to buy at with confirmation.
Targets: first 3950, then .
Stop: below the M5 low of the signal candle. Move to BE at +1R.
Sell at resistance:
Watch reactions at .
If a clear rejection appears (rejection/engulfing), consider a sell entry for the next corrective with target is .
Stop: above the corresponding resistance, manage flexibly.
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Goldlevels
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchYesterday, we noted the need for a confirmed break above 4046 to sustain bullish momentum.
However, gold failed to hold above the level, leading to a sharp pullback into lower support zones.
Price is now trading below 4000 and under the 50MA, showing short-term bearish pressure.
A clean break above 4000/MA50 could reignite bullish momentum toward 4020 → 4046 → 4,064. Failure to reclaim 4000 risks a deeper retracement toward 3937 (Secondary Support Zone) and 3909–3881 (Deeper Support Zone) where the MA200 may provide dynamic support.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4000
4020
4046
4064
Support:
3970
3,937
3,909
3,881
🔎 Fundamental Focus | Fri, Oct 10
Today’s key data includes Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations, alongside multiple FOMC speeches (Daly, Goolsbee, and Musalem) — all of which could provide fresh policy clues and volatility for gold.
⚠️ Note: The US government shutdown continues to impact economic data releases, causing uncertainty around timing, revisions, and overall market reliability.
Gold Daily – Holding the Line Before the Next MoveGold Daily – Holding Support, Eyes on the Next Leg
Gold’s run from the 50MA support that started in the second half of August has been nothing short of spectacular.
After such a sharp move, it’s natural to look for where price might pause or recharge.
Based on historical price action and key Fibonacci levels, several zones stand out.
The 0.5 Fib level at $4,096 acted as resistance on October 8, marking the local high of this move.
Below, the green support line around $3,945 is now being tested, a zone that also aligns closely with the BBcenter, creating a confluence of potential support.
So far, this level has held for two sessions, but confirmation will depend on today’s daily close, roughly 12 hours from now.
With inflation concerns resurfacing and central banks showing renewed interest in gold reserves, the macro backdrop still favours strength in the long term.
Many are calling for a top in gold after this explosive rally, but as history shows, tops are rarely that obvious.
If this support zone, defined by the BBcenter and green line, manages to hold, price could push again toward $4,096, and possibly even extend to the projected “Next Move Beyond 161.8%” level around $4,446.
Bias: Cautiously bullish, support cluster holding, watching daily close for confirmation of continuation.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
XAUUSD: Uptrend remains strongOANDA:XAUUSD still maintains a strong uptrend despite sudden pullbacks with heavy selling pressure thanks to immediate recoveries and the continuous formation of a higher-high/higher-low (HH/HL) structure. Up to the present time, bullish momentum is still sustained throughout sessions. However, with a large number of Longput contracts having been pushed into the market by CME traders, a sharp correction may occur in the coming sessions.
Prices continue to push higher. However, bullish momentum has significantly weakened on the 15m timeframe.
A large number of Longput contracts have been pushed into the market by CME traders from the previous session and in today’s session to guard against a sudden decline.
=> Therefore, a sharp correction may be about to occur in the near term.
There is still a considerable amount of Longcall contracts placed at the zone , therefore price may still have a push up into this price area.
In my opinion, we should continue to stand aside in today’s session and wait for clearer confirmation from the market.
Resistance:
Key support: ,
Strong support:
The above are the levels where, the market will have certain reactions. You can take short scalping trades when price taps these support/resistance zones.
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold continues its strong bullish run, extending gains above 4000, with price now approaching the 4046 resistance level. Momentum remains firmly in buyers’ hands with no clear signs of exhaustion so far, although price is now moving into overextended territory following several strong impulsive moves.
If bullish momentum remains strong and buyers manage to break above the 4046 resistance, price may extend toward the 4064 level. However, failure to clear 4046 could trigger a pullback toward lower support zones.
Immediate support sits at the First Reaction Zone (4000–3970) — a natural area for a short-term pullback if price starts to cool off.
Deeper retracement zones are found around 3937 and 3909, where the broader uptrend could rebuild momentum should short-term profit-taking intensify.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
4046
4064
4080
Support:
4020
4000
3970
3937
3909
🔎Fundamental Focus | October 8, 2025
All eyes are on the FOMC Meeting Minutes later today, scheduled for 8:00 pm (GMT+2).
Despite the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, the Fed’s communications remain unaffected since it operates independently.
Several Fed officials — including Mester, Barr, Goolsbee, Logan, and Kashkari — are also speaking throughout the day, which could add volatility.
⚠️ Stay cautious — sentiment remains headline-driven amid the shutdown and multiple Fed speeches today.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is pulling back after failing to clear resistance around 3970, showing the first signs of intraday exhaustion following the sharp rally. The bias remains bullish, but it’s healthy to see some correction after strong momentum.
The MA50 acts as the first line of dynamic support, aligning with the 3937 support level. Failure to hold above this zone may open the way for a test of lower reaction zones before fresh buying interest emerges.
A clear break above 3970 will likely invite momentum buyers and push price toward the 4000 and possibly 4020 resistance levels.
📌Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
3970
4000
4020
Support:
3937
3909
3880
3820
🔎Fundamental Focus:
The ongoing U.S. government shutdown continues to delay key data and elevate risk sentiment. With uncertainty rising and liquidity thinning, gold is highly reactive to political headlines, leading to erratic intraday volatility. Safe-haven demand underpins dips, but sudden reversals remain possible.
XAUUSD: Correction underway as selling pressure intensifiesOANDA:XAUUSD pushed through the Margin Zone toward 3976, a strong level with CME Longcall positioning—where selling pressure has begun to appear. I believe the upside objective for this leg has been met and the market is likely to enter a corrective phase in the near term. You can read my previous analysis here:
Momentum has clearly weakened, and selling pressure around has appeared.
CME traders have begun unwinding Longcall exposure , reinforcing the view that the advance may be nearing completion. However, Longput positioning has not increased materially yet, so the pullback may not accelerate immediately.
Key resistance:
Key support: ,
Contingency support:
Today’s plan:
Look for sell entries into and target the support zones below.
Confirmation: Wait for Quantum Vol-Delta at 5m timeframe to flag strong selling pressure before entering.
Stops: Place the stop above the resistance or above the most recent 5m timeframe swing high from the entry.
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XAUUSD: Bullish momentum is sustainedOANDA:XAUUSD continues to push to new highs with no signs of weakening momentum . I do not expect a sharp decline in the near term, and at this time we should stand aside and continue to observe price action before making any trading decisions.
Price is approaching a large liquidity area (Margin Zone) , where CME participants accept trading at high value . Therefore, this is the objective price may reach in today’s session.
Contingency at this level hosts a sizable cluster of CME long calls , so price may overshoot the Margin Zone and tag 3976 before a minor pullback.
Margin Zone:
Strong resistance:
Key support:
The levels above are areas where price may react and potentially reverse. However, at present, trading in a high value area without structure confirmation is extremely risky.
⇒ We should stand outside in today’s session and wait for the next price action.
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Gold buys above $3850Gold has been making some nice runs in the last two weeks as well as some clean pull backs which are signs of healthy trading. Because of this to be the case, I don't foresee Gold slowing down on the buying up.
If we consider that the highest liquidity pair XAU/USD, and the job market in America is uncertain at best. I think Gold will continue to run up with multiple healthy pullbacks as investors take profits at key levels.
With all that said, I think it is safe to take long positions on gold contingent on the price continues to trade within the regression channel (or above). The entry price would be $3850 with a tight stop loss at $3800
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchFollowing yesterday’s analysis, gold failed to hold momentum above $3,883 and sold off sharply, breaking back toward first support zone. Price tested the $3,828 level before rebounding, with the 50MA (pink) now acting as resistance.
A sustained break above $3,861/50MA could invite a retest of $3,883, with upside targets at $3,903 if momentum extends.
Failure to clear the $3,361/50MA risks renewed downside toward $3,828, with a deeper move opening secondary support zone. The 200MA (green) remains a key dynamic support if selling pressure escalates.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,861
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,842
$3,828
$3,796
$3,776
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Oct 3 (NFP Day)
Today is packed with high-impact US data:
🚩Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP),
🚩Average Hourly Earnings,
🚩Unemployment Rate,
🚩ISM Services PMI, plus several FOMC speeches.
⚠️ Reminder: US government data may be impacted by the shutdown, so releases could be delayed or revised.
High volatility and sharp swings expected.
XAUUSD: Reversal confirmationOANDA:XAUUSD had a significant correction immediately after establishing a new ATH at 3897 with strong bearish momentum, I assess that 3897 will be the top in the near future and the market will begin to correct from here. With the U.S. government currently shut down and the release time of the nonfarm data possibly delayed, it is highly likely that gold will not experience unusual volatility and will continue to correct to lower levels.
Price is currently trading below the trendline, and the bullish structure has been broken with heavy volume, while the rebound shows low momentum, indicating this is a strong break.
As I analyzed in yesterday’s session, CME traders have pushed a large number of long put contracts into the market to hedge against a decline. Therefore, price may continue to fall in today’s session as the nonfarm release is postponed. You can read my previous analysis here:
Resistance:
Support:
Strong support:
Trading plan: Look for sell entry at the resistance zone on the 5m timeframe when a reversal signal with large selling volume appears as indicated by Quantum Vol-Delta.
Place stop loss just above the nearest M5 swing high or above the resistance zone.
Move to break-even at 1R (R:R=1:1).
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XAUUSD: Caution advised ahead of NFP releaseOANDA:XAUUSD current bullish momentum is weakening, and traders are extremely cautious ahead of the upcoming Non-Farm Employment Change, which is expected to be USD-positive , accompanied by gradually emerging profit-taking pressure from investors. Therefore, I expect gold to have a significant correction soon after completing the upward move above the area.
You can read my previous analysis here:
There has been the appearance of long put contracts from CME traders being deployed into the market , which is a move to guard against a potential decline in gold in the future.
However, this is only the market’s preparation, and at present there is no sign of a reversal .
Continue to look for buy setups toward Targets 1 and 2. Pay attention to the Margin zone, where CME traders are concentrating a large number of contracts, which may cause price to reverse.
Key resistance:
Key strong support: ,
Margin zone:
Wait for confirmation of a Buy (Pull) signal from MagnetOsc Turbo on the lower timeframes after price breaks above the resistance zone and pullback. Place the stop below the most recent M5 swing low when the entry signal appears.
Continue to look for buy setups toward Target 1 & Target 2, while closely watching for reversal signal.
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold failed to hold above $3,883 yesterday, triggering a pullback into the $3,861 support where the 50MA is currently holding as dynamic support. Price is now consolidating just above this level.
If bullish momentum continues, a retest of $3,883 is likely, with a breakout opening the path toward $3,903.
A break below $3,861 would expose the $3,842–$3,828 supports, with risk of a deeper pullback into the First Reaction Zone and a possible 200MA test.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,861
$3,842
$3,828
$3,812–$3,796 (First Reaction Zone / MA200 confluence)
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Oct 2
The spotlight today is on US Unemployment Claims.
👉 With NFP tomorrow, traders should expect positioning swings and volatility around today’s data.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is recovering from yesterday’s sharp pullback and is currently trending just above the $3,861 level. A sustained break above this area could see price push toward the $3,883 resistance, with a possible extension to $3,903.
Failure to hold above $3,883 could trigger another pullback into lower support zones.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,883
$3,903
$3,920
Support:
$3,861
$3,842
$3,828
$3,796
$3,753
$3,734
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Wed, Oct 1
Key US data on deck today:
🚩ADP Non-Farm Employment
🚩ISM Manufacturing PMI
🔶ISM Manufacturing Prices
👉 Expect high volatility and swings.
4 Hour Strong - Gold Next Level - DroidTradingGold Buying Level
Every Price Mention Possible Entry Zone.
If Tapped Take Entry as per your Risk - SL previous Candle low , Calculate SL right know.
3801 retest Level want Bullish Candle Closing - Target ( 3840-50 or 3885-90 ).
Keep SL, Book Your Daily Target
XAUUSD: Trend is your friend, follow it!Price remains in a strong uptrend with no clear signs of momentum weakness yet. That said, this appears to be the final leg of the current advance, so chasing highs is risky. I prefer to stand aside for now and wait for price-action confirmation of a top.
1) Analysis
Price has broken above the prior high at 3.791, but the Superior RSI has not reached the overbought zone and is showing early signs of divergence on 1h timeframe.
The area is a high-activity auction zone on CM E, from here I expect a short pullback into lower supports.
Key support: , , .
2) Primary Scenarios
Scenario A (bearish): If price breaks below and drives into lower supports, then 3.818 will likely mark the swing high, and a deeper correction should follow.
Scenario B (bullish extension): If price respects the support zone and breaks above 3818 then I expect price to at least top at 3866 where CME traders place a large amount of auction contracts and start a correction.
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is extending its rally, now trading around $3,813 after breaking out of the $3,796 resistance. Momentum accelerated once price cleared $3,776, with strong follow-through toward the next upside targets.
Current resistance sits at $3,828, while support is established at $3,776.
A clean break above $3,828 would keep momentum intact, opening the path to $3,846. Failure to clear $3,828 may trigger a retracement into $3,796 or deeper toward $3,776.
The $3,753 -$3,734/ First Reaction Zone remains a major pullback area if sellers regain control.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,828
$3,846
Support:
$3,812
$3,796
$3,776
$3,753
$3,734
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Week of Sep 29–Oct 4
It’s a heavy week for USD with key risk events:
🚩JOLTS Job Openings, Consumer Confidence
🚩ADP Employment, ISM Manufacturing, OPEC Meetings
🚩Jobless Claims
🚩NFP, Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, ISM Services PMI
👉 This is jobs week — labour market data will dominate. Expect high volatility, especially into Friday’s NFP release.
XAUUSD: Continuation of the pullbackPrice failed to break the Asian session high at 3,753 (no candle close above it). As a result, a deeper correction is likely before any new advance. The pullback targets are , and if extended, .
📉 Analysis
Wait for an Easy Trend sell signal on a break below the trendline with big volume.
Key resistance: , .
Key support: , , .
📊 Trading Plan
Wait for an Easy Trend confirmation when price breaks the trendline to the downside on strong volume, first target is 3717.
Example (SIGNAL): On 15m timeframe, price breaks the trendline with high volume — enter on the candle close, with the stop below the most recent swing low.
Risk management: Place the stop above/below the nearest 5m swing high/low, move to break-even at 1R (R:R = 1:1).
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,743, consolidating inside the First Reaction Zone after failing to hold above the $3,753 resistance. The 50MA is also acting as resistance. Price remains range-bound within this zone, with multiple tests of both the $3,753 and $3,728 levels.
A clean breakout and hold above $3,753 would open the path toward $3,768 and $3,782. Failure to clear $3,753/50MA risks further downside into $3,728, with extended weakness toward $3,712–$3,690 (200MA support).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,753
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,728
$3,712
$3,690
$3,665
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Sep 26
The spotlight is on Core PCE (2:30pm), the Fed’s key inflation measure, followed by UoM Consumer Sentiment (4:00pm).
👉 Expect volatility — strong prints may pressure gold lower, while weaker data could provide support.
How to accurately grasp gold trading opportunities?The market keeps falling, but we have no worries about taking profits. 3720 is the key short-term support level. Once it is effectively broken, gold is expected to accelerate its downward trend. For two consecutive days, we publicly suggested to arrange short orders near 3780 and 3760. Now the market has fallen sharply to the 3725 line, and we have achieved steady profits again. For two consecutive days, we accurately arranged short orders at the intraday high and steadily realized profits.
At present, gold is no longer in a unilateral upward trend, and the technical side has entered a repair stage. The operation idea is mainly to follow the trend, and the focus is on grasping the rhythm of bulls and bears. The most frequently asked questions recently are whether a big drop has begun and whether gold has peaked. From a structural point of view, although the daily line has been under pressure continuously, it closed in the negative yesterday and even formed a tombstone K-line pattern on the previous trading day, indicating that the short-term has encountered obvious suppression, but this cannot directly determine that the major trend has peaked. The weekly line is still dominated by bulls, and the short-term repair market has not destroyed the overall upward trend.
In terms of operation strategy, we still insist on shorting on rebound and long on pullback as a supplement. The lower support of the 4-hour chart focuses on the 3715-3700 area, and the upper pressure focuses on the 3760-3770 range. It is not advisable to blindly chase orders at the middle oscillation position. It is recommended to watch more and do less, and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before entering the market to seize the high winning rate opportunities.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is following the analysis — after failing to break the $3,782 resistance yesterday, price dropped into the First Reaction Support Zone. Currently trading around $3,741, the rejection has pushed price below the 50MA, keeping near-term pressure on the downside.
A clean reclaim and hold above $3,753 could shift momentum back to test $3,768–$3,782.
Failure to hold above the First Reaction Zone risks a deeper pullback into $3,712–$3,690, in line with the 200MA, which may act as dynamic support. If this breaks, sellers may target the Deeper Support Zone $3,665–$3,642.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,753
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,728
$3,712
$3,690
$3,665
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Sep 25
Heavy data day for USD with several high-impact releases:
🔴Final GDP q/q
🔴Unemployment Claims
🔶Core & Durable Goods Orders
🔶GDP Price Index
🔶 Existing Home Sales
👉 For gold, today’s data cluster is critical — stronger numbers could weigh on price, while weaker outcomes may support upside. Expect elevated volatility.