Get started

Goldlongsetup

Chumtrades XAUUSD Outlook – Will Gold Continue Sideways Today?🎯 XAUUSD – Sideway Day Before FOMC 1️⃣ Market Context H4 is clearly moving sideways: small candle bodies – long upper and lower wicks, indicating hesitation before FOMC (occurring the night of the 11th into the morning of the 12th). The price is currently locked in the H4 range: Lower boundary: 4176–4180 Upper boundary: 4215–4218 Today I am observing the price moving sideways within this range. 2️⃣ Intraday Trading Strategy BUY low – priority Watch for reactions at the zones: 4180 – 4182 4174 – 4178 (bottom of H4 range) 4155 – 415X (most attractive BUY zone) → Short target: 4200 – 4210 → SL below support zone by 100 pips 🔻 SELL high – priority Watch for reactions at: 4212 – 4218 (top of H4 range) 4230 – 4233 (strong resistance – most attractive sell zone) → Target: return to mid-range 4190 → bottom of range 417X → SL above resistance zone by 100 pips The nearest zone is 4202-4198, this entry can be considered 3️⃣ Expected Movement Today → Sideways within H4 box 4176 ⇆ 4212. Just trade according to the range: buy low – sell high. Expected daily fluctuation range is 50-55 prices. A true breakout may occur tomorrow or the day after, as the market prepares for this week's FOMC. 📌 Note Prioritize candle reactions at price zones. Avoid FOMO in the middle of the range. Divide positions smaller than usual as the market tightens before major news. Find this analysis useful? Press Follow to update the plan daily before trading hours and discuss more effective strategies! Wishing everyone a day of total victory in trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold continues to trade steadily above the $4,163–$4,147 support zone, holding within a broader consolidation while respecting the mid-term bullish structure. Price has repeatedly rejected the support band, showing that buyers are still defending the lower boundary. On the topside, the $4,251–$4,268 resistance zone remains the key ceiling—this is where sellers have consistently stepped in. The current 4H structure shows a potential pullback into support before buyers attempt another run toward the resistance zone. As long as gold holds above $4,163, the bullish bias remains intact. A clean break below this level would flip the structure bearish and expose deeper downside. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy from support, targeting a retest of the resistance zone. Entry: $4,163 – $4,147 Stop Loss: $4,138 Take Profit 1: $4,251 Take Profit 2: $4,268 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.45 Bias stays bullish as long as price holds above the support zone. A 4H close below $4,138 invalidates this upside scenario. 🌐 Macro Background (Simple Version) Markets broadly expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this Wednesday, with traders pricing in almost a 90% probability of a 25 bps cut. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, so rate-cut expectations naturally support the metal. At the same time, China continues increasing its gold reserves, marking a 13-month buying streak. This steady central-bank demand adds an extra layer of support beneath gold prices. U.S. data, such as the stronger-than-expected University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (53.3), briefly lifted the USD, but not enough to offset the broader rate-cut narrative. Overall, the macro tone remains mildly supportive for gold as long as markets believe the Fed will ease policy this week. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $4,251 – $4,268 Support Zone: $4,163 – $4,147 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds steady above key support as markets wait for the Fed’s decision. With rate-cut expectations high and China continuing to buy gold, dips into support remain attractive for buyers targeting the $4,250–$4,270 zone. The setup stays constructive unless price closes below $4,138. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD (GOLD) Trend Shift Confirmed After Third Drive ReactionHi! Gold has completed a clear Three-Drive Reversal pattern, with the third drive tapping into the major support zone around 4165–4175. This area has repeatedly acted as a strong demand pocket, and the sharp reaction confirms buyers are still active. Following the third drive, price broke the minor descending trendline, signaling the first shift in short-term momentum. Current Structure After breaking the trendline, price is now forming a healthy sequence of higher lows. The next key area is the mid-range supply zone at 4215–4220 (highlighted in red). A controlled pullback into higher-low structure would maintain bullish pressure and build the base for continuation. Upside Targets If buyers successfully reclaim the 4215–4220 zone, the next major target sits at the 4237–4240 resistance (green zone). This aligns with the next liquidity cluster and previous strong reaction points. ⚠️ Validation The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the structure created after the third drive. A heavy rejection back below the support zone would invalidate the setup. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
8
GOLD 4H Chart AnalysisDear Traders – 8 Dec 2025 Please review the updated 4H chart. Since the start of December 2025, GOLD has been repeatedly testing key levels, with an upside gap near 4262 and a downside gap near 4164. Price is likely to continue testing both sides until one of these levels breaks, confirming the next directional move and range. On the 4H timeframe, the double bullish symmetrical triangle has broken to the upside, which is a clear bullish signal. However, there is still a possibility of one more retest toward the lower level around 4135 – 4165 zone and potentially to the retracement zone. If a candle closes and holds below the ifvg zone around at 4135, we could see a deeper retracement toward the 4000 – 4044 area. IMPORTANT: This week's news calendar is packed with high impact events. Please be cautious with your trades and positions, as the market are expected to be volatile across the board. Keep this in mind when looking for buy entries from dips. The updated chart will help you monitor any downward move and catch the potential bullish bounce. Bullish Targets: 4244, 4278, 4328 Bearish Targets: 4135, 4044
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Gold further downside next weekGold price had closed below 5 day moving average for the past 3 days, this would be a sign for further downside. This is also the third time the gold price is unable to break above 4250 area. There should be further attempts to try to break above, in the mean time, momentary retracement should be on the cards next week. This retracement might be to gather further strength to break to the upside later. Trading strategy -> continue to buy on dip, control small lot size.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by victoriachua
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of — good setup. Here’s how I interpret the trade-idea (and also what to watch out for) based on what you sent. I’m reading it as a bullish breakout / reversal setup on Gold (XAU/USD). --- What I like about the idea • Breakout of a descending trendline On your chart, price looks to have broken above a downward-sloping trendline. A break out of a descending trendline often signals a shift from bearish pressure to bullish potential, especially after a consolidation. That suggests the prior downtrend may be ending and bulls could be stepping in. This is a standard signal in trendline-based analysis. If the breakout holds — ideally with a clean close above the trendline and possibly a retest — many traders view that as a buying opportunity. • Support / demand zone (or “base”) near breakout The chart highlights a horizontal “box” (support / demand zone) around the breakout area. Price rebounding from a support/demand zone adds strength to the case that buyers are defending that level. Support/resistance zones tend to have more significance when they’ve flipped (resistance → support or vice versa). Combining a horizontal support zone with a trendline — i.e. “confluence” — often increases the probability that price will respect that level. Confluence zones are valued because they combine multiple types of support/resistance. • Defined target (liquidity / previous structure) Your chart has a “target point” drawn above, implying an expectation of a move upward if breakout succeeds. That aligns with a typical breakout-and-run approach: breakout → retest/support hold → move toward next resistance or “liquidity area.” This is standard in breakout trading strategies. Using structured levels (support, breakout zone, target/resistance) helps with risk/reward planning — which is good trading discipline. --- What to watch out for — risks & what needs confirmation Even good setups can fail. Here are what needs to play out for this idea to hold up: False breakout / fakeout risk — Breakouts above trendlines or zones sometimes reverse quickly (so-called “fakeouts”). Price might retest and then reject — especially if volume is weak. Need for confirmation — For a safer trade, wait for price action confirmation: e.g. a clean candle close above the trendline + support, possibly a retest of the breakout zone that holds. Jumping in without confirmation increases risk. Overhead supply / resistance ahead — Even if breakout is successful, there may be supply/resistance zones above (previous highs, order blocks, or fair value gaps), which could limit upside. The target is “defined,” so better not overextend. Trend context matters — On higher timeframes, the broader trend may still be bearish or neutral, so this could just be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full-blown reversal. Breakouts on lower timeframes sometimes end up as short corrections rather than long trends. Risk management essential — Without proper stop-loss (e.g. below support/zone or below recent swing low) and defined risk-reward ratio, the trade can turn quickly against you — especially in volatile markets like gold. --- My “Trade-Plan” based on this Setup (if I were you) If I were to trade this setup, I’d approach it like this: Entry: After a breakout — ideally after a clean candle close above the descending trendline and preferably after a retest of the breakout zone (the blue box). Stop-Loss: Just below the lower edge of the support / demand zone (or below the breakout retest low) — to protect against false breakouts. Target(s): Use the drawn “target point” as main target. Possibly take partial profit there, then trail stop / re-assess. Trade only if confirmation appears: e.g. strong bullish candle(s), decent volume, no signs of immediate rejection. Risk-Reward ratio check: Make sure risk vs potential reward justifies the trade before entering. Mr SMC Trading point --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
XAU/USD Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD (Gold) – Bullish Reversal Expectation Timeframe: 1H Current Price: ~ 4189 Indicators: 50 EMA (blue) above price → short-term bearish momentum recently 200 EMA (black) touched → strong long-term support Key Support Zone: 4160 – 4170 area successfully held Market Structure Insight Price bounced strongly from the major support zone where liquidity was grabbed below previous lows. Rejection candle off the 200 EMA + support region indicates buyers stepped in aggressively. Expected scenario: Market may form a higher low → start bullish continuation. --- Bullish Forecast Path The sketched projection shows: 1. Pullback and retest near 50 EMA (4210 zone) 2. Break of structure highs 3. Continuation to targets Target Levels Level Purpose 4264 First take profit / previous structure top 4300 Final target / strong resistance --- Key Confirmation Required For the bullish plan to stay valid: Price must hold above 4160 zone Break and close above 4208–4215 for continuation strength --- Trade Idea Concept > Buy from support zone retest or break above 4210 SL: below 4155 TP1: 4264 TP2: 4300 Mr SMC Trading point --- Overall Idea Summary Strong bullish rejection from key support Liquidity sweep + EMA confluence High potential for reversal continuation --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
We perfectly capitalized on multiple bottoming out and rebounds!Yesterday, the bulls tested the bottom and rebounded, reaching a low of around 4163 in the US session before rebounding to a high of around 4229, approaching yesterday's high of 4235. Although it is currently undergoing a slight pullback correction, the overall trend is relatively bullish, and there is a possibility of further upward breakout after a period of consolidation. The support level below is currently around the psychological level of 4200, which may be breached. However, given the current situation, the possibility of a continuous decline is relatively small. After all, in a continuous upward trend, yesterday's single bearish candle will serve as an important indicator of bullish correction. The key support level below remains around 4190-4180, which is crucial for the subsequent bullish or bearish trend. If the price continues to consolidate above 4200 during the European session, you could consider taking a small long position if conditions permit. The key resistance level remains around yesterday's high of 4235. If this level is broken, the price may continue to rise. However, for those seeking a more conservative approach, it is advisable to wait for a pullback before taking long positions. If the price pulls back to the 4200-4180 range during the day, consider taking long positions in batches.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Daniel_PrimeFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAPHello Traders, Here is our updated 4H chart analysis based purely on technicals. Be mindful of fundamentals and this week’s news events — the calendar is packed, and trading during major news releases can be risky. Following our previous 1H and 4H analysis, price has broken the resistance level at 4245 and is now retesting the demand zone or the bullish symmetrical triangle line, where we expect the next move to develop. A strong entry zone remains between 4135 – 4175, with a stop-loss around 4095. The target is set at 4370, offering a 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio. Remember, Entering from deeper support levels always helps minimize risk. Thank you for all your comments, boosts, and likes. The Quantum Trading Mastery
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by TheQUANTUMTraders
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD Trade Idea Breakdown (1H Chart) Your chart reflects a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Fibonacci retracement + liquidity sweep model. The idea is well-structured and follows a typical pullback → mitigation → expansion sequence. --- 1. Current Market Structure Price is currently around 4215. Market is in a clear uptrend (higher highs, higher lows). Candles show bullish momentum but the chart suggests price is in a premium zone (overbought area), due for a correction. --- 2. Expected Pullback Zone (Entry Area) You marked a high-probability discount demand zone: Buy Zone: 4172 – 4185 This area aligns with: Fibonacci 0.62 – 0.79 0.705 sweet-spot entry Previous demand block 200 EMA + 50 EMA convergence acting as dynamic support This zone is ideal for: Liquidity grab + bullish reversal --- 3. Anticipated Price Action Your projection shows: 1. Price first drops into the blue demand zone 2. Hits the 0.705 / 0.79 fib area 3. Forms a bullish rejection 4. Then breaks structure upward 5. Begins a bullish impulse targeting new higher highs This is a typical SMC “retrace → BOS → continuation” model. --- 4. Upside Targets You have 2 projected take-profit levels: TP1: 4,233 First major liquidity pool Aligns with an internal range high Realistic target for intraday trading TP2: 4,270 More extended target Next external liquidity Matches a larger swing high Both targets fit the structure perfectly. --- 5. Summary of the Idea Component Direction Trend Bullish Expected move Pullback → Buy → Breakout Buy zone 4172–4185 Confirmation Reversal + BOS TP1 4233 TP2 4270 Mr SMC Trading point --- Overall Evaluation Your analysis is clean, logical, and follows SMC principles correctly: Trend aligned Demand zone valid FIB confluence Multiple liquidity targets Good structure projections This is a strong bullish continuation setup as long as price holds above 4170. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
Gold: entering from current levels — risk or opportunity?After Friday’s new high in silver, I assumed a similar correction-ending structure in gold as well. But here’s the issue: If we keep waiting for “one more dip”, we might miss a very strong trend entirely. Today I want to highlight the risks of entering from current levels (yes, this is exactly what I plan to do on Monday) — and what you must consider if the correction continues. 🟡 Three possible correction scenarios All of them are shown on the chart: But there is one key pattern that allows us to: - stay in the trade if the correction is already finished - and exit early if the market actually turns down 🔍 Here’s the logic: 1️⃣ If the price holds above the pitchfork median line. We can no longer break back inside — that’s the first sign of a coming correction. In this case, the stop is anchored to the last low: 4147.81. 2️⃣ If the correction begins right from the market open. We look at the 4132.81 overlap level.https://www.tradingview.com/x/0dQxO50B/ Between these two levels, we choose the stricter one — 4132.81. 🎯 Targets: 127.2% and 161.8% of the triangle structure. This approach lets us: • fully account for the risk of continued correction • not miss the trend if the correction is already over • and stay aligned with the scenario we just saw in silver Smart risk → better opportunities. Stay sharp. ✨
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ACapitalDesk
XAUUSD GOLD Bullish Momentum. Here's My Trade PlanI'm closely watching XAUUSD (Gold) 🟡. Price has broken bullish structure and continues to trend upward on the 4H time frame 📈. As long as equity indices remain under selling pressure, we can expect risk-off capital flow into gold 💼➡️🪙. I'm watching for a healthy pullback into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone 🔄✨. If this level holds as support and price shifts bullish again with a break in market structure, I’ll be anticipating a continuation to the upside with a potential long setup 🛒📈. Not financial advice. ⚠️
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
The bullish trend is back; seize the opportunity today.Gold prices briefly retreated to around 4040 after opening yesterday before trending upwards. The high has now reached 4155, a daily gain of approximately $115. The daily candlestick closed as a nearly full-bodied bullish candle, demonstrating a strong upward trend and raising market expectations for continued bullish momentum. This is especially true given yesterday's bullish breakouts through various resistance levels, with both momentum and strength showing signs of further strengthening. However, it is important to note that the downward trend formed by connecting the previous high and the second-highest point still exists, posing the biggest challenge to the bulls. Key resistance is concentrated in the 4160-4180 area, which will become a watershed between bulls and bears. If gold breaks through strongly and stabilizes above this level, it will likely continue to test the 4200 level. If it encounters resistance and falls back in this area, it means that this rise is more of a correction before a downtrend, rather than a true trend reversal. Support below is in the 4130-4110 area, which is an important retracement point and an extreme support level for the day. Given the current overall bullish structure, this area remains the core reference zone for gradually placing long orders during the day.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Daniel_PrimeFX
2