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Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold continues to trade steadily above the $4,163–$4,147 support zone, holding within a broader consolidation while respecting the mid-term bullish structure. Price has repeatedly rejected the support band, showing that buyers are still defending the lower boundary. On the topside, the $4,251–$4,268 resistance zone remains the key ceiling—this is where sellers have consistently stepped in. The current 4H structure shows a potential pullback into support before buyers attempt another run toward the resistance zone. As long as gold holds above $4,163, the bullish bias remains intact. A clean break below this level would flip the structure bearish and expose deeper downside. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy from support, targeting a retest of the resistance zone. Entry: $4,163 – $4,147 Stop Loss: $4,138 Take Profit 1: $4,251 Take Profit 2: $4,268 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.45 Bias stays bullish as long as price holds above the support zone. A 4H close below $4,138 invalidates this upside scenario. 🌐 Macro Background (Simple Version) Markets broadly expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this Wednesday, with traders pricing in almost a 90% probability of a 25 bps cut. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, so rate-cut expectations naturally support the metal. At the same time, China continues increasing its gold reserves, marking a 13-month buying streak. This steady central-bank demand adds an extra layer of support beneath gold prices. U.S. data, such as the stronger-than-expected University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (53.3), briefly lifted the USD, but not enough to offset the broader rate-cut narrative. Overall, the macro tone remains mildly supportive for gold as long as markets believe the Fed will ease policy this week. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: $4,251 – $4,268 Support Zone: $4,163 – $4,147 📌 Trade Summary Gold holds steady above key support as markets wait for the Fed’s decision. With rate-cut expectations high and China continuing to buy gold, dips into support remain attractive for buyers targeting the $4,250–$4,270 zone. The setup stays constructive unless price closes below $4,138. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAPPlease review our updated 12H chart route map with the latest levels. The 1H and 4H timeframes I shared earlier played out exactly as expected. Now, I’m sharing the 12H GOLD chart to give you a clearer, bigger-picture outlook. Please read the caption carefully. Price is currently trading within the broader on 12H Chart between 4000 - 4230 range. The channel half-line and symmetrical top line continue to act as major resistance, with the BB (Breaker Block) adding further resistance just below the supply area. If the current support holds and price rejects from the BB Or the supply zone, or below the half-line, we can expect a move toward the 4130 target and this could open the swing range for a deeper test before a potential bounce. A clean break above 4230 would confirm bullish continuation to the upside. We will factor all of this into our buy setups from dip levels. Our updated levels and weighted zones will help us monitor downside movement and capitalize on bounces through smaller-timeframe strategies. Our long-term bias remains bullish, so we welcome corrective pullbacks. These dips provide safer opportunities to buy from strong levels rather than chasing the bullish move at the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments, and follows — we truly appreciate your support! The Quantum Trading Mastery
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by TheQUANTUMTraders
What is the intention behind the surge in gold prices at theopenLast Friday, due to Thanksgiving, market liquidity was limited. It was expected that the market would close early and the price movement would be minimal. However, gold still broke strongly above 4200 before the close, reaching the 4220-4230 area before a strong finish. Nevertheless, the trading strategy for this week should not be to blindly chase the rally. The key focus now is on the short-term resistance zone of 4245-4260, which is the high point after gold rebounded from the strong support of 4000 on November 18th. It is also a key resistance level in this upward structure. From the 4-hour chart, this area shows very clear resistance. If the bulls cannot break through effectively in the short term, shorting at higher levels remains the preferred strategy. On the downside, the key support level to watch is the psychological level around 4200-4190. If it retraces and stabilizes without breaking through, it can be used as a reference area for short-term long positions. The overall strategy remains the same: if the resistance level holds, prioritize shorting at higher levels; if the support level holds, then look for pullbacks to go long. The trend is there, but timing is more important. Blindly chasing the rise is not a wise choice. Trading according to the structure and key points is the key to continuous stability. Continue to follow my rhythm this week. We make decisions with discipline, not let the market lead us.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Daniel_PrimeFX
Gold — ABCDE Triangle Formation With Bullish Breakout AheadIn my view, gold is forming a corrective ABCDE triangle with an expected breakout to the upside🚀 At the moment, wave C is either still developing or it is almost completed, and wave D may soon begin. I marked these two scenarios with orange🟠and purple🟣 arrows respectively. However, I also do not rule out the possibility that this structure may turn out to be a flat ABC correction rather than a triangle, as I currently expect. In that case, price should first move according to the orange scenario. After the correction completes, I expect price to follow the green path, taking gold above its recent all-time high🌱 And between us — I personally expect gold to eventually reach above 8000 😱 But for now, let’s patiently wait for this current structure to finish forming. 💬Share your thoughts in the comments: Do you think wave C is already complete, or will gold dip lower according to the orange path? I’m curious to hear your view.
TVC:GOLDLong
by chart1stry
Gold Buyers Regaining Control - Market Poised for UpsideHello Followers, I am going to share you my opinion on gold next move.. Gold continues to show strong bullish structure after holding above the key support zone between 4030 – 4050. This demand area has repeatedly attracted buyers, confirming it as a reliable base for the next upward leg. As long as price remains above this zone, the market bias stays firmly bullish. A breakout above 4100 activates a high-probability buy setup, signaling renewed momentum from institutional buyers. If price sustains above the entry level, Gold can extend toward the first major resistance around 4170, where buyers may take partial profits. The broader market environment also supports bullish strength, with safe-haven demand increasing and overall market sentiment favoring upside movements. Volatility may rise, but the trend structure remains intact as long as the price does not break below the 4000 stop loss level, which marks the deeper structural support. KEYPOINTS: Entry-level 4086 Target level 4170 Support area 4030/4050 Stop loss level 4000
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TeamEllianaTrades
Be wary of the risks associated with rapid growth.Recently, gold prices have been affected by the ongoing US government shutdown, leading to a resurgence of safe-haven demand. After falling to a low near 3886, gold has consolidated for several weeks and is now attempting to break through to a high near 4147. This week, the key level to watch is whether 4147 can be broken; a break above this level could lead to a further push towards the 4200 mark, while a failure to break through would likely result in continued consolidation. After the significant gains on Monday and Tuesday, gold lacks upward momentum in the short term, indicating market caution. Following today's high-level consolidation, it has fallen back to a low near 4122 in the Asian session and continues to trade sideways. The key resistance level to watch in the Asian session is 4150, while the support level is 4100. From the perspective of the upward logic, this rise in gold prices stems from the concentrated release of previously suppressed bullish sentiment. After retracing from $4381 to $3886, gold underwent seven days of consolidation. The bullish momentum exploded rapidly after breaking out of the triangle pattern, resulting in a continuous upward trend. However, it's important to note that this round of gains lacked sufficient correction and consolidation, primarily progressing through a pattern of "rising - sideways consolidation - further rising," resulting in an excessively rapid pace of increase and excessive consumption of trading volume. Subsequent momentum is unlikely to sustain price increases, and the market is showing signs of exhaustion. Based on technical patterns and momentum performance, in the short term, the effectiveness of the 4090-4100 support level should be closely monitored, while the 4150-4160 range serves as a key resistance zone. Be wary of a potential pullback under double-top resistance. For trading, consider going long around the 4090-4100 level, with resistance around 4160 as a key level to watch.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Henry_Matthew
Accurate prediction of an upward trend has arrived as expected.The protracted US government shutdown is finally coming to an end! The Senate has cleared procedural hurdles, and the temporary funding bill has passed a procedural vote, ensuring government funding until January. The shutdown is likely to end this weekend. As soon as the news came out, the market went from cloudy to sunny – the previous shutdown had tightened liquidity, but now it seems to be easing, and the precious metals market is leading the rebound. Although the shutdown isn't completely resolved, the resumption of negotiations between the two parties has sent a positive signal, boosting risk appetite and relieving the anxiety of watching partisan infighting. To put it simply, this "temporary extension" by the US government is like a reassurance to the market. Investors who were panicking before the shutdown can now breathe a sigh of relief. All that's left is to wait for the final decision so that the government can fully "reopen for business"! Gold broke out of a two-week low-level triangle pattern in the previous trading session, ushering in a strong upward trend. Yesterday's market exhibited a three-stage upward trend: higher in the Asian session, continued gains in the European session, and accelerated gains in the US session. Each rally was followed by a period of consolidation without significant pullbacks, a classic characteristic of extremely strong market conditions. Regarding the future trend, the bullish outlook remains unchanged for today. On one hand, the current situation strongly suggests a period of high-level consolidation: given the current extremely strong pattern, gold is more likely to continue its "time-for-space" consolidation, digesting pressure before resuming its upward movement. If this pattern holds, aggressive long positions can be considered before the European session. On the other hand, if a pullback occurs: the 4116-4110 range should be closely watched, as this will act as a crucial support level. If the price retraces to this range and stabilizes, long positions can be considered on the pullback.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Henry_Matthew
Gold Analysis and Trading StrategiesGold is currently in a range-bound market, failing to break through the 4000 level. The overall trend remains range-bound, with bulls struggling to gain traction. The market is expected to continue its sideways movement, but without a sustained break above 4000, gold will likely remain in a weak, range-bound market. The 1-hour moving averages for gold are still in a bearish crossover pattern. After a period of consolidation within a triangle pattern, gold broke down on the 1-hour chart, and any rebounds are currently facing downward pressure. The 3990-4000 area remains a significant resistance zone. Gold opened this morning around 3981, rallied to 3984, and then quickly plummeted to 3968. Based on the volatility, bears still have the upper hand, and market information suggests there is potential for further downward movement. Today, I will still primarily focus on shorting, but there's one thing to note: the market's bull trap isn't over yet. Therefore, I won't be looking for the perfect shorting entry point. Instead, I'll be tentatively shorting in batches, for example, in the 3980-3985 area. If it climbs further, I'll wait for the 3990-3994 area, and then in batches in the 4000-4010-4020 area. Please don't blindly follow my advice. After all, we dare to operate this way with profits as a foundation. Without profits, blindly holding short positions may be counterproductive, and if there's an unexpected surge, the damage could be significant. Please be mindful of this. If you don't have a gold trading plan or strategy and are struggling to achieve consistent profits, you can follow my updates. If you have any questions, feel free to message me privately.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Henry_Matthew
Gold Important Trading Range SignalsGold Technical Analysis: Gold bulls broke out upwards first, and gold is now oscillating within a range of $4030-$3920. In the short term, this range-bound movement is expected to continue. This week's non-farm payroll data will determine whether a breakout occurs and a one-sided trend emerges. However, if the non-farm payroll data fails to break through key short-term support and resistance levels, the oscillation will likely continue, and this time, it is expected to last for a considerable period. Short-term Data Impact: The non-farm payroll data fuels expectations of a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Other factors include easing trade tensions and the US government shutdown. Therefore, the probability of gold experiencing a significant surge in the short term is low. Even if it breaks through the rebound high of 4046, the upside potential is expected to be limited.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Kyle_Jokinjef
2
Gold's break below support was expected; continue shorting.Gold traded sideways yesterday, repeatedly encountering resistance around the $4000 level. After a failed attempt to break through in the final wave of trading last night, it experienced a sharp drop, consistent with our bearish forecast. The breakdown is normal; after all, a break above $3960 inevitably leads to a faster decline. Last night, it ultimately fell to around $3928, breaking the recent consolidation range. Short-term pressure suggests further downside. There is some support around $3930, but I believe this level will be difficult to hold today. Gold prices may test $3915 or even $3900. On the 4-hour chart, upward momentum in gold is lacking. The overnight high provided resistance around $3975, while the $3962 level was the point of accelerated decline after the breakdown. Currently, bulls are under significant pressure. Unlike the previous consecutive gains, this week has been characterized by weak consolidation with an overall downward bias. The bulls currently lack strength, and the short-term trend remains bearish. The key levels to watch are 3960-62, which was the resistance level encountered during the first round of rebound, and 3975-77, the high point of yesterday's rebound, which is also the starting point of the decline. Today's Trading Strategy: The 3900 area is a key defense zone for the bulls. Gold prices previously rebounded from this area, reaching a high of around $4045. Will gold prices find support again and rebound this time? I think it's unlikely. The bulls encountered strong resistance during the rebound and ultimately broke through this area, indicating that the gold price trend is weakening. We should follow the trend and focus on selling on rallies, only considering going long after gold prices break below 3900. Aggressive traders can establish short positions around $3960-$3962; conservative traders can establish short positions in the $3970-$3975 range. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Henry_Matthew
Gold faces key resistance at 4030; continue shorting on rallies.Gold is currently in a consolidation phase, moving back and forth, constantly pulling and tugging. This has been the typical gold price action for a considerable period after major price movements, so it's important to get used to this rhythm. Don't assume a significant surge is imminent just because the price rises; this is currently just a corrective rebound. The overnight short position at 4020 yielded the expected profit. The article explicitly advised shorting, and gold ultimately fell as predicted. Continue to short on any rebounds during the Asian session. Gold is still consolidating on the 1-hour chart, without a clear directional breakout. Current rebounds present opportunities to short. Multiple attempts to break through resistance levels haven't resulted in a significant upward breakout, indicating insufficient bullish momentum and a generally bearish bias. The 4030 level is a key resistance point. Until a strong, one-sided trend emerges, shorting at the trendline resistance is advisable. Only a break above 4050 could bring a bullish resurgence. Gold's consolidation without breaking below 3960 suggests a possible trap for long positions. If this continues, a further collapse in gold prices is quite possible. Traders need to be adaptable to these situations. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to open a short position at 4000. If there is a strong upward movement, pay further attention to 4020-4030 to continue shorting. On the downside, focus on the 3930-3900 range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Henry_Matthew
Gold Forming Bearish Three Drives Pattern Below Channel MidlineHi team! Gold has formed a double top near the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel, signaling potential exhaustion of the bullish momentum. After breaking below the local support and retesting it, price created a lower high, which confirms a short-term bearish structure. Currently, the market is consolidating below the midline of the new channel. The recent sequence of moves is forming a potential Three Drives pattern, where Drive 1 and Drive 2 are already complete, and a possible Drive 3 could be developing. If price fails to reclaim the main support zone around $4,000–$4,050, we can expect a continuation to the downside toward: $3,815 – the first key support level and measured target for Drive 3. $3,604 – the next major support zone and lower boundary of the broader channel. As long as price remains below the recent swing highs, the bearish scenario remains valid. A clear break above the midline of the channel would invalidate this setup and suggest a potential reversal. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
13
You can short gold after it fills the gap.Gold opened lower at the start of the week, having closed near 4002 on Friday, but opened at 3983, falling as low as 3962, a drop of nearly $40. Currently, the market is range-bound with no clear trend in either direction. Trading should focus on buying low and selling high based on support and resistance levels, rather than chasing the market. The overall market is still oscillating within the 3850-4150 range. The 3880 area, which has been tested twice without a breakthrough, has become a key support level for the decline. Gold opened lower and filled the gap. Short-term selling pressure is warranted, as bullish momentum is weak and further weakness is possible in the short term. The overall market remains in a large range-bound pattern. The short-term bullish movement is merely a rebound and has failed to drive a significant upward trend. The market opened lower this morning following weekend news and continued to decline. After filling the gap this morning, the bears may continue to exert pressure. Short positions can be considered on rallies to 4005-4015.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Henry_Matthew