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Goldman_analysis

XAU/USD Bullish Outlook - Strategic Entry & Exit Plan🟡💰 XAU/USD — “Gold Rush or Police Trap?” ⚡ Thief Strategy Playbook 🎯 Asset: XAU/USD “Gold vs U.S. Dollar” Market Type: Crypto / Metals Cross (Swing / Day Trade) Bias: Bullish 🟢 🔓 Thief’s Entry Game Plan (Layer Method) This isn’t your typical sniper-entry… this is the Thief Strategy™ — a layering style method using multiple limit orders for flexible accumulation. 💎 Layer Entries: 4000.00 ✅ 4025.00 ✅ 4050.00 ✅ (You can increase or adjust the layers based on your risk appetite & setup.) 🛡️ Stop Loss (Thief’s SL): @3950.00 “Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending my SL; it’s just my escape route. Trade smart, take your profits, and move at your own risk.” 🎯 Target Zone — “Police Barricade Ahead 🚨” The 4200.00 zone acts as a strong resistance + potential trap area — heavy liquidity and overbought conditions live there. Be wise, secure the bag 💼, and slip out before the market cops show up. 📊 Key Technical Notes Momentum shows gold buyers reclaiming upper zones after liquidity grabs. Higher-timeframe structure: Still bullish unless 3950.00 breaks cleanly. RSI divergence & volume spike hint at layered re-accumulation potential. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch & Correlations 💵 TVC:DXY — Inverse correlation; stronger dollar → gold pullback risk. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD — Occasionally follows gold sentiment under risk-off conditions. 💹 TVC:SILVER (XAGUSD) — Often moves in tandem; can confirm metal-sector strength. 💱 FX:USDJPY — Watch for safe-haven flows; yen strength = gold demand uptick. ⚙️ Market Sentiment (London Session Focus) 📈 Bullish tone continuing through European hours. 🔍 Institutions layering bids near 4000–4050 liquidity pocket. ⏱ Short-term pullbacks expected before breakout continuation. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — just for fun & educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade responsibly — steal profits, not peace. 🕶️ #XAUUSD #Gold #ThiefTrader #SwingTrade #LayerEntry #Forex #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStrategy #GoldTrading #XAU #PriceAction #SmartMoney #LondonSession #TradingViewIdeas
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
The M top has formed and the bull market has endedDuring the Asian session today, we took profits on our long position in gold and then entered a short position in the European session, both yielding substantial gains (this can be verified on my free channel). Technically, gold prices are likely forming a short-term "double top" pattern. The current downward trend is quite clear, with the hourly low during the European session around 4168. Recently, gold triggered sharp declines after testing 4381 twice, indicating significant selling pressure above. Additionally, the rapid rebound to 4250 after breaking below 4200 last Friday was more of a buying defense driven by bullish sentiment. However, the probability of a rebound today is extremely low— the impact of last Friday’s plunge has not been fully absorbed, and today’s renewed slump has undoubtedly dealt a second blow to bullish confidence. Attention should be focused on the 4180 support level below. If it is breached, the bullish trend for gold may come to a complete end. Gold is currently in a state of panic selling. It is advisable to remain on the sidelines for now, and wait to enter the market until the selling sentiment subsides and the market stabilizes, so as to avoid losses from a market washout that triggers a double wipeout of both long and short positions.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
What to do after the plunge? Strategy has been updatedGold opened higher today, testing the peak at 4381 before coming under pressure and declining. During the session, it pulled back to a low of 4317, rebounded to around the 4345 level, and then started a cascading drop. Currently, it is consolidating with fluctuations near 4266. We have only executed one successful trade during the Asian session so far today, and all traders who followed the operation have gained good profits. As this wave of gold's decline is relatively rapid, for prudence, we can first observe the market temporarily and will inform everyone when there is an opportunity for operation. Trading Strategy Keep an eye on the trend during the European session. If gold fluctuates weakly in the European session, we will go short when it rebounds in the US session. If gold rebounds strongly in the European session, we will go long on gold when it pulls back in the US session. I will update trading signals in real time in the channel. You can follow it if needed.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold bulls hit new highs, go long on dipsGold directly recovered Friday's losses and hit a new high yesterday, which undoubtedly reflects the strength of the bulls. As mentioned in my post yesterday, with the support level of 4218 held, the low points have been gradually moving up, and a breakthrough above 4280 was only a matter of time. After breaking through 4280, the price surged all the way to a high of 4381, before starting to decline slowly. The gold bulls have risen again, and the current correction ended in the form of a rapid adjustment, allowing gold to return to the bull market. From a technical perspective, the short-term correction has been repaired, and the price has moved back above all major moving averages, indicating that the market has regained its strength. The 1-hour moving average is still diverging upward in a bullish trend, leaving room for further upside in gold. Additionally, factors such as the U.S. debt crisis, the U.S. dollar credibility crisis, risk-aversion sentiment, and the interest rate cut cycle are driving gold prices higher. As long as these issues are not resolved or mitigated, the escalating contradictions will inevitably push the price to rise further. Today's Strategy: If gold pulls back to the range of 4320-4330, consider going long on gold appropriately and set up a stop-loss order for risk protection.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
1
XAUUSD: Strong recovery, will gold continue to make new highs?OANDA:XAUUSD had a significant correction in the trading session at the end of last week, for most of yesterday's trading session we have not seen too strong bullish momentum. However, during the New York Session, gold rose sharply under the push of large cash flows and with the emergence of some unsettling news, typically the fact that China could pay 155% tariffs if there is no agreement before November 1 (President Trump). Looking at the options market in today's trading session, most traders are still apprehensive as the price is trading above the peak of 4350 – 4370 (calculated through the price of CFDs). However, most of the market is involved by longcall contracts, so I assess that in today's trading session, the price will continue to above $4400/ounce. Some key levels that we need to pay attention to in today's trading session: Resistance: , Support: Support: Strong support: Margin Zone support: Fair value gap (FVG): Margin Zone + Strong suport + FVG => This will be a strong support zone in today's trading session Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply. Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones => Take profit when the price moves from 10 to 20 prices since entering the order at the support and resistance areas. Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones. Always set stop loss when trading and manage risks closely. Note: Price may spike through support or resistance levels and then reverse. Therefore, it is crucial to patiently wait for the candle to close before entering a trade. Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
Can Gold Still Reach 4400? Focus on the 4280 WatershedGold opened slightly higher at 4251 this morning, but immediately crashed and fell back below 4239. However, this didn't trigger a further sell-off, instead it stalled and saw a strong rally. Gold therefore broke through 4273 before retreating. The pullback was also quite strong, directly reversing gains and heading towards 4220. This aligns with the signal mentioned in yesterday's article, suggesting a short position below 4280. Gold's 30-minute moving average has begun to turn downward. If it forms a downward death cross, the 30-minute moving average could see further downward movement. Even with the risk-averse approach, gold failed to break through the resistance at 4280 this morning, indicating that 4280 remains the current dividing line between bulls and bears. Resistance levels: 4260, 4280 Support levels: 4200, 4180 Trading strategy: 1. If gold retreats to the 4200-4180 area, consider going long on gold and setting up a protective position. 2. If gold rebounds to the 4265-4275 resistance area, consider shorting gold. 3. If gold breaks through and holds above 4280, consider going long on gold after a pullback. If you're feeling lost and unsure about the market, follow my updates and channel. I'll provide daily updates, including details on long- and short-term trade execution. If you're interested, please share your current positions and we can analyze whether it's safer to hold on or adjust and change your positions.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Is the sharp drop in gold a sign of a bearish trend?Gold rallied to 4379 after opening on Friday, then rebounded above 4370 after experiencing two crashes. The market generally expected gold to break through the 4400 mark. Although one of the two crashes resulted in a drop of over 100 points, this did not spur a further return of bears. Instead, the strength of the rebound gave the market bullish confidence. The subsequent crash immediately wiped out all the buying. As I mentioned in my previous two articles, everyone expected the price to rise again after falling. The crash after the surge was actually expected. Whether it was the US government shutdown, rising expectations for an October rate cut, or the trade war and Russia-Ukraine spurring risk aversion, bullish momentum was constantly building. It was primarily driven by capital seeking to push up gold prices. Otherwise, the news had some impact, but not this significant. It's true that the Russia-Ukraine conflict hasn't escalated out of control. While a Fed rate cut is highly likely, the market had already priced in the news. Unless it's a significant rate cut, the impact will be limited. As for the US government shutdown, while it has an impact on the US economy, it's more of a civil war between the two parties, so the impact is also limited. As for tariffs, after all, they haven't been implemented, and there's no question of how much risk aversion they'll generate. Negotiations will happen anyway. Even combined, these various pieces of information wouldn't have spurred gold prices that much. After all, this month's rise from 3819 to 4379 is 560 points, and this week's rise from 4002 to 4379 is nearly 380 points. This is purely a malicious push. So is this bull market in gold over? This recent correction has been particularly strong, prompting many to question whether gold has peaked. However, it's premature to call it a peak, and we shouldn't blindly dismiss the current strong trend. After all, the news hasn't yet signaled a significant decline, and the aforementioned events haven't been effectively addressed. Looking at the one-hour and four-hour charts, support remains near 4180 and 4160. Only a break below these levels will trigger further downside, two areas we need to watch in the short term. Upward pressure is currently at 4280-4300. If it breaks through these levels again, it's likely to revisit the previous highs. A break below these levels could lead to a push towards 4500. Next Week's Trading Strategy: Gold's focus is now on the 4280 area, which is currently the dividing line between bulls and bears. If gold fails to break through 4280 in a rebound next week, continue shorting gold on rallies. If gold ultimately breaks through and stabilizes at 4280 amidst the weekend's risk-averse rally, then bulls will return. Currently, gold is still trading below 4280, so continue shorting on rallies at the beginning of next week while under pressure at 4280. If you're feeling lost and unsure about where to go in this market, follow my updates and my channel. I'll provide daily updates for your reference, including details on the execution of long- and short-term trades. If you'd like, please share your current positions so we can analyze whether it's safer to hold on or adjust and change positions in a timely manner. Next week's trading plan is about to begin. If you have any trading questions (wanting to recover losses or increase profits), please feel free to contact me. Thank you to everyone.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold continues to rise, is there no chance for bears?Yesterday, gold opened lower, found support at 4,199, and then began to rally, peaking intraday near the 4,230 level. Undoubtedly, the bulls have once again staged a rally of over 100 points. Of course, no matter how high gold rises—even if it hits 4,500—I wouldn’t be surprised right now, because the market is in such a state: the bulls’ rally seems endless. While there have been collapses in between, the situation is just as I said yesterday: recent collapses followed by rallies to new highs have made the market distrust the return of bears; instead, investors increase their bullish bets after each collapse. One thing must be acknowledged: amid gold’s relentless rally, there are still investors trying to top-tick the market (short at the peak), especially when facing resistance at round-number levels. The enthusiasm for shorting remains high, and this is precisely what’s driving gold higher—because it can’t fall. If it really did fall sharply, market sellers would undoubtedly lock in substantial profits. As for chasing highs, with gold breaking through resistance levels at will, buyers have high expectations. Moreover, as the low points keep moving up, buyers dare not exit casually once they enter a position—for fear of missing the chance to get back in at a lower level. This behavior has also intensified market manipulation; otherwise, what’s the point of gold’s "collapse-then-rally-to-new-highs" pattern these days? It’s nothing more than a way to trap both bulls and bears for profit. Given this situation, technical analysis and news are essentially meaningless. While they may have some reference value, it’s extremely limited. Therefore, you all need to be cautious. Of course, for me, it doesn’t matter—short-term trading doesn’t require a clear trend. Although I mostly take short positions in the short term, that’s only because the skill requirement for "catching pullbacks after rallies" is relatively low. Additionally, I haven’t had time to notify everyone about long positions, as the rebounds have been too fast, leaving no chance to enter. I hope you all can understand this. Today, gold gapped up to open near 4,333, pulled back to 4,326 to find support, and then surged sharply. The bulls pushed it up to around 4,379 before it collapsed to near 4,343; it then rallied again to 4,363 and paused to pull back. Undoubtedly, the bulls have once again unleashed an explosive rally. Of course, when it comes to the reason for this surge, it ultimately boils down to market-driven buying. Yesterday, when gold faced resistance in the 4,290–4,300 range, selling pressure emerged noticeably—and this is precisely what attracted capital to enter, "hunt" those short positions, and push gold above 4,300. The 4,300 level is also a key dividing line between bulls and bears in the market. This week, since gold started rallying from 4,002 earlier in the week, the bulls have surged nearly 300 points, and the enthusiasm of market buyers has slowed noticeably. Most investors think that after such a large gain, a further explosive rally is unlikely, so they chose to short at 4,300 as a "phased top-tick"—and this is why gold saw such a momentum-driven rally after breaking above 4,300. Secondly, market news has also given capital an excuse to push gold higher. First, the deteriorating relations between China and the U.S. have triggered market panic; second, the U.S. government shutdown has further amplified this panic; third, the suspension of data releases has left the Federal Reserve unable to refer to economic data to adjust policies, which has increased the likelihood of a rate cut. With these three major news drivers impacting gold, capital always has a reason to push its price higher. Furthermore, the outbreak of the U.S. credit crisis has fueled safe-haven sentiment, and the tense atmosphere surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to stimulate safe-haven demand for gold. Combining these factors, if the market is willing, even a break above 4,500 wouldn’t be surprising. Of course, for today, we can’t rule out the possibility of a deep collapse. After all, this week gold has surged nearly 380 points from 4,002 to 4,379. While the bulls have shown strength, we must admit that this rally is fragile—overbought conditions are inevitable, and a collapse is bound to come. The only unknown is how gold will fluctuate before the collapse. Right now, tools like technical analysis are useless. However, looking at trading activity: even though market sellers have been trapped and forced to take losses, traders’ enthusiasm for top-ticking remains high. In this context, I personally don’t think 4,400 can hold; it will likely be broken falsely to trigger stop-losses. That said, once it breaks above 4,400, gold may see a momentum-driven rally—unless capital steps in to reverse the trend midway, it should surge to 4,430–4,440 before collapsing. Moreover, if a collapse occurs today, the magnitude will be significant, though it will be accompanied by a rebound. This is exactly what happened this morning: gold collapsed, then surged to a new high, collapsed again, then surged again. This is clearly a move to convince the market that "bears are powerless." Therefore, you all must be alert to the risk of a sudden 100-point drop in gold today. As for today’s trading strategy, I won’t elaborate much here—everything will be based on real-time market moves. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can follow my channel and leave me a message.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
XAUUSD: Primary trend and key levels for today's trading sessionOANDA:XAUUSD continued its strong rally, with a trading range of over $120 in yesterday's session, demonstrating powerful upward momentum. During this uptrend, there have been consistent, unexpected corrections with a magnitude of approximately 30 - 50 USD, followed by immediate recoveries. As the peak price for this rally remains undetermined, the current optimal strategy is short-term scalping, aiming for a take profit form $10 - $20 prices as the price approaches significant support and resistance zones. An analysis of the current options market order book reveals that a large volume of Long Call contracts has been filled, with no significant Long Put positions entering the market yet. => This suggests a high probability that Gold will continue to push towards new highs in today's trading session. => The initial target is the $4400/Ounce level, which corresponds to the $4385 price on the CFDs market. Key levels for today's trading session: Resistance: Resistance: , Strong resistance: Support: Support: , , Strong support: Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply. Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones. Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones. Always set stop losses when trading and manage risks closely. Note: Price may spike through support or resistance levels and then reverse. Therefore, it is crucial to patiently wait for the candle to close before entering a trade. Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
At the end of the ascending triangle, go shortToday, gold opened with a volatile climb and then consolidated at elevated levels. The bulls still have lingering momentum, but gold has been trading above its 5-period moving average for three consecutive days now. Since the start of this unilateral rally from 3,311, gold has consistently advanced with support from the 5-period moving average—only once did it find support at the 10-period moving average. When gold deviates from the 5-period moving average for an extended period and keeps rallying nonstop, a pullback correction is likely to occur. Furthermore, gold is trading at the end of an ascending triangle pattern, leaving little room for further movement, and a trend reversal could happen at any time. Realistically, due to the U.S. government shutdown, it’s nearly impossible to make reliable judgments based on economic data right now—the data is simply too untrustworthy, and any outcome would come as no surprise. That said, I don’t believe inflation will ease at all. In fact, the U.S. government shutdown has dealt a severe blow to the U.S. economy. Additionally, tariff tensions have never truly subsided; on the contrary, they are currently escalating step by step. Under such circumstances, I don’t think U.S. inflation will slow down—in fact, I lean toward the possibility of further inflationary pressures. If that’s the case, the Federal Reserve will likely put rate cuts on hold. Even if a rate cut is forced through in October, it will impact the progress of future rate cuts. Once inflation heats up, gold faces a high risk of a sharp collapse. In terms of market trading, gold’s rebound after the previous collapse has only fueled more bullish buying. Paradoxically, this has made the market unafraid of another collapse—traders now assume that any drop will be quickly followed by a rally to new highs. Amid the uptrend, chasing highs remains common, and rightly so, given the impressive gains in recent days. However, this could well be a sense of inertia instilled by the market, designed to make traders trust the bullish trend. If gold falls again, the decline will likely exceed 100 points. Resistance Levels: 4,275, 4,300 Support Levels: 4,235, 4,220 Trading Strategy While others are cautious, we’ll be greedy. We plan to consider shorting gold around the 4,275 level in the evening, waiting for a trend reversal. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
1
XAUUSD: Intraday trading plan and key levelsOANDA:XAUUSD continues to recover strongly after a 50+ point pullback from 4218 → 4165, bullish momentum remains sustained. However, for today’s session we should be cautious, as a sharp correction may occur now that price has achieved the 4250 target on Futures, which corresponds to 4240 on CFDs. On the Options market, long put contracts are being executed in notable size—something that was rare in prior sessions. ⇒ Therefore, I assess that we should be cautious today because prices may be preparing for a sharp decline either today or in the coming sessions. That said, we must also account for the possibility of one final push higher before the downside begins. Key levels to monitor for price action and potential scalp trade setups: Resistance: Resistance: Margin zone resistance: Strong resistance: Support: Support: , Margin zone support: Strong support: Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply. Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones. Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones. Always set stop losses when trading and manage risks closely. Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)🔹 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold has extended its rally above the $4,200 handle, testing the $4,240–$4,246 resistance zone highlighted on the chart. Momentum remains bullish in the short term, but price is facing rejection near the upper boundary. Support Zone: $4,204 – $4,210 (marked in red/purple) Resistance Zone: $4,240 – $4,246 (marked in yellow) Current bias shows a potential pullback from resistance before another attempt higher. The drawn projection suggests a corrective dip back into the support zone, followed by a renewed bullish wave toward resistance. 🔹 Trade Setup Entry: $4,204 – $4,210 (on pullback into support zone) Stop Loss: $4,202 (below key support structure) Take Profit 1: $4,240 (resistance re-test) Take Profit 2: $4,246+ (extension above resistance) Risk–Reward (R:R): ≈ 1 : 3.92 🔹 Macro Background Gold continues to trade at elevated levels, supported by strong safe-haven demand amid U.S.–China trade tensions and expectations of further Fed rate cuts. Market participants anticipate a 25bps cut at the October FOMC, with an additional cut in December and more in 2026. Fed Chair Powell’s comments on slower job growth reinforced dovish bets, lowering yields and boosting gold. Additionally, the newly imposed U.S.–China port fees have increased geopolitical risk, pushing investors to hedge with gold. 🔹 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,240 / $4,246 Support: $4,210 / $4,204 / $4,200 🔹 Trade Summary Gold remains in a bullish trend but faces heavy resistance near $4,246. A pullback to the $4,210 support zone offers a potential buy-the-dip opportunity, targeting resistance re-tests. Macro fundamentals continue to favor gold’s upside, but near-term corrections are possible before another breakout attempt. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ATFX_Global
XAUUSD: Key levels to watch in today's trading sessionAfter a correction from 4180 → 4090, OANDA:XAUUSD rebounded strongly immediately and continued to rise to new ATH levels in today's trading session. With a strong uptrend and high volatility at the moment, we will look for intraday scalps as prices head towards support and resistance zones. In the Options market, gold is being accepted for trading in the high value zone after the price surpassed the 4200 USD/Ounce mark with more than 320 Longcall contracts being filled at 4200 USD/Ounce. At 4250 on the Futures market, there are more than 250 Longcall contracts being filled right now, so this will be the target that prices can aim for in today's trading session. Update: More than 100 contracts at 4260 and 4275. Some other support and resistance levels that we can monitor for trading in today's session: Resistance: Margin zone resistance: Resistance: Support: Margin zone support: Support: , Strong support: Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones. Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones. Always set stop losses when trading and manage risks closely. Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
Gold Hits New All-Time High– The Bullish Wave Isn’t Over Yet📊 Market Overview Gold prices continued to surge during the Asian and early European sessions today, officially reaching a new all-time high at $4,190/oz. The main drivers are expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may start cutting interest rates earlier than expected, along with strong safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Falling U.S. bond yields and a weaker U.S. dollar have further reinforced gold’s bullish momentum, pushing the metal beyond resistance levels once considered “unbreakable.” 📈 Technical Analysis • Main Trend: Strong bullish momentum; price remains above all short- and mid-term EMAs (EMA20, EMA50, EMA100). • Key Resistance: 4190 (new high), 4210, 4250. • Short-Term Support: 4168, 4150, 4125. • RSI (H1/H4): Staying in the overbought zone (> 60) with no clear bearish divergence yet. • Volume: Increasing alongside breakout — confirming genuine buying power from the market. 💡 Outlook Gold is currently in a powerful breakout phase, and the new record at 4190 could just be the start of another bullish leg if the 4168–4150 zone holds firm. However, a short-term technical pullback remains possible as RSI readings stay elevated. Traders should prioritize buy-on-dip strategies and avoid FOMO entries at highs without confirmation signals. 🎯 Trading Plan 🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4168–4165 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🛑 SL: 4162
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold → Bulls are strong, can they fall sharply today?Yesterday, gold opened with a volatile pullback, found support at the 4,106 level, and then staged a sharp rally. It hit an intraday high near 4,179 before crashing sharply to 4,090, subjecting both bulls and bears to intense market volatility. Especially for the bulls: after a sustained rally, market sentiment was overwhelmingly bullish—many bet on gold surging to 4,200, and some even chased the highs. However, after oscillating near 4,178, gold collapsed suddenly, breaking below the 4,100 level. This undoubtedly dealt a heavy blow to market buyers. Critically, gold rebounded but then fell again to 4,090, shifting market sentiment—only to rebound once more to the 4,140 zone, where it paused and entered a consolidation phase. For us, who reaped substantial profits from short positions yesterday, I had long been leaning toward a gold collapse. Here’s why: gold soared over 200 points in just three days, from 3,946 last Friday to 4,179. While market news contributed to this rally, its impact was not absolute—all news has limited influence unless it continues to escalate. In reality, no such sustained escalation occurred. Additionally, although the U.S. government shutdown persists, its impact has weakened due to frequent past occurrences. Moreover, despite gold’s strong upward move, its rally lacked stability—a trend evident in the price action. There’s no such thing as an endless rally; the market was merely waiting for an opportunity or excuse to trigger a sell-off. This is why I emphasized the need to guard against a bearish collapse yesterday. It’s undeniable that the bulls still have momentum for further gains—especially since gold tested the 4,090 level twice yesterday without breaking below it, indicating lingering bullish strength. However, Powell’s speech last night offered little actionable insight, as he did not explicitly mention whether a rate cut would be implemented in October. This has left the market struggling to form a clear forecast. Regarding rate cuts: the U.S. government shutdown has caused a lack of economic data, leaving the Fed without sufficient references to make decisions—which could even hinder the progress of rate cuts. Additionally, tariff tensions have reignited. Even though U.S. inflationary pressures have eased somewhat, renewed tariffs could reignite inflation—a factor the Fed must consider. While there are strong calls for rate cuts within the Fed, and the U.S. labor market faces significant downside risks (which supports rate cuts to some extent), the future remains uncertain. As a result, the market has grown skeptical about rate cuts, and this skepticism will likely weaken the bullish momentum for gold to some degree. Yesterday, we entered three short positions and one long position. The only losing trade was a short position entered at 4,147 last night. Overall, profits were quite substantial. Today, we will consider shorting gold around the 4,200 level; if 4,200 is broken, we will adjust our strategy accordingly. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold → How to operate at nightToday, we highlighted the risks in gold’s upward movement. We also guided everyone to enter short positions on gold at high levels based on the intraday trend, and all these positions yielded solid profits. Currently, gold is trading within the 4,090–4,180 range. It has tested the lower end twice but failed to break below the 4,090 support level—this indicates strong buying interest (support) at lower prices, and the sharp drop during the Asian session was likely just profit-taking by funds that entered at high levels. Keep an eye on Fed Chair Powell’s speech in 10 minutes. As mentioned earlier, if Powell echoes the current rhetoric in favor of rate cuts, the bullish momentum will continue, and gold will keep hitting new highs. Conversely, if Powell expresses further resistance to rate cuts—causing market expectations for a Fed rate cut to plummet—gold will test the 4,090 support again. A break below this level may trigger a wave of profit-taking sell-offs, and gold’s bull market will come to a complete end. Trading Strategy Enter a light short position on gold around the 4,180 level, with a 3-point stop-loss. PS: Stop-losses are a must for news-driven markets; without them, you could easily get trapped if the price breaks out sharply. On the downside, focus on the 4,090 support. If this level is broken, continue to enter short positions on any rebound. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
2
XAUUSD: Scalp trading plan for today's trading sessionOANDA:XAUUSD unexpectedly had a sharp pullback after reaching the 4179 high, this is not surprising because such sharp corrections often occur during the recent uptrend. Right now we will look for strong support zones to seek rebound buy setups while the market is highly volatile. According to my monitoring of the CME Options market, today we will have the following potential support zone: The Margin Zone at contains heavy liquidity (calculated based on the Options market). Margin zone resistance: Strong support: The strong support at overlaps the Margin Zone. Therefore, this may be where price heads and bounces. Sell scalp at resistance: Resistance: Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
Gold prices hit a new high, beware of a collapse and fallYesterday, gold opened at 4,002 and surged sharply to a high near 4,116—there’s no doubt the bulls have once again staged an explosive rally of over 100 points. As for the reasons behind this upward move, it’s clear to everyone: first, extremely high market panic triggered a safe-haven-driven rally for gold. Second, gold’s gap-up opening at the start of the session spurred market buyers to chase the bullish momentum. As gold climbed, it attracted a flood of buying interest, which in turn pushed prices even higher. For today, as gold has a tendency to trend in one direction (either bullish or bearish) on such days, how should we decide between going long or short? Gold opened around 4,110, dipped slightly in early trading to a low near 4,106 before rebounding to 4,116, and then consolidated at elevated levels before moving up to around 4,150. The bullish momentum remains formidable—even amid high-level consolidation, the bulls still have lingering strength. Notably, calls for a rate cut from Federal Reserve officials are growing louder, and the probability of a rate cut in October is now nearly a foregone conclusion. This has further fueled market buyers’ enthusiasm for the bullish trend. In particular, Fed Chair Powell is scheduled to speak today. If Powell echoes the current dovish rhetoric about rate cuts, the bullish momentum will likely continue—after all, rate cuts are an enormous boon for gold bulls. In such a scenario, Powell’s comments could prompt the market to increase bets on rate cuts, providing the gold bulls with a steady stream of momentum and driving gold to continue making new all-time highs. However, it’s worth noting that Powell could also surprise by striking a more hawkish tone and pushing back against further rate cuts. The reason is simple: the U.S. government shutdown. Due to the ongoing shutdown, the Fed lacks sufficient economic data to support its decisions, which may leave insufficient justification for a rate cut. Additionally, the current chaos in the U.S. economy and the renewed escalation of tariff tensions have further constrained the Fed’s policy options. Powell previously highlighted the impact of tariffs on Fed policy, so there’s a real possibility his hawkish remarks today could drastically reduce market expectations for a rate cut. If this happens, gold faces significant risk of a sharp collapse. Another point to consider is the timeliness of market news: the explosive impact of any event is temporary and will not drive long-term market trends unless the event itself persists or escalates. Given that gold has rallied from 3,946 last Friday to a recent high of 4,116, the bullish momentum has already been largely priced in. Even if the bulls still have some strength left today, we must remain vigilant against the risk of a sudden reversal and collapse. Furthermore, stock markets have recovered somewhat after their earlier sell-off, and the U.S. dollar has performed relatively well recently. As these assets rebound, market panic surrounding gold should ease slightly, thereby weakening the explosive momentum of the gold bulls. While China-U.S. tariff tensions have reignited, the new tariffs have not yet taken effect, and the future trajectory of this issue remains uncertain. Regarding geopolitical risks, tensions in the Middle East have eased somewhat, and while there have been threats of escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, these have so far been more about intimidation than action. A nuclear escalation, after all, would trigger global panic, and the international community is unlikely to allow the situation to spiral out of control—instead, tensions are expected to de-escalate to some extent. Trading Strategy We remain bullish on the long-term trend but do not recommend chasing highs. Consider entering short positions on gold within the 4,050–4,058 range. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
1
Gold → Unilateral surge, then go long after a pullbackGold opened higher today, surging to around the 4,060 level and returning to all-time highs once again—last week’s pullback has been completely reversed by bulls. Just as gold broke through the 3,897 level after three tests earlier, it quickly rallied to the next resistance at 4,085 following the breakout above 4,060. After a minor pullback and consolidation, it is now making a push toward 4,100. Candlesticks continue to maintain a healthy oscillating uptrend along the short-term moving averages, suggesting the short-term movement may be a second rally after a pullback correction. On the 1-hour timeframe, after a series of small upward moves, prices are temporarily in a narrow-range consolidation at high levels. There is a certain degree of divergence emerging on minor timeframes, indicating potential room for a short-term correction. The main driver behind today’s gold rally remains the volatile trade tensions. Gold is still in an uptrend, but the strength of this uptrend will depend on developments in trade negotiations. If tensions continue to escalate, gold is likely to break through and hit new highs. Conversely, if trade talks make smooth progress, gold will undergo a correction. Trading Strategy:In this kind of market, even though we know it’s a bullish trend, we do not recommend chasing highs directly. Wait for a second pullback before entering light long positions. For short positions, consider waiting until around the 4,100-4125 level. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I post my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction for gold trading and struggle to achieve consistent, stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
XAUUSD: Correction failure, aiming for higher priceAfter a sizable dip following the retest of 4057, gold recovered quickly and broke higher after President Donald Trump said he is considering raising tariffs on Chinese imports up to 100%, a headline that jolted broader risk assets and added to geopolitical uncertainty. Given gold’s safe-haven character and the recent instability across financial markets, a deep correction is unlikely for now. Instead, looking for potential buy entry during slight corrections is safer in the current situation. Latest update: In today’s session, President Trump told reporters on Sunday (Oct 12) that the war in Gaza “has ended.” 📊 Trading Plan ⇒ With the news situation still unclear for us to know whether gold will decrease or continue to increase strongly, so in today's trading session we should only scalp trade when the price moves to support and resistance zones. Key Levels Margin Zone Resistance: Resistance: , => These resistance zones are derived from concentrated CME Long-call positioning and may elicit reactions if tested. Margin Zone Support: Support: , Strong Support: Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
Gold → Peak or correction? Market forecast for next weekLast Friday, we shorted gold at 3977 and 4000 points. Gold prices fell as low as 3946, and both of our short positions yielded profits. During the US trading session, gold prices rallied again, rising above 4000 points on the back of safe-haven sentiment. Trade conflicts are volatile. Since Trump took office on January 20th of this year, the tariff issue has fluctuated between intense and easing. Now, the Sino-US tariff trade friction has escalated again, with Trump announcing an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods effective November 1st. This was the main reason for last Friday's rebound. The key lies in the Federal Reserve's October interest rate cut. While the probability of a 25 basis point cut is as high as 92.4%, the government shutdown has raised concerns that it may be delayed. Furthermore, the Fed minutes revealed that some officials, concerned about a rebound in inflation, oppose further rate cuts. A brief ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas in the Middle East has eased geopolitical risks, raising concerns about boosting safe-haven demand. Gold prices have risen over 15% in the past two months. While a large number of profit-taking investors remain bullish on future gold prices, they are quick to flee at the slightest sign of trouble, especially during a rapid price drop. Technically, after a relatively high daily and weekly close, there may be further upward momentum in the coming trading days. A new round of extreme gains followed by a sharp decline cannot be ruled out. Resistance: 4030, 4058 Support: 4000, 3980 Trading Strategy: Currently, the market is trading within the broad range of 3944-4058. The direction of the breakout will determine whether this is a correction or a peak. Shorting rallies within this range is the primary strategy. (Specific trading signals will be determined based on intraday trends.) Next week, I will continue to share my personal trading signals. Wishing everyone gets what they hope for when the market opens tomorrow. For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
2
XAUUSD: Recovery after the correctionOANDA:XAUUSD After printing a new high at 4059 and retesting the prior high in yesterday’s session, gold came under clear selling pressure. A short-term downtrend has formed. For today’s session, the priority is to look for sell entry when price pulls back into the resistance zone. You can read my previous analysis here: Today’s balance level: 3950 . If 3950 breaks to the downside, price may continue lower toward before a recovery develops. 📉 Analysis The short-term structure has shifted to lower high/lower low (LH/LL) intraday , consistent with a tactical correction. The zone is also a Margin Zone , containing significant CME liquidity and a cluster of Long-call contracts from prior sessions. Key resistance: Strong resistance: Strong support: 📊 Trading Plan Buy the dip: Wait to buy at with confirmation. Targets: first 3950, then . Stop: below the M5 low of the signal candle. Move to BE at +1R. Sell at resistance: Watch reactions at . If a clear rejection appears (rejection/engulfing), consider a sell entry for the next corrective with target is . Stop: above the corresponding resistance, manage flexibly. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ZuperView
2
Has gold’s expected sharp drop signaled a market top?Gold’s movement yesterday was nothing short of thrilling—it broke down and plummeted from high levels, ultimately failing to hold above the critical 4,000 mark. On the 1-hour chart, the moving averages have started to turn downward. From the 1-hour candlesticks, it’s clear that upward momentum has weakened significantly, and a double-top pattern has already taken shape on this timeframe. In the short term, gold is under pressure below 4,000, so any rally to higher levels presents an opportunity to enter short positions. The current rhythm of gold is also crucial. If it doesn’t see a sharp pullback during the Asian session and instead maintains strength into the European session, continuing its slow, bullish upward crawl, gold may adjust by "trading time for space." In this case, it could extend its upward move, then surge strongly amid news-driven catalysts to complete a market washout. Therefore, whether gold shows strength or weakness today will be a key determinant. Anyway, since gold has begun to fall from its highs, it's best to continue shorting in the short term. If the market continues to weaken, we can't rule out a short-term peak in gold. Resistance Level:3995,4001,4015 Resistance Level:3944,3930,3910 Trading Suggestions: ① Short gold yesterday after it started falling from 4058 and rebounded to 618, or around 4015. ② Short gold around the top-bottom reversal point of 4000. Short positions entered yesterday with me at 3977 can continue to be held. If the market rises to 4000, increase your position and continue shorting gold. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888