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Goldman_analysis

Next week's Fed decision,Has the gold bull market peaked?Let's take a look at the trend of gold this week at the weekend. The strong bull market of gold has slowed down this week. After continuing to rise to 3600 on Monday, it rose and fell to a peak of 3675 on Tuesday. From Wednesday to Friday, it fluctuated at a high level. So, does gold still have the motivation to continue to rise in the current situation? Or is 3675 the ceiling? This recent surge in gold prices began at 3311, reaching a high of $364 at 3675. Based on previous upward trends, a bull market typically peaks just over $400. Therefore, with limited room above 3700, blind buying is discouraged. Be wary of a potential reversal of price action after reaching the peak, with the upper limit at 3750. All of this depends on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next week. The market will become increasingly cautious as we approach this date. Therefore, gold is currently adjusting at a high level, just shy of a final acceleration towards the top. The uncertainty remains as to whether this acceleration will occur before or after the Fed's decision. If the rate cut is just 25 basis points, gold will have no further momentum to rally. Buying on expectations and selling on facts will lead to a peak and decline upon the announcement. However, if the rate cut is aggressively implemented by 50 basis points, gold will likely experience further upward momentum, most likely leading to a decline after a sharp rise. Therefore, gold is currently in a tailspin. At the end of the bull run, it's best to be bullish rather than chasing the market. It's prudent to wait for a pullback at key support levels before resuming a bullish trend. Two key support levels to watch are 3580 and 3511-3512. Having already seen four consecutive weekly gains, there's a high probability of a negative correction next week. Even if gold does rally next week, it will be the final stretch. The world's largest gold ETF has been steadily reducing its holdings in recent days, with bulls gradually taking profits. We shouldn't be tempted to buy at high levels, especially for medium- and long-term investors. It's important to emphasize that the overall trend and direction of gold remains upward, directly linked to the weakening US dollar. However, market trends aren't linear. After each bullish cycle, there's a deep correction, and this cycle repeats. This is how trends form. See if this pattern persists. Trading, then, is a process of finding the right position, following the trend and the swings. A cost-effective position gives you the confidence to hold onto your position without panic. For gold on Monday, expect continued volatility. Upper pressure lies between 3655 and 3660. A breakout would undoubtedly trigger a test of the 3675 high, leading to a potential surge and then a decline. Whether it can reach 3700 depends on the strength of the market, but I don't think the probability is high, at least for Monday. Lower support lies between 3635 and 3630, the 618 golden ratio. A break below would signal a short-term bearish bias, potentially leading to further declines to the 3610-3600 support levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Can gold reach new highs?Gold is currently in a critical phase of long-short confrontation, with key focus on the resistance zone of 3,656-3,658 on the upside. This range is not only a periodic resistance formed after the previous price rally, but also a core verification point for the sustainability of short-term bullish momentum. From a technical perspective, only when the gold price breaks above and holds the 3,656-3,658 range effectively can the bullish trend reactivate its strong momentum, thereby continuing to challenge the previous high of 3,674. If the price remains constrained by this resistance before breaking through 3,656-3,658, the market will most likely maintain a range-bound consolidation pattern, with prices possibly fluctuating repeatedly at current high levels while awaiting guidance from the Federal Reserve next week. From a short-term perspective, gold generally presents a "consolidation with bullish bias" trend. Although the low points fluctuate, there is no obvious downward shift, and the price can quickly recover part of the lost ground after each pullback—this indicates that there is still support from buying interest below. Based on this, the evening trading strategy will center on "building long positions on pullbacks".
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Will gold still rise?Gold has staged a rebound after testing the lows and is currently trading around the 3,638 level. As noted in this morning’s update, the short-term pullback is a result of profit-taking following the sharp rally—a relatively healthy price movement. As long as the $3,600 level holds, the market will remain in a bullish trend. However, it is now in a phase of long-short tug-of-war at high levels, especially since a correction is needed on the daily timeframe. The market is likely to swing up and down over the next couple of days as we await news on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut next week. If you’ve been struggling with your current positions or have seen underwhelming trading performance lately, it may be time to reevaluate your strategy and risk management settings. Feel free to reach out for discussions and exchanges.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
Gold trend analysis continues to rise after consolidationGold trend: Today, gold focuses on the impact of CPI data, which may impact the temporary technical view. Today, the Asian and European sessions maintain a low-long bullish trend, with support at 3620-3610 and short-term focus on 3645-3655. The US data has little impact, so it depends on the range. If the data has a large impact, focus on 3600 below and 3680-3690 above. Gold has risen unilaterally in two transactions and fluctuated for one trading day this week. The current high of gold is 3675, and the decline is only around 3620. Therefore, it is obvious that gold is rising slowly under the bullish trend, and even if it fluctuates, it will not fall much. Then, to determine the direction, we must look at the upward space under the direction. We still don’t guess the top, but under the influence of data, we still have to discuss whether there will be a change in direction or a shift in strength in the near future. From a technical point of view, the daily line is still above the support of the 5-day moving average. If the 5-day moving average is not broken, there is no possibility of weakening. Although the 4-hour Bollinger Bands have closed, the middle track has not broken, and it is difficult to have a major adjustment. Therefore, the current market is still in a strong position. It is not clear whether gold has peaked or has a larger adjustment space. Therefore, if you want to trade, you still have to go long on the decline. So, today's market can be viewed in two steps. The European session is expected to fluctuate upward. Operate at key points and go long in the 3620-3610 support area below. Look at the 3645-3655 area above. If the US data has a greater impact, pay attention to the gains and losses of the 3600 key point below. It is still a good time to go long if it does not break.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Stay bullish, stick to the direction.Gold prices did not continue to rise but instead fluctuated at high levels. Such fluctuations do not mean a short-term peak; only a drop back below $3,600 would warrant considering short-term short positions. The high-level consolidation on the 1-hour chart has not broken down, and after such a substantial rally, a minor short-term pullback is perfectly normal—there's no need for excessive concern. What's more important is to grasp the overall trend; pullbacks are just opportunities to get on board at a better price. The market is currently focused on next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision, which will be the real game-changing news. Therefore, holding the $3,600 level is crucial. As long as this level remains unbroken, the bullish momentum will continue to stay strong. I will closely track and analyze the market daily. If you're losing direction in this kind of market, feel free to follow me or leave me a message.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
The decline is just an adjustment, gold still has new highsAccording to the strategy, we first arranged long orders near 3620, and the market rose smoothly to around 3650; then it fluctuated and consolidated, and according to the strength of the decline, we were prompted to go long again near 3640, and finally made a profit again near 3655, achieving two consecutive wins with open long orders, and reaping considerable profits overall. Congratulations to friends who have been paying attention. Many traders who blindly followed the trend and shorted in the market today are wailing, but we have always insisted on remaining unchanged in the face of change. After confirming the strong rhythm, we have made decisive and continuous attacks, steadily reaping profits, and the winning streak is still continuing. Gold is fluctuating upward above the 3640 level. It is currently fluctuating around the 3650 level. The market's expectations for interest rate cuts have not cooled down. The market may continue to fluctuate at a high level in the later period. Although gold rebounded on Wednesday, it did not reach a new high. The main structure is still operating within the expected range. However, after the market has stood above 3650, it brings uncertainty to the trend. Therefore, gold is still treated with the idea of going long on pullbacks. Going long on pullbacks is still the general trend. In terms of operation, I believe that we will continue to go long as the pullback does not break. From the 4-hour cycle, the bullish structure of gold remains stable. The short-term support below is around 3635-3625. The bullish strong dividing line has moved up to 3615. If this position is not broken, the pullback will rely on this area and continue to be bullish. At the daily level, as long as it stabilizes above 3615, the overall main tone of pulling back to low and long and following the trend will remain unchanged. In terms of operation, we should be patient and wait for the support to be confirmed. Low and long is still the general direction. As for the specific operation strategy of the counter-trend short position, I will remind you again at the key position, and everyone can pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3640-3630, with the target at 3655-3660. Continue to hold if it breaks through.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Pullback for accumulation; bullish momentum remains promising.Gold broke upward against the resistance of the trendline, rising to a high of around 3,658. As indicated in the morning analysis, we have advised everyone to take partial profits first on positions entered below the 3,600 level to lock in gains. From the 1-hour candlestick chart, gold has consistently maintained a "gradual upward movement amid consolidation" rhythm, with lower lows continuing to move higher, and the stability of the trend structure is remarkable. During a one-sided upward trend, the market's response to data is biased: bullish news will be amplified, while bearish news will be overlooked. One should not rely excessively on data for trading; more seasoned traders understand the logic behind the data and the current market environment. For subsequent moves, when the price retraces to the hourly support level, those who have already taken profits can continue to follow up with long positions. We will closely track and analyze the market daily. If you lose your direction in such a market, you are welcome to follow us and leave a message for communication to obtain more targeted analysis and trading advice.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
A pullback with a pause, yet the uptrend remains unchanged.The higher the gold price climbs, the more hesitant people become to take action. Those who sold gold early or waited for a lower entry point have completely missed out on this rally—some regret buying too little, some regret not buying at all, and even more regret exiting at a loss. The market works this way: it can never satisfy everyone. When it’s in consolidation, people long for a one-sided trend; when a one-sided trend arrives, they want to wait for a correction. Life is much the same—things rarely go smoothly at every turn. In an uptrend, a sharp drop is hard to sustain. Only when the secondary rebound fails to hit a new high and the subsequent pullback breaks below the previous low can the market shift into consolidation. Right now, $3,618 has become the key long-short dividing line. Currently, the market is edging higher along the hourly support level. Personally, I still hold a bullish view overall, but today’s momentum is noticeably weaker than before. Therefore, I will consider taking partial profits around the $3,658 level. I will closely track and analyze the market every day. If you lose your direction amid such market moves, you can follow me or leave me a message.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
Is gold at its peak?Gold has staged a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" move. The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data was bullish for gold, yet gold plummeted after the data release. There’s no need for confusion—it’s not as you might think, that bullish data means the price rises and bearish data means it falls. If it were that simple, everyone would be making money. Data and fundamentals are reflected in prices, but such reflections can be ahead of time, lagging, exceeding expectations, or falling short of expectations. Judging which scenario it is depends solely on the historical database one has accumulated and long-term real-trading experience. Today, I added to my gold positions twice and am still holding them. Even if the price falls further, my profits won’t decrease. This is because I believe today’s decline is most likely a result of some profit-taking traders closing their positions on the opportunity—after all, there have been no major bearish factors in the fundamentals yet. Whether a daily-level correction will occur still requires further observation. After all, since the rally started on August 20, there has been no real daily-level correction except for the sharp intraday pullback on September 4, and a correction would actually make the trend healthier. The period from now to next week is a critical short-term window for gold. I will closely track and analyze the market every day. If you lose your direction in such a market, you can follow me or leave me a message.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
XAU/USD 09 September 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS, in-line with analysis dated 23 April 2025 As mentioned in analysis dated 04 September 2025, with respect to alternative scenario, price could potentially continue higher, is how price printed, price continued its upward trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price previously printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation, however, due to the insignificant nature of the pullback, particularly relative to previous price action, I will apply discretion and not classify previous iBOS, I have marked this in red. Price has continued with it's upward trajectory. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,659.435. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially print higher-highs. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to analysis dated 13 June 2025 by targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375 and printing a bullish iBOS. Price has continued with its bullish trajectory printing all-time-highs. Price is currently trading within and internal low and internal high as price has printed a bearish CHoCH, which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,659.435. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue bullish. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Outlook: Macro, Bonds, and Geopolitics Driving the Rally 1. Labor Market Weakness → Fed Pivot Risk The latest NFP showed just 22K jobs vs. 75K expected, with unemployment climbing to 4.3%. Revisions were deeply negative (-258K), confirming labor market deterioration. Historically, recessions often follow once unemployment rises 0.5–1% from cycle lows — we’re already in that zone. This means the Fed is boxed in: growth is slowing but inflation is still sticky. Markets are pricing in a September Fed rate cut, weakening USD and boosting safe-haven demand for Gold. 2. Bonds & Yield Curve Dynamics US Treasury Yields have started to retreat as bond traders price in Fed cuts. The 2-year yield, which tracks Fed expectations, is easing from highs, signaling policy loosening ahead. A steeper yield curve could emerge if short-term yields fall faster than long-term, historically bullish for Gold as opportunity cost declines. Real yields (inflation-adjusted) matter most for Gold. With core inflation at 3.1% and slowing growth, if nominal yields fall but inflation stays sticky, real yields compress lower → Gold rallies. 3. Inflation & Stagflation Risk Inflation is at 3.1%, above the Fed’s 2% target, while growth is slowing. This is classic stagflation risk: weak labor + sticky inflation = policy paralysis. For Gold, stagflation is one of the strongest bullish regimes: fiat currencies lose real value, while safe-havens gain demand. 4. Geopolitical Tailwinds Tariff pressures and trade disputes are pushing input costs higher. Tariffs are inflationary and growth-negative — another stagflation driver. Rising geopolitical tensions (trade wars, supply chain disruptions, regional conflicts) add a risk premium. In times of geopolitical uncertainty, central banks (China, India, Middle East) often increase Gold reserves as a hedge against USD exposure. BRICS talk of de-dollarization is structurally supportive: even a small reserve shift from USD to Gold creates steady demand. 5. Forward Outlook Near-term (1–3 months): Fed cut in September almost certain. USD likely to weaken further, Gold stays bid. Volatility spikes around CPI (Sept 11) and FOMC (Sept 17). Medium-term (3–6 months): If inflation doesn’t fall below 3%, Fed may slow rate cuts, but Gold could still benefit from safe-haven + central bank buying. Key Catalysts to Monitor: September CPI, Fed meetings, earnings season (margin compression risk), geopolitical escalations, tariff policies.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by The_Trading_Path
Never predict the top; go long with the trendThe bullish momentum for gold is unstoppable, with basically no significant pullbacks. Therefore, gold will only continue to stay strong for now. It is basically impossible to wait for a major pullback in gold at the moment—if a sharp pullback starts, it will no longer be a correction. The current market follows the rule: "A strong trend sees no correction; a correction means no strength." The 1-hour moving averages of gold remain in a bullish divergence pattern with a golden cross trending upward. After breaking above the 3,600 level, gold has continued to move higher. Now that it has broken through and held above 3,600, this level will become a key support for gold in the short term. In such a strong market, gold usually resumes its strength after a pullback of around 20 US dollars. Those who haven’t entered the market can go long on dips around 3,620 in line with the trend. Those who already hold positions can just keep holding. A real trending market won’t end so soon. Gold is now in a major bull market cycle—there’s no need to predict the top during a rally. Following the trend means going long; we’ll keep the gold bullish trade going all the way. If you feel confused about the future market trend, or if you have not yet made profits in such a market, follow me and leave me a message – let me help you resolve this issue.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
GOLD analysis in time frame 4h 🔹 If price trades above 3595: • The trend will likely continue upward toward the resistance level at 3630. • A breakout above 3630 and holding above it (on the 4-hour or 1-hour candle) would confirm a continuation upward toward 3680. ⸻ 🔹 If price fails and breaks below 3595: • The trend will likely move downward toward the support level at 3560. • This support is strong, but if it is broken, the trend may fully shift into a deeper decline. ⸻ 📌 In short: • Above 3595 → bullish trend (targets 3630 → 3680). • Below 3595 → bearish trend (targets 3560 → further downside).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvarMayi
2
Whether gold can break through 3500 becomes the keyGold fell at the opening today before rising. Following the US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit's ruling that Trump's tariffs were illegal, the market rebounded strongly, reaching a high of 3489, edging closer to its all-time high. Our sell order on Friday was hit by the stop loss of 3460 because we did not close the profit in time, which unfortunately ended our continuous profit streak. As the gold price approaches its historical high, the resistance it faces from above will certainly become stronger. It is very critical whether it can break through 3500 in the next two days. If it fails to break through, it will face a decline. Therefore, you must not chase the current rise in gold, at least before it breaks through 3500 or retreats to the support below. The US market is closed today for Labor Day, reducing liquidity and volatility. Therefore, I don't anticipate many good trading opportunities. Everyone should relax and take it easy. I'll notify you if I see a good opportunity.
TVC:GOLD
by Running_Golden_Bull
Golden opportunities are not hard to grasp.Gold Market Forecast for Next Week: Gold News Analysis: The US dollar strengthened on Friday, but it is poised for a weekly decline as weak economic data led traders to price in the possibility of more interest rate cuts this year. Investors also assessed US President Trump's Federal Reserve nominations. Gold prices experienced a roller-coaster week from August 4th to 8th, particularly during the past two trading days, when reports of gold bar tariffs sparked market panic. Despite the White House's eventual clarification of the reports, gold prices remained near the peak of uncertainty, hovering around $3,400. Gold prices tested the $3,400 mark several times this week, but despite increasing expectations of a Fed rate cut and Trump's nomination of dovish Fed officials, prices remained above that level. Until Friday's news of gold bar tariffs, gold prices surged above the $3,400 mark, reaching a high of $3,409, the highest level since July 24th. Following the panic caused by the gold bar tariffs, and despite the US clarification of the reports, analysts and retail investors remain bullish on gold prices for next week. Next week, gold prices will focus on the meeting between Trump and Putin, as well as speeches by several Federal Reserve officials on the economic outlook, and the release of the July unadjusted CPI annual rate. Gold Technical Analysis: Looking at the current gold price trend, after Friday's pullback and negative close, will gold prices continue to decline next week, or will they rebound and rise? I believe the former is unlikely. The possibility of a new low exists, but it is low. Several attempts at the 3380 support level have failed to break. First, looking at recent price trends, gold prices have continued to rise, with higher highs and lower lows, indicating that the 3268 support level is valid. After rebounding to 3409, it began to fall, closing near 3397, demonstrating the 3380 support level and the strength of bullish sentiment. This suggests that gold prices are currently range-bound at a high level. However, given that the support level remained intact and the price closed above it, the possibility of gold prices breaking below 3380 next week is ruled out. Gold prices failed to break below 3380 on Friday as expected, and the overall trend of rising, falling, and closing lower shows that bulls still have the upper hand. However, I think it is not advisable to conclude that bulls will control the market next week. Although bulls have repeatedly tested 3410 without success, the decline has not been strong. In other words, if the bulls were truly strong, there would be no decline the next day, and the opening of next week should continue to rise. However, the current gold price has not only slowed down its rise, but also shown signs of decline, which means that bears are still holding the 3410 resistance level. Based on the above, we recommend a low-to-long strategy for early next week, supplemented by high-to-short strategies. Regarding support, watch out for 3380. After yesterday's repeated dips, this will become a key defensive point for bulls at the beginning of next week. A test or break of this resistance level is expected. An unexpected break below would disrupt the bullish short-term trend, with a high probability of seeing 3368 or a continuation of the decline to the 3350 area. However, we prefer a move higher above 3380. Regarding resistance, watch out for the 3410 area. Although this area is at 0.382, the dividing line between 3268 and 3500, and also represents resistance from Friday's high, after adjustments and with bullish momentum, the probability of a breakout is increasing. Therefore, we recommend focusing on the 3343 area, which provides strong resistance from the previous high and also represents the dividing line at 0.236. Upon first approaching or touching this area, try to enter a medium-term short position. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold next week is recommended to focus on shorting on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3410-3420 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3380-3370 line of support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
It’s that simple to catch the golden trend.On Friday, gold did not break through the highs or the bottoms, and maintained the range of 3400 to 3380, which was in line with our expectations. In the analysis layout on Friday, I made it clear that I would short at the pressure of 3400 during the day, and go long at the support near 3380 before and after the US market, with an overall gain of 580pips. The points were accurate and there was no error. It was proven by strength that in this market, as long as you don’t chase orders, it is relatively easy to make some profits. Don’t always think about betting on the breakout of the market. Wait for the breakout before doing anything. Just do well in the present. It's better to miss than to do it wrong. The key is how you choose. Stability comes first. Gold continued to close positively on the weekly chart this week, and after hitting the bottom at 3368 and rebounding, it rebounded with large volume. It is in the process of gradually touching the upper track of the range. Normally, there is still room above, and the range pressure is at 3450. Therefore, we will continue to maintain a bullish mindset next week. In the daily cycle, it fluctuated and washed out repeatedly on Friday, and finally closed with a negative cross star. In the short term, it will maintain operation in the small range of 3409-3380. In terms of operation, continue to go high and buy low before the range is broken, and follow the trend after the breakthrough; an upward breakthrough can be seen at 3425 and 3450, and a downward breakthrough can be seen at 3365 and 3345. For the specific operation rhythm, pay attention to the real-time notification at the bottom.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
Bullish momentum weakens, and bearish opportunities emergeThe 4-hour gold chart shows a slow, volatile upward trend. While gradually climbing higher, it has failed to effectively break through key resistance areas. This suggests the market is not in a one-sided bullish trend, but rather in a state of sustained oscillation. Current price momentum is weakening, so it's not advisable to continue chasing higher prices. Today's strategy is to short on rallies, focusing on the key resistance area around 3410-3420. Opportunities are open for short positions. If prices trade within the 3400 range, this would be an ideal entry point for a short position. The main trend is to short on rebounds from higher levels, with strict risk management. Gold Recommendation: Short in batches between 3400-3415, with a target of 3385-3370.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade-Daniel
Opportunities only come to those who are preparedThe market expects the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September to be over 70%, with some institutions even predicting as high as 93.6%. Fed officials have recently released dovish remarks. If the rate cut is implemented, it will reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is good for gold prices. The US has imposed tariffs on India and Switzerland, exacerbating global trade tensions and boosting demand for gold as a safe haven. The deadlock in the Iran nuclear talks and the shipping risks in the Red Sea have increased market risk aversion. Focus is on US initial jobless claims data and speeches by Fed officials. If the data is stronger than expected, it may suppress expectations of a rate cut and be bearish for gold. If the US dollar strengthens or geopolitical risks ease, gold prices may come under pressure and fall. Today, gold mainly showed a high-level fluctuation trend, hitting a high of $3397.25/oz in European trading before falling sharply. It is currently trading around $3382. Although gold prices are still in an upward channel, they have recently shown a high sideways trend. The market lacks unilateral driving factors. Gold can be shorted at high levels. It is recommended to short gold in batches around the highs of 3390-3405.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade-Daniel
2
Only by understanding the trend can you be firmly bullish.The market is changing rapidly, and going with the flow is the best way to go. When the trend comes, just go for it. Don't buy at the bottom against the trend, so as not to suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is good at dealing with all kinds of dissatisfaction, so you must not hold on to orders. I believe many people have experienced this. The more you resist, the more panic you will feel, and the floating losses will continue to magnify. You will not be able to eat or sleep well, and you will miss many opportunities in vain. If you also have these troubles, then you might as well follow Tian Haoyang's rhythm and try to see if it can make you suddenly enlightened. If you need help, I will always be here, but if you don't even extend your hand, how can I help you? Gold rose unilaterally after the positive non-farm payrolls on Friday, hitting a new high this week. This week's K-line closed in a hammer shape, and the gold hourly line has a double bottom structure. However, gold should not have such a big retracement for the time being. The 3335-3330 line below is also an important support. So gold will mainly be bought on dips above 3335-3330 next week. Technically, there is still room for growth next week. The bulls continued to attack at the end of Friday and closed at 3363. Next week, we will continue to pay attention to the short-term suppression at the 3370-3375 line above. In terms of operations, we will continue to maintain retracement and buy. If your current operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate and exchange. Judging from the current gold trend, the short-term resistance above next week will be around 3370-3375, with a focus on the important pressure line of 3395-3400. Keep buying on pullbacks, and try to maintain a stable wait-and-see position in the middle. I will prompt the specific operation strategy at the bottom, so please pay attention in time. Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it retraces to around 3340-3330, target 3370-3375, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
The trend is clear, why do I choose to be firmly bullish on goldGold Trend Analysis: Yesterday, the gold market demonstrated strong upward momentum, opening near 3290 before falling slightly to a low of 3281 before fluctuating upward. Boosted by the non-farm payroll data, the gold market surged during the US trading session, reaching a single-day gain of 2.02%, reaching a high of 3363 and closing there. The daily chart formed a long bullish candlestick with a long lower shadow, forming a Morning Star pattern, reinforcing the bullish trend. From the perspective of the cycle structure, the daily level is clearly in the 5-wave upward stage, and the upward trend of the large cycle has not changed. At the indicator level, the daily MACD momentum column (the column below the zero axis) represents the short-selling momentum. Its "gradual shortening" means that the short-selling force is weakening and the downward momentum is gradually fading. It is a potential signal of stopping the decline or rebounding. KDJ is about to form a golden cross between 20-50, which is a signal that short-term bullish power is beginning to increase, and the overall trend is bullish. The 4-hour level shows typical bullish characteristics: the moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, but there is a certain deviation between the short-term price and the moving average. The technical side needs to correct the deviation rate through a callback before continuing to rise. The short-term support below is focused on the line near 3330-3335. This position is both the relay support level in the previous rise and the intersection of the 4-hour moving averages MA10 and MA20, which has strong support strength; the short-term resistance above is focused on the line near 3370-3383. This area is a pressure-intensive area near the previous high point. If it can be effectively broken through, it will further open up upward space. A successful breakout would open up further upside potential. A breakout would further open up the 3400 mark. For gold trading, the short-term strategy is to buy on dips. If the price pulls back to the 3330-3335 support level, consider entering a long position with a target of 3355-3365. If it reaches 3370-3380, consider a short-term short position with a target of 3350-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
1
How to seize deterministic trading opportunities?The rebound momentum of the gold market has been significantly enhanced today. After breaking through the 3345 resistance in the Asian session, it has continued to rise. It has now reached around 3360, and has rebounded by more than US$50 from this week's low of 3310, setting a new rebound high in the past three trading days. After the gold price effectively broke through the key resistance band of 3340–3350, it triggered some short stop loss trading and trend funds to enter the market, driving the price to accelerate the upward trend. Judging from the hourly chart, the trading volume has increased by about 30% compared with the same period yesterday, indicating that the market's recognition of this round of rebound has increased significantly. A physically full sun candle chart has been closed in the 4-hour cycle, successfully standing on the Bollinger middle track, further confirming the upward structure, the mid-track support area 3340–3345 has become a key position for bulls' defense, and the short-term structure of the market is still relatively strong. Overall, the intraday retracement range of gold is limited, and the probability of continuing to rise is relatively high. In terms of strategy, it is still recommended to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3340–3345 area retracement support, and the stop-profit target is 3365–3370; if the upward breakthrough, pay attention to the suppression performance of the 3370–3375 line, beware of highs and falls, and pay attention to controlling risks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
Gold bearishness once again in line with expectationsThe data released so far show that the US inflation data is stable and tends to decline, which increases the possibility of the Fed's monetary policy. The US dollar index fell first and then rose. Gold opened at around 3344 and rebounded all the way. The current highest rebound is around 3366. It fell back to 3352 before the data was released, and then quickly rebounded to 3360. After the data was released, it fell again quickly, and the current lowest touched around 3346. The short orders around 3360-3365 that we shared with brothers before were basically the highest short orders of the day, and we successfully completed our first goal. The brothers who participated in it all made good profits. Judging from the current trend of gold, we continue to participate in short orders during the rebound, and the long position is still around 3335-3330. After the release of the CPI data, it is bearish overall. The core is that it is lower than market expectations but higher than the previous value. Inflation has heated up again, which has once again suppressed the expectation of interest rate cuts. After this data, it also laid a good foundation for the decline in the market. If the price goes up again, it will still rely on the 3365 level to go short again. The data is obviously bearish, and it scared a lot of long positions before it was released. Gold reference ideas: Continue to short when it rebounds to around 3358-3365, with a target around 3350-3340; Go long when it falls back to around 3335-3330, with a target around 3350.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade-Daniel