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XAUUSD: Correction underway as selling pressure intensifiesOANDA:XAUUSD pushed through the Margin Zone toward 3976, a strong level with CME Longcall positioning—where selling pressure has begun to appear. I believe the upside objective for this leg has been met and the market is likely to enter a corrective phase in the near term. You can read my previous analysis here: Momentum has clearly weakened, and selling pressure around has appeared. CME traders have begun unwinding Longcall exposure , reinforcing the view that the advance may be nearing completion. However, Longput positioning has not increased materially yet, so the pullback may not accelerate immediately. Key resistance: Key support: , Contingency support: Today’s plan: Look for sell entries into and target the support zones below. Confirmation: Wait for Quantum Vol-Delta at 5m timeframe to flag strong selling pressure before entering. Stops: Place the stop above the resistance or above the most recent 5m timeframe swing high from the entry. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ZuperView
Keep breaking new highs, is there any hope for short positions?Gold opened higher today, then retreated after hitting resistance at 3975. This trend mirrors recent trends: every rally is followed by a pullback. Even after breaking through resistance, the surge wasn't as strong as before, and the price has since fluctuated at a high level. This indicates that the current price is close to the market's target, in line with market expectations. The recent rally was driven by news, and this seven-week rally hasn't seen a significant pullback. The risk of chasing the gains outweighs the reward, so we're primarily shorting at high levels. The short positions we entered at 3962 and 3974 have been closed with profit taking near 3960. We will keep an eye on the pressure at 3975 above and will choose the right time to act depending on the breakthrough situation. Resistance levels: 3975, 3995 Support levels: 3930, 3900 For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and can't achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold → Continuously hitting new highs, where will the bears go?After today's sharp opening, we shorted gold at 3946. After repeated testing of support at 3930, we took profit. Currently, gold continues to strengthen due to a variety of factors, including the US government shutdown, interest rate cuts, and geopolitical factors. However, the risks of chasing the price higher at this level outweigh the rewards. Gold has seen seven consecutive weeks of strong gains without a single pullback. If a pullback occurs, it would likely start at $100. On the hourly chart, intraday pullbacks were mild and sustained, with the K-line chart maintaining a relatively strong trend along the short-term moving average. Smaller timeframes exhibited some divergence. Moreover, after gold fell back to 3930 and broke through the resistance level of 3950, it did not rise as much as before, which means that the current position is close to market expectations, and the bullish momentum is not as strong as before. We will continue to consider shorting gold on rallies in the evening. Resistance levels: 3975, 3995 Support levels: 3930, 3900 For detailed trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold is falling after rising and focusing on the support of 3930Gold continues its ascent, reaching new highs, posting seven consecutive weeks of strong weekly gains – a rare trend. This surge is driven by factors such as the US shutdown, growing expectations of interest rate cuts, and geopolitical conflicts. Today's market opened with a surge, and this acceleration suggests continued upward momentum and an unstoppable bullish momentum. Gold's one- and four-hour charts are all bullish, with the moving averages diverging upward in a bullish pattern. Technically, the bulls have broken through the neckline, signaling another upward move. Our short position entered at 3946 is currently making good profits. Pay attention to the support below 3930. If it falls below this level, we can look at the 3920 line. Keep an eye on support at 3930; a break below this level could see the 3920 level. For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
12
XAUUSD: Bullish momentum is sustainedOANDA:XAUUSD continues to push to new highs with no signs of weakening momentum . I do not expect a sharp decline in the near term, and at this time we should stand aside and continue to observe price action before making any trading decisions. Price is approaching a large liquidity area (Margin Zone) , where CME participants accept trading at high value . Therefore, this is the objective price may reach in today’s session. Contingency at this level hosts a sizable cluster of CME long calls , so price may overshoot the Margin Zone and tag 3976 before a minor pullback. Margin Zone: Strong resistance: Key support: The levels above are areas where price may react and potentially reverse. However, at present, trading in a high value area without structure confirmation is extremely risky. ⇒ We should stand outside in today’s session and wait for the next price action. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
Gold surges again, do bears still have a chance?Gold prices surged at the opening bell on Monday! The ongoing US government shutdown has heightened uncertainty, and coupled with widespread speculation that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, gold opened the market with full steam, surging upwards and setting new all-time highs. Technically, the bulls broke through the neckline and are now rising again. The indicator is already significantly overbought, so chasing the bulls at this point is irrational. Today's gains were primarily driven by news. ① The US government shutdown sparked another famous tirade against senators last Friday—the bipartisan temporary funding bills were completely rejected, leaving the door open for a shutdown. Congress is now adjourned until Monday, when the leadership plans to force a fifth vote on the House version of the bill to extend funding until November 21st. This doesn't represent a solution; it's clearly treating the vote as a "game to clear"—the question remains: can the shutdown be resolved on Monday? ② According to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 5.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 94.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in December is 0.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 14.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 84.9%. In October, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged was only 5.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut soared to 94.6%—a virtually guaranteed rate cut. Looking at December, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is even lower, at 0.6%, practically negligible. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is only 14.5%, while the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is as high as 84.9%. Based on this trend, the Fed's next rate cut pace is likely to be even more aggressive than market expectations! Last Friday, we set a stop-loss on our short position at 3902. Every rebound is bound to be followed by a pullback. If there's no support below, the market will fall further. In the short term, we will continue to short gold around 3940, waiting for the market to pull back. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or idea for gold trading and can't achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold triple top pressure, enter the short position next weekGold bulls have been quite strong recently, rallying strongly after each bottoming out. Gold has already reached a triple top, so is it forming a triple top or poised for a breakout? Due to the US government shutdown and the lack of many economic data releases, market uncertainty has increased accordingly. Last Friday, the price simply continued its rally from Thursday's bottoming out, reaching a high near 3891. While it didn't reach a new high, it did approach the high, raising market expectations for bullish momentum. However, the reality often disappoints, with no symbolic breakthrough and instead fluctuating within a small range. From a daily and weekly perspective, an overly perfect pattern could be the trigger for a bullish-bearish reversal. The current gains are significantly overbought, and while there has been some correction, the magnitude is far from sufficient. This small upward correction continues to suppress the momentum of the bears. Given that the weekly chart has already closed with seven consecutive positive days, there is reason to bet on the first signs of a bearish candlestick pattern next week. We didn't exit our short position last Friday during the pullback due to the small profit. If gold rebounds to around 3892 next Monday, we can add to our short position. For specific trading decisions, please follow my real-time updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and are unable to achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold adjustment is not over yet, continue to short at highsGold continued to fluctuate in today's Asian session, failing to initiate a strong rebound and instead fluctuating weakly. This suggests that gold's short-term correction has not concluded and may continue. Today's non-farm payroll report may be delayed, so without supporting data, short-term volatility is likely to continue. Gold's 1-hour moving average has begun to turn upward, forming a double top pattern. Short-term bulls have yet to re-establish themselves at the gold neckline, indicating continued weakness. Gold rebounded several times but still failed to break through the pressure of 3865. Gold near 3865 in the European session is an opportunity to short on rallies. Resistance levels: 3865, 3878 Support levels: 3843, 3828 For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a gold trading plan or strategy and are struggling to achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
2
The adjustment is not over yet, continue to short on reboundYesterday, as expected, gold continued its upward trend before retreating, closing with a bearish candlestick pattern with upper and lower shadows. Over the past few days, the market has consistently shown a pattern of prices initially falling from a high before reaching a new high and then plummeting, or initially reaching a low and then breaking a new low before rebounding. As shown in the above chart, downward support remains strong. Yesterday, after testing the lower limit of the rising trendline, the price began to rebound and is currently testing resistance at the middle limit of the hourly boll line. Today will see the non-farm payroll data. Due to the US government shutdown, there's still uncertainty about whether it will be released, and yesterday's initial jobless claims were also delayed. Regardless of whether the data is released tonight, technically, we can consider the 3895-3820 range. Trading Recommendation: Short near yesterday's high, long near yesterday's low. Watch for a break of the 3868-3852 range in the Asian session. Resistance: 3862, 3868, 3885 Support: 3852, 3843, 3828 For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or idea for gold trading and can't achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
1
You can buy short orders on reboundWe began warning this morning that gold is about to start fluctuating. Shorting at short-term rebound highs is recommended. We've already achieved good returns by going short directly in the European session. Gold's 1-hour chart shows the formation of a double top. It has now fallen below 3853 and is testing the initial support level of the uptrend. If this level is broken, it will fall further and test the support levels of 3810-3800. Continue shorting during a rebound in the New York market. Resistance levels: 3853, 3972 Support levels: 3824, 3812 For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold → May rise and then fallToday's day is in a state of slow upward fluctuation, but the short-term bullish performance is not strong. Yesterday's daily line closed with an inverted line. Today, we can see a decline based on the high point of 3895. In the New York market, gold may rise and then fall. The support below is 3862-3852, and the strong support is 3828 to see the rise! If it unexpectedly breaks above 3895, consider going long with a small position! Resistance levels: 3895, 3925 Support levels: 3853, 3828 For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don't have a plan or strategy for gold trading and are struggling to achieve consistent profits, you can refer to and follow my updates for guidance and help avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
4
Gold → Oscillating pattern, short at high levelGold prices hit a record high of 3895 yesterday before retreating. Unlike previous declines, yesterday's retreat didn't offer the same swift rebound as before. As prices gradually climbed, nearing $600, a divergence in funds among bulls began to emerge. Some investors began to take profits, leading to short-term profit-taking and a short-term correction. Regarding today's market trends, in the short term, we should keep an eye on support at 3853, a key support point mentioned yesterday. At this time, we should look at it from the perspective of strong fluctuations. That is, the possibility of breaking the high again is not high, so we should arrange the layout around the fluctuation range of 3895~3828. As further breaks above this high are unlikely, we should prioritize range-bound trading between 3895 and 3828. Resistance levels: 3882, 3895 Support levels: 3853, 3828 For specific trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I will update my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you don’t have a plan or idea about gold trading and cannot achieve sustained and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updated content as a reference and guidance to help you avoid mistakes.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
1
XAUUSD: Caution advised ahead of NFP releaseOANDA:XAUUSD current bullish momentum is weakening, and traders are extremely cautious ahead of the upcoming Non-Farm Employment Change, which is expected to be USD-positive , accompanied by gradually emerging profit-taking pressure from investors. Therefore, I expect gold to have a significant correction soon after completing the upward move above the area. You can read my previous analysis here: There has been the appearance of long put contracts from CME traders being deployed into the market , which is a move to guard against a potential decline in gold in the future. However, this is only the market’s preparation, and at present there is no sign of a reversal . Continue to look for buy setups toward Targets 1 and 2. Pay attention to the Margin zone, where CME traders are concentrating a large number of contracts, which may cause price to reverse. Key resistance: Key strong support: , Margin zone: Wait for confirmation of a Buy (Pull) signal from MagnetOsc Turbo on the lower timeframes after price breaks above the resistance zone and pullback. Place the stop below the most recent M5 swing low when the entry signal appears. Continue to look for buy setups toward Target 1 & Target 2, while closely watching for reversal signal. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Victor Dan @ ZuperView
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZuperView
Gold prices soar, where will the short positions go?Currently, gold is encountering resistance and falling back near 3893-3895, and the bullish momentum has weakened slightly. As mentioned earlier, the current price has reached our risk area. A large part of the reason for today's rise is that the US government has officially shut down. This kind of news-stimulated rise is not long-lasting. After encountering resistance, it will fall like a waterfall. The technical indicators have diverged and are overbought, and most funds cannot participate in long transactions in this extreme rising pattern. In order to increase liquidity, gold also needs a correction, so we consider continuing to short gold near 3893. To increase liquidity, gold also needs a pullback, so we are considering continuing to short gold around 3893. Resistance: 3900, 3925 Support: 3872, 3843
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold enters the overbought zone, you can short it on ralliesWhy is gold so strong? Ultimately, it's driven by multiple factors: the Federal Reserve entering a cycle of rate cuts, financial and trade factors, and war. However, this doesn't mean gold won't need a short-term correction! Large cycles provide directional guidance, while smaller cycles determine the rhythm. Yesterday, the gold market completed its final formation for September. After a strong, volatile rally at the beginning of the month, it broke through multiple round numbers, reaching a record high of 3872 in late trading before consolidating. The monthly line finally closed at 3858, forming a large, saturated bullish candlestick with a slight shadow. This monthly gain of over $400 is primarily due to the Federal Reserve's initiation of a new round of rate cuts against the backdrop of poor US data, which heightened market risk aversion, and the intensified conflict in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine. This strong upward trend has led to a strong upward trend. While this large bullish candlestick has the technical potential to continue its upward trend, a rapid short-term rise can also lead to a technical divergence. If the market continues to rise without adjustment and encounters resistance, it can easily lead to profit-taking. As mentioned before, the increase this time has exceeded 500 US dollars, which has entered our risk zone. Technically, it has deviated from the pattern and entered the overbought zone. Most people in the market are bullish now, but I think the benefits of chasing the rise now are greater than the risks, and there are still opportunities to make profits by shorting gold. So today we are still considering shorting gold on rallies. Resistance: 3872, 3893 Support: 3843, 3812 If you don't have a detailed trading plan for gold, follow my updates. I'll update my strategies and ideas daily for your reference, helping you avoid detours on your trading journey.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Gold surged and then fell, continue to short at highsGold showed a trend of rising first and then falling today. The highest point reached around 3872 and then encountered resistance and pulled back. The lowest point reached around 3793 and then stabilized and rebounded upward. The gold daily level is a big positive line, and it is still in a bullish trend. It rose again after a deep correction today, indicating that gold needs to be adjusted. From the perspective of technical analysis at the one-hour level, the gold trend shows an obvious bearish engulfing pattern. For bulls, the market needs to go through a period of consolidation if the uptrend is to resume. Therefore, any rebound presents a shorting opportunity. Resistance: 3845, 3868 Support: 3791, 3775
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
1
How much further can gold fall?From 3758 to 3871.5, nearly $113, it surged nearly $50 today. However, after breaking the high, it reversed course and fell again, dropping over $60. A sharp drop and slow rise is just the right way to describe today. The current situation is that the price continued to rise and break new highs in the Asian session, then rose and fell in the European session, breaking the lows. After breaking the highs, it broke the lows again, entering a period of correction. Technically, there is also a need for correction. Once the highs are confirmed, a new round of market movement begins. The scope for correction is currently estimated to be around $80-100. Of course, judging by the current trend, the price has already fallen below the 3810 area, a drop of over $60. Expanding the range to $100 could be just a matter of minutes. Keep an eye on the 3800 area, with a particular focus on the 3775 range. For bulls, Considering this surge, which has already exceeded $500, the largest gain this year, the upward potential is limited, and technical corrections are imminent. Before the previous decline began, we held onto our highs. Now that a decline is likely, we should hold onto our highs even more. As for buying lows, we should wait until the current downward momentum has fully unleashed. Using the 3880 area as resistance, I began shorting. As the price continues to fall, I've continued to follow the bearish trend. Currently, the price is in the 3820 area, and I continue to be bearish. Focus on 3805-3800. If it falls below, I'll target 3875. If you're feeling lost and unsure about where to go in this market, follow my updates and channel. I'll provide daily updates, including details on both long- and short-term trade executions. If you're interested, please share your current positions so we can analyze whether it's safer to hold on patiently or adjust and change positions promptly.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
XAUUSD: Trend is your friend, follow it!Price remains in a strong uptrend with no clear signs of momentum weakness yet. That said, this appears to be the final leg of the current advance, so chasing highs is risky. I prefer to stand aside for now and wait for price-action confirmation of a top. 1) Analysis Price has broken above the prior high at 3.791, but the Superior RSI has not reached the overbought zone and is showing early signs of divergence on 1h timeframe. The area is a high-activity auction zone on CM E, from here I expect a short pullback into lower supports. Key support: , , . 2) Primary Scenarios Scenario A (bearish): If price breaks below and drives into lower supports, then 3.818 will likely mark the swing high, and a deeper correction should follow. Scenario B (bullish extension): If price respects the support zone and breaks above 3818 then I expect price to at least top at 3866 where CME traders place a large amount of auction contracts and start a correction. Please like and comment to support our traders. Your feedback motivates us to produce more analysis in the future 🙏✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ZuperView
Gold breaks through 3800, should we go short or long?Looking back at the current upward cycle of international gold, the price started from a low of 3313 and has been steadily rising all the way relying on the bull trend. As of now, the cumulative increase has exceeded 500 US dollars. This increase is basically the same as the 500 US dollar band increase caused by changes in tariff policies. From the historical trend, after a similar increase, the market tends to enter the "momentum rebalancing" stage, especially when the price breaks through the key mark of 3810 US dollars, it will officially enter the short-term risk area. The riskiness of this zone stems primarily from the substantial profits accumulated from long positions initiated at $3,313. Some investors are taking profits at high levels, leading to a temporary increase in selling pressure. Based on historical gold fluctuations, after such surges exceeding $500, a typical technical correction typically begins at $100. The core function of this correction is to "digest profit-taking and repair overbought indicators" to accumulate momentum for the subsequent "second bull run", which is a necessary link in the trend continuation process. Today, I'm considering shorting gold in the 3813-3818 resistance range, with the initial retracement target at 3800-3780. Due to the rapid market fluctuations, please stay tuned to my channel for detailed trading tips, including execution details for both long and short-term trades. If you'd like, please share your current positions so we can analyze whether it's safer to hold on or adjust and change positions promptly.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
Double top expected, short at the beginning of the weekLast week, after a brief sideways consolidation following the opening, gold surged steadily and hit a new all-time high around 3,791. However, after a pullback correction on Wednesday, its upward momentum weakened relatively. During Friday’s U.S. trading session, gold rallied to around 3,783 before pulling back, closing near the 3,759 level. Technically, the daily chart shows a single bearish candlestick for the pullback, while Friday formed a small bullish candlestick with an upper wick—once again standing above the moving average system. This suggests gold is relatively in the early stage of preparing for a second rally. The weekly chart also closed as a medium bullish candlestick, indicating the overall broad market sentiment remains bullish. Driven by a series of bullish patterns, gold may see a trend reversal (breakout) move next week. After all, the pullback from Friday’s U.S. session high could very well be a short-term "washout" by bears. For gold to refresh its highs next week, Friday’s secondary high must be broken in a timely manner. Meanwhile, during pullbacks, the 3,770 level—now a top-bottom conversion zone—will act as a key short-term resistance. If gold opens under pressure below this level on Monday, it may break lower again later. On the 1-hour chart, if gold fails to extend its upward move, a "double top" pattern could form. A series of major economic data releases are scheduled for next week. Gold will likely trade in a consolidation range early next week, given the lack of significant news triggers initially. Focus on the resistance at 3,790 first—we expect a pullback initially, with support to watch around the 3,720 zone. If Monday’s rebound lacks strength, prioritize short positions on rallies. As market conditions change rapidly, please follow my channel for specific trading key points, including execution details for both long-term and short-term trades. If you are willing, feel free to share your current position status—we can analyze together whether it is safer to hold patiently or adjust and rebalance your positions in a timely manner.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Matthew_8888
It's not time to short yetWhat is risk? It's not fear or worry, but rather a lack of understanding and direction. Adjustments during an uptrend are normal. Short-term trading isn't about the overall direction, but rather the day itself. The focus within a day is on predicting key resistance and support levels. Since the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, gold prices have failed to reach $3,700 for the second time, ultimately falling rapidly. The market has begun to question the rise and fear a deeper correction. This concern is not misplaced. Gold prices have risen by $400, so mid-term adjustments are normal. However, for gold to go from strength to weakness, it will inevitably experience fluctuations first; don't expect a sudden turn to extreme weakness. The top always appears when the market is buzzing! From this theoretical point of view, 3,700 isn't too high. From the 2-hour chart, gold prices saw a breakout, reaching a new high of 3,728 before retracing. Currently, support at 3,708 is the target. If it falls below, the target is 3,697, the starting point of this rally. Gold strategy: fall back to the 3700 line, light long position, target 3725, continue to hold if it breaks through.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Matthew_8888
Don’t hesitate when gold rebounds, just go short!Gold fluctuated repeatedly in the range yesterday, and the trend was completely in line with our trading idea of selling high and buying low. The long and short two-way layout was stable and profits were achieved. The daily line closed with a negative line and a long upper shadow, indicating that the high-level adjustment pattern is still continuing, but the technical indicators have not formed a death cross, and the overall bullish trend is still dominant. The short-term level continues to maintain a volatile and bearish idea. The rebound of the middle track of the Bollinger band in the 4H cycle was blocked and fell back. At the same time, the 1H secondary high was suppressed, and the upper pressure was still significant. Today's operation focus is based on the middle track pressure to see a volatile downward trend. Pay attention to the 3660-3675 area on the top. If this range is broken, the short-term may extend to test the 3685 line; pay attention to the 3625-3610 range on the bottom. Once it stabilizes, it is still a good opportunity to buy on the low. If it holds this position, the bullish pattern remains unchanged. If it is lost, we must be alert to the risk of a deep correction. The current volatile market continues to release room for selling high and buying low. Planned trading is the key to avoiding emotional chasing of gains and losses.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel