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Goldoutlook

GOLD: Bullish-Neutral. Wait For Valid Buy Long Setups!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold for the week of Feb. 16-20th. Gold is still bullish, but it is ranging sideways. Last week closed an indecisive week with a doji candle. Not great, but the integrity of the overall uptrend is still intact, despite the flash crash last month. Look for price to respect the bullish discount arrays, and wait patiently for the buy models to form. There is no reason to take shorts, as there has not been a bearish BOS event. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
2
Gold May Consolidate and Correct Before Continuing the Uptrend📊 Market Overview: Gold price is slightly correcting after a strong rally above 5000 USD/oz, facing profit-taking pressure amid low liquidity at the start of the week and a lack of new market-moving news, while the USD is temporarily stabilizing. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 5.050 – 5.080 | 5.120 – 5.150 • Nearest Support: 4.980 – 4.950 | 4.900 – 4.880 • EMA: Price remains above EMA 09, indicating the overall trend is still bullish, but showing signs of short-term correction. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Corrective candles appeared after the peak, volume slightly decreased → indicating weakening buying pressure. RSI shows mild divergence, suggesting consolidation or a pullback before continuing the main trend. 📌 Outlook: Gold may decline in the short term toward the 4980–4950 support zone before rebounding if buying pressure returns and price holds above 4900. ________________________________________ 💡 Trading Strategy Suggestion: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 5.078 – 5.081 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips ❌ SL: 5.085 🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4.950 – 4.947 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips ❌ SL: 4.943
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold May Correct Below the 5000 Level📊 Market Overview: Gold is under corrective pressure after breaking below the psychological 5000 USD/oz level, as the USD remains strong and US bond yields stay elevated. Market sentiment is cautious ahead of upcoming US economic data and Fed policy expectations, leading to short-term profit-taking in gold. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 5005 – 5015 / 5050 – 5060 • Nearest Support: 4920 / 4980 • EMA: Price is trading below EMA 09 → short-term bearish bias. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Selling pressure increased after the breakdown below 5000. Decreasing volume suggests a potential technical pullback before the main trend continues. RSI is moving down from overbought territory, and bearish momentum still dominates. 📌 Outlook: Gold may decline in the short term if it fails to reclaim the 5000 level, but a technical rebound toward resistance zones is still possible before a deeper correction. ________________________________________ 💡 Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 5057 – 5060 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips ❌ SL: 5064 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4920 – 4917 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 / 300 pips ❌ SL: 4913
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
6
Gold (XAUUSD) Daily Technical Outlook: Bearish Divergence SignalGold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe Key Elements Considered: Timeframe: Daily Price Action Fibonacci Retracements: 50% and 60% levels CCI (20) – Bearish Convergence (Divergence) Trendlines Stop Loss: 5065 Take Profit Levels: 4740, 4537, 3934 1. Price Action Overview Gold is trading within a clear ascending channel since October 2025. Current price: $4,968.51, nearing the upper resistance line of the channel and recent high at $5,062.15. Recent candles show small upper wicks near the highs, indicating rejection and potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. 2. Bearish Convergence on CCI (20) The CCI (Commodity Channel Index) is set to 20 periods. A bearish divergence is visible: Price made a higher high (or tested a recent high near $5,062), CCI made a lower high (failed to confirm the price peak, staying below +100 or forming a lower peak). 🔻 Interpretation: Bullish momentum is weakening. Increasing probability of a pullback or reversal. This is a classic early warning signal used by technical traders. 3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels (50% and 60%) Based on the last bullish swing (from recent low to high at $5,062): 50% retracement → $4,900 60% retracement → $4,850 👉 These levels are below current price, meaning the trend is still bullish, but if price breaks below $4,950, these levels become likely targets. 4. Trendlines Ascending support line (bullish trendline): currently near $4,800. Resistance line: around $5,000 – $5,060. A break below $4,800 would invalidate the bullish structure in the medium term. 5. Trading Setup (Based on Your Levels) Direction: SELL (on bearish divergence + resistance zone) Entry Zone: $4,980 – $5,020 Stop Loss: $5,065 (just above the recent high, invalidates bearish setup if broken) Take Profit Levels (3 Targets): Level Price Comments TP1 $4,740 Horizontal support + first correction target TP2 $4,537 80% Fibonacci retracement (visible on chart) + previous support TP3 $3,934 Deeper extension based on October 2025 low (if major reversal occurs) 6. Scenario Validation / Invalidation ✅ Bullish scenario invalidated / Bearish scenario valid if: Price stays below $5,065, CCI crosses below 0 (confirmation of bearish momentum), Price breaks below $4,900 (first sign of weakness). ❌ Bearish scenario invalidated if: Price breaks and holds above $5,065, CCI recovers above +100 (bullish momentum resumes). 7. Risk/Reward Ratio (Approximate) Risk: ~ $85 (from $4,980 to $5,065) Reward: TP1: $240 → R/R ≈ 2.8 TP2: $443 → R/R ≈ 5.2 TP3: $1,046 → R/R ≈ 12.3 Conclusion The bearish divergence on CCI (20) is a strong technical signal that supports your sell setup. Combined with: Resistance near the channel top, Fibonacci retracement levels, Your predefined Stop Loss and Take Profit targets, This setup is technically consistent and offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for a mean-reversion or correction trade.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by winerstep
8 Feb - Gold to $5350 - $5450 After last week's sharp decline, a leading diagonal pattern has emerged this week, possibly marking the beginning of wave 1. A wave correction then formed, forming a downtrend channel, completing the formation of wave 2. The price is currently at the beginning of wave 3. If the Elliott Wave Analysis is successful, wave 3 will likely be the same length as wave 1, and the price will likely head towards the 5360 - 5450 area. Wave 3 typically doesn't experience a significant price correction. If you want to buy, look for areas of demand on the H1 and M16 timeframes to avoid missing this week's rally. This analysis will fail if the price rebounds and breaks through an invalid area.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by AdrianDeBil_LogicTrader
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold has failed at the $4,932–4,960 resistance zone and subsequently broken down sharply, slicing through the rising trendline and losing short-term bullish structure. The impulsive bearish candle confirms a rejection from resistance and signals a shift into a corrective / pullback phase. Price is now trading below the former breakout area, with momentum favouring the downside as long as Gold remains capped beneath the $4,932–4,960 resistance band. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bearish Bias) Entry Zone: 4,932 – 4,960 Stop Loss: 4,985 Take Profit 1: 4,812 Take Profit 2: 4,780 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 3.7 📌 Invalidation: A sustained recovery and close above $4,985 would invalidate the bearish setup. 🌐 Macro Background While geopolitical risks linked to US–Iran tensions continue to support Gold on a broader horizon, short-term price action reflects profit-taking and positioning adjustment after extreme volatility near record highs. In addition, the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair has reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts, providing temporary support to the US Dollar and limiting Gold’s upside momentum. This macro mix supports a near-term corrective pullback rather than trend continuation. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 4,932 – 4,960 Support Zone: 4,783 – 4,811 Bearish Invalidation: Above 4,985 📌 Trade Summary Gold has been decisively rejected from major resistance and broken below trend support. As long as price stays below $4,960, the bias favours sell-on-rallies, targeting a deeper retracement toward the $4,800 region. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets involve significant risk; proper risk and position management are essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
1
Gold Remains Volatile – Correction Pressure May Rise📊 Market Overview Gold prices are currently trading around ~4,750–4,850 USD/oz during the session on February 3, 2026, declining from recent highs after a sharp correction from previous record levels. Strength in global equity markets, combined with selling pressure following Fed leadership developments and expectations of a stronger USD, continues to weigh on gold as a traditional safe-haven asset. However, capital inflows are showing signs of returning as deeply discounted prices attract technical buying interest. 📉 Technical Analysis • Key resistance levels: – 4,900–4,950 USD/oz – ~5,050–5,150 USD/oz (psychological / technical zone) • Nearest support levels: – ~4,650–4,700 USD/oz – ~4,500–4,550 USD/oz • EMA (09): Price is trading below the EMA 09 on the 4H/D1 timeframes, indicating that the short-term bearish trend remains dominant. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Declining volume during rebounds suggests technical buying is present but not strong. RSI on several timeframes is approaching oversold territory, which may cause volatility before the next directional move. 📌 Outlook Gold may continue its short-term decline if it fails to break above the 4,900–4,950 USD/oz resistance zone and selling pressure resumes due to stable or rising USD interest rate expectations. However, if the 4,650–4,700 USD/oz support zone holds, a technical rebound toward higher resistance levels remains possible. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy SELL XAU/USD: 4,953–4,956 🎯 TP: 50 / 100 / 150 / 300 pips ❌ SL: ~4,963 BUY XAU/USD at: 4,650–4,647 🎯 TP: 50 / 100 / 150 / 300 pips ❌ SL: ~4,640
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
4
Gold Dumps After Technical Rebound, Selling Pressure Dominates📊 Market Overview: Gold staged a sharp technical rebound from 4500 to 4582, but the rally lacked follow-through buying. Sellers aggressively re-entered at higher levels, confirming distribution near 4580. This rejection triggered another strong sell-off, pushing price back down to around 4400. 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance Levels: • 4480 – 4500 • 4560 – 4580 Nearest Support Levels: • 4400 – 4385 • 4350 – 4320 •EMA: Price is trading far below EMA 09 on M5, M15, and H1 → strong bearish trend with no bottoming signal yet. •Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: The rebound from 4500 to 4582 was a technical pullback with weak buying volume. Strong bearish candles with rising volume afterward confirm a bull trap. Bearish momentum is accelerating again. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to decline in the short term if 4400 fails to hold, opening the way for a deeper move toward the 4350 – 4320 zone before any meaningful rebound occurs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
GOLD: Still Bullish? Buy This Massive Dip?In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Feb. 2-6th. Gold took a nosedive Friday after Trump's nomination for Fed Chair. The market reacted by a -14% drop, as investors moved funds from metals to the USD. But is this an opportunity for savvy investors to enter this market at a discount? Yes. The market conditions that drove prices to ATHs are still in place. Nothing has changed. The uptrend has not been broken. So why not buy this dip? Selling is not recommended for the reasons mentioned above. Wait until the the market breaks structure to the upside on the HTFs, no less than the Daily TF, before entering new longs. Outside of that, be patient, and let the market show its hand. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
22
GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – FINAL GRAND CYCLE ANALYSIS “The Rise of Real Money in a Failing Fiat World” Elliott Waves | Fibonacci | Smart Money | Macro Fundamentals | Market Psychology 📅 Date: October 22, 2025 📍 Current Price: ~$4,039/oz ⏳ Time Horizon: 1970s to post-2050 🎯 Focus: Multi-decade Elliott Wave structure signaling the endgame for fiat currencies 🌐 SUPER CYCLE NARRATIVE – GOLD’S MONETARY METAMORPHOSIS 🔵 Wave I (1971–1980): The Rebirth of Real Money Gold's first major secular rally began when the Bretton Woods system collapsed and President Nixon ended the U.S. dollar’s convertibility to gold in 1971. Gold soared from around $35 to nearly $875 by 1980. This wave was driven by runaway inflation, the oil embargo, and shattered confidence in fiat money. 🔴 Wave II (1980–1999): The Great Fiat Illusion Following the 1980 peak, gold entered a brutal 19-year corrective phase, falling to the $250 zone. During this time, the U.S. dollar gained strength, Volcker’s interest rate hikes reined in inflation, and a new era of debt-based prosperity and stock market euphoria unfolded. Gold was dismissed, even by central banks who sold reserves. Structurally, this corrective phase formed a complex WXYXZ pattern , setting the groundwork for the massive Wave III rally. 🟢 Wave III (1999–~2033): The Fiat Reckoning Has Begun This is the longest and most powerful supercycle wave and the one we are currently in. It is subdivided into five impulsive macro waves. As of now, gold is deep within Wave iii of III , the most explosive phase of the entire structure. The current rally is no longer driven by inflation fears but by existential doubts about the long-term viability of fiat currencies. 📈 Wave I of III (1999–2011): The Institutional Accumulation Gold rose from around $250 to $1,920 over this period. Triggers included the dot-com bust, 9/11, the 2008 global financial crisis, and the launch of the first gold ETFs like GLD. This wave marked the beginning of institutional interest in gold as a systemic hedge. 📉 Wave II of III (2011–2015): The Disbelief Correction Gold corrected nearly 45%, bottoming near $1,050. The narrative shifted — QE hadn't caused hyperinflation, the stock market was booming again, and faith in the dollar resurged. Retail abandoned gold, but institutional buyers quietly accumulated from newly created demand zones. 🚀 Wave iii of III (2015–~2026): The True Price Discovery Phase This is where we are now. Since 2015, gold has exploded upward, driven by COVID-era QE, negative real interest rates, geopolitical instability, and major central banks accumulating gold for cross-border settlements outside the dollar system. We are currently in the middle of this wave — micro wave (3) of iii — with price around $4,039. According to Fibonacci projections, this wave is expected to peak near $6,552 , corresponding to the 2.618 extension level . If bullish momentum continues, gold could overshoot toward $22,744 , matching the 3.618 Fibonacci extension and marking the likely top of macro Wave III. In an extreme scenario where fiat trust collapses entirely, the 4.618 extension projects a possible target of $78,940 . All of these levels align with the upper bounds of the long-term logarithmic channel, validating both structure and projections. But most likely this target is for Wave V TOP . 🟣 Wave IV (Projected: 2026–2033): The Great Shakeout After the parabolic run of Wave iii, a deep multi-year correction is likely. This correction — Wave IV — may retrace toward the long-term red trendline and could coincide with a temporary return to “faith” in fiat through reforms like CBDC rollouts or aggressive fiscal pivots. This wave could resemble a WXY pattern or large ABC structure and may unfold alongside capital controls, deflationary pressure, and a resurgent tech or dollar narrative. However, this will likely be the last major buying opportunity before gold enters its final, euphoric revaluation. 🟢 Wave V (2033–2045+): The Final Blow-Off Top Wave V is expected to be driven by an overt crisis of confidence in the global fiat system. Scenarios could include: Mass adoption of gold-backed or commodity-tied digital currencies Loss of global trust in the USD as the reserve currency BRICS or emerging alliances introducing gold into cross-border settlements Global central banks returning to physical gold as a monetary base The upside potential here is monumental. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension already targets $78,940 , but under full systemic collapse or monetary reset conditions, gold could reprice toward $100,000–$250,000 per ounce — not as a bubble, but as a return to its role as sound, base-layer money. 📐 Fibonacci Milestones and Structure Alignment Each major wave has closely respected its corresponding Fibonacci extension. Wave I topped around the 1.618 level ($1,887) . The ongoing Wave iii appears on track to reach the 2.618 level ($6,552) . From there, macro Wave III could stretch toward 3.618 ($22,744) . If Wave V extends fully, a 4.618 projection leads to $78,940 — all within the bounds of the established logarithmic trend channel. In a full-blown systemic reset, price could break even higher. These levels are not speculative but grounded in structural alignment with Elliott wave geometry , Fibonacci mathematic s, and long-term institutional order flow . 🧠 Smart Money Concepts & Technical Validations Smart money activity has left clear fingerprints across this cycle. Each break of market structure (in 2016, 2020, and 2023) confirmed higher time-frame bullish continuation. Institutional demand zones — especially during the 2018–2019 consolidation and 2022 pullback — were respected to the dollar. This cycle isn’t retail-driven mania — it's a stealth institutional accumulation that’s now evolving into price discovery. 📊 Market Psychology Across the Cycle Investor sentiment has followed classic psychology stages: From 1999 to 2004, disbelief reigned: “Gold is dead.” Between 2005 and 2011 came growing awareness: “Gold might work again.” The 2011–2015 correction brought denial: “It was just a bubble.” Hope returned in 2016–2020 as price quietly rallied. From 2022 to 2026, euphoria dominates: “Gold will never go down.” Wave IV will likely bring fear and capitulation between 2026 and 2033. Finally, Wave V will ignite mania: “Gold to the moon!” 🚨 Final Synthesis: What This All Means We are living through the largest repricing of monetary value in modern financial history. Gold is no longer just an inflation hedge — it’s becoming a hedge against the system itself . The structure on the chart doesn't just map price — it maps the collapse of fiat trust and the return of monetary sanity. Gold is transitioning from: A commodity hedge → To a central bank hedge → To a currency hedge → And finally, to a system hedge The current leg — Wave iii of III — is nearing its climax. After a correction in Wave IV, Wave V could take gold into previously unthinkable territory, not because gold changed — but because everything else did. 📌 Final Position Summary We are currently in wave (5) of iii of III — the most powerful segment of the bull run The next Fibonacci target is $6,552 The broader Wave III could peak near $22,744 After a correction (Wave IV), the final wave could send gold toward $78,940 , or even into the $100,000–$250,000 zone under extreme monetary reset conditions This is not a mere forecast — it’s a macro-monetary blueprint for the coming decades. 🌊 "Those who understand the waves will ride them. Those who don’t will be swallowed by the tide." – FIBCOS 📘 Disclaimer: This is an educational market outlook based on technical and macroeconomic structure. It is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and risk management. #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #Commodities #InflationHedge #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #BRICS #MonetaryReset
TVC:GOLDLong
by fibcos
6
GOLD: Strong! Buy The Dips!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Jan. 26 - 30th. Gold closed last week bullish, surging to ATHs. No reason to look for shorts. Waiting for dip buying opportunities is the best bet. Look for the +FVGs on the LTFs to be tested for support. Those may be the opportunities to get in buy entries. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
12
GOLD, DXY and BITCOIN on the same month chart- who wins ? GOLD is shown as the solid YELLOW line DXY USD is the GREEN Bars BITCOIN, the Orange Bars The chart says it all GOLD Could be the winner, it holds Value better than any......and that Hurts me, as a Bitcoin MAXI, However, the gains with Bitcoin Versus Gold, on Bull Runs, is unbeatable, 254% over Gold in the recent Bull run. .....But Bitcoin has a habit of - 80% Losses. GOLD does not do that The DXY however, lost value to Gold as soon as it walked away from the "Gold standard" in 1971. And it continues to do so. That GOLD PA is GOLD USD.....see how Far Gold has gone Above the $ ! The ONLY thing that has given Gold a "Run for its Money" is BITCOIN. Lets look closer. Bitcoin was below Golds value for the first 8 years of its existence. Then suddenly, in 2017. Boom, Bitcoin potential showed itself and Rose above Gold for a short while. Gold and Bitcoin Value then Yo yo'd for nearly 4 years and then in late 2020. Bitcoin took off and has been Above Golds Value ever since. And with the recent surge in Gold price, "The Catch Up" I call it, We now See GOLD and BITCOIN on a head to Head for Value. The Last time these two were so close was at the Bottom of the Bitcoin bear market in 2022. Could this be a sign that the Bitcoin Bear market is over ? Could be. So, whats Next ? GOLD is VERY Over Bought BITCOIN is OVER SOLD DXY is in Deep trouble ( as pointed out in a post earlier this morning ) CONCLUSION GOLD has cought up with the New Kid on the block, has shown incredible strength and looses less value on pull backs. A truly international Asset. BITCOIN has bigger gains in bull runs and Larger Losses in Bear markets......Usualy.......If we are currently at the Bottom of a Bitcoin Bear market, as some suggest, this pull back has been 30% SMALLER> Bitcoin retains more value gut we need confirmation of this........BITCOIN has yet to be adopted by other countries around the world as much as it seems to have been in the USA. DXY sailing into headwinds and with no real Magical solution to regaining the Value it has lost compared to other assets. The WINNER ? It is either Gold or Bitcoin, depending on your trading strategy. But the next few months will certainly make this easier to see... Should GOLD overtake Bitcoin for the first time since 2020, then that will show a WEAKNESS in Bitcoin. I cannot wait to see what happens>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> I BUY BOTH
TVC:GOLD
by Orriginal
XAUUSD 4H – Bullish Channel,Pullback Expected Before ContinuatioXAUUSD (Gold Spot) – 4H Timeframe Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both upper resistance and lower support trendlines. Price has recently tested the upper boundary of the channel near 4950, showing signs of short-term exhaustion after a strong bullish impulse. A pullback toward the mid-to-lower channel region (≈4550–4600) is anticipated before the next directional move. As long as price holds above the lower channel support, the overall trend remains bullish, and dips may present buying opportunities. Key levels: Resistance: 4950–5000 Support: 4600 / Channel bottom Trend bias: Bullish (higher highs & higher lows)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Pandian2603
GOLD: Missiles Flying? Protests In Iran? Look For Buys!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Jan. 12 - 16th. Gold is seeing inflows lately due to tensions in the market. The US and Venezuela, missiles to Syria, and protests in Iran... have caused investors to look toward this safe haven. I expect a gap open for the second week in a row, and further gains this week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
6
Gold Slightly Rebounds, Short-Term Trend Remains Unclear📊 Market Overview: Gold prices recently experienced a sharp drop to the 4590 zone before rebounding back toward 4600, signaling a liquidity sweep and short-term selling absorption. The market remains cautious as it awaits further signals from U.S. economic data and the Fed’s policy outlook, causing gold to trade within a narrow range. 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance: • 4608 – 4615 • 4625 – 4635 Nearest Support: • 4590 – 4585 • 4575 – 4568 • EMA: Price is currently fluctuating around the EMA 09, indicating that the short-term trend is still unclear and leaning toward consolidation. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: A long lower wick appeared near the 4590 zone accompanied by rising volume, suggesting strong buying interest at support. However, bullish momentum remains weak, and price may continue to fluctuate before choosing a clear direction. 📌 Outlook: Gold may consolidate or recover slightly in the short term as long as it holds above the 4590 zone. A break below this level could open the door to a deeper correction. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: SELL XAU/USD: 4622 – 4625 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4628.5 BUY XAU/USD: 4571 – 4568 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4564.5
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
8
Why GOLD could top in 2026, how low can it go and when reclaimsI was looking at GOLD's RSI and started placing the dates from the starting peak of RSI above 70, noting how long it stayed there and how it repriced after that period ended. Thanks to this, I was able to recognize some seasonality that might occur again and a correction related to it, stay with me, it can be helpful to place a trade once requirements are met, but ofc NFA! Even tho I know macroconditions are good for GOLD this year, I still think price is first and narratives are after. So I cannot skip the fact that this asset has maintained so much time above 70 since March 2024 and since we have not seen the top, We've to start thinking how low the correction will be. As you can see on the chart, the pattern is definitely more similar to the 2011-2012 period than the 2020-2022 period of after hitting the top. In 2011, before GOLD saw the top, it passed 693 days of dancing around the overbought level of RSI since 2009, after that, it had a 18% correction, once it touched ath it waited 392 days until hitting it again. In 2019, before touching the top, 553 days passed of RSI dancing near the 70 level since 200 and after that, it had an 18% correction, once it touched ath, it waited 574 days to reclaim it. In 2024, before our current date, we've seen GOLD not only above the 70 level of RSI 679 days, but it has been more time over it and with much more strength than past cycles, ofc I don't know when and what the top will be (I think very close to $5,000), I think once we touch the top we'll see another correction around 18% and then we'll have to wait +390 days to retouch the ath after hitting it. Why +390 days? Because this cycle looks more similar to the 2011 (first ath) than the others. Also, I looked more in the past, but past cycles didn't meet the requirement of having this interval of days above or dancing around the 70 level of RSI in the weekly chart, those past years like 70-74's or 77-80 have way more days than the recent cycles, the price didn't reclaim ath after hitting it, so I discarded them and ofc there's some bias here since I don't want to analyze those days since I wasn't alive too. But hey, no one knows exactly what will happen, take it as a guide and for help for your own analysis, or to what to expect, no analysis is perfect, so I want to read your comments and expectations too, I know that will be way better!
TVC:GOLD
by Haezen1
2
Gold 2026 Outlook: Risk-On Pullback, Geopolitics Keep Bull TrendFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Gold 2026 Record Prices Risk On Markets & Rising Global Uncertainty (8 January 2026) 🔍📈 Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS 📊 MARKET OVERVIEW On January 7, 2026, gold prices pulled back after recent strong gains, as investors booked profits amid a broader risk on market mood. Spot gold briefly tested the $4,500 level before slipping toward the mid $4,430s, while COMEX futures also closed modestly lower. The decline followed several sessions of rally driven by geopolitical tensions linked to US actions in Venezuela. Attention shifted toward key US economic data that could shape Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. 🧩 KEY FUNDAMENTALS 💵 US Monetary Policy Supportive Expectations of 1 to 2 Fed rate cuts in 2026 lower the opportunity cost of holding gold. 💲 US Dollar Mild Headwind The dollar remains slightly firm short term, but broader long term weakness supports gold. 📉 Inflation & Real Yields Moderately Supportive Cooling inflation and softer real yields enhance gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge. 🏦 Treasury Yields Mixed Lower real yields improve gold competitiveness versus bonds. 🏆 Central Bank & Investment Demand Structurally Bullish Strong central bank buying and ETF inflows provide a solid long term price floor. 🌍 GEOPOLITICS 🚨 US Venezuela Intervention Key Trigger The capture of Venezuela’s president sharply increased global risk perceptions, driving strong safe haven demand for gold. 🔥 Middle East Tensions Ongoing instability involving Iran, Israel, Lebanon, and Gaza keeps geopolitical risk premiums elevated. ⚔️ Russia Ukraine War The prolonged conflict continues to add background uncertainty, supporting gold as a hedge. 🌐 US Expansionist Rhetoric Aggressive policy signals on Greenland, trade tariffs, and regional security raise fears of global instability and de dollarization. ⚖️ RISK ON RISK OFF ANALYSIS 🔁 Inverse Relationship Higher US Treasury yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, while lower yields support gold. 📈 Current Yield Level US 10 year yield around 4.14% to 4.18%, easing slightly and reducing pressure on gold. 📉 Real Yields Matter Falling real yields after inflation remain supportive for gold prices. 📊 Yield Curve Inversion Ongoing inversion signals growth concerns, indirectly favoring gold as a hedge. ⚠️ Near Term Risk A sharp rise in yields could cap gold gains, while softer data could trigger rallies. 🔗 MARKET CORRELATION 💵 US Dollar DXY Stable near 98.7. A firmer dollar is a mild headwind, but long term trends remain gold positive. 📈 Equities Strong stock markets reflect risk on sentiment, limiting gold upside short term. ⚖️ Yields vs Gold Gold remains elevated despite yields, as geopolitical risks offset pressure. 🔮 RISK ON RISK OFF OUTLOOK 🌤 Current Mood Markets lean risk on, but geopolitical tensions add risk off undertones. 🛡 Gold’s Role Gold acts as protection during sudden risk off events such as geopolitics and policy shocks. 🚀 Forward View Continued risk on conditions may mean consolidation, while a risk off trigger could push gold toward $4,900 to $5,000 in 2026. 🧠 KEY INSIGHTS FROM CREDIBLE SOURCES 📜 Policy Uncertainty Boosting Gold Investors are accumulating gold as a hedge against policy driven uncertainty under Trump, especially amid geopolitical and economic shifts. ⚠️ Higher Tail Risks Trump era policies are seen as increasing fat tail risks, supporting both equities and safe haven assets like gold simultaneously. 💰 Gold Revaluation Narrative Market discussions suggest potential gold revaluation in 2026 as a tool to address debt and balance sheet pressures. 📉 Rate Cut Expectations Calls for ultra low interest rates have historically triggered sharp rallies in gold and silver. 🌍 Trade & Tariffs Impact Gold is perceived as insulated from tariffs, reinforcing its appeal versus other commodities. 🛂 Immigration for Revenue Policies Gold Card style visa programs tie gold symbolism to fiscal and immigration strategies. 🪙 Gold vs Crypto Framing Bitcoin is often compared to digital gold, but gold remains positioned as the ultimate stable reserve asset. 🏦 Strategic Reserves Focus Renewed attention on national gold reserves highlights trust, transparency, and monetary credibility themes. ✅ CONCLUSION Gold’s pullback in early January reflects profit taking after a strong rally, not a breakdown in trend. Supportive Fed rate cut expectations, softer real yields, and sustained central bank demand continue to provide a solid floor. Heightened geopolitical risks, particularly the US Venezuela situation and broader global tensions, reinforce gold’s safe haven appeal. While a risk on market mood and a firm dollar may cap gains in the short term, downside appears limited. 🙌 SUPPORT THE ANALYSIS 👍 Like the post 💬 Comment your key levels 📈 Share your charts 🚀 Let’s grow together Best Regards M. Moiz Khattak Founder 🟡 TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS 📊
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
GOLD (XAUUSD): Short Term Bearish! Watch The -FVG!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Jan.5-9th. Gold took a bearish turn last week, closing below the previous weekly candle. This is ordinarily a bearish indication. But with the US actions against Venezuela, we may see Gold spike up with the tensions. If the market moves higher, there is a -FVG just above it to offer resistance. If the market doesn't respect the -FVG, we know to look for long setups upon the inversion of that FVG. If the market respects the -FVG, look for sells on the LTFs. Simple. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
7
Gold rebounds after a sharp sell-off, but downside risks remain.📊 Market Overview: Gold has just experienced a sharp decline from the 44xx zone down to near 4300, mainly driven by year-end profit-taking, a technical rebound in the USD, and reduced market liquidity, which has amplified short-term price volatility. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: • 4385 – 4395 • 4440 – 4460 • Nearest Support: • 4330 – 4340 • 4300 – 4310 • EMA: Price is currently trading below the EMA 09 on the H1/H4 timeframe → short-term bias remains bearish / corrective. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Strong bearish candles accompanied by high volume indicate active selling pressure. The current rebound appears technical, with weak bullish momentum and no clear reversal signal, suggesting this move is likely a pullback. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to consolidate or decline slightly in the short term if it fails to break above the 4385–4400 resistance zone, with the risk of a retest of the 4300 area still present. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4392 – 4395 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: ~ 4398.5 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4307 – 4304 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: ~ 4300
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
1
Gold holds above 4500 – short-term consolidation📊 Market Overview: Gold price (XAU/USD) is currently fluctuating around 4505 – 4510, holding above the key psychological level of 4500 after a strong rally. Thin year-end liquidity makes price action more volatile, while market sentiment is shifting toward waiting for either a confirmed breakout or a technical pullback. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistances: – 4515 – 4522 (intraday high, short-term selling zone) – 4535 – 4545 (extended resistance, next target if breakout occurs) • Further Resistance: – 4570 – 4585 (medium-term resistance, strong profit-taking zone if the uptrend extends) • Nearest Supports: – 4498 – 4502 (psychological support, recent price reaction zone) – 4485 – 4490 (short-term technical support) • Further Supports: – 4465 – 4475 (previous consolidation base) – 4435 – 4450 (medium-term support, safer BUY zone if a deeper correction occurs) • EMA: – Price remains above EMA 09 & EMA 21 (H1) → short-term trend remains bullish – EMAs flattening → warning of sideways movement / mild technical correction • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: – H1 candles show upper wicks, indicating weakening buying pressure – RSI remains elevated but not expanding → bullish momentum is slowing ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: Gold may trade within the 4495 – 4522 range in the short term. • A clear break above 4522 could open the way toward 4535 – 4545, and further to 4570 – 4585. • A loss of 4495 could push price back toward 4485 – 4470 to absorb selling pressure before the next directional move. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4582 – 4585 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4588.5 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4485 – 4582 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4478.5
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
XAUUSD (Gold) : Intraday Structure & Reversal Zone Analysis📊 XAUUSD (Gold) – Intraday Structure & Reversal Zone Analysis (30M) This chart presents a 30-minute XAUUSD price action analysis, highlighting a clear bullish recovery followed by a potential high-probability reversal zone. 🔍 Market Structure Overview & Technical Analysis Gold initially showed range-bound behavior with multiple equal highs and lows, indicating liquidity buildup. Price repeatedly tested the same support zone, producing strong rejections (long wicks and impulsive candles), which clearly signaled buyers absorbing sell pressure. Once liquidity below the range was swept, price reacted sharply upward, confirming a classic liquidity grab → reversal → impulsive move scenario. 🚀 Bullish Expansion Move After the liquidity sweep, Gold delivered a strong bullish leg, breaking above previous intraday highs with momentum. This impulsive move created a clean bullish structure, suggesting institutional participation rather than random retail buying. The vertical measurement marked on the chart shows a 130+ point bullish expansion, reinforcing that this was not a weak correction but a strong directional push. 📦 Key Supply / Reversal Zone The highlighted upper zone (Reversal Zone) represents: Previous swing high resistance A premium price area Potential supply imbalance Price is currently approaching this zone, where smart money typically looks for: Profit-taking on longs Fresh sell-side entries Confirmation-based reversals The note “Need Pattern Here” is critical: 👉 No blind selling. A reversal is only valid if price forms a clear bearish pattern, such as: Bearish engulfing Double top / failed high Strong upper wick rejections Market structure shift (MSS) on lower timeframes 🧠 Trading Psychology (Minds) At this stage: Late buyers are emotionally chasing Smart money waits for confirmation Patience is key — the best trades come after confirmation, not anticipation If price rejects the zone strongly, a pullback toward the marked support area is highly probable. If price breaks and holds above the zone, it invalidates the reversal idea and signals continued bullish strength. 📌 Trading Plan Summary Bias: Bullish into resistance, cautious near supply Sell idea: Only after bearish confirmation in the reversal zone Buy idea: If price breaks and retests above the zone Risk: Avoid emotional entries inside resistance ⚠️ Final Note This setup is a reaction-based trade, not a prediction. Let price show its hand — confirmation over confidence. 📉📈 Trade safe. Manage risk. Let structure lead the way.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades