Gold may continue to decline toward 4020 – 4015 if 4030 breaks.📊 Market Overview:
Gold has fully broken the strong support zone 4045 – 4040 and quickly dropped to 4030, as the US Dollar strengthens and US Treasury yields rise. The market is reacting to recent Fed signals, giving sellers full control.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 4045 – 4055
• Stronger Resistance: 4065 – 4075
• Nearest Support: 4030 – 4032
• Stronger Support: 4020 – 4015
• EMA09: Price is below EMA09 on H1 → short-term bearish trend.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: H1 candles form consecutive lower highs; volume rises on large bearish candles → sellers dominate.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook:
• Gold may continue to decline toward 4020 – 4015 if 4030 breaks.
• Conversely, a clear reversal candle around 4030 could trigger a technical rebound toward 4040 – 4045 before resuming the downtrend.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4045 – 4048
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4053
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4015 – 4012
🎯 TP: 30 / 50 / 100 pips
❌ SL: 4008
Goldoutlook
GOLD H1: Possible Rebound if $4,060 Support Holds📌 1. Market Development
Gold has formed a wide trading range: a sharp drop to 4040 → a strong bounce to 4085 → now trading around 4075.
This indicates that the market is consolidating in a broad sideways structure, with strong buying pressure at the 4040 bottom and equally strong selling pressure near 4090.
📊 2. Technical Analysis
Resistance (H1):
R1: 4082 – 4085 (near-term resistance)
R2: 4095 – 4100 (strong resistance)
Support (H1):
S1: 4060 – 4065 (near support, market balance zone)
S2: 4040 – 4045 (major support, key swing low with strong buying reaction)
Technical signals:
H1 still shows mild corrective pressure but momentum is weakening.
Current structure: wide sideways range 4040 – 4090, best suited for trading at key zones.
📈 3. Outlook
Gold is likely to remain within the 4040 – 4090 range before forming a clear trend.
Holding 4060 → price may rebound toward 4080 – 4090.
Holding 4040 → high probability of a stronger bullish bounce.
Only a breakout above 4092 (H1 close) will unlock further upside momentum.
🎯 4. Suggested Trading Strategy (H1)
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 4060 – 4063 (strong BUY zone)
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4037
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 4088 – 4091
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 4095
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure
TVC:GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $4,075, struggling to gain traction after a sharp intraday recovery. Price remains capped by the resistance zone at $4,081–$4,086, while intraday support is seen between $4,041–$4,045.
The structure currently favours a short-term bearish reaction, with price showing repeated rejection at the resistance zone. A break below $4,060 could accelerate downside momentum toward the support zone, while any sustained push above $4,093 would invalidate the bearish bias.
🎯 Trade Setup
Idea: Sell from resistance zone targeting retest of support.
Entry: $4,081 – $4,086
Stop Loss: $4,094
Take Profit 1: $4,045
Take Profit 2: $4,041
Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.4
Bias turns bullish only if price closes above $4,093.
🌐 Macro Background
Gold trades above $4,100 ahead of the delayed US September NFP report, which was pushed back due to the 43-day government shutdown, the longest in U.S. history.
FXStreet notes that:
“Gold edges higher to near $4,110 as uncertainty over US jobs data and cautious sentiment support safe-haven demand.” 【FXStreet】
NFP Impact:
A weaker-than-expected jobs report would likely revive expectations for a December rate cut, boosting gold through lower yields and a softer USD.
Fed Divisions:
The FOMC Minutes showed policymakers divided—some supporting further cuts, others opposing another move in December.
Market Pricing:
The CME FedWatch Tool shows only a 30% probability of a December rate cut, sharply lower than nearly 60% last week, limiting gold’s upside.
Overall, gold’s upside remains constrained by shifting rate expectations, but uncertainty around delayed data continues to provide safe-haven support.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $4,081 – $4,086
Support: $4,041 – $4,045
Psychological Level: $4,100
📌 Trade Summary
Gold remains trapped between resistance at $4,081–$4,086 and support at $4,041–$4,045. Price is showing rejection at resistance, favouring a short-term bearish pullback.
Downside targets lie at $4,045 and $4,041, unless incoming NFP data triggers renewed bullish momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Gold Breaks Higher to 4,105 – New Bullish Momentum Confirmed📊 Market Overview
Gold has surged strongly from the 4,084 zone and decisively broke through the 4,102–4,104 resistance area, now trading around 4,105 USD/oz. The rally is supported by a slightly weaker USD, steady U.S. yields, and strong technical buying after the breakout. Buyers are clearly in control.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Nearest Resistance: ~ 4,110 USD/oz
• Additional Resistance: ~ 4,120 USD/oz
• Extended Resistance: ~ 4,135 USD/oz — target if bullish momentum continues.
• Nearest Support: ~ 4,102 USD/oz — fresh breakout zone.
• Additional Support: ~ 4,095 USD/oz — safe pullback level.
• Extended Support: ~ 4,084 USD/oz — key pivot before the rally.
• EMA09: Price is trading well above EMA09, confirming a short-term uptrend.
• Candles & Momentum:
• Strong bullish candles with solid volume → momentum remains strong.
• No significant rejection candles yet → trend remains intact.
📌 Outlook
Gold shows clear bullish momentum after the breakout.
• Holding above 4,102 may lead price toward 4,110 → 4,120, and potentially 4,135 next.
• Only a drop below 4,095 would signal risk of a deeper pullback toward 4,084.
💡 Trade Strategy Suggestions
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 4,102 – 4,105 (post-breakout pullback)
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,098
🔻 SELL XAU/USD (Only with clear rejection)
Entry: 4,118 – 4,121
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,125
Gold may face short-term pullback📊 Market Movement
Gold is currently trading around USD 4,067/oz. The U.S. dollar is stabilizing while Treasury yields remain firm, which continues to pressure gold. Safe-haven demand is recovering slightly, but the trend is still unclear and lacks strong momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: ~ USD 4,090/oz — area where sellers previously stepped in strongly.
• Additional Resistance: ~ USD 4,110/oz — secondary level if the main resistance breaks.
• Nearest Support: ~ USD 4,030/oz — strong technical reaction zone.
• Additional Support: ~ USD 4,000/oz — psychological level and broader support range.
• EMA09: Price is currently below the EMA09 on short-term charts → indicating a bearish short-term bias.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• Recent candles show longer upper wicks → selling pressure appears at higher levels.
• Momentum indicators (MACD, short-term oscillators) are weakening.
• Probability of an immediate strong upward breakout is low; correction risk remains elevated.
📌 Outlook
Gold may decline in the short term if the resistance around USD 4,090 holds and the U.S. dollar continues to strengthen.
If the support at USD 4,030 holds and new buyers step in, a rebound is still possible.
💡 Trade Strategy Suggestions
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4,087 – 4,090
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,094
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4,026 – 4,029
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,022
Gold Continues Short-Term Downtrend – Awaiting Retest of 4025📊 Market Overview
Gold dropped from the 4025 area down to 4005, with a rebound to 4015 acting as a technical reaction. Selling pressure remains dominant as the short-term market continues to monitor U.S. economic data and USD reactions. Investor sentiment is cautious, with no clear reversal signals yet.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis
• Near resistance: 4022 – 4025
• Further resistance: 4032 – 4035
• Near support: 4005 – 4000
• Further support: 3970 – 3965
• EMA: Price is below EMA09 H1 → short-term bearish trend still dominant.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum: The most recent H1 candle at 4015 has a long lower wick → buying pressure is starting to appear, and this rebound is a technical pullback within the downtrend.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook
• Short-term trend remains bearish, with selling pressure still dominant.
• If price fails to break 4022–4025, it may continue falling toward near support 4000–4005, or further to 3995–3998 if the decline accelerates.
• If price breaks above 4025, the technical rebound could extend, opening a counter BUY opportunity, potentially testing further resistance at 4032–4035.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
• Entry zone: 4023 – 4026
• 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
• ❌ SL: 4029
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
• Entry zone: 3968 – 3965
• 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
• ❌ SL: 4062
GOLD DAILY TRADING 11/17: BUY TODAY🦁 THE GOLDEN ARENA – NOV 17, 2025
“Rebound or Trap? Let the Orderflow Decide.”
A visually striking TradingView plan – part narrative, part tactical map. This is not just a bias, it’s a battlefield strategy.
🧭 MARKET CONTEXT SNAPSHOT
Price currently consolidating around 4076 – 4084, after clean breaks of structure (BOS) and a deep retracement.
Significant supply zones confirmed at 4157 – 4180, where POC clusters, FVG imbalances, and volume absorptions align.
Orderflow on M5–M30 shows fading buy pressure and aggressive sells into lower highs.
🎯 CORE STRATEGIES FOR TODAY
🔺 Scenario 1: Breakout Trap SELL (High Conviction)
Target Zone 4178 – 4180 (Main Supply)
Stop Loss (SL) 4185
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4155 (Low volume node)
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4100 (Local support)
Take Profit 3 (TP3) 4040 (Structural SSL level)
🔍 Why this setup?
Clear liquidity pool above 4178 being targeted.
Volume tapering off into the move → classic reversal signal.
Footprint shows absorption candles at key supply.
🪙 Scenario 2: FVG Scalping SELL (Secondary)
Entry Zone 4157 – 4158
SL 4163
TP 4100 – 4105
✅ Perfect for short-term scalpers looking to ride the intraday rejection from the imbalance zone.
🟢 Bullish Reversal INVALIDATION (Failsafe Plan)
Trigger Break and hold above 4185
Entry Breakout Buy above 4190
SL 4175
TP 4220
Only flip bullish if aggressive buyers step in + strong delta + profile breakout.
🧱 KEY PRICE ZONES TO MONITOR
Level Description
4185 Stopline – invalidates Sell
4178 – 4180 Main SELL Zone (POC + FVG)
4157 – 4158 Minor FVG Scalping Area
4100 Micro support + Bull trap
4040 SSL – liquidity target
📊 VOLUME & ORDERFLOW INSIGHT
M5–M30 Footprints:
Massive seller imbalances from 4175+
Footprint at 4084 shows buyer exhaustion
Volume Profile:
High-volume node at 4178 acting as strong resistance
Low-volume gap below 4155 → fast price travel zone
Delta:
Negative delta buildup confirming sell bias
💡 EXECUTION CHECKLIST
✅ Wait for entry trigger at marked zones – don’t pre-empt.
🚫 Avoid FOMO buy into supply unless 4185 is cleanly broken.
🔔 Set alerts at 4157 and 4180 for rejection signs.
🧠 TRADING MANTRA OF THE DAY
"The chart speaks in structure,
The volume whispers the truth,
But the orderflow shouts the conviction."
📌 Bias: SELL on retracements toward supply → hold for 4100–4040
📌 Watchlist: Footprint aggression, absorption blocks, spoof traps
Gold Maintains Uptrend – Waiting for a Pullback for a Safe Buy📌 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around $4200/oz, maintaining strong bullish momentum supported by:
• A weaker USD
• Soft U.S. labor data
• Rising expectations of Fed rate cuts
• Continued safe-haven demand
However, bullish momentum is beginning to slow, suggesting a possible short-term pullback before the next upward move.
📈 Technical Analysis
• Gold remains above key EMAs (EMA20 – EMA100 – EMA200).
• EMA20 at $4176 is acting as dynamic support.
• Strong resistance: $4245 — a breakout could target $4300.
• RSI around 50 → buying pressure still present but not very strong.
• Volume & momentum are weakening → signals a healthy pullback.
🧭 Outlook
The short-term trend remains bullish as long as price stays above $4176 – $4150.
Gold is likely to:
• 🔄 Pull back slightly → then bounce toward resistance at $4245, and potentially $4300.
🎯 Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $4175 – $4172
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4169
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $4243 – $4246
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4249
GOLD: Look For Bullish Breakout From The +FVGIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 10-14th.
Gold has been consolidating in a +FVG since last week... and it is still holding! Wait for price to break the high of the consolidation and then look for long setups.
Be mindful that price may sweep the sell side LQ before it moves higher.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold consolidates between $4100–$4115, awaiting breakout📊Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently fluctuating around $4104 after a mild pullback from the $4112 zone.
The bullish momentum has paused as traders await fresh U.S. data, while the USD shows a short-term technical rebound.
Asian session liquidity remains thin — this is mainly an accumulation phase ahead of the European and U.S. sessions.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Resistance: $4118 – $4125 – $4140
• Support: $4100 – $4090 – $4078
• EMA50 (H1): Price is retesting dynamic support around $4100.
• RSI: 52 → Neutral, no clear selling pressure.
• Candlestick Structure: H1 candles are tightening, indicating a potential breakout setup.
📌 Outlook
Gold is consolidating in a narrow range.
If the price holds above $4100, the bullish trend could extend toward $4125–$4140.
However, a strong rejection at $4120–$4125 could trigger a short-term reversal.
________________________________________
💡 Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : $4100 – $4097
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4093
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $4122 – $4125
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4128
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - Effort to Breakout??? [11.10.2025]Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading at the upper boundary of its sideways H1 channel, a key decision point where market sentiment is being tested. This resistance zone has repeatedly acted as a ceiling for price during the current consolidation phase. The question now is whether this level will once again trigger a technical pullback, or if bullish momentum—supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty—will be strong enough to deliver a clean breakout and start a new impulsive leg upward. Price action today will be crucial in determining whether gold continues ranging or transitions into a breakout phase.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> BUY ZONE:
(1) ENTRY: 4040 - 4050
SL: 4030
TP: 4135 – 4150 - 4200
(2) ENTRY: 4070 - 4080 (small vol)
SL: 4065
TP: 4135 – 4150 - 4200
Risk Management:
- Stick to small-to-medium positions within the range; increase size only on confirmed breakouts.
- Keep stops tight, as sideways phases tend to trigger false signals.
- Maintain Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 and avoid overtrading in choppy conditions.
- Reassess market bias once the H1 channel is decisively broken.
Conclusion:
Gold is sitting right at the “make-or-break” zone of its sideways channel. This area will tell us whether the market plans to reject and pull back, or gather enough momentum for a powerful breakout. As always, we remain flexible: trade the range until it breaks, and prepare to shift bias immediately if a confirmed breakout occurs.
HAVE A WONDERFUL NEW WEEK GUYS!
Gold holds above 4050 — market consolidating before next moveMarket Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $4056/oz, holding firm above the $4050 psychological level after strong Asian session gains. Safe-haven demand and dovish Fed expectations continue to support sentiment, though momentum is slowing near resistance.
📊Technical Analysis
• Resistance: $4062 – $4075
• Support: $4042 – $4030
• EMA50 (H1): price stays above EMA, confirming short-term bullish bias
• Pattern: consolidation above $4050; breakout above $4062 may target $4080
• Momentum: RSI near 65, still bullish but weakening slightly
💡Outlook
Bias remains bullish, but minor pullback likely before confirmation. A drop below $4042 would limit upside momentum.
🎯Trade Idea
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $4042 – $4045
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4036
XAUUSD – Consolidation Before Drop**Gold (XAUUSD) – Consolidation Before Potential Downside Move**
Gold continues to hover in a consolidation range after the recent breakout and structural shift on the 3H chart. The bullish momentum that previously dominated has now slowed, indicating a possible distribution phase forming near the $4,050–$4,100 zone.
The market structure shows repeated rejections at the upper boundary, suggesting that buyers are losing strength. With BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations in the recent candles and a clear lack of higher highs, a potential downside continuation could unfold once the current range is broken.
If sellers take control below $3,978, the next liquidity targets lie around **$3,886** and possibly **$3,614**. This scenario aligns with the broader retracement expectation after a strong prior uptrend.
However, a confirmed breakout above the consolidation area would shift the short-term bias back to bullish, with upside potential toward **$4,248** and beyond.
**Market Outlook:** Neutral → Bearish
**Bias:** Short-term corrective move expected
**Key Levels:**
* Resistance: $4,050 – $4,100
* Support: $3,886 – $3,614
**Tags:** #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSDforecast #GoldPricePrediction #GoldTrading #GoldMarket #Commodities #TradingViewIdeas
Gold rebounds from 3974, short-term trend turns bullish1. Market Overview:
During the European session, gold dropped sharply from 3985 to 3956 but quickly rebounded after touching the key support area around 3974. The price is now fluctuating near 3980, indicating that dip buyers have re-entered the market after the short-term correction.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Short-term trend: Neutral to slightly bullish
• Resistance levels: 3988 – 3995 / 4010 – 4025
• Support levels: 3974 – 3960 / 3945 – 3930
• The price is currently trading above the EMA20 and EMA50 on the H1 timeframe, and the bullish candle bounce confirms 3974 as a short-term support.
• If the price sustains above 3975, the upward move could extend toward 3995 – 4010.
3. Outlook:
Gold is currently sideways in accumulation mode between 3950–3990. Buyers are regaining control, but a clear breakout above 3988 is needed to confirm further upside momentum.
4. Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 3975–3978
🎯 TP: 3990 / 4005 / 4020
🛑 SL: 3960
🟢 Strategy: Buy continuation as long as price holds above 3975
________________________________________
🔻 SELL XAU/USD (only if price fails to break 3988–3995)
Entry: 3988–3995
🎯 TP: 3970 / 3956 / 3935
🛑 SL: 4005
Chart Analysis (XAUUSD, 4H), Smart Volume–Structure Matrix Smart Volume–Structure Matrix | Smart Money Flow & Dynamic Blocks
This chart combines four complementary analytical modules, each providing a unique perspective on market structure and smart money flow:
- Smart Money Support/Resistance: Identifies buy/sell volume-based zones of accumulation or distribution.
- ATAI Volume (Breakout/Phase/OB-OS): Detects directional volume pressure, market phases (Accumulation/Distribution), and overbought/oversold extremes.
- Smart Money Dynamics Blocks (Pearson Matrix & P25 HL2): Measures price correlation and regression-style parallel bands.
- Volume Pressure (Wings & Angles): Calculates normalized momentum angles using ATR to assess directional bias.
Together, they form a multidimensional framework for detecting smart money flow, trend shifts, and potential reversals.
Chart Analysis (XAUUSD, 4H)
Price is trading within a compressed descending channel between red dynamic resistance lines and the lower P25 HL2 band. It is currently consolidating near the Smart Money support zone around 3995–4015. The 4221–4266 range marks the key resistance where a breakout could confirm a mid-term trend reversal.
Volume analysis shows a cumulative delta trough forming at the lower boundary — a sign of seller exhaustion. The ATAI module shows improving buyer ratio and declining sell pressure, suggesting an early phase of re-accumulation. Pearson Blocks indicate an R+ alignment near support, confirming correlation with recent bullish microstructure.
Main Bias: Bullish Reversal.
- Trigger 1: 4H close above the blue pivot line (mid-range) and breakout from the descending wedge.
- Trigger 2: Positive delta confirmation and buyer ratio ≥ 55% on LTF.
- Targets: 4060–4080 → 4140 → 4210–4260 (structural resistance target).
- Invalidation: 4H close below 3995 (breakdown under lower HL2 band).
Alternative Scenario: Short-term continuation of bearish pressure if breakout fails and new delta low forms. In that case, pullbacks toward the blue pivot will act as short-selling opportunities down to the lower band.
Risk Management: Place stops below the last swing/HL2 band with ATR buffer. Scale out at each target and move stops to breakeven after the first objective.
Summary: Confluence of Smart Money Support, Delta trough, R+ Pearson, and HL2 band contact creates a high-probability reversal setup with favorable risk-to-reward. Confirmation requires breakout and positive delta shift. Structural target remains 4210–4260.
GOLD HOLDS GAINS NEAR 3975, EYES 3995–4010 RESISTANCE📊 Market Overview:
Gold continues its rebound from $3930, trading near $3975 amid softer USD and lower Treasury yields.
Traders await JOLTS data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks for potential volatility later in the U.S. session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Short-term trend: corrective rebound within a medium-term downtrend.
• EMA20 (H1): 3962 | EMA50: 3955 — price holding above, confirming short-term bullish bias.
• RSI (H1): 56, showing recovering momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3985–3995 | 4010–4024
• Support: 3960–3950 | 3930–3922
A candle close above $3995 would confirm breakout potential toward $4010–4024,
while a drop below $3950 reopens the path to $3930.
💡 Trading Plan :
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 3960–3957
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3953
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 3998–4001
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 4004
Gold may reverse up if support ~3,950–3,970 USD/oz holds📊 Market Overview:
Gold is trading around ~3,980 USD/oz in the Asian session after declining from ~4,020 and dipping near ~3,975. On the H4 timeframe the selling pressure remains as no strong bottom has yet been confirmed around the support zone. Meanwhile, economic data and USD/crude oil swings continue to exert pressure.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key support: ~3,950–3,970 USD/oz (previous bounce zone).
• Immediate resistance: ~4,020–4,040 USD/oz.
• The EMA 50 is around ~3,990-4,000, acting as interim resistance.
• If price closes H4 below ~3,950 → likely target ~3,900. If it holds above ~3,970 and rallies, target ~4,040.
• Recent H4 candles show a potential hammer/pin-bar at the support zone, but we need confirmation via a strong H4 close.
📌 Outlook:
The medium-term bias remains neutral to slightly bearish until support ~3,950-3,970 holds and price closes above ~4,000 on H4. If the support breaks, deeper declines are probable. If support holds and we see volume/momentum pick up in EU/US session, a recovery may kick in.
💡 Suggested Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 3,972 – 3,969
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 PIPS
❌ SL: 3,966
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 4019 – 4022
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 PIPS
❌ SL: 4025
Gold holds above $4000 — waiting for breakout confirmation🟠 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $4012, moving in a narrow range between $4000 – $4020.
Buying pressure remains firm near the psychological support at $4000, while sellers are defending the $4025–$4030 resistance zone.
The market is in a neutral consolidation phase, waiting for direction before the U.S. session tonight.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Near-term support: $4000 – $4003
• Near-term resistance: $4025 – $4028
• EMA50 (H1): currently around $4008 — acting as dynamic support.
• RSI (H1): near 48 — neutral, suitable for two-way scalping setups.
🔎 Outlook
Gold is “compressing” around $4010.
Main scenario: if the price holds above $4000 and confirms a bullish H1 candle, the upward trend could resume toward $4035–$4050.
Conversely, if the price closes below $3998, a pullback to $3985 becomes likely.
→ Prefer BUY setups on support reactions, and SELL setups only on strong rejection near resistance.
🎯 TRADE STRATEGY
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : $3987 – $3984
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3980
________________________________________
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $4026 – $4029
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4033
GOLD: Bullish! Continue To Buy! The +FVG Is Holding!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 3 - 7th.
Gold has completed the pullback into the Weekly +FVG. It has moved sideways since, but inching higher.
Buys are valid. They have the highest probability.
Sells become valid only after a bearish break of market structure!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold Under Pressure as USD Recovers📊 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $4006/oz, extending its pullback as the U.S. dollar strengthens and Treasury yields rebound.
Traders are cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. PMI and PCE data, which could shape expectations for the Fed’s next rate move.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $4030 – $4050
• Nearest support: $3990 – $3975
• EMA09 (H1): Price remains below EMA09, confirming short-term bearish bias
• Candle/volume/momentum: Consecutive bearish candles with long upper wicks indicate strong selling pressure; RSI near 40 shows more downside potential.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may extend its short-term decline if USD strength persists and yields stay elevated.
However, $3990 – $3975 remains a potential rebound zone if a bullish rejection candle appears.
💡 Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $4047 – $4050
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $4053
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3975 – $3977
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3972
Gold surges strongly after Fed decision – eyes on 4000+ breakout1. Market Movements
After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25% and signaled a potential end to quantitative tightening (QT), gold extended its strong upward momentum.
Institutional and ETF buying continues to drive prices higher, with gold now testing the key psychological level at $4000/oz.
2. Technical Analysis
• Near-term Support: $3960 – $3970
• Deeper Support: $3935 – $3940 (pre-Fed accumulation zone & H4 EMA50)
• Immediate Resistance: $3988 – $4000
• Extended Resistance: $4025 – $4040 (mid-October technical high)
• Momentum: Both EMA20 and EMA50 on H1 and H4 are sloping upward, confirming strong bullish momentum. RSI remains elevated (70–75), signaling overbought but still strong trend conditions.
• Volume: Continues to rise steadily, showing sustained institutional inflows. However, short-term correction risks remain near $4000 due to overextension.
3. Outlook
The overall trend remains bullish, but caution is advised as gold approaches the $4000–$4040 resistance zone — a potential area of strong profit-taking.
If gold fails to break above $4040 decisively, a short-term pullback toward $3970 or $3940 is likely.
4. Suggested Trading Plan
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3925 – $3928
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3922
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $4037 – $4040
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4043
Gold Declines as Sellers Dominate the MarketGold is undergoing a controlled correction phase after an extended period of sustained gains. Market behavior over recent sessions reflects a shift from expansion to contraction as liquidity flow decreases and momentum weakens across key time horizons.
The previous upward cycle attracted substantial speculative interest, but current market dynamics suggest profit-taking by institutional participants and reduced accumulation from large holders. The recent structural shift confirms that sentiment has turned defensive, aligning with global market caution amid evolving economic conditions.
Despite short-term consolidation, the broader setup indicates that gold remains sensitive to global financial stability concerns and policy signals. Market participants are now waiting for clarity on upcoming economic data and interest rate outlooks, which could determine whether the correction deepens or transitions into a new accumulation phase.
In the near term, volatility is expected to remain elevated as investors reassess exposure levels. The prevailing outlook maintains a cautious bias, with traders closely observing how price reacts to continued shifts in liquidity and macro sentiment. Sustained capital outflow from hedge assets could pressure gold further, while renewed demand for safety could limit downside potential in the medium term.
GOLD: Bullish, But Retracing! Short Term Sell Opportunity!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Oct. 27 - 31st.
Gold is still bullish, the current pullback it's in notwithstanding. Waiting patiently for valid buy setups is the sure way to go.
That being said, there is sell setup that could present an short-term opportunity. The Daily -FVG is currently holding price in check. Should price return to it and it continues to hold, a valid sell opportunity could present itself.
Be careful, as it is counter-trend. They can be lower-probability.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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