Relative analysis of Bitcoin vs. Gold and Total CryptoOn the BINANCE:BTCUSDT / TVC:GOLD ratio chart, price attempted to re-enter the primary channel after the initial breakout, aiming to push back toward the channel’s upper boundary. However, despite (105) days of upward attempts, the ratio consistently struggled with the dynamic resistance area.
After the breakdown, price extended toward the lower boundary of the extended channel, where it showed a strong and precise reaction.
From here, the structure suggests a potential bullish corrective move toward the resistance zone, supported by:
bullish divergence between price and MACD,
clear weekly rejection candles,
and price interaction at the channel’s lower boundary.
This scenario is further reinforced by the Crypto Market Cap (excluding Bitcoin) CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 vs. Gold TVC:GOLD ratio. This chart has also reached the bottom of its (180-week) channel, formed a weekly bullish divergence, and has now returned back inside the channel.
As shown on the chart, the TOTAL crypto channel exhibits cleaner and more consistent reactions compared to the Bitcoin channel.
If our key level is broken, the bullish scenario becomes invalid, and price is likely to move toward the support zones. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
TVC:GOLD
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
Goldoz
Gold - Pattern that Pays
Gold - Pattern that Pays
The chart really speaks for itself.
◻️ The 100 DSMA (blue line) has been a great level for buying / bouncing of price.
◻️ Price falls during corrections to the 100 DSMA.
◻️ Pennants show price compression until price revisits 100 DSMA & then price continue upwards.
◻️ Its important to understand that at some stage in the future, the pennant will fail, price will fall out of the bottom of the pennant, which is where your stop should be placed. This is a real possibility after such a big gold run.
◻️ Breakouts from the upper part of the pennant (orange circles) are another great place to double down on a position, and appears to be a good confirmation of continued upside.
Keep the "cost of mistakes low" with your SL.
My stop loss will be 10% under the 10 DSMA line. I do not automate this because stop loss hunting by exchanges is rife this past several years. So I will manually bow out at approx. 10% price drop from entry, unless I believe it is a stop/liquidation sweep. Given my positions are a small 2 - 3% of my portfolio I am fine having high conviction and willing to lose 10% on these high conviction plays.
Furthermore, it is highly likely gold is on a multi year secular bull market, however, it is probable that we are entering a period where Gold stalls for a few years, so... this is an opportunity to stack and hold Gold for that 2 - 3 year timeframe.
The above chart is to trade on weekly and monthly timeframe, however there is an argument to build a long term stack, in the event a 2 - 3 year correction / sideways move materializes. Gold could be a good place to stack profits from other trades over a 12 - 36 month timeframe, for those of you that are seeking to park profits into some long term safety that gains....for those of you patient enough to execute that
Stay Patient and keep you mistakes cheap
P
Gold’s $3,900 Base May Trigger Rally to Bullish TargetsFrom both a near-term and medium-term horizon, gold appears to have established a clear reversal base around the $3,900 level, indicating that the downside momentum has likely been exhausted and that the market is preparing to advance toward its bullish target levels.
XAUUSD: The return of CPI and PPI newsAfter a series of absences from news, in today's trading session two CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) will be announced. Therefore, OANDA:XAUUSD can be very volatile and we should be cautious in the last trading session of the week.
The CPI is forecast to be favorable for the dollar and the PPI is forecast to be slightly lower than the previous period , but we still need clearer confirmation to assess the trend of gold in the near future.
Some key levels that we need to pay attention to in today's trading session:
Resistance: , ,
Support:
Support:
Strong support:
Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply.
Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones.
Take profit when the price moves from 10 to 20 prices since entering the order at the support and resistance areas.
Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones.
Always set stop loss when trading and manage risks closely.
Note : Price may spike through support or resistance levels and then reverse. Therefore, it is crucial to patiently wait for the candle to close before entering a trade.
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
XAUUSD: Has gold made a peak?OANDA:XAUUSD had a strong correction day at the end of last week with strong selling pressure, the rhythm of recovery does not make too much sense when the price is still sideways in the range of 4220 – 4270.
In previous corrections, we have seen that the price has always recovered strongly immediately, however in the current situation, the price has not made any attempt to rise again => Reinforce the fact that the price has made a peak and started a short-term correction.
In the Options market, there has been a large number of Longput contracts and Longcall contracts are gradually being withdrawn from the market , so I think the price will not be able to rise in today's trading session.
Some key levels are important in today's trading session:
Resistance: ,
Strong support:
Daily balance:
Daily balance is the temporary equilibrium level of the market in today's trading session, if the price breaks this balance, the price will look for lower value areas.
Always be patient and wait for the price to reach the support and resistance zones above and get confirmation. Do not place limit orders or enter orders when the price is increasing or decreasing sharply.
Take advantage of the above support and resistance zones and trade short-term when the price reacts at these support and resistance zones and take profit when price moves 10 to 20 prices from support and resistance zones.
Wait for reactions such as Engulfing candles, Doji,... at the support and resistance zones.
Always set stop losses when trading and manage risks closely.
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
XAUUSD: Scalp trading plan for today's trading sessionOANDA:XAUUSD unexpectedly had a sharp pullback after reaching the 4179 high, this is not surprising because such sharp corrections often occur during the recent uptrend.
Right now we will look for strong support zones to seek rebound buy setups while the market is highly volatile.
According to my monitoring of the CME Options market, today we will have the following potential support zone:
The Margin Zone at contains heavy liquidity (calculated based on the Options market).
Margin zone resistance:
Strong support:
The strong support at overlaps the Margin Zone. Therefore, this may be where price heads and bounces.
Sell scalp at resistance:
Resistance:
Victor Dan @ ZuperView
XAUUSD: Seeking new highsOANDA:XAUUSD has rebounded sharply back to the prior highs after a correction from 3871 to 3795. With no clear loss of upside momentum, this looks like a classic shakeout before another push higher. For today’s session, the plan is to keep looking for longs , with a primary objective at 3915.
You can read my previous analysis here:
Price is currently meeting resistance at with notable selling pressure, a dip into support may precede the next leg up.
The 3915 area is a logical upside magnet, where CME participants reportedly hold sizeable long-call exposure—a level price may aim to tag.
Key resistance: .
Key support: , .
Trading Plan
Buy setup: Look for Quantum Vol-Delta confirmation of buying pressure on lower timeframes (5m) as price pulls back into .
Contingency: Watch 3836 (POC session/daily liquidity) . Price may sweep this level and rebound.
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Victor Dan @ ZuperView
XAUUSD: The last bull run?FXOPEN:XAUUSD keeps grinding higher, but the structure suggests this may be the last impulse of the current move. I expect price to complete the advance into the large liquidity pocket at before a sharper correction, as upside momentum has started to fade.
You can read my previous analysis here:
CME flow shows heavy long-call positioning around 3867. A failure back below 3867 would likely open a deeper pullback.
That said, there is still a Margin Zone/liquidity pool at actively traded by CME participants, so price may push through 3867 toward before reversing.
Watch 3828 (prior session POC) — price can react and bounce from 3828 without visiting the deeper supports.
Key support: ,
Margin Zone:
Trading Plan
Sell: Look for strong sell signals from Quantum Vol-Delta on the M5/M1 timeframes inside .
Buy: If price pulls back into the key supports, wait for Quantum Vol-Delta to confirm buyers returning → Enter on the candle close.
Risk management:
Stop loss: below/above the most recent 5m timeframe swing low/high or beyond the respective support/resistance zone.
Move to break-even at +1R (R:R = 1:1).
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My short followers cheer for the victoryThis is the trading idea I provided in my previous article. Clearly, the gold price movement has been in line with my expectations and has started to decline, earning us a considerable amount of profit from this short-term trade. www.tradingview.com Seven hours ago, I once again suggested opening a short position at 3695. The market has now dropped to around 3680, and we have once again reaped a good amount of profit.
During this round of strong and rapid rise in gold prices, there are traders who have made considerable profits by following the trend, while there are also many who have held short positions against the trend. I believe the latter situation is quite common. Some have already given up halfway, while others are still struggling. So, no matter which situation you are in now, you can follow me and share your entry point in the comment section. I will analyze and reply to each one, helping you turn losses into profits. Welcome to join my free camp.
TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
Gold continues to fluctuate before the US interest rate decisionGold, after last Friday's continuation of the previous day's bottoming out and rebound, continued to fall into a range-bound oscillation mode, and after opening today, it continued to retreat to around 3626 before rising. Although there is no breakthrough between the bulls and bears at present, it is still in a tug-of-war, and the support below will also be maintained near the low point of 3626. This position is also the first watershed related to whether gold can continue to fall in the later period. The key pressure above is maintained near the previous secondary high point of 3655. This position is also the key suppression point for the recent retracement after multiple touches. It is also the shoulder position of the head and shoulders top, which also plays a role. It plays a connecting role, and once this position continues to suppress, gold may be under pressure again in the later period. If it does not break through again this week, gold may retreat again next week to test the support level of 3610. Although the daily line is still in a high sideways trend, the upward momentum has also declined significantly. If it bottoms out and rebounds, it needs a secondary definition of the European session, which is also an advance forecast of the US session. If gold rebounds to 3645-3655 during the day, short it and target around 3630-20. The strength of the European session may also determine the direction of the US session.
The decline is just an adjustment, gold still has new highsAccording to the strategy, we first arranged long orders near 3620, and the market rose smoothly to around 3650; then it fluctuated and consolidated, and according to the strength of the decline, we were prompted to go long again near 3640, and finally made a profit again near 3655, achieving two consecutive wins with open long orders, and reaping considerable profits overall. Congratulations to friends who have been paying attention. Many traders who blindly followed the trend and shorted in the market today are wailing, but we have always insisted on remaining unchanged in the face of change. After confirming the strong rhythm, we have made decisive and continuous attacks, steadily reaping profits, and the winning streak is still continuing.
Gold is fluctuating upward above the 3640 level. It is currently fluctuating around the 3650 level. The market's expectations for interest rate cuts have not cooled down. The market may continue to fluctuate at a high level in the later period. Although gold rebounded on Wednesday, it did not reach a new high. The main structure is still operating within the expected range. However, after the market has stood above 3650, it brings uncertainty to the trend. Therefore, gold is still treated with the idea of going long on pullbacks. Going long on pullbacks is still the general trend. In terms of operation, I believe that we will continue to go long as the pullback does not break.
From the 4-hour cycle, the bullish structure of gold remains stable. The short-term support below is around 3635-3625. The bullish strong dividing line has moved up to 3615. If this position is not broken, the pullback will rely on this area and continue to be bullish. At the daily level, as long as it stabilizes above 3615, the overall main tone of pulling back to low and long and following the trend will remain unchanged. In terms of operation, we should be patient and wait for the support to be confirmed. Low and long is still the general direction. As for the specific operation strategy of the counter-trend short position, I will remind you again at the key position, and everyone can pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3640-3630, with the target at 3655-3660. Continue to hold if it breaks through.
GOLD Every Rise Has Its Sunset- From 2000 to today, gold has surged by an impressive 1000%, a remarkable performance for the world's leading asset.
- Keep in mind, every ascent is bound to face a descent someday.
- I’ll skip the deep dive into politics and fundamentals, but the picture is clear: with Trump winning the election, peace could make a comeback. Gold typically rises when fears of war spike, but as those fears ease, its value tends to drop.
- As always, the chart tells the story. Take a look at the Fibonacci levels— a prime buying opportunity is likely to emerge in the $1200 to $800 range.
- i will post in comments my older Gold Analysis.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does.
From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
With bulls and bears in a stalemate, where will gold go?Gold fell under pressure around 3384 in the early trading on Thursday, and then rebounded after falling to 3361. The highest in the European session reached around 3403, and then fell back due to resistance. The US session accelerated its decline, reaching a minimum of 3339, and then rebounded in the late trading, closing in the negative on the daily line. The daily trend continued to fluctuate in a positive and negative cycle. On Thursday, it rose and fell, closed in the negative and fell below the 5-day moving average.
Today, we will focus on the resistance position of 3405. Whether it can break through will determine the strength of the bulls in the future market. The risk of continuous negative daily lines cannot be ruled out. The support below is the key points of 3330 and 3300. The 4-hour fluctuation range is locked at 3385-3335. The fluctuation space in the Asian and European sessions is limited. It is recommended to sell high and buy low. For stable trading, it is recommended to go long in the 3340-3350 area. The overall bullish trend has not changed, and the impact of non-agricultural data is limited. It is expected that gold will most likely rise and fall. Remember not to chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for opportunities.
Steady trading, precise attack!
If the direction is unclear, don’t panic, respond flexibly!Gold has been showing a daily yin-yang alternating pattern since last Wednesday, but the overall rising rhythm has not been broken. The MA5-day moving average and the MA10-day moving average formed a golden cross and continued to extend upward. The arrangement of this moving average system provides a certain support momentum for the gold price. During the day, we need to focus on the support effect of the moving average. The current 5-day moving average is near 3340, and the 10-day moving average is near 3325. These two positions constitute an important support area for the short-term gold price correction. In terms of upper resistance, first pay attention to yesterday's high of 3392. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it means that the upward momentum is strong, and it is expected to continue to be strong to 3400-3420, further opening up the upward space.
From the 4-hour chart, as long as the short-term gold market is above 3330, then gold is still in a strong bullish trend. On the contrary, if it falls below the closing line near 3330, then it is a broken trend line, and the subsequent market is likely to form a weak shock pattern again, so the current operation is actually very simple. As long as the 3330 position is not broken, you can rely on 3330 to enter the market and do more. Focus on the support near yesterday's low of 3333 below, and focus on the resistance near 3375-3380 above.
Gold operation suggestions: It is recommended to short gold near 3365-3375, with a target of 3350. Go long gold when it falls back to 3335-3345, with a target of 3360-3370.
Golden Jedi counterattack! Key support ignites the bull engine📌 Gold Technical Analysis & Operation Strategy Update
Gold bottomed out and rebounded as expected, and the trend basically met recent expectations - oscillating upward around the support range below.
💡 Key Point Review
Today, gold opened at around 3300, with a minimum of 3291, and then rebounded, reaching a maximum of 3325. The overall trend still fluctuates within the range, with strong support below and obvious suppression above, and the overall performance is a narrow range of fluctuations.
📉 4-hour chart analysis
Support focus: 3285-3295 area
Pressure focus: 3330-3340 area
Short-term long-short watershed: 3275-3283 line
🔎 Before effectively falling below the watershed, it is still mainly seen as range fluctuations, and the high-altitude low-multiple strategy continues to be implemented.
📈 Operation strategy suggestions
1️⃣ Try to go long with a light position if the price falls back to 3295-3300
2️⃣ If the price falls back to 3280-3285, you can add to your position appropriately
🎯 Target focus: 3316-3320, and look to 3330-3340 after breaking through
⚠️ Risk control suggestions: strictly set stop loss, control position, and prevent the risk of range breakout.
Short term is still dominated by short positions!Although the easing of trade tensions in the short term has led to a correction in gold prices, the three core factors supporting the strength of gold still exist: expectations of loose global monetary policy, rising geopolitical risks, and the long-term weakening trend of the US dollar. In particular, the market expectation that the Federal Reserve may maintain loose monetary policy will continue to provide momentum for gold to rise.
From the daily chart, the price of gold has shown a clear upward trend since this year. Although there have been several corrections in the middle, the bulls still control the medium and long-term market. After the previous rise in the H4 cycle, it is not so strong now. Instead, it is a volatile trend. The Bollinger band is closed, and the trend strength still needs market stimulation to rise again.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn, so the rising strength of gold bulls has been suppressed. The high point of the 1-hour rebound of gold has been getting lower and lower, and the low point has also begun to fall. The 1-hour gold has begun to fluctuate downward. The downward trend of the gold rebound is suppressed near 3340. Gold rebounds near 3340 and can still be shorted.
Flexible response is the best strategyGold rose sharply in the morning and continued to rise slowly during the day. Because of the divergence of indicators in the short cycle, it is difficult to exert further force. Today's market has been fluctuating between 3285 and 3320. In the evening, we will first look at the space for decline and repair, and then fall back to accumulate strength to stabilize and attack. The lower support will remain at 3285-3280, and then look at the low point of 3274. The upper resistance level will look at the existing high point of 3320. If it breaks through 3320, then pay attention to around 3345. Short positions will be entered when the pressure situation is met. Continue to remain bullish in the evening. In terms of operation, wait for a decline and gradually look up to 3320 and 3345.
Gold operation suggestions: go long on gold around 3290-3285, and look at 3315 and 3325.
How to plan a gold short selling strategyOn Monday, as China and the United States reached an agreement to reduce tariffs, market concerns about a U.S. recession eased, and the U.S. dollar index once approached 102, and finally closed up 1.37% at 101.80. U.S. bond yields both rose, and the interest rate market cut the Fed's pricing for rate cuts this year, boosting demand for the U.S. dollar. However, although the U.S. dollar is bullish in the short term, it faces key resistance, and the U.S. CPI data is coming. If inflation is lower than expected, bulls may take a break.
Today's market rose slightly first, then fell strongly to 3216, and then rose strongly to 3260 in the Asian session before being under pressure. The market is currently in the repair stage, and CPI data is attracting much attention. If the European session does not continue to rise but falls, the bulls may end at 3270. Technically, the upper resistance is 3268-3274, and the lower support is 3244-3237. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and to pull back and long as the auxiliary.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to short near the rebound 3268-3274, with a target of 15-20 points.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back near 3244-3237 and long, with a target of 10-15 points.
Focus on shorting opportunities near 3250 in the US market
📌 Gold drivers
After two days of trade talks in Switzerland, the United States and China announced "substantial progress", marking a possible turning point in efforts to ease tensions between the world's two largest economies. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng called the talks an "important first step" toward stabilizing bilateral trade, and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant expressed the same view, noting that the talks had made meaningful progress. The United States is expected to release more details on the results of the negotiations on Monday.
As the United States and China announced an agreement to cut reciprocal tariffs, the dollar strengthened, weakening the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. Spot gold fell 3% on Monday to a low of more than a week, hitting a low of $3,208 during the day, the lowest level since May 1, and the day's decline had reached $100. At the same time, the U.S. dollar index rose by more than 1%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold still has room to go down, and the strength of gold bears is still there. Gold rebounded twice in the US market and fell back under pressure near 3250.
💰Strategy Package
At present, the US market still has a demand for a pullback, and the long position near 3220 can now be closed for profit. For the US market, we should first look at the area around 3250. After the pullback is in place, continue to play short orders to look at the target position of 3200. If it breaks upward, find a new point layout. This week's data market and news will have a further impact on gold. For real-time layout of accurate trading signals, please follow the free channel.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold short-term profit is more fun
🌐 Driving factors
Geopolitical situation: US President Trump's special envoy Witkov held a three-hour meeting with Russian President Putin in Moscow last Friday to discuss the US plan to end the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin said that the positions of the two sides have become closer.
India accused Pakistan of sheltering terrorist organizations, and Pakistan denied it and accused India of instigating separatist activities in Pakistan (such as Balochistan). The situation is difficult to control.
Latest news: Russian President Putin announced on the 28th that a ceasefire will be implemented from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11.
Market bullish sentiment cools down
📊 Commentary analysis
According to the trend of gold in the Asian and European sessions, the trading signals derived from technical analysis have helped many people achieve short-term victories.
🔷 Technical side: For the current gold, the 1-hour chart card fluctuates widely between 3330-3292, and is currently around $3324.
✔Operational suggestions, short-term trading:
US gold operation strategy:
Short strategy: If gold falls back to the range of 3330-3350, you can enter the market to short, target 3270, stop loss 3355
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly change tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3350, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the fluctuation range is expected to be between $3260 and $3350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust strategies flexibly.
GOLD - ( Long Term ) 📉 Gold Price Analysis: Bearish Trend in Play! 📉
After analyzing the current market trends, I anticipate a drop in gold prices, potentially reaching 2785 or 2697, depending on the zone where the price will make its return. I'll keep you updated and notify when the bearish momentum begins. The downtrend is expected to last from today until May 25th, 2025.
Stay tuned for updates and don't miss any key changes!
News affecting gold pricesNews:
Russia's nighttime attack damaged port infrastructure in the Odessa region of Ukraine.
Russian troops occupied Zelenpo and Dachne in eastern Ukraine.
In the past day, the Russian army lost about 1,200 soldiers, as well as 17 tanks, 16 armored personnel carriers and 81 artillery systems and other equipment.
Geopolitics is continuing to heat up, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise next week.
Viewpoint
The market is in a volatile range.
It is expected to show an upward trend in the next trading cycle.
Keep an eye on the subsequent sharing of views






















