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XAUUSD: Could 3790 Be the Top?After the 3740 → 3790 rally, upside momentum has weakened . Therefore, 3790 is likely a temporary top , and a short-term pullback may begin from here. However, we cannot rule out a retest of the top area or even a marginal higher high today before a sharper correction develops. 📉 Analysis • After the push to 3,790 , price rotated within 3,778–3,788 and then broke the lower bound (3,778) on high volume . This supports the view that a swing high formed at 3,790 . However, price is currently drifting higher on lighter volume , so a retest of the top or even a marginal higher high before the pullback remains possible. • Resistance zones: 3,784.5–3,787, 3,794–3,796 . • Key support zones: 3,746–3,744, 3,723–3,718. 📊 Trading Plan • Wait for reversal signals with heavy volume at the marked support/resistance zones. • Highest-probability trigger: an 5m engulfing candle with high volume when price taps these levels. Example: As in ENTRY 1 , if an 5m engulfing candle prints with high volume (as indicated by Superior Volume ) at a marked support/resistance zone, entry on the candle close . • Entry on the signal and place the stop just above the signal candle (or above the resistance zone ). Move to break-even at +1R .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ZuperView
How to accurately grasp gold trading opportunities?The market keeps falling, but we have no worries about taking profits. 3720 is the key short-term support level. Once it is effectively broken, gold is expected to accelerate its downward trend. For two consecutive days, we publicly suggested to arrange short orders near 3780 and 3760. Now the market has fallen sharply to the 3725 line, and we have achieved steady profits again. For two consecutive days, we accurately arranged short orders at the intraday high and steadily realized profits. At present, gold is no longer in a unilateral upward trend, and the technical side has entered a repair stage. The operation idea is mainly to follow the trend, and the focus is on grasping the rhythm of bulls and bears. The most frequently asked questions recently are whether a big drop has begun and whether gold has peaked. From a structural point of view, although the daily line has been under pressure continuously, it closed in the negative yesterday and even formed a tombstone K-line pattern on the previous trading day, indicating that the short-term has encountered obvious suppression, but this cannot directly determine that the major trend has peaked. The weekly line is still dominated by bulls, and the short-term repair market has not destroyed the overall upward trend. In terms of operation strategy, we still insist on shorting on rebound and long on pullback as a supplement. The lower support of the 4-hour chart focuses on the 3715-3700 area, and the upper pressure focuses on the 3760-3770 range. It is not advisable to blindly chase orders at the middle oscillation position. It is recommended to watch more and do less, and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before entering the market to seize the high winning rate opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
Trump's tariff news stimulates gold to explode! 📌 Driving Events Gold prices rose for the third consecutive day and are expected to close higher this week. The trend turned in favor of gold buyers as tariff tensions intensified. US President Trump announced new tariffs, exacerbating concerns about a trade war. 📊Personal Comments: Signs of instability in Trump's trade policy have once again hit investor confidence, reviving safe-haven demand for gold. In the absence of any top US economic data, the market will continue to focus on trade headlines. Weekend fund flows may also drive gold price movements. ⭐️Set Gold Price: 🔥Sell Gold Area: 3360-3369 SL 3374 TP1: $3355 TP2: $3342 TP3: $3325 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
XAUUSD – Key Inflection Zone Before Core PCE Price Index m/mGold opened today with a bearish gap, once again struggling to stay above the 3327–3305 support zone, the same range where it hovered yesterday. While the price did form a higher low and higher high structure on the lower timeframes, this move still lacks the strength to signal a proper reversal—rather, it looks more like a minor consolidation ahead of tonight’s US GDP and Unemployment Claims release. At this point, gold is trapped between two key forces: A resilient resistance zone formed by the downtrendline, unfilled gap from earlier this week, and confluence of MA50 & MA200 A rising minor support trendline, creating a tightening range and indicating that the next breakout may provide a clearer direction. ⚠️ Technical Outlook As long as gold remains below 3366–3367, the prevailing downtrend structure remains valid. Any rally into that zone should be viewed cautiously, especially if accompanied by weak volume or rejection candles. However, if gold manages to break and close H4 above 3367, it could trigger a short-term correction toward 3396 or even higher, aiming to fill the previous gap. But so far, the momentum remains bearish, and lower highs continue to dominate the mid-term structure. 🔽 Trade Idea (Cautious Swing Trade) Due to the wide stop-loss required, we recommend using reduced position size to maintain proper risk management. 🔵 Sell Area: 3358 – 3367 ❌ Stop Loss: 3396 (above the trendline and prior key high) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3331 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3306 🎯 Take Profit 3: 3289 🧠 Risk Level: Moderate to High (Lot size should be adjusted) R3: 3379 R2: 3366 R1: 3350 Pivot: 3327 S1: 3305 S2: 3286 S3: 3256
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
Gold may usher in new opportunities Key fundamental drivers - Middle East tensions and nuclear negotiations Despite the ongoing tensions, Iran's signal of restarting nuclear talks has reduced risk aversion, triggering an intraday sell-off in gold, and the market has digested the reduced possibility of escalation of the conflict. The turbulent situation in the Middle East remains a trigger for market volatility, and any downgrade/escalation signals may trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices. - Fed policy and rate cut bets The Fed kept interest rates unchanged this week, but Powell's "data-dependent" stance has raised market expectations for a September rate cut to 60%. A dovish meeting statement could push gold prices above $3,400, while a delayed rate cut signal could drag gold prices to $3,350. Short-term outlook In the short term, gold prices may fluctuate between $3,350 and $3,450, and a breakthrough depends on: - Upside catalyst: Escalating tensions in the Middle East + weak retail sales data may push gold prices to $3,450. - Downside risks: Fed hawkish signals + fading geopolitical risks could push prices to $3,300. Key event risks - June 19: Fed policy meeting (expected to be dovish) - June 21: US CPI data (inflation indicator to measure the timing of rate cuts) - Middle East situation: progress in nuclear negotiations and conflict dynamics 💰Strategy Package Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3390-33396 SL 3400 TP1: 3380 US dollars TP2: 3375 US dollars 🔥Buy gold area: $3374-$3366 SL $3360 TP1: 3390 US dollars TP2: 3400 US dollars
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
With bulls and bears in a stalemate, where will gold go?Gold fell under pressure around 3384 in the early trading on Thursday, and then rebounded after falling to 3361. The highest in the European session reached around 3403, and then fell back due to resistance. The US session accelerated its decline, reaching a minimum of 3339, and then rebounded in the late trading, closing in the negative on the daily line. The daily trend continued to fluctuate in a positive and negative cycle. On Thursday, it rose and fell, closed in the negative and fell below the 5-day moving average. Today, we will focus on the resistance position of 3405. Whether it can break through will determine the strength of the bulls in the future market. The risk of continuous negative daily lines cannot be ruled out. The support below is the key points of 3330 and 3300. The 4-hour fluctuation range is locked at 3385-3335. The fluctuation space in the Asian and European sessions is limited. It is recommended to sell high and buy low. For stable trading, it is recommended to go long in the 3340-3350 area. The overall bullish trend has not changed, and the impact of non-agricultural data is limited. It is expected that gold will most likely rise and fall. Remember not to chase the rise and sell the fall, and wait patiently for opportunities. Steady trading, precise attack!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
2
Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated?Overview: Gold has shown renewed bullish momentum, recently testing the 3360+ zone. While the rally appears impulsive, system-based structure mapping suggests it may still be part of a broader setup — not the true breakout. We're observing a possible ABCDE triangle structure, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this scenario holds, the market could revisit levels below 3044, possibly toward 2950–3000, before completing Wave-E and resuming the larger bullish move. This aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where current highs serve to attract buyers before a deeper liquidity move unfolds. ❗ If the 3-Drive pattern is invalidated and price sustains above 3366, the downside leg may already be complete — meaning Wave-E might be in progress. 🔍 Market Intention Signs of liquidity hunting above 3360 hint at unfinished business by Smart Money (SM) - drawing in late buyers. Market may be positioning to sweep lows before revealing its actual direction. 🎯 Action Zone Anticipate rejection or weakness in the 3360–3370 resistance zone. If a lower high confirms here → potential downside toward the 3040–2950 zone. If price breaks and holds above 3366 impulsively, it may signal early Wave-E continuation. Bullish setups become favorable below 3044, where liquidity is likely absorbed — confirmation from the system remains key before acting. 📌 System-Based Order Limits (4H–Daily Confluence) Bias >Entry Zone >Stop Loss (SL) >Take Profit (TP) Sell Setup >3354.33 >3364.14 >3342.15 Buy Setup >3345.86 >3336.05 >3358.04 📌 System-Based Order Limits (Daily–Weekly–Monthly Confluence) Levels derived based on structured order-flow logic. Not financial advice. Use them as context for anticipation and invalidation. 🔹 Daily Order Limits Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP) Buy 3350.95 3281.20 3399.82 Sell 3302.39 3372.14 3253.52 🔸 Weekly Order Limits Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP) Buy 3335.02 3192.49 3434.89 Sell 3235.80 3378.33 3135.93 🔻 Monthly Order Limits Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP) Buy 3374.47 3097.33 3568.65 Sell 3181.54 3458.68 2987.36 🔁 How to Use This Information Anticipation Zones: These are not "trade calls" — rather, they’re zones of interest where Smart Money might act. Cross-Validation : Look for price reactions around these levels aligned with structure, volume, and bias thresholds. Invalidation Clarity: If price breaks and holds above/below the SL levels, reassess the current wave position or pattern unfolding. 🧠 Final Insight Including these order levels allows traders to: Frame entries based on their preferred timeframes See how short-term setups may align or contradict macro levels Plan decisions more systematically, reducing emotional entries 🧠 Decision Framework Instead of reacting emotionally, allow structure to lead the logic. Let the market show its hand — real confirmation comes after traps are complete. The true opportunity lies after the liquidity event, not during it. > Timing Consideration: > When price moves past the Red, Grey, Green, and Blue dynamic levels , it signals a potential shift—prompting readiness for entry. However, action should only be taken once a Buy/Sell order signal appears and is confirmed by the next closed candle. This ensures structured execution and prevents premature entries. 💡 This scenario is structured based on system rules, not prediction. Market intent unfolds dynamically — understanding the setup allows better anticipation and discipline. The key-level to watch for Grey, Green and Blue dynamic level for guides: Daily TF Weekly TF Monthly TF As of the time writing this update – the micro cycle and key-level are relevant for watch: 2H TF M45 TF M15 TF
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSDLong
by jerryfc000
Gold Trends and Trading StrategiesThe gold market continued to fluctuate yesterday, and the price was repeatedly under pressure at the key position of 3250. At the weekly level, gold prices tried to rebound after bottoming out on Friday, but the upper short-term moving average formed technical suppression, and the daily line closed with a cross star with long upper and lower shadows, and the long-short game was fierce. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows a descending channel pattern. The price rebounded after testing the lower track of the channel many times, but it has never effectively broken through the 3250 central axis suppression. The hourly chart shows that the market maintains a rhythm of shock correction. The current daily line has two Yins and one Yang, but it has not effectively broken the previous low. It is expected that the bottoming and rebounding mode may continue today. In terms of operation, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3260-3200 range, and rely on the upper and lower edges of the channel to implement a high-altitude low-multiple strategy. Gold operation suggestions: 1. Short near the rebound of 3247-3252, target 3230-3220. 2. Go long near the retracement of 3206-3215, target 3230-3245.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD MONTHLY OUTLOOK — MAY 2025🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly 📍 Current Price: 3204 📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral 📏 Trend: Long-term bullish | Near-term exhaustion 🔎 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW ✅ HTF Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above 2075 (2020/2022 resistance) ✅ Sustained higher highs + strong impulse candles since Oct 2023 ⛔️ Price just wicked into Monthly FIB Extension Zone (1.618–2.0) = 3440–3500 ⚠️ Bearish wick formed near 3500, suggesting premium rejection 🧠 KEY TECHNICAL ZONES (Monthly) Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Premium Supply 3440–3500 Monthly FIB Extension zone + rejection wick + final extension of long-term bull leg 🔼 Resistance 3222–3242 Previous OB and last BOS area before wick spike — possible retest point ⚠️ Mid-Zone 3160–3185 Equilibrium / liquidity trap area seen on H4/D1 🟩 Monthly Demand 2960–3050 Large unmitigated zone + FVG + consolidation base before impulse 🟦 Discount Range 2800–2950 Key reaccumulation blocks from 2023 rallies 🔮 MACRO + MARKET CONTEXT 💬 Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing inflation concerns and Fed credibility under fire after CPI/UoM combo 📉 UoM Sentiment: Dropped below expectations = recessionary anxiety 📊 Inflation Expectations: Came in hotter = market confused, no clean direction 🗣️ Powell speech + May FOMC aftermath = market lacks conviction, stuck in uncertainty 🧭 STRATEGIC SCENARIOS ✅ Bullish Continuation (if retracement holds above 3160–3180) Potential reentry toward 3240–3250 and re-test upper wick zone >3440 Must see H4 CHoCH + volume confluence ❌ Bearish Retracement (if lower timeframes lose 3160) Deeper move likely toward 3050–3080 = Monthly demand base Below that = consolidation back to 2960 ⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION Applied from breakout leg Oct 2023 (Low ~1810 to High ~2222 → projected from pullback at ~1984) Extension targets: 1.272 = ✅ Reached 1.618 = 3440 = tapped 2.0 = 3500 = wick rejection We are now reacting inside a fully extended bullish range, which supports a monthly cool-off. 🧠 FINAL WORD Gold hit the monthly moonshot. Now it’s all about real structure and rotation: 💡 Watch how price respects the 3160–3180 range. Lose that — and we dive back toward 3050–3080. Hold it — and we reload for the final frontier above 3440. Gold’s Monthly Jetpack Ran Out of Fuel at 3500 🚀🔥 — Now It’s All About Gravity and Structure." From FIB extensions to wick rejections, this is not the time to chase... it’s the time to react. Comment, follow, and stay sharp — sniper mode never sleeps. — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
Gold’s 3200 mark is the key!Due to the ceasefire between India and Pakistan and the easing of the Sino-US trade war, gold opened directly and fell below 3280 and 3260 successively, so the decline of gold will continue. From the gold hourly chart, the focus below is on the 3200 integer mark. If it falls below 3200 and cannot effectively stabilize, then gold will have a big double top here, and the next decline will extend to around the 3000 integer mark. On the contrary, if the 3200 mark is not broken, then the bulls will fight back, at least they will fill the gap again So in terms of operation, it is not recommended to chase the short now. If you want to go long on gold, you can wait for it to fall back to the 3200-3210 area and stabilize before buying
TVC:GOLDShort
by MabelLew
Thinking and practical skills for winning in the 3360-3400 rangeAffected by the news, gold fell sharply at the opening. Successfully won. According to the trading strategy, we gave gold a wide range of fluctuations in the 3360-3400 range, which will not change much. It can be operated within the range during the day. The trading strategy analysis is accurate, and the key points are accurately grasped to enter the market, which brought us good returns during the day. The short-term rhythm is accurately grasped! Brothers who followed the trading plan should have also made very good profits. 🍻🍻🍻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD – Daily Outlook (April 28, 2025)Gold continues to trade near all-time highs after last week’s explosive rally. However, the most recent Daily candle shows a clear long-wick rejection into the premium supply zone (around 3350–3430), suggesting that smart money may be defending this level. ✅ Structure remains bullish on higher timeframes. ✅ Momentum slowed slightly after touching the upper extreme. ✅ Price is still holding above the previous daily range breakout. At the same time: ⚠️ Buyers are showing signs of exhaustion after tapping into the premium supply zone. ⚠️ Volume on the last bullish candle was lower compared to the recent bearish reaction. ⚠️ The last daily wick indicates possible trapped buyers at the highs. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 3350–3430 (premium supply rejection) Support Zone: 3280–3300 (former breakout zone) Deeper Support: 3120–3160 (mid-range liquidity pocket) What’s Next? As long as Gold stays above 3280, the broader bullish bias remains intact. However, a clean daily close below 3280 could trigger deeper retracements into 3240 or even 3160 zones before bulls regain strength. Patience is key here: let price tell its story between the premium rejection and the former breakout zone. 🔔 Final Thought: Gold is not in a rush. Neither should you be. Stay sharp, stay patient — the best setups often appear when most traders lose their discipline. Follow for more clean updates, sniper entries, and smart market flow insights. Let’s grow together! 🚀💛
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
2
GOLD, Is it 5th Wave?1. Sharp Movement, Steep Trade Angle 2. Length of 3rd Wave is equal to 5th Wave 3. Ascending Channel TGT is completed 4. Divergence in the Price Movement 5. Nifty Price Movement - It is at a breakout point. The Correlation between 2 asset classes is approximately Negative 0.30 to 0.35 post Covid If this is the case, then price may not move beyond 1 Lakh This will be a great opportunity to book the profit in gold; it may correct to 70000 or below in the next few months.
MCX:GOLD1!
by OK_Rane