XAUUSD: Trend is your friend, follow it!Price remains in a strong uptrend with no clear signs of momentum weakness yet. That said, this appears to be the final leg of the current advance, so chasing highs is risky. I prefer to stand aside for now and wait for price-action confirmation of a top.
1) Analysis
Price has broken above the prior high at 3.791, but the Superior RSI has not reached the overbought zone and is showing early signs of divergence on 1h timeframe.
The area is a high-activity auction zone on CM E, from here I expect a short pullback into lower supports.
Key support: , , .
2) Primary Scenarios
Scenario A (bearish): If price breaks below and drives into lower supports, then 3.818 will likely mark the swing high, and a deeper correction should follow.
Scenario B (bullish extension): If price respects the support zone and breaks above 3818 then I expect price to at least top at 3866 where CME traders place a large amount of auction contracts and start a correction.
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Goldplan
Gold Hits New High at $3831 – Can the Rally Hold?📌 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) surged today, marking a fresh high at $3831/oz, breaking well above previous resistance zones. The rally was fueled by expectations of a potential Fed policy adjustment, a weaker USD, and rising safe-haven demand amid ongoing financial and geopolitical uncertainties.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: 3831 (new high) – 3850
• Immediate Support: 3805 – 3790
• EMA 50 & EMA 200 (H1/H4): Both trending upward, confirming short-term bullish momentum.
• RSI (H1): Approaching overbought territory >70, signaling potential short-term correction.
• Chart Pattern: Strong parabolic rally, though vulnerable to a pullback toward support.
🧐 Outlook
The current uptrend remains supported by safe-haven flows and policy easing expectations. However, with gold posting new highs, profit-taking pressure may emerge near the 3830–3850 zone. A technical pullback to test support is a likely scenario in the short term.
🎯 Trading Strategy
• Cautious BUY: Consider buying on pullbacks toward 3805–3790, SL below 3785.
• Short-term SELL (scalping): Consider selling near 3830–3835, SL above 3840, short TP of 40–80 pips.
• Risk management is essential — avoid FOMO entries at the peak levels.
9.30 Gold continues to hit new highsThe gold market continued to rise yesterday. It opened at 3759.9 in the morning and then fell back. The daily low was 3756.3 and then the market fluctuated and rose strongly. The daily high touched the daily high of 3834.2 and then consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 3833.9. The daily line closed with a saturated large bullish candle with a slight shadow. After ending this pattern, today's market retraced to more levels. In terms of points, the long positions at 3325 and 3322 below and the long positions at 3368-3370 last week and the long positions at 3377, 3385 and 3563 were reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 3650. Today's long positions at 3805 are conservative at 3802, and the stop loss is 3798. The target is 3838, 3845 and 3852-3855 pressure.
9.30 Gold New High Technical Analysis!!!Technical Analysis:
From a 4-hour perspective, short-term support is seen at 3800-05, with key support remaining around 3785-90. Short-term resistance is seen at 3830-35. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips. In the interim, caution is advised with caution when buying, patiently waiting for key entry points.
9.29 Gold price hits a new highOn the hourly chart, gold successfully broke through the $3,700 mark last week and continued its strong performance by breaking through $3,800 on Monday. For support, the $3,800 mark is a key level. Gold prices surged higher this morning, and after a breakout, prices continued to rise. For upward pressure, the intraday high, also a historical high, at $3,819 is also near the upper limit of the daily Bollinger Band. If gold prices stabilize at $3,800 and reach new all-time highs, the upward trend is expected, with no predictions of a top. The 5-day moving average and the MACD indicator are forming a golden cross, while the KDJ and RSI indicators are forming a golden cross in overbought territory. Short-term technical indicators suggest that bulls maintain their advantage.
5 Mistakes Even Veteran Traders Make!Whether you're new or experienced, you can still fall into these 5 DEADLY mistakes. I'm here to point them out!
Mistake #1: Not understanding what you’re trading.
You’re trading forex, right? But do you know what pips or lots are? How currency pairs move? Or how news impacts them? Too many people dive in just because they see others profiting, without knowing what they’re betting on. That’s the difference between investing and gambling.
Don’t jump into the ocean without knowing what’s underwater.
Mistake #2: Not managing your money.
Most traders obsess over making money but forget how to protect it. It’s human nature—everyone wants fast cash! But if you trade big without control, one bad move can wipe out a month or even a year’s gains. Remember, keeping your capital safe is priority number one; profits come as a result.
As long as you’ve got the forest, you won’t run out of firewood.
Mistake #3: No clear trading plan.
Are you entering trades based on feelings? Exiting because of a “hunch”? That’s not trading—it’s playing the lottery! A trading plan is your compass, your map to stay on track. It needs clear entry points, stop-loss levels, and profit targets. Most importantly, you MUST stick to it!
Sticking to strategy doesn't make us invincible, but it can help us retreat safely.
Mistake #4: FOMO – Fear of Missing Out!
You see prices soaring and chase them, or you copy someone’s trade because they’re showing off profits. Then, when you lose, you blame the market or some “expert,” forgetting it was YOUR choice to trade. Drop this habit! Stop following the crowd and own your trading decisions.
You can’t live by envying someone else’s wallet.
Mistake #5: Trading addiction and chasing short-term wins.
Win one trade, and you want more. Lose one, and you want to “get even” with the market. This traps you in a cycle of overtrading and rash decisions. Profits don’t come from trading a lot—they come from trading RIGHT.
Don’t let emotions take over. Remember, When emotions rise, logic falls.
These 5 mistakes can burn all your money, no matter how much you have. Be honest with yourself and learn from them. I believe if you avoid these traps and stay disciplined, the door to success will open wide.
I’m Anfibo, just sharing what I know about finance.
Gold Price Analysis – XAU/USD Hits New All-Time High at 3812🌍 Market Developments
Gold prices continue to surge, reaching a new record high at $3,810/oz in today’s session. The rally is driven by expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish policy stance, a weakening US dollar, and falling US Treasury yields. Safe-haven demand is also supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and fears of a global economic slowdown.
📈 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: 3815 – 3825
• Immediate Support: 3785 – 3770, with deeper support at 3750
• EMA 50 & 100: both trending upward, confirming strong bullish momentum
• H1 and H4 candles show powerful upward momentum, though RSI is approaching overbought territory → possible pullbacks or short-term volatility
💡 Outlook
The primary trend remains bullish, but the sharp rally after setting a new record may trigger profit-taking around the 3815 – 3830 zone. As long as gold holds above 3770, the bullish bias remains intact.
🎯 Trading Strategy Suggestion
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 3780 – 3777
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3773
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 3817 – 3822
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3827
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to support at the beginning of the week, hopefully in to the red box, and then push upside into the higher red box. This move worked well for the long trade, however, it was at that region we ideally wanted to short back down into the lower liquidity pools. We didn’t get this move due to the red box breaking above, so we continued with the bias and the target levels and managed to complete some fantastic long trades, as well as an extremely decent short hitting Excalibur on the nose.
Not a bad week, even though the plan wasn’t as successful as tends to be.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We had bullish Friday after the break out, but the last few hours you can see some profit taking in process. We’re now still above our bias level 3740-45 but the issue we have here is there is still no breach of the red box defence above, which again held strong late session on Friday. We’re also flagging which is another concern, so, for that reason, we’ll say, resistance above is the 3767-75 region, which if targeted and held during the early session can take us back into the order region 3750-40 which is where a potential opportunity may come to attempt the long trade upside to target that all time high again.
Please note, the 3795-3810 needs a strong daily close above it to go higher, so we won’t be looking to get trapped high in a potential move that can turn again! That for us is the level to watch if price attempts that level.
We have a lot of news this week including NFP, with tomorrow looking like it could be a ranging day playing those order regions.
It's the last few days of the month, so we'll have to play level to level intra-day and wait for the monthly close for a clearer picture. Right now, levels are level, boxes are boxes, we'll stick with the plan and move with the market where ever it goes.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3765 for 3773, 3777, 3785, 3796 and 3802 in extension of the move
Break below 3750 for 3744, 3740, 3732 and 3720 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold rebounds, sideways 3740 – 3755📊 Market Developments
After dropping from 3754 to 3740, gold quickly rebounded and is now trading around 3753. Buyers have stepped in strongly at the support zone, but the overall trend has yet to break out.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Near resistance: 3755 – 3765
• Strong resistance: 3780
• Near support: 3740 – 3735
• Key support: 3700
• Price is fluctuating around the EMA50, showing short-term sideways movement, while the overall trend remains slightly bearish.
📌 Outlook
Gold continues to move within the 3740 – 3755 range. Buying pressure holds the price above 3740, but selling pressure emerges strongly at 3755. A clear breakout is needed to determine the next move.
🎯 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 3762 – 3765
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3768
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 3695 – 3700
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3692
How to accurately grasp gold trading opportunities?The market keeps falling, but we have no worries about taking profits. 3720 is the key short-term support level. Once it is effectively broken, gold is expected to accelerate its downward trend. For two consecutive days, we publicly suggested to arrange short orders near 3780 and 3760. Now the market has fallen sharply to the 3725 line, and we have achieved steady profits again. For two consecutive days, we accurately arranged short orders at the intraday high and steadily realized profits.
At present, gold is no longer in a unilateral upward trend, and the technical side has entered a repair stage. The operation idea is mainly to follow the trend, and the focus is on grasping the rhythm of bulls and bears. The most frequently asked questions recently are whether a big drop has begun and whether gold has peaked. From a structural point of view, although the daily line has been under pressure continuously, it closed in the negative yesterday and even formed a tombstone K-line pattern on the previous trading day, indicating that the short-term has encountered obvious suppression, but this cannot directly determine that the major trend has peaked. The weekly line is still dominated by bulls, and the short-term repair market has not destroyed the overall upward trend.
In terms of operation strategy, we still insist on shorting on rebound and long on pullback as a supplement. The lower support of the 4-hour chart focuses on the 3715-3700 area, and the upper pressure focuses on the 3760-3770 range. It is not advisable to blindly chase orders at the middle oscillation position. It is recommended to watch more and do less, and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before entering the market to seize the high winning rate opportunities.
Gold rebounds but not yet clearly breaking out📊 Market Movement:
Gold touched 3761, then dropped to 3750, but has now rebounded to around 3757. The market is still fluctuating in a narrow range without a clear trend.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Resistance: 3768 – 3772 (key zone to confirm buyers’ strength)
• Support: 3750 – 3745
• Short-term EMA: showing recovery momentum but not strong enough to confirm a bullish reversal
• Candlestick: leaning towards technical rebound, no clear breakout signal yet
📝 Outlook:
Gold is in a mild recovery phase, but it needs to break and hold above 3772 to confirm an uptrend. Failure here could trigger a pullback to 3750 – 3745.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 3750 – 3745
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 3742
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 3768 – 3772
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 3776
Gold's rise encountered resistance and launched adeep correctionGold maintains high-level fluctuations at the daily level, but the short-term trend shows weakness. The price on the 4-hour chart has fallen below the previous fluctuation range and is currently obviously constrained by the 3760-3770 pressure zone. The K-line continues to run below the short-term moving average. The overall structure shows a weak and volatile pattern. The recent rebound has approached the previous key pressure area. It is expected that the downward trend will most likely continue after the rebound repair is completed. Although a V-shaped reversal has formed in the smaller cycle, the price has stagnated near the pressure zone. The technical indicators show a top divergence signal, indicating that the short-term momentum is gradually weakening and there is a tendency to turn to adjustment again. The comprehensive technical aspect shows that gold faces downside risks in the short term. It is necessary to focus on the adjustment strength and the performance of the key support level below. The operation suggestion is to short on rallies. Focus on the rebound resistance of 3760-3770 on the top and the support of 3715-3700 on the bottom.
Gold hits 3,717 low – Short-term technical reboundMarket Overview:
Last night, gold dropped to a low of 3.717 USD/oz under strong selling pressure from the US market. Currently, it rebounds slightly to 3.736 USD/oz, indicating emerging bottom-buying interest.
Technical Analysis:
• Support: 3,717 / 3.723 USD
• Resistance: 3.740 / 3.750 USD
• EMA: EMA50 trending down; EMA200 above price, medium-term downtrend persists
• Candlestick pattern: Hammer candle observed at 3,717 low, signaling possible technical rebound
Outlook:
Gold may rebound short-term toward 3.740–3.750 USD if buying pressure holds, but monitor price reaction at 3,717–3.723 USD to confirm reversal or continuation.
Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 3.718 – 3.715
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3.712
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 3.750 – 3.753
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3.756
XAUUSD PLAN TODAY | SEP.25 | MARKET ANALYSIS | M30 FRAME 📊 Trend Analysis
🔤Price has shifted momentum after a CHoCH around the 3755 zone, confirming bearish intent.
🔤A strong BOS broke below recent structure, creating a bearish leg with unfilled FVGs above.
🔤Current price (3734) is reacting inside a small bullish FVG, but overall momentum remains bearish unless structure flips again.
💡Trading Plan
🔼Scenario 1 – Sell from Supply (High Probability)
Entry: 3750-3760
Wait for price to retrace into 3750 – 3760 (FVG + CHoCH area).
If bearish rejection candle + lower timeframe CHoCH forms → enter short.
🔼Scenario 2 – Buy Short-term Reversal
Entry: 3720-3725
If price holds 3720 – 3725 (FVG) with bullish CHoCH on lower timeframe.
This is a counter-trend play, requires strong confirmation.
🔽Scenario 3 – Breakout Continuation (Bearish)
Entry: 3720
If price breaks 3720 decisively with BOS → continuation short.
Entry on pullback into new FVG.
How to seize the certain opportunities in the gold market?Yesterday, gold continued its record-breaking rally, achieving its sixth consecutive week of gains and further entering an unknown price range. The core driving force behind this round of gains lies in the market's continued rise in dovish expectations for the Federal Reserve to further implement loose policies before the end of the year. Although the 25 basis point interest rate cut last week has been digested by the market, investors are increasingly expecting two more interest rate cuts in October and December, providing strong support for gold prices. In addition, ongoing geopolitical tensions, increased gold holdings by various countries and strong inflows of funds into gold ETFs have together constituted the multiple pillars of this bull market. Under the interweaving of risk aversion and loose expectations, gold has risen by more than 40% this year, highlighting its strong appeal.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows that gold prices closed with a large real body positive line, and the trend is extremely strong. The MACD indicator double lines sent a golden cross signal, confirming the short-term bullish trend. However, the indicator has deviated seriously into the overbought area, suggesting that there is a large risk of technical correction in the later period. Strategy analysis needs to focus on the support role of the MA5 moving average below. If it falls below, it may trigger a deeper adjustment. It is recommended to remain cautious in operation. You can consider light positions and try to arrange short orders on rallies. The upper resistance focuses on the 3780-3800 range, and the lower support is around 3745-3730. Although the current market trend is upward, we need to be vigilant against the risk of high-level corrections.
Gold breaks below 3770 – short-term correction signal📌 Market Developments:
Gold failed to hold the 3771–3774 area and dropped below 3770, now trading around 3768. This shows selling pressure has returned as buyers were not strong enough to break the 3778–3780 resistance zone.
📉 Technical Analysis:
🔺 Resistance (near): 3772 – 3775
🔺 Resistance (far): 3778 – 3781
🔻 Support (near): 3765 – 3762
🔻 Support (far): 3755 – 3750
📊 Short-term EMA is flattening as price moves back below 3770.
🕯️ H1 candles show strong selling pressure with long upper wicks and rising volume.
🧐 Outlook:
The main trend remains bullish, but gold is in a short-term correction after failing at 3778–3781. If 3765 breaks, price may continue to decline toward 3755 – 3750 before buyers step in again.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 3755 – 3750
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 3747
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 3772 – 3775
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: 3778
Gold holds above $3765, bullish momentum continues📌 Market Overview
Gold is consolidating around $3765–$3768 after reaching another all-time high. Market sentiment remains bullish as expectations of Fed rate cuts persist, the USD weakens, and Treasury yields edge lower.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Near resistance: $3775 – $3785
• Additional (strong) resistance: $3800 – $3815
• Near support: $3755 – $3740
• Additional (strong) support: $3725 – $3710
• EMA 50 (H1): price remains above EMA, supporting the bullish bias.
• Candlestick pattern: rejection candles near $3755 show active buying demand.
• Momentum (RSI H1): stays above 60, no extreme overbought signals yet.
📝 Outlook
The main trend is still bullish, but the $3775–$3785 zone could trigger short-term profit-taking. As long as price holds above $3755, gold is likely to aim for $3800–$3815.
🎯 Trading Strategy
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : $3748 – $3751
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3743
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $3781 – $3784
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3788
XAUUSD: Could 3790 Be the Top?After the 3740 → 3790 rally, upside momentum has weakened . Therefore, 3790 is likely a temporary top , and a short-term pullback may begin from here. However, we cannot rule out a retest of the top area or even a marginal higher high today before a sharper correction develops.
📉 Analysis
• After the push to 3,790 , price rotated within 3,778–3,788 and then broke the lower bound (3,778) on high volume . This supports the view that a swing high formed at 3,790 . However, price is currently drifting higher on lighter volume , so a retest of the top or even a marginal higher high before the pullback remains possible.
• Resistance zones: 3,784.5–3,787, 3,794–3,796 .
• Key support zones: 3,746–3,744, 3,723–3,718.
📊 Trading Plan
• Wait for reversal signals with heavy volume at the marked support/resistance zones.
• Highest-probability trigger: an 5m engulfing candle with high volume when price taps these levels.
Example: As in ENTRY 1 , if an 5m engulfing candle prints with high volume (as indicated by Superior Volume ) at a marked support/resistance zone, entry on the candle close .
• Entry on the signal and place the stop just above the signal candle (or above the resistance zone ). Move to break-even at +1R .
New High at 3791, Then Pullback📌 Market Movements:
Recently, gold prices set a new all-time high at $3791/oz before retreating slightly and are now trading around $3778/oz. The initial surge was driven by strong dip-buying and risk-aversion sentiment, but profit-taking pressure pulled prices back from record highs.
📉 Technical Analysis:
🔺 Resistance: 3791 (new ATH) and 3805
🔻 Support: 3770, followed by 3755
📈 EMA 50 on H1 remains below price, confirming short-term bullish bias
🕯️ H1 candles show long upper wicks near 3790–3791, signaling strong selling pressure at resistance
📊 Declining volume during the pullback suggests the market is waiting for the next breakout confirmation
🧐 Outlook:
The main trend remains bullish, but after touching 3791, gold needs consolidation to absorb selling pressure. Holding above 3770 keeps the door open for another test of 3791, aiming toward 3800–3805. A break below 3770 could push gold toward 3755 before any rebound.
🎯 Trading Strategy (Suggested):
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
• 📌 Entry: 3770–3773
• 🎯 TP: 3785 / 3795 / 3805
• 🛑 SL: 3765
Gold spikes to 3760 then pulls back to 3745 📊 Market Overview:
Gold surged to a new ATH at 3760 USD/oz, then dropped quickly to 3735 USD/oz on profit-taking. Currently, it trades around 3745 USD/oz, showing a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
📈 Technical Analysis:
🔺 Resistance 1: 3755 – 3760
🔺 Resistance 2: 3775
🔻 Support 1: 3735
🔻 Support 2: 3720
• EMA 50 (H1) still pointing upward → bullish bias intact.
• Last H1 candle with long upper wick → short-term selling pressure.
📝 Outlook:
Trend remains bullish, but 3755–3760 is a key resistance zone. If it fails to break, price may retest 3735 or even 3720.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 3735 – 3738
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3732
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 3775 – 3780
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3785
Gold breaks through strongly, seizing opportunities is the key!Gold continued its strong rally from last week yesterday, hitting new all-time highs, reaching a high near 3759, sending the market into a frenzy once again. Since its initial rise from 3311, the overall gain has reached nearly $450, a rare and impressive rise in recent years. However, amidst this upward trend, market sentiment is inevitably wary of rising prices.
From a technical perspective, bulls still have upward momentum, but a reversal could lead to a significant pullback. The previous pullback did not reach key support, so the correction remains limited. Short-term pressure is focused on the 3760 area, which is crucial for further gains in the European session. If the European session lacks momentum, the probability of new highs in the US session will decrease. Support below this level is around 3730, with the watershed still near 3700. A break below 3700 would signal the end of the bull market.
Therefore, for intraday trading, it is advisable to try to position yourself based on the initial top. While there are certain risks, the potential for blindly chasing long positions at this level is already limited. It is recommended that if gold touches around 3760-3765, you can consider placing short orders at the right time, and first look at the retracement space below.
Perfectly grasp the golden trading opportunity?Last Thursday and Friday, gold continued its range-sweeping pattern as expected. The market fluctuated too quickly, and hesitation basically meant missing out. However, frequent trading can also be a burden. We ambushed both the bulls and the bears in advance and reaped good profits.
For today's market, first of all, the gold daily chart combination is a typical "big sun front resistance line" pattern, which is an obvious lure to buy. As long as it does not break through the previous high of 3707, then today we tend to continue to be bearish. From a technical point of view, the high-level continuous negative adjustment state is obvious, and the rebound momentum is gradually weakening. The long upper shadow line of the daily line shows that the upper selling pressure is heavy, and the short-term bullish power is insufficient. The upper track of the Bollinger band in the 4-hour cycle is repeatedly under pressure, the MACD momentum column continues to shrink, and the fast and slow lines show signs of forming a dead cross, indicating that the rise is weak.
On the news front, the Fed's expected interest rate cut has been realized, and the realization of positive news has weakened the momentum for gold to rise further. The subsequent market focus will be on "whether there will be another interest rate cut and the extent of the cut." Uncertainty makes funds more inclined to take profits at high levels. At the same time, the US dollar index stabilized and rebounded, and US Treasury yields stopped falling, which continued to suppress gold.
At the level of funds and market sentiment, long positions are already at a high level, with limited room for growth. Institutions are more likely to overvalue and undervalue at high levels, and it is difficult for gold to maintain a sustained upward trend under the volatile pattern.
Therefore, in terms of operation, it is recommended to look for short opportunities below the previous high of 3707 today, especially above 3685, where short orders can be arranged in batches, positions can be strictly controlled, and stop-loss space can be enlarged to cope with fluctuations. The short-term target will first look at the 3670-3660 area. If it breaks down strongly, it will further look down to the 3650-3635 area.






















