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XAUUSD 30M — Retest Setup Toward Premium ZoneFOREXCOM:XAUUSD Price is currently trading below trendline resistance after rejecting earlier highs. A potential pullback toward the 4,140–4,150 retest zone may offer a liquidity-based entry before continuation higher. As long as price holds above the invalidation zone, bullish structure remains valid. Key Conditions 🔹 Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) Entry confirmation from: 4,140–4,150 zone 🎯 Target: 4,245–4,260 🛑 Invalidation/Stop: Below 4,120 A strong candle close above the trendline would further strengthen continuation. Key Levels Zone Type Level Entry Zone 📍 4,140–4,150 Invalidation ❌ Below 4,120 Target 🎯 4,245–4,260 Trendline Break Confirmation Above 4,175 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD Trade Idea Breakdown (1H Chart) Your chart reflects a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Fibonacci retracement + liquidity sweep model. The idea is well-structured and follows a typical pullback → mitigation → expansion sequence. --- 1. Current Market Structure Price is currently around 4215. Market is in a clear uptrend (higher highs, higher lows). Candles show bullish momentum but the chart suggests price is in a premium zone (overbought area), due for a correction. --- 2. Expected Pullback Zone (Entry Area) You marked a high-probability discount demand zone: Buy Zone: 4172 – 4185 This area aligns with: Fibonacci 0.62 – 0.79 0.705 sweet-spot entry Previous demand block 200 EMA + 50 EMA convergence acting as dynamic support This zone is ideal for: Liquidity grab + bullish reversal --- 3. Anticipated Price Action Your projection shows: 1. Price first drops into the blue demand zone 2. Hits the 0.705 / 0.79 fib area 3. Forms a bullish rejection 4. Then breaks structure upward 5. Begins a bullish impulse targeting new higher highs This is a typical SMC “retrace → BOS → continuation” model. --- 4. Upside Targets You have 2 projected take-profit levels: TP1: 4,233 First major liquidity pool Aligns with an internal range high Realistic target for intraday trading TP2: 4,270 More extended target Next external liquidity Matches a larger swing high Both targets fit the structure perfectly. --- 5. Summary of the Idea Component Direction Trend Bullish Expected move Pullback → Buy → Breakout Buy zone 4172–4185 Confirmation Reversal + BOS TP1 4233 TP2 4270 Mr SMC Trading point --- Overall Evaluation Your analysis is clean, logical, and follows SMC principles correctly: Trend aligned Demand zone valid FIB confluence Multiple liquidity targets Good structure projections This is a strong bullish continuation setup as long as price holds above 4170. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
Consolidate the upward trend. Buy on dips.Gold prices have fluctuated wildly, causing losses for many investors. The frustration and helplessness of investing can be summarized as bad luck. Not knowing when to take profits, hesitating for a short time resulted in losses, and there was no way to grasp the bullish or bearish trend of the market. It is hoped that Quaid's analysis and trading strategies can help those learning how to trade, how to control risk, and how to judge market trends. Okay, back to market trading. Gold closed strongly this week, settling at $4219 on Friday and successfully holding above the key $4200 level. Early in the week, trading was relatively quiet due to the Thanksgiving holiday, with gold prices briefly dipping to $4142, but then rebounding quickly, accumulating a 3.8% gain for the week, forming a clear upward breakout. Gold's strength was mainly supported by three factors. On the policy front, expectations of a Fed rate cut have strengthened, with CME data showing the probability of a December rate cut rising to 86.9%. A weaker dollar reduces the opportunity cost of gold. On the demand side, global central banks continue their aggressive gold purchases, with net purchases reaching a record 902 tons in the first three quarters. Goldman Sachs predicts that monthly purchases will average 80 tons in the future, providing long-term support. Geopolitical risks and ETF inflows have further stimulated demand for safe-haven assets, creating a synergistic effect of simultaneous increases in holdings by central banks and private capital. Technically, the trend has strengthened. After breaking through $4200, gold prices face resistance at $4260 and $4285. Short-term moving averages are in a bullish alignment, with initial support at $4170 and strong support at $4150, limiting downside potential. The long-term uptrend line remains intact. Trading Strategy: Buy around $4190-$4195, targeting $4230-$4240. After a breakout, watch for $4160-$4180. I will adjust strategies flexibly based on market fluctuations and update them on the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_3
Slight fluctuations. Short sell in the resistance zone.Gold prices traded within a narrow range during Thursday's Asian and European sessions. Overall, however, they rebounded slowly after a pullback, a pattern that puts gold on track for a fourth consecutive monthly gain, extending the record-breaking rally in October when prices briefly approached the $4400 area. This continued upward movement likely indicates that the current market still has strong support. After the previous pullback prompted some profit-taking, technical indicators continue to show strong underlying momentum, reinforcing the overall bullish trend. Although the price action was limited today, gold has not yet broken out due to the US market being closed. Therefore, the focus should be on shorting in the short term. If the price remains in the dense resistance zone of 4170-4180, a small short position can be considered. If it breaks out upwards, then we will adjust our strategy accordingly. Quaid believes that the possibility of breaking through the upper resistance level is unlikely. On the downside, continue to pay attention to the strong support at 4120-4130. If the pullback at the resistance level is large, then the next target is the 4110 level. Trading Strategy: Short at 4170-4180, stop loss at 4190, profit target 4140-4130. I will adjust the strategy flexibly according to market fluctuations and update it in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_3
Buy after a pullback. Target price: 4200.From the daily chart perspective, gold has now returned above the moving average band, indicating a recovery in short-term bullish sentiment. While the sustainability of the rally remains to be seen, technical patterns suggest that prices may further test the resistance level of 4170-4180. If this level is broken, the next key resistance level to watch is the upper edge of the range at 4200-4210. It's worth noting that due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the latter half of this week, market activity has slowed, potentially increasing the risk of abnormal price fluctuations due to insufficient liquidity. Range-bound trading may be the most reasonable scenario at present. From the 4-hour chart, gold is expected to maintain a high-level consolidation pattern in the short term. The key support level to watch is the 4130-4120 area, which is also where the 5-day and 10-day moving averages intersect and can serve as a short-term dividing line between bullish and bearish trends. The first resistance level is at 4180-4190. Only after a successful breakout can the space to reach the 4200 level be opened, but this may require the support of positive fundamental factors. In summary, given the special market environment during the holiday, the recommended strategy is to primarily buy on dips, but strict position control is necessary to mitigate the risk of sudden fluctuations. Key short-term resistance is expected in the 4180-4200 area, while key short-term support is around 4130. Overall, caution is advised, and investors should be wary of the risks associated with market manipulation in a low-liquidity environment. Trading Strategy: Buy on dips to 4140-4150, with a stop-loss at 4130 and a target of 4200. I will adjust the strategy flexibly based on market fluctuations and update the information in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_3
4
Gold continues its upward trend. Continue buying.Gold prices remained range-bound above 4110 on Tuesday, with the short-term upward trend unchanged. Yesterday's article clearly stated that after breaking through the key resistance zone of 4110-4130, a short-term pullback to near support levels could present a buying opportunity, but one should not be overly optimistic about this upward move. Recently, the most influential news is the expectation of a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and Tuesday's news that Ukraine has agreed to the terms of a peace agreement. One is positive, the other negative, but the expectation of a rate cut alone is unlikely to drive a significant rise in gold prices. The expectation of a Fed rate cut forms the core support currently, reinforced by dovish comments from several officials. If subsequent economic data is weak, the upward momentum in gold prices will continue. Geopolitical risks have not completely subsided; details of the Russia-Ukraine peace agreement and the Middle East conflict remain uncertain, and market risk aversion could escalate at any time. Technically, Tuesday's daily candlestick chart shows intense competition between bulls and bears; the 4-hour chart shows a bullish moving average alignment, with the Bollinger Bands widening upwards, and gold prices trading along the upper band, indicating a slightly stronger short-term trend. In the short term, a buy-on-dips strategy is recommended, with a key focus on the resistance level around 4180. Trading Strategy: Buy at 4130-4135, stop loss at 4120, take profit at 4180; if it breaks through, watch the 4200 level.I will adjust the strategy flexibly according to market fluctuations and update it in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_3
Prices are trending upwards. Continue to break through.The hourly chart for gold shows that after a sustained price increase, it rose again to around 4156 in the Asian session, approaching a key trend resistance level. Due to the recent market consolidation and lack of momentum after the continuous rise, a pullback occurred as expected during the European session, reaching a low of 4109, close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of Monday's gains. Currently, the price has rebounded but failed to break through the Asian session high, and the overall trend remains consolidating. The 1-hour moving averages have formed an upward golden cross and are diverging, indicating that gold bulls still have some upward potential. Even though safe-haven demand has eased, the price is holding firm around 4100, where a strong support level has formed. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to pay close attention to the performance of the support area below. If the price stabilizes at 4109 and forms a double bottom, long positions can be considered, corresponding to the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages on the daily chart. The upside resistance level to watch is the 4155-4160 area. If it can be broken through effectively, it may further test the 4200 level. In the short term, prices are expected to remain above 4100, indicating a continued strong market. However, if this level is breached, the market may shift to a weaker, more volatile trend, increasing the risk of short-term market corrections. Trading Strategy: Buy gold at 4110-4120, with a stop-loss below 4100, targeting 4150-4160; after a breakout, watch the 4200 level. If gold breaks and holds above 4150 again, it may challenge the 4200 level. Is gold poised for a rally? I will adjust my strategy flexibly based on market fluctuations and update the information in the channel.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_3
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD – Idea of the Analysis (1H Timeframe) 1. Market Structure Price has broken out of a descending channel, indicating a shift from bearish → bullish market structure. After the breakout, price created higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish momentum. --- 2. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Refill Zone You marked a bullish FVG exactly where price recently retraced. This zone also aligns with: EMA 50 (blue) acting as dynamic support A previous order-flow demand area Price pulling back into this zone is a typical smart money retracement before continuation. This makes your FVG a high-probability re-entry zone. --- 3. EMA Confluence EMA 50 is above EMA 200 → bullish trend. Price is attempting to bounce from the EMA50 and FVG simultaneously. EMAs supporting the FVG adds trend confirmation + strong confluence. --- 4. Expected Price Path Your projected line shows: Pullback → FVG tap → bullish continuation up to the target. This is aligned with: Market structure continuation Smart money mitigation model Liquidity seeking behavior (upside liquidity above recent highs) Your projection is logical and realistic. --- 5. Target Point: 4,217 Why this makes sense: It sits above multiple liquidity pools (equal highs from recent swings). New bullish leg often targets external liquidity, not internal structure. Fits with the current bullish structure after the breakout. --- 6. Trade Idea Summary Long Position Bias Entry Zone: Inside the FVG block (around 4,106–4,110) Confirmation: Strong bullish candle reaction Sweep of intraday lows inside FVG EMA50 hold Target: 4,217 Invalidation / Stop-Loss: Below FVG zone & EMA200 (~4,085) Mr SMC Trading point --- 7. Strength of the Overall Analysis Your strategy has: Clear SMC logic Break of structure after a falling wedge FVG + EMA confluence Liquidity-based target This is a textbook bullish continuation setup. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
14
Awaiting data release. Short-term strategy.On Monday, gold consolidated above 4040, then maintained a slow upward trend throughout the European session, briefly surging above 4090 in the US session. Reaffirmed support for a December rate cut by two Federal Reserve officials provided momentum for a new round of gains, accelerating after breaking through the key 4100 level, reaching a high above 4130. The current correction appears to be over, and gold prices may be poised for a new upward trend. On Tuesday, at the Asian open, gold prices retreated slightly from around 4133 to 4122 before rebounding, reaching a high of 4155 before pulling back. The short-term strategy is to buy on dips. The 1-hour chart shows that the price has rebounded strongly and is generally trading above the MA10 moving average. The best short-term strategy is to go long around this moving average, with the best entry point around 4125-4135. It is important to note that the bullish defense should be set below 4120. If the price retraces below this level, it indicates that the market is not as strong as it seems. A further decline could test the 4105 area, which would present a second buying opportunity. If a rebound begins around 4125, 4155-4160 will be a strong resistance level. A break above 4160 could accelerate the upward movement to 4180-4190. Short-term trading strategy: Buy gold on pullbacks to 4125-4130. As time progresses, if the European session doesn't see a pullback to this level, consider buying at 4130-4135, with a stop-loss below 4120. Profit targets are 4160-4170. A crucial point to note is the large amount of data released today. Timely profit-taking is essential to avoid losses due to trend reversals caused by the data releases.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_3
Gold continued its upward trend. Watch for key resistance levelsThe current 4-hour chart for gold shows that short-term moving averages are continuously overlapping and the trend is flat, indicating that the market's bullish and bearish forces are in a state of temporary equilibrium. Price fluctuations are mainly confined to a large range of 4000-4130. Looking at the 1-hour chart, the previous Fibonacci retracement levels remain valid, with the key resistance level still at the psychological level of 4100. Therefore, a shorting strategy can be considered at this level. If the price breaks through 4100, pay close attention to the 4130 level. This level is both a key resistance point from the previous period and a key resistance level of the daily trend line. Therefore, you can look for this level to enter a short position after the first resistance is broken. Looking at the MACD indicator, no clear trend has emerged, which means that the direction of gold's price movement is still uncertain. We should pay attention to the divergence in the market going forward. In terms of trading, it is recommended to focus on the adjustment and correction process of short-term technical indicators. Selling on rallies within the range is advisable. The first resistance level to watch is around 4100. If a significant breakout fails to occur, the price will likely return to range-bound trading. Trading Strategy: Short positions can be initiated in batches around 4100-4110, with a stop-loss at 4120 and a profit target of 4070-4060. If the price breaks through 4110 decisively, consider shorting again around 4135.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_3
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of breakdown of your analysis idea based on the chart you provided (XAUUSD – 4H): --- Chart Overview Symbol: Gold Spot (XAUUSD) Timeframe: 4H Indicators used: EMA 50 (blue), EMA 200 (black) Current price: ~4095.58 Key support zone: 4060 – 4075 region Target: 4125 – 4130 --- Idea Explanation 1. Market Structure Price has recently broken upward strongly from the EMA50 zone. Expectation: A retracement back into the Demand Zone (blue region). Fibonacci levels shown: 0.5 / 0.618 / 0.705 / 0.786 Expected retracement point appears around 4070–4065. 2. Trade Plan Bullish Scenario Wait for price to retrace into the Demand Zone Look for confirmations (rejection candle, BOS, liquidity sweep) Enter long position between 4075 – 4065 SL likely beneath 4050–4045 TP area 4125 – 4130 3. Liquidity Concept Chart shows a liquidity grab (sweep) below previous lows inside the demand zone After sweep → expectation of impulsive move upward --- Target & Risk Management Entry Stop Loss Take Profit R:R 4075–4065 4045 4125–4130 approx 1:3 – 1:4 --- Summary Bias: Bullish continuation Strategy: Retracement to demand + Fibonacci confluence + EMA support Target aligned with next significant high & liquidity area Mr SMC Trading point --- My Personal Insight This setup is clean and valid. The key will be waiting for price to confirm rejection in the zone. If news volatility pushes price deeper, 4060–4050 is strong institutional level. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
Data week. Focus on trend continuation.This week's intensive data release could be a catalyst for market volatility: Due to data delays caused by the government shutdown, a large amount of economic data will be released this week. Tuesday: September PPI, September retail sales, October pending home sales. Wednesday: Durable goods orders, Q3 GDP preliminary estimate, PCE price index, new home sales, initial jobless claims. The market will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving, and there will be no major data releases on Friday. Market Analysis: Gold initially fell before rising on Friday, briefly dipping to the 4022 level before a bullish reversal, and has been hovering around the previous resistance level of 4100 for an extended period. Currently, there is no clear direction. The daily chart shows that since encountering short-term resistance at 4110, each attempt to bottom out has been followed by a rebound. Therefore, this is a strong rebound, not a reversal. However, without significant positive news, further upward movement at the previous resistance level of 4110 will be difficult. In the short term, the key level to watch is the breakout of the triangle pattern. Support is at $4020, and resistance is at $4110. A breakout from this range will likely lead to further continuation of the trend. After rebounding last Friday, it failed to hold $4,100. The highs have been moving lower and the lows have been moving higher, and the trading range has begun to narrow. This is a good thing, meaning that a one-sided trend is coming soon. Short-term trading strategy: Buy in batches between 4020 and 4030, with a stop loss at 4010. The profit target is the resistance level at 4100. Short sell with a small position when the price first touches around 4110, aiming for a profit of 40-50 points.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid_3
1
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAUUSD) – Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone 1. Key Zone: Strong Demand / Rejection Area Price has reacted multiple times inside the blue demand zone (around 4040–4035). This zone aligns with Fibonacci levels (0.705–0.79), strengthening the bullish probability. Each touch shows buyers stepping in (long wicks + strong rejections). 2. Falling Wedge Breakout A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside. Price retested the wedge but dropped again to retest deeper inside the demand zone. A bullish continuation is expected after one more dip into the zone (green arrow). 3. EMAs: Bullish Confluence EMA 50 and EMA 200 are close, tightening and suggesting a potential trend shift. Price is expected to bounce off the demand zone and climb above EMAs. 4. Projected Move After tapping the demand zone, price is expected to: Break above recent structure highs Build bullish momentum toward the target point: 4,143.06 SMC Trading point 5. Overall Idea This setup indicates a bullish continuation forming after a correction. The blue zone is the high-probability buy zone, and the projected path suggests a move toward 4143 after confirmation. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
14
Watch for support and entry point for long positions: 4020.Negative news has been priced in; be wary of consumer data. In the short term, from now until the next three months, gold is an overcrowded trade. Any information next week will be a risk for gold; only renewed hopes for an interest rate cut can boost prices. The meeting is scheduled for December 9-10, during which one or two additional data points may be released. Nevertheless, if expectations for a rate cut do not increase, gold prices are likely to remain stagnant. The market expects investment demand to remain stagnant until the Fed clearly outlines its path. We need to be cautious whether a longer pause could catalyze a larger outflow of funds from the precious metals market. After two rounds of pullbacks and sharp rises on Friday, gold prices consolidated slightly around 4065 at the close. Currently, there's no clear distinction between upward and downward momentum, and the market is likely to remain range-bound. A clear direction is unlikely in the first half of next week, and we'll have to wait for data releases before making new trades. One key level to watch next week is the area around 4030, which is the potential entry point for our entry strategy on the second day of next week. On the hourly chart, gold is currently holding above 4020. If a pullback doesn't break this level next week, we can wait for a pullback to enter long positions. Similarly, if there's an initial rise, we'll still look at the resistance at 4100. Without a clear trend, we can focus on range trading for now. Market conditions are volatile, so please follow our real-time trading strategies. Short-term trading strategy: Buy around 4025-4030, stop loss below 4020, take profit at the 4080-4100 resistance level.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_3
1
Moving sideways and waiting for a breakout🔍 1. Descending Trendline (red line) This is an important dynamic resistance. Price has touched the descending trendline many times and been rejected → the overall trend still leans bearish. Each retest of the trendline that fails to break gives a sell signal. 👉 Only when price closes above the descending trendline will the short-term trend have a chance to reverse. 🟦 2. Upper Resistance (light blue zone) This is the area where the market previously made a strong reversal → strong supply zone. If price breaks the trendline and moves toward this zone, it is a high-probability area where selling pressure may appear again. 🟩 3. Key Support (green zone) Price has reacted many times at this support zone → strong support. This is also where price can form a reversal pattern if buyers return. 👉 If price breaks below this support, the bearish trend will continue strongly toward the lower support zone. 🔄 4. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1: Breakout of the descending trendline → Price moves up to resistance Price may bounce from the current support area → move up to retest the descending trendline. If the trendline is broken and retested successfully → target is the major resistance zone above. For BUY: Wait for a break & retest of the descending trendline. BUY GOLD : 4000 - 3998 Stoploss : 3988 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips SELL GOLD : 4130 - 4132 Stoploss : 4142 Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
Gold Price Outlook – Trade Setup (XAU/USD)📊 Technical Structure TVC:GOLD Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $4,075, struggling to gain traction after a sharp intraday recovery. Price remains capped by the resistance zone at $4,081–$4,086, while intraday support is seen between $4,041–$4,045. The structure currently favours a short-term bearish reaction, with price showing repeated rejection at the resistance zone. A break below $4,060 could accelerate downside momentum toward the support zone, while any sustained push above $4,093 would invalidate the bearish bias. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Sell from resistance zone targeting retest of support. Entry: $4,081 – $4,086 Stop Loss: $4,094 Take Profit 1: $4,045 Take Profit 2: $4,041 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 3.4 Bias turns bullish only if price closes above $4,093. 🌐 Macro Background Gold trades above $4,100 ahead of the delayed US September NFP report, which was pushed back due to the 43-day government shutdown, the longest in U.S. history. FXStreet notes that: “Gold edges higher to near $4,110 as uncertainty over US jobs data and cautious sentiment support safe-haven demand.” 【FXStreet】 NFP Impact: A weaker-than-expected jobs report would likely revive expectations for a December rate cut, boosting gold through lower yields and a softer USD. Fed Divisions: The FOMC Minutes showed policymakers divided—some supporting further cuts, others opposing another move in December. Market Pricing: The CME FedWatch Tool shows only a 30% probability of a December rate cut, sharply lower than nearly 60% last week, limiting gold’s upside. Overall, gold’s upside remains constrained by shifting rate expectations, but uncertainty around delayed data continues to provide safe-haven support. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance: $4,081 – $4,086 Support: $4,041 – $4,045 Psychological Level: $4,100 📌 Trade Summary Gold remains trapped between resistance at $4,081–$4,086 and support at $4,041–$4,045. Price is showing rejection at resistance, favouring a short-term bearish pullback. Downside targets lie at $4,045 and $4,041, unless incoming NFP data triggers renewed bullish momentum. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
A rebound after hitting bottom is bound to face pressure again.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold rebounded after falling to around 3997, forming a V-shaped pattern and has now largely recovered its Asian session losses. However, judging from the timeline, the mid-term correction is not yet completely over. During the NY session, we should continue to pay attention to the 4000-3980 range. Only a break below this level can open up further downside potential. Similarly, as I mentioned before, the market is expected to remain volatile before the data release, so the short-term upside resistance level to watch is 4055-4060, and the key resistance level is 4080-4090. If gold prices first touch 4055-4060 and encounter resistance during the NY session, consider shorting gold with a small position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
How to navigate volatile market conditions after the government #XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD As I mentioned on Friday, if the closing price failed to stabilize above 4110-4120, gold would weaken further on Monday. Sure enough, gold again fluctuated downwards, testing the 4050 support level. With Friday's panic selling gradually subsiding and the US government reopening, significant fluctuations are unlikely in the short term. Key data such as NFP and PMI may be released this week. Before the data is released, the market may be relatively cautious, and I think the market may tend to fluctuate and recover. Short-term support levels to watch are 4050-4030. If the price retraces and tests this support again during the European session, we can try to continue going long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
A W-shaped pattern is emerging, indicating a bullish outlook.#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold prices trended downwards during the Asian session, leading many to believe the market has begun to reverse. However, I disagree. As I clearly stated yesterday, as long as the key support level of 4075 is not broken, we will maintain our bullish outlook, and we will continue to follow this strategy today. From the hourly chart, gold prices are showing signs of forming a W pattern. If the neckline is broken, gold prices will continue to rise, testing the 4150-4160 range. A strong breakout could see prices reach 4180, or even 4200.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Be wary of the risks associated with rapid growth.Recently, gold prices have been affected by the ongoing US government shutdown, leading to a resurgence of safe-haven demand. After falling to a low near 3886, gold has consolidated for several weeks and is now attempting to break through to a high near 4147. This week, the key level to watch is whether 4147 can be broken; a break above this level could lead to a further push towards the 4200 mark, while a failure to break through would likely result in continued consolidation. After the significant gains on Monday and Tuesday, gold lacks upward momentum in the short term, indicating market caution. Following today's high-level consolidation, it has fallen back to a low near 4122 in the Asian session and continues to trade sideways. The key resistance level to watch in the Asian session is 4150, while the support level is 4100. From the perspective of the upward logic, this rise in gold prices stems from the concentrated release of previously suppressed bullish sentiment. After retracing from $4381 to $3886, gold underwent seven days of consolidation. The bullish momentum exploded rapidly after breaking out of the triangle pattern, resulting in a continuous upward trend. However, it's important to note that this round of gains lacked sufficient correction and consolidation, primarily progressing through a pattern of "rising - sideways consolidation - further rising," resulting in an excessively rapid pace of increase and excessive consumption of trading volume. Subsequent momentum is unlikely to sustain price increases, and the market is showing signs of exhaustion. Based on technical patterns and momentum performance, in the short term, the effectiveness of the 4090-4100 support level should be closely monitored, while the 4150-4160 range serves as a key resistance zone. Be wary of a potential pullback under double-top resistance. For trading, consider going long around the 4090-4100 level, with resistance around 4160 as a key level to watch.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Henry_Matthew
Gold – Buy around 4100, target 4160-4199Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, we placed buy orders at 4134 and 4125, which are currently showing a winning streak. Our bullish outlook remains unchanged. Gold prices plunged to 4097 at the end of the day before rebounding sharply. This is the market; regardless of its fluctuations and corrections, it will eventually return to its intended direction. Don't change your strategy based on a small dip or fluctuation. We maintain our bullish outlook for today's Asian session. The daily chart closed with a doji, indicating continued trading activity. However, the daily moving average support has started to rise, suggesting that buying pressure is building. The consolidation is simply to allow more buying momentum to accumulate. This upward move has been very strong, and there are no signs of a top yet. We anticipate a correction starting on Friday or Thursday. The hourly chart shows a V-shaped pattern. Today, we will use the 4100 support level to place buy orders. Additionally, the strong daily moving average support has reached 4071. From a technical perspective, as long as yesterday's low is not broken, the buying strategy should remain unchanged. During the Asian session, pay attention to the 4100-4130 support zone. This is only minor support; strong support remains around 4100. If yesterday's high of 4149 is broken, it's worth considering chasing the price higher. However, note that 4161 is a significant resistance level. Support: 4130-4100; Resistance: 4149-4161; 4100 is the key level for market strength/weakness. Fundamental Analysis: There are no major data releases today; all are routine data. The most important data this week is tomorrow's CPI, which has seen significant fluctuations over the past year. Trading Recommendation: Gold – Buy around 4100, target 4160-4199
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldenSpaceship
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the idea: --- Context & Structure The market has been in an uptrend, confirmed by a strong impulsive leg upward. The current pullback retraced into a key demand zone (highlighted blue box), aligning with: The 0.705 – 0.79 Fibonacci retracement zone, often a high-probability reversal area. The EMA(50) at 4,092, which provides dynamic support. --- Key Technical Elements 1. Demand Zone (Blue Box): Price has tapped into the discount area of the previous bullish move. This area is expected to attract buyers. 2. Fibonacci Confluence: The retracement aligns with the 70.5–79% zone, suggesting potential exhaustion of the pullback. 3. EMA Support: EMA(50) and EMA(200) are both trending upward, reinforcing bullish structure continuation. 4. Liquidity Sweep: The lower wick into the demand zone may represent a liquidity grab before the next bullish leg. --- Projected Scenario Expected reaction: bullish rejection from the 0.705–0.79 zone. Price is anticipated to form a short-term higher low and then continue upward. Target Point: 4,161.261 — aligns with the prior swing high / equal highs liquidity area. --- Trade Idea Summary Bias: Bullish continuation Entry Zone: 4,100–4,090 area (within blue zone) Confirmation: Bullish reversal candle or break of minor internal structure upward Target: 4,161 Invalidation: Clean break below 4,085 (below demand zone and EMAs) --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
8
Accurate prediction of an upward trend has arrived as expected.The protracted US government shutdown is finally coming to an end! The Senate has cleared procedural hurdles, and the temporary funding bill has passed a procedural vote, ensuring government funding until January. The shutdown is likely to end this weekend. As soon as the news came out, the market went from cloudy to sunny – the previous shutdown had tightened liquidity, but now it seems to be easing, and the precious metals market is leading the rebound. Although the shutdown isn't completely resolved, the resumption of negotiations between the two parties has sent a positive signal, boosting risk appetite and relieving the anxiety of watching partisan infighting. To put it simply, this "temporary extension" by the US government is like a reassurance to the market. Investors who were panicking before the shutdown can now breathe a sigh of relief. All that's left is to wait for the final decision so that the government can fully "reopen for business"! Gold broke out of a two-week low-level triangle pattern in the previous trading session, ushering in a strong upward trend. Yesterday's market exhibited a three-stage upward trend: higher in the Asian session, continued gains in the European session, and accelerated gains in the US session. Each rally was followed by a period of consolidation without significant pullbacks, a classic characteristic of extremely strong market conditions. Regarding the future trend, the bullish outlook remains unchanged for today. On one hand, the current situation strongly suggests a period of high-level consolidation: given the current extremely strong pattern, gold is more likely to continue its "time-for-space" consolidation, digesting pressure before resuming its upward movement. If this pattern holds, aggressive long positions can be considered before the European session. On the other hand, if a pullback occurs: the 4116-4110 range should be closely watched, as this will act as a crucial support level. If the price retraces to this range and stabilizes, long positions can be considered on the pullback.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Henry_Matthew