XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, projecting a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the main ideas conveyed:
1. Support Level & Double Bottom
A strong support level is marked around the 3,177 area, with the price bouncing from it twice (highlighted by two black dots), indicating a potential double bottom pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal.
2. EMA 200 Support
The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lies just below the current price (~3,177), acting as dynamic support. The fact that price is holding above it adds strength to the bullish argument.
3. Bullish Divergence on RSI
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows a bullish divergence, where the price made lower lows but RSI made higher lows—another potential reversal indicator.
4. Price Projection
If the bullish move plays out, the chart outlines two upward targets:
Target Point: ~3,501.67
Next Target Point: ~3,729.23
These are based on measured moves from previous impulse legs (shown by vertical blue projections).
5. Entry Setup
The chart suggests a break above the short-term consolidation could trigger the bullish run toward the first target, aligning with bullish price structure and support confirmation.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Overall Idea: The chart expects a bullish reversal from support, confirmed by double bottom, EMA 200 support, and RSI divergence, targeting higher resistance zones.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Goldpreis
The most important golden strategy📌Fundamentals:
Focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision
📊Technological aspects:
From the golden hour chart, the Asian market is in line with a wave of continued gains and the subsequent adjustment to the 10 moving average of 3350 has stabilized. The European market has slowly moved higher and is approaching the Asian market high. This pattern is still very strong, and there is a high probability of a second rise tonight; The 10 EMA is above 3370 as the primary support and continues to be bullish. As each line closes, the moving support will slowly move up. As long as it does not effectively break, the short squeeze will continue. A breakthrough of 3410 will also happen at any time. If it breaks through, it will be easy to continue to storm above 3420. If it rushes higher and falls back in the evening and falls below the 10 EMA, then If it adjusts to the middle track for the first time, there will still be good support, just continue to be bullish; comprehensively speaking, today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplementary.
🎯 Practical Strategy:
Short strategy: short gold when it rebounds around 3425-3430, target around 3400-3380.
Long strategy: long gold when it pulls back around 3365-3370, target around 3400-3420.
Short-term entry can be made at key points.📊Technical aspects:
|Gold showed a clear upward trend today driven by risk aversion, mainly because Trump announced a 100% tariff on films produced overseas, a move that triggered global concerns about trade wars and exacerbated economic uncertainty. In order to avoid risks, investors have turned to traditional safe-haven assets such as gold, resulting in a surge in demand for gold and a subsequent rise in prices. Currently, from the perspective of technical indicators, the 4-hour moving average is in a bullish arrangement, the Bollinger band is in an enlarged form, and the gold price is running close to the upper Bollinger band. Gold is still bullish, but the RSI shows overbought. Don't chase highs and beware of gold's highs and falls. It is recommended to go long again after a pullback.
🎯Practical strategy:
Go long when gold falls back to around 3385-75, with a target of around 3400. If it does not break, you can go short near 3400 and see a fall back near 3384.
Long positions in the US market remain the main trend🗞News side:
1. The “demand shock” of the Trump administration’s tariffs on the global economy
2. The United States rejected Japan’s request for a comprehensive exemption from 10% reciprocal tariffs and country-specific tariffs in recent negotiations.
3. The conflict between Israel and the Houthis
📈Technical aspects:
The 4H golden moving average spreads upward, the MACD golden cross opens upward, and the 4H overall bullish trend is seen. Gold price encountered resistance at 3386 in the morning of the Asian session. This point can be used as a reference in suppressing the market outlook. If this resistance is effectively broken through, bulls are expected to continue to work towards the 3400 first-line mark above. The daily chart is positive, and the K-line combination is relatively strong. The US market is expected to break through 3386 and reach the space above 3400; the SMA10 moving average of 3370 continues to be bullish as the primary support, with strong resistance to 3400. Even if the price of gold in the US market rises and falls, the middle track of the Bollinger Bands still has good support. On the whole, we mainly focus on long positions in short-term trading. We can consider the 3370-3380 layout to go long, with the target looking towards 3400-3410 above.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold returns to the bull market as expected, follow-up layout🗞News side:
1. The “demand shock” of the Trump administration’s tariffs on the global economy
2. The United States rejected Japan’s request for a comprehensive exemption from 10% reciprocal tariffs and country-specific tariffs in recent negotiations.
3. The conflict between Israel and the Houthis
📈Technical aspects:
From a technical point of view, the 4H gold bulls are once again making an impact. At the top, we focus on the short-term suppression of the 3380-3390 line, focusing on the suppression of the 3400 line. Below, we focus on the short-term support of the 3350 line, and the important first-line support of 3335-3340. In terms of operation, we mainly go long by stepping back on 3350-3360, and the target is temporarily looking at 3380-3390. In the middle position, we should watch more and move less, pursue orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
It’s the right time to short📌Fundamentals:
This week, the Federal Reserve will hold a rate decision, which is expected to dominate the market this week. In addition, we need to continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation.
📊Technical aspects:
The 1-hour moving average begins to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold has temporarily come to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage of 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase more at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust, and gold will go short at 3325 first. The market is changing rapidly. If gold breaks upward without stepping back, there will be no opportunity to go long. Then there is no need to chase more gold. Go short first and look at the decline and adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to go short on rebounds and go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3328-3330, and the support on the lower side is 3280-3293.
🎯Practical strategy:
Short gold when it rebounds to around 3325-3328, target around 3300-3280.
Buy gold when it falls back to 3280-3295, target around 3325-30.
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levels📌Fundamentals:
The market is still focused on Trump's tariffs, followed by geopolitical situations, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, the Israeli-Palestinian ceasefire, and the Russia-Ukraine negotiations.
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper pressure is around 3336-3345, and the lower support is around 3280-3293. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
🎯Practical strategy:
1. Short gold rebounds at 3336-45, with a target of 3280-3295.
2. Go long gold at 3280-3295, with a target of 3325-30.
Israel-Houthi conflict could put gold back on the bull run🗞News side:
1. The Israeli president said that they are on the eve of a "large-scale attack on the Gaza Strip"
2. The Houthi armed forces stated that all Israeli airports are their targets
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
📈Technical aspects:
From a technical point of view, the current 1H moving average of gold is spreading upward, resulting in a small retracement. The short orders we hold are also closed in time at 3310 to lock in profits. After gold broke through the previous range, the upward channel opened. The 4H MACD diverged from the bottom, the golden cross and the green column enlarged, opening upward, and the overall 4H trend was bullish. Moreover, the support effect of the middle rail of the Bollinger Bands is obvious, and the gold price is accumulating strength below the upper rail of the Bollinger Bands, with strong upward momentum. Pay attention to 3310. After the support stabilizes, you can consider participating in long positions near 3310-3320, focusing on the 3290 line below; focus on 3375 above, and then consider participating in short sales near 3355-3365 after the pressure is under.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold pullback continues to see bulls
In my first article today, I reminded everyone to be careful that gold will stand above the 3300 mark again.
And I also told you to rely on 3255-50 to do more, looking at the upper 3280 and 3300 positions.
Sure enough, after the opening of the European session, gold has made rapid progress, and the highest has reached above 3300 so far.
I also notified the real-time students to enter the market and do more near 3255 during the Asian session, and directly gave the target position of 3300.
At present, the target position of 3300 has been perfectly reached, and I also made a profit of more than 55 US dollars.
From the current 4-hour chart:
It can be found that gold is now completely above the trend line.
The only suppression position above is currently around 3350.
The support below is currently located at 3275-85.
If gold does not retreat, then the upper side will directly test the suppression near 3350.
On the contrary, if gold chooses to retreat next, then just focus on 3275-85.
As long as gold retreats and stabilizes in the 3275-85 range, you can directly enter the market and go long.
Continue to look at 3350 from above. If it breaks through and stabilizes above 3350 in the future, you will see the 3380-3420 range.
How to plan when gold’s rise encounters resistance🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
Compared with today's market, the morning rise happened to be a sideways price, breaking through the previous high point. In a volatile rise, it doesn't matter. It is very likely that in the later trend, the price will return to the starting point or even lower, but it can continue to rise. This is a feature of the shock. At the same time, the current market is not extremely strong, and it is still in a volatile rise. Therefore, do not chase long, but retrace as much support as possible.
🎁SELL 3315-3325
🎁TP 3280-3270
🎁BUY 3270-3280
🎁TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The latest gold strategy analysis and operation guidance📌Fundamentals:
This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price.
📊Technical side:
Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197.
🎯Practical strategies:
Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210.
Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
Non-agriculture ended perfectly, Today’s closing is key!📌Fundamentals:
The US April non-farm payrolls data (177,000 new jobs) exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed's expectations of a smaller rate cut. The market's expectations for rate cuts this year have been lowered from 90 basis points to 85 basis points, and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, gold fell after the negative news of non-farm payrolls today, but gold bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. It feels that non-farm payrolls have gradually lost its charm, and the market is not as good as usual. However, today's closing is very critical, and it is also the key to whether gold will turn around. The non-farm payrolls market has basically finished, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of 3260-68, focusing on the suppression of 3290-95 above, and the short-term support near 3235-3240 below.
🎯Practical strategies:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3260-65, cover short positions at 3378-85, and target 3240-3245.
Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced.
🎯Practical strategy:
3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.
Maintain shock and short position before non-agricultural📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine has eased, and the dawn of peace talks is approaching, which is a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan has heated up, which has supported the price of gold to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and warned that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
Gold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. This round of price has fallen from the historical high of 3500. The first round of selling to 3260 rebounded to repair 3370; after rebounding to 3358 during the week, it weakened again, and the Asian market quickly sold off and fell below 3260. The subsequent analysis emphasized that the short-selling pattern of each cycle is good, and the shock bearish trend continued before the non-agricultural, and the target was adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168;
European and American markets fluctuated and were bearish, which is in line with expectations; short-term resistance 3221, 3226, strong resistance 3231-3235; short-term support 3212, strong support 3202;
🎯Practical strategy:
It is recommended to rebound and sell: short near 3220-3230, target 10-15 points
Gold starts a unilateral decline?
📌 Gold information
U.S. stock indexes fell sharply in midday trading due to disappointing U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the crucial monthly employment report. This is likely to be the most important U.S. data point so far this year.
In other news, Dow Jones News Service reported: "Tariffs are beginning to bring pressure, prompting the Eastern giant to increase stimulus to support economic growth.
📊Comment analysis
For international gold, what you need to do now is to follow the market. Don't think about bottom fishing. You can do a short-term rebound during the day. When the market has clearly broken the structure, you should choose to believe in the technical side, rather than speculate on the next support. This will only be endless. At this stage, if you fail to bottom fishing, are you still ready to try again near the integer of 3200? This is not over yet. Even if it falls below 3200, the 3180 horizontal support will be immediately below.
This round of decline is about to completely give up the second rise in the front end, depending on 3180. This is why I just said that 3200 will immediately encounter a new support. The reason why many people choose to go long above 3240 is also because it is the first stage of the high platform of the front-end surge, and it is necessary to defend. Unfortunately, the defense is not successful now. In other words, if you want to go short next, you have to look at the continued decline. What are the characteristics of the continued decline? You certainly can't tolerate it having an excessive rebound, so don't think about any high-altitude trading strategy.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3230 points, and the profit target is around 3200 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
The short position continues to approach the expected point📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine weakened, and the dawn of peace talks was approaching, which was a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan heated up, which supported the gold price to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and reminded that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
From a technical perspective: the lower track of the Bollinger band at the 4-hour level broke through, and there was no sign of stabilization. The support of $3,250/ounce turned into pressure, the downward channel has been opened, and MACD has walked out of the hovering area, and the downward momentum has been strengthened; at the daily level, the MACD indicator is dead cross running, and the KDJ indicator enters the oversold area, showing that the short-selling force has an absolute advantage.
The short-term short-selling force of spot gold is strong, and the gold price is in a downward trend. Before there is an obvious reversal signal, the short-term trend is still bearish.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3235-3245, target 3220-3200.
Gold's evening rebound continues to be bearishAffected by the initial jobless claims data, gold has rebounded and risen again to around 3220 after touching around 3203. As we mentioned in the previous trading idea, short selling is still our main trading method before there is a big data impact. For the time being, we will first look at the first-line resistance of 3240-3250. If it breaks through this resistance range, we will further look at the key resistance of 3260-3270. If it does not break, we will go short.
There is an obvious downhill trend in the weekly line, which is expected to form a continuous negative trend. Then we look to the 3210-3200 support level to remain unchanged, and may even continue to look to the early low support line of 3193.
SELL 3240-3250
TP 3210-3200
Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold’s short trend intensifies! Main empty follow up.📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Gold, the price of this round has fallen from the historical high of 3500. After the first round of selling to 3260, it rebounded and repaired 3370; it rebounded to 3358 during the week and then weakened again. The Asian market opened with a rapid sell-off below 3260 and is now trading around 3234; the short position in each cycle is good, and the pre-non-agricultural market continues to be bearish. The target is adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168.
Short-term resistance 3235-3240, strong resistance 3246-3250, 3260 is not expected to arrive; short-term support 3220, strong support 3210-3194.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3240-3250, target 3220-3200.
Gold key resistance not broken, Continuation of weak shock!📌 Pattern analysis and attention:
📊Technical aspects: The current golden week maintains a range of 3260-3360 fluctuations, showing a weak oscillation pattern of falling first and then rising, but with stronger downward momentum. Technical aspects show that 3360 is a short-term long-short watershed. If it cannot be broken through, it will maintain low-level fluctuations; 3340 is the core key position. If it stands firm, it will turn into a strong oscillation, otherwise it will continue to be weak. The first two days of the week closed below 3320, confirming short-term weakness.
🎯Practical strategy: Short sell when it rebounds to 3320-3325 area, target 3310-3300.
Gold Key Points Summary How to grasp the end of the monthly line📌Fundamentals:
Trade policy easing and dollar rebound
Economic data and Fed policy game
Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East situation
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper side continues to focus on the short-term suppression of the 3328-35 line, focusing on the 3345-56 first-line suppression. During the day, the counterattack relies on this position to continue to bearish and continue to fall. The lower support is around 3290-85, and the short-term long-short strong and weak watershed is the 3260-65 first-line mark. Before the daily level does not fall below this position, we will continue to see long and short shocks, and the high-altitude low-multi cycle will mainly participate.
🎯Practical strategy:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3328-35, and cover short positions when it rebounds at 3343-52. Target 3310-3315, and look at 3275-80 if it breaks;
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Buy Setup with High Reward-to-Risk Ratio1. Entry Point Zone: Around 3,271.79 USD
This is identified as a potential buy entry area, marked in purple.
2. Stop Loss: Below the entry point at 3,257.71 USD
Risk management level in case the trade moves against the setup.
3. Target Point One: Between 3,313.75 and 3,317.07 USD
A short-term take-profit level, likely based on previous resistance.
4. Final Target (EA Target Point): Around 3,373.04 USD
A more ambitious take-profit, possibly based on a major resistance level or Fibonacci extension.
5. Trade Range:
Risk: 3,271.79 - 3,257.71 = 14.08 USD
Reward to First Target: ~42 USD
Is gold's safe-haven appeal waning or is it gathering momentum?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 30), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,318 per ounce. London gold prices fell 0.8% on Tuesday, and Trump said that China will absorb the new tariff shock. The weak labor market and consumer confidence data in the United States have raised market expectations for policy easing. This has put pressure on the price of safe-haven asset gold, while the US dollar has taken the opportunity to rebound.With the PCE inflation data and non-farm payrolls report about to be released, the market has entered a critical game period. On the one hand, the easing of tariffs has weakened the safe-haven appeal of gold; on the other hand, signs of economic slowdown have strengthened the Fed's expectations of a rate cut. In the short term, the rebound in risk appetite has suppressed gold prices; but if this week's data confirms the risk of a recession, the Fed may be forced to turn, and then international gold may usher in a new round of outbreaks! The current market sentiment shows a clear contradictory state. On the one hand, concerns about global trade tensions drive safe-haven demand, and on the other hand, expectations that the United States may ease its trade policy trigger profit-taking. This trading day will usher in the US first quarter GDP data and March PCE data, which are likely to be the winners and losers of the next trend of gold.
Technical Review:
Gold hit 3500 and began to fall. The current low is temporarily at 3260. The daily cycle has failed to break down after three trading days of testing. The pattern is a Yin-Yang line conversion, and it is a very obvious wide-range oscillation market. This trend should not be chased. The market has no continuity and is just going back and forth. The gold daily line has been alternating between Yin and Yang for 5 consecutive trading days, maintaining a wide range of oscillations. The short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart moving averages are glued together, the RSI stops and maintains the middle axis, and the Bollinger Bands gradually close, forming a box range oscillation of 3265/3385. The trading idea is to sell at a high price and buy at a low price to participate in the short-term.
Today's analysis:
Gold continues to fluctuate. The data in the second half of the week is dense. Gold is likely to wait for data to break through. It maintains a fluctuating trend before the data. Gold continues to rise and fall in the early trading. The rebound is still under pressure. Today's small non-agricultural data is also a key node for gold trading. So if gold chooses a direction, don't be obsessed. Gold continues to fluctuate in 1 hour, and the fluctuation range begins to narrow, which means that it is getting closer to a change. Gold is still fluctuating downward. Gold once again hit 3328 in the Asian session and fell under pressure. Tonight's small non-agricultural data, if gold breaks through the fluctuation today, then follow up at that time.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3298-3302, stop loss at 3290, target at 3330-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3352-3355, stop loss at 3364, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3300, second support level: 3275, third support level: 3260
First resistance level: 3340, second resistance level: 3355, third resistance level: 3373






















