Risk/Reward 2.24 on XAUUSD-GOLD – Is Opportunity Coming?Good Morning Guys
I’ve put together a 4-hour timeframe analysis on XAUUSD – GOLD.
Once the harmonic pattern completes, I’m expectin’ a correction right around the 4215.0 level.
That’s where the pattern should wrap up, and from there price is likely to pull back.
✅ Entry Level: 4215.0
🛑 Stop: 4270.0
🎯 TP1: 4189.0
🎯 TP2: 4149.0
🎯 TP3: 4097.0
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.24
Also, the Supply-Demand zone sits between 4045.0 – 4000.0.
If price drops into that area, I’ll be lookin’ to buy.
Once we hit that zone, I’ll drop another signal for y’all.
Every single like from you guys keeps me motivated to share these analyses.
Big thanks to all my friends who support me with their likes – y’all are the reason I keep postin’.
Goldsell
Gold - This is the bullrun top!⚰️Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is slowly reversing now:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting back in the end of 2015, Gold established another major bullish cycle. Ever since the rounding bottom breakout, Gold has been rallying higher and higher. But at this exact moment, Gold retests major resistance and is slowly starting to create a reversal.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold - This bullrun is now over!🚨Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) won't create new highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
All the way back in 2019, Gold confirmed its rounding bottom formation. This breakout was then followed by a major rally of about +200% over the past couple of years. But at this moment, Gold is retesting a major resistance trendline and will therefore end its bullrun.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Gold SELL SetupGold has tapped a major supply zone while forming a rising wedge, showing clear bullish exhaustion. Rejection from this zone signals a potential reversal. If price fails to break above the resistance, a sharp downside move is expected once the wedge breaks.
selling at 4205 level with reversal confirmation
TVC:GOLD
Gold baby !!!Back with quick gold prediction for the next couple of hours
Looking for gold to at least take out that low that I have illustrated on my chart using the line arrow tool
I set a weighted vwap on the demand zone to see where it could possibly go before my predicted drop
Good luck traders !!! Don't forget a SL
What are your thoughts on GOLD?Hello Traders! 👋
Currently, GOLD has reached the upper resistance of the range and is showing signs of weakening — forming lower highs, suggesting buyers are losing strength and selling pressure may return.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights
Price reacted strongly at the 4120–4140 resistance zone.
Emerging pattern of lower highs, signaling bearish pressure.
Main support to watch: 4040–4060.
Short-term trend: bearish correction within the range.
Medium-term trend: neutral / sideways.
Current Expectation
If GOLD continues to fail at the 4140 zone, it’s likely that price will:
👉 Decline back toward 4060,
and potentially further to 4040, the bottom of the range.
📌 Trade Signal (Technical Setup)
Sell Setup:
Sell zone: 4120–4140
Stop Loss: above 4160
Take Profit 1: 4080
Take Profit 2: 4060
Take Profit 3 (extended target): 4040
Conclusion
GOLD remains in consolidation. Price is now at a key resistance zone and showing signs of exhaustion, so selling from 4120–4140 remains the preferred strategy. The overall structure is still sideways until the market breaks above 4140 or below 4040 with conviction.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAUUSD Bulls are done!! Entering bear marketGold is showing multiple bearish confluences on the daily timeframe:
🔻 Bearish Confluences
Price rejected from a key supply zone and failed to make a new high.
Momentum is weakening as candles struggle above the EMA ribbon.
Structure is shifting with lower highs forming near resistance.
The current push upward is losing volume, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Price is sitting at a premium zone with multiple bearish signals lining up.
This is an ideal area to look for shorts — sell big, set your stop, and set-and-forget.
🎯 Fibonacci Downside Targets
Using the swing-high to swing-low Fibonacci measurement:
38.2% Target: ~4080
61.8% Target: ~3980
100% Target: 3750
These levels align well with prior market structure and liquidity pockets below.
XAUUSD (Gold) Is heading UPWARDS! - time to buyA few days back XAUUSD (Gold) was in a short term downtrend but finally broke out of it. The price broke through the downward channel to the upside, the price also held onto strong support (the white trendline which acted as a support level). The price tested the white trendline several times but kept bouncing back each time it hit the support zone. The price then broke through all recent resistance zones and will very likely hit the next resistance zone which is marked as the "Take profit" area. BUY GOLD NOW!
XAUUSD – Potential Reversal Zone and Structural ProjectionThis chart highlights a possible short-term completion of the current upward leg, followed by a deeper corrective move toward the lower support zone near 4038, before a potential bullish continuation toward the 4107 area.
The projection is based on simple market structure:
Price has reached a previous reaction zone.
A corrective wave may form if rejection appears.
A new impulse could develop from the lower support level.
Gold Bearish Structure Continues – Sell Levels UpdatedGold remains bearish after rejecting from the upper consolidation boundary and continuing its pattern of lower highs and lower lows. Price has now broken below the triangle-consolidation zone and is retesting the lower boundary around 4038-45 which aligns with previous liquidity. As long as price stays below the triangle resistance and fails to reclaim 4080 momentum favors further downside. The next bearish targets lie below the Strong Low zone aiming toward deeper liquidity and Fibonacci extensions.
✅ Bias: Sell below 4080
- Sell Zone: 4045 - 4055 (Retest of broken consolidation + minor supply)
- Stop Loss: 4082 (Above triangle resistance + structure break)
- Take Profit: 4025 - 4008 - 3988
- Invalidate: 4082 (Above triangle resistance + structure break)
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold continues to trade in a range-bound and choppy structure, showing back-and-forth movement with no clear directional bias in the short term.
In the current zone, price is trapped between channel resistance and key support, and a breakout from either side will determine the next strong move.
We expect gold to form a short-term upward correction toward the upper boundary of the descending channel and the resistance zone.
Once price reaches this area, a bearish rejection is likely, leading to a continuation of the downward trend toward lower support levels.
If gold breaks below the 4050 support zone and the daily candle closes below this zone,
this will confirm further downward continuation without any bullish pullback, signaling a stronger bearish wave.
As long as gold remains below the resistance zone and channel top, the short-term bias stays bearish.
Any upward movement is likely to be corrective, providing a potential setup for continuation to the downside.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold – Daily Chart: Expanding Flat Bearish StructureWave (IV) is developing as a complex expanding flat on the daily timeframe.
The current count projects a deep wave C, with downside Fibonacci targets (3,250/2,920) aligning closely to the base channel support.
Sharp reversals remain a risk as this structure unfolds, and volatility is expected near the key channel-fib confluence.
Expanding flat structure mapped
Wave C targets anchored at base channel and fib zones
Technical roadmap highlights where reversals and volatility may spike
XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret Intentions🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold begins the new week with compressed volatility yet maintains a bearish overall structure on H1. Price continues forming Lower Highs → Lower Lows, suggesting Smart Money is still distributing at premium zones while accumulating at deep discount pools.
Current Market Drivers
USD strength remains stable → keeping gold under pressure
Market awaits midweek USD data → early sessions may be liquidity-driven
Institutional flows show no strong bullish commitment yet
Bias for the day:
🔻 Bearish until price reclaims key premium zones with a valid CHoCH.
🔺 BUY setups valid only at deep discount liquidity pools (3996, 4030).
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Liquidity + SMC Structure)
Market Structure
H1 Trend: Bearish
Key premium zone above: 4146–4148
Mid-range equilibrium: 4060–4080
Discount demand clusters: 4030 & 3994
Liquidity Observation
Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL):
Above 4146
Above 4071 liquidity wick
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL):
Below 4030
Below 3994 (major liquidity pocket)
Imbalances / FVG
Strong bearish FVG at 4146–4148
Minor imbalance at 4068–4071
Clear discount imbalance at 4032–4030
Deep liquidity vacuum near 3996–3994
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Clear, Compelling Explanations)
1️⃣ 4148–4146 → Premium Liquidity Trap – Main SELL Zone
This zone contains:
Unmitigated H1 Supply Zone
Heavy BSL resting above recent swing highs
Major bearish FVG fill
➡️ A classic liquidity-engineered premium trap where Smart Money sweeps breakout buyers before reversing aggressively.
2️⃣ 4068–4071 → Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep – SCALP SELL Zone
Features:
Clusters of intraday stops from earlier longs
A small FVG acting as inducement
Positioned near equilibrium → perfect for fakeouts
➡️ Expect quick wicks and sharp rejections, ideal for short, high-precision scalps.
3️⃣ 4032–4030 → Discount Reaction – SCALP BUY Zone
This area offers:
Clean SSL located just beneath
Micro Demand Zone
A common reversal point during bearish cycles
➡️ Excellent for fast BUY scalps with tight risk, especially during London manipulation.
4️⃣ 3996–3994 → Deep Discount Reversal – GOLD BUY Zone
A high-value accumulation zone:
Contains significant higher-timeframe SSL
Aligns with deep-discount structure
Frequently used by Smart Money to reload long positions
➡️ If price taps this zone, a strong bullish rebound is very likely.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (High Precision Entries)
✔️ SELL GOLD – Main Premium Short
Entry: 4148–4146
Stoploss: 4154
TP1: 4120
TP2: 4080
TP3: 4030
Logic: BSL sweep → FVG mitigation → bearish displacement.
✔️ SELL SCALP – Mid-Range Sweep
Entry: 4068–4071
Stoploss: 4077
TP1: 4050
TP2: 4038
Logic: Engineered liquidity → immediate rejection expected.
✔️ BUY SCALP – Discount Liquidity Reaction
Entry: 4032–4030
Stoploss: 4024
TP1: 4045
TP2: 4068
Logic: SSL sweep → CHoCH likelihood → intraday rebound.
✔️ BUY GOLD – Deep Discount Long
Entry: 3996–3994
Stoploss: 3988
TP1: 4020
TP2: 4060
TP3: 4140
Logic: Strong institutional accumulation zone → potential formation of H1 higher low.
🧠 SESSION NOTES
Avoid trading mid-range to reduce chop exposure.
Best moves form after liquidity sweeps in London or during NY displacement.
Confirm entries with M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement.
Never buy inside premium zones; never sell inside deep discount zones.
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold maintains a bearish structure, favoring SELL setups at premium liquidity traps 4146–4148 and 4068–4071.
BUY setups remain valid only at strong discount zones 4030 and 3994, where liquidity supports a clean bullish reaction.
Let liquidity form the trap. Then strike with precision.
XAUUSD - Time to buy gold!XAUUSD (GOLD) was recently in a short term downtrend for a few weeks but has now shown some clear bullish movements ahead. XAUUSD (Gold) has broken out of a downward trend channel that was acting as strong resistance, The price is very likely to head to the next strong resistance level which is marked as the take profit zone (green line). Time to buy!
Gold May See a Minor Pullback Before Gaining Bullish Momentum📊 Market Update
Gold is currently trading around ≈ 4,050 USD/oz. A firm US Dollar is keeping gold from breaking higher, while markets await clearer signals from the Federal Reserve and upcoming US economic data. Cautious sentiment is keeping gold in a tight consolidation range.
📉 Technical Analysis
Resistance Levels:
• R1: ~ 4,100
• R2: ~ 4,135 (new resistance – recent swing high, strong selling pressure likely)
Support Levels:
• S1: ~ 4,020
• S2: ~ 3,995 – 4,000 (strong support, aligned with recent lows and trend validation)
EMA & Trend:
• Price is below the EMA 09, indicating slowing bullish momentum and short-term consolidation.
• If price moves back above EMA 09 on H1 → bullish momentum may resume.
Candles – Volume – Momentum:
• Narrow-range movement on H1/H4 → sideways market.
• Volume slightly lower → traders are waiting for a catalyst.
• Momentum is soft but no strong reversal signals yet.
________________________________________
📌 Market View
Gold may pull back to the 4,020 or 4,000 support regions before regaining upward momentum.
A weaker USD or negative US economic data could push gold upward again toward 4,100 – 4,135.
________________________________________
💡 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4,090 – 4,093
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,096
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4,023 – 4,020
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,017
Continue to accumulate - gold price moves slowly around 4050⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) trades firmer near $4,075 in early Asian hours on Monday, supported by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut following comments from John Williams. Attention now turns to Tuesday’s US September PPI and Retail Sales data.
Williams noted Friday that the Fed could still lower rates soon without derailing progress on inflation. Markets now see nearly a 74% chance of a December cut, up from 40% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Softer rates would lower the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, offering the metal additional support
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to accumulate and move sideways in the range: 4000 - 4100, The market did not have many major changes at the beginning of the week.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4143 - 4145 SL 4150
TP1: $4130
TP2: $4120
TP3: $4100
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4003 - 4001 SL 3996
TP1: $4016
TP2: $4028
TP3: $4040
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAUUSD | Gold Swing Short SetupGold closed strong Bearish in Weekly now retesting the Bearish Ob, Until unless it doesn't take liquidation below, chances are higher it will dump again. Use proper risk management, if it forms the daily fvg, then take first entry from the 50% of daily fvg, 2nd from the entry mentioned, and hold till tp or SL.
How will gold break out of its current predicament next week?
news:
On Friday, Williams, president of the New York Fed and one of the Fed's "Big Three," made a decisive statement, both setting the tone and saving the market from crisis. As a key figure sharing power with Powell and Jefferson, he bluntly stated that interest rates are "very likely to be adjusted further in the near future."
Of course, the hawks didn't back down either. Boston Fed President Collins was worried about inflation, while Dallas Fed President Logan was even tougher, questioning whether they should have voted on the previous two rate cuts, although Logan doesn't have voting rights this year.
technology:
Regarding the Golden Week holiday, the gold market experienced range-bound trading over the past week. The highest price reached was $4132, and the lowest was $4022, with an overall fluctuation range of approximately $110. However, for most of the week, gold prices fluctuated repeatedly within the $4040-$4110 range, with the fluctuation range narrowing to around $70.
Currently, after touching $4240, gold prices are temporarily in a second downward correction phase, and judging from the timeframe, this correction is not yet fully over. However, gold prices have twice found support and rebounded near the $4000 level, indicating that bulls have the potential for a short-term counterattack at this level.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the short-term resistance level to watch is around 4110, while the support level is around 4020. Technically, the trend is more inclined towards a correction followed by an upward move. I will provide specific trading strategies in the channel, so please pay close attention.
Strategy Signals:
buy:4040-4035,SL:4025,TP:4080,4100






















