Gold (XAUUSD) โ Pullback Setup Before Breakout? โ JUNE 26, 2025๐ก GOLD PRICE OUTLOOK โ June 26, 2025
Bias: Bullish | Looking for long entry on pullback
๐ Technical Overview :
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold continues to build a bullish market structure, forming consistent Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Price is currently moving within a rising wedge, approaching a short-term resistance zone.
๐ด Sell Zone (Resistance) : 3359 โ 3373
โ Rising wedge top + upper trendline
โ Fakeout trap possible near 3379.26
๐ข Buy Zone (Support) : 3294 โ 3300
โ Strong confluence zone
โ Matches previous structure support + trendline
โ Ideal for HL formation and long setup
๐ Fundamentals & Macro Drivers :
๐ต USD Weakness:
โข DXY near 3.5-year low after Powell replacement rumors
โข Boosting gold's upside momentum
โข Geopolitical Risk:
โข IranโIsrael ceasefire in place, but fragile
โข Safe-haven demand still supportive
๐ฆ Central Bank Demand:
โข 20% of global gold demand from central banks
โข China ๐จ๐ณ & India ๐ฎ๐ณ are major buyers
๐
Upcoming Catalysts:
โข US PCE Inflation & GDP due tomorrow
โ Weak data = Potential breakout above 3370+
๐ Trade Plan :
โ Watch for rejection at 3359โ3373
โ Long setup if price retests 3294โ3300
๐ฏ Target = 3370+
โ Invalidation = Daily close below 3280
๐ Summary :
Gold remains structurally bullish, supported by weak USD, central bank demand, and macro risks.
Waiting for a healthy pullback into demand for long continuation setups.
Goldsignals
XAUUSD and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for Gold.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3294 - 3312 area
Support 2: 3231 - 3287 area
Support 3: 3121 - 3176 area
Resistance 1: 3338 - 3368 area
Resistance 2: 3441 - 3451 area
Resistance 3: 3493 - 3500 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Ready bounce back?XAUUSD 3295.00 is an important weekly and daily key level price has just bounced back from the key level with double bottom formation. It is possible for the price to continue to bounce back to daily resistance level?
While was in down trend price has left significant imbalance in the market showing possible uptrend with the filling of FVG.
A buy trade with strong liquidity grab is high probable.
Gold Holding Strong โ Eyes on $3400 and Beyond! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last analysis, the price corrected down to $3341, then rallied back up to $3399. Currently, gold is trading around $3373, and if it manages to hold above $3355, we can expect further upside movement.
Potential bullish targets are $3400, $3417, $3450, and $3468.
Gold Pulls Back to 3332 Before Mild Rebound๐ Market Overview:
This morning, gold dropped sharply to $3,332/oz, marking the lowest level in recent sessions, due to profit-taking after the early-week rally and a slight recovery in the USD.
However, dip-buying interest returned near key support, pushing the price back up to around $3,350/oz.
The market remains sensitive to Middle East geopolitical headlines and comments from Fed officials scheduled throughout the week.
๐ Technical Analysis:
โข Resistance: $3,360 โ $3,370
โข Support: $3,332 โ $3,340 (tested this morning)
โข EMA 09: Price is currently below EMA09 ($3,355) โ short-term trend remains slightly bearish
โข Momentum / Volume / Candlesticks:
o H1 candle shows a bullish hammer formation at $3,332 โ signal of potential short-term rebound.
o RSI recovered from oversold (<30) to ~42 โ mildly positive signal.
o StochRSI indicates short-term buying pressure, but a break above $3,355 is needed to confirm a reversal.
๐ Outlook:
Gold may see a mild recovery toward the $3,360โ3,370 area if buying interest holds near the $3,330 support. However, failure to break above $3,370 could lead to a pullback during the US session.
๐ก Suggested Trading Plan:
๐ป SELL XAU/USD at: $3,365โ3,370
๐ฏ TP: $3,345 (~20)
โ SL: $3,375
๐บ BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332โ3,340
๐ฏ TP: $3,355 (~20)
โ SL: $3,325
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterdayโs chart idea is playing out as analysed.
Gold failed to break above the $3,395 resistance and has now pulled back, currently testing the first support zone โ aligned with the 4H 200MA and Daily 50MA.
If this area fails to hold, price is likely to head toward the next key support zone, where we expect a potential reaction.
To resume bullish momentum, we need to see a strong close above $3,346. Key bullish zones remain $3,375 and $3,395.
๐ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,375 โข $3,395 โข $3,418 โข $3,439
Support:
$3,361 โข $3,346 โข $3,330 / $3,306
$3,287 โ Critical demand zone
๐ง Fundamental Focus:
All eyes are on Fed Chair Powellโs testimony today, which may offer clues about the Fedโs rate outlook and inflation stance. Any hint of continued hawkishness could weigh on gold, while dovish commentary may trigger renewed upside interest.
Expect heightened intraday volatility around his remarks โ stay cautious.
XAU/USD Double Bottom Breakout Bullish Momentum Incoming!XAU/USD Double Bottom Breakout ๐ฅ | ๐ Bullish Momentum Incoming!
Analysis:
๐ก Double Bottom Pattern: Two clear lows have formed around the $3,340 support, signaling a potential reversal.
๐ฆ Accumulation Zone: The price consolidated in a range, indicating strong buying interest before the breakout.
๐ฃ Bullish Momentum: Recent aggressive bullish candles show strong buying pressure.
๐ Breakout & Retest Zone: If the price holds above $3,370, a bullish continuation toward $3,409 and possibly $3,445 is expected.
๐งญ Target Area: Marked with a blue box, the upside potential is clearly projected.
Conclusion:
A successful retest of the breakout level may lead to a strong bullish run. Keep an eye on $3,370 as the pivot zone. ๐ฏ
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Channel Up bottomed, giving a strong buy signal.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 1-month Channel Up since the May 20 low and right now it is consolidating within and just outside the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA100 (green trend-line) zone. At the same time, it has touched the bottom of the Channel Up.
This is exactly the kind of price action the pattern had during its previous bottom formation following a Higher Low (June 9-11). With the 4H RSI having also formed a Higher Low pattern consistent with all previous 3 Lows, we expect the price to start its new Bullish Leg now. Our Target is 3495 (+4.75% from the bottom).
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๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
Gold XAU/USD Bullish Reversal Setup โ Targeting $3,454.65Price: $3,384.41
Strategy: Buy/Long
๐ฆ Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Around $3,345.76
This level aligns with a previously tested support zone marked in purple.
Stop Loss: $3,331.56
Below the support zone, providing downside protection if the setup fails.
Target (TP): $3,454.65
Marked as EA TARGET POINT, suggesting a potential upside of 3.16% (~$105.83 gain).
๐ Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages:
200 EMA (blue): Near the entry level, adds strength to the support zone.
50 EMA (red): Recently crossed below price, indicating early bullish momentum.
Price Action:
Sharp bounce from support suggests buying interest.
Potential inverse head and shoulders pattern forming, which is a bullish reversal pattern.
๐ง Trade Idea:
Buy near $3,345.76,
Stop Loss at $3,331.56,
Take Profit at $3,454.65
Risk/Reward Ratio โ 1:3.3 โ favorable setup for long positions.
Gold Falling Toward 3345 Support๐ Market Overview
After failing to break the 3,389 resistance zone this morning, gold remains under pressure from profit-taking and a stronger USD. The price has dropped to around $3,360/oz, reflecting defensive sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
๐ Technical Analysis
โข Key Resistance: 3,389 โ 3,400
โข Nearest Support: 3,345 โ 3,324
โข EMA-09: Price is below the EMA-09 on the H1 chart โ short-term bearish trend
โข Candle Patterns / Volume / Momentum:
o M15 & H1 candles remain bearish
o RSI hovers around 45 โ indicating continued correction
o No clear reversal signals yet
๐ Outlook
Gold may continue to decline slightly in the short term if the USD stays strong and no geopolitical surprises arise. However, the 3345 support zone could attract dip buyers.
________________________________________
๐ก Suggested Trading Strategy
๐ป SELL XAU/USD at: 3,360 โ 3,365
๐ฏ TP: 3,335 โ 3,325
โ SL: 3,372
๐บ BUY XAU/USD at: 3,320 โ 3,324
๐ฏ TP: 3,340 โ 3,344
โ SL: 3,310
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation
Gold is retesting a recently broken trend line of a bullish flag
pattern that I shared with you earlier.
A double bottom pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
provide a strong intraday confirmation.
I think that the price may rise to 3392 level.
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Gold Set to Rise If U.S.โIran Tensions Escalate๐ Market Overview:
Gold traded within a volatile range this past week, hovering between $3,360 and $3,385/oz. The U.S. dollar weakened on expectations that the Fed will maintain current interest rates in July, while persistent inflation concerns globally have kept gold supported. However, a geopolitical shock emerged late in the week: President Donald Trump announced readiness to deploy troops to the Middle East if Iran continues provocation, raising the possibility of serious military escalation.
๐ Technical Analysis:
โขKey Resistance Levels: $3,387 โ $3,403 (weekly highs), $3,450, and extended targets at $3,500โ$3,520.
โขNearest Support: $3,358 โ $3,365 (lower bound of the bullish channel), then $3,344 and $3,320.
โขEMA09: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming a short-term uptrend on both 4H and daily charts.
โขChart Pattern: On the H4 chart, a Bullish Flag/Wedge Breakout is forming. A solid hold above $3,360 and breakout above $3,387 may trigger a strong upward move.
๐ Outlook:
Gold is likely to break higher next week if U.S.โIran tensions escalate into direct conflict. Safe-haven demand could surge, driving gold toward $3,450 or even $3,500/oz.
On the other hand, if tensions ease and the U.S. dollar recovers on strong economic data, gold may pull back to $3,344โ$3,320 before resuming any uptrend.
๐ก Suggested Trading Strategy
๐บ BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3,358โ3,365
๐ฏ TP: $3,387 / $3,403 / $3,450
๐ SL: $3,344
๐ก Enter on pullback to support โ preferably if geopolitical tensions rise.
๐ป SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $3,400โ3,410 (if price becomes overbought, RSI > 70)
๐ฏ TP: $3,380 / $3,365
๐ SL: $3,420
๐ก Only apply this if tensions de-escalate and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Precise short orders in 3370-3375 area are launched!Gold has been volatile recently, with intraday fluctuations ranging from 1 to 200 US dollars, which greatly increases the difficulty of operation for retail investors. On the surface, there are many opportunities, but there are only a few real big market opportunities. If you miss the rhythm, you can only watch your funds shrink. Remember that risk management is crucial.
From the 4-hour analysis of gold, there are repeated resistances from bulls before the downward break; once it breaks down, the market will go further down, and the focus below is 3340. The upper short-term is 3370-3380, and the important resistance is 3400. Only by breaking through the bulls can the rebound continue. In terms of operation, sell high and buy low, and pay attention to the breakthrough!
There are too many long orders accumulated at the current high level of gold, and the market will not rise sharply easily. The current international situation is so tense, and gold is still slowly declining. In this situation, it is difficult to rebound sharply.
Operational suggestions: For short orders above, focus on the layout of the 3370-3375 area, strictly set a stop loss, target more than 20 points, control risks, and follow the trend.
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure.
Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection:
First target: 3,435 โ 3,452
Final target zone: 3,500+
Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
Gold Rebounds from Support, Eyes Breakout Above 3,370๐ Market Dynamics:
โ Gold briefly dipped to 3,344 this morning before rebounding to 3,355 as of now.
โ The USD is steady after cautious Fed commentary, while geopolitical tensions continue to support safe-haven flows into gold.
๐ Technical Analysis:
โข Key resistance: 3,370 โ 3,380
โข Immediate support: 3,344 โ 3,340
โข EMA: Price remains above EMA 09, signaling continued short-term bullish bias.
โข Patterns / Momentum: A bullish engulfing pattern formed on the H1 chart at 3,344.
๐ Outlook:
Gold may continue to rebound toward 3,370โ3,380 in the short term. A break above 3,380 could open the path to 3,400.
๐ก Trading Strategies:
๐ป SELL XAU/USD at: 3,375 โ 3,380
๐ฏ TP: 3,355 โ 3,360
โ SL: 3,385
๐บ BUY XAU/USD at: 3,344 โ 3,348
๐ฏ TP: 3,365 โ 3,370
โ SL: 3,335
GOLD (XAUUSD): Technical Analysis & Important Pattern to Watch
For some known reason, Gold remains bearish this entire week.
The market is currently correcting within a falling channel - a bullish flag on a 4H time frame.
Ahead, I see a bunch of strong intraday supports.
From one of these structures, a bullish rally may resume.
A trigger that you should look for is a bullish breakout of
a resistance line of the flag and a 4H candle close above that.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
โค๏ธPlease, support my work with like, thank you!โค๏ธ
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold continues to fluctuate, and range operations are effective!Gold opened high on Monday and then fell sharply. On Tuesday, it fluctuated and corrected with a cross-yang line. On Wednesday, the overall trend was also volatile. However, after the Fed's interest rate decision was announced on Wednesday, the price of gold fell to around 3362. The low point of this decline was just supported by the 10-day moving average. From a technical point of view, the support of the 10-day moving average at 3350 has become a key point. If this support can be effectively maintained, the gold price is expected to maintain a volatile pattern; once it breaks down, the short-selling force may continue, and then it will be necessary to look at the support of the 20-day moving average near 3350. In terms of upper resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently near 3390, which will suppress the upward movement of gold prices. Further resistance depends on the gains and losses of 3405.
There is not much change in the 4-hour chart. The lower track has not opened, and the support of 3360 is strong. It is still a bullish trend. However, it is worth noting that in the continuous rebound, the Bollinger middle track suppression point has not been broken. Relatively speaking, gold is weak and volatile in the medium term. Under the trend today, if it continues to rise, we must pay attention to the gains and losses of the dense suppression point 3405. If 3405 is broken, the trend strength will come out and we can see the high point of 3430. For intraday trading, we still maintain high-altitude and low-multiple, waiting for the trend strength to break through the space, and we are bullish above the support of 3350 during the day.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at the rebound of 3385-3390, with a target of 3370-3365; gold falls back to 3350-3355 and buys, with a target of 3375-3385;
Gold Hits PRZ with RD-! Time for Bears to Take Over?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone ($3,445-$3,406) once again, forming an Ending Diagonal at the top of the structure.
Although price reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , the presence of Regular Divergence (RD-) between the last two peaks could indicate the weakening of bullish momentum .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , we can clearly count a completed 5-wave structure , with an Ending Diagonal pattern . This supports the idea of a major correction starting soon .
I expect Gold to attack the lower lines of Ending Diagonal , and if it breaks, it could drop to at least $3,333 . The Second Target could be the Support zone ($3,451-$3,120) .
Do you think Gold will make a new All-Time High(ATH) again in this rally?!
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,463
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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