Gold rejected at 3990 – caution as range expands📊 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) touched the $3990 resistance zone before retreating back to $3985–$3986, indicating renewed selling pressure near the supply area. The market remains range-bound, but the range is gradually widening, signaling potential volatility ahead.
🧭 Technical Analysis
• Near Resistance: $3990 – $3995
• Major Resistance: $4005 – $4012
• Near Support: $3978 – $3970
• Major Support: $3958 – $3950
• EMA50 (H1): price is hovering around this level, showing a neutral short-term bias.
• Recent candlesticks show upper wicks → sellers are dominating short-term momentum, though dip-buying interest may appear around $3960–$3955.
💡 Outlook
Gold remains in an expanding consolidation phase. The $3995 – $4005 area is a critical test zone — failure to break above could trigger a correction toward $3960.
Conversely, a confirmed H1 close above $4005 would suggest a bullish breakout and potential continuation higher.
🎯 Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $4006 – $4009
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4013
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3955 – $3952
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3948
Goldsignals
Gold rebounds from 3974, short-term trend turns bullish1. Market Overview:
During the European session, gold dropped sharply from 3985 to 3956 but quickly rebounded after touching the key support area around 3974. The price is now fluctuating near 3980, indicating that dip buyers have re-entered the market after the short-term correction.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Short-term trend: Neutral to slightly bullish
• Resistance levels: 3988 – 3995 / 4010 – 4025
• Support levels: 3974 – 3960 / 3945 – 3930
• The price is currently trading above the EMA20 and EMA50 on the H1 timeframe, and the bullish candle bounce confirms 3974 as a short-term support.
• If the price sustains above 3975, the upward move could extend toward 3995 – 4010.
3. Outlook:
Gold is currently sideways in accumulation mode between 3950–3990. Buyers are regaining control, but a clear breakout above 3988 is needed to confirm further upside momentum.
4. Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 3975–3978
🎯 TP: 3990 / 4005 / 4020
🛑 SL: 3960
🟢 Strategy: Buy continuation as long as price holds above 3975
________________________________________
🔻 SELL XAU/USD (only if price fails to break 3988–3995)
Entry: 3988–3995
🎯 TP: 3970 / 3956 / 3935
🛑 SL: 4005
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has entered a range-bound phase after making a new high followed by a sharp correction.
The price is currently moving sideways between key support and resistance levels, and as long as these zones remain intact, choppy and indecisive movements are expected to continue.
We expect gold to first form a short-term upward correction toward the identified resistance zone, which would also act as a pullback to the previously broken structure.
Once this pullback is complete, the price may resume its downward move toward the lower support targets.
If gold breaks the support zone before completing the upward correction, the bearish scenario will be confirmed without any significant retracement, leading to a deeper decline.
Overall, the market remains range-bound and volatile, and it’s best to wait for a breakout from key levels before taking new positions.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
XAU/USD | Gold’s Sharp Breakdown – Bears Still in Control!By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after several days of consolidation, price finally broke down sharply, hitting all our targets at $3,999, $3,985, and $3,947, and extending to $3,928 — delivering over 700 pips in profit.
After reaching the marked demand zone, gold bounced slightly and is now trading around $3,940. However, unless we see strong bullish momentum soon, a deeper decline remains likely. The next potential downside targets are $3,930, $3,915, and $3,905.
Further targets and updates will be shared in the next analysis.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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GOLD HOLDS GAINS NEAR 3975, EYES 3995–4010 RESISTANCE📊 Market Overview:
Gold continues its rebound from $3930, trading near $3975 amid softer USD and lower Treasury yields.
Traders await JOLTS data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks for potential volatility later in the U.S. session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Short-term trend: corrective rebound within a medium-term downtrend.
• EMA20 (H1): 3962 | EMA50: 3955 — price holding above, confirming short-term bullish bias.
• RSI (H1): 56, showing recovering momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3985–3995 | 4010–4024
• Support: 3960–3950 | 3930–3922
A candle close above $3995 would confirm breakout potential toward $4010–4024,
while a drop below $3950 reopens the path to $3930.
💡 Trading Plan :
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 3960–3957
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 3953
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 3998–4001
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
🛑 SL: 4004
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Buyers Need 3989 BreakAfter breaking below the 3989 support level yesterday, gold tested the First Reaction Zone as anticipated, where buyers stepped in and defended the area.
Price is now trading around 3968, but still below both the MA50 and MA200, which keeps short-term momentum bearish.
For buyers to regain control, we need a clear break and hold above the 3989 level. A break above this area could open the move toward the 4042 resistance, with 4090 possible if momentum continues.
If price fails to reclaim the 3989 level, we may see another retest of the Reaction Zone. Failure to hold that area could expose the lower Support Zone and potentially the HTF Support Zone below.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
3989
4042
4090
4120
Support:
3957
3918
3884
3851
3820
3781
🔎 Fundamental Focus:
Today has a few medium-to-high impact U.S. releases, including ADP Employment, and ISM Services PMI, which could influence intraday volatility. Later in the session, President Trump is scheduled to speak, which also has the potential to move markets depending on tone and messaging.
Gold & Silver Outlook | Central Bank Buying & Correction (5 Nov)🟡 GOLD & SILVER MARKET ANALYSIS - November 05, 2025
Central Bank Buying:
Global central banks remain in accumulation mode after adding 1,000+ tonnes in 2024.
* China: 2,298t | India: 879t | Russia: 2,335t
* Emerging markets’ gold purchases +30% YoY, driven by de-dollarization and inflation hedging as USD reserves fall below 58%.
Silver Demand & Deficit:
* Industrial use hits 680M oz (+11% YoY) — a record.
* Solar PV: 232M oz | EVs: 90M oz
* Deficit: 215M oz — extending into 2025 as mine output stays flat.
📈 Outlook: Range $47–$55/oz, with potential breakout as green tech ramps.
ETF & Market Sentiment :
* Gold ETFs (GLD): +$3.6B inflows in Oct, but -$2.1B outflows in Nov on profit-taking.
* Silver ETFs: Mixed flows, cautious sentiment.
* Gold RSI: ~68 → short-term pullback risk.
* Forecast: Inflows could rebound in Q1 if Fed resumes easing.
Futures & Positioning :
* CME Gold OI: 528,789 contracts (+WoW)
* Implied Vol (Dec): 21.1% | Call/Put Bias: 60/40 (bullish skew)
* Silver Vol: ~25% — traders shifting to policy-driven long bets.
Macro Drivers :
* Fed: 25bps cut + hawkish tone (CPI 2.6%)
* U.S.–China Truce: Reduces tariffs, softens safe-haven demand.
* BRICS: Advancing gold-backed settlement systems.
* Dollar Share: Falls to 58% of global reserves.
Performance & Forecast :
* Gold: $3,941/oz | -1.5% today | +50% YTD
* Silver: $48/oz | -1.0% today | +66% YTD
📊 Projection: Gold eyes $4,400 | Silver targets $57 by mid-2026.
🕐 Astro Window (UK Time): 1:00 PM–4:30 PM bullish spike expected.
Bias : Short-term correction likely → overall bearish bias until supports retest.
Check chart for buying/selling levels.
GOLD MARKET UPDATE (XAU/USD – $3980)1. Market Overview
Gold is hovering around $3983, moving sideways within the $3978–$3988 range. The market remains cautious ahead of U.S. economic data, with price compression suggesting a potential breakout soon.
2. Technical Analysis
• Resistance: $3988 – $3995
• Support: $3978 – $3970
• EMA 50 (H1): around $3985, neutral zone.
• RSI (H1): near 45, showing no strong momentum.
• Pattern: tight range, potential for breakout in the next few candles.
3. Outlook
Gold is in short-term consolidation, waiting for market catalysts. A two-way trading approach is optimal: sell at resistance, buy at support.
4. Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: $3988 – $3993
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3997
________________________________________
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: $3970 – $3975
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3965
Gold may reverse up if support ~3,950–3,970 USD/oz holds📊 Market Overview:
Gold is trading around ~3,980 USD/oz in the Asian session after declining from ~4,020 and dipping near ~3,975. On the H4 timeframe the selling pressure remains as no strong bottom has yet been confirmed around the support zone. Meanwhile, economic data and USD/crude oil swings continue to exert pressure.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key support: ~3,950–3,970 USD/oz (previous bounce zone).
• Immediate resistance: ~4,020–4,040 USD/oz.
• The EMA 50 is around ~3,990-4,000, acting as interim resistance.
• If price closes H4 below ~3,950 → likely target ~3,900. If it holds above ~3,970 and rallies, target ~4,040.
• Recent H4 candles show a potential hammer/pin-bar at the support zone, but we need confirmation via a strong H4 close.
📌 Outlook:
The medium-term bias remains neutral to slightly bearish until support ~3,950-3,970 holds and price closes above ~4,000 on H4. If the support breaks, deeper declines are probable. If support holds and we see volume/momentum pick up in EU/US session, a recovery may kick in.
💡 Suggested Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD
Entry: 3,972 – 3,969
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 PIPS
❌ SL: 3,966
🔻 SELL XAU/USD
Entry: 4019 – 4022
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 PIPS
❌ SL: 4025
XAUUSD Bear Cycle has started and this is why according to VIX.Gold (XAUUSD) closed 2 straight red weeks, which last did on June 23. Despite this pull-back, it remains within a Channel Up since the October 31 2022 Low, which was essentially when the Bear Cycle ended and the new Bull Cycle (Channel Up) started.
The previous Bull Cycle topped around 4.5 months after the Volatility Index (VIX) shown in blue, peaked during the March 2020 COVID flash crash.
We are now on a similar situation as VIX topped on the week of March 31 2025 during the Trade War and has since started to decline aggressively. Gold's current top was 6.5 months after VIX's top. Even the 1W RSI sequences between the two Bull Cycles are similar, further raising the degree of their high symmetry.
According to this correlation, Gold may has already formed its Bull Cycle Top 3 weeks ago and could be starting a new +2 year Bear Cycle.
As far as a Target and Bottom is concerned, the previous Bear Cycle almost hit its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level three times throughout the Cycle, until it broke below it marginally for its September - October 2022 bottom.
As a result, we are looking for the 0.382 Fib yet again as our focal point which is currently around $3000.
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Gold Analysis Today 3 Nov | XAUUSD Forecast | Smart Analysis🟡 GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today?
📅 Updated: November 3, 2025
💎 Trade with DECRYPTERS
⚡ Market Snapshot
Gold is holding steady near the $4,000 pivot after Friday’s weaker jobs data.
📉 DXY slips to 99.73 after a soft October payrolls print (+22K vs. 150K exp).
🏦 Fed’s 25bps cut to 3.75–4.00% with no clarity on December weighing on yields.
🌍 Central banks continue heavy gold buying: +19t in August, +220t in Q3 (Poland & Azerbaijan lead).
💥 Geopolitical tensions & tariff risks are keeping safe-haven demand elevated.
📈 ETF inflows: +222t in Q3 offset jewelry weakness investment demand remains strong.
🧠 Smart Money & Technical Framework
🟧 Gold Sell Area: 4026 – 4038
🔴 Smart Money Sell Zone: 4071.8 – 4085
🟨 Gold Buy Area: 3964 – 3978
🟢 Smart Money Buy Zone: 3912 – 3922
💬 Millions of orders clustered across these zones watch for liquidity sweeps before reversals.
📊 Live Market Context
💰 Current Price: ~$4,017/oz (+0.16%)
📉 Daily Range: High ~4,015 / Low ~3,991
🔁 Structure: Gold consolidating within key SMC range; breakout above 4,038 opens path to 4,071+, while rejection near 4,085 favors short setups back to 3,978–3,964.
🔍 What to Watch Next
📆 Nov 13 CPI (core ~3.0% exp)
Hot print → Fed pause → bearish for gold
Soft print → renewed cut bets → bullish continuation
🏦 ECB & BOJ meetings this week:
Dovish tone = USD weakness → supports gold
🌏 US–China trade rhetoric:
Optimism fades → safe-haven spike
Renewed deal talks → short-term pullback
🧭 Trading Plan — Keep It Simple
🔹 Buy Zone (3964–3978): Look for bullish reaction; smart money likely absorbing liquidity.
🔹 Sell Zone (4026–4038): Ideal to fade rallies if momentum stalls.
🔹 Smart Money Extremes (3912 / 4085): Expect deep liquidity grabs before reversals.
🎯 Targets: 4,071 (resistance) / 3,964 (support).
❗ Bias: Mildly bullish above 4,000 dips to buy, rallies to fade.
🏁 Conclusion
Gold remains range-bound between $3,964 and $4,038, anchored by central bank demand and weaker US data.
As long as $4,000 holds, bias leans bullish toward $4,071–$4,085.
Break below $3,964 shifts short-term tone bearish toward $3,922.
XAU/USD | Gold Fills Liquidity Gap – Another Drop Below $3,900?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching the $3,915 demand zone, price reacted strongly and began to rise, filling the liquidity gap created by last night’s drop. Gold is currently trading around $3,973, and if it fails to hold above $4,015, we could see another strong bearish move toward lower levels below $3,900. The next short-term bearish targets are $3,955, $3,947, $3,915, and $3,899.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold holds above $4000 — waiting for breakout confirmation🟠 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $4012, moving in a narrow range between $4000 – $4020.
Buying pressure remains firm near the psychological support at $4000, while sellers are defending the $4025–$4030 resistance zone.
The market is in a neutral consolidation phase, waiting for direction before the U.S. session tonight.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Near-term support: $4000 – $4003
• Near-term resistance: $4025 – $4028
• EMA50 (H1): currently around $4008 — acting as dynamic support.
• RSI (H1): near 48 — neutral, suitable for two-way scalping setups.
🔎 Outlook
Gold is “compressing” around $4010.
Main scenario: if the price holds above $4000 and confirms a bullish H1 candle, the upward trend could resume toward $4035–$4050.
Conversely, if the price closes below $3998, a pullback to $3985 becomes likely.
→ Prefer BUY setups on support reactions, and SELL setups only on strong rejection near resistance.
🎯 TRADE STRATEGY
🔺 BUY XAU/USD : $3987 – $3984
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $3980
________________________________________
🔻 SELL XAU/USD : $4026 – $4029
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
🛑 SL: $4033
Gold Awaits Breakout or BreakdownFenzoFx—Gold's upside momentum has been capped by the $4,050.00 resistance, backed by the anchored VWAP from October 23. The immediate support rests at the recent lower high, the $3,971.00 mark.
From a technical perspective, a close below the immediate support could trigger the downtrend, retesting the lows at $3,901.00. On the flip side, if the price closes above $4,050.00, the current uptick in momentum could extend to the upper line of the bearish channel, followed by $4,175.00.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has entered a sideways and choppy phase after reaching a new high and undergoing a correction.
The price is now consolidating within a narrow range between support and resistance, showing limited directional momentum in the short term.
In this area, we expect a short-term upward correction before the market resumes its downward move toward the highlighted support zones.
As long as gold remains below the resistance zone, the market is likely to continue its range-bound behavior followed by another bearish leg.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold: Technicals vs. Fundamentals as Prices DipGold is currently facing significant downward pressure, recently touching its lowest point since early October and dipping below the $4,000 mark. This bearish sentiment is largely fueled by two key factors: cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding policy easing, and a noticeable de-escalation in the ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China.
As traders, we're now watching for the next catalyst. Upcoming macroeconomic data from the US, coupled with further commentary from Fed officials, will be critical in shaping Gold's near-term valuation.
The December Rate Cut: Not a Done Deal
While the market has been pricing in potential rate cuts, it's important to remember that a cut in December is not yet a certainty. This ambiguity is keeping buyers on the sidelines and adding to the metal's weakness.
A Look at the Charts (Technical View)
From a technical perspective, Gold is at a critical juncture. The key breakout level to watch is the $4050 - $4060 area.
The Bullish Case: If Gold can decisively break above this $4050/$4060 resistance, it would open the door for a test of the next significant level, around $4150 / $4160.
The Bearish Case: However, until Gold can firmly establish itself and stabilize above the $4150/$4160 zone, the risk of a deeper correction remains very high till $3700
We are observing a recurring pattern: Gold is repeatedly failing at immediate trendline resistance levels. In technical trading, this is often a classic sign that the market is weak and may be poised for a further decline, assuming there are no major fundamental surprises.
Trading Strategy: Patience is Key
For those of us looking to enter long-term buy positions, a two-pronged approach is necessary:
Fundamental Watch: Keep a close eye on fundamental developments. Specifically, any new updates regarding US-China tariffs or shifts in the Federal Reserve's tone on interest rates will be major market movers.
Technical Confirmation: Patience is required. We must wait for a confirmed technical breakout above the $4150 / $4160 area. Until this happens, the bearish pressure is likely to continue. Otherwise, gold still have bigger chances to test $3700 before it rise again.
XAU/USD: Bearish Decline to 3827?OANDA:XAUUSD is exhibiting bearish momentum on the 1-hour chart , with price respecting a downward trendline and pulling back toward the EMA 50 (1H) as dynamic resistance, creating a prime short opportunity near the highlighted entry zone amid ongoing consolidation. This setup suggests continuation of the downtrend if sellers push through toward lower supports. 🎯
Entry zone between 3979-4020 for a sell position. Target at 3827 near the support and take profit zone, yielding a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:2.5 . Set a stop loss on a close above 4035 to manage risk. 🌟 Await confirmation with a bearish close below the entry and rising volume, tapping into gold's sensitivity to USD strength.
Fundamentally , this week features the FOMC meeting on October 29, where the Fed's rate decision could bolster the dollar if hawkish tones prevail. Additionally, outcomes from the ongoing Trump-Xi trade talks—kicking off this week in Asia—could spark major market volatility, potentially pressuring gold if a US-China deal materializes. 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
🎯 Entry Zone: 3979 – 4020 (short setup near resistance)
❌ Stop Loss: Close above 4035
✅ Target: 3827 (support / take-profit zone)
💎 Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:2.5, offering an excellent downside opportunity for disciplined traders.
What's your view on this gold drop? Comment below! 👇
Gold: Bearish Divergence Signals Weak MomentumFenzoFx—Gold tapped into the $4,050.00 buy-side liquidity yesterday, currently trading below this level. The cumulative volume delta demonstrates a lack of buying interest in gold, formed a bearish divergence with the price chart.
From a technical perspective, if Gold remains below $4,050.00, the price will likely decline toward the equal lows at $3,925.00.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Another Pullback Trade
Gold is testing a major daily resistance that we spotted earlier again today.
It looks like the price may retrace from that one more time.
A bearish breakout of a support line of a rising channel is my
intraday confirmation.
Goal - 3989
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Bearish Gap Caps XAU/USD UpsideFenzoFx—Gold traded lower after it crossed above the descending trendline, capped at the $4,050.00 bearish gap. Currently, Gold is testing the trendline as support, with support at $3,925.00. The recent breakout has confirmation from cumulative volume delta, and the delta also made a new higher low and lower high.
The immediate support rests at $3,925.00. Yesterday, the price swept the sell-side liquidity by a few ticks below this level. This means the price should not return below this level in the current session if the market is bullish today.
From a technical perspective, if $3,925.00 support holds, XAU/USD will likely rise to take the buy-side liquidity at $4,050.00. Please note that the bearish outlook should be invalidated if the price closes below the immediate support. This setup has a 1 to 4 risk-to-reward.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Short Trade Before the FED
I see an intraday pullback trade on Gold ahead of
FOMC & FED Interest Rate Decision today.
The price will likely retrace from the underlined resistance,
following a confirmed bearish imbalance and a formation
of a double top pattern.
Expect a bearish movement at least to 3988 level.
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