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Goldtechnicalanalysis

Continue to adjust and identify entry points for long positions.Gold has been fluctuating by $200-300 daily recently, which is no longer unusual. Our focus should be on managing and minimizing risk. We're watching the resistance level around 5000-5020. Gold is likely to continue its consolidation before choosing a direction. On the downside, we're watching the support level around 4820-4800. Technically, we continue to focus on buying on dips that hold. Recent international developments, including the US-Iran negotiations, will be key drivers of gold's price movements. We must be cautious in the face of volatile markets. Overall, gold is expected to trend upwards with some volatility. We should continue to maintain our strategy of buying on dips. If you're interested in gold but don't know where to start or are experiencing difficulties with your trading, feel free to contact me for discussion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullBear-GoldDesk
Gold May Continue Rising as the USD Weakens📊 Market Overview: Gold surged strongly and remains above the 5000 USD/oz level as the US dollar weakened and expectations of Fed rate cuts increased, boosting safe-haven demand. Market sentiment remains risk-off amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance: • 5035 – 5040 • 5065 – 5070 Nearest Support: • 5000 – 4995 • 4970 – 4965 EMA: • Price is trading above EMA 09 → short-term trend remains bullish. Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: • H1 candles show bullish bodies with short lower wicks → buyers are in control. • Volume increased during the breakout above 5000 → confirming a valid breakout. • RSI and momentum remain bullish but not overbought → further upside potential remains. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue rising in the short term if price holds above 5000 and no hawkish signals from the Fed or strong US economic data emerge. ________________________________________ 💡 Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 5039 – 5042 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 5045 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4999 – 4996 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4993
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mian-FXSignals
2
GOLD: Bulls Are Back In TownPrice swept sell-side liquidity into the 4700 area and formed a strong LL. After that price formed a clean bullish CHoCH, and is now holding above key demand. Structure has now shifted to HHs and HLs. This tells me the market is no longer bearish and is gearing up for a continuation. I’m waiting for price to pull back into demand, show confirmation on lower timeframes, and then I will look for buys targeting buy-side liquidity above the highs. If price doesn’t pull back, the alternative is a breakout continuation — but only with clean displacement and acceptance above the level. 🔑 Key Zones • H1 Demand / Discount Zone: 4850–4865 • Intraday Demand: 4930–4950 ❌ Invalidation (structure break): Below 4800 🟢 Intraday BUY (ONLY ON PULLBACK) Entry: 4930 – 4950 Stop: 4905 TP1: 4990 TP2: 5030 TP3: 5080 🟢 Alternative — Breakout Continuation (Only if no pullback happens) Conditions: • M15 close above 4980 • Strong displacement candle (no wicks) Entry: Continuation OR retest of 4975–4980 Stop: Below 4950 TP1: 5000 TP2: 5050 TP3: 5150 This is a bullish continuation environment after a sell-side sweep + CHoCH. You’re either: • Buying the pullback into demand • Or executing a clean breakout Nothing else. This is how Smart Money trades GOLD: liquidity first, structure second, execution last. If this helped you, make sure to like, boost, and follow Dynamic Trades for more execution-focused market breakdowns.”
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Dynamic-Dani
2
A gold rebound requires more caution.Since bottoming out around 4400, the current gold rebound has reached nearly $700. From both a technical and market sentiment perspective, significant profit-taking pressure has accumulated. Blindly chasing the rally at this stage carries a relatively high risk. The current 5090-5110 range forms a clear parallel channel resistance zone, with significant technical suppression. Furthermore, with the ADP employment data release approaching, the market tends to be cautious before key data releases, and some long positions may choose to exit early to avoid uncertainty. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to try shorting gold with a small position around this resistance zone, paying attention to potential profit-taking pullbacks before and after the data release.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold. Resistance 1: 5104 - 5115 area Resistance 2: 5582 - 5600 area Support 1: 4630 - 4685 area Support 2: 4536 - 4551 area Support 3: 4340 - 4410 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Gold, risks are looming!The current gold market is booming, surging forward with overwhelming momentum. After opening with a gap on Monday, it quickly filled the gap, touching a low of around 4989 before resuming its upward trend. Last night, it rapidly broke through the resistance level of 5110 and surpassed the 5200 mark, currently reaching a high of 5247. The price movement in the short term is dazzling. The current rise is mainly due to renewed geopolitical risks, coupled with growing market expectations of a Fed rate cut, leading to a reckless surge by the bulls. From a technical perspective, gold is at a dangerously high level, with major indicators showing signs of severe overbought conditions. There is upward pressure for a pullback, but the ultimate destination remains uncertain. Market movements often end in a frenzy, and yesterday's and the initial surge after the opening may be the last gasp from the bulls. I personally predict that gold may show signs of topping out today. Coupled with the interest rate decision, the current rapid rise may be a premature release of bullish energy. At this point, support and resistance levels are not important; it's more about psychological factors. Given this unclear pattern, we can only try small, high-risk strategies and avoid wishful thinking. Light, tentative trades are the best approach. Intraday, we can consider shorting around 5245-5260, carefully managing our position size.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
1
After gold broke through $5,000, risks and opportunities coexistGold touched a low of around 4990 yesterday, in line with analysis expectations. After the pullback, it successfully stabilized and rebounded, and the overall structure remains in an uptrend. Today's trading strategy continues to focus on buying on pullbacks, avoiding chasing highs and following the crowd. Currently, bullish sentiment in the market is clearly heating up, but it is necessary to be wary that after gold broke through the 5000 mark, its overall performance is somewhat weak, and the high-level market carries hidden risks, significantly increasing the difficulty of trading. The key resistance level to watch is the 5090-5100 range, where a short-term pullback is possible. On the downside, the key support level to watch is the 5010-4990 range. As long as this area is not broken, the overall strategy remains to buy on dips. Yesterday, we clearly advised patiently waiting for a pullback confirmation in the 5010-4990 range. Today's strategy continues this logic. We will continue to focus on the support level of 5010-4990. When the price approaches this level, we can consider placing long orders in batches. It is particularly important to note that if 4990 is broken effectively, we should be wary of gold further testing the cycle trend line near 4900. Once this level is broken, a short-term shift in the bullish/bearish structure may occur, entering a new adjustment cycle. The current market is filled with voices advocating for buying, but in reality, risks and opportunities coexist. When viewing market trends rationally, timing is always more important than direction. If you're interested in gold but don't know where to start, or if your recent trading hasn't been going well, feel free to come and discuss it with us.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
1
How to position for both long and short positions?Gold Price Analysis for Next Monday: Looking ahead, the factors supporting gold's upward trend remain intact. Central banks are still increasing their gold reserves, and safe-haven demand hasn't subsided. However, it's important to note that gold is currently at historically high levels and a short-term pullback is possible. For example, it fell by about $110 on January 22nd. Therefore, avoid chasing the price higher. Gold Technical Analysis: Gold encountered resistance around 4967 this afternoon, reaching a low of around 4900 during the European session before stabilizing and rebounding. During the US session, gold prices continued their strong upward trend. Looking at the daily chart, gold is showing a series of large bullish candles, with indicators in a bullish alignment and providing support below the price. The outlook remains bullish, but indicators have shown oversold signs, so caution is advised. Gold has rebounded after its recent decline, indicating strong bullish momentum. Technically, the 4-hour MACD shows a golden cross, and the price is trading above the Bollinger Middle Band. A buy-on-dips strategy is recommended for gold. The support level has reached 4888, and the gold price can maintain an upward trend as long as it stays above this level. The hourly support level has also been raised to 4900. In addition, everyone should be wary of the 5000 level, which is a historically significant psychological barrier and may experience a sharp drop. We are not speculating, but just being aware that if a drop occurs, do not go long again and do not be overly bullish! Beware of profit-taking! In summary, the recommended trading strategy for gold is to primarily sell on rallies and secondarily buy on dips. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is around 4900-5000, while the key support level is around 4900-4880. Please keep up with the market's pace.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullBear-GoldDesk
9
Gold continues to hit new all-time highswhere is the next targetGold prices rose to around 5111 today before encountering resistance and pulling back. Currently, the overall market is still in a correction and consolidation phase. It's not recommended to blindly chase the price higher at this level. A short-term pullback is a normal adjustment, and the technical indicators still need some room to correct the structure. The key support level to watch in the short term is the 5065-5050 range. The trading strategy remains bullish, focusing on buying on pullbacks and patiently waiting for entry opportunities after the correction. It's important to note that a pullback does not equate to a market reversal; it's more of a change in the pace of the uptrend. Maintain a consistent trading strategy, avoid emotional judgments, and participate cautiously. For those interested in gold but unsure where to start, or whose recent trading has been less than ideal, feel free to contact me. At this stage, adhere to the core strategy of buying on pullbacks and wait for the market to offer more cost-effective opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullBear-GoldDesk
Gold Short-Term Correction After Setting a New High📊 Market Overview Gold prices are currently trading around the 4,940 – 4,960 USD/oz range after setting a new all-time high. The previous upside momentum was driven by safe-haven demand and expectations of monetary policy easing. However, at the current price zone, short-term profit-taking pressure has emerged, slowing the upward momentum and pushing price action into a consolidation and ranging phase. ________________________________________ 📉 Technical Analysis • Key Resistance 1️⃣ 4,960 – 4,980 → short-term peak zone with strong selling pressure 2️⃣ 5,000 → very strong psychological level, likely to break only with major supportive news • Immediate Support 1️⃣ 4,900 – 4,880 → nearest psychological and technical support 2️⃣ 4,820 – 4,800 → strong demand zone supporting the medium-term uptrend • EMA | Trend: Price remains above EMA 09, indicating the primary trend is still bullish; however, the narrowing distance between price and EMA suggests a potential short-term pullback. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Recent candles show long upper wicks, small bodies, and weakening volume, indicating buying pressure is fading and the market is entering a short-term distribution phase before choosing the next direction. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook Gold may experience a short-term correction if it fails to break the 4,960 – 4,980 zone, with downside targets at 4,900 or deeper toward 4,820 – 4,800. The uptrend will only resume strongly if price closes firmly above 5,000 USD/oz. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,977 – 4,980 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4,984 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,883 – 4,880 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4,876.5
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold is consolidating at high levels; will it go up or down?Gold opened higher yesterday, reaching a high of around 4690. During the European and American sessions, it fluctuated between 4680 and 4660 for an extended period. However, it rallied again at the open today, currently maintaining a strong upward trend, reaching a high of around 4751. The short-term bullish momentum is unstoppable, driven by safe-haven demand, potentially leading to a capital inflow into the market. News is significantly positive for gold, and the current trend is entirely bullish, with all indicators showing a bullish alignment and no signs of pullback. However, reversals often occur when prices are seemingly unassailable. Currently, gold is consolidating near its historical high, which could push it even higher. However, indicators also suggest that the short-term market is overbought. As the market approaches a frenzy, we need to remain calm and maintain a balanced perspective. The current high is around 4751, while the key support below is likely to remain in the 4700-4690 area, which is also likely to form a top-to-bottom reversal. The price broke through this level today and continued to accelerate upwards. Although the upward trend is currently intact, there is a lack of courage to continue chasing the rally. Therefore, conservative traders should choose to observe selectively, while aggressive traders can gradually try shorting with small positions. For gold, we will first try shorting around 4750-4760, with a target of around 4720-4700. If there are signs of stabilization around 4700-4690, we can continue to go long.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
The gap in gold prices urgently needs to be filled!Gold Price Trend Analysis: From a technical perspective, looking at the daily chart, gold rebounded last week to fluctuate around 4600. On Friday, influenced by fundamental news, it experienced a rollercoaster ride, with a sharp drop to around 4536 near the 10-day moving average, followed by a rapid rebound to around 4600. The daily candlestick ultimately closed as a bearish doji with a long lower shadow. Today, gold is expected to face resistance around 4700, the upper limit of the daily trading range, while support is seen around 4620 near the 5-day moving average. The gap is located in the 4620-4600 area. Short-term technical predictions are difficult to make, and the current market is highly dependent on fundamental factors, so it is crucial to pay close attention to the impact of fundamental news. Looking at the 4-hour chart for gold, the Bollinger Bands haven't fully widened, indicating a potential need for consolidation after a strong upward surge. Therefore, given the significant price increase at the open, chasing the price higher is not advisable. If the price retraces during the day, the key support level to watch is around 4620-4600. On the hourly chart, the price is currently maintaining a narrow range at high levels. After continuous consolidation, the technical pattern is showing signs of weakening, with short-term moving averages starting to diverge downwards, suggesting potential for some short-term correction. Pay close attention to the short-term trend. Overall, today's gold trading strategy is to primarily buy on dips and secondarily sell on rallies. Key resistance levels to watch are around 4680-4700, and key support levels are around 4620-4600. Please follow the trend closely.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
The rebound is weak, so continue to short at higher levels.Gold Price Analysis: Today is Friday again, and whether it will be a "Black Friday" remains to be seen. However, Fridays are often prone to market reversals. The key now is that the current range will eventually be broken, and the choice of direction and the subsequent trading strategy will be crucial. From a structural perspective, the market is currently consolidating at a high level. The daily chart shows that this high-level fluctuation is still quite risky. However, yesterday's trading volume was relatively high, and the daily candle closed negative, indicating that the bears still have some strength. This is a possibility for further declines. However, as long as the price doesn't break down, we shouldn't be too stubborn about shorting. It's not too late to short when a high-level signal is given, or when the price breaks down. This decline is likely to be quite significant. This decline is likely to be quite significant. The pattern becomes even clearer on the four-hour chart, with continuous consolidation and fluctuations, somewhat resembling a rounded top. Gold is currently maintaining a high-level range-bound consolidation on the daily chart, with the price temporarily compressed between 4580 and 4640. On the 4-hour chart, the price is currently facing resistance around 4620-4630. Short-term moving averages are starting to turn downwards and diverge, and the candlestick chart is slowly under pressure from the short-term moving averages, maintaining a somewhat weak trend. This suggests that there may be room for further downward adjustment in the short term. On the hourly chart, the price center of gravity is gradually shifting downwards, and the price is slowly breaking through the short-term support zone. On smaller timeframes, the candlestick chart is currently maintaining a relatively weak downward trend along the short-term moving averages. Intraday, the key focus should be on whether the support zone around 4580 can hold. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is to primarily sell on rallies and secondarily buy on dips. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is around 4620-4640, while the key support level is around 4560-4550. Please follow the recommendations carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
How to grasp the rhythm of entering the market?Gold Price Analysis: Gold experienced a slight decline during the day. The short position suggested in the strategy around 4610-20 yielded some profit. Currently, gold is maintaining a high-level range-bound consolidation on the 4-hour chart, with the price temporarily compressed between 4580 and 4630. The short-term moving averages are currently in a relatively flat and converged state, suggesting a likely consolidation trend in the short term. However, after a drop on the hourly chart, the price has gradually stabilized, and the short-term moving averages are starting to turn upwards. The candlestick chart is slowly rising above the short-term moving averages, and the price is gradually breaking through the short-term resistance zone, indicating potential for a continued rebound in the short term. Gold Technical Analysis: Intraday support is seen at the 4580 level, which was tested this morning. This level is currently not crucial in determining the future trend. The key support level to watch is the previous support/resistance level of 4560. Furthermore, rapid pullbacks generally require secondary confirmation; if the weakness continues, the decline could accelerate. The primary resistance level remains around 4620-4630, a key point for the bulls to maintain their position. Given the repeated resistance above, we consider shorting in the short term. If there's a rebound to the 4620-4630 area, consider shorting. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is to primarily sell on rallies and secondarily buy on dips. The key resistance level to watch is 4620-4630, and the key support level is 4560-4550. Please follow the trend closely.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
2
Gold is expected to fall further; continue shorting.Yesterday, gold prices hit a new all-time high, reaching around 4642. Before the US session, prices quickly fell back to around 4600 before rebounding to around 4642 again. Surprisingly, gold prices fell sharply at the open, breaking through the psychological level of 4600. This recent rise in gold prices is likely driven by fundamental factors and geopolitical influences. If these tensions ease, gold prices could fall sharply. On the daily chart, yesterday's close was a large bullish candle, and the moving average system remains in a bullish alignment, consistently above the 5-day moving average. Short-term support is seen around 4580, which was tested once after the open. This level is not yet crucial in determining the future trend. The key support level to watch is the previous support/resistance level around 4560-4650. Furthermore, a rapid decline typically requires a second confirmation during the European session. If the European session remains weak, the US session may accelerate the decline. The primary resistance level remains around 4605-4620, which is also a key level for the bulls to maintain their position. Given the repeated resistance above, I am considering continuing to try short positions in the short term. If the price rebounds to around 4605-4620 during the day, I will continue to short in batches.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
1
Gold is forming a triple top; continue shorting!Gold prices opened higher today, accelerating to around 4639 after breaking through 4630 before stalling and falling back. For two consecutive days, gold prices have broken new highs, but the momentum has been very limited. Yesterday saw a pullback of over $50, indicating some divergence in direction around the 4640-4650 level. Options data also shows a gradual decrease in call options, suggesting a possible correction this week. Although the daily chart shows a new high, it closed with a bearish candle. While the overall trend remains strong, the possibility of a correction is something we need to be aware of. Currently, we can consider a short position around 4640-4650. If the pullback is successful, the key support level is around 4600, where we can consider a long position. The key support level is around 4570. If it breaks below 4570, we should abandon long positions for now, as a sharp drop is possible. If it unexpectedly breaks through 4650, even if there is a short-term rally, the upward momentum should be limited.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
How long can the gold bull market continue its run?Gold Price Analysis: After a surge in the previous trading day, gold corrected and closed with a large bullish candlestick with an upper shadow. Gold once again refreshed its historical high to around 4630. While the daily new highs have become somewhat numbing, some short-term pressure is now visible after the initial rise. The first resistance level is at 4610, followed by the high of 4630. Given the significant gains this week, a pullback is possible. Therefore, trend trading may require patience, waiting for a rebound before making a decision. Chasing highs and lows is prone to losses. Currently, after breaking through the previous resistance zone on the daily chart, the candlestick continues its downward trend along the short-term moving averages. The daily chart has now shown three consecutive bullish days, indicating strong overall market performance. In terms of indicators, the 5-day and 10-day moving averages have formed a golden cross and continue to rise, maintaining a bullish moving average system. The focus on the daily chart is whether there will be a pullback followed by a second upward move. Gold Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour chart, after the close, the price experienced a continuous pullback and is currently consolidating at a high level. Short-term focus is on the support zone around 4570. The candlestick chart is slowly breaking through short-term moving averages, which are gradually flattening out from their previous upward divergence. The short-term trend may remain in a high-level consolidation phase. Intraday support is initially expected around 4560-4550. 4560 is the low point after yesterday's initial break above 4600, while 4550 is a previous high. The potential for a breakout above this level to retest its support/resistance potential is crucial. On the upside, initial resistance is around yesterday's high of 4630. A decisive break above this level could lead to further resistance in the 4650-4660 area. This area, formed by connecting the highs of November 13th and December 26th, 2025, represents a key resistance zone at the current stage. While the overall bullish trend remains unchanged for today's trading, a short-term shorting strategy is still possible. The primary focus today is on entering long positions near the first resistance level of 4630, waiting for a pullback. If shorting opportunities are limited, long positions can be initiated directly. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is to primarily buy on dips and secondarily sell on rallies. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is around 4630-4650, while the key support level is around 4570-4550. Please keep up with the pace of the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullBear-GoldDesk
While maintaining the correct directionexecution must beflexibleGold Price Analysis: After successfully breaking through the previous historical high of 4550, the bulls continued their strong performance, and the overall trend remains bullish. The market moved quickly this morning, and I was unable to participate in time. However, the market is never short of opportunities. Missing a move doesn't affect subsequent strategies. With the high-level structure gradually showing pressure, we patiently waited for the rebound to reach its target before executing short-term short positions. Today, we achieved our target three times in a row by shorting on rebounds, securing a three-game winning streak. Even the fastest market needs a pullback; even the strongest trend has its rhythm. True trading isn't about chasing every wave, but about waiting for your own opportunity. Maintain discipline, respect the structure, and remember that opportunities always favor the prepared. Gold is currently showing a slightly bullish trend on the 4-hour chart, with the candlesticks continuing to oscillate at high levels along the short-term moving averages. There are still no signs of a top in the short term. The key support level to watch is around 4600-4580. On the hourly chart, after a pullback and correction, the short-term moving averages are continuing to turn upwards, and the candlesticks are maintaining a slightly bullish trend along these moving averages. The smaller timeframes are almost showing a V-shaped reversal. If the price breaks through the highs at the end of the session, the probability of continued upward movement is relatively high. After a single bearish candle on the hourly chart, the price broke through to new highs, followed by a rapid decline to complete a short-term correction before returning to a strong uptrend. In this situation, don't expect a sharp drop tonight. We can see that the lows of the pullbacks are constantly rising, and today marks the first break above 4550. This strong upward trend is likely to continue for at least several trading days. The short-term watershed is 4580; above this level, the bullish momentum is extremely strong. Even if there's no further rise tonight, and the price maintains a high-level consolidation at the close, there's still room for an upward surge at the open tomorrow. Watch the 4640-4650 range above. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is to primarily buy on dips and secondarily sell on rallies. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is around 4640-4650, and the key support level is around 4600-4580. Please follow the trend closely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullBear-GoldDesk
Is it still possible to short gold given its strong upward trendGold Price Trend Analysis: After breaking through the 4500 mark last Friday, gold opened slightly higher and continued to rise, currently testing the 4600 mark at its highest point, before undergoing a slight correction. Intraday, pay attention to the support level around 4550, which has now become a key support level. For trading, consider shorting at higher levels and look for opportunities to go long during the European and American sessions if the price retraces and stabilizes. Gold is currently hitting a new historical high on the daily chart, and the candlestick pattern continues its upward trend along the short-term moving averages. Intraday, watch for a potential pullback followed by a second upward move. Short-term support is expected around 4550-60. Gold Technical Analysis: On the four-hour chart, after a rapid rise, the short-term deviation rate is slightly large, making it unlikely that the upward trend will continue in the short term. It is more likely that there will be some adjustments in the short-term trend. We will see whether the price consolidates at a high level or falls back to complete the technical pattern repair during the day. On shorter timeframes, prices have begun to stabilize slightly. Pay attention to the short-term correction and recovery. Currently, there seems to be no end in sight for gold. Stimulated by news and with the bullish pattern still intact, the fear of further gains and risk aversion doesn't necessarily indicate the arrival of a downtrend. The trend remains extremely strong. The European session continued its upward cycle, and given the current position, the probability of continued upward movement today is high. The current pattern is still very strong, giving the market a feeling of being very bullish, making long positions hesitant, but prices just won't fall, maintaining a strong momentum. It's undeniably strong. Today's market movements, especially short-term price fluctuations, won't affect the upward trend. Therefore, a further breakout and continuation of the upward trend is just a matter of time. It's recommended to go long at lower levels, aiming for new highs. As always: use stop-loss orders, keep positions small, avoid floating trades, and don't be greedy. In summary, today's gold trading strategy is to primarily buy on dips and secondarily sell on rallies. The key resistance level to watch in the short term is around 4600-4610, while the key support level is around 4560-4550. Please keep up with the pace of the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullBear-GoldDesk
1
XAUUSD Intraday Plan | Technical Levels to WatchYesterday, we highlighted that failure to hold above 4464 would likely lead to a retracement into lower support zones. That scenario played out as price failed to sustain above 4464, broke lower, and moved back toward the immediate support zone, aligning with the MA200, which is currently providing dynamic support after the MA50 gave way. If price can find support in this area and reclaim the 4432 resistance, another attempt toward 4464 comes into focus, with potential for further upside should momentum rebuild. However, if selling pressure remains, watch 4390 as the next key downside level. A break below that would shift attention to lower support zones, where buyers may look to step back in. 📌Key levels to watch: Resistance: 4432 4464 4530 Support: 4390 4352 4315 4274
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
Currency War and Forex TradingA currency war, often referred to as competitive devaluation, occurs when countries deliberately attempt to weaken their currencies to gain an economic advantage in global trade. This phenomenon has a deep and direct connection with forex trading, as currency values are the core instruments traded in the foreign exchange market. Understanding currency wars is essential for traders, investors, policymakers, and businesses because such conflicts significantly influence exchange rates, capital flows, market volatility, and global economic stability. Concept of Currency War A currency war begins when a country uses monetary or fiscal tools to devalue its currency relative to others. The main objective is to make exports cheaper and more competitive in international markets while making imports more expensive, thus improving the trade balance. Tools commonly used include lowering interest rates, quantitative easing, direct intervention in forex markets, and regulatory controls on capital flows. Unlike traditional wars, currency wars are subtle and unfold through policy decisions rather than military action. However, their economic consequences can be equally disruptive, affecting inflation, employment, investment confidence, and global trade relationships. Historical Background of Currency Wars Currency wars are not new. One of the earliest examples occurred during the Great Depression of the 1930s, when many countries abandoned the gold standard and devalued their currencies to boost exports. While this provided short-term relief to individual nations, it worsened global economic conditions by reducing trade cooperation. In the modern era, currency war concerns resurfaced after the 2008 global financial crisis, when major economies like the United States, Japan, and the Eurozone adopted aggressive monetary easing. Emerging markets accused developed nations of intentionally weakening their currencies, causing excessive capital inflows and asset bubbles in developing economies. Why Countries Engage in Currency Wars Countries engage in currency wars for several strategic reasons: Boosting Exports: A weaker currency lowers export prices, increasing global demand. Economic Growth: Export-led growth supports employment and industrial expansion. Debt Management: Currency depreciation reduces the real value of domestic debt. Deflation Control: Weaker currencies can increase inflation, helping fight deflationary pressures. Trade Balance Improvement: Imports become costlier, encouraging domestic consumption. While these benefits may help one nation, they often come at the expense of others, triggering retaliatory actions and global instability. Impact of Currency Wars on the Global Economy Currency wars can distort global financial systems in several ways. Persistent devaluations reduce trust between nations and undermine international trade agreements. Volatile exchange rates increase uncertainty for multinational companies and investors, discouraging long-term investment. Emerging markets are particularly vulnerable, as sudden capital inflows or outflows can destabilize their economies. Additionally, competitive devaluations may lead to inflationary pressures, higher commodity prices, and increased debt burdens for countries with foreign-denominated liabilities. Connection Between Currency War and Forex Trading Forex trading is directly influenced by currency wars because exchange rates react sharply to monetary policy announcements, interest rate changes, and government interventions. Traders closely monitor central bank statements, economic data, and geopolitical developments to anticipate currency movements triggered by policy actions. When a currency war intensifies, forex markets experience higher volatility, wider price swings, and increased trading volumes. This environment creates both opportunities and risks for traders. Opportunities for Forex Traders During Currency Wars Currency wars can offer significant profit opportunities for skilled forex traders: Trend Trading: Prolonged currency devaluation creates strong trends that traders can ride. Interest Rate Differentials: Traders exploit yield differences through carry trades. News-Based Trading: Policy announcements create short-term price movements ideal for intraday trading. Safe-Haven Flows: Currencies like the US dollar, Swiss franc, and Japanese yen often strengthen during uncertainty. Experienced traders who understand macroeconomic fundamentals can benefit from these dynamics. Risks for Forex Traders Despite opportunities, currency wars also increase risks: Extreme Volatility: Sudden policy changes can cause sharp reversals. Central Bank Intervention: Unexpected interventions can invalidate technical analysis. Political Uncertainty: Trade disputes and sanctions amplify unpredictability. Liquidity Shocks: During crises, spreads widen and execution becomes difficult. Risk management, disciplined position sizing, and proper stop-loss strategies are crucial during such periods. Role of Central Banks in Currency Wars Central banks are the main actors in currency wars. Through interest rate policies, open market operations, and verbal guidance, they influence currency values. Sometimes, central banks engage in verbal intervention, signaling intentions to weaken or stabilize a currency without direct action. Forex traders closely track central bank meetings, policy minutes, and speeches, as these communications often trigger significant market movements. Currency Wars and Emerging Markets Emerging economies often face the most severe consequences of currency wars. Large capital inflows driven by low interest rates in developed countries can inflate asset prices, while sudden outflows can crash currencies and markets. To protect their economies, emerging markets may impose capital controls or intervene in forex markets, further complicating global currency dynamics. Long-Term Implications In the long run, currency wars rarely produce sustainable benefits. While devaluation may provide short-term export growth, it can erode purchasing power, increase inflation, and damage international relationships. Persistent currency manipulation can lead to trade retaliation, protectionism, and reduced global economic cooperation. For forex traders, long-term success depends on adapting to shifting macroeconomic cycles rather than relying solely on short-term policy-driven moves. Conclusion Currency wars and forex trading are deeply interconnected elements of the global financial system. Currency wars arise from nations seeking competitive advantages through devaluation, but they often result in heightened volatility, uncertainty, and economic tension. For forex traders, these periods present both lucrative opportunities and substantial risks. A strong understanding of macroeconomics, central bank behavior, and geopolitical developments is essential for navigating currency war environments. Ultimately, while currency wars may reshape exchange rates in the short term, disciplined trading strategies, sound risk management, and a long-term perspective remain the keys to success in the forex market.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
REALLY simple trading tip on GOLD and SILVER Daily and Weekly So many traders work with highly technical formulas and tools to acheive Exactly the same thing as this will show you It is very simply, the 9 SMA ( Orange) and the Smoother 14 SMA ( Green ) On the main Weekly chart for GOLD ( above), see how PA runs along the 9 SMA, bouncing until support fails. When that happens, the 14 SMA is the one to watch. If PA remains above that and bounces, all is good. It it Fails, Sell and wait for PA to regain the 14. So, the 9 SMA is the warning signal, the 14 SMA is the trigger, Using this idea, lets look at the Daily GOLD chart The same principle applies though, as you can see, the increase in volitility could confuse issues on occasion......But the principle applies well. When you loose the 9, watch the 14 and act upon that. SILVER uses the same principle. The Weekly silver chart Same Thing but slightly more Volatile due to the cheaper asset price and so, quicker to move.... You can see how the Parabolic rise in PA on silver leaves it open to a rapid, sharp drop at some point. Knowing when that may happenn is Crucial. So, when we look back to the Daily version of this chart, we can see that PA remains above support of both the 9 and 14 SMA - In fact, we see that PA has bounced off the 9 today....Support has Held. That Rapid descent in price is not happening yet. And that is IT Have a Very Happy New Year and may you remain peaceful
TVC:GOLD
by Orriginal
Gold Drops from 4247 High – Watching Reaction at 4200🔹 Market Overview Early this morning, after the FED cut rates by 0.25%, gold surged to 4247 due to a weaker USD and falling yields. However, profit-taking and defensive flows pushed the price back down to 4213. ________________________________________ 🔹 Technical Analysis • Near Resistance: 4240 – 4248 • Major Resistance: 4260 – 4280 • Near Support: 4206 – 4200 • Strong Support: 4175 – 4160 📉 EMA20/50 (H1): price cooled down to the mid-range between EMAs after the spike. 📉 RSI H1: dropped from overbought to neutral → bullish momentum weakened. 🕯️ H1 Candles: multiple wick-heavy candles appeared at 4240–4248 → selling pressure visible. ________________________________________ 🔹 Outlook • Gold is in a pullback phase after a major news spike, range contracting. • If 4200 holds, gold may rebound to 4235–4245. • If 4200 breaks, price could fall to 4175–4160. • Medium-term trend remains positive after the FED rate cut. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 4243 – 4246 🛑 SL: 4249 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips 🔺 BUY XAU/USD : 4200 – 4203 🛑 SL: 4196 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals