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Goldtechnicalanalysis

10.17 Gold bulls rose sharply and are about to enter the 4400 erLooking at the 4-hour market trend, the short-term support at 4290-4300 is currently under consideration, with a focus on 4270. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should focus on buying on pullbacks. For intermediate positions, be cautious in following orders and patiently wait for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please pay attention.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
The Golden Triangle is coming to an end, beware of profit takingGold Hourly Chart: The overnight close was relatively high, and today's Asian session continued its upward trend. The European session saw a sharp drop below the upper channel line at 4242. This trend resistance line is the same one that held pressure at 4218 in yesterday's European session. The market then closed with a large, plump, bearish candlestick pattern at 2:00 PM, reaching the target of 4210. Since it was a large bearish candlestick pattern, not a long lower shadow candlestick pattern, a rebound confirming the 5-day moving average at 4230-34 is sufficient, so a further downward push is warranted. The European session saw consecutive positive days, testing the bottom and rallying to a new all-time high. However, caution is advised in the US session. On the one hand, the 4250 level is a resistance point in the channel, and on the other hand, it is nearing the end of an ascending converging triangle, leaving little room for further movement and a potential reversal. Therefore, support remains at the middle line at 4230. Only a significant break below this level would trigger a potential for a significant short-term correction. Resistance is at 4265. Be cautious about blindly chasing rallies below this level. Consider the gains and losses at both levels and wait for signals.
TVC:GOLD
by AnalystDavid_
3
10.16 Gold Short-Term Operation Guide!!!Three key points to watch today: 1. Position. Today's target is the 4200 area (previously, it started at 4000, then 4090, and yesterday was 4140). The 4200 mark is today's early trading low. Using this as a dividing line, we're looking to sweep the $40 range above and below. A breakout will open up further opportunities. 2. Channel. The lower band of the channel overlaps with yesterday's low at 4140, while the upper band currently overlaps at 4220-4225. Today's Asian session saw continued gains, breaking through the small channel range and extending gains by approximately $20 to 4242. However, after the breakout, the price fell back to 4203, retesting the previous high. If the market falls back into the channel, the support and resistance levels will shift again to the 4220-4225 area. If it successfully holds above the support level, look for the 4200 area. If it breaks below, look for the 4180 and 4165 areas, with the 4145-4140 area exceeding the range. Similarly, if it breaks above 4240, and the profit margin is halved according to the principle of equal distance, the next resistance level will be the 4270-4290 area. 3. Although the current result is an upward trend, the process has been characterized by significant ups and downs, with each initial move ranging from approximately $60 to $80. So, regardless of whether you are long or short, regardless of the direction, at this moment, timing is more important than direction. Once confirmed, To determine a trigger, the first consideration is at least $60-80. Within this range, stick to one direction. If it's right, reap the rewards; if it's wrong, exit. Regardless of whether you're long or short, don't dwell on it. The current market trend is extremely chaotic. In this chaotic situation, perseverance is more important than choice. In summary, for gold today, Thursday, focus on the 4200 mark as a spatial boundary. From this boundary, we can see a range of $40 above and below. Two key resistance levels: the upper limit of the 4220-4225 channel and the equally spaced upper limit of the profit margin at 4240-4242. Using these two levels as resistance, we can see downward pressure on the price, looking for the 4200 area. If it falls below 4200, Two key support levels are moving downward: First, 4180, a support point that was repeatedly consolidated in the US market last night. Second, 4165-4160, the bottom of yesterday's sharp drop in the European market. Of course, if the price does fall to the second support level, it will be easy to find the lower limit of the small channel at 4140, which is also yesterday's low. Based on this idea, the European market price met expectations. Under pressure from 4242, a decline to 4203 helped to profit from the short position. The rebound continued, but the price slightly exceeded the range. If the price exceeds the range, then the second confirmed high of 4242-4245 area is still a short position, with a stop loss at 4253 and a target of 4220-4200. If it falls below, look for 4180 and 4165.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
10.16 Gold maintains the upward trend in the Asian session!!!From a multi-period analysis perspective, first observe the monthly chart's rhythm. From a long-term perspective, 3130 represents a watershed in the long-term trend. Above this level, consider a long-term bullish approach. From a weekly perspective, the current bull-bear watershed is 3585. Above this level, consider a medium-term bullish approach. From a daily perspective, focus on the 3997 support area for now. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. From a four-hour perspective, which we've consistently emphasized, support currently lies at 4175. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. On an hourly basis, prices are also currently bullish, but short-term divergence is occurring. Therefore, be mindful of short-term bullish risks in the event of further upward movement. Meanwhile, today's early trading session saw another surge in gains, with the early morning low serving as a watershed for the day. Above this level, consider a short-term bullish approach. Focus on the 4235-4266 area as an upward move. Gold's Asian session low of 4199.73 marks the intraday watershed. Above this level, bullish momentum is expected to continue. (Also, a divergence is occurring in the hourly chart, so be aware of the risks associated with a short-term rally.)
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
Profit Both Ways — Double the Trades, Double the Thrill !After gold hit above 4210, it showed obvious signs of stagflation. First, after gold touched around 4218, it retreated to around 4164; secondly, after gold touched around 4212 during the rebound, it retreated again to around 4179.While the two pullbacks were limited, they also indicate that after gold's strong rally, the market is beginning to diverge and diverge. We can use the ABC rule to determine the position of D. Based on the chart composition, D is around 4160. That is to say, in the short term, gold has the need to retreat to around 4160 again, and this area is also a strong defense line for bulls. If this defense area is broken, gold may continue its downward trend and test the bull-bear dividing line of 4140-4130. So after a clear rejection signal appears, I think we can continue to try to short gold in the 4205-4215 area. The retracement target area is first located in the 4180-4160 area; and once gold retreats to the 4160-4150 area, we can wait for an opportunity to rejoin the gold long trade!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
10.15 Gold continues to rise, beware of a pullbackGold 4-hour chart level: Asian session directly pulled up strongly. The overnight closing itself was not at a relatively high level, and it was still 40 meters away from the previous high. After a short squeeze and strong pull, it did not stop until the European session reached the upper track of the yellow channel 4218 in the figure, and then there was a sharp drop, with the lowest point at 4165. The high point of this wave of suppression was predicted in place (4215 was prompted in advance to pay attention to the resistance pressure), but the low of 4165 was only touched for a few seconds, so only 4180-4190 can be chosen; Judging from the current trend, the US session tends to see a strong consolidation at a high level. The resistance is still the derivative of the upper track of the yellow channel, which will move up to 4220-25. The support is the middle track 4170, which is also the retracement point of the previous red channel line; after approaching both sides, we will look for pressure or support signals to try to make a shock;
TVC:GOLD
by AnalystDavid_
1
10.15 Gold breaks high again, looking for retracement to continuAfter a significant bearish candlestick pattern, the gold price's hourly chart immediately took off with a bullish candlestick pattern in the Asian session, signaling a rebound from a bottoming out. The large bullish candlestick pattern at the bottom solidified the base, and the moving average took off again, also trending almost vertically upward. The candlestick pattern remained above the moving average throughout, demonstrating the unstoppable bullish momentum. The upper limit remains at 4200. Intraday short-term trading strategy: BUY: 4150 Stop-loss: 4142 Top 1: 4185 Top 2: 4200
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
10.14Gold bulls continue to exert their strength!!!Gold is currently stabilizing after a broad range-bound consolidation on the 4-hour chart. It experienced an unexpected intraday plunge, but the momentum has been minimal. A rapid intraday rise followed by a sustained decline could present an opportunity for a short position. The price has rebounded after retracing to previous support levels, and the K-line charts are still trading above the short-term moving average, suggesting a relatively strong trend in the short term. There are currently no significant technical patterns on the hourly chart. On the smaller timeframes, pressure is building on the short-term moving average, maintaining a weak trend. There may be some room for correction in the short term. Focus on the support level around 4005 in the short term.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
10.14 Tariffs and interest rate cut expectations resonate!Judging from the current 4-hour chart: 4100 is essentially the current hurdle for gold. It's also the most important support level today. Gold opened today in the 4100-4110 range. Although it recently retreated to around 4090, the real-world price still closed above 4110. If we analyze the trend from last week's low of 3950 to the current 4180 level, we can see that the 618 support level is precisely around 4090. 4090 also happens to be the low point of the recent retracement. According to wave theory, if the retracement does not exceed 618, new highs are inevitable. If it breaks through 4180 again, the next target may be around 4230.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
Gold breaks out to new all-time high!!!After breaking through the previous resistance band on the 4-hour chart, gold's candlestick chart continues to maintain a strong upward trend along the short-term moving average. There are still no signs of a peak in the short term, so focus on the support band around 4080. Currently, a purely technical correction in gold is unlikely to lead to a significant decline. The most likely scenario is a sudden sell-off or a rapid surge and then a decline to release bullish pressure, which may lead to some decent short-selling opportunities. On the hourly chart, the candlestick chart maintains a slight upward trend along the short-term moving average. Intraday pullbacks do not provide much room for improvement. Watch for short-term corrections in the closing market. Consider long positions around 3080-1.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
Monday's US gold market focus on short-term adjustmentsOn Friday, we emphasized the importance of the daily close. Gold's late-day rally on Friday disrupted the previous downward trend following the engulfing high. Instead, it continues to fluctuate along its short-term moving average, maintaining a relatively strong trend on the daily chart. On the 4-hour chart, gold has broken through the previous resistance band, and the K-line continues to maintain a relatively stable upward trend along the short-term moving average. In the short term, watch for a second upward pull after a pullback. On the hourly chart, after a series of small upward movements, the price is currently fluctuating in a narrow range at a high level. The current divergence in the short-term chart suggests that there may be room for adjustment in the short term. Keep an eye on this short-term correction.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
3
Gold will continue to rise at the end of the week!!!Gold is currently consolidating at a high level on the daily chart, nearly forming an engulfing pattern at a high level, making today's daily close crucial. On the 4-hour chart, prices are currently fluctuating at a low level, finding support around 3950. On the hourly chart, after continuous fluctuations, the technical pattern is gradually adjusting. The short-term moving average is gradually diverging upward, and the K-line chart is slowly crossing the short-term moving average. The short-term trend is gradually strengthening, suggesting further upside potential. Keep an eye on the resistance zone around 4010. Trade Recommendation: Buy around 3975-6, with a stop-loss at 3966.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
2
Gold’s Pullbacks Reveal Bearish Strength — 3960 in Sight!After gold retreated from around 4060, it encountered resistance and fell back frequently during the rebound. Although gold still maintained an overall bullish trend, the bullish momentum has obviously weakened, and the short-term gold market has entered a high-level fluctuation stage. Currently, the highest level of gold has reached around 4060. According to the current structure and rebound momentum, if gold cannot effectively break through the recent high of 4060, then gold is likely to form a secondary high point during the oscillation process and form an M-shaped double top structure with the recent high point. Therefore, although gold is in an overall bullish trend, we still cannot ignore the considerable risk of a pullback in the short term before it effectively breaks through the high of 4060. At present, gold is testing the 4000 mark under the pressure of technical patterns. If the 4000 mark cannot withstand the test, gold may continue to retreat to the area around 3960. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can still consider waiting for gold to rebound to the 4030-4040 area and try to short gold, first aiming at the retracement target area: 3990-3980; followed by 3960-3950!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
10.9 Gold US Market Operation Guide!!!Looking at the 4-hour market trend, watch for the important support level of 3990-4000 below, and the bull-bear watershed of 3980-85. The bull market is rising strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should focus on buying on pullbacks. In the middle, be cautious about following orders. Gold Trading Strategies: 1. Buy gold at 4000-4010, and add to long positions if it retraces to 3985-3993. Set a stop loss at 3977 and target 4045-4050.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
Gold goes short first and then long, the rhythm is perfect!Gold has rebounded significantly after touching the key long position of the strategy near 4002 several times during the day, verifying the effectiveness of our previous layout ideas. The price rose rapidly after receiving strong support in the key support area, showing that the bulls still hold a dominant position. The short-term adjustment is more to accumulate momentum for an upward attack. Overall, the structure of a squat followed by a long jump is very obvious. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour cycle still maintains a bull-dominated pattern, the moving average system shows a good bullish arrangement, and the short-term price runs above the main moving average, indicating that the trend is still healthy. Although the MACD momentum column shows signs of contraction, it is still running above the zero axis as a whole, indicating that market momentum is still strong. In terms of operational thinking, we continue to maintain the bullish thinking. The key support is the 4000-3985 area. As long as this range is not effectively broken, short-term pullbacks are regarded as low-long opportunities. If the price effectively falls below the 3980 line, it means that the short-term bullish structure is destroyed and the market may enter a phased adjustment. The 4050-4060 area above is an important pressure zone. If the market encounters resistance and pressure again at this position, you can try to short gold with a light position in the short term. The target can first look at the 4020-4000 area. However, it should be noted that this short order is only a short-term gaming idea. Be sure to strictly control the position and take profit and stop loss, and do not blindly chase the short position. If the gold price can continue to break through and stabilize above 4060 in large volume, the upside space will be further opened, with the target pointing to the 4100 mark or even higher levels. Overall, the gold trend remains healthy, and a short-term pullback will not change the medium-term upward trend. The core of stable trading lies in rhythm and execution. Although the market is advancing in volatility, the direction remains clear. Be patient, strictly implement the plan, and wait for the market to give another opportunity for certainty. If there are structural changes in the subsequent market, I will update the strategy and synchronize it with you as soon as possible.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
10.9 Gold Short-term Intraday Operation Guide!!!Technical Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows support at the middle line and near the MA30 moving average, corresponding to 3986 and 3947, respectively. The Bollinger Bands have also begun to narrow, indicating a volatile, compressed, and retest pattern in the 4-hour chart. Focus is currently on the upward pressure of 4032, near the MA5 moving average. The 3-hour chart saw a rapid drop to 4001 this morning before bottoming out near 4008 and rebounding to 4036. The MACD formed a dead cross with high volume, and the STO indicator is trading at a low level, indicating weak 4-hour volatility. The high point of the morning rebound, the middle line of the hourly chart, has become the current resistance point at 4036. Meanwhile, support between 3999 and 4000 is a key focus today. On the daily chart, focus on yesterday's highs and lows, 4059, and 3984. For the daily chart to rise, it must not fall below yesterday's lows but must break above yesterday's highs. However, considering the current volatile decline in the 4-hour chart, it is obvious that it will be difficult to go up in the morning session, so 4032 and 4050-59 become today's shorting points; and for the time being, we will focus on the morning low of 4001 and yesterday's low of 3984.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
The US market fluctuates at a high level, and long orders fall bGold prices continued to fluctuate at high levels in the early stages of the U.S. trading session on Wednesday (October 8), with the potential for further gains. At the same time, the current price increase has already reached a large extent. Pursuing long positions at the current price is not the best opportunity. Waiting for a pullback to trade long positions at support points, with small stop-loss orders and a large expected profit range, spot gold broke through the $4,000 mark during the day, reaching a record high of $4,049.43 before retreating slightly. The current rise in gold prices is driven by strong safe-haven demand, driven by factors including the U.S. government shutdown, falling Treasury yields, and political turmoil in Europe and Japan.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
3
Golden opportunity has arrivedGold has continued its strong upward momentum since breaking through the 4000 mark, reaching a high of around 4049. The market has hardly made any decent corrections, market sentiment has continued to be high, and bullish confidence has been infinitely magnified. However, the more emotional the stage is, the more we need to remain calm and rational. Structurally, gold has entered the end of an accelerated upward trend, and short-term indicators are obviously overbought. Although prices have hit new highs, momentum has not increased simultaneously, and there are signs of slight divergence, indicating that the upper space is gradually narrowing. Combined with the 4-hour structure, the 4050-4060 area is a period of strong pressure, and it may face a technical correction in the short term. In terms of operational thinking, you can consider shorting with a light position in the 4050-4060 area, and first target the 4020-4000 area. Conservative people can wait for the confirmation of the pullback before participating, and do not blindly chase the long position. Although gold is strong at present, it is not a mindless rise stage. The larger the bullish space, the deeper the adjustment will often be. At this time, risk control should be the core and planning should be the basis. Short-term short positions should only participate in structural corrections, and should not make impulsive trades that blindly fight against the trend. Steady execution, position control, and maintaining rhythm are the key to remaining invincible in extreme markets.If your recent operations are not ideal, or you are confused about how to grasp the rhythm, you are welcome to communicate with me at any time. I hope I can help you avoid detours and steadily improve your trading thinking and execution.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldenTrack_Daniel
1
Gold’s Swings Offer Bears a Profitable EdgeGold has currently reached a high of around 4050, but after reaching this area, the upward trend has been suppressed, and the upward momentum has weakened. Gold needs to retreat in the short term. Gold is currently under pressure in the 4050-4060 area. If gold shows obvious signs of stagflation in this area, then gold may usher in a good pullback at any time. However, because gold is currently in a strong upward trend, its structure and form are in an obvious bullish trend. Therefore, even if the gold market pulls back, the pullback is not expected to be too large in the short term. We should first focus on the support area below, 4000-3990. Therefore, in volatile markets, even if gold is in a strong bullish trend, gold shorts still have good profit opportunities due to volatility. So in the short term, we can consider trying to short gold in the 4050-4060 area, first aiming at the target area: 4010-4000 area. If you're short gold like me, we must be among the first to reap the benefits of a market correction. If you'd like to continue following my trading strategies and signals, be sure to follow me!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
10.8 Gold Daily Short-Term Operation Guide!!!In the 1-hour chart, the Asian session continues to rise with $3985 as support. A quick pullback would be an opportunity to buy in. Unless the Asian session decline continues in the European session and then in the US session, or if the Asian session breaks the bottom in the European session and fails to continue in the US session, don't try to bet on a pullback; instead, follow the trend. Secondly, give up on speculating on the top. Currently, the strong upward trend remains unchanged on both the daily and 4-hour charts. Even after breaking through $4000 in the short term, there's still no sign of an end. While bullish, be wary of pullbacks. In other words, be prepared for a pullback and avoid chasing orders. If the pullback approaches the $4000-3980 range, buy long. If the European session's strength doesn't offer opportunities, and there are further pullbacks before the US market opens, keep an eye on $4030-4050.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
10.7 The bullish trend of gold remains unchanged! Follow the treCurrent Market: 1: Technical Analysis - The bullish trend remains unchanged, so follow the trend. Trading Methods - Follow sideways trading and pullbacks! Avoid headwinds and avoid heavily shorting! Focus on following the trend! 2: Fundamentals - The probability of an October Fed rate cut continues to increase! The Russo-Ukrainian war remains stalemated! The outlook for the Middle East remains uncertain! Global central banks continue to increase their gold holdings! The overall fundamental environment is bullish for gold. To sum up: From both a technical and fundamental perspective, gold is primarily bullish! US Trading Timeframe: 1: 1-hour trading, sideways resistance at high levels, with support near 3940; the Stochastic and MACD lines are temporarily blunting! 2: 4-hour trading, the Stochastic has formed a death cross, and the MACD lines are blunting! From a morphological perspective, the short-term top-bottom reversal support level is around 3940. 3: In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator blunted and retraced to a golden cross, signaling a bullish trend. The MACD double lines continued to cross upward, indicating a bullish trend.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1