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Pullback Imminent—Bulls Beware, $80 Risk LoomsGold continues to maintain its strong position and has reached the level around 4000 as expected during the upward process. According to the current structure, the level around 4000 may not be the market top, and there is still room for further growth. However, the market's expected targets have been achieved in the short term, and gold may experience a phased pullback after making a series of false breakthroughs. Looking back at history, every time gold faces an area near an integer mark, it will usher in a good wave of pullback. Gold has experienced a $70-80 pullback around the 3700, 3800, and 3900 levels. Based on this, even if gold starts to pull back $70-80 from 4020, it could potentially retreat to the 3950-3940 range in the short term. Based on its trend, gold began its upward trend around 3820 and has currently reached a high of around 4014, with a fluctuation of $194. Based on previous trend-based gains and fluctuations, gold could experience a pullback at any time. Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, we do not advocate aggressive chasing of high levels for the time being. We can consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3970-3950 area depending on the market performance; of course, we can consider starting to short gold in the current area of 4015-4025. Short positions are only for short-term trading and are not suitable for long-term trading at the moment!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
10.7 The bullish trend of gold remains unchanged! Follow the treCurrent Market: 1: Technical Analysis - The bullish trend remains unchanged, so follow the trend. Trading Methods - Follow sideways trading and pullbacks! Avoid headwinds and avoid heavily shorting! Focus on following the trend! 2: Fundamentals - The probability of an October Fed rate cut continues to increase! The Russo-Ukrainian war remains stalemated! The outlook for the Middle East remains uncertain! Global central banks continue to increase their gold holdings! The overall fundamental environment is bullish for gold. To sum up: From both a technical and fundamental perspective, gold is primarily bullish! US Trading Timeframe: 1: 1-hour trading, sideways resistance at high levels, with support near 3940; the Stochastic and MACD lines are temporarily blunting! 2: 4-hour trading, the Stochastic has formed a death cross, and the MACD lines are blunting! From a morphological perspective, the short-term top-bottom reversal support level is around 3940. 3: In the daily K-line, the stochastic indicator blunted and retraced to a golden cross, signaling a bullish trend. The MACD double lines continued to cross upward, indicating a bullish trend.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
Pullback Alert: Gold Feeling the Heat at 4000As expected, gold continued to rise to the 3985-3995 area, reaching a high of around 3991, just a hair away from 4000. According to my calculations, the current resistance area of gold is located in the 3985-3995 area (for the specific calculation process, please refer to the previous trading idea). Therefore, I believe that within this range, we can begin to test the top and short gold. Moreover, from the short-term performance, although gold still maintains a bullish trend, the short-term rise has been suppressed and the recent rise has weakened. Moreover, after the continuous rise in gold prices, the risk of chasing the rise has increased significantly. We must be cautious about the current rise and guard against signs of profit-taking at market highs. Moreover, gold has repeatedly reached highs in the 3980-3990 area. Repeatedly reaching highs in a limited area is likely to mean that gold will usher in a wave of irreversible pullbacks in the short term. In addition, we need to focus on the area near 3960. If gold can still stay above 3960 during repeated pullbacks, then gold will still maintain its current strong position, or at least maintain high-level fluctuations; if gold falls below the area near 3960 during the pullback, then gold may continue the pullback trend and is expected to continue to 3930, or even around 3900. So for the current short-term trading, I think the time is ripe to short gold, and I have already shorted gold according to the above trading plan. Now I just need to wait patiently for gold to pull back and make a substantial profit!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
3
Gold is rising as expected, with the US market eyeing 4000!!!After gold retreated to around 3940, it began to rally. The strategy for the future remains to buy on dips. Short-term long positions near 3942 can be reduced, with a target of 3980 still in sight. Be mindful of the risks. Short-term investors can consider buying around 3954, with a stop-loss at 3946, and targeting a range between 3980 and 4000. Be mindful of the risks. October 7th US Gold Trading: For those holding positions near 3942, reduce positions and hold with a profit and loss at 3946. Target resistance near 3980, and a breakout to 4000. Short-term investors can consider buying further near 3954, with a stop-loss at 3946 and a profit target of 3980-4000. Be mindful of the risks.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
4000 in Sight, But the Pressure’s On—Pullback Ahead?It is obvious that gold is currently in a very strong bullish trend. As far as the current market is concerned, there are not many reference points above. In the short term, perhaps only the 4000 mark is worth paying attention to. However, it should be emphasized that when market sentiment is high and gold prices continue to rise, volatility may increase significantly and the risk of chasing the rise will increase significantly. From the current perspective, the short-term upward trend has been suppressed, and there is obvious pressure near the 3980 level. Therefore, we must be cautious about the current rise and guard against signs of profit-taking at market highs. After the strong rise in gold, the current short-term support is obviously in the 3935-3925 area, followed by the 3905-3895 area. If gold cannot effectively fall below these two key support areas, gold will continue to maintain its current strong bullish trend; in addition, we can infer the current resistance area from volatility. 1. First Wave: Gold rose from around 3628 to around 3791, a fluctuation of nearly $165. 2. Second Wave: Gold rose from around 3718 to around 3895, a fluctuation of nearly $175. 3. Current Wave: Gold began its rise from around 3819. Extrapolating upward by $165-175, the resistance area for this phase is 3985-3995. Therefore, it can be inferred that the short-term resistance at the current stage is in the 3985-3995 area. If the gold market cannot provide a suitable entry position to execute a long trade, then we can consider shorting gold with the 3985-3995 area as resistance; under appropriate circumstances, we can even consider entering the market early to short gold, first targeting the short-term retracement target: 3945-3935 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
Ride Both Sides:Short Now, Long Later!Gold continues to rise and hit new highs, and the current high has reached around 3977. There is no doubt that the current gold market maintains a strong bullish trend. From the perspective of market sentiment, the only high point worth paying attention to in the short term is the 4,000 mark. There are currently no other high points that can be used as an effective reference. However, given the extreme highs, caution is advised regarding the current rally, and be wary of signs of profit-taking at market highs. Two key support areas of note are currently located between 3930 and 3920, and between 3905 and 3895.If gold cannot effectively fall below these two key support areas, gold will continue to maintain a strong bullish trend and may hit 4000 in a short period of time; once gold falls below the above two key support areas during the retracement process, gold may continue to repair the retracement trend to the 3880-3860 area. Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, because gold will fall back every time it hits a new high, remember not to go long on gold directly at a high level. You should grasp the rhythm of gold fluctuations. You can consider shorting gold in the 3965-3975 area, and then wait for gold to retreat to the area around 3930-3920 before considering going long on gold appropriately.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
2
10.7 Gold has no ceiling!!!The one-hour pattern of gold, the golden cross of the moving average continues to radiate upward, maintaining strong bullish momentum. Pay attention to the short-term support below 3930-3920, which was the springboard for gold to accelerate yesterday. The upper resistance level should focus on the 3980 line. Every time the gold price reaches a new high, it will fall back to accumulate power. Just remember not to chase highs. For intraday operations, we can continue to maintain low-long participation!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
3
Smart Money Strategy: Short Now, Go Long LaterAs I expected, gold touched around 3950 during the rise. According to the current structure, gold is currently in a very strong bullish trend, the market has a strong bullish consensus, and gold still has room to continue to rise. If gold can break through 3950 during the rise, it may open up space to higher levels. However, it should be emphasized that when market sentiment is high and gold prices continue to rise, volatility may increase significantly and the risk of chasing the rise will increase significantly. From the current perspective, the short-term upward trend has been suppressed, and there is obvious pressure near the 3950 level, so gold may show signs of pullback in the short term. To be honest, although gold prices have risen sharply, there have not been many opportunities to enter the market and go long on gold during the rise. So I have already shorted gold in the 3930-3950 area according to the previous trading strategy. First aim for the retracement target: 3920-3910 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
10.6 Gold US Trading Strategy, Bulls Push Up and No TopLooking at the 4-hour market trend, we are watching for short-term support at 3920, with a focus on the 3895-3900 support level. The bulls are rising strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should focus on buying on pullbacks. For intermediate positions, we should be cautious in chasing orders and patiently wait for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please pay attention.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
10.6 Gold's callback is small and it may continue to riseAfter breaking through a previous resistance zone on the 4-hour chart, gold is continuing its upward trend along its short-term moving average. Intraday pullbacks have been mild and sustained, and there are still no signs of a peak in the short term. On the hourly chart, after a surge, gold is maintaining a high-level correction, but recent high-level corrections have ultimately evolved into secondary gains, and today's pullbacks were not significant. On the short-term chart, the candlestick chart is gradually coming under pressure, maintaining a weak trend along the short-term moving average. Some short-term correction is possible. If the correction in the US market is not significant, it may even rebound to the current price after a minor correction. Further upward movement is expected after the open!!!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
10.6 Gold European Short-term Technical Analysis!!!Gold has been rising for several consecutive weeks, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart, and the RSI has reached the overbought zone, suggesting further upward movement. Friday saw a small bullish close, and today's Asian session saw further gains. The daily RSI has again reached the overbought zone, and the 4-hour chart is above the upward trend line, breaking through the ascending triangle. Trade Recommendation: BUY: 3920 Target: 3940 3950
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
Gold Eyes $3920–3950 as Bulls Defend $3800 ZoneGold is currently trading around 3830, after testing the higher zone near 3870–3880. The chart shows a pullback from the highs, and price is now entering a support & consolidation area around 3819–3805 (Fib 0.382–0.5 zone). This zone is crucial because it aligns with trendline support and previous breakout levels. If buyers defend this region strongly, gold has potential to resume upward momentum toward 3870–3880 (recent swing high) and then 3920–3955 (Fib extension and resistance zone). On the downside, if 3800–3790 fails to hold, then a deeper correction toward 3760–3740 is possible before buyers step back in. Trendline and market structure are still bullish overall, so pullbacks are expected to be opportunities rather than trend reversals. Summary: Immediate support: 3819–3805, then 3787–3760 Immediate resistance: 3870–3880, then 3923–3955 Bias: Bullish while holding above 3790; upside targets 3920–3955. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
Bulls on Fire! The 4000 Challenge BeginsWhen summarizing the trading on Sunday, it was clearly pointed out that gold would inevitably hit 3900 or even 3930 this week. However, it was unexpected that gold had reached 3920 so early. Although it retreated slightly after reaching around 3920, according to the current structure and trend, the bull trend has not ended yet and there is still room for growth. Since gold has once again broken through the recent high of 3895, the double top structure constructed in this horizontal area has become invalid and temporarily has no resistance effect. In fact, after the top and bottom conversion, this position area may play a supporting role to a certain extent in the future. As gold breaks through 3900, market bullish confidence may expand unprecedentedly, and the enthusiasm for buying will be pushed to another level. As the center of gravity of gold moves up, the current technical structural support has moved up to 3880-3870; and the strong support is located in the 3850-3840 area. If gold cannot effectively fall below these two key support areas during the retracement. Gold will continue to maintain its bullish trend and continue its strong upward trend. It is even expected to continue to set new highs and reach around 3930 or even 3950. Once gold rises and breaks through 3950, the 4000 mark will follow! So in terms of short-term trading, we can first try to start buying gold in small batches in the area around 3880-3870. After all, the entry price is relatively high, so we must control the lot of transactions and set up protection. If you want to continue to follow and pay attention to my trading strategies and signals, be sure to follow me!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WaveRider_Steffen
10.6 Gold falls back and continues to go longGold prices are currently moving out of a narrow range of highs on the daily chart. The K-line chart continues to maintain a relatively stable upward trend along the short-term moving average. Watch for any pullbacks on the daily chart to confirm a secondary upward trend. Focus on the support zone around 3900 in the short term. On the 4-hour chart, the price broke through the previous resistance zone, and the short-term moving average began to diverge upward, indicating a relatively strong short-term trend. On the hourly chart, the intraday pullbacks were neither strong nor prolonged, and the K-line chart continues to maintain a relatively strong trend along the short-term moving average. Some divergence is showing on the short-term chart, so watch for short-term adjustments. Trading Strategy: BUY: 3910 TP1:3925 TP2:3940 SELL: 3940 TP1:3910 TP2:3900
TVC:GOLDLong
by AnalystDavid_
1
XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025 1. Macro & News Context Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the $3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around $3,860. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 08:30 ET / 12:30 UTC on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown. Key event to watch today: ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】 Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative. USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold. 2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart) The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe: Support levels: Near-term: $3,844–3,841 Deeper: $3,827 (intraday pivot), $3,792 (strong low) Strategic: $3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block) Resistance levels: Immediate: $3,865 Strong supply: $3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block) Extended target: $3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone) Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold. 3. Trade Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias) Entry zone: $3,844–3,841 Stop loss: Below $3,827 (safer: below $3,792) Targets: $3,865 (first take-profit) $3,880–3,890 (major supply) Stretch: $3,930–3,940 Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend. Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance Trigger zone: $3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB) Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout. Stop loss: Above $3,895–3,900 (or above $3,945 if price spikes into the $3,930–3,940 fib zone). Targets: $3,865 → $3,844 → $3,827 Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones. Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support Trigger: 1H close below $3,841 Path: $3,827 → $3,792 (Strong Low) → $3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB) Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones. 4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data If NFP is indeed delayed, the 08:30 ET / 12:30 UTC slot may bring limited volatility. Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold. Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions. 5. Risk Management Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity. Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation. Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups. 🔑 Key Takeaway Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at $3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around $3,880–3,890 and $3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
10.3 Gold US Market Technical Analysis!!!Our overall judgment on gold in October is "bumpy", that is, the market has turned from the steady slow bull market in September to a fluctuating rise. There will be a tug-of-war between long and short positions, and there will be a tug-of-war between highs and lows and a rapid rebound. However, this does not mean the end of the bull market, but only a change in the rising rhythm. We should pay attention to this pattern change in the short term. We will still view it as a strong rhythm during the day. After the volatile upward trend in the Asian and European sessions, we will choose to follow up with a bullish trend after a pullback. Pay attention to the suppression around 3874 and 3895 on the upside. At the same time, due to the uncertainty of the non-farm payroll results, whether it is announced or not will have a greater impact on today's operations.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
1
9.3 Gold awaits non-farm payrolls!!!Gold's daily candlestick chart continues to fluctuate slightly higher along its short-term moving average, with prices currently under pressure around 3900. Tonight's non-farm payroll data may not be released as expected, adding some uncertainty to the market. On an hourly chart, after a period of narrow range-bound trading, the technical pattern is gradually recovering. With prices slowly breaking through the previous resistance zone, there may be some short-term rebound potential. On a four-hour chart, the short-term moving averages are essentially flat, suggesting continued high-level fluctuations and repairs. Watch for short-term corrections.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnalystDavid_
Not the Bottom Yet—Gold Poised to Retest 3800Gold failed to break through 3900 again and fell all the way from around 3897 to 3819, with a drop of $78 again. The two recent declines of this magnitude have greatly hit the confidence and sentiment of market bulls, and the bearish atmosphere in the market may become even stronger. Although gold rebounded again after touching 3819, it failed to hit 3900 twice and has successfully constructed an M-shaped double top structure in the short-term structure. Suppressed by this technical structure, the bullish momentum may be difficult to sustain and will intensify the short-term volatility. The volatility range is likely to be switched to the 3860-3820 area. Therefore, based on the current market changes, we cannot blindly be bullish on gold for the time being. From a technical perspective, gold is under pressure in the 3850-3860 area in the short term, so if gold rebounds and touches near this area, we can give priority to shorting gold, first targeting the retracement target area: 3835-3825 area. Once gold falls below the level around 3820, it is very likely to test the support strength of 3800 again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
3
10.2 Gold fluctuates at a high level!!!Market Analysis: ① The daily MACD is forming a golden cross at a high level with high volume and volatility, and the STO indicator is overbought, indicating a high-priced trend. A candlestick chart with a hanging line after consecutive long-term bullish candlesticks indicates high-priced volatility, with the risk of a pullback. This is unless another long-term bullish candlestick pattern breaks yesterday's hanging line. Therefore, today's upside focus is on yesterday's high of 3895. A break above this level could push the price towards the 4000 mark. Current daily support lies near the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, corresponding to support levels of 3837 and 3787. However, the MA10 moving average has no chance of success, so the main focus for the day is support at 3837. This means the intraday range remains between 3837 and 3895. ② The 4-hour MACD is forming a high-level death cross, and the STO indicator's fast line is showing an upward curve, indicating a volatile trend in the 4-hour chart. Short-term support in the 4-hour chart lies near the middle line at 3844, but this is expected to gradually move up to around 3850 over time. We observe that the three Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart are currently narrowing, indicating range-bound fluctuations. The upper band is currently holding pressure at 3901, but it will likely move down to around 3890-95 over time. ③ On the hourly chart, the three Bollinger Bands are also narrowing, with the lower band and the MA60 moving average currently supporting the 3852-54 level. If the price falls below 3852, a downward trend is likely.
TVC:GOLD
by AnalystDavid_
2
9.2 Gold Short-Term Technical Analysis Guide!!!Gold prices naturally retreated after hitting a new high on Wednesday, but the candlestick chart remains oscillating upward (with higher lows). If prices fall below the midline of the trend channel at 3869, the market is likely to shift towards the 3850-35 range. Currently, gold prices are showing this trend. Conservative investors can consider entering the market based on whether the 3834/35 support levels are broken (a rebound could reach as high as 50; if it falls below, the market is bearish and could reach 3810). Reference support levels: 3849, 3834, and 3794. Reference resistance levels: 3880, 3903, and 3917.
TVC:GOLD
by AnalystDavid_
1
Bearish Momentum Builds: Gold Aims for 3850–3840Gold touched around 3895 during its rise and then began to retreat, reaching a low of around 3856. Currently, gold is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3870. According to the current trend, gold will not continue to maintain its strong position in the short term, and because of the US government shutdown, there may be no economic data in the short term. Out of caution, the market may also press the pause button on gold to ease the upward trend! From a technical perspective, gold fell from around 3872 to around 3793 yesterday, with a retracement of as much as $79; while today gold only fell from 3895 to around 3856, with a retracement of only $39. Judging from the adjustment space and testing cycle, the gold correction is not sufficient and there is still demand to continue to fall, at least to the 3850-3840 area. As gold retreats, it may be difficult for the bullish momentum to regain its strength in the short term. Under the counterattack and pull of the bears, the high-level volatility trend may be exacerbated. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3870-3880 area. If it is difficult for gold to break through this area in the short term, gold may continue to fall to the 3850-3840 area through this resistance area. Once it falls below this area, gold may continue to fall to the 3820-3810 area. So in terms of trading, I still think we can continue to try to short gold in the 3870-3880 area, first looking at the retracement target area: 3860-3850.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
Gold fell as expected, and subsequent pullbacks led to long posiBased on the 4-hour analysis, support is focused on the 3800-95 level. The bulls are rising strongly and there's no end in sight. Trading strategies should primarily focus on buying on pullbacks. In the intermediate range, be cautious and wait for key entry points. I'll provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please stay tuned. Gold Trading Strategies: 1. Buy gold at the 3800-05 level, and add to your long position on pullbacks to the 3785-90 level. Set a stop loss at 3778 and target the 3845-3850 level.
TVC:GOLD
by AnalystDavid_
1