The shot at the critical moment is the real trading opportunityGold bottomed out and rebounded yesterday, breaking the high slightly to touch 3390 before falling back. The daily line closed with a small bullish cross overnight, and the upward momentum has slowed down. Today it tends to fluctuate at a high level. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger band is closing, and the overall bulls continue to run upward. The big positive line directly pulls up, which is relatively strong. The overall market is resistant to declines. Therefore, the big cycle does not expect a big drop for the time being, but the short-term trend fails to continue further. It is safe to maintain a pullback and go long. Pay attention to the support below 3365-3350. Go long after it stabilizes. First look at yesterday's high of 3390. If it breaks, there is a probability of going to 3400 or even around 3415, but be careful of a high rush and fall.
Goldtradingstrategy
What you see are fluctuations, what I see are opportunities!Gold prices are rising as expected, with long positions perfectly fulfilled and periodic profits successfully secured. Currently, prices are once again encountering resistance at 3390. A clear bearish engulfing pattern has formed on the short-term hourly chart, suggesting weakening short-term momentum and increasing risk of a pullback. From a cyclical perspective, today marks the fifth trading day of gold's rebound, and technically, a periodic adjustment is necessary. A break below 3370 today will essentially confirm the establishment of a short-term top, and the market structure may shift into a phase of decline. Regarding trading recommendations, we recommend continuing to short on rallies around 3390 as a key resistance level, with short-term targets focused on 3370-3360. A subsequent break below this level with significant volume could open up further downside potential. Market sentiment is shifting rapidly at this time, so it is crucial to strictly enforce risk management discipline, avoid blindly chasing orders, and maintain a flexible and forward-looking strategy.
What does it matter if every step is just right?Today's gold fluctuation rhythm is basically consistent with our prediction. The rhythm from entry to profit-taking is clear, and the strategy is executed decisively. First, we decisively arranged long orders at the 3365-3370 line, and successfully took profit at the target line 3375, earning 150pips of profit. Then we decisively reversed and arranged short orders at 3375. The market fell back to around 3360 as expected, and realized 150pips of profit again. In the third round of operations, long orders were entered again near 3352, and the price rose smoothly to 3370 to take profit again. The overall rhythm was tight and profits were steadily pocketed. At present, gold has rebounded to around 3380-3385. We have deployed a new round of short orders in advance and will wait for the price to drop before arranging long orders. Overall, gold is in a volatile rhythm. Even if there is still room for upward movement in the future, it is likely to undergo a round of technical retracement adjustments first.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts!!!
After completing our Bullish target 3370 yesterday, we stated that we are now waiting for ema5 lock to confirm gap to 3392.
We got the ema5 lock above 3370 opening 3392. A nice drop into the lower zone just above our bearish gap allowed us to buy dips inline with our plans. We got the push up all the way into 3390 just short of 3392 gap, so this remains open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3370 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3296
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Next Stop 3420? Gold Bulls Push the LimitBecause the U.S. non-farm payroll report performed worse than expected, gold rebounded strongly last Friday and recovered half of its losses in one fell swoop. The bulls returned strongly. Today, after consolidating at a high level, gold continued to choose to break upward, reaching a high of around 3385.
There is no doubt that bullish forces still hold the upper hand. From a fundamental perspective, the Federal Reserve is currently facing greater pressure to cut interest rates; and it can also be clearly seen from the candlestick chart that a significant "W"-shaped double bottom structure has been constructed near 3268 and 3280, which has limited the gold's retracement space while also playing a key structural support role in the rise of gold. With the combined effects of news and technical factors, gold still has the potential to continue its upward trend. And I think there is still a great possibility that gold will test the 3400 mark again. Once gold stabilizes at 3400, it will definitely hit the 3420-3430 area.
As the center of gravity of gold gradually shifts upward, the lower support area also moves up. The current short-term support is obviously in the 3365-3355 area, while the relatively strong support is in the 3345-3335 area. According to the current pattern structure, the bulls may not allow gold to retreat to the 3345-3335 area. So in terms of short-term trading, we first consider the opportunity to enter long positions in the 3365-3355 area!
In gold trading, timing is key!Gold has currently reached a high of around 3385. The technical retracement and correction is also an affirmation of the bulls, and the current support below will continue to move up. From the perspective of the large range of the daily line, there is no large unilateral trend, and the overall box consolidation pattern has been formed. It once rose to 3385 yesterday, but failed to stand firm, indicating that the pressure from above is still quite large. If it can break through 3400, the next target may be 3430; otherwise, it may start a round of deep adjustment. There is a need for technical adjustment, so it is not advisable to chase the rise too much. If your current operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
Judging from the structure of the 4-hour gold chart, the key support area below is around 3350-3340. If it falls back to this area and stabilizes during the day, you can continue to rely on this area to arrange long orders. The overall bullish thinking remains unchanged. The short-term resistance above is around 3375-3385. If it breaks through, it will further test the key suppression zone of 3390-3400. I will prompt the specific operation strategy at the bottom. I suggest you keep paying attention and follow up in time.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3350-3340, with the target at 3370-3380.
How to seize the best entry point for gold?Gold continued its bullish trend from last Friday, rising to a high of 3385 yesterday. However, the upward momentum failed to sustain, and new highs were not reached during today's Asian and European trading sessions. The short-term bullish trend has ended, and the market is showing signs of correction. Currently, gold is facing downward pressure in the short term, and the short-term trend is volatile. Strategically, we can watch for a rebound to the 3375-3385 area during the European trading session and try to participate in short-term short selling. The target is below 3365-3355. The long-term structure remains bullish. Therefore, if the price falls back to the 3355-3340 area and stabilizes, we can still consider entering long positions to continue the medium-term uptrend. In terms of trading, we should pay attention to the rhythm of the market, betting on rebound resistance with short-term short positions and then going long on dips, maintaining flexibility.
Go long on the pullback and head straight to new highs!Gold fell back and stabilized at 3345 yesterday, and continued to rise during the US trading session, reaching a high of 3385. The overnight daily line closed positive again, which is in line with our expectations, so there is still room for growth. We will continue to take a bullish approach today. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening is in the stage of large volume, and the consecutive positive lines are rising steadily based on the moving average. The support below is 3370-3360, and the intraday watershed is at 3360. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks. First look at the pressure of the 3385 high point. If it breaks, continue to look at 3395 and 3410.
Gold operation suggestion: go long on gold around 3370-3360, and look at 3385 and 3400.
How to accurately capture golden trading opportunities?Bullish trend is still the main trend of gold at present. After rising to 3368 at the opening today, it fell under pressure and fluctuated. Technically, it has tested the pressure level and needs to be adjusted. The overall high-level carrying capacity has also declined, so it is not advisable to chase the rise too much. In terms of operation, it is recommended to wait for the price to stabilize before buying more. Judging from the current gold trend, the upper short-term resistance is in the 3380-3385 area, and the key pressure is at the 3395-3400 line; the lower short-term support is in the 3365-3355 area, and the key support is in the 3350-3345 range. The overall suggestion is to arrange long orders on dips around the support area, and try to maintain a stable wait-and-see attitude in the middle position. I will prompt the specific operation strategy at the bottom, please pay attention in time.
Gold Trading Strategy: Buy in batches as gold retreats to the 3365-3350 area, targeting the 3380-3385 area. If this resistance zone is broken, hold and look for upward movement.
Why do you always miss the real opportunities?Judging from the current gold trend, gold rose to a high of around 3368 and then entered a narrow range of fluctuations. Our previous long plan failed to continue to hold at the high level. Although some brothers may feel regretful, the market is always full of variables. We must flexibly adjust our thinking according to market changes. At present, there is a need for a retracement on the technical side. This retracement is not a trend reversal, but provides space for subsequent bullish momentum. Overall, the bullish trend is still dominant, but the current price is approaching the important pressure area of 3370-3385. The short-term carrying capacity has weakened, and it is not advisable to chase highs blindly. It is recommended to be cautious at high levels in operations. In the short term, it can be given priority to try to intervene with short positions in batches in the 3370-3385 area, waiting for a technical correction. If it subsequently retraces to the key support area of 3350-3335 and stabilizes, you can consider the long position layout again and continue to participate in the main bull trend.
Gold operation suggestion: short in batches in the 3370-3385 area, with the target at 3355-3350. If it falls back to the 3350-3335 area and stabilizes, consider entering a long position at the right time.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed.
We got our Bullish target 3370 hit and now waiting for ema5 lock to confirm gap to 3392. Failure to lock will see lower Goldturns tested for suport and bounce, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3370 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3296
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
Due to there being no KOG Report last week so we won’t reference it, however, we did post the FOMC and NFP reports for the wider community to help them navigate the moves, which as you can see from the pinned ideas worked well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
After the move we observed for NFP on Friday we would like to see some retracement in the sessions ahead. Looking at the 4H chart we have a reversal in play, but we still have no break out of this range! We’re simply playing the highs and the lows while price chops and whipsaws within it, which could be causing some new traders confusion and frustration.
We have a support level below 3350 and below that 3340 which will be the bias level for this week as bullish above. We then have the intra-day resistance level 3365-70 while there is an extension of the move into the 3385 level. Ideally, what we want to see here is support levels hold or a quick continuation on the open into the higher red box levels and the a potential for a RIP. That RIP however is most likely going to be a scalp unless we come down and break below that 3345-50 level.
We want to see how this reacts at these higher levels and if we do get a break of the boxes, otherwise, there is a chance we see another curveball like we suggested a couple of weeks ago, and we correct this whole move back downside with the first hurdle being 3340-35 on the flip.
We’re going to keep it simple here for now and usual we’ll update during the week once we have a clearer understanding of whether this wants to attempt a new all time high or not.
Please note, our liquidity indicator is suggesting a little higher but a pullback is on the way.
We’ll keep you updated.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3370, 3373, 3379 and above that 3384
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320 and below that 3310
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3379, 3384 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3346, 3340, 3335 and 3330 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
As the bull market continues, is gold poised to hit new highs?Judging from the current gold trend, the technical side opened high and closed low, releasing the demand for short-term adjustments. The intraday low hit 3344 and then rebounded, which is enough to reflect the resilience of the bulls. The hourly doji continued to rise, and the 3353 line was pulled up again. It is expected that it will be difficult to give an entry opportunity near 3340-3345 again. Since the new high has been refreshed again, the technical short-term adjustment may have ended. With the current strong bull structure, further testing the 3370-3380 area is a high probability event. If it unexpectedly falls below 3340 in the future, the bulls will no longer defend strongly, and the market may turn to volatility. Breaking below 3340 is also expected to open up short-term short space, but this is a later story. The current market structure is clear, and we continue to see a strong upward trend for the bulls. At least at the beginning of the week, I do not think the bull market is nearing its end.
Gold operation suggestion: go long around 3360-3355, target 3370-3380.Strictly set stop loss and control your position.
From Execution to Adaptation: Enter Dynamic ProbabilitiesIn the previous article , we looked at a real trade on Gold where I shifted from a clean mechanical short setup to an anticipatory long — not because of a hunch, but because the market behavior demanded it.
That decision wasn’t random. It was based on new information. On structure. On price action.
It was based on something deeper than just “rules” — it was about recognizing when the probability of success had changed.
That brings us to a powerful but rarely discussed concept in trading:
👉 Dynamic probabilities.
________________________________________
📉 Static Thinking in a Dynamic Market
Most traders operate with static probabilities — whether they realize it or not.
They assign a probability to a trade idea (let’s say, “this breakout has a 70% chance”) and treat that number as if it’s written in stone.
But markets don’t care about your numbers.
The moment new candles print, volatility shifts, or structure morphs — the probability landscape changes. What once looked like a clean setup can begin to deteriorate. Conversely, something that looked uncertain can start aligning into high-probability territory.
Yet many traders fail to adapt because they’re emotionally invested in the original plan.
They’ve already “decided” what the market should do, so they stop listening to what the market is actually doing.
________________________________________
🧠 Dynamic Probabilities Require Dynamic Thinking
To trade dynamically, you must be able to update your internal odds in real time.
This doesn’t mean constantly second-guessing or overanalyzing — it means refining your bias based on evolving context:
• A strong breakout followed by weak continuation? → probability drops.
• Price holding above broken resistance with clean structure? → probability increases.
• Choppy pullback into support with fading volume? → potential reversal builds.
It’s like playing poker: you might start with a good hand, but if the flop goes against you, your odds change.
If you ignore that and keep betting like you’ve got the nuts, you’re not being bold — you’re being blind.
________________________________________
📍 Back to the Gold Trade
In the Gold trade, the initial short was based on structure: broken support turned resistance.
The entry was mechanical, the reaction was clean. All good.
But then:
• Price came back fast into the same zone.
• Sellers failed to defend it decisively.
• The second leg down was sluggish, overlapping, and lacked momentum.
• Compression began to form.
That’s when the probability of continued downside collapsed — and the probability of a reversal increased.
The market had changed. So did my bias.
That’s dynamic probability in action — not because of a feeling, but because of evolving evidence.
________________________________________
🧘♂️ The Psychological Trap
Many traders intellectually accept the idea of being flexible — but emotionally, they cling to certainty.
They fear being “inconsistent” more than they fear being wrong.
But in a dynamic environment, consistency of thinking is not about repeating the same action — it’s about consistently reacting to what’s real.
True consistency is not mechanical repetition. It’s mental adaptability grounded in logic.
________________________________________
🧠 Takeaway
If you want to trade professionally, you must upgrade your mindset from fixed-probability execution to fluid-probability reasoning.
That doesn’t mean chaos. It means structured flexibility.
Your edge isn’t just in spotting patterns — it’s in knowing when those patterns are breaking down.
And acting accordingly, before your PnL does it for you.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Only by understanding the trend can you be firmly bullish.The market is changing rapidly, and going with the flow is the best way to go. When the trend comes, just go for it. Don't buy at the bottom against the trend, so as not to suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is good at dealing with all kinds of dissatisfaction, so you must not hold on to orders. I believe many people have experienced this. The more you resist, the more panic you will feel, and the floating losses will continue to magnify. You will not be able to eat or sleep well, and you will miss many opportunities in vain. If you also have these troubles, then you might as well follow Tian Haoyang's rhythm and try to see if it can make you suddenly enlightened. If you need help, I will always be here, but if you don't even extend your hand, how can I help you?
Gold rose unilaterally after the positive non-farm payrolls on Friday, hitting a new high this week. This week's K-line closed in a hammer shape, and the gold hourly line has a double bottom structure. However, gold should not have such a big retracement for the time being. The 3335-3330 line below is also an important support. So gold will mainly be bought on dips above 3335-3330 next week. Technically, there is still room for growth next week. The bulls continued to attack at the end of Friday and closed at 3363. Next week, we will continue to pay attention to the short-term suppression at the 3370-3375 line above. In terms of operations, we will continue to maintain retracement and buy. If your current operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate and exchange. Judging from the current gold trend, the short-term resistance above next week will be around 3370-3375, with a focus on the important pressure line of 3395-3400. Keep buying on pullbacks, and try to maintain a stable wait-and-see position in the middle. I will prompt the specific operation strategy at the bottom, so please pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it retraces to around 3340-3330, target 3370-3375, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3370 and a gap below at 3348. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3370
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3392
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3392 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3328
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3313
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3296
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3371 and a gap below at 3293. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3371
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3371 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3293
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3293 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3236
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Daily Chart Update – Another Clean Rejection: Structure Still Dominates
Following up on the recent price action last week after hitting the 3433 resistance level, we got exactly what the chart warned us about.
There was no confirmed break above 3433, which led to a clean rejection right back into 3272. Interestingly, the move aligned perfectly with the channel half-line, giving us another bounce right off that zone.
We remain in the same structured range, with price still rotating between 3262 and 3433, a 170+ pip zone that continues to deliver high probability trade setups.
Here’s where we are now:
🔹 Range Still Active
Price is respecting the 3272–3433 boundaries with precision. Until we get a decisive break and hold outside this range, range bound strategies remain in play.
🔹 No Breakout = Clean Rejection
The failure to sustain above 3433 confirms resistance is still valid. We're watching EMA5 for potential breakout confirmation, until then, the bias stays neutral within the range.
🔹 Channel Half-line Bounce
That rejection into 3272 also matched the channel half-line and the bounce there further cements this area as critical support.
Updated Key Levels
📉 Support – 3272
Still the major pivot. Buy zones remain valid here unless we see a confirmed breakdown.
📈 Resistance – 3433
Now clearly tested and rejected again. Any clean break and hold above could change the dynamic, but until then, it's solid resistance.
Thanks as always for your support.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
The trend is clear, why do I choose to be firmly bullish on goldGold Trend Analysis: Yesterday, the gold market demonstrated strong upward momentum, opening near 3290 before falling slightly to a low of 3281 before fluctuating upward. Boosted by the non-farm payroll data, the gold market surged during the US trading session, reaching a single-day gain of 2.02%, reaching a high of 3363 and closing there. The daily chart formed a long bullish candlestick with a long lower shadow, forming a Morning Star pattern, reinforcing the bullish trend. From the perspective of the cycle structure, the daily level is clearly in the 5-wave upward stage, and the upward trend of the large cycle has not changed. At the indicator level, the daily MACD momentum column (the column below the zero axis) represents the short-selling momentum. Its "gradual shortening" means that the short-selling force is weakening and the downward momentum is gradually fading. It is a potential signal of stopping the decline or rebounding. KDJ is about to form a golden cross between 20-50, which is a signal that short-term bullish power is beginning to increase, and the overall trend is bullish.
The 4-hour level shows typical bullish characteristics: the moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, but there is a certain deviation between the short-term price and the moving average. The technical side needs to correct the deviation rate through a callback before continuing to rise. The short-term support below is focused on the line near 3330-3335. This position is both the relay support level in the previous rise and the intersection of the 4-hour moving averages MA10 and MA20, which has strong support strength; the short-term resistance above is focused on the line near 3370-3383. This area is a pressure-intensive area near the previous high point. If it can be effectively broken through, it will further open up upward space. A successful breakout would open up further upside potential. A breakout would further open up the 3400 mark.
For gold trading, the short-term strategy is to buy on dips. If the price pulls back to the 3330-3335 support level, consider entering a long position with a target of 3355-3365. If it reaches 3370-3380, consider a short-term short position with a target of 3350-3340.
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Following on from the FOMC KOG Report which worked quite well, we’ll stick with the same chart and for today suggest caution. It’s the first day of the month and the last day of the weekly candle. The close here for gold is important and will give us further clues to the next few months.
We’ve shared the red boxes and the red box targets are below. There is a key level above 3306-10 which will need to be breached to correct the move back up to the 3330-34 region for the weekly close. However, we now have an undercut low which is potential if there is more aggressive downside to come and that level is sitting around the 3240-50 region which for us may represent an opportunity for a swing low. We’re a bit low and stretched here to short and as we’ve already hit our target for the day so we’ll wait for the extreme levels and if hit and our indicators line up, we may take some scalps. Otherwise, as usual on these events, the ideal trade will come next week.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3295, 3306, 3310 and 3320 in extension of the move
Break below 3275 for 3267, 3260, 3255 and 3250 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
What a PIPTASTIC finish to the week! 🚀. We tracked the move down with precision durung the week and then rode the momentum right back up.
Yesterday, we confirmed the swing range activation and bounce, and that bullish follow through carried beautifully into today, completing our Bullish Target at 3348. Just perfect execution all around.
BULLISH TARGET
3348 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3328 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289 - DONE
3267 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up on our 1H chart route map:
What can I say.....pure perfection on our chart analysis as everything played out exactly as expected.
Yesterday, we identified the first level of the swing range at 3289, which delivered a clean full swing into 3305.
Today, we hit Level 2 of the swing range at 3267, and once again, it played out flawlessly with another full swing up to 3305.
A perfect finish to the day. Great work all around!
We are now looking for support above the swing range and a break above 3305 to track the movement up or further retest and break below the 1st level of the swing range may open the the 2nd level at 3267 again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3369
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3397
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3328 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289 - DONE
3267 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up on our 1H chart route map:
We had the break below 3305 Goldturn, opening and hitting the 1st level of the swing range at 3289, which did exactly what it says on the tin and gave us the perfect swing bounce into 3305.
We are now looking for support above the swing range and a break above 3305 to track the movement up or further retest and break below the 1st level of the swing range may open the the 2nd level at 3267. Ema5 cross and lock will confirm this.
From here, we’re watching for:
Support to hold above the swing range, followed by a clean break above 3305, which would suggest upward continuation.
Alternatively, if we retest and break below 3289, that opens the path toward the second level of the swing range at 3267.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3369
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3397
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3328 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289 - DONE
3267
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX