Gold trend remains bullishThe investment market will not simply move in the expected direction. The road to success is tortuous. Once it goes in the opposite direction, it will lose direction and enter a cycle. The same is true for the market. The trend is certain, but it will never simply move in the predetermined direction. There will be twists and turns during the period that will shake people's hearts. At this time, you need a good attitude to face it and not be affected by the short-term trend. This is why we have been firmly laying out the bands in the early stage, and the reason for successful profits. Only by keeping the original intention can we succeed. The investment market requires concentration and perseverance, and then to reap profits!
At present, the overall rise of gold remains stable. Although the fluctuation has narrowed compared with yesterday, it has not fallen sharply after touching the previous pressure level, indicating that the support below is still effective. Although affected by the ADP data, the technical pattern still maintains a bullish idea. For prudent operations, it is recommended to maintain a low-long strategy and pay attention to the short-term support area near 3333-3328 below. After retreating to this position and stabilizing, you can continue to arrange long orders, and focus on the support area near 3325-3315. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to maintain the bullish rhythm of retreating low and long and following the trend. The upward target looks at the 3355-3360 area. If this area continues to be blocked, consider light positions to arrange short orders, and the target is bearish adjustment. If the market breaks through strongly and stabilizes, it is expected to test the 3370-3380 area. The specific strategy adjustment will be prompted dynamically during the intraday according to the real-time market, and steadily follow the bullish trend to grasp the benefits.
Goldtradingview
I have shorted gold as expected and held on patientlyEven under the influence of the ADP data, which is bullish for the gold market, gold has not effectively broken through 3350, and even showed signs of falling back after rising several times. The resistance above is becoming more and more obvious, which may further weaken the market's bullish sentiment and confidence, thereby strengthening the dominance of the bears.
Although gold has not effectively fallen yet, from the perspective of the gold structure, even if gold wants to rise, it still needs to be backtested and support confirmed before rising, and the current retracement is far from enough, so gold still has a need for structural retracement; and before the NFP market, gold rose slowly but was far from enough to break upward, and there was no volume support, so the illusion of gold rising may be to lure and capture more bulls;
Therefore, out of caution, I try to avoid chasing gold at high levels; and I believe that shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present. And I have executed short trades in the 3340-3350 area according to the trading plan, and held it patiently. I hope that gold can retreat to the 3320-3310-3300 area as expected.
How to make accurate layout during gold volatility?Gold maintained a small range of fluctuations and consolidation rhythm today. In the morning, we arranged long orders at 3330-3331 and successfully exited at 3343. Affected by the ADP data, the gold price broke through 3345 and hit 3351. We also arranged short orders in the 3350-3351 area in time and are still holding positions. The focus of the support below is 3325-3315, which is the key position today. As long as this position is maintained, the long position will rebound and rise. Otherwise, it will fall into the battle for support at 3305-3295. In terms of operation, we continue to step back and do more.
From the current analysis of gold trend, the support below focuses on 3325-3315. The main bullish trend remains unchanged. Focus on the long-short watershed position of 3305-3295. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to step back and do more bullish rhythm.
Gold bulls and bears compete for non-agricultural dataTechnical aspects:
Currently, gold is in a typical ascending triangle structure, reflecting that the market bullish trend has not been broken but faces strong resistance. On the daily chart, gold as a whole maintains a range of $3250 to $3400, with obvious horizontal support and resistance bands formed at both ends of the range.
The Bollinger Bands are converging as a whole, indicating that volatility is shrinking, indicating that the large-scale direction selection is approaching. The green column of the MACD indicator has narrowed slightly, and the short-term momentum is still bearish but there are signs of weakening. The RSI indicator runs around 49, maintaining a neutral and bearish state, and there is no obvious deviation in the short term, suggesting that there is still the possibility of subsequent shocks and consolidation.
Critical moment! Where will gold go?After rebounding for two consecutive days, gold prices consolidated in a narrow range in the Asian market on Wednesday, hovering below a one-week high. Although the US dollar rebounded slightly and the market's improved risk appetite suppressed safe-haven demand, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and trade uncertainties limited the downside of gold prices. The market is waiting for the upcoming ADP and non-farm data to determine the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut. The key technical resistance is $3,358.
Gold received a positive cross in June. At present, the monthly line has an upper shadow for three consecutive trading months, and the shadow is long, indicating that the upper selling pressure is relatively large; in this way, for the future market, we are more optimistic about the highs and falls. In the recent stage, gold is not interested in US data, but Trump frequently calls for the Fed to cut interest rates, which we still need to pay attention to. The sharp rise in gold in the past two days is not unrelated to the Fed's expectation of a rate cut. On the other hand, it is also related to the market rumor that the US President Trump's tariff deadline on July 9 is also related. If the US dollar index bottoms out and rebounds, ushering in a phased upward trend; then, it is bound to suppress gold.
Short-term resistance is yesterday's high point 3350-3360 area. If it breaks above, it is expected to hit 3375-80, and further 3400 mark; before breaking above 3400 area, there is still a large sweep range. If it goes up, the bulls will have a wave of acceleration, and the upper 3425 and 3450 may even hit the historical high. For the day, the 5-day moving average 3315 area will form a strong support after breaking through. If it rebounds and rushes higher, it cannot break below. Once it breaks below, the market will continue to fall, further 3300~3295, and then 3275 and 3255~45 areas; that is, the rise on Monday and Tuesday means the end of the bulls. Therefore, in terms of operation, the short-term relies on the 3315-3325 area to support low longs, and if it rises, it will continue to short with reference to the resistance area.
Exclusive trading strategy, short gold!From the current gold structure, we can see that gold still needs to continue to retest the 3320-3310, or even the 3305-3295 area; so in the short term, we can still seize the opportunity to consider shorting gold in batches in the 3340-3360 area.
Trading signal:
@3340-3360 Sell, TP:3325-3315-3305
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The idea is clear, gold falls as expected!The gold market is just as I predicted. I have repeatedly warned everyone not to chase the 3350-3355 line. The technical side needs to step back. Now, it just proves the idea I gave. After gold hit the highest line of 3358, it stepped back to the 3337 line and started to fluctuate. Our 3355 short order plan successfully touched 3340 to stop profit and exit. From the current gold trend, it should fluctuate like this before closing. After the opening, we will step back and go long as planned. Focus on the 3330-3335 line below. If it does not break, we can consider going long.
From the current gold trend analysis, pay attention to the 3360-3370 line of pressure on the top, and the short-term support on the bottom is around 3330-3335. Focus on the key support at 3315-3325. Relying on this range as a whole, maintain the main tone of low-long participation unchanged, wait for the pullback to confirm the support and then intervene when the opportunity arises. In the middle position, keep watching and do less, chase orders cautiously, and wait for the entry opportunity after the key points are in place.
Gold operation suggestion: go long around 3315-3325, target 3340-3350.
Gold may collapse again, don't get buried in it!In the past two trading days, gold began to rebound from a low of around 3245, and has now rebounded to around 3358, with a rebound of up to $113. Moreover, there has been no significant retracement during this rebound, indicating that gold has little intention to fall, and may even continue to rise.
But for me, gold rebounded from 3245. Even if a double bottom structure with 3275 as the secondary low was constructed on the technical level, it should not be enough for gold to rebound more than $113 in just two days as it fell below many supports in the early stage and bullish confidence suffered a serious blow. Moreover, it happened before the uncertain news of the NFP market.
So I have to consider that the market did it deliberately, and its primary purpose was to kill a large number of short chips in the market and lure more attracted long chips; secondly, the sharp rise before the NFP market may be to reserve room for the NFP market to fall in advance; in addition, I have to consider that the US dollar has fallen to a three-year low. If it continues to fall, there may be a global crisis of confidence in the US dollar, and the oversold rebound demand for the US dollar will also suppress gold.
Therefore, I still will not advocate chasing the rise of gold for the time being; on the contrary, I will actively seek opportunities to short gold in the 3350-3370 area; and once gold turns to a downward trend again, it may at least test the 3325-3315-3305 area downward in the short term.
I hold on to my short position and wait patiently.Currently, gold continues to rebound to around 3358, and there has been no decent retracement during the rebound, so during the trading period, apart from chasing the rise, there are almost no opportunities to go long on gold; so is the steady rise in gold during the day brewing a bigger rally?
I think there are three reasons for the continued rise of gold:
1. The continued weakness of the US dollar provides support for the strong rise of gold;
2. The trapped long chips have recently shown self-rescue behavior, and strong buying funds have driven gold up;
3. The market intends to eliminate and kill a large number of shorts in recent times;
Based on the above reasons, I think it is not a wise decision to chase gold at present; on the contrary, I still prefer to short gold in the short term, and I still hold a short position now; the following are the reasons to support my insistence on shorting gold:
1. The US dollar has a technical rebound demand after a sharp drop, which will limit the rebound space of gold and suppress gold;
2. After the recent trapped long chips successfully rescue themselves, they may cash out in large quantities, thereby stimulating gold to fall again;
3. While killing the shorts, the market has also lured a large number of long funds to a certain extent. Based on the above reasons, I currently still hold short positions near 3345 and 3355, and hope that gold can retreat to the 3335-3325 area.
Short gold, it may retreat again after reaching 3340-3350Although the rebound in gold has exceeded my expectations to a certain extent, it is obviously not a good time to chase the rise in gold. The gold rebound mainly benefits from Trump's repeated requests for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which has led to the continued weakness of the US dollar. In fact, we can clearly see that the gold rebound is not supported by trading volume, and the rebound without volume may face the risk of collapse again at any time. So I don't advocate chasing long gold at present.
Currently, gold has rebounded to around 3339, almost recovering most of the losses in the previous downward wave (the starting point of the previous wave was 3350), but gold is still under pressure in the 3340-3350-3355 area. In the absence of volume support, gold may fall again after touching this resistance area.
Therefore, shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present; at least make sure not to chase high!
You can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350-3355 area as resistance, and look at the target: 3320-3310-3300
The bearish trend is confirmed, it’s time to participate.Gold overnight short orders have been stopped at a loss, because it broke through the key pressure of 3325. However, we must grasp the trend of the market, adhere to the idea of technical analysis as the main and news as the auxiliary, and make a comprehensive judgment. Don't be at a loss about the market analysis because of the stop loss. There is nothing wrong with waiting for the market to step back and do more, but the market does not give opportunities, but forces you to chase the rise. Of course, from the perspective of risk ratio, high altitude is definitely more stable than chasing more.
From the current gold trend analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3340-3350 line of pressure, the short-term support on the lower side is around 3310-3320, and the key support on the 3295-3301 line is focused. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, it is recommended to wait and see, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Operation strategy 1: Short gold near 3340-3350, target 3325-3315.
Operation strategy 2: Go long on gold around 3310-3320, target 3330-3340.
Gold encounters resistance at 3310-3320 and is about to fallAt present, gold has reached the 3300-3320 area as expected. As I mentioned in my previous article, we can consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area;
Although gold once rebounded and stood above 3300, we can clearly see that when facing the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320, the bullish energy of gold has converged and began to show signs of stagflation, so the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320 is still valid.
Before gold breaks through 3310-3320, gold bears still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3310-3320 in the short term, don't be afraid of gold rebounds. Rebounds are opportunities to short gold. So I still tend to short gold at present, and have opened short gold positions according to the trading plan, hoping that gold can retreat to the target area: 3285-3275-3265. Do you think gold will fall as expected?
Seize the opportunity to short gold!Last week, we mentioned that if gold continues to fall, it will go to around 3245-3250. This position is 618 of the retracement from 3120 to 3450, and it is also the previous rising point. After the opening, it tested this position as expected and rebounded. If it continues to break down, it will gradually go to around 3225 and 3204. Last Friday, it opened weak and eventually fell to 3255. Although it rebounded at the end of the session, it was not enough to change the weak pattern. Today, we will focus on the rebound strength. The pressure is at 3291 and 3301. Short according to the rebound strength, and look at the 3245 support below. If it does not break, consider going long.
Gold operation suggestion: short around 3291-3001, target 3370-3360.
It’s the right time to make a golden layout!Gold opened at 3328 today and started the downward mode. After the European session, it continued to fall and broke the new low. The negative opening data of the US session also continued the downward mode. So far, it has reached the lowest point of 3255 and rebounded, but the strength is not very strong. After all, the upper pressure is still very strong. In the short term, we pay attention to the previous low point of 3295-3300, and focus on the upper 3305-3311. Today, the short-term operation of gold is mainly short-selling on rebounds, and long-selling on callbacks is supplemented.
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3300, with focus on the important suppression at 3305-3311. The rebound will continue to be mainly short and look to fall back. The lower short-term support is around 3255-3245. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation remains unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short-selling in batches near the rebound of gold near 3295-3310, with a target of 3380-3370.
2. When gold falls back to around 3345-3455, go long in batches, with the target at 3370-3380.
Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot.
Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
There are opportunities for both bulls and bears in gold!Gold fell back and closed lower yesterday. The daily line closed with a negative cross overnight. The overall market has not changed much. The short-term repeated tug-of-war is temporarily consolidating. Today is the closing of the weekly line, and we will continue to maintain the volatile thinking. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger Bands closed, temporarily exerting pressure on the middle track. After rebounding to 3350 yesterday, it failed to continue and remained in a weak shock pattern. Therefore, today's operation is mainly short and supplemented by long. The upper pressure is at 3328 and 3336. Short according to the rebound strength, pay attention to the rise and fall of 3310 below. A breakthrough may see the previous low of 3295. If the support is not broken, you can consider going long.🔔For more specific operation details and strategy updates, please pay attention to the notification 🌐 at the bottom.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold around 3328-3338, target 3315-3310.
Gold shorting opportunity not to be missedGold hit the key resistance of 3350 and then fell under pressure, reaching a low of 3309, and was temporarily supported by the low point on Wednesday. The intraday showed a pattern of rapid decline after a volatile rise, highlighting the long-short tug-of-war pattern. The hourly line fell again after a pullback to 3328, indicating that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: short orders can be entered again near the pullback of 3328-3335. If the market continues to decline, focus on the support range of 3300-3290, and long orders can be arranged if it stabilizes. The overall idea of oscillation is maintained. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or losing 3290, high-altitude and low-long are still the main strategy.
Gold recommendation: short near 3328-3335, target 3315-3305
Gold rebound is blocked and high-altitude strategy continuesGold continued its bullish correction yesterday, reaching 3336 in the European session, and continued to retreat in the US session, reaching a low of around 3312 before temporarily stopping, and started a second pullback correction, and finally closed around 3332. Today, it opened at 3333, rebounded to 3340, and then entered a shock consolidation. Currently, the upper side focuses on the suppression of the 3342-3350 area. If the price cannot effectively break through and stand firm in this area, gold still has room for further retracement. In terms of operation, it will continue to rely on this suppression range to maintain a high-altitude thinking during the day, and follow the trend to see a decline. The recent market trends are basically the same, bottoming out and rebounding. In terms of strategy, keep a sense of rhythm and mainly short at highs.For more specific operation points, please pay attention to the notification at the bottom🌐.
Gold is obviously suppressed, so we must go short!Yesterday, gold continued to fluctuate and fall under pressure at the 3360 mark. The US market further accelerated downward to break through the 3300 integer mark and reached a weak closing near 3295. The daily K-line closed with a suppressed fall and broke the bottom of the middle shadow. The overall gold price continued to fluctuate and fall in a weak rhythm. After reaching the lowest level of 3295, it rebounded and closed at 3323. Today, it opened at 3324. As of now, it has reached the highest level of 3337. At present, we are focusing on the suppression of 3340-3348. If the rebound is under pressure, we can still intervene in short orders. The recent market trends are basically the same - bottoming out and rebounding. In terms of operation, continue to keep shorting under pressure and long positions after bottoming out and rebounding.
From the current market trend, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the 3338-3342 area. If it rebounds to this range and is under pressure, you can consider choosing an opportunity to arrange short orders. The lower support focuses on the 3315-3305 line. If it falls back and stabilizes, there is a possibility of a short-term rebound. The overall situation is still in a range-bound structure. It is recommended to focus on key points, buy high and sell low, follow the trend, and strictly control risks. For more specific operation points, please pay attention to the 🌐 notification at the bottom.
Opportunities only come to those who ambush in advanceAfter Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled significantly, and the price of gold once plummeted by more than $30. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement is in doubt, the rebound in risk appetite dominates the market trend, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets falling. Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony, and the market is paying attention to his statement on the timing of the July rate cut. At present, the internal differences of the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts have intensified. If Powell sends a signal that the number of interest rate cuts this year is limited, it may strengthen the rebound of the US dollar and suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if the stance is dovish, it may ease the downward pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the fading of geopolitical risks and the warming of risk appetite are the main reasons for the decline in gold prices, but the weakening of the US dollar and the potential dovish tendency of the Federal Reserve still provide support. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks and expectations of the Federal Reserve's loose policy still constitute structural support for gold.
From a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced. The current short-term resistance above is around 3320-3333, which is an important psychological level. If an effective breakthrough is achieved or the upside space is opened, the support below will focus on the 3285-3295 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, the pressure of the correction may increase. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long on the pullback near 3285-3295. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
The golden storm is coming again, are you ready?Gold rebounded after falling back to 3333 in the first wave, and then rebounded to 3357 in the second wave before falling again, breaking through the previous low of 3333 and accelerating down to 3316. Currently, the short-term trend has stabilized in the 3316 area, which is also the support level for multiple rebounds in the previous period. After continuing to fall today, it has not broken through. We have arranged long orders in the 3316-3317 area in advance and have taken profits near 3331. Gold rebounded after stepping back again. Our long order plan is still in position. If the subsequent rebound breaks through the 3333 line, it is expected to further rise to the 3340-3348 area. We will try to short in this area.
In the short-term structure, the upper resistance focuses on the 3340-3348 area, and the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 area. 3300-3305 is the watershed between the strength of long and short positions in the short term. The daily level is still under pressure as a whole, and the main idea of high altitude continues.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3340-3348, target the 3330-3320 range.
Are you ready for the next wave of gold market?Gold fell back as expected after opening high. Today's strategy arranged long orders at 3350-3352, and successfully closed the market at around 3362 with profit. The subsequent three short orders also closed the market at a profit as expected. The points were perfectly predicted, and the long and short positions were perfectly grasped during the day. The strategic ideas were disclosed in advance and all were fulfilled.
At present, the overall trend of gold is still bullish, and it is in the adjustment stage in the short term. The large range this week is 3340-3405. Although there is a rebound, the upward pressure is still not small, and the gold price may continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations. Pay attention to the 3355-3340 area below. In terms of operation, long orders are arranged according to the strength of the retreat; pay attention to 3385 in the short term above. If it can effectively break through, look at 3395-3405. The strong pressure is still at the 3405 line. If it does not break, it will still fall under pressure. On the contrary, if it stabilizes, it is expected to hit last week's high.
Operation suggestion: When gold falls back to around 3355-3340, long orders can be arranged in batches, with the target at 3370-3380. Short orders will be adjusted according to the real-time market, please pay attention to the bottom 🌐 notification for specific points.
It’s the right time to make a golden layout!Last Friday, the overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fell back to fluctuate and adjust. Finally, it stabilized at the 3340 mark before closing and rebounded and fluctuated. The daily K line closed with a fluctuating number K. The overall gold price continued to be suppressed and fluctuated in the near term. However, the US military attacked Iran's nuclear facilities over the weekend, exacerbating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and the market's risk aversion sentiment heated up. Today, the gold price jumped high and fell back into a volatile state. In the short term, the gold price is likely to continue the wide range of long and short fluctuations, and continue to trade time for space. Although gold opened high and went low, it still did not break the bullish trend channel. Looking for opportunities to go long after stepping back is also the current trend.
From the current market trend, today's technical support below is around 3345-3355, focusing on the gains and losses of the 3340 line; the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385, focusing on the 3395-3405 line. Relying on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation during the day, the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautious pursuit of orders, and patiently waiting for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: go long when gold falls back to around 3350-3355, and add to long positions when it falls back to 3340-3345. The target is 3370-3380.Counter-trend short orders will be entered at an appropriate time based on market changes, and the specific points will be subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.






















