Gold Holds Steady – Could Break Out If the Fed Cuts Rates📊 Market Overview:
• Spot gold is currently trading around 4,198.19 USD/ounce (based on the latest data).
• A major supportive factor is the growing expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon cut interest rates — reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, weakening the USD, and increasing the appeal of safe-haven assets.
• Additionally, concerns over global economic conditions, inflation pressures, and increased demand for safe-haven flows are helping support gold prices.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: around 4,300–4,350 USD/ounce (according to recent analyses); a nearer short-term resistance lies around 4,281.8 USD (R1 on the H4 chart).
• Nearest support: around 4,150–4,180 USD; if gold declines further, the ~4,100 USD level may act as deeper support.
• EMA & short-term trend: Several analyses indicate gold is currently in a “sideways/accumulation phase” with no strong clear trend: MACD remains in the negative zone, RSI stays neutral.
• Candlestick / volume / momentum: On the H4 timeframe, gold has broken out of a previous triangle structure, suggesting a potential bullish continuation if buying pressure sustains — but price action near ~4,281.8 USD should be monitored closely.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may rise in the short term if U.S. interest rates decline or if the USD weakens, attracting safe-haven inflows. Conversely, strong U.S. economic data, higher Treasury yields, or renewed inflation concerns could push gold down toward the 4,150–4,180 USD support zone.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• BUY XAU/USD around 4,150–4,153 USD
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~ 4147
• SELL XAU/USD around 4,283–4,286 USD
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~ 4289
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XAU/USD 04 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 02 December 2025.
Price has printed as per analysis dated 14 November 2025 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned yesterday, I would closely monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify an iBOS. I have marked this with red dotted and dashed lines.
Price has since printed another bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, as per yesterday, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,264.700.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Eyes Support as Fed Cut Bets Fuel Volatility📊 Market Developments
• Gold is trading around ~4,224 USD/ounce, with strong volatility as U.S. bond yields rise slightly → creating downward pressure on gold.
• Expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates soon help gold maintain underlying buying interest.
• The market is awaiting new U.S. economic data to determine a clearer direction.
📉 Technical Analysis
Key Resistance:
1. 4,240 – 4,250 USD (near resistance – recent reaction high).
2. 4,268 – 4,275 USD (extended resistance – breaking above may open the path toward 4,300).
Key Support:
1. 4,180 – 4,200 USD (near support – strong buy zone for bulls).
2. 4,155 – 4,165 USD (mid-term support – aligns with major EMAs; losing this zone may trigger a drop toward 4,130).
EMA:
• Price is hovering around EMA09 on H1/H4 → short-term trend remains indecisive, no clear bullish or bearish confirmation yet.
Candles / Volume / Momentum:
• Volume leans bearish, momentum slightly declining.
• Waiting for confirmation candles: a bullish reversal at 4,180–4,200 or a strong breakdown below 4,165.
📌 Outlook
Gold may retest support with mild downside, especially if U.S. yields continue rising.
However, weak economic data and stronger expectations of Fed rate cuts could trigger a rebound from support.
➡️ Current trend: Neutral – slightly bearish, waiting for reaction at support.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,242 – 4,245
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~4,248
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,158 – 4,155
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: ~4,152
XAU/USD 03 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 02 December 2025.
Price has printed as per analysis dated 14 November 2025 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned yesterday, I would closely monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify an iBOS. I have marked this with red dotted and dashed lines.
Price has since printed another bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, as per yesterday, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,264.700.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 02 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Chart:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per analysis dated 14 November 2025 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, as mentioned yesterday, I would closely monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Price did not pull back with any significance, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify an iBOS. I have marked this with red dotted and dashed lines.
Price has since printed another bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, as per yesterday, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,264.700.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
ChatGPT đã nói: Gold May Climb on a Weaker USD and Fed Cut Hope📊 Market Overview:
• Spot gold is currently trading around $4,224.65/oz.
• The bullish momentum is supported by expectations of Fed rate cuts, a weaker USD, and renewed safe-haven demand.
• Market sentiment remains “risk-off,” making gold a preferred defensive asset.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $4,270–4,280
• Strong resistance: $4,300
• Nearest support: $4,200
• Strong support: $4,155–4,160
• EMA: Price is holding above the EMA → bullish trend remains intact.
• Candlestick / momentum: Upward momentum is stable with no strong reversal signals. A breakout above 4,280 may push gold toward 4,300.
📌 Outlook:
Gold is likely to continue rising in the short term if USD weakness persists and Fed rate-cut expectations remain firm.
However, strong US economic data that lifts bond yields could pull gold back to 4,200 or even the strong support at 4,155–4,160.
💡 Trading Strategy:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD: 4,155–4,158
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,152
🔻 SELL XAU/USD: 4,303–4,306
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4,309
Gold Continued Support Feasible - Next Target for $4500? I believe if the oscillators play out, we can have another trendline support, even with aroon down, it could be quite minimal and a retracement for $4500 support per oz is possible. Gold as an asset and commodity seems to be getting scarcer and the demand for Gold including even in electronics is something I expect will increase. As always, none of this is investment or financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and research.
Gold Continues Decline After Breaking Support at 4224📊 Market Overview:
Gold continues to face pressure as the USD shows slight recovery and safe-haven demand withdraws. After reaching 4256 earlier this morning, gold dropped sharply and is now trading around 4218, indicating that selling pressure dominates in the short term.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 4224 – 4232 | 4250 – 4256 (mid-term)
• Nearest Support: 4208 (mid-term) | 4198 (deep support)
• EMA (09): Price is below EMA09, confirming a prevailing bearish trend.
• Candles / Momentum: Consecutive long red candles appear, with strong downward momentum; no rejection candle observed around 4215 → downside risk remains high.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline in the short term if the price breaks 4215 with a strong candle. Conversely, if a clear rejection appears at 4215, gold could see a technical rebound toward 4230 – 4235.
________________________________________
💡 Trade Ideas:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4235 – 4238
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4241
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4198 – 4195
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: 4192
XAU/USD 01 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per analysis dated 14 November 2025 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195.
Price has subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH.
We are currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,256.250.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold & Silver Are On Fire Right Now!🌕 Gold is up — heading towards its fourth straight monthly gain, hitting a fresh two-week high on expectations of an upcoming rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
💎 Silver just smashed a new all-time high — zooming to $56.78/oz, rallying ~16.6% this month alone!
📈📉 With global rate-cut hopes rising, safe-haven metals are drawing fresh investor love. Whether you call it “hedge”, “insurance”, or “bullish vibe” — the trend is clear: metals are in demand.
👉 Bottom line: If you’ve been waiting for a strong entry into commodities — now might be the moment. Gold and silver are ringing the bell loud and clear! 🔔
XAU/USD 28 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD BUYI took shot trade trade on asian session and price of gold went and touch demand zone were there was also bullish order block that push price to create another leg of W(Double bottom) and i expect price to pullback to a below marked Fair value gap and continue to BUY for a long term since buyers dominated the market for a while.
XAU/USD 27 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold US Session Short-Term Hourly Chart Analysis Guide (NovemberGold hourly chart: Overnight, it rose steadily, and in the Asian session today, it initially continued its upward trend, reaching a high of 4156. However, due to the recent period of consolidation, the continuity of gains has been relatively weak. The initial rise suggests a potential pullback in the afternoon or European session, with a likely scenario of a correction based on the 4150-4160 resistance zone. This prediction ultimately materialized, with the price falling to a low of 4109, close to the 38.3% Fibonacci retracement level of yesterday's gains at 4111. The European session saw a further decline, breaking below the Asian session low. Any subsequent rebound should not be viewed as a bullish trap. Furthermore, based on today's high and low points, 4138 represents the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, currently acting as resistance. The best option for the US session is to wait. The next move will likely be a second downward pressure, either stabilizing at 4109 to form a double bottom, or breaking through it to confirm the 4104 annual moving average, or stabilizing at 4097 (50% retracement support) for a bullish move. These two levels also correspond to the short-term 5-day and 10-day support levels on the daily chart. Resistance is at 4138-4140. A break above this level would mean holding above the 10-day moving average, making further declines less likely and potentially pushing higher to test the 4150-4160 high. The key level is 4097. Trading above this level suggests a slightly bullish bias, while trading below it would indicate a weaker bias and a higher likelihood of wide-ranging price swings.
XAU/USD 25 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Weekly Closes on November 21; Rebound Still BearishGold prices rebounded quickly to around 4088 after opening before continuing to fall. Key support lies around the previous low of 4020, which is the last line of defense for the bulls. A breach of this level would open up further downside potential, with the next target likely around 4000. However, this is only the first small target; a further break below this level could lead to a retest of the previous low of 3900.
From the 4-hour chart, the key resistance level to watch is 4076-85, while the key support level is 4020-25. Technically, a pullback is more likely. We will patiently wait for key entry points.
Gold prices fluctuated on November 20th, awaiting the non-farm pOn the hourly chart, gold continues to oscillate between 4000 and 4100. The current short-term trend is slightly weak, but not particularly strong. Before today's non-farm payroll data release, a strategy of buying low and selling high is recommended. Consider a small long position at 4040, targeting the 4080-4100 area. Short positions can be considered at resistance levels. The European session is expected to be relatively quiet; therefore, a cautious, small-position trading strategy is advised. Avoid chasing the market down; the potential downside is limited.
XAU/USD 20 November 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 20 October 2025.
Price has printed as per previous intraday expectation by printing a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms, bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with regards to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 4,380.990.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per analysis dated 14 November 2025, price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,245.195
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s tariff announcements, particularly against China, are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold prices fluctuated on November 20th, awaiting the non-farm pThe 1-hour moving average for gold has started to turn upwards, and the overall trend remains one of upward fluctuation. However, the fluctuation is currently biased towards the upper end. Gold has tested the support area of 4050 multiple times in the past two days, and has basically managed to stabilize and continue rising. This indicates that the bulls still have significant support in the 4050-4000 area. If the support area of 4040 is not broken today, then gold can continue to be bought on dips. The road to the north is long, and patience is still required.
Gold pullback on November 19th: Buy on dips!The 1-hour moving average for gold has turned upwards, indicating continued upward momentum. After breaking through and stabilizing above 4100, gold is currently exhibiting a steady upward trend on the 1-hour chart. The 4090 area has formed short-term support, and buying on dips to this level presents a buying opportunity.
Gold: Buy at 4090, stop-loss at 4078, target 4150-4160;
Gold Short-Term Trading Guide (November 18th)!!!The US released some unemployment claims data, and gold briefly broke through 4000 before experiencing a strong rebound. Is this rebound merely a flash in the pan due to the data, or will it help reverse the gold bullish trend?
First, we should note that gold is still generally weak. The 1-hour moving averages are still in a bearish crossover, indicating continued downward momentum. Gold is also still trading within a 1-hour downtrend channel. If gold continues to trade within this channel, the overall trend will likely remain one of oscillating decline. The upper resistance level of the 1-hour downtrend channel has now moved down to around 4068. If gold rallies below 4068, the strategy remains to sell on rallies.
Gold prices naturally fluctuate, just like the tides. Volatility creates opportunities. If gold cannot break through the 4068 level, the rebound may be short-lived. Until a break above 4068 is achieved, continue to sell on rallies.
US Session Trading Strategy:
Sell gold at 4060, stop loss at 4070, target 4000-3980;
Gold pullback on November 18th, expect a rebound.Gold prices are trading around 4015. For short positions, watch the 4050 level; a move to short at this level would be a good entry point. This level represents the low point of the initial upward move at the beginning of the week and has now become effective resistance. Hold this area for shorting. The 8-hour uptrend line provides support around 3993. If the price breaks below this uptrend line, the downtrend could accelerate, potentially reaching as low as 3924. Focus on shorting today; hold short positions below 4053 and prepare to maximize profits! Weak outlook! Specific and more winning entry points will be provided during the trading session! Take profits on the short positions!
#Intraday Strategy: Hold short positions below 4050 and maximize profits! Weak outlook!
Focus on the 3995-4005 range, a key support/resistance level!






















