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Gold 1H – Liquidity Compression Sets Traps Around 4500–4420🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (23/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a strong bullish structure after a clean impulsive expansion, currently hovering in a premium zone near recent highs. With price extended from the mean, the market is vulnerable to liquidity engineering rather than immediate continuation. CPI uncertainty and mixed USD flows continue to reduce directional conviction, favoring stop hunts at key psychological levels instead of clean breakouts. This environment often rewards patience and confirmation-based execution rather than anticipation. Smart Money is likely to manipulate both sides of the range — sweeping late buyers above 4500 or shaking out weak longs into the 4420 discount before the next meaningful expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish structure with signs of short-term distribution Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4500–4502 (premium) or 4420–4418 (discount) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains intact • Price is trading deep in premium, extended from equilibrium • Clear impulsive leg created unmitigated FVGs below current price • Momentum is slowing near highs → distribution risk • Liquidity is resting clearly above 4500 and below 4420 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4500 – 4502 | SL 4510 Rules: ✔ Sweep above psychological 4500 buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4470 2. 4450 3. 4420 – extension if USD firms or risk-off accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4420 – 4418 | SL 4410 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and bullish structure support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4450 2. 4475 3. 4500 – extension if USD weakens and bullish flow resumes ⚠️ Risk Notes • Extended bullish moves increase fake breakout probability • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk around CPI-related or Fed-driven headlines 📍 Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but trading at premium levels where conviction is fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity before the next expansion: • A sweep above 4500 may fade toward 4450–4420, or • A liquidity grab near 4420 could reload bullish flow toward 4475–4500+ Let price reveal intent — Smart Money waits, retail rushes. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
7
Gold Rejected at $3,700 – Correction Ahead?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,662 and moving within an upward channel structure, but showing signs of weakness near the resistance zone. Price recently tested the $3,698–$3,700 resistance area and failed to break higher, creating a potential short-term top (marked as a weak high). This rejection signals that sellers are gaining strength. If price fails to sustain above $3,675–$3,698, it increases the probability of a deeper correction toward the lower channel and demand Overall, Gold remains vulnerable to correction unless bulls reclaim and sustain above $3,700, which would invalidate the bearish setup and reopen the path toward $3,725–$3,750. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch - Resistance: 3670 – 3690 - Support: 3625 – 3600 📌 Sell Zone & Sell Trigger: - Sell Zone: 3675 – 3680 area - Sell Trigger: If Gold retests and rejects the $3,690–$3,700 resistance zone, it becomes a valid sell entry with confirmation of bearish rejection. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
GOLD (XAUUSD) : Is it the bearish time?!Hello guys! Key Elements: Internal Trendline (broken): A previously respected trendline is now broken, indicating a potential shift in trend. S&D (Supply & Demand) Zone: Located around the $3,280–$3,300 region. Bearish Rejection Zone: Price attempted to push higher into the $3,360–$3,380 resistance zone but was rejected. Arrow Indicating Bearish Target: Projected move toward $3,245.94. why: 1. Trendline Break The internal bullish trendline has been decisively broken, a classic sign of a trend reversal or at least a significant pullback. After the break, price retested the underside of the trendline, failed to reclaim it, and showed bearish pressure. 2. Supply Zone Rejection A clear rejection occurred from a supply zone ($3,360–$3,380), evidenced by long wicks and bearish candles. This confirms the presence of sellers and likely distribution at that level. 3. Volume Profile Insight The point of control (POC) and high-volume node sit around the $3,245 region, which also aligns with the marked bearish target. Price is likely to be drawn toward this level as it's a fair value area where previous consolidation occurred. 4. S&D Flip A previously bullish demand zone (around $3,280) has now become a resistance level, confirming a shift in market sentiment. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: Target: $3,245.94 Confirmation: Failure to close above $3,360 and continued lower highs suggest bearish continuation. ✅ Confluence Factors Supporting a Move Down: Trendline break and successful retest. Rejection from resistance (supply zone). Lower high formation. Volume profile attraction to a lower value area. Bearish market structure forming. ____________________ 📌 Conclusion: This chart setup suggests a short-term bearish bias for Gold Spot (XAU/USD), with a potential drop toward the $3,245 zone. Traders may consider watching for confirmation via continued bearish price action and potential volume increase on the next leg down.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
11
Gold Short Opportunity Hi Traders, See above short opportunity as gold rests on 786 FIB as well as order block after having filled the liquidity gap from previous impulse. We have the RSI maxed out as well as a touch of the rising wedge upper trend line. We have also extended from the EMA and MA to show a possible reversal to come. We have formed an AB=CD pattern ending at 1877 which again is an indication of possible reversal. I have done a conservative swing trade but we could see much lower than the current take profit. Areas marked are zones of partial take profits.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Username_for_trading
1