Gold (XAU/USD) - Daily Retracement into Fair Value Gap (FVG)Prior Bullish Move & Sharp Reversal: The chart shows a strong rally throughout late September and early October, followed by a dramatic and impulsive bearish reversal starting around October 24th.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) is clearly defined by the gray shaded box. This gap represents an area of price inefficiency created during the aggressive drop.
The price is currently trading within the lower boundary of this FVG (the current price is around $3,983.70).
CRT-L (Consequent Retracement Low): The upper line of the FVG (around $4,070) is the price level that marked the top of the range.
CRT-H (Consequent Retracement High): The lower line (around $3,935) appears to mark the 50% midpoint of the large down candle that created the FVG, or possibly a key level within the gap.
Proposed Price Action:
The current price action suggests an immediate continuation of the drop (indicated by the large green arrow) towards the CRT-H level ($3,935).
The curved black arrow suggests an alternative or subsequent scenario: the price might retest the upper part of the FVG (near $4,000) before making its eventual move.
Interpretation & Trading Bias
The overall bias is bearish due to the magnitude and speed of the recent drop.
The immediate focus of the analysis seems to be on a potential move lower to fill the remaining portion of the FVG, specifically targeting the CRT-H level. The FVG itself acts as a large zone of resistance and price mitigation. The daily timeframe suggests this drop is part of a major structural shift.
Goodidea
GOLD 23/05: Will buyers counterattack?TVC:GOLD Gold price (XAU/USD) failed to defend the immediate support at 1975$ during the Asian session. The precious metal fell sharply as Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers were confident the central bank would raise interest rates more in its fight against persistent US inflation.
Gold prices are expected to plummet after breaking below the demand zone placed in the 1,955$-1,975$ range on a four-hour scale. The 20-period exponential moving average (EMA) at 1,970$ is acting as an obstacle for Gold bulls.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped back into the 20.00-40.00 bearish range, which signals that bearish momentum has been activated again.
BUY TVC:GOLD zone 1950-1953
Stoploss: 1945
Take Profit 1: 1958
Take Profit 2: 1963
Take Profit 3: 1970
Note : TP, SL full to be safe and win the market !
GOLD 22/05: Gold has climbed above the 1980 zone!TVC:GOLD Gold prices have rebounded above potential resistance, which has turned support, drawn from mid-month lows at $1,970 on a four-hour scale. The precious metal shows a V-shaped recovery from around 1955 amid the emergence of responsive buyers.
Confident sustainability above the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,980 will turn the short-term trend positive.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) briefly moved back into the 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates a bullish reversal.
US Dollar Index (DXY) refreshed intraday low at 102.96 as Fed is expected to keep rate policy unchanged due to tightening credit conditions by regional banks The US is putting pressure on inflation.
SELL GOLD zone 1993-1995
Stoploss: 2000
Take Profit 1: 1988
Take Profit 2: 1983
Take Profit 3: 1975
EUR/USD: 16/05. Downtrend, ready sell?OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD probes the boundaries of the 1.0910 barrier amid further downside correction in greenback and general improvement in sentiment around risk-related universe.
Indeed, the pair picked up pace and further extended the rally from recent lows near 1.0855 despite sharp declines in US and German yields so far, while expectations of a temporary respite. stop the Fed normalization in June and raise interest rates further in June ECB for the next few months trending up.
EUR/USD extends weekly rally and adds to Monday's promising price action, always with an immediate target of 1.0910.
So far, the pair is up 0.17% at 1.0890 and a break through 1.1090 (weekly high April 26, 2023) will target 1.1110 (rounded high) on way to 1.1185 (weekly high March 21, 2022). Conversely, the next level of contention emerges at 1.0845 (monthly low May 15), followed by 1.0830 (monthly low April 10) and finally 1.0805 (100-day SMA).
SELL EUR/USD zone 1.08950 - 1.09200
Stoploss 1.09500
Take Profit 1: 1.08500
Take Profit 2: 1.08000



