Google - A major correction starts now!🚽Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is now creating a top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, we witnessed a major rally on Google of about +100%. This rally was totally expected, following the underlying bullish rising channel. But with the current retest of the trendline, Google is heading for a major correction.
📝Levels to watch:
$300 and $200
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
GOOGL
November's Tech Shake-Up: Google vs. Nvidia DivergenceNovember marked the widest divergence yet between Google and Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA . Nvidia’s pullback wasn’t just routine profit-taking—markets started pricing in a strategic shift by hyperscalers potentially moving away from GPU-only AI stacks. This narrative could dilute Nvidia’s moat, while bolstering demand for diversified AI infrastructure players like Google.
📊 GOOGL Setup: Strong Fundamentals, Strategic Support
Google remains fundamentally strong and technically well-supported. With earnings resilience and infrastructure independence, NASDAQ:GOOGL may outperform if tech rotation accelerates. The stock is sitting above a clear demand zone, offering a calculated risk-reward play.
🔔 Trade Idea
Entry Zone: $252 – $256 (support area)
Take Profit 1: $292
Take Profit 2: $327
Stop Loss: $225
📌 This aligns with multi-month support and potential breakout continuation.
Google still going up in wave but hit 1.618 extensionNASDAQ:GOOGL Wave III continues, price looks exhausted but just won’t stop rewarding investors. It may trap late trend-chasing investors, causing them to capitulate lower.
Wave (5) of III is likely to complete with a throw-over of the upper channel boundary. Wave IV now has an expected retracement target of the 0.236 and daily pivot, $269. The gap remains unfilled.
📈 Daily RSI has printed a bearish divergence from overbought for weeks.
👉 Continued upside has a target of the R3 pivot
Safe trading
Oracle (ORCL) rebounded on renewed AI momentum.
Surging Alphabet (GOOGL) and revived Nvidia (NVDA) stock prices are leading the AI momentum. Oracle (ORCL), which fell over 40% from its high on amplified doubts over its 300 bln USD computing contract with OpenAI, saw a rebound.
Deutsche Bank assessed the drop in ORCL stock as providing an attractive entry point. They valued the current price as reflecting no positives, citing EPS (ex-OpenAI costs) at 17 USD and FCF at 31 bln USD, both below company guidance.
HSBC also issued a Buy rating on ORCL, expecting various financing strategies for data center costs to be announced, thereby mitigating balance sheet burden and diversifying risk.
ORCL briefly tested the 186.00 low before slightly rebounding. The price remains within the descending channel and below the bearish EMAs, indicating the potential downtrend extension. If ORCL breaches above EMA21 and 220.00, the price could advance toward the next resistance at 250.00.
Conversely, if ORCL fails to close above EMA21, the price may retreat toward the following support at 186.00.
Nvidia plummeted amid the threat of competition from GOOGL
Optimism surrounding the Gemini 3 and news that Alphabet (GOOGL) will internally supply its TPUs to Meta Platforms (META) supported the AI rally. On the other hand, Nvidia (NVDA) experienced a significant decline due to concerns over the potential GOOGL threat.
Mizuho noted that the "Google wins, OpenAI/Nvidia loses" trade is gaining traction, accelerating the sell-off in OpenAI-related stocks like NVDA and Oracle (ORCL).
Meanwhile, the US administration's decision regarding the allowance of NVDA's H200 chip sales to China remains a potential positive catalyst for future NVDA stock prices.
NVDA briefly fell below the support at 173.00 after breaking below the ascending trendline. Diverging bearish EMAs indicate a potential extension of the downtrend.
If NVDA breaks below 173.00 again, the price could further decline to the next support at 164.50.
Conversely, if NVDA closes above 182.50, the price may advance toward the following resistance at 190.00.
Alphabet Into $325 ResistanceGoogle/Alphabet has ripped through 217 and now at 325. The trouble with a fast move like this is there's heavy money looking for reversion to the mean. We are very far form any long term trend lines and up above the post-covid maximum trend line. Holding onto GOOG/GOOGL is highly risky here.
Major resistances like $217 almost always get checked back into so the risk of $217 is very high. I know google's revenue has been showing signs of accelerating, but not at fast enough rates that make me think it can fully avoid hitting 217.
So short resistance here 325 targeting 217.
Good luck!
GOOGL long-term TAGoogle is strictly bullish on long-term, is one of the best survivors in tech sector at the moment during this market correction. But be aware of the negative divergence on mid-term, the negative correlation between price and volumes accumulation has been building up recently, which means eventually the correction will occur and then it could be a wise stock to pick up.
Alphabet (GOOGL) Shares Close Above $300 for the First TimeAlphabet (GOOGL) Shares Close Above $300 for the First Time
Charts show that Alphabet (GOOGL) shares have reached a record high, closing around $318. In doing so:
→ the price has surpassed the psychological $300 mark;
→ the stock has gained roughly 70% since the start of the year;
→ Larry Page has become the world’s second-richest person, after Elon Musk.
Why Have Alphabet Shares Risen?
The surge is explained by several factors, the most significant being news of strong performance in tests of the AI model Gemini, upgraded to version 3.0. In many benchmarks, it outperformed ChatGPT.
The rise in GOOGL’s share price seems to signal a shift in leadership in the “best AI” race — which could translate into higher sales of paid Gemini versions and increased revenue for Alphabet, which already exceeds analyst expectations, as confirmed by the report released in late October.
Technical Analysis of GOOGL Shares
Price movements have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), originating in the summer of this year. Along the way, the price recently encountered resistance around:
→ $290: acting as a barrier following the earnings release;
→ $300: a psychological hurdle, as investors were hesitant to pay over three hundred dollars per share.
These levels had kept the price in the lower half of the channel. Now, with GOOGL’s fundamentals strengthened, the stock has reached the channel’s median — typically a point where supply and demand balance. It is reasonable to assume that:
→ the bullish momentum may begin to ease;
→ in the event of a correction, the $290–300 zone may shift roles to act as support, reinforced by the channel’s lower boundary.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOOGL skyrocketed with the launch of Gemini 3
The new LLM model, Gemini 3, unveiled last week, has garnered positive reviews. Salesforce founder Benioff, who used ChatGPT daily for three years, stated that after using Gemini 3 for about two hours, he has no intention of returning to ChatGPT. Google's share of the AI market has significantly increased, rising from 23.4% before the launch of Gemini to 30.1% afterward.
Altman is also wary of Gemini. Referring to Google's recent AI achievements, he acknowledged that the internal atmosphere at his company might be uneasy for some time and that Google could present a temporary economic headwind to the firm.
GOOGL maintains its steep uptrend, approaching the ascending channel’s upper bound and the resistance at 320.00. Diverging bullish EMAs point to a potential uptrend extension.
If GOOGL breaches above the channel's upper bound and 320.00, the price may advance toward the new high and psychological resistance at 330.00.
Conversely, if GOOGL fails to close above 320.00, the price may temporarily retreat toward the following support at 300.00.
Can GOOGL Sustain Its Bullish Run Before 320 Resistance Hits?🎯 GOOGL HEIST: Operation Alphabet Escape Plan 💰
Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ) - Swing Trade | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy
📊 THE SETUP
Sentiment: 🟢 BULLISH | Timeframe: Swing Trade | Risk Level: Medium
🎲 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THIEF LAYERING"
Strategic multi-level buy accumulation using limit orders
Layer-by-Layer Approach:
🔵 Layer 1: $270.00 (Initial entry - 30% position)
🔵 Layer 2: $275.00 (Support zone - 35% position)
🔵 Layer 3: $280.00 (Strength builder - 35% position)
Why This Works? Multiple entries reduce average cost basis and allow maximum capital efficiency. If price rejects higher, you've got fills at lower zones. If it pumps, you're already in! 💡
🛑 STOP LOSS PROTECTION
Hard Stop: 🚨 $265.00 (Below support structure)
This represents a 1.9% risk from Layer 1 entry — disciplined risk management at its finest.
⚠️ Risk Acknowledgment: Your stop loss, your rules. We're traders, not financial advisors. Adjust based on YOUR risk tolerance and account size. This is educational strategy sharing, not personalized financial advice.
🎖️ PROFIT TARGETS & ESCAPE ROUTES
Primary Target: 📈 $310.00
Strong resistance zone forming
Overbought conditions developing
Action: Take 50-60% profits here
Secondary Target: 🏆 $320.00
Police barricade zone (extreme resistance)
High trap probability at this level
Action: Scale out remaining 40-50% OR tighten stops to breakeven
Exit Philosophy: Greed kills traders. Take profits systematically. The best trade is one where you sleep well at night. 😴
⚠️ Profit Note: Your targets, your timing. Scale exits based on market conditions, volume confirmation, and YOUR comfort level.
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Correlation Watch)
🔵 NASDAQ:MSFT 📱 — High Correlation (Tech Sector) | If MSFT breaks down, GOOGL faces sector headwinds. Watch for divergence signals here first.
🔵 NASDAQ:QQQ 🔺 — 0.85+ Correlation (Nasdaq-100) | QQQ weakness = potential GOOGL pullback signal. This is your sector health check before entry.
🔵 AMEX:IWM 📊 — Inverse Correlation (Rotation Risk) | Russell 2000 strength = growth money leaving mega-caps. If small-caps pump, tech might cool off.
🔵 NASDAQ:TLT 💳 — Interest Rate Proxy | Rising bonds = tech pressure; falling bonds = tech friendly. Fed policy flows directly through here.
🔵 TVC:VIX 😰 — Volatility Index | VIX spike = risk-off, potential GOOGL liquidation. Above 20 = reduce position exposure.
Key Insight: Watch QQQ and MSFT first. They're your canary in the coal mine. If sector is weak, reconsider your entry conviction. 🚨
💎 STRATEGY SUMMARY
✅ Bullish bias with disciplined multi-entry accumulation
✅ Defined risk with hard stop at $265
✅ Staged profit-taking to lock gains systematically
✅ Correlation awareness prevents surprise sector rotations
🎬 FINAL THOUGHTS
Remember: This is the Thief Strategy™ — a fun, educational framework for swing trading, NOT financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Position sizing, stop losses, and profit targets should reflect YOUR unique situation, risk tolerance, and account size.
The heist only works if you ESCAPE with profits. Don't get caught holding the bag! 💼🚪
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#GOOGL #AlphabetInc #SwingTrade #TechAnalysis #TradingStrategy #NASDAQ #TradingIdeas #MultiLayers #RiskManagement #Bullish #ThiefStrategy #TradingCommunity #TradingView #Technical #StockMarket
Blue Skies or Elevator Down?Currently trading inside a chop zone.
The repeated holds on the downtrend algo suggest this entire area has been accumulation around PWH/PMH. With the Berkshire stake and the negative sentiment floating around, it’s hard to know their exact cost basis — but the structure hints accumulation took place near the 50-day (around 285) and along the downtrend algo, with the upside trigger lining up at 302.65 and BPS levels at 306.89/312+.
Key levels I’m tracking:
• Low-Vol ST 1: 290.58
• Low-Vol ST 1b: 323.20
• Buy/Defense Zones: 285 • 290.58 • 295
I trade intraday — pure scalps. My entire approach is finding the pressure points where one side gets trapped and putting them against the wall.
I’m a trading assassin. I hunt bulls. I hunt bears. I survive the market.
I see the chart, and I act.
Is Google Entering Distribution? (GOOG, GOOGL Analysis)⚡ Overview
Recently, the charts of all major tech giants — Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft — have started to look almost identical.
Each of them seems to be either topping out or entering what looks like a distribution phase.
In this post, I’ll share my technical and fundamental outlook on Google (GOOG, GOOGL), along with the key risks and price zones I’m watching as a trader.
💡 Fundamental View
From a fundamental perspective, Google still looks strong:
The P/E ratio has been growing steadily.
Revenue continues to rise.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares for years.
So fundamentally, this is not a bubble.
By Peter Lynch’s fair value formula, Google remains fairly valued, maybe even with a modest upside left.
However, strong fundamentals don’t always mean big growth ahead — especially when the market has already priced in perfection.
And that’s typically when the distribution phase begins.
📈 Technical View
According to Elliott Wave Theory, Google seems to be completing the fifth sub-wave within a larger third wave —
a structure that often marks the final stage before a distribution or correction phase.
On the long-term chart, price is now approaching the upper boundary of the rising channel,
with limited upside potential — possibly up to $430–$450, which represents the top zone.
Beyond that, the probability of continued growth drops sharply, while correction risk increases significantly.
⚙️ Market Structure
When analyzing the volume profile, the largest accumulation zone sits around $15 – $16 —
that’s where long-term investors entered 15 years ago.
Those early buyers are now sitting on massive unrealized profits,
and many are gradually distributing (selling) positions into current strength.
Meanwhile, retail traders often see the ongoing move as “more upside ahead.”
But in reality, this could be the final buying climax before a deeper correction.
🧩 Cycle Context
Interestingly, the same pattern is visible across Apple, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft.
It’s not just about one stock — the entire Big Tech segment appears to be entering a similar maturity stage of the cycle.
That’s why I believe Google could soon transition from markup to distribution,
followed by a potential multi-quarter sideways or corrective phase.
💬 What’s your take? Do you think Google will reach $400 before correcting — or has the top already formed?
👇 Share your view in the comments.
$GOOG – Post-Earnings High Tight Flag SetupGoogle ( NASDAQ:GOOG ) is setting up a high tight flag after blowout earnings, and it’s easily one of the strongest charts in the entire Mag 7 lineup right now.
🔹 The Setup:
Earnings were outstanding — strong revenue growth and margin expansion.
Price has been tightening up perfectly post-earnings, riding above all major moving averages.
The pattern has that classic high tight flag look — clean, compact, and primed for continuation.
A breakout over $290 is the trigger that could send this higher.
🔹 Why It Stands Out:
Relative strength vs. the rest of the Mag 7 — while others are chopping, NASDAQ:GOOG is leading.
Tight range = low risk, high clarity.
Volume has contracted nicely post-earnings — ideal pre-breakout behavior.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Position: Holding $290 calls for next week’s expiration.
2️⃣ Trigger: Watching for a breakout through $290 with volume confirmation.
3️⃣ Stop: Will cut the position if price breaks under the 9 EMA on the daily chart.
Why I Like It:
Best relative strength among large-cap tech.
Textbook high tight flag structure.
Earnings-driven setup with clear risk management — everything lines up clean.
Google Stock Approaches the $300 MarkGoogle’s stock has managed to remain near its all-time highs, and since its last major correction, it has posted a gain of more than 5% over recent trading sessions. However, the company’s recent comments regarding an increase in capital expenditures, projected to reach approximately $91 billion, have started to slow the stock’s upward momentum in the short term. This expansion in investment implies a greater financial commitment and a risk that expected revenue growth may not materialize. For now, buying pressure has entered a consolidation phase, which could lead to indecisive price movements in the coming sessions. Nonetheless, if the overall market bias remains bullish, this could support a gradual move toward the 300-dollar per share level.
Uptrend
Since late June, Google’s stock has maintained consistent upward movements, forming a rising trendline that has guided the price toward the $300 area. Despite the recent neutral phase, there are no significant bearish corrections threatening this trend, which continues to serve as the dominant technical structure in the short term. If buying pressure holds, the trendline could gain strength in the coming sessions. However, the recent lack of directional momentum also leaves room for potential short-term pullbacks.
RSI
The RSI indicator line shows dominant buying momentum, though it remains close to the overbought zone (around 70). Additionally, while the stock’s price has made higher highs, the RSI has formed lower highs, signaling a potential bearish divergence that could indicate an imbalance in market strength. This setup could lead to a short-term correction period in the coming sessions.
TRIX
The TRIX indicator remains above the neutral level of 0, suggesting that the average of exponential moving averages continues to show consistent buying strength. As long as the TRIX keeps rising, it could signal dominant buying pressure in the medium- to long-term trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
290 USD – Major Resistance: This level corresponds to the stock’s all-time highs and represents the most important bullish barrier to monitor. A breakout above this area could trigger a more aggressive short-term uptrend, potentially pushing the stock toward the psychological 300-dollar level, provided buying pressure remains dominant.
276 USD – Immediate Support: This level corresponds to the recent pullback zone and may serve as temporary support against short-term corrections.
257 USD – Key Support: This level coincides with both the uptrend line and the 50-period simple moving average. A break below this zone could endanger the current uptrend structure and give way to a new bearish bias of technical relevance.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
GOOGLE Bull Cycle running out of steam. Be ready to sell.It's been exactly 2 months (September 05, see chart below) when we last had a look at Google (GOOG) giving a strong break-out Buy Signal that methodically hit our $275 Target:
This time we look at the stock from a much longer term perspective on the 1W time-frame, where it is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up that started on the COVID crash (March 2020).
This is a major Sell Alert as the 1W RSI is also printing a Double Top formation similar to the November 15 2021 Top. Given that +125% rallies have been the most common long-term sequences of this pattern, we believe that any price above $300 is a major Sell for Google.
The strongest long-term Support and Target of correction sequences/ Bearish Legs has been the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and this is our Target for 2026. We estimate that a potential contact with the 1W MA200 can be made at around $180 (also marginally above the 0.5 Fibonacci level from the bottom of the previous correction). A contact with the 1W MA200 will be our next long-term Buy on Google.
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Google pullback still in play, local chartWave III continues but price looks exhausted and may trap late investors causing them to capitulate lower later.
Wave (5) of III is likely to complete with a throw-over of the upper channel boundary. Wave IV has an expected retracement target of the 0.382, $222, filling the gap left and meeting the daily 200EMA.
Daily RSI has printed bearish divergence from overbought.
Continued upside hasa target of the R3 pivot, $358.
GOOGL Bullish Continuation: Breakout Retest Toward 300Hello, traders! GOOGL on the 1D chart remains in a dominant uptrend after a clean breakout from its September–October range. Price is pressing near highs, with momentum and breadth consistent with a bull flag resolution. The prior Resistance at $255.50 marked the top of that range; the breakout above it signals continuation. First key support sits near $230.00, which flipped from resistance earlier and aligns with the trend structure.
Primary path: look for a constructive pullback into the breakout zone at $276–$281 to hold, then continuation toward the psychological $300 handle and, if momentum persists, the $305–$310 zone. Breakout traders can also use a daily close above the recent high at $291.59 as confirmation; a stronger trigger is a daily close > $292.00 on firm volume. If buyers fail to defend the near-term structure, a decisive close back below $253.00 would invalidate the bullish view; tighter risk managers can use a close below $276.00 as the line in the sand.
This is a directional study with tactical levels, not a signal. Manage position size and stops according to your plan. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
GOOG | The Year of Quantum | LONGAlphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in software, health care, transportation, and other technologies. It operates through the following segments: Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services, such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment refers to infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. The Other Bets segment relates to the sale of healthcare-related services and internet services. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.






















