Google: Uptrend StallingFor Google, upward momentum has faded recently, with price edging closer to support at $236.25. If the stock drops below this level, we will need to consider magenta wave alt.(3) as already complete and anticipate an earlier—and lower—wave alt.(4) low (probability: 38%). However, our primary expectation remains for a higher high as the regular wave (3) progresses, with the wave (4) retracement holding above $236.25. With wave (5), waves in green and I in beige should ultimately conclude at new all-time highs.
Googleforecast
Google: Facing Key Resistance as Uptrend StallsGoogle has faced continued upward pressure, moving closer to the key resistance at $209.28. Turquoise wave 2 should reach its peak below this level – and indeed, recent bearish signals could suggest the top may already be in. Once wave 2 is confirmed complete, we anticipate a sharp sell-off below support at $138.35 in wave 3. However, if bullish momentum persists and price breaks above the $209.28 resistance, we will expect a new corrective high for magenta wave alt.(B) , which would temporarily delay the anticipated decline (probability: 30%).
Google: Upcoming TopWe locate Google in turquoise wave 2 (of a downward impulse). In more detail, we see the stock developing a complex - - - pattern and expect turquoise wave 2 to conclude imminently with wave . All the while, the price should maintain a safe distance from resistance at $209.28. Looking ahead to turquoise wave 3, we anticipate sell-offs down into our magenta Target Zone between $123.92 and $98, before wave 4 likely triggers a temporary rebound up to the $138.35 level. Ultimately, the entire turquoise downward impulse should bottom out again in the magenta zone, which would also mark the completion of waves (C) in magenta and in green. Since a new larger upward phase should begin afterward, the magenta zone presents an opportunity to establish long positions. However, if Google were to break above the $209.28 resistance next, we would have to expect a new high for magenta wave alt.(B) —which would only temporarily postpone the anticipated sell-off though (probability: 24%).
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Google (Alphabet): Overarching Downside PotentialAlphabet (GOOGL) hasn’t been able to reclaim its May 22 high and has settled into a consolidation range around the $170 level. Still, under our primary scenario, we expect the current corrective upswing to continue for a bit before turquoise wave 3 resumes the downtrend. That move should break below $138.35 and carry the price into the magenta Target Zone between $123.92 and $98. After that, a rebound within wave 4 is likely, though it probably won’t be strong enough to retake the $138.35 level. A final leg down in wave 5 should then complete the correction, driving the price deeper into the zone and establishing the low of green wave . This area also marks a potential turning point for the next major move upward. Meanwhile, a detour above resistance at $209.28 for a new high of magenta wave alt.(B) is 24% likely.
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