GRSE: 6-Month Wedge Breakout | Shipbuilding Sector Rally StartSTRONG BUY Setup ⚓
Entry: ₹2,897-2,920 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹2,955-2,980
Target 2: ₹3,018-3,050
Target 3: ₹3,087-3,120
Target 4: ₹3,200-3,300+ (Extended Breakout Target)
Stop Loss: ₹2,800
Technical Rationale:
BREAKING OUT from 6-month falling wedge/descending channel (marked with black trendlines)
Strong +5.36% surge on daily chart showing powerful momentum
Breaking above both descending trendlines convincingly
Volume at 3.47M - strong for daily timeframe
Price breaking above critical resistance zone at 2,900-2,950
Trading above major support level at 2,800 (blue horizontal line)
RSI trending upward around 65-70 - strong bullish momentum
Defense/Shipbuilding sector - strategic importance with government focus
Breaking above rectangle consolidation (2,700-2,900 range)
Multiple resistance levels clearly marked: 2,955, 3,018, 3,087
Clean breakout from multi-month consolidation
Previous high at 3,600+ shows significant upside potential
Risk-Reward: Excellent 1:4+ ratio for extended targets
Pattern: FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT on DAILY Chart - highly reliable bullish reversal pattern combining with rectangle breakout
Strategy: Short to medium-term swing/positional (weeks to months)
Book 20% at T1 (2,970), 20% at T2 (3,035), 20% at T3 (3,100)
Hold remaining 40% for extended target 3,200-3,300+
Trail SL to 2,920 after crossing T1
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered.
GRSE
GRSE - Base Formation Turning into Breakout SetupGarden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd – Base Formation Turning into Breakout Setup
NSE:GRSE
📈Pattern & Setup:
GRSE has been quietly forming a classic rounding base pattern over the past few months, absorbing every shakeout phase (as marked on the chart). Each dip found buyers stepping in, creating a smooth U-shaped recovery — a strong sign of accumulation.
Now, the stock is attempting to break out of its neckline resistance near 2750 after multiple retests. This zone has acted as a wall for months, but the recent surge in buying volume right after the last shakeout hints that strong hands are taking control.
If price sustains above this neckline, the breakout can easily trigger a sharp rally toward 3500+ in the medium term.
📝 Trade Plan:
Entry: Above 2760–2780 for confirmation of breakout.
🚩Stop-Loss: 2600 (below trendline and last shakeout low).
🎯Targets:
Target 1 → 3100 (initial move).
Target 2 → 3520 (pattern completion, ~25% potential).
💡Pyramiding Strategy:
1. Enter first lot on breakout above 2780.
2. Add more once the stock sustains above 2850 with volume confirmation.
3. Trail stop-loss to 2670 after price crosses 2950.
🧠Logic Behind Selecting this Trade:
The combination of shakeouts, rising demand volume, and a well-rounded base indicates that the stock is in late-stage accumulation. Breakouts from such long bases tend to deliver strong, sustainable upside moves.
This is a textbook case of "volume follow-through after consolidation", which often marks the beginning of a fresh uptrend.
Keep Learning. Keep Earning.
Let’s grow together 📚🎯
🔴Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not a buy/sell recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before taking trades.
Review and plan for 23rd February 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Is this the right time to buy Garden Reach Shipbuilders ?YouTube is filled with buying opinions due to our Government's push towards SHIPBUILDING.
You will find the opinions of both experienced and newbies alike.
Whatever...
I see the opposite, the last up move doesn't look like an impulse. Most likely it looks like X-wave of double corrective structure WXY as Cycle Wave IV.
If you are practicing Elliott Wave concepts, then you are going to find one very important guideline my wave count is following. I have already marked so that you can use it as a hint.
I will be glad if you figure out and comment about it.
I will be interested to invest for a huge upside if the price falls down towards 800-950 zone.
Will be updating the target for Cycle Wave V once this Wave IV correction ends.
This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
Already shared similar view on Cochin Shipyard earlier.
Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
Peace!!
GRSE-LONG DAILY TIME FRAME NSE:GRSE
Stock is in continue uptrend from last few days it has never traded below its previous swing in past few days.
On 27th-June stock has shown Bullish Engulfing (Bullish price action) which is good sign for positional equity/swing traders.
We can go long if it opens flat on Tuesdays (28th June) trading session.
SL: 550 Target: According to your risk reward 1:1 or 1:2
This is only for educational purpose, please manage your risk accordingly.













