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H-setup

EURAUD to continue in the upward move?EURAUD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 1.7750 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 1.7825. We look to Buy at 1.7700 (stop at 1.7650) Our profit targets will be 1.7800 and 1.7825 Resistance: 1.7750 / 1.7800 / 1.7825 Support: 1.7725 / 1.7700 / 1.7675 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
NZDJPY to continue in the upward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail. 20 1day EMA is at 89.44. We look for a temporary move lower. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. Our outlook is bullish. We look to Buy at 89.45 (stop at 89.05) Our profit targets will be 90.65 and 90.95 Resistance: 90.06 / 90.30 / 90.90 Support: 89.54 / 89.23 / 88.88 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
GBPAUD to find sellers at current market price?GBPAUD - 24h expiry Daily signals are mildly bearish. 50 1day EMA is at 2.0251. Offers ample risk/reward to sell at the market. Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. Our outlook is bearish. We look to Sell at 2.0249 (stop at 2.0321) Our profit targets will be 2.0049 and 2.0019 Resistance: 2.0250 / 2.0300 / 2.0350 Support: 2.0180 / 2.0120 / 2.0075 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDUSD to find buyers at previous support?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5800 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5850. We look to Buy at 0.5760 (stop at 0.5725) Our profit targets will be 0.5835 and 0.5850 Resistance: 0.5800 / 0.5825 / 0.5850 Support: 0.5775 / 0.5760 / 0.5725 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
AUD/NZD – Monthly Mean Reversion SHORTTrade Plan (Monthly Timeframe) Direction: Short Execution style: Scale-in / position trade Time horizon: 3-6 months Entry (Short) Sell zone: 1.1450 – 1.1600 (Current price is already inside this zone) Optional scale-in if price extends: 1.1680 1.1750 (final add) Stop Loss at Monthly close above: 1.1800 A sustained monthly close above this level invalidates the mean-reversion thesis. Take Profit Targets TP1: 1.1200 (partial take profit) TP2: 1.0950 (mean reversion to range value) Rationale Price is at a valuation extreme Carry and rate differentials are fully priced Monthly structure shows distribution, not breakout acceptance Historically, AUD/NZD reverts slowly but decisively from these zones This trade is managed on monthly closes only. Daily and weekly noise is ignored. Patience > precision on macro timeframe trades. Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
Short
by AlphaTurtle
BTC 15m Update — post-breakdown bouncePrice is reacting off the 5m Bull FVG 88.4–88.6k after the breakdown below 89,945. This bounce is mitigation until we reclaim structure. Key levels on my chart: 90,319 / 89,945 / 89,450 / 89,279. ⸻ Scenario ladder (with SL/TP) A) Bull reclaim 89,279 (first breakdown-fail signal) Trigger: 15m close > 89,279 + next 15m holds > 89,279 Entry: hold-close or first retest from above SL: below the reclaim swing low (or conservative: below 88,600 FVG top) TPs: 89,450 → 89,600 → 89,945 → 90,319 ⸻ B) Bull reclaim 89,450 (stronger shift) Trigger: 15m close > 89,450 + hold Entry: retest of 89,450 from above (best) SL: below 89,279 (or conservative: below 88,600) TPs: 89,945 → 90,319 (stretch: higher 1h FVG zone if you track it) ⸻ C) Bear retest-fail at 89,279 (sell the bounce) Trigger: price tags 89,279, then 15m closes back < 89,279 (rejection) Entry: rejection close / next pullback SL: above rejection high (or structural: above 89,450) TPs: 88,600 / 88,400 / 88,000 (lower DBR) ⸻ D) Bear continuation (FVG fails) Trigger: 15m close < 88,400 + continued acceptance below Entry: retest of 88,400–88,600 from below (best) SL: above 88,600 TPs: 88,000 / 87,600 ⸻ Rule No mid-box guessing: I act on close + hold, not wicks. Reclaim 89,279 / 89,450 = bounce may evolve into reversal. Fail there = continuation.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD.PM
by vanlubow
4
LULU 1D - stretching into a comebackOn the daily chart of Lululemon Athletica (LULU), a clean AB=CD pattern is forming, signaling a potential end to the correction and the beginning of a new upward wave. The price has tested the strong buy zone between 164–167, aligned with a major daily support level and rising volume - a classic setup indicating that buyers are regaining control. Technically , the structure is highly symmetrical, RSI shows a bullish divergence, and the 50-day moving average is starting to turn upward - all suggesting a possible trend reversal. The first upside target for this pattern is $230, followed by a second target at $340, which corresponds to the 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions. From a fundamental standpoint, Lululemon remains a powerhouse in the premium activewear market, maintaining strong brand loyalty even amid competition from Nike and Alo. The company continues to expand its men’s line and footwear segment, which now accounts for over 25% of total revenue. International growth remains robust, with new stores opening in South Korea, the UAE, and Germany. Lululemon’s shift toward higher-margin online sales and more efficient logistics continues to strengthen its profitability. In the latest quarterly report (September 2025), revenue grew by 9% year-over-year, and EPS came in above Wall Street expectations. High customer retention - over 90% repeat purchase rate - and stable gross margins create a solid foundation for a mid-term recovery in the stock. Tactical plan: watch for entries within the 164–167 buy zone, consider partial profit-taking near $230, and target $340 if momentum extends. Just like in yoga, patience and balance lead to the best results.
NASDAQ:LULULong
by TotoshkaTrades
6
Is Rivian Setting Up For a Breakout?Hi Traders! On Nov. 5th, Rivian created a daily bullish CHOCH pushing price to resistance at $18. The following weeks showed price returning back to retest that daily CHOCH. Since then, it looks to me that Rivian is working to complete a cup and handle pattern (Lower TFs). IMO the daily and weekly look bullish, and Rivian could be setting up to break past resistance at $18. Therefore, my plan is to long swing Rivian to a potential target at $20. My ideal entry would be around/in between $16-$16.50, but when looking at a lower TF $17 area could be respected. Watching closely, and alerts are set! *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by thattradergirl
3
Robinhood pretends to chill, but the chart exposes its ambitionsRobinhood pretends to wander, but the chart already knows its destination HOOD closed at 123.08 on the daily chart and is moving toward the buy zone 116.54–120.86, aligned with the ma100, which forms a strong demand area. As long as price stays above the intermediate support near 120.00, the bullish structure remains valid. The expected scenario is a controlled pullback into 116.54–120.86 followed by accumulation and a fresh upward impulse. Once demand confirms, the first major resistance is 138–146. A breakout above that level opens the road to the primary target 180.36. Fibonacci aligns cleanly with the structure: 0.618 at 119.54, 0.5 at 123.86, 0.786 at 110.38 remain key tracking levels. Fundamentally as of December 12 2025, Robinhood is delivering strong performance. Active users exceed 26.5M, trailing revenue is near 2B USD, and options revenue is up more than 18 %. Cash reserves surpass 5.7B USD with minimal debt. Robinhood Retirement, lending products and the fast growing Gold Membership continue expanding monetization. User activity remains high with more than 6M daily trades. Price has not yet reached the demand zone, but volume behavior and moving averages suggest a strong upcoming entry point. Robinhood looks casual, but the chart hints that something bigger is brewing.
NASDAQ:HOODLong
by TotoshkaTrades
NZDJPY to continue in the upward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Our short term bias remains positive. There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market. The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows. Daily signals are bullish. We look to Buy at 90.16 (stop at 89.76) Our profit targets will be 91.36 and 91.56 Resistance: 90.90 / 91.50 / 92.00 Support: 90.14 / 89.50 / 88.88 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Si1! - A "Short" Silver Heads-UpWhat we see on these two charts are two different Andrews Pitchforks. - same time window - different time period - different pitchfork placement The left chart maps the pendulum swings. The right chart maps the real swings. LEFT CHART The market has almost reached the maximum stretch point, arriving at the U-MLH. A reversal toward the centerline is very likely, as the market tends to seek balance after such an extreme stretch. Classic mean reversion. RIGHT CHART Here we see that silver has reached the centerline - the classic 80% target for a pitchfork trader. From here, the market can break/zoom through the centerline, retest it, and continue upward. In the LEFT chart, this would correspond to a larger stretch toward Warning Line 1. Or the market may turn at the centerline because it has found its balance, which in the LEFT chart would confirm the stretch-and-turn scenario. Either way, caution is warranted. I would at least take partial profits (50% is always good) and treat myself to an enjoyable Christmas party! Anyone who would like to learn more about pitchforks, please read my bio here on TradingView. Happy profits to you Silver Arrows §8-)
COMEX:SI1!Short
by HowToChart
GBPNZD to find buyers at market price?GBPNZD - 24h expiry The selloff is close to an exhaustion count on the intraday chart. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 2.3100 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 2.3175. We look to Buy at 2.3000 (stop at 2.2925) Our profit targets will be 2.3150 and 2.3175 Resistance: 2.3100 / 2.3150 / 2.3175 Support: 2.3050 / 2.3025 / 2.3000 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
UB/USDTGATE:UBUSDT ## 📈🔥 **UB/USDT — Structure Forming Again** UB is repeating a similar pattern from the previous rally. Price is moving inside a tight consolidation box (grey zone), showing **accumulation** just like last time before the big breakout 🚀. If buyers continue to protect the lower support, this structure can lead to another leg up. --- ## 🎯 **Key Zones** ### 🔵 **Support Zone (Strong Demand)** * **0.03940 – 0.03489** This is where buyers stepped in before, and the same zone is being defended again. ### 🔴 **Immediate Resistance** * **0.05529** A clean breakout above this level will open the door for bullish continuation 🔥. --- ## 🚀 **Bullish Idea** If price continues to respect the support and stays inside this accumulation range: ➡️ A slow build-up ➡️ Break above **0.05529** ➡️ Possible push toward **0.07558** (previous supply zone) ## ⚠️ **Risk Note** If **0.03489** breaks, structure invalidates and deeper downside is possible. Always manage risk. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational only — not financial advice. 📈
Long
by Wolftrader1337
EURCHF 1D EURCHF shows a clean technical structure that rarely deceives a focused trader. After a strong impulse price reacted precisely at the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 0.93884 confirming strong demand near the upper boundary of the range. The current setup suggests a pullback toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 0.93123 which forms the optimal continuation zone. As long as price maintains this area the trend remains bullish and limits the risk of a deeper correction. Once the market stabilises above the Fibonacci cluster the first target stands at 0.94419. The second target at 0.96107 reflects the natural extension of the current impulse. Volume supports buyers and creates favourable conditions for a sustained move higher. The logic here is simple the market pauses only to regain strength for the next leg.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
NZDUSD to find buyers at market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5800 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5875. We look to Buy at 0.5775 (stop at 0.5740) Our profit targets will be 0.5850 and 0.5875 Resistance: 0.5800 / 0.5825 / 0.5850 Support: 0.5775 / 0.5750 / 0.5725 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
1
EUR/AUD ~ Weekly 50 EMAEUR/AUD ~ Weekly 50 EMA Rejection for 3R Upside Potential EUR/AUD is retesting the weekly 50 EMA after a controlled multi-week pullback. This level has acted as a major dynamic support in past uptrend phases. Price is showing early signs of demand returning, creating a potential swing opportunity aiming toward the prior structure highs. With clear invalidation below the EMA zone, the setup offers a clean 3R path if momentum follows through. 📊 Technical Setup Overview Current Status: Retesting weekly 50 EMA support Momentum: Stabilizing after multi-week correction Target: Return to previous swing highs Trade Type: Higher timeframe swing setup 📈 Why This Level Matters Weekly 50 EMA Dynamic Support The weekly 50 EMA often defines the midpoint of strong trends. EUR/AUD has respected this moving average several times throughout the year, creating reliable inflection points during corrections. This pullback has tapped the EMA with precision, showing early demand wicks and slowing downside tempo. Structure Alignment The current test aligns with a previous consolidation shelf, increasing the importance of this zone. Large timeframe participants typically step in at these overlapping structure areas. Trend Integrity Despite the pullback, the higher timeframe structure remains intact. The series of higher lows is not broken and the long term bullish rhythm remains valid while price holds above this support region. 🎯 Trade Structure Entry Consideration: Weekly 50 EMA touch zone Stop Loss: Below the recent weekly wick low Primary Target: Prior swing high zone Reward Potential: Approximately 3R depending on exact stop placement Timeframe: Multi-week hold 📰 Context Behind the Pullback Recent weakness was driven by euro softness and short term risk flows rather than structural trend change. These types of corrective moves often fade once higher timeframe participants re-enter at key EMAs. As volatility cools, weekly structure becomes the dominant driver again and price tends to mean-revert toward trend direction. 📊 Weekly Chart Analysis Structure ✓ Uptrend intact ✓ Pullback respecting major dynamic support ✓ Higher low structure still active Momentum ✓ Selling pressure slowing ✓ No breakdown continuation ✓ Volume contraction signaling exhaustion Key Levels Support: Weekly 50 EMA Target Zone: Prior swing highs Invalidation: Break and weekly close below last wick low 🧠 Why Traders Miss These Setups Fear of Weekly Pullbacks Many traders interpret deep pullbacks as trend failure. Weekly EMAs often attract liquidity and are engineered for shakeouts before continuation. Waiting for Confirmation By waiting for a break above the weekly candle high, traders risk giving away 70 to 120 pips and compress the reward to 1R or 1.5R. Overlooking Higher Timeframes Intraday charts may look messy or bearish. Weekly structure tells the real story and often leads the next macro move. 📅 Expected Duration and Catalysts Estimated Duration: 2 to 4 weeks Potential Catalysts: ✓ Euro strength rotation ✓ Weakness in AUD from risk shifts ✓ Improvement in eurozone data ✓ Mean reversion back into trend ⚠️ Risk Factors A clean break and weekly close beneath the 50 EMA signals trend exhaustion and invalidates the setup. Fundamental shocks affecting eurozone or Australian macro conditions could also disrupt technical structure. 🏆 The Professional Approach Professionals focus on: ✓ Structure over emotion ✓ Entering at dynamic support with defined risk ✓ Playing the asymmetric payoff at 3R ✓ Scaling partial profits as price approaches targets The setup focuses on buying strength at a long term trend support rather than chasing breakouts. 📌 Key Takeaways ✓ Weekly 50 EMA touch creates high probability inflection ✓ Trend structure remains intact ✓ Upside toward previous swing highs offers clean 3R ✓ Risk defined with tight invalidation ✓ Weekly timeframe swing with strong confluence
Long
by RB_T
USD/CAD - Daily Oversold Bounce Setup Into 1.40000 TargetUSD/CAD Post-News Recovery Play: 0.786 Fib Hold + DeM Oversold Signal 1.40000 The US Dollar/Canadian Dollar has pulled back to a critical support zone following recent news volatility, setting up a potential swing trade opportunity targeting the psychological 1.40000 level. Technical confluence at the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement combined with deeply oversold momentum indicators suggests this pullback may be nearing exhaustion. 📊 Technical Setup Overview: Current Status: Holding 0.786 Fibonacci retracement Daily Momentum: DeMarker (DeM) indicator showing extreme oversold conditions Target: 1.40000 psychological resistance Trade Type: Swing position - multi-day hold 📈 Why This Level Matters: 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.786 level represents one of the deepest retracement zones in trending markets before a reversal becomes a trend change. USD/CAD has tested and held this mathematical support level, indicating strong buying interest at current prices. This Fibonacci level was calculated from the recent swing low to swing high and marks the zone where institutional accumulation typically occurs during healthy trend corrections. DeMarker Oversold on Daily Chart: The DeMarker oscillator on the daily timeframe has reached extreme oversold territory - a condition that historically precedes mean reversion moves. When DeM reaches these levels, it indicates selling pressure has reached exhaustion and momentum is primed for reversal. Unlike intraday noise, daily DeM oversold readings carry significant weight as they represent sustained directional pressure across multiple trading sessions that is now reaching a turning point. 1.40000 Psychological Target: Round numbers act as magnetic price levels in forex markets due to: Order clustering from institutional and retail traders Option strike concentrations Psychological significance creating self-fulfilling behavior Previous support/resistance memory at these levels The 1.40000 level represents approximately 150-200 pips of upside potential from current support, offering favorable risk/reward for a swing position. 🎯 Trade Structure: Entry Consideration: Current 0.786 Fibonacci support zone Stop Loss: Below recent swing low (structure invalidation) First Target: 1.3900 (psychological level, profit-taking zone) Primary Target: 1.40000 (round number resistance) Timeframe: Multi-day swing trade (3-7 days estimated) Risk Management: Position sizing should account for potential 50-80 pip stop loss distance. The 1.40000 target offers approximately 2:1 to 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio depending on exact entry and stop placement. 📰 Post-News Context: Recent news events created volatility that pushed USD/CAD into this technical support zone. Post-news environments often see: Reduced volatility as immediate reactions are priced in Technical levels regaining importance as primary drivers Mean reversion opportunities as emotional extremes normalize The combination of news-driven overselling into strong technical support creates a setup where fundamental pressure has eased while technical structure remains intact. 📊 Daily Chart Analysis: Structure: Higher timeframe uptrend remains intact Current pullback represents correction within larger bullish context 0.786 Fibonacci acting as demand zone Momentum: DeM indicator deeply oversold (condition that preceded previous bounces) Divergence may be forming (price making lower lows while momentum stabilizes) Volume showing signs of exhaustion rather than acceleration Key Levels: Support: 0.786 Fibonacci zone (current) Resistance 1: 1.3900 (first profit-taking area) Resistance 2: 1.40000 (primary target) 🧠 Why Traders Miss These Setups: Emotional Comfort vs. Technical Opportunity: After a sustained decline, USD/CAD "feels" weak and most traders assume further downside. But the best risk/reward exists precisely when sentiment is most negative and price has reached structural support. Waiting for Confirmation: Many will wait for USD/CAD to break above 1.3850 to "confirm" the reversal. By then, risk has expanded 50-80 pips and reward has compressed by the same amount. Entries at technical support with defined risk offer superior asymmetry. Ignoring Daily Timeframe Signals: Intraday traders focused on 1-hour or 4-hour charts may miss the significance of daily DeM oversold conditions. These higher timeframe signals carry more weight and have longer-lasting effects on directional bias. News-Driven Fear: Recent news created the selloff, making traders cautious about catching a "falling knife." However, technical analysis helps identify where the knife lands - the 0.786 Fibonacci support. 📅 Timeframe and Catalysts: Expected Duration: This swing trade setup could take 3-7 trading days to reach the 1.40000 target, depending on: Broader USD strength/weakness Oil price movements (CAD correlation) Risk sentiment shifts Upcoming economic data releases Potential Catalysts: US economic data supporting dollar strength Weakness in crude oil (negative for CAD) Risk-off flows benefiting USD as safe haven Technical buying at support creating momentum ⚠️ Risk Factors: What Could Invalidate This Setup: Support Breakdown: If USD/CAD closes decisively below the 0.786 Fibonacci support on the daily chart, the thesis is compromised. This would indicate the correction is deeper than typical and may target the next Fibonacci level. Fundamental Shifts: Unexpected dovish Fed policy signals Surge in crude oil prices (bullish for CAD) Risk-on environment reducing USD safe-haven demand Canadian economic data significantly exceeding expectations Technical Failure: Daily DeM can remain oversold longer than expected during strong trending moves. If the broader trend has changed from bullish to bearish, mean reversion may not occur at typical technical levels. Geopolitical Events: Unforeseen news events could override technical structure and create renewed selling pressure regardless of oversold conditions. 🏆 The Professional Approach: They Buy Structure, Not Sentiment: The 0.786 Fibonacci + daily DeM oversold combination provides objective structure. Professional traders recognize this confluence as an area where probability favors reversal, regardless of how the chart "feels." They Size for Volatility: USD/CAD is a major pair but still experiences 50-100 pip daily ranges. Position sizing accounts for this inherent volatility while keeping total portfolio risk at 1-2% per trade. They Accept Being Early: The perfect bottom is unknowable. Entries at structural support with defined stops accept that price may test the level multiple times before resolving higher. This is why stop placement below structure (not arbitrary) is critical. They Scale Out at Targets: Rather than holding for the full 1.40000 target: Reduce 1/3 at 1.3850 (books profit, reduces emotional pressure) Reduce 1/3 at 1.3900 (locks gains, allows breathing room) Final 1/3 at 1.40000 or trailing stop (maximizes upside) This approach removes emotion from exit decisions and ensures partial profits are captured even if the full target isn't reached. 📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ Technical confluence present: 0.786 Fibonacci support + daily DeM oversold creates high-probability setup ✅ Clear target structure: 1.40000 offers 150-200 pip upside with defined reward-to-risk asymmetry ✅ Post-news environment: Emotional selling into technical support often marks turning points ✅ Risk is defined: Stop below 0.786 support provides clear invalidation point ✅ Daily timeframe signal: Higher timeframe oversold conditions carry more weight than intraday fluctuations ⚠️ Important Disclaimers: This analysis is for educational purposes and reflects a technical view based on Fibonacci retracement levels, momentum indicators, and structural support. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell USD/CAD or any currency pair. Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss. The 0.786 Fibonacci support could fail, and daily DeM can remain oversold during strong trending moves. Past instances of reversals from these conditions do not guarantee similar outcomes. Market conditions can change rapidly due to economic data, central bank policy, geopolitical events, and liquidity conditions. What appears as technical support may not hold during fundamental regime changes. Position sizing must account for volatility and potential for stop loss to be hit. Never risk more than you can afford to lose on any single trade. Always conduct independent analysis, consider your risk tolerance, and consult with a financial professional if needed. All forex trading involves significant risk. ✨ Your Perspective: Are you watching USD/CAD at these levels? How do you trade Fibonacci + momentum confluence setups? Share your approach in the comments. 📜 Trade the structure. Manage the risk. Stay disciplined.
Long
by RB_T
NZDJPY intraday dips continue to attract buyers.NZDJPY - 24h expiry Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 88.88 has been pivotal. 20 4hour EMA is at 89.62. The RSI is trending higher. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. We look to Buy at 89.62 (stop at 89.22) Our profit targets will be 90.82 and 91.02 Resistance: 90.07 / 90.50 / 91.00 Support: 89.60 / 89.06 / 88.88 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Ethereum 4HR Structure UpdateThis idea focuses on Ethereum on the 4 hour chart. Price is approaching a descending trendline that has acted as dynamic resistance. A break and confirmed close above this trendline is required before considering any long setups. Key Levels and Structure • Primary focus is the descending trendline that has capped every recent bounce • A full candle close above the trendline is essential before any entry is planned • The upside reference area for this idea is near 3600 where prior reactions occurred • Invalidations sit below 2950 which would represent a break beneath the recent structural base Entry Logic This setup is based on confirmation rather than anticipation. • No entries should be taken while price remains under the trendline • A strong bullish close outside the trendline is needed • Weak closes or wicks through the trendline without body confirmation do not qualify • The idea is only valid once the trendline is clearly violated on a closing basis Why the Close Matters Closing outside the trendline shows that market participants have accepted price above the descending structure rather than briefly testing it. This helps filter false breaks and reduces reliance on intrabar volatility. Risk Parameters Stops would be referenced below 2950 since a move under that area would indicate failure to hold recent structural support. The 3600 region is used as the first upside reference point based on previous reactions on the 4 hour chart. Notes This idea evaluates structural behavior and does not forecast future performance. Users should confirm levels and apply their own risk management plan before taking any trade.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RB_T
XHB – A continuing long-term short with further downside potentiIn my analysis it is unquestionable that the housing market is weakening further, and a significant mid-term decline is inevitable. My godchild is currently spending a few months in the United States, preparing for an English degree. What she tells me about the housing situation and grocery prices is even more alarming than I expected. I have already taken some short positions during the decline since September and closed part of them. Now I see further downside potential, so I have added long-dated put options, some in-the-money for longer setups and some out-of-the-money for shorter-term moves. On the chart, we can see that price has breached the CIB line (yellow) and continued downward. At the U-MLH, we are again seeing signs of weakness - a favorable setup for action. By the time my godchild returns from the U.S. in May 2026, I’m confident I will be able to treat her to steak and lobster, courtesy of this trade. If not, well - my Carbonara Speciale is also a fine way to soothe the sting of a stop-loss. Take care out there.
AMEX:XHBShort
by HowToChart
Nasdaq nearing critical balanceIn November, we observed a Hagopian pattern - the market failed to reach the centerline despite the high probability of doing so (see weekly chart left). MACD-V is in divergence since then. A sign to be especially cautious. This led to the current rally lasting more than ten days without a single close below a prior low. It seems the Plunge Protection Team may be at work. In any case, we are now approaching the yellow centerline, the market’s point of balance. From there, the market will determine whether we push once more above the yellow centerline toward the white U-MLH, or turn downward, producing a second Hagopian and falling back toward the white centerline. If the second scenario unfolds, the path toward significantly lower prices would be wide open. Let’s see what we get for Christmas…
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HowToChart
From Silver Shine to Zinc Strength: Hindustan Zinc’s Rally AheadBreakout: Stock has broken out of a descending triangle (bullish signal). Current Price: ₹498.10 Target Zone: ₹572.10 (upside potential) Stop-Loss: ₹444.95 (risk level) Volume: Strong at 36.55M, confirming momentum. Market Drivers Silver Rally: Recent gains supported by rising silver prices. Sector Strength: Outperformed metals sector and Sensex in early December. Fundamentals India’s only integrated zinc producer. Strong reserves with >25 years mine life. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is educational analysis only, not investment advice. Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
NSE:HINDZINCLong
by SECLUDED_CHARTS