HBARUSDT — Retest of Demand Zone After Breakout?HBAR/USDT is currently in a crucial retest phase after a strong breakout from its key accumulation zone around 0.199–0.217 (yellow box, Fib 0.5–0.618 area). The recent rally toward 0.29–0.30 highlighted strong buying momentum, but price is now consolidating near 0.243, suggesting a healthy pullback before the next potential move.
This structure often signals a bullish retest after breakout — but if key support levels are lost, it could trigger a deeper correction.
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🔍 Structure & Pattern
Previous phase: HBAR traded sideways for months within a large range.
Recent move: Clean breakout above the accumulation zone.
Current phase: Retesting the demand zone.
Pattern in play: Bullish Retest / Flag Consolidation on the daily timeframe.
Bullish continuation trigger: Daily close above 0.29197 with volume confirmation.
Bearish invalidation: Daily close below 0.19928 (Fib 0.618).
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📌 Key Technical Levels (1D)
Support (Demand Zone):
0.21707 (Fib 0.5) → first line of defense.
0.19928 (Fib 0.618) → strongest support; bullish invalidation if broken.
Resistance Levels:
0.26511 → minor resistance.
0.29197 → major resistance / breakout trigger.
0.33037 → TP1.
0.37526 → TP2.
0.40139 → local high & ultimate mid-term target.
Downside targets (if breakdown):
0.160–0.140 → prior consolidation zone.
0.093–0.087 → historical low.
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🚀 Bullish Scenarios
1. Conservative (Breakout Buyer):
Entry: Daily close above 0.29197
Stop: Below 0.26511
Targets: 0.33037 / 0.37526
Potential reward: +35% to +54% from current levels
2. Aggressive (Buy the Dip):
Entry: 0.217–0.199 demand zone
Stop: Below 0.199 (bullish invalidation)
Targets: 0.265 / 0.292 / 0.330
Attractive R:R potential (>1:3) if demand holds
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⚠️ Bearish Scenarios
1. Breakdown of 0.199:
Daily close below 0.199 → structure invalidated.
Downside targets: 0.16 → 0.14, and possibly 0.087 (historical low).
2. Rejection at Resistance:
Failure to break 0.292 + formation of a lower-high = possible range or distribution phase.
Price could revisit 0.217 demand zone again.
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📈 Strategy & Risk Management
Aggressive traders: Buy dips at 0.217–0.199 with tight stops.
Conservative traders: Wait for confirmation above 0.292 before entering.
Risk management: Limit exposure to 1–2% per trade.
Extra confirmation: Watch for volume spikes or bullish candlestick reversals (hammer, engulfing) in demand zones.
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✅ Conclusion
HBAR is in a critical demand retest. As long as 0.217–0.199 holds, the bias remains bullish, with mid-term targets at 0.33–0.37. A daily close below 0.199, however, would shift momentum bearish and open the door to a much deeper correction.
HBAR offers a high R:R opportunity for both aggressive dip buyers and conservative breakout traders — making it one of the setups to watch closely in the coming weeks.
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