HFT/USDT — Will Bears Continue, or Will Bulls Take Control?Overview:
HFT has been trapped in a long-term downtrend since 2022, defined by the descending yellow trendline. Price is now consolidating at a critical zone, holding above strong support around 0.0431 (Low) while testing the descending trendline near 0.0969.
This is a make-or-break moment: will it continue the bearish cycle or start a potential accumulation phase for a major reversal?
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🔎 Pattern & Market Structure
Descending Trendline → pressing the market down with consistent lower highs since 2022.
Horizontal Support → 0.0431 has been the main floor, repeatedly tested.
Potential Scenarios:
Breakdown confirms a descending triangle, continuation of the downtrend.
Breakout above the trendline may signal a falling wedge breakout, often leading to strong bullish reversal.
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🟢 Bullish Scenario
1. Breakout Confirmation: Weekly close above the descending trendline (~0.0969).
2. Healthy Retest: Price flips the trendline into support with strong rejection of the downside.
3. Upside Targets:
0.1596 → first key resistance
0.2290 → strong supply zone
0.3093 – 0.3917 → medium-term bullish targets
4. Extra Signals: Strong breakout volume + bullish RSI divergence would strengthen the setup.
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🔴 Bearish Scenario
1. Rejection at Trendline: Price fails to break above ~0.0969.
2. Breakdown Below 0.0431: Weekly close under this level confirms bearish continuation.
3. Downside Target: Opens the path for new lows, as historical support becomes invalid.
4. Confirmation: Weakening buying volume + momentum indicators (MACD/RSI) pointing down.
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📌 Conclusion & Strategy
HFT is at a decision zone: either confirm a bullish reversal or extend its long-term bearish cycle.
Bullish Path: A breakout with volume could trigger a swing move toward 0.1596 → 0.2290.
Bearish Path: A breakdown below 0.0431 validates the descending triangle → continuation to new lows.
Risk Management is crucial — this is a high-volatility zone.
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📢 Trader’s Note
Wait for weekly confirmation candles before committing to a position.
Aggressive traders may speculate longs near support with tight stops under 0.0431.
Conservative traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above the trendline.
Remember: low price ≠ cheap — always confirm with structure and volume.
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