HYPE — Updated Long ScenarioDespite the fact that in my previous publication HYPE broke through my invalidation zone, the overall long picture has not been destroyed — on the contrary, HYPE has actually strengthened its bullish intentions.
With this update, my target has been moved slightly higher.
🎯 New target: 37
❌ Invalidation zone: 31.78
Let’s see how the price action unfolds from here. As always, this is not financial advice — just my personal view.
Hypesignals
HYPE/USDT — Breakout, Retest Zone 43.5–40.5 Before Next Leg?Overview
After weeks of persistent selling pressure and a consistent lower-high structure, HYPE/USDT has finally shown signs of life — a clean breakout above the major downtrend line that has capped price action since early October.
This breakout signals a psychological shift in market sentiment, moving from fear-driven selling into an early optimism phase, where smart money begins accumulating before the retail wave arrives.
The 43.5–40.5 zone has acted as a crucial battlefield between buyers and sellers, now transforming into a key demand base — the foundation of a potential mid-term trend reversal.
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Pattern & Structure Analysis
Primary pattern: Descending trendline breakout followed by a minor retest above structural support.
Context: After printing a panic wick in early October, price established a higher low and then broke through the descending line of resistance.
Technical implication: Bearish momentum is fading, while bullish pressure is gradually strengthening — an early indication of trend reversal.
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Bullish Scenario — Momentum Reignited
If price holds above 47–48 USDT, the structure can evolve into a bullish continuation pattern with clear upside potential.
A confirmed breakout above 51 USDT would likely trigger the next expansion phase toward 59.4 USDT, aligning with the previous swing high and liquidity pocket.
Bullish Confirmation Signals:
12-hour candle closes above 48–51 with increasing volume.
Successful retest around 46–47 without falling back below the demand zone.
Upside Targets:
TP1: 51.00 (initial breakout zone).
TP2: 59.40 (major resistance / previous high).
TP3 (extended target): 65+ if momentum accelerates.
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Bearish Scenario — False Breakout Trap
If the breakout fails to sustain and 51 USDT acts as a strong rejection point, the move may turn into a liquidity sweep — a classic bull trap.
A breakdown below 43.5–40.5 would invalidate the bullish structure and expose downside risk toward 36–32 USDT.
Bearish Confirmation:
12h candle closes below 43.5 with rising sell volume.
Clean breakdown of 40.5 with no rebound — confirming continuation of the previous downtrend.
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Conclusion
HYPE is currently at a critical transition zone — between the end of a prolonged downtrend and the potential start of a new bullish cycle.
The 43.5–40.5 region remains the key battleground.
If buyers defend this base and reclaim 51 with strength, HYPE could enter a momentum expansion phase toward its previous highs.
Failure to hold this level, however, could send price back into extended consolidation.
Trader’s focus:
Watch the 47–51 USDT range for confirmation of strength, or wait for a clean retest and bounce from 43.5–40.5 for high-probability long setups.
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HYPE/USDT Ready for a Breakout? Watch These Key LevelsAnalysis Description:
The HYPE/USDT pair is currently forming a descending triangle pattern on the 1D timeframe — a classic technical setup that often signals a strong upcoming price move, either upward or downward.
🔶 Strong Support Block:
The yellow horizontal zone between 33.500 – 36.785 USDT represents a solid support area where price has repeatedly bounced with strong volume. This zone is ideal for monitoring buy-back opportunities if price pulls back.
📉 Descending Resistance Line:
A descending trendline has been acting as dynamic resistance. A breakout above this line could trigger a significant bullish continuation.
🎯 Upside Targets (If Breakout Occurs):
Target 1: 38.800 USDT (minor resistance)
Target 2: 42.068 USDT (mid-range target)
Target 3: 45.800 USDT (major resistance / previous high)
📌 Trading Strategy:
Conservative Entry: Buy on support re-test within the 33.500 – 36.785 USDT zone.
Aggressive Entry: Buy after a confirmed daily breakout above the descending trendline.
Stop Loss: Below the support block, around 33.000 USDT.
💡 Additional Note:
Watch for increased volume during the breakout — this would validate the move and confirm strong momentum. If the breakout fails, expect further sideways consolidation within the current range.
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