Get started

Ictconcepts

August 11, Forex Outlook: Key Market Expectations for the Week!Welcome back, traders! In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes. Pairs to focus on this Week: USDCAD EURGBP EURJPY GBPCHF USDCHF NZDCHF EURNZD Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence. 📊 What to Expect in This Video: 1. Higher timeframe trend analysis 2. Key zones of interest and potential setups 3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes 4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights! Have a great week ahead, God bless you! The Architect 🏛️📉
by The_Archi-tect
4
USDCHF: Bearish Continuation Setup From Weekly Supply ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCHF, we observe that the prevailing institutional order flow remains firmly bearish. This directional bias positions us to focus on high-probability selling opportunities aligned with downside liquidity objectives. Key Observations on H4: Weekly Bearish Order Block Rejection: Price recently rejected a weekly bearish order block, initiating a decisive market structure shift to the downside. This rejection validates the weekly supply zone as a strong institutional resistance area. Premium Price Context: Current price action is positioned within premium territory, offering an advantageous zone to seek short setups. H4 Bearish Order Block Reaction: Price is presently reacting to an H4 bearish order block, strengthening the case for a sell-side continuation. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Seek confirmation-based entries on the lower timeframes (M15 and below) within the H4 order block to refine risk. Target Objective: Aim for discount-side liquidity pools, in alignment with institutional objectives to rebalance price and capture liquidity resting below. Remain disciplined, let the market confirm your bias, and execute with precision risk management. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
2
Short CADJPY and USDJPY, Swing Trade Trading Idea: Short CADJPY & USDJPY Date: August 14, 2025 Strategy Type: Short-term bearish play on JPY crosses 📰 Key News Drivers - Japan GDP Data (Q2 Preliminary): - QoQ: 0.0% (flat growth) - YoY: -0.2% (mild contraction) - GDP Deflator YoY: 3.3% (strong inflation signal) - USDJPY Technical Outlook: - Current price: ~146.60 - Bearish momentum confirmed by moving averages - Key support: 146.386 - Break below 146.500 could trigger further downside - JPY Strength Factors: - Modest improvement in Japan’s M2 Money Stock - Lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data weakening USD - Risk-off sentiment favoring safe-haven JPY 📊 Trade Rationale | Pair | Bearish Catalyst | Technical Setup | Target Zone | | USDJPY | Weak U.S. inflation + strong JPY deflator | Testing support at 146.386 | 146.00 or lower | | CADJPY | CAD vulnerable to oil price volatility + JPY strength | Likely to follow USDJPY breakdown | 106.50–107.00 | - JPY Strength Thesis: Despite flat GDP growth, the strong deflator suggests inflationary pressure, which may prompt the BoJ to maintain or tighten policy. This supports JPY appreciation. - USD Weakness: Lower inflation expectations in the U.S. reduce the likelihood of further Fed hikes, weakening USD. - CAD Vulnerability: CADJPY often correlates with risk sentiment and oil prices. With JPY gaining and global risk tone cautious, CADJPY is exposed. 📌 Execution Plan - USDJPY: - Entry: Short below 146.50 - Stop: 147.10 - Target: 146.00 / 145.50 - CADJPY: - Entry: Short below 107.50 - Stop: 108.20 - Target: 106.50 / 106.00
Short
by ICT_Trader_SB
August 11, Forex Outlook: What to Expect from This Weeks TradingWelcome back, traders! In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes. Pairs to focus on this Week: USDCAD EURGBP EURJPY GBPCHF USDCHF NZDCHF EURNZD Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence. 📊 What to Expect in This Video: 1. Higher timeframe trend analysis 2. Key zones of interest and potential setups 3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes 4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights! Have a great week ahead, God bless you! The Architect 🏛️📉
by The_Archi-tect
7
Trading EURUSD AUDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 05/08/2025The Judas Swing strategy kicked off the new week with two solid setups on Monday, this time on OANDA:AUDUSD and FX:EURUSD While both played out beautifully from a structure and liquidity perspective, let’s walk through the reasoning behind each trade and how they unfolded The first setup of the day formed on EURUSD during the early part of the New York session. Price had been ranging during the London hours, setting clear highs and lows. Just as expected, NY brought the liquidity sweep a sharp push above the range high, baiting breakout buyers and triggering stops. That was our cue. Once the sweep completed, we watched closely for the break of structure to confirm the reversal. It came swiftly, followed by a retrace into the freshly formed Fair Value Gap the same confluence we wait for every time. As price tapped into the imbalance and printed a bearish close, we executed the short. Risk: 1%. Target: 2R. Price moved cleanly in our direction, offering little drawdown and ultimately hitting our target in due time. A disciplined start to the week with a solid +2% gain. Not long after we entered the FX:EURUSD position, OANDA:AUDUSD served up a nearly identical setup. Once again, we had a clear range established during the Judas Swing sessions. Then came the sweep price spiked above the range high, taking out buy-side liquidity before quickly reversing. We marked our structure break and noted the FVG left behind. Just like before, we waited for the retrace no chasing. Price pulled back, tapped the imbalance, and gave us a strong bearish entry signal. We entered short with the same parameters: 1% risk, aiming for a 2R return. The market delivered. The trade ran smoothly to target, netting our second +2% win of the day.
by CleoFinance
USDCHF: Bearish Continuation Setup From Reclaimed Supply ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCHF, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. This reinforces our directional bias to the downside, prompting us to focus on strategic selling opportunities. Key Observations on H4: Weekly Bearish Order Block: Price recently tapped into a weekly bearish order block, which triggered a decisive market structure shift to the downside. This confirms the order block's validity as a firm resistance zone. Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG): Following the market structure shift, price retraced into an H4 FVG. This zone acted as resistance, maintaining bearish momentum. Reclaimed Mitigation Block: After breaking through a previous mitigation block, the area now functions as a reclaimed order block. We expect this to serve as a high-probability resistance zone moving forward. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor lower timeframes (M15 and below) for confirmation entries within the reclaimed order block. Target Objective: The current draw on liquidity is the discount-side liquidity pools, which aligns with our bearish bias. As always, remain patient, wait for solid confirmations, and manage your risk with precision. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
USDCAD: Bearish Structure with Rejection from Key Supply ArraysGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCAD, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by identifying strategic selling opportunities. Key Observations: Weekly Timeframe Insight: Last week's candle rebalanced a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating internal range price action. As a rule of thumb, once internal imbalances are addressed, the draw typically shifts toward external liquidity—located at the swing low, where the weekly liquidity pool resides. H4 Resistance Alignment: On the H4 timeframe, price shifted bearish and has since retraced into a bearish FVG that aligns precisely with a reclaimed bearish order block. The alignment of these bearish arrays strengthens the case for continued downside, making this zone a high-probability resistance area. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for bearish confirmation setups on the M15 or lower timeframes within the H4 supply arrays (FVG + OB confluence). Target Objective: The primary draw on liquidity lies within the discount range—targeting the liquidity pool below the most recent swing low. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Stay patient, wait for your confirmations, and trade in alignment with the flow of smart money. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
NZDCHF: Selling Within Bearish Order Flow & Order BlockGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NZDCHF, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by identifying strategic selling opportunities. 🔍 Key Observations on H4: Bearish Market Structure Shift The H4 timeframe has confirmed a bearish shift in market structure, giving us a solid framework to seek short setups aligned with institutional momentum. Bearish Order Block Price has recently reached a bearish order block, expected to act as a strong resistance zone for potential downside continuation. Liquidity Engineering Buy stops on H4 have been taken out—this sweep may be used to order the pair against liquidity, favoring bearish continuation. 📈 Trading Plan: Entry Strategy Monitor lower timeframes (e.g., M15 and below) for bearish confirmation setups within or near the bearish order block. Target Objective Our draw on liquidity remains the liquidity pool located at deeper discount levels, in alignment with the prevailing short bias. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Stay disciplined, trust your confirmations, and manage your risk wisely. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
Gold Retraces to OTE and Breaks ResistanceEyes on Swing Highs!Gold Market Update The gold market declined from its previous bullish leg and retraced below the 50% level, reaching into the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone. It also tapped into a Bullish Price Rejection (BPR) area. Following that, price broke above the trendline resistance. Currently, it is advisable to wait for a potential retest of the breakout level. If confirmed, the market could continue its upward movement toward the previous swing highs. Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeCraft_FX
EURJPY: Rejection Block Support Fuels Bullish momentum!Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURJPY, recent price action confirms the presence of bullish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by seeking high-probability buying opportunities that target the long-term highs, where a significant liquidity pool resides. Key Observations: Weekly Timeframe Insight: Last week, price retraced into a weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has acted as a strong support zone. This reaction has initiated a bullish response across lower timeframes, validating the weekly FVG as a meaningful area of institutional demand. H4 Bullish Market Structure Shift: Following the weekly bounce, the H4 chart presented a clear bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS), signaling the onset of upward momentum. Price then retraced into an extreme discount, where it found support at a well-defined Rejection Block—an institutional array we expect to hold as a launchpad for further bullish continuation. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor the Rejection Block zone for bullish confirmation setups on lower timeframes (M15 and below) to validate potential long entries. Target Objective: The draw on liquidity remains at higher premium levels, with the liquidity pool above the long-term highs serving as our primary objective. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: As always, exercise patience, wait for confirmation, and maintain strict risk management. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
NZDCHF: Bearish Continuation from Re-Delivered Re-Balanced ArrayGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NZDCHF, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by identifying strategic selling opportunities. Key Observations on H4: Bearish Market Structure Shift: The H4 timeframe has recently confirmed a bearish shift in market structure, providing us with a clear framework to seek short setups in line with institutional momentum. RDRB Resistance Zone: Price has retraced into a Re-Delivered Re-Balanced (RDRB) array—an area where prior institutional selling took place and has now been re-engaged. This region is expected to serve as resistance, offering a high-probability zone for confirmation entries to the downside. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor lower timeframes (M15 and below) for bearish confirmation setups within the RDRB array. Target Objective: The current draw on liquidity remains the liquidity pool residing at deeper discount levels, which aligns with our short bias. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: As always, stay disciplined, wait for clear confirmations, and manage your risk responsibly. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation from Reclaimed Institutional ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURUSD, recent price action confirms the presence of bullish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align with this narrative by seeking high-probability buying opportunities at key institutional arrays. Higher Timeframe Context: On the weekly timeframe, last week’s candle retraced into a Re-Delivered Re-Balanced (RDRB) Array—a bullish structure often associated with institutional repositioning. From this zone, we anticipate continued bullish delivery towards the weekly liquidity pool, reinforcing a bullish directional bias. Key Observations on H4: Bullish Market Structure Shift: Price action on the H4 has decisively shifted bullish, aligning with the higher timeframe’s narrative and confirming our bias. Reclaimed Order Block Support: Following the bullish shift, price has pulled back into a reclaimed order block—a previously institutional selling zone that, once broken and reclaimed, now acts as a high-probability support area. This becomes a key zone for seeking lower timeframe confirmation entries. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation entries within the reclaimed order block on lower timeframes (M15–M5). Target Objective: The draw on liquidity resides at the long-term high, where a cluster of buy-side liquidity is expected to attract price. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Remain patient and precise in execution. Let the market confirm your bias before entering and manage risk appropriately. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
2
August 3, Forex Outlook: High-Reward Setups You Need to See Now!Welcome back, traders! In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes. Pairs to focus on this Week: EURUSD USDCAD EURGBP EURJPY GBPCHF USDCHF NZDCHF EURNZD Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence. 📊 What to Expect in This Video: 1. Higher timeframe trend analysis 2. Key zones of interest and potential setups 3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes 4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights! Have a great week ahead, God bless you! The Architect 🏛️📉
by The_Archi-tect
Getting short on EUR/USD!The dollar has looked set for a reversal and coming into the week it didn't hang around at all. I had a bit of a short bias on EUR/USD and was looking for confirmation signal which pretty much came at market open. Price pushed higher back into the key level taking out a short term high, but was unable to follow through to form a new higher high. Heading into Monday London session, momentum immediately took hold with a clear bearish change of character and price didn't look back > breaking structure and key levels with minimal effort. I was waiting for a pull back to get short early which didn't occur. But no need to chase price, waiting and patience is part of the game. Price has now broken another key support level and is set to retest it as resistance. This will be my entry point (see screenshot) > using the 70.5%-78.6% fib retracement level and my stop above Tuesdays high. Keep it simple. s3.tradingview.com
Short
by CourtneyCharles